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🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Bulls are being tested for the second day. This time, prices were not supported at higher levels and finished the trading day near the lows. VIX leapt higher again. Things are looking pretty ominous. ➤ I don't know if it's good news or bad news but the daily trading volume is moderate. Although elevated it hasn't really spiked. A...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Crucial week ahead for the Bulls to defend the yearly lows. First defensive effort was mounted by the Bulls to finish Friday trade away from the daily low. Price gapped down below the 2nd last level of support. The close of the candle points to continued bearish behaviour in the very short-term. ➤ VIX spiked over 30 again. There is...
Is this another bear market rally? or just we are at the early stages of new massive bull run? Since hitting 10565.14 low ( which was in 0.5 _ 0.618 Retracement zone of previous major rally from pandemic low to ATH ) , IXIC has started a promising rally for bulls. Is this low market's bottom? It might be, but lets review a contradictory yet valid scenario...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ There's very little insight I can provide with the current price action. VIX is stuck at elevated levels and not moving anywhere. Price is moving lower to the support levels. If you weren't already in a short trade, it isn't the best place to start. If you are looking to buy, prices could continue to move lower. 🤷♀️ Risk to reward...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities decided break down but that's not what I'm concerned about. It's the VIX...has it literally broken down❓ 🛠 Apart from spiking to the panic level to 30 (as I define it), it did very little on a big down day. ➤ Perhaps VIX does make sense within the context of the price action. As prices have moved consistently lower, VIX has...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Prices held above the immediate lows but overall still drifting lower. It is stuck in between support and resistance zones. This is fitting behaviour given the USD Fed Interest Rate decision on Wednesday afternoon. ➤ VIX is not giving much away. Still trading below the recent peak but at elevated levels. ➤ Market makers and...
This is an analysis of Bitcoin's price action before and after Fed announcements on the daily time frame and the affect the US Dollar index has had on the markets. Since Bitcoin hit its all-time high in November 2021, the growing strength of the US Dollar has put a relentless downward pressure on global markets and currencies (and Bitcoin/Dow Jones/Precious Metals...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is currently pulling-back as yesterday's rebound has failed so far to break the Channel's median. That is the Channel Down, the dominant pattern, that the index has been trading in since the August 16 High. As you see that middle trend-line has been holding a key role within this pattern. The current price action resembles...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 📉 GAPs are unfashionable and it tends to get closed. Well, that gap has almost closed and I'm not FEELING great! ➤ Big reversal in markets as equities bounced after once again gapping lower at open. Price is heading back to the support level (that should be re-labeled as resistance). ➤ I had strong convictions that the gap will be...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Price again held in the support zone with VIX also contracting from the short-term peak. I'm looking at this as a reply of mid-May. The difference is that VIX was in the panic zone back in May and the move down prior to the bounce was much longer in duration. Maybe I should call it a "mini-mid-May" - MMM. If I am correct I hope the...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Same working title as yesterday. Prices are still at square one. There was hardly any bounce but prices managed to hold support. The market is not giving much away about its next move... ➤ I have closed the long positions in DAX and EUSTX50 (STOXX50) and have reversed to a small short position (-10% exposure each). This small...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ A momentous day in markets, momentous to do downside that is. All the up momentum was snuffed out today. Prices in S&P500 have dropped back to the support level. As I previously mentioned, there were subtle hints of a drop. The big surprise is the degree of the drop we just experienced. ➤ The only good news is that prices have hit...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity markets leapt higher towards the 4200 resistance zone. The upward acceleration is decelerating as seen by the size of the candle/bars since the progression from the higher low. This is either because of less buyers or more incoming sellers. The VIX also increased by a small amount. ➤ These are subtle hints of change in...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity markets continued to bounce and bounce hard from the support level. It is looking very orderly, VIX is dipping in concert. It is seeking to re-test the 4200 level once again. ➤ It is unclear to me if prices will take a detour prior to the re-test in terms of a short-term reversal or the Bears are happy to wait to apply...
DJIA. Just look at it, is it not funny how correlated everything looks on a 100+ year chart? We are the the top. Can we this time get through the historically impossible resistance? Knowing JPow, when market drops 10-15% he will spin up the BRRRRRRR into panic overdrive and we'll blast right through the final resistance line into pure hyper-inflationary...
You don't see just how highly priced McDonald's still is unless you look at it on the Monthly: I mean, this is the place that sells faux-food while CPI and PPI are through the roof, and it's still trading almost at its all time high. This is even more ridiculous than the positioning of Apple AAPL: Apple AAPL - Looks Fine on the Outside, but Tastes Weird ...
I've made many comparisons of Dow Jones' (DJI) 2022 Bearish Price Action with past Bear Cycles but being near closing its 3rd straight red 1W (weekly) candle since the August 15 rejection on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it is time to update it. As you see, this is a comparison of Dow's 2021/2022 chart against 2007/2008. The dynamic factor is WTI Oil (black...