Altcoin 2025 bullrun cycleI think it is no secret to everybody that Bitcoin and Altcoins (including ETH) are very much correlated. But they do have a certain lag in impulses.
On the chart you can see altcoin market cap vs Bitcoin market cap (High values). As you can cee, Bitcoin had a new All time high which is ~53% higher than the previous one, while altcoins didn't manage to break the Total market cap ATH. But percentages are not the only thing interesting to us. We are also interested in the dollar delta between them and which one is higher.
We only have two major bullish cycles to analyze, therefore any conclusions made frome them may not guarantee that next bull run will be similar.
First thing I could notice is that capital flows as follows: new money coming into market first boosts bitcoin and when it goes into its parabolic growth state, Bitcoin market cap is higher than that of Altcoins. And as you can see on the chart, when altoin market cap surpasses bitcoin, it means that most likely that capital inflow into crypto slows down. And most likely it signals near beginning of an overall bear market. I think we should closely monitor this and be ready to start selling when the two lines close once again.
Another point of view is the next ATH for both bitcoin and Atlcoins. As I predict in , for bitcoin the next ATH will be around 115-200k and therefore mcap will reach around 3-4 trln.
This means that ATH for altcoin mcap will be around 4-5 trln and be ready when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D becomes lower than 50%.
Let's see how this turns out.
And by the way total mcap doesn't define each altcoin growth so each coin needs to be analyzed separately.
Dominancebtc
BTC Tightens After Liquidations With the big drop yesterday in BTC and more notably alts, we are seeing the standard tightening ranges of the equilibrium pattern that results when you have significant volatility in both directions.
If we break bull this morning, we will zoom out and scout a 12H lower high, and the daily chart will continue to tighten up as well, heading for a break to end this week.
If this hourly range breaks bear, we will look to test recent lows in the $94ks.
Note we are seeing BTC.D bounce on the weekly as alts drop into weekly consolidation, as highlighted as one of the more likely potential paths forward in our recent live stream on youtube.
BTC.D prediction for 2025The BTC domination's fall takes just a short period of time. Usually up to 3-4 months of the altcoins euphoria. So taking into account previous cycles I'm going to HODL my alts till spring 2025 in a realistic scenario till BTC.D reaches ~44%
In case I see a free-fall dynamics of BTC.D during December 2024 and January 2025, I may expect for more optimistic scenario (BTC.D ~35%)
Bitcoin is taking a breathWhile the whales are pumping alts to subsequently flush out the naive fools, bitcoin is taking a breath to break $0.1M.
I believe we are nearing the bottom of bitcoin dominance among cryptocurrencies after the Wall st. takeover. All the cryptocurrencies that have managed to pump a little bit against BTC in the meantime will soon crash back down again and look for new lows in the BTC pair.
Don't worry about fiat charts, compare to BTC!
aLt SeASoN 💩? No, really don't!
There is only bitcoin season, always has been. There is no cryptocurrency over five years old that comes close to ATH against Bitcoin.
Stay humble, stack sats.
USDT.Dominance Chart Update !!The chart shows USDT dominance in a downward channel.
The recent price movement tested the upper trendline and faced rejection, indicating the downtrend remains intact.
Moving Average:
The 50-period EMA (red line) acts as resistance, reinforcing bearish pressure.
Resistance: 4.10% (channel top and 50 EMA).
Support: 3.85% (channel bottom).
Rejection at the upper trendline points to a likely continuation toward 3.85%.
A breakout above 4.10% and the channel could signal a potential reversal, with an upside toward 4.30%.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC dominance is falling, capital is flowing into altcoins!Hello everyone, as we can see, for a very long time, BTC's dominance over the rest of the market was gaining strength, but now we can see how the level of dominance has broken out of the upward trend channel, which is causing a rebound and the transfer of capital into altcoins.
The flow of capital gives clear and significant increases on the market, and therefore many cryptocurrencies benefit from an increase in price.
It is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which also indicates that the energy used is used to flow capital into the rest of the market, and what is more, it can be seen that there is still room for a stronger decline to the support places indicated on the chart.
USDTDominance chart update !!USDT Dominance (USDT.D) chart continues to confirm the descending channel pattern, with dominance currently testing the upper trendline.
Dominance remains within the descending channel, with the upper boundary acting as a crucial resistance level near 4.30%-4.35%.
Recent price action shows rejection at this resistance, indicating a possible continuation of the downtrend.
The middle line of the channel may provide minor support around 4.10%.
Strong support lies near the lower boundary at 3.85%-3.90%.
Immediate resistance remains at 4.30%-4.35%.
A breakout above this level would signal a possible reversal in dominance, invalidating the bearish channel.
The current rejection is in line with the bearish outlook.
Momentum suggests that dominance could test the lower trendline again, especially if crypto markets maintain bullish momentum.
The short-term target is the lower limit near 3.85%.
Bullish invalidation occurs above 4.35%.
Monitor further rejection at the upper limit for short entries.
Confirm the breakdown with rising volume.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTCUSDT - Altseason Gains Momentum as Dominance Drops!Bitcoin is facing significant psychological resistance in the $100,000 area, with the chart showing signs of consolidation just below this mark, indicating that the market is waiting for a catalyst to break out or pull back.
BTC dominance, which recently fell from 58%, reflects a possible rotation of capital into altcoins, suggesting the beginning of an altseason. During such periods, altcoins tend to see significant gains against BTC, especially if Bitcoin continues to range below resistance.
In the short term, Fibonacci points to levels like $97,000 and $93,000 acting as support, while a break above $100,000 could pave the way for targets like $103,000 and $110,000. The Stochastic RSI is hovering near the overbought region, indicating a possible correction before a new high.
Btc.dCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
🚨 Bitcoin Dominance Starts Dropping – Money Will Flow Into Altcoins 🚨
As Bitcoin dominance begins to decrease, it's a clear signal that the market is shifting. Historically, when Bitcoin’s market share declines, capital starts flowing into altcoins—offering traders and investors exciting opportunities for growth.
🔑 What does this mean?
Increased Altcoin Activity: Altcoins (such as Ethereum, Solana, and others) may experience significant price movement as investor attention shifts.
Possible Altcoin Season: With altcoins catching the spotlight, they could outperform Bitcoin in terms of percentage gains.
Diversification Opportunities: If you’re holding only Bitcoin, it might be time to consider diversifying into altcoins.
💡 Stay ahead of the market and watch for altcoin trends as they could offer substantial returns during this period. Be ready to take advantage of the opportunities that arise as money moves out of Bitcoin and into other projects!
Disclaimer : It's not Financial Advice
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART UPDATE !! USDT Dominance (USDT.D) confirms the breakdown of the head and shoulders pattern, indicating a strong bearish trend. Here's a detailed log analysis:
The neckline support has been breached, confirming the pattern's validity.
The measured move suggests a target towards the 1.80%-2.00% zone, aligning with historical support.
There is a significant breakdown below the Ichimoku Cloud, with volume likely supporting the move.
This reinforces a bearish outlook, signaling a shift of capital away from stablecoins.
As USDT Dominance decreases, funds flow into risk assets, typically Bitcoin and altcoins.
This aligns with a bullish sentiment in the broader crypto market.
Resistance: 4.50%-4.80% (previous neckline and Ichimoku Cloud).
Support: 1.80%-2.00% (highlighted shaded area on the chart).
The pattern's implications suggest further downside for USDT Dominance, which could be a tailwind for crypto market growth. A breakdown continuation is likely unless dominance reclaims the neckline area.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
USDT.DOMINANCE Chart Update !
USDT dominance is showing a downward trend after breaking out of a previous channel, which may indicate a decrease in stablecoin dominance in the market. The price of testing a green support zone is around 4.4%. If it fails to hold above this level, a further downside to the lower red support zone around 3.9% may be possible.
This decline in USDT dominance could imply a potential increase in buying pressure within the crypto market, as funds flow out of stablecoins and into more volatile assets, fueling upward momentum in the broader crypto market. However, a bounce back above the support zone may signal a temporary reversal in trend.
Traders should watch for reactions at these key support levels to better assess the direction of market sentiment.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATEBTC DOMINANCE ANALYSIS :
In the past 7 months, Bitcoin has been ranging between 50k and 70k, then Bitcoin made a new all-time high, during this period, altcoins have struggled to rise …yes, some have seen significant growth but the majority are still at very deep lows. The main reason for this is rise the dominance of Bitcoin alongside Bitcoin!
We are looking at the current level, I hope there will be a rejection …If it rejected here, we could see a great altcoin season, but if it continues to rise, we could reach 70% (2020 high) before the alt-season.
Keep following this chart!
Best wishes
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
Bitcoin Where Next?As of November 8, 2024 , Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $74,120.87 , reflecting a 24-hour trading volume of $105.81 billion.
Our proprietary W.ARITAs algorithm has identified a pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that closely mirrors historical trends observed between April 8, 2020 , and January 7, 2021 . This historical pattern began with a significant price surge in April 2020 , following the announcement of the third Bitcoin halving event, which reduced the mining reward and increased scarcity. This event was a catalyst for a bullish trend that culminated in an all-time high (ATH) in January 2021 .
Similarly, on March 9, 2024 , Bitcoin experienced a notable price increase, coinciding with the anticipation of the fourth halving event scheduled for April 19, 2024 . Historically, halving events have led to substantial price appreciations due to the reduced supply of new Bitcoins entering the market.
Our analysis indicates that the current pattern, which commenced on March 9, 2024 , is expected to complete its formation by December 12, 2024 . Based on this pattern and historical precedents, we anticipate that Bitcoin will surpass its previous ATH resistance level of by the end of this year.
It's important to note that after reaching the ATH in January 2021 , Bitcoin experienced a significant price correction. This downturn was influenced by various factors, including profit-taking by investors and regulatory concerns.
In conclusion, while historical patterns and upcoming events like the halving suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, investors should remain vigilant and consider potential market corrections. Continuous monitoring of market developments and regulatory news is essential for informed decision-making.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
BTC dominance reveals how to navigate crypto cyclesHello everyone,
this one is for patient (long-term) traders/investors, not for those chasing daily gains or short term swings.
We are looking at BTC dominance chart. BTC dominance is currently at 60%, which is pretty high.
Everyone who follows cryptos for some time should know how crypto cycles work. BTC is king and always leads the way. BTC if the first one to start the bull run, altcoins follow. When BTC is near its peak, money transfers into ALTs --> start of ALTSEASON.
The first peak of altcoin season was January 2018. BTC dominance was at 35%. After Jan 2018 we went into a bear market. BTC dropped in value, ALTCOINS dropped even more. Consequently, BTC dominance went up.
BTC dominance reached top at 74% in Jan 2021. That is when ALTSEASON started.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT BTC REACHED TOP in Jan 2021.
BTC rose from 40k to 70k between Jan 2021 and Nov 2021, but ALTs in this period made bigger gains.
BTC dominance in this period plummeted from 74% to 40%, creating a base for future.
From Jan 2023 BTC has been rising and increasing its dominance, currently sitting at 60%. I am positive it will not break high of Jan 2018. Next strong resistance is in the area of 64-67%, I expect dominance to reverse in this area.
BTC has already made a new ATH, but total crypto market space is not at an ATH yet. So ALTs are lagging in comparison to previous cycle.
I believe we are at the start of ALT season and I will be looking into ALTs for my last gains this cycle. Check my other posts to see which ALTS I am considering. I will also be posting some other ALTs in coming days/weeks, so subscribe to stay notified.
Good luck to everyone.
BTC DOM- Quick Update.
- If you're still standing and holding onto your cryptos, you’ve earned a medal.
- Not much to see in this monthly chart, just one key detail :
- Take a look at the RSI and notice how much BTC dominance has surged.
- The next move could be altcoins skyrocketing out of nowhere.
One word: HODL !!!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Key Bitcoin Price Levels and Dominance Analysis for Long and ShoIn my view, if I don't consider the potential breakdown of the 68,170 price level as a fakeout, we shouldn't dip below it. However, if the price breaks below, I would regard it as a false breakout and look to open a short position with a break of 67,594.47, provided that Bitcoin dominance also declines. If, during the breakdown, Bitcoin dominance remains bullish (green), shorting altcoins would be a better option.
On the other hand, if the 68,170 level doesn't turn out to be a fakeout, altcoins could offer solid long positions, especially if Bitcoin moves sideways or upward and Bitcoin dominance decreases. Otherwise, Bitcoin itself might present a better long opportunity.
In conclusion, monitoring the interplay between price levels and Bitcoin dominance will be key to determining the best positions, whether in Bitcoin or altcoins.
BTC DOMINANCE / BTC.DI think #BTC.D is done>>
Good Luck >>
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)