DowJones uptrend supported at 45050Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44733
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dowjones
XLM Breakout Watch | How Global Markets Are Setting the StageIn this update, I break down XLM’s mid-term outlook and why the $0.65 level is a key breakout zone to confirm further upside. Based on current patterns, I’m targeting a potential move into the $100–$138 range over the mid-term.
While Bitcoin still influences XLM, the backdrop of massive money printing since 2018 has created conditions for meaningful accumulation, setting the stage for higher prices. Add to that an environment of rising interest rates, Fed interventions, and volatility cycles, and it’s clear we’re only at the beginning of what could be a period of outsized returns.
Stellar’s role in a shifting economic system also can’t be ignored. As fiat currencies face structural limits, crypto offers a framework that breaks those shackles, with altcoins like XLM poised to outperform Bitcoin in the next cycle.
Markets will continue to follow their familiar pump-and-dump patterns, but each cycle brings diminishing returns for central bank interventions—leaving room for crypto markets to step in and restore balance.
Stay tuned for the charts and insights that put these patterns into perspective.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Move Continues
In the yesterday's video, I explained how to buy US30 from a key support.
We can see that the market nicely respected the underlined structure
and bounced.
I believe that more growth is ahead.
Next resistance - 45640
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Dow Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 45080
Support Level 1: 44900
Support Level 2: 44733
Support Level 3: 44566
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30: Will 45,110 Hold or Break Lower?US30 – Overview
Bearish Drop Reaches Target, Market Consolidates at Key Levels
The Dow Jones (US30) dropped over 450 points, exactly reaching the downside targets highlighted in the previous idea.
For now, the index is expected to test 45,110 and then consolidate within the 45,110 – 45,285 range until a breakout occurs.
🔹 Technical Outlook
A 1H close below 45,110 would extend the bearish move toward 44,950. A further break lower opens the path to 44,720 → 44,610.
A 1H close above 45,285 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 45,410 → 45,580.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 45,110, 44,950 – 44,720
Resistance: 45,285 – 45,410 – 45,580
✅ Summary:
US30 has completed its bearish move and is now consolidating around the 45,110 pivot. Watch for a confirmed 1H close to determine whether the next leg is a continuation lower or a rebound higher.
Dow Jones – Elliott Wave Setup Near All-Time HighsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has printed a Wave 3 high at 45,757.84 , with the structure suggesting that an internal Wave 4 pullback is unfolding. Once this is complete, a final Wave 5 push could follow, potentially driving the index into fresh all-time highs.
Alternatively, the recent high at 45,757.84 may already mark the completion of Wave 5 . If that is the case, the corrective phase has already begun.
On the RSI , a clear bearish divergence is visible: while price has moved higher, momentum has failed to confirm. This often signals that the current leg of the rally is losing steam.
Based on Elliott Wave guidelines, the entire advance from 34,611 can be counted as either:
Wave 1 of a new bullish impulse, or
Wave A of a larger corrective structure .
In both cases, a corrective phase will follow once Wave 5 completes. Standard retracements are typically in the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone , but the exact levels can only be projected after the Wave 5 top is confirmed.
⚠️ Invalidation Note: The current view expects a correction after the final Wave 5. However, if the index continues to trend strongly higher without respecting this sequence, the bearish setup is invalidated and the wave structure must be re-evaluated.
Summary:
Current status: Wave 3 high at 45,757.84 .
Expecting: Wave 4 pullback, then a Wave 5 push to new highs.
After Wave 5: Retracement likely in the 0.382–0.618 zone (levels to be projected once Wave 5 is fixed).
Risk: Invalidation if price keeps trending higher without corrective behavior.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Dow Jones: Will It Finally Break All-Time Highs?While SPX 500 and Nasdaq have already smashed their all-time highs, Dow Jones is still grinding toward its breakout. In this analysis, I’ll break down the current consolidation phase, key Fibonacci levels, and precise long triggers to watch. We’ll zoom into daily and lower time frames to find actionable entries, manage risk, and avoid FOMO.
Clear, skeptical, and to the point. 🔮
Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
ADA/USDT | Cardano Breaks All Targets – Next Stop: Above $1?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has surged exactly as expected, beautifully hitting all three targets at $0.85, $0.93, and $1! This move delivered an impressive 48% return. Following Jerome Powell’s remarks about the possibility of interest rate cuts in the coming months, Cardano saw renewed demand and has already risen from $0.82 to $0.91 so far. I expect this bullish momentum to continue, with a potential break and hold above the $1 level soon.
Hope you made the most out of this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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DowJones Key Trading levels ahead of Powell's testimonyKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 | Fed Meeting in Focus, Bearish Pressure Below 44950US30 (Dow Jones) – Market Outlook
Wall Street futures subdued with retail earnings and Fed meeting in focus
Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with price action expected to stay sensitive to policy signals.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
As long as price trades below the pivot line at 44,950, the bias remains bearish toward 44,720 and 44,610.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed 1H or 4H close above 44,950 would shift momentum to the upside, opening the way for 45,100 and 45,285.
📍 Key Levels
Pivot: 44,950
Support: 44,820 – 44,720 – 44,610
Resistance: 45,100 – 45,285
DowJones corrective pullback support at 44380Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Double MA50 Support Zone coming to the rescue?Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and following the recent High, the price started to pull-back ahead of this week's major macroeconomic events.
By doing so, it has approached the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the first line of Support inside this pattern. The previous (Higher) Low of the Channel Up was priced on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and the 2 form the strongest medium-term Support Zone at the moment.
With even the 4H RSI fractals identical, the current price action resembles the June 12 one, post 1D MA50 Low (May 23). Even if the 4H MA50 breaks, the trend will remain bullish unless it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (which would also be an invalidation of the Channel Up).
The most common rise on a Bullish Leg on this pattern has been +9.00%. As a result, our Target is 47200 as we enter September.
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US30 (DOW): Equal Leg Projection Meets Fibonacci - Long SetupSharing my outlook on the Dow, which aligns with my NASDAQ analysis but with a specific mathematical approach. 📊
**🎯 The Setup:**
I'm targeting a long position based on an equal leg projection. Taking the range from the recent low to the all-time high, I expect a decline equal to that same distance. This projection perfectly coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci level - a powerful confluence. 🎯
**📍 Entry Strategy:**
The beauty of this setup is the mathematical precision: the equal leg down from the high lands exactly at the 0.618 Fib level. This confluence gives me high confidence in this support zone for a potential long entry. ✅
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Stop loss would be placed below the projected low, targeting new all-time highs. Clean entry, clear invalidation level. 🛑
**🧠 Why This Works:**
Equal leg projections are powerful tools in market analysis. When combined with key Fibonacci levels, they create high-probability reversal zones. The market often respects these mathematical relationships. 📐
**🔄 Bigger Picture Alignment:**
This setup aligns with my broader market view - expecting one final push higher before any significant correction. The Dow's equal leg projection gives us a precise entry point for this bullish thesis. 📈
**💡 Key Insight:**
When geometric projections align with Fibonacci levels, it creates what I call "mathematical harmony" in the markets. These setups often provide the best risk-adjusted opportunities. 🎵
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 9.09%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
DowJones range trading below ATHKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ARIASWAVE MARKET UPDATE - NASDAQ 400K - DOW 200K...In this major market update, I’m sharing fresh analysis that signals the beginning of a powerful new uptrend.
Years of excessive money printing have fueled what appears to be a massive incoming bull market—one that could surpass all previous trends in strength, thanks to the extraordinary liquidity injected into global markets.
We may be entering a modern-day “Roaring 20s 2.0,” but eventually, this cycle will run its course.
For now, the key is to capitalize on the opportunities ahead by making well-informed decisions.
US30 | Geopolitics in Focus – Key Pivot at 44950US30 Overview
Geopolitics dominates before the Fed takes the stage.
Putin’s position remains that Ukraine should cede all territory Russia has occupied — and even areas it has failed to capture in more than three years of fighting. This has been firmly rejected by Zelenskiy and European leaders, who will be alongside him in Washington when he meets Trump later today.
Technical Outlook:
The price holds bearish momentum toward 44720 and 44610 as long as it trades below 44950.
A 4H close above 44950 would shift the bias bullish toward 45100 and 45285.
Support: 44720, 44610, 44470
Resistance: 45100, 45285
US30 H4 | Falling towards overlap supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the swing high.
Buy entry is at 44,267.74, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,469.37, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 45,275.09, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Technical Analysis for US30 (Dow Jones) Closing Price: 44,935.4 (16th Aug 2025, 12:50 PM UTC+4)
Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA).
1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly)
Elliott Wave:
US30 is in Wave 5 of a bull cycle (Wave 3 peak: 45,500, Wave 4 correction to 42,800).
Target: 46,200–46,800 (1.618 extension of Wave 1).
Gann Price Forecasting:
Square of 9: √44,935.4 ≈ 212.00 →
Key resistance: 213² = 45,369, 214² = 45,796
Critical support: 211² = 44,521, 210² = 44,100
Break above 45,369 targets 46,000 (psychological level).
Ichimoku (Monthly):
Tenkan (9): 43,800 > Kijun (26): 43,200 → Bullish crossover.
Price above thick Senkou Span (42,500–43,000) – structural bullishness.
Moving Averages:
Weekly EMA(100): 43,000 (major trend support).
Swing Outlook: Bullish. Wave 5 targets 46,200–46,800.
2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily)
Harmonic Patterns:
Bearish ABCD on Daily:
A: 45,200 → B: 44,300 → C: 44,900 → D: 45,050–45,150 (1.272 BC extension).
Bullish Crab (W Pattern) near 44,400 (0.886 XA retracement).
Wyckoff Phase:
Distribution above 44,900:
Upthrust rejection at 45,000 (16th Aug) on fading volume.
Weakness in rallies above 44,950.
Gann Theory:
Time Window: Aug 19–22 (Square of 9 reversal cluster).
Gann Angle: 1x1 support at 44,800 (45° angle from Aug 14 low).
Price-Time Squaring: 44,935 aligns with Aug 16 – consolidation expected.
Indicators:
RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily):
RSI: 65 (neutral-bullish, no divergence).
Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 45,050 → band expansion signals volatility.
VWAP (Weekly): 44,600 (swing support).
Swing Trade Setup:
Short near 45,050–45,150 → Target 44,500. Stop-loss: 45,300.
Long near 44,400 → Target 45,500. Stop-loss: 44,200.
3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 45,000 (psychological), 45,100 (Gann 1x1), 45,200 (ABCD target).
Support: 44,850 (VWAP), 44,750 (Ichimoku cloud), 44,600 (200-EMA).
Indicators:
Ichimoku (1H):
Tenkan: 44,920, Kijun: 44,860 → Price above both (short-term bullish).
Cloud: Bullish (44,780–44,840) – intraday support zone.
RSI + Bollinger Bands (4H):
RSI(14): 61 (neutral).
Price near mid-BB(20,2) at 44,900 → break below signals bearish momentum.
VWAP + MAs:
VWAP: 44,880 (intraday pivot).
EMA(20): 44,940 (resistance).
Candlestick Patterns:
4H Shooting Star at 45,000 → Bearish reversal signal.
1H Bearish Harami below 44,950 → Confirms selling pressure.
Gann Intraday Squaring:
Time Cycle: 14:00–16:00 UTC+4 (NY open) for volatility surge.
Price Harmony: Close below 44,900 targets 44,800 → 44,700.
Intraday Trade Plan:
Sell below 44,900 → Target 44,800 (VWAP) → 44,700 (Gann support).
Buy above 45,050 only if RSI <65 → Target 45,150.
Stop-Loss: 40–50 points.
Summary of Key Signals
Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss
Intraday Bearish <44,900 44,880–44,900 44,700–44,800 45,000
Swing Bullish 44,400–44,450 45,200–45,500 44,200
Swing Bearish 45,050–45,100 44,500–44,600 45,300
Critical Events:
Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–22 (watch for Fed minutes/retail data).
Daily Close >45,200 invalidates bearish patterns and targets 45,796.
Risk Note: US30 is sensitive to Dow components’ earnings and USD moves. Use tight stops during NY session.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade)
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya.Trade
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.