Which Way Will the SPX Triangle Break? Consider All the Arguments Ever since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 SP:SPX has been consolidating especially when considered on larger time frames like daily and weekly. This consolidation has formed what is known as a triangle pattern (or symmetrical triangle). A triangle is a consolidation pattern that represents...
Primary Chart: DXY Daily Chart with Upward Trendline, Downward Trendline and Fibonacci Levels Dollar strength starting in early 2021 lasted until the fall of 2022. It was nothing short of impressive. But DXY (the dollar measured against a basket of five other major currencies) started topping in September 2022 and then began making lower lows and lower highs,...
Primary Chart: AAPL's Four-Month Triangle with Various Trendlines and VWAPs SUMMARY: AAPL's longer-term charts show a symmetrical triangle arising from the convergence of a down trendline from January 2022 (dark blue) and an up trendline from March 2020 lows (also dark blue). This triangle appears to be in the process of breaking on arithmetic charts. When...
Primary Chart: Long-Term Anchored VWAPs and YTD Down Trendline Whenever price action gets confusing, it can help to take a step back and consider the larger picture again. Many experts have weighed in after each consecutive low in this year's bear market, with some claiming that the lows are in, and others claiming price has much further to fall after the...
Primary Chart: Linear Regression Channel and Two Long-Term Anchored VWAPs No matter what method is used to analyze and define the trend, AMD has been stuck in a severe downtrend since its all-time high on November 30, 2021. Like other growth and technology stocks (except for FAANG stocks and Microsoft), AMD's November 2021 peak occurred a month before the S&P...
Primary Chart: Fibonacci Levels, Symmetrical Triangle Broken in September 2021, Anchored VWAP , and Downtrend Line On September 21, 2022, SPX's had a breakout to the downside from a multi-month symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern was discussed in a post prior to the breakout. But when price breaks out of technical patterns, price sometimes tends to...
Today saw volatile, whipsawing price action in both cryptos and equity indices. BTC was no exception. As discussed in an article on September 19, 2022 at the start of this week (see link in the Primary Chart above), the US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held their September 2022 meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. This meeting concluded...
Primary Chart: Several NDX / QQQ Trendlines and Multi-Year Support Zone at $254-$267 SUMMARY : The downtrend has resumed since the consolidation pause in the days leading up to the FOMC presser on September 21, 2022. Shorter-term targets include June lows at $269-$270, and if June lows are violated, the next target range is $254-$267 on QQQ, which equates...