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Dollar Index Futures DX1!

DXY almost 1 year of consolidation close to breaking upwards.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading sideways for almost 1 year (since June 2025) but is getting closer and closer to a massive bullish break-out. The level to watch is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) as every time DXY broke above it, a sustainable long-term rally was confirmed. The macro pattern has been as Channel Up since March 2008 and the U.S. Housing Crisis, supported in the past 11 years by the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). A 1W MA100/ 1M MA50 Bearish Cross has coincided since September 2011 with a Bullish Leg, past a bottom formation. We have already formed this since November (2025) this time. At the same time, the 1M RSI is displaying a Bullish Divergence, the same kind of pattern it formed on every major Bottom on this 18-year Channel Up. As a result, we expect the price to break above its 1W MA100 by September - October and kick-start officially the new Bullish Leg. Minimum Target 110.000 on the 0.618 Channel Fibonacci level. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
USD/JPY Eyes Breakout After FOMC, EUR/USD and EUR/CAD in FocusJerome Powell delivered a hawkish twist at Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, signalling he intends to remain on the board after his term as Fed Chair ends. The US dollar and yields pushed higher in response. The key question now is how much of this corrective USD bounce is left—and whether EUR/USD will break key support. I also explain why USD/JPY looks set for a breakout either way, and revisit yesterday’s EUR/CAD outlook. MS.
Long
by City Index
DXY Trend Weakness – Key Levels to Watch for Shorts🚀💎 PRO TRADER ALERT: DXY SHOWDOWN @ 98.500 💎🚀 📊 Dollar Index (DXY) CFD – Bearish Breakout Blueprint | Swing Trade Setup 👑 Greetings, Ladies & Gentlemen (and my fellow Thief OG's 👊💰). The market is a buffet, and I'm just here to point out the dish with the highest risk-to-reward ratio. Right now, DXY is sitting at the "Danger Zone"—a critical technical junction where Police Force Support 🚔 meets an Oversold Trap 🐻. This isn't a guessing game; it's a structural fade. 📉 THE PLAN: Tactical Bearish Ambush We are playing the "Gravity Check" scenario. The Dollar lacks the high-octane fuel needed for liftoff above 98.500. The plan is simple: Pending Order sitting just below resistance, waiting for the breakout fake-out or the structural failure. We fade the weak hands. 🎯 ENTRY: YOU CAN ANY PRICE LEVEL — As per OG request, flexibility is key. But precision thieves aim for the retest of 98.500 or breakdown of 97.770 for confirmation. 🛑 THIEF SL @ 98.500 — The vault door. If bulls break this lock, the heist is off. Protect the capital. 🏁 TARGET @ 97.000 — Where the Police Force (Support) 🚨 awaits. This is the liquidity grab zone before the Reversal Trap snaps. Oversold conditions meet trapped sellers here. Escape with the bag at this level. ⚠️ DEAR LADIES & GENTLEMEN (THIEF OG'S): I am NOT recommending you set only MY TP or SL. This is a canvas, not a cage. You are the artist of your own PnL. See profit? LOCK IT. Feel the heat? CUT IT. Trade at your own risk, and never let the market see you sweat. 🔍 LATEST INTEL & MACRO DRIVERS (Real-Time Radar) What the market actually says, not what I want it to say. The current vibe is "Cautious Consolidation" with a Bearish Tilt. According to real-time futures data and economic flows, here is the fundamental weather report for your trade: 💨 The Bearish Wind: Technicals show DXY lacks buying strength. We recently failed to hold the 97.77 level (previous support turned resistance), and a daily close below the rising channel has activated a measured move toward 97.00 (our target) and potentially 96.82. 📉 COT Report Flows: Large speculators have recently flipped Euro bets BEARISH for the first time in over a year. While counterintuitive for a DXY short, this means the Dollar's "strength" is largely just Euro weakness—not a broad Dollar bull run. Once Europe stabilizes, DXY has room to fall. 🏦 Fed Watch (FOMC Minutes): The minutes revealed a Fed that is data-dependent but cautious. The market is pricing fewer aggressive rate cuts, which supports DXY near 99-100, but the failure to break higher suggests this is priced in. ⛽ Oil Shock Risk: Crude surging above $85-$90 is actually a DXY Headwind. Why? High energy costs cripple Eurozone industry more than the US, eventually forcing the ECB to cut deeper than the Fed, which paradoxically weakens the Euro component of DXY in the medium term. This is the "Messy Middle" narrative. 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (The Accomplices $) Watch these to know when the cops are coming: 👉 OANDA:EURUSD — Inverse Correlation (57.6% Weight). Currently testing the 1.1500 floor. If OANDA:EURUSD bounces from 1.1500, TVC:DXY will drop to 97.00 like a rock. This is your BEST CONFIRMATION tool. 👉 OANDA:GBPUSD — Inverse Correlation. Sterling showing resilience. If OANDA:GBPUSD holds above 1.3400, DXY upside is capped. The Pound is a proxy for Euro strength here. 👉 FX:USDJPY — Positive Correlation. Watching 156.00 closely. If FX:USDJPY breaks below 155.00, the Dollar carry trade is unwinding. That accelerates DXY downside. 👉 GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) — Inverse Correlation. Safe Haven Bid active. Currently, BOTH DXY and Gold are up (Risk-Off environment). Watch for divergence. If Gold stays above $3,000 but DXY falls, the Dollar is in real trouble. ⚡ NEWS BOMBS TO WATCH (Volatility Trigger List) These are the detonators. Don't be in the blast zone with no stop loss: 🛑 April 8-10 (This Week): FOMC Minutes and US CPI/PCE Inflation Data dropping. Scenario A (Likely): Hot Inflation triggers DXY spike to 99.00 then fades (Sell the news setup). Scenario B (Rare): Cool Inflation sends DXY waterfall toward 97.00 instantly. 🏛️ Fed Chair Transition Speculation: The new Fed Chair announcement is the "Shadow over 2026". Markets are nervous about a Dovish pick. Any leak of a Dovish name sends DXY toward 95.00 fast. 🔥 THIEF OG WISDOM & MOTIVATION "The market is a device for transferring money from the Impatient to the Patient." 🕶️ You see the 98.500 wall. You know 97.000 is the cash register. Do not FOMO. The market is a clumsy giant—it will come back to your level if you are patient. If it runs without you, another train comes in 5 minutes. This is the Thief's Abundance Mindset. 💪 Your SL is not a "loss." It is RENT. You pay rent to the market for the opportunity to live in a profitable trade. Pay the rent at 98.500, then go collect the bag at 97.000. 🛡️ OG Reminder: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I am NOT a financial advisor. I'm just a trader with a keyboard. You're the CEO of your own account. Make money. Take money. BUT NEVER LET THE MARKET TAKE YOUR PEACE. 📈 Chart Timeframe: 4H / Daily 🎯 Status: Waiting for Sniper Entry at Resistance If this heist plan added value to your screen, smash that 👍 LIKE button and 🚀 BOOST this idea—it confuses the algorithms and attracts more liquidity to the chart! 💬 Drop a comment: Are we hitting 97.000 or are the Bulls taking us back to 100? Trade Safe. Stay Liquid. 🥂💰
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by The-Thief
Sunset of the Dollar (DXY)?Dollar Index (DXY) failed to overcome 100 Then the Bearish Scenario could play out soon It considers peak at 114.8 in 2022 as the end of large wave B out of ABC zigzag to the downside Large wave C might be underway with 5-wave sequence Wave 1-2 could have been done already Massive sell-off in wave 3 is coming Watch if it breaks below trendline support (white dotted) The final bearish confirmation comes with the penetration of the valley of earlier consolidation at 89.1 The ultimate target where wave C = wave A is located at 28.5 This scenario shows the "Sunset" for the Dollar
TVC:DXYShort
by aibek
DXY 10-year pattern shows a strong long-term rally just begun.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past 10 years and in the past 30 days it has successfully managed to break above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and turn it into a Support. This is critical as the 1W MA50 has been its Resistance for exactly one year. Within this 10-year pattern, every time DXY broke above its 1W MA50 (blue circle) following a 1-year downtrend (Bearish Leg), it confirmed the start of a new Bullish Leg. When that happened, the 1M RSI crossed above its MA (yellow trend-line) while the 1M MACD made a Bullish Cross, all taking place at the same time. The 1M RSI has just crossed above its MA and the 1M MACD is about to form that Bullish Cross once again. This indicates that a new long-term Bullish Leg has just started. The minimum level such Bullish Leg has hit was the 0.618 Channel Fibonacci. If the rally isn't as aggressive as in 2021/22 but similar to 2018/20 then we expect to test the 0.618 Fib at 110.000. If it gets more aggressive expect prices as high as 119.000 even. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
7
USD Strength Builds – DXY Bullish Structure Holding💹 Asset: DXY – U.S. Dollar Index (USD Basket) The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) measures USD strength against a basket of major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF). 📈 Trade Plan: Bullish Bias (Day/Swing Setup) 🔹 Market Structure: Price holding above key Moving Average support, showing sustained bullish momentum 🔹 Entry Strategy: Flexible entry zones — traders can participate on pullbacks or continuation confirmations 🔹 Target Zone: 🎯 101.20 – Strong resistance zone Overbought conditions expected Potential liquidity trap / exhaustion Profit-taking zone preferred 🔹 Stop Loss: 🛑 99.40 – Below structure support ⚠️ Risk Note This is a market guide, not financial advice. Manage your own risk, secure profits based on your system, and trade with discipline. 🌍 CROSS-ASSET & CORRELATION WATCH 💱 Key Dollar Pairs EUR/USD ⬇️ → Inverse to DXY (Euro weakness = Dollar strength) GBP/USD ⬇️ → Follows similar inverse structure USD/JPY ⬆️ → Moves with DXY strength 🪙 Commodities Impact Gold (XAU/USD) ⬇️ → Typically inverse to USD Oil (WTI/Brent) ⬆️ → Inflation-driven USD strength possible 📌 Strong USD = Pressure on commodities & risk assets 🧠 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS (LATEST – VERIFIED) 📰 Current Market Conditions (London Session Context) Safe-haven demand is supporting USD due to geopolitical tensions Dollar recently reclaimed the 100 level, showing renewed strength Oil price spikes are increasing inflation concerns, supporting USD flows However, longer-term outlook still shows structural weakness risks 📊 Recent Data Insight: DXY trading around ~99–100 zone, showing short-term recovery 📅 Upcoming High-Impact Catalysts 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 🇺🇸 Inflation (CPI) 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve policy signals 🌍 Geopolitical developments (risk sentiment driver) ⚡ TRADER EDGE (INSTITUTIONAL THINKING) Bullish momentum = liquidity driven, not random Watch for trap above resistance (101.20) Market currently headline-driven (news volatility) Correlation shifts can occur → stay adaptive 🏆 TRADER MINDSET (COMMUNITY MESSAGE) 💬 “The market rewards patience, not prediction.” 💬 “Take what the market gives — not what you expect.” 💬 “Consistency beats excitement. Discipline builds equity.” 🔥 Stay sharp. Stay disciplined. Stack your wins.
FXOPEN:DXY
by The-Thief
Dollar Index Respects Trend Support — Buyers in Control💵 DXY DOLLAR INDEX | Swing Trade Setup 📊 Strategic Bullish Recovery with Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 📈 CURRENT MARKET STATUS Current Price: 98.02 - 98.36 USD 📍 | Bias: BULLISH SWING TRADE 🟢 | Timeframe: 4H-Daily Swing Trade ⏰ | Market Condition: Pullback to Support Zone 💪 🎯 TECHNICAL SETUP Plan: Bullish breakout from triangular moving average pullback with strong support confirmation from the 97.50-97.90 demand zone. 📉➡️📈 📍 MULTI-LAYER ENTRY STRATEGY (Thief Strategy) Using Limit Order Layering - Scale-In Approach for Risk Management Utilize multiple buy limit orders to reduce entry risk and maximize fill probability: 🔵 Layer 1 @ 97.60 📍 - 30% Position Size - Initial Entry at Strong Support ✅ 🔵 Layer 2 @ 97.70 📍 - 30% Position Size - Secondary Level Confirmation ✅ 🔵 Layer 3 @ 97.80 📍 - 25% Position Size - Tertiary Entry Momentum Build 📈 🔵 Layer 4 @ 97.90 📍 - 15% Position Size - Final Layer Aggressive Entry 🚀 ✅ Pro Tip: Adjust layer prices based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scalable entry reduces overall trade risk and improves entry quality significantly. 💡 🛑 STOP LOSS 🔴 Hard SL @ 97.50 📍 - Below demand zone for protection 🛡️ 📊 Risk: -50 pips maximum per trade 📉 ⚠️ NOTE: Stop loss placement is your personal risk decision. Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) - Manage your own risk parameters accordingly. This is YOUR choice, YOUR responsibility, YOUR profit or loss. 🎯 🎁 PROFIT TARGETS 🟢 Target 1 (Easy Win) @ 98.30 📍 - +50 pips 💰 - Take 25% profit and lock in gains immediately ✅ 🟢 Target 2 (Main Target) @ 98.60 📍 - +80 pips 💵 - Take 40% profit at moving average resistance zone 📊 🟢 Target 3 (Extended) @ 98.80 📍 - +100 pips 🤑 - Trailing stop on remaining 35% position for momentum capture 🚀 🟢 Target 4 (Aggressive) @ 99.00+ 📍 - +130+ pips 🎊 - Let your winners run with intelligent trailing stops for maximum profit 📈 ⚠️ NOTE: High voltage electric gate acts as STRONG RESISTANCE + overbought zone detected at 98.50-98.70. This is a potential market TRAP zone - please take profits responsibly and don't get greedy. Final TP is YOUR personal choice based on YOUR strategy and risk appetite. 🎲 💡 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN Bullish Confluence Factors ✅: ✅ Strong support from 97.50-97.90 demand zone (Historical reaction area proven) 📍 ✅ Triangular moving average confirmation (Key technical indicator) 📊 ✅ Pullback from overbought conditions (Healthy correction setup) 🔄 ✅ Potential base formation pattern (Accumulation zone visible) 🏗️ ⚡ 52-week range: 96.22 - 110.18 (Plenty of room for upside movement) 📈 Risk Factors to Monitor ⚠️: ⚠️ Overbought signals at 98.50-98.70 (Strong resistance overhead) 🚧 ⚠️ Market trap potential (Price rejection very possible) 🪤 ⚠️ Thin year-end trading volumes (Additional volatility risk) 📉 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Dollar Correlation Analysis) HIGH NEGATIVE CORRELATION 🔴 (Inverse to DXY - If DXY up, these go down): 🔗 EUR/USD - Correlation: -0.95 ⚡ (STRONGEST HEDGE PAIR) - EUR is 57.6% of DXY weight, watch for BrexitNews & ECB statements 📢 🔗 Gold (XAUUSD) - Correlation: -0.90 ⚡ (Safe-haven inverse) - Precious metals rise when USD weakens, strong economic indicator 💛 🔗 Crude Oil (XTIUSD) - Correlation: -0.75 ⚡ (Commodity proxy) - Weaker dollar = higher oil prices, OPEC decisions matter 🛢️ 🔗 Silver (XAGUSD) - Correlation: -0.88 ⚡ (Precious metals) - Follows gold closely but with more volatility, watch industrial demand 🏭 🔗 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Correlation: -0.65 ⚡ (Crypto hedge) - Dollar weakness = crypto strength, watch Fed policy closely 🪙 OTHER MAJOR PAIRS 📊 (Direct constituents of DXY Index): 🔗 USD/JPY - DXY Weight: 13.6% 📊 - Currently 156.44 - Watch BOJ (Bank of Japan) statements + Yen carry trades 🇯🇵 🔗 GBP/USD - DXY Weight: 11.9% 📊 - Brexit dynamics remain + BoE policy movements important 🇬🇧 🔗 USD/CAD - DXY Weight: 9.1% 📊 - Oil-sensitive pair, commodity correlations + BoC rate decisions 🇨🇦 🔗 USD/SEK - DXY Weight: 4.2% 📊 - Nordic economy barometer + Riksbank policy 🇸🇪 🔗 USD/CHF - DXY Weight: 3.6% 📊 - Safe-haven currency pair, SNB decisions matter 🇨🇭 📰 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS & ECONOMIC DRIVERS 🔴 HIGH IMPACT CATALYSTS (Coming Up) 📌 FOMC Minutes Release ⏰ - CRITICAL for USD direction 🚨 - Expected guidance on 2026 rate cuts (2 cuts currently priced in by markets) 📉 - Dovish bias would support DXY weakness, hawkish would support strength 📊 📌 Fed Chair Announcement (Early January 2026) - Trump administration to announce Powell's successor 👔 - Market uncertainty = potential big USD volatility swings 💥 - Could change entire policy expectations for 2026 🎯 📌 US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) (First Friday of Each Month) 👥 - Strong employment data = Bullish for USD 📈 - Weak employment data = Bearish for USD 📉 - Previous trend showing mixed signals, watch closely 🔍 📌 US CPI Release (Mid-month Inflation Data) 📊 - Inflation currently at 2.7% (Dec 18, 2025 data) 📍 - Below Fed target of 3%, supports rate-cut narrative 🎯 - This weakens USD support structure 📉 📌 US Pending Home Sales 🏠 - Already jumped +3.3% in November = Bullish economic indicator ✅ - Consumer strength supports USD flows 💪 🟠 MACRO HEADWINDS PRESSURING DXY (Current Environment) 💨 2025 Dollar Decline - Already down -9.6% year-to-date (worst year since 2017!) 📉 - This is a major structural weakness signal for USD 💨 Trump Tariff Uncertainty - Aggressive tariff policies creating significant dollar weakness 📉 - Protectionism narrative reduces USD safe-haven demand 🚫 💨 Fed Independence Concerns - Political pressure on Federal Reserve reduces hawkish USD support 📢 - Powell successor uncertainty adds volatility 🎲 💨 Rate Differential Narrowing - Other central banks holding rates higher relative to US expectations 📊 - Makes USD less attractive on yield basis 💰 💨 Fiscal Deficit Concerns - US government spending pressures mounting 🏛️ - Structural USD weakness risk for 2026 ⚠️ 🟢 BULLISH DXY FACTORS (Supporting Our Trade) 💪 Stronger GDP - Q3 GDP data came in strong, showing economic resilience 📈 - Manufacturing sector showing signs of recovery 🏭 💪 Labor Market Resilience - Despite recent volatility, employment remains relatively stable 👥 - Fewer major job losses than expected 📊 💪 Safe-Haven Demand - Geopolitical tensions support USD flows into safe assets 🛡️ - Middle East conflicts, Russia-Ukraine ongoing ⚠️ 💪 Real Yield Attractiveness - US 10Y Treasury yield at 4.13% is attractive vs. peer nations 💰 - Investors seeking better returns flowing to USD 📈 💪 Month-End Flows - Potential technical bounces from dollar repositioning happening now 📊 - Year-end rebalancing creates support zones 🎯 📊 HISTORICAL CONTEXT & KEY LEVELS 🔵 96.22 - 52-week LOW (October 2025) - Major support zone 📍 🔵 97.50-97.90 - DEMAND ZONE (Our current trade setup area) ✅ - Strong historical reaction level 📊 🔵 98.30-98.70 - RESISTANCE ZONE (Strong overbought area with trap potential) 🚧 - Take profits here, don't be greedy 💡 🔵 99.00 - Psychological round number resistance 📍 - Major price target for aggressive traders 🎯 🔵 110.18 - 52-week HIGH (February 2025 event-driven spike) - Distant target for extended bull 🚀 🎲 RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST (Must Do) ✅ Only risk 1-2% of your account per single trade 💰 - Never go all-in, always protect capital 🛡️ ✅ Use stop loss without ANY exceptions 🛑 - No emotional decisions, pre-set your exit 📍 ✅ Scale into positions with limit orders 📊 - Don't chase market price, let price come to you 🎯 ✅ Monitor FOMC announcements closely 📢 - Set alerts for important economic releases 🔔 ✅ Watch geopolitical news (Fed, Trump statements) 📰 - Breaking news can reverse markets instantly ⚡ ✅ Take profits at resistance levels 💹 - Lock in gains, don't let winners turn into losers 📈 ✅ Don't add to losing positions 🚫 - Patience is key, better opportunities always come 🎯 ✅ Keep detailed records of all entries/exits 📝 - Track your performance and improve continuously 📊 ⚡ TRADE PLAN SUMMARY 🎯 Setup: Swing trade LONG on DXY from demand zone 97.50-97.90 📍 🎯 Entry Method: 4-layer limit order strategy (Scale-in approach recommended) 📊 🎯 Stop Loss: Hard stop at 97.50 (No exceptions, no moving it) 🛑 🎯 Profit Targets: 98.30 (T1) → 98.60 (T2) → 98.80 (T3) → 99.00+ (T4) 🎁 🎯 Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:1.6 to 1:2.6 depending on which layer you enter 💹 🎯 Timeframe: 4H-Daily swing trade (3-7 trading days typical duration) ⏰ 🎯 Conviction Level: MEDIUM-HIGH (Technical confluence + demand zone + economic setup) 📈 🟢 PROBABILITY EDGE SUMMARY This setup combines multiple confluence factors for higher probability: 📊 Technical Setup - EMA pullback + demand zone confirmation 🏗️ Structural Setup - Triangular pattern + base formation 😊 Sentiment Setup - Oversold conditions creating bounce opportunity 📈 Fundamental Setup - Rate expectations + economic data supporting Estimated Win Rate: 55-60% (Based on confluence factors, not guaranteed) 📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.0 target recommendation 💰 Best Trading Sessions: New York + London overlap (9am-12pm EST) ⏰ 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR TRADERS Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) 🎩 - This is a carefully crafted setup based on real market data and technical confluence. However, markets are always unpredictable. Your discipline in following your trading plan matters MORE than being right 100% of the time. Trade responsibly. Manage your risk. Take your profits. Protect your capital. 💪 The best traders aren't the ones who win every trade - they're the ones who survive and profit over time through disciplined risk management and emotional control. 🎯 Good luck traders! May your profits flow like the currency you're trading! 📈💰 Remember: Your broker, your rules. Your strategy, your risk. Adjust all levels to match YOUR trading plan perfectly. ✅
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by The-Thief
93.369good afternoon,,, us dollar continues to lack any major conviction, all of the moves are grindy and have no momentum behind them. based on the previous structure that it has created since the 2022 highs, i postulate that it's in a leading diagonal. --- leading diagonals have contracting looks to them, which is why the us dollars moves appear to be getting smaller, with less and less momentum behind them. think of it as a wedge, and price is getting squeezed deeper and deeper into it. --- these moves are often the beginning of something, so in this case, i believe it'll be the beginning of the death of the us dollar. it won't happen overnight, but rather be a slow burn, over the span of the next few decades. --- visualized via: --- if my theory is correct here, and the us dollar does end up dropping to the low 90's over the next couple of months, this will give risk assets enough fuel to put in a major rally by squeezing out all of the shorts and re-igniting a massive rally due to most people being on the sidelines during these times. --- 🎯 = 93.369
TVC:DXY
by lunarsyndicate9
DXY Massive bullish break-out. 2-year rally confirmed.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. We have used this chart many times in the past to refer to major macro shifts on the market and it has never failed to deliver. Last time we called for a final pull-back before a massive rally would be confirmed once the market breaks above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Well that break-out happened, the price broke above its 1W MA50 for the first time in exactly 1 year (March 2025) and a 1M closing above it would be the final confirmation of the upcoming 2-year Bullish Leg on this Channel Up. As you can see, the symmetry among the Cycles of this multi-year pattern is extremely high, almost equally weighted corrections, symmetrical Lower Highs Bearish Legs (red Channels) and equally impressive bullish phases (Legs), that eventually lead to price rallies to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension where the market topped. All conditions for the new Bull Cycle (Bullish Leg) have been fulfilled. Along with the price being at the bottom of the Channel Up, with the -13.35% decline being a benchmark correction historically, we are also past a 1W Death Cross, which has always been a bottom signal on this multi-year Channel Up. With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern and now just crossing above its MA (yellow trend-line), we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively on the long-term, targeting the 120.000 - 128.000 Zone on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext, which as mentioned is where the previous Higher Highs (Cycle Tops) got priced. 125.000 is a fair Target within a 2-year time-frame. Notice also that a solid peak indicator (Sell signal) is when the 1M RSI hits 80.00, indicating that the market is massively overbought (overheated trend). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
DXY 3.5-year Channel Down bottomed. Buy signal.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a 3.5-year Channel Down since its September 28 2022 High and is currently on a recovery following January's Low near its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). A break above its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) would technically confirm this new Bullish Leg as that line has been intact since March 05 2025. A similar bullish break-out in September 2023 was what pushed the price to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar. As a result, we expect DXY to hit 102.500 (Fib 0.5) if a 1W MA50 break-out takes place. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
Dollar Index (DXY) Sets To Retest 121 Highhistory repeats itself in the DXY chart many times we can see how sideways consolidation patterns, highlighted with yellow lines, appear one by one the current red ABC sequence down might be over, as we can see a bullish divergence on the weekly chart. the price has established a lower trough while the RSI has set a higher bottom this would complete the consolidation within yellow wave B, and the last yellow wave C could start soon usually, wave C is equal to wave A; therefore, the measured target points at 121 it falls exactly in the area of the long-term peak of the previous large white wave W this perfectly aligns with the wave targeting on the higher time frame bearish invalidation only occurs below the bottom of blue wave X, under 89 what are your thoughts on such a massive dollar strength across the board?
TVC:DXYLong
by aibek
DXY has bottomed and is starting a massive 2-year rallyThe U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom during the U.S. Housing Crisis. This is not the first time we use this pattern to identify key macro trend shifts, in fact we revisited it 2 months ago, calling for 'a final pull-back before a massive rally'. Well the time for this rally is here as yesterday it completed a -13.35% decline from the January 2025 High a year ago. That decline was technically the Bearish Leg of this pattern's correction phase (red Channel). This is part of its incredible symmetry, with similar correction phases throughout this time period followed by bullish phases, that eventually lead to price rallies to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. All conditions for the new Bull Cycle (Bullish Leg) have been fulfilled. Along with the price being at the bottom of the Channel Up, with the -13.35% decline being a benchmark correction historically, we are also past a 1W Death Cross, which has always been a bottom signal on this multi-year Channel Up. This has always happened at the end of the Bear Cycles (red correction phase) with the Arc pattern making a multi-week Double Bottom before the decisive rebound the breaks above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). That break-out is the confirmation of the Bull Cycle start (Bullish Leg). With the 1M RSI having already touched its 16-year Support Zone, which has provided the most optimal Buy Signals throughout this pattern, we expect the Dollar Index to start rising aggressively in the long-term, targeting the 120.000 - 128.000 Zone on its way to the 1.618 Fib ext, which has been where the previous Higher Highs (Cycle Tops) were priced. 125.000 is a fair Target within a 2-year time-frame. Notice also that a solid peak indicator (Sell signal) is when the 1M RSI hits 80.00, indicating that the market is massively overbought (overheated trend). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
2
the death of the dollar.the us dollar continues to be suppressed despite multiple efforts at a reversal. usually weakness like this confirms a larger trend, a larger trend to the downside. --- if the us dollar sweeps the recent weekly lows, it will most likely confirm a macro top, a top which won't get swept for many more years to come. --- if the us dollar sweeps the recent weekly low, it will confirm, alt season in the crypto market, and the final leg up in the traditional market. --- that last leg up in the traditional and crypto market could look extended \ out of proportion relative to the rest of the trend preceding it.
TVC:DXY
by lunarsyndicate9
DAX 3-Drives Pattern - Monster Short SignalOK, I admit, it’s very early to call this a three-drives pattern. But as a trader, I always think, “What if?” This is my way of preparing early in the process. It allows me to make educated decisions, rather than FOMO trades. What I am waiting for now is a break of the yellow CIB line. Typically, after such a break, price pulls back to retest it. This behavior is similar to what we see when the median line of a fork is broken. If this setup triggers, it would clearly be a long-term play. Or it could be over vevry quick via a very sharp, violent move to the south. Let’s watch it and prepare for this thesis.
XETR:DAXShort
by HowToChart
1
can the dxy hit 130?read that title 1 more time. --- this is an old idea from my old account (i will pin it to the bottom of this post) --- what i am suggesting right now, is kind of contrarian. i'm suggesting the us dollar strengthens. not in a small way, but in a monsterous way which ends up being felt across the globe. --- from the 2000 lows, i believe the dxy has been in a corrective uptrend (correcting all of the previous price action which came before the 2008 low. --- choosing to label this corrective uptrend as a complex double combination. --- if i am correct about my theory here, the dxy will rally into the year ahead, and will wreck havoc on risk assets. --- 🎯 = 130
TVC:DXYLong
by lunarsyndicate9
4
DXY preparing a 2-month rally.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been consolidating within a 6-month Rectangle pattern following the very bearish first half of 2025. As this consolidation Rectangle evolved, the price managed to break above all of its MA Resistance levels in succession: 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and a little more than a month ago, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This slow process hints towards the formation of a long-term Support base, in preparation for a 2026 Bull Cycle. The first steps of such a process is establishing the conditions for shorter term rallies. And what this chart shows us is that, every time the index made a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, just like the one it completed today, it started an uptrend. This time, we also have a Double Bottom on the 1D RSI, which also made Higher Highs, being a Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Highs. As a result, it may be time for the 6-month Rectangle to break upwards and the first technical Targe is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 101.550. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
1 last visit to the trenches.good eve' us dollar looks interesting to me, starting to print a 3 day - 1 week hidden bear on various oscillators, stuck at the 100 resistance. so long as it bear flags beneath this 100 level, i believe the dxy is going to come down 1 final time to the low 90's before a bottom is attained. --- calling this one a leading diagonal, despite the irregular structures in the sub-waves. with something like the dxy, i don't mind being a bit more flexible with how i approach charting it. --- 🎯 = 93
TVC:DXYLong
by lunarsyndicate9