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Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders USDCAD, 60, Long ,
USDCAD: Dovish Rate Hike from the BoC?
110 1 3
USDCAD, 60 Long
Dovish Rate Hike from the BoC?

The economic data highlight for today/tonight will be the BoC rate decision. Has the Canadian economy and sentiment improved enough to warrant an interest rate increase by the BoC? While an earlier rate increase is highly anticipated (brought forward from April), this would also mean that the BoC is unlikely to further increase rates in the medium term. This ...

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders AUDUSD, 60, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD to Reverse?
216 5 4
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AUDUSD to Reverse?

A counter trend opportunity could arise on the AUDUSD. As it approaches the 2015 & 2017 high of 0.8070, a reversal with very good R:R could be likely.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: Today we have GBP CPI y/y data to be released
179 0 6
GBPUSD, 60 Short
Today we have GBP CPI y/y data to be released

Today we have GBP CPI y/y data to be released. Current concern is the pace of CPI growth in the UK economy, as expectation for CPI is at 3%, which is above the 1-3% range. In the usual circumstance, as inflation increases (especially beyond the target range), the tendency is for the Central Bank to increase interest rates. However, I do not think that the BoE will ...

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: Big countrend move if EUR/USD breaks 1.20
325 2 9
EURUSD, 60 Short
Big countrend move if EUR/USD breaks 1.20

NFP on Friday (Actual 148k against forecasted 190k), with hourly earnings as forecasted at 0.3%. This weaker than expected economic data resulted in a weaker USD, with USDCAD dropping 140pips within the hour. However, this employment report also indicates steady improvement in the labour market, with no signs of overheating. Therefore, we can still expect the FED ...

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders USDJPY, 240, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY to 113.50?
101 0 5
USDJPY, 240 Long
USDJPY to 113.50?

Today, we have a larger number of economic data release, with focus on the US NFP (employment) data. A quiet afternoon of price movements is anticipated as traders waits for the NFP release. We anticipate a slightly stronger data approximately 220k, compared to the forecast of 190k. Significant price volatility will arise if there is evidence of growth in the ...

Bhalisa_M_Sodo Bhalisa_M_Sodo ZARUSD, M,
ZARUSD: 10Y: ZAR/USD VS. BTC/USD
33 1 1
ZARUSD, M
10Y: ZAR/USD VS. BTC/USD

This is not quite an idea but a mere observation. The Rand has been depreciating in its value against the US Dollar in the past decade. While Bitcoin has been smashing it by a pretty impressive margin. This can mean a lot of things but my focus is on the fact that the Rand has been steadily and consistently shedding its value against the world's biggest economy. ...

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: continuation of GBP/USD moving lower
190 1 3
GBPUSD, 60 Short
continuation of GBP/USD moving lower

The EUR/USD and GBP/USD each rose by approximately 70pips as a result of the chinese consideration to stop buying treasury However, we should view it as a recommendation/consideration, thus not likely to have a lasting impact, evident in the strong retracement. We look for a continuation of GBP/USD moving lower, if it is able to break strongly below the 1.3500 ...

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBP Manufacturing Production data
142 0 5
GBPUSD, 60 Short
GBP Manufacturing Production data

Today, we have the GBP Manufacturing Production data, with expectation for data to be better than expected. However, it is not expected that price of GBP/USD will move up significantly, due to the 73 pip move downward yesterday. A higher probability opportunity would be to sell the GBP/USD if data is released negative.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders USDCAD, 240, Short ,
USDCAD: Could we see further rate hikes? USD/CAD
140 0 4
USDCAD, 240 Short
Could we see further rate hikes? USD/CAD

If we get a positive business outlook for the canadian economy, we could see the possibility of rate hike by the BoC This would further strengthen the CAD. A retest of 1.2450 resistance before heading lower toward 1.2280 support is likely

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders AUDUSD, 60, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUD Retail Sales m/m
137 0 6
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AUD Retail Sales m/m

We could see an upset in the AUD economic data tomorrow morning could cause the AUD to break the 0.7800 level, extending downwards towards the 0.7730 level.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders AUDUSD, 60, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD to continue upward trend?
104 1 3
AUDUSD, 60 Long
AUDUSD to continue upward trend?

Focus on FOMC Meeting Minutes - Fed remains on track to raise interest rates 3 times in 2018. - Solid US labour market gains with expansion in economic activity - Low inflation is still a concern AUD on a strong upward trend, likely to continue, given the break of 0.7840 resistance.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 60, Long ,
GBPUSD: Construction PMI for the GBP
83 0 2
GBPUSD, 60 Long
Construction PMI for the GBP

Construction PMI for the GBP to be released later, anticipated weaker than expected, due to yesterday’s weaker than expected manufacturing PMI data. However, expect to trade ideas to follow trend.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 60, Long ,
GBPUSD: Manufacturing PMI for the GBP
111 1 0
GBPUSD, 60 Long
Manufacturing PMI for the GBP

Manufacturing PMI for the GBP to be released later, with expectations for data to be better than expected.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 240, Short ,
GBPUSD: Stronger USD from FOMC Funds Rate?
63 0 2
GBPUSD, 240 Short
Stronger USD from FOMC Funds Rate?

Will a hawkish tone from the FOMC bring USD strenght?

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders NZDUSD, 240, Long ,
NZDUSD: FOMC....Weak USD?
81 0 1
NZDUSD, 240 Long
FOMC....Weak USD?

Will we see a negative tone from the FOMC, driving USD weaker?

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders GBPUSD, 240, Long ,
GBPUSD: What if we see a weak US Employment number
100 0 5
GBPUSD, 240 Long
What if we see a weak US Employment number

With the employment data in focus for this Friday, in a scenario where we see a WEAKER NFP and LOWER hourly earnings, we could see USD weakness. We could see a potential to further long the GBP/USD as it moves higher towards the 1.36 resistance level.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Strong US Employment NFP Number?
72 0 4
EURUSD, 240 Short
Strong US Employment NFP Number?

With the employment data in focus for this Friday, in a scenario where we see a stronger NFP and higher hourly earnings, we could see USD strength. We could see a potential to short the EUR/USD as it moves lower towards the 1.17 support level.

Jin_LCMSTraders Jin_LCMSTraders AUDUSD, 240, Long ,
AUDUSD: RBA Rate Statement...
157 3 4
AUDUSD, 240 Long
RBA Rate Statement...

The AUD Cash Rate is not expected to yield much volatility, with anticipation for rates to remain at 1.50% However, at current times, the tone of RBA statement accompanying the rate decision is now viewed as more important. A hawkish tone from the RBA is likely to bring the AUD/USD up towards the 0.7730 level, supported by 0.7630. While we anticipate a bullish ...

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