ETHUSDAlright, here's what I'm seeing on ETH...
Big Picture: We're sitting around $2,056 on the weekly, and honestly the trend isn't doing us any favors. TradingView's rating has it as a "Sell" overall, and the moving averages are screaming "Strong Sell". price is trading below pretty much every major EMA out there (10, 20, 50, 100, 200). That's not exactly a bullish setup.
The Good News: Momentum might be getting washed out here.
RSI is sitting at 36.5, not quite oversold territory yet, but getting close.
Stochastics are actually in the teens (17ish), which is oversold. So we could be due for a relief bounce soon, especially since the oscillators as a whole are reading "Neutral" rather than confirming the bearish trend.
The Bad News: That MACD is ugly. At -378 and sitting below the signal line, there's no bullish momentum at all. The Awesome Oscillator is deep negative too (-1,138), so buying pressure just isn't there on this timeframe.
Levels to Watch: You're basically hugging the 10-week SMA around $2,043 right now. If that gives way, not much support until lower. On the upside, you've got the 10-week EMA up at $2,184 that needs to reclaim that first before thinking about anything higher.
Bottom Line: Weekly trend is down, but momentum is getting stretched. Not a great spot to be throwing size in long, but if you're patient, we might get a cleaner entry if it washes out a bit more or shows some actual reversal candles. Right now it's just grinding sideways in no-man's land.
Ehtusd
Vitalik Just Killed the "L2 Narrative."The market is missing the biggest pivot in Ethereum history.
For the last two years, the "Smart Money" trade was to Long L2s and Short L1. That trade ended this week.
On February 3, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a seminal critique declaring that the "Rollup-Centric Roadmap" (L2s acting as branded shards) "no longer makes sense".
Why? Because Ethereum L1 is scaling faster than anyone expected, and "Generic L2s" are failing to decentralize. Today, we are going to analyze the Fundamentals (The Research) and the Technicals (The Charts) to prove why the rotation back to Mainnet has already begun.
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1. THE FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT (L1 is the Captain Now) 🚢
The narrative that "L1 is unscalable" was shattered by the recent upgrades.
* The "Fusaka" Upgrade: This upgrade has already doubled the L1 Gas Limit to 60 Million . Developers are now targeting 200M gas later this year.
* The Reality: With L1 capable of handling 20-30 TPS at sub-2 gwei fees, the average user does not need to bridge to a centralized L2 anymore.
* The "Stage 2" Ultimatum: Vitalik explicitly stated that L2s relying on multisigs (Stage 1) are NOT scaling Ethereum.
The "Parasitic" Economics ⚠️
Why is this bearish for L2 tokens? Look at the revenue split.
* Base Revenue (2025): >$75 Million.
* Rent Paid to ETH: ~$1.52 Million.
* The Squeeze: Base is operating at a 98% profit margin . But with the new EIP-7918 , L2s will be forced to pay a "Price Floor" for blobs, crushing their margins and forcing revenue back to L1.
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2. THE TECHNICAL PROOF (The Charts Don't Lie) 📉
The "Smart Money" is actively dumping L2 governance tokens to buy Spot ETHUSD .
A) ARBETH (The "Dilution" Chart)
This chart confirms the "L2 Death" thesis.
* Trend Strength: The ADX is at 63.6 (Weekly). This is not a dip; it is a violent, trending crash.
* Structure: Price is trading below every major EMA (20, 50, 200). We have broken all support.
* Target: The bearish structure points to a flush to the swing low at 0.000029 ETH (-51% from here).
B) OPETH (No Buyers)
* Price Action: We just printed a "Hammer" candle, but with Low Volume ($119k) . Without institutional volume, this is just a pause before the next leg down.
* Risk: If support breaks, there is no structural demand until 0.000063 ETH .
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3. THE "COMEBACK KING" PLAY ( ETHUSD ) 💎
While L2s bleed, Ethereum is setting up for a "Generational Opportunity."
* The Zone: We are testing critical support at $2,112 (Bottom of the Bullish Order Block).
* The Signal: Weekly RSI is resetting at 30 (Oversold border).
* The Confirmation: ADX has dropped to 20 . This is the "Smoking Gun." It means the bearish trend momentum has died. Sellers are exhausted, and the reversal structure is building.
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🎯 THE VERDICT
The "Pure Rollup" narrative is fading.
* Sell: Generic L2s ( ARBETH , OPETH ) -> They are losing their moat.
* Buy: Spot ETH (at $2,112 ) -> Captures the value of returning L1 users.
* Watch: Only "Specialized" L2s (like Fuel or Aztec) are safe from the pivot because they offer features L1 cannot (Privacy/UTXO).
Are you rotating back to Mainnet?
Vote Below! 👇
A) Yes, Long ETH (L1 is King) 💎
B) No, Long L2s (Fees are lower) ⚡
Fundamental Note: BTCUSD 14 Jan 2026Bitcoin is trading near $95K after a strong bounce, with macro sentiment improving as US inflation data for December came in broadly steady (headline in line, core a touch softer), keeping “Fed pause now, cuts later in 2026” on the table. Regulatory optimism is also helping risk appetite, with traders watching fresh US market-structure discussions around crypto legislation as a potential tailwind for broader participation. Profit-taking pressure has cooled sharply into the new year (realized profit fell to ~$183.8M/day on a 7D basis after running above $1B/day through much of Q4), which helped BTC break out from the ~$87K compression toward the mid-$90Ks.
However, BTC is still pushing into heavy overhead supply (recent buyers’ cost basis clustered roughly $92K–$117K), meaning rallies can meet “breakeven selling” as underwater holders get a chance to exit. Short-term holder cost basis near ~$99K is the key reclaim level to confirm recovery; until then, the market remains range-bound and headline-sensitive.
Latest data also flags mixed internals: spot liquidity is only modestly rebuilding, ETF flows have been volatile, options skew has leaned more defensive, and the share of supply held by short-term participants remains elevated (higher sensitivity to fast moves).
Bottom line: fundamentals look constructive, but the path higher likely requires time to absorb overhead supply and avoid leverage-driven whipsaws.
🟢 Bullish factors:
1. Softer core inflation / “Fed cuts later” narrative supports risk assets.
2. On-chain profit-taking has materially cooled (market less forced to distribute).
3. Early-year options flow tilt toward calls around the $95K area suggests upside participation returning.
4. Network activity and transfer volumes have shown improvement versus late-2025 lows (early signs of engagement rebuilding).
🔴 Bearish factors:
1. Large overhead supply zone ($92K–$117K) can cap rallies and trigger breakeven selling.
2. ETF flow volatility + periodic institutional de-risking keeps breakouts fragile.
3. Rising funding / mixed derivatives positioning increases long-squeeze risk on pullbacks.
4. Defensive options skew implies the market is still paying up for downside protection.
🎯 Expected targets: Slight bullish bias while holding 92,000–90,000. A sustained reclaim above 99,000–100,000 can open 104,000–106,000 first, then 110,000–117,000 as the next major overhead-supply band. If BTC fails to hold 90,000, a pullback toward 87,000 and then 81,000–83,000 becomes the likely “range floor” retest.
ETHUSD – You have been warnedImagine you are on a high way speeding with a Porche 911 and running kinda low on gas, and you spot a station where you could get gas for free. You would fill 3 tanks right away, right?
That is exactly why market makers love this repeating pattern in a bearish market. Why?! Because its free "gas"...free liquidity.
descending channel → fake breakout → long manipulation → deeper bleed.
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Look at what happened in 2024
Price broke above structure swing high, dragged liquidity, faked strength…
and instantly got rejected back down
That’s not bullish momentum. That’s a liquidity fuel for the market.
Markets do this right before a bigger move down.
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To be honest, ETH chart is full of F U moves all over the place. But, the basic principles kinda remain intact.
In 2024 after the long manipulation, price fully respected the previous swing low.
And that should be the same case now with our swing low.
We are in a bearish trend, don't ego fight the market.
However, if price broke our previous swing low its literally free fall to $800~$1k
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Your chart’s projection is clear:
Sweep the lows, Trap the late shorts, Send ETH flying back to $4k+
But not before the pain.
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Good Luck!
ETHEREUM: THE NEW BOND OF THE DIGITAL WORLDPrice isn’t the goal. Price is the side effect.
Meanwhile, BlackRock - a black hole with a trust-backed logo - just absorbed 42,000 ETH more.
Yesterday, you may have read this "regular" headline:
BlackRock increases its Ethereum exposure to $4 billion, adding $109.5 million via ETFs.
But here’s what you missed: there are no random numbers on the market.
When a player like this moves - it’s not hype. It’s a blueprint for the future.
Ethereum is no longer an altcoin.
It’s no longer speculation. It’s a financial infrastructure, already recognized by law, exchanges, and institutions.
What does this mean?
💡 Ethereum is now a digital bond - with yield flowing from blocks.
Profit is no longer built on promises, but on the structure of the chain itself.
Trust lies not in faces, but in code.
Growth is not artificial — it’s architectural.
And here’s why this is terrifyingly beautiful:
While you sleep, they are building an era.
Each ETF purchase removes ETH from circulation - permanently. Because:
✅ This ETH is gone from the open market
✅ It won’t be panic-sold
✅ It becomes income-bearing collateral, not a speculative asset
Still waiting for an entry signal?
The big players are already in.
This is no longer crypto - this is cash flow infrastructure, embedded into the digital economy.
And when pension funds, insurers, and sovereign investors move into Ethereum - they will come via ETFs.
Not because it’s trendy, but because it’s regulated, stable, and profitable.
📉 When institutional demand meets vanishing supply - the price won’t simply rise. It will explode, not as growth, but as a structural liquidity shift.
Ethereum is:
💸 Staking = passive yield
🔗 Backbone of DeFi
🖼 Fuel for NFTs
⚙️ Millions of transactions per second
⚖️ A regulated ETF asset
This is the new digital bond system, where the bet isn’t on the dollar - it’s on ETH as an income-producing asset.
💥 While you're reading this, the game is already on.
ETFs are rewriting the rules of time-ownership.
No hype. Just filings. Just intention.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTC buy dips TP 70 000 USD Octoberfest🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3 hour price chart for BTCUSD . Bitcoin trading sideways over last 7 months with extremely low volatility. Having said that, low vol always precedes high vol periods, therefore it makes sense to prepare for the new BTC move in advance.
🔸BTC stop loss clusters located at 71 000 usd / 73 000 usd / 76 000 usd.
Expecting bulls to trigger stop sweeps near overhead SL clusters.
Therefore expecting more gains in this market in October.
October is also a decent months for BTC bulls based on recent data.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for pullback to complete near 59 000 / 60 000 usd and confirm reversal signal with RSI/price div on 3 hour chart and/or use any other systems/indicators to confirm reversal. BUY low close to 60 000 usd, stops fixed at 57 500 USD, TP1 bulls is 65 000 USD TP2 bulls is 70 000 USD, 15% upside in this trade setup without leverage. break below 57 500 usd invalidates bullish outlook. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
ETHEREUM RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅ETHEREUM is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 2900$
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 2700$
SHORT🔥
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Wait for the return of Ethereum!Ethereum after its downtrend. You will see the pullback of Ethereum as shown in the picture. It will be revised up to the range of 2394. EMA50 is also approaching. And then it will return to its resistance of 2700.
ELong
FARM Falling Wedge Breakout Done its can move hard BINANCE:FARMUSDT
FARM Falling Wedge Breakout Done its can move hard
Most of the defi Project pump hard Also farm loading Pump
FLong
ethereum for longIf it satisfies the QM model. I will enter the transaction. Pay attention that the price should go up to the number 1 line and I will enter at number 2
and in Ichimoku. Pay attention to the 1640 line in 4H, the red line has been flat for a long time
I enter the transaction for these two reasons
And it must complete the QM template
ETHEREUM Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
ETHEREUM was trading in a narrowing bullish wedge
And now we are seeing a bullish breakout at last
Which confirms my bullish bias on the pair
And I will be expecting the price to go further up
Towards the target level above
Buy!
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Market feels untradeable ATM - keep your cool.Hi folks!
The market just feels untradeable at the moment - there has been significant correlation between BTCUSDT and the stock market in the last
couple of months, and that generally holds in periods of fear. Now, the stock market itself seems untradeable ATM (although the overall picture seems bearish):
- Intraday Bounce in american stocks during friday.
- Mixed stock indexes in Asia tonight.
- European stocks slightly in green overall.
- U.S. market closed today.
Now, I think Bitcoin is technically bullish on, but there has been very little momentum on the bounce although "everything" signalled a big reversal from around 40k.
However, we now seem to be in a symmetrical triangle (indecision), so I would hold off until the american markets (or at least the american futures market) opens/
the triangle breaks to either side with confirmation on retest.
All eyes are on the US10Y these days - as long as the yield keeps increasing, risk assets will be bought up to a certain point - where "everyone" would want to buy bonds.
DYOR.
NFA.
I wish you all well!
ETHUSD Medium TermSlightly longer term perspective in addition to the one that I posted previously. Note how the price is capped by 200MA. A speculative case is on the chart. The price may try testing 200MA again, get rejected and start working through 300-400-500 MAs support levels forming an ending diagonal.
DeGRAM | ETHUSD breakout support. Short to 3680After a rollback from support, the ether was unable to update the local top, which suggests that the market has no strength to do so yet. I'm waiting for a breakdown of support and a fall in the price to the lower level of 3680
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ETH/USD - Reclaims $4k post-crash! Sign of strength!Despite the market crash on Saturday morning, which saw significant liquidations of over-exposed leveraged traders, Ethereum managed to recover almost entirely, as of writing these lines.
This is an important signal to the market that ETH is firmly holding against Bitcoin, which appears much weaker following this weekend crash. While ETH managed to recover fast and reclaim the $4K milestone, the same cannot be said about Bitcoin.
For this reason, on the ETH/BTC chart, ETH just made a higher high at 0.085 BTC, which is the highest level since May 2018. The all-time high versus Bitcoin lies around 0.15 BTC, and Ethereum appears well on its way towards that target after breaking above the key resistance at 0.080 BTC, along with a horizontal triangle pattern (as shown on the following chart)
Against the USD, ETH has to remain above the key support at $4,000 to maintain the bullish price action and then likely to face resistance levels at $4,284, $4,500, and $4,868 (ATH).
Trading Volume: During the crash, the volume peaked. However, the recovery candle saw a lot fewer amounts of volume. Best to be cautious because of this, particularly once the price reaches the first resistance at $4,284. In other words, the volume is not in favor of the bulls right now.
RSI: The daily RSI made a higher low, despite the crash. This is a sign of strength and gives hope for a speedy recovery.
MACD: The MACD was bullish before the crash, but this quickly rolled over due to the collapse, as the moving averages flipped back down and the histogram went into the negative territory. If ETH stays above $4,000, the MACD will likely revert back to the bullish territory.
The bias for ETH is neutral. It is too early to turn bullish and traders should be cautious as any significant rejection at the resistance levels may lead to an over-reaction from the market due to the recent crypto market crash.
Ethereum’s fast recovery back above the psychological level at $4,000 is a key win for the bulls and if they can sustain it, then confidence in ETH will return and build up momentum for a rally. ETH must not close a daily candle below $4,000. As long as this is so, ETH is well-positioned for higher targets.
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DeGRAM | ETHUSD pullback to 4385The price at its maximum values, locally the picture suggests the nearest correction. After a false breakout, the price does not continue to grow, it cannot update its local tops, each subsequent one is lower than the other. I'm waiting for the price rollback to support 4385
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