Bitcoin Roadmap – Breakdown Toward $107K or Bounce?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving with high momentum this week , with the US indexes and Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) bullish .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Support lines , Support zone($110,920-$110,200) and 100_EMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the waves that Bitcoin has made this week have been in the form of a Triple Three Correction(WXYXZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $109,133(First Target) AFTER the Supports are broken.
Second Target: $107,740
Third Target: $106,660
Stop Loss(SL): $114,108(Worst)
Note: As I said at the beginning of this analysis, the financial markets have been a bit emotional and sudden with their movements this week, so always be prepared for any scenario and pay more attention to capital management.
Note: Generally, trading volume is low on Saturdays and Sundays. Perhaps it is a bit far-fetched to expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) during the weekend. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $114,976-$113,440
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,907-$111,607
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $109,346-$108,259
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $107,181-$106,479
CME Gap: $117,235-$113,800
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Elliott Wave
GOLD → ATH retest before NFP. High risk level...FX:XAUUSD remains in a bullish trend, but short-term dynamics depend on NFP. A break above $3578 will open the way to new highs, but profit-taking at record levels could increase volatility.
Gold remains strong ahead of US NFP data, which may confirm the Fed's policy easing. Weak data (forecast: +75K new jobs) will reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold. However, the risk of a correction is quite high, and any nuances could trigger liquidation. Weak employment data, namely rising unemployment and low ADP figures, are strengthening bets on a Fed rate cut, which overall only increases interest in the metal.
Resistance levels: 3564.5, 3578.5
Support levels: 3545.9, 3526, 3508
NFP data will determine the short-term trend. A weak report will lead to growth to $3600+, while a strong report will lead to a correction to 3450-3400. Technically, I expect a correction after the local bullish structure breaks down. It is not worth trading on the news; it is better to wait 20-40 minutes after the release to make decisions based on fundamental data.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURGBP → The battle for zone 0.867. What are the prospects?FX:EURGBP is attempting to remain above 1/2 of the key trading range as part of a retest after breaking through strong resistance. The local trend is bullish, and the price has a chance to reach 0.8743.
EUR is consolidating in a wedge pattern, with the price moving away from support and attacking resistance. Against the backdrop of the expected Fed rate cut, EUR may break through the line and begin an active phase of growth, which will support EURGBP. The currency pair's price has moved beyond the lower half of the trading range and is attempting to consolidate above the bullish interest zone. If the bulls hold their defense above 0.866-0.867, the price will have a chance to test the poi
Support levels: 0.867, 0.865, 0.8635
Resistance levels: 0.871, 0.874
Against the backdrop of the news, the price may test the order block in the 0.865 zone. A false breakdown and consolidation of the price above 0.867 will confirm the bulls' intentions, allowing the price to move towards the specified target.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The uncertainty factor before the news. Down / up?FX:XAUUSD after updating another high to 3578 went into the phase of profit taking before two busy news days. The trend is aggressively bullish, but the risks of correction are quite high due to the uncertainty factor....
The price pulled back from record highs amid profit taking and reduced panic in the bond market. The dollar stabilized, but remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The key event will be the publication of US employment data (NFP) on Friday.
A correction after a sharp rise is a natural reaction, but the expectation of Fed policy easing is supporting the metal's price.
Geopolitics: Trade risks (Trump's tariffs) mitigate gold's fall.
Gold's correction so far looks like a pause before further movement. The main driver is NFP data, which will determine Fed rate sentiment and USD direction. But, today all eyes are on ADP Nonfarm, Initial jobless claims, and ISM data. Unexpected data may intensify the sell-off....
Resistance levels: 3546, 3559, 3563
Support levels: 3526, 3508
It is difficult to determine the news reaction in advance, we will have to orient ourselves after the fact. Technically, I expect a deeper correction for a healthy market. I expect a retest of the 3560 zone and further decline to local liquidity zones.
Regards R. Linda!
RIOT Wave 3 Begun?NASDAQ:RIOT appears to be in wave III with wave II bottoming at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and daily 200EMA.
The first target is the HVN resistance and R3 pivot at $18.67 but if the count is correct we should extend above that. RSI is sitting comfortably with room to grow.
Analysis is invalidated below wave II, $10.50.
Safe trading
ENAUSDT → Attempting a trend change. Focus on 0.700BINANCE:ENAUSDT is forming an attempt to change the trend. The price breaks the descending resistance and forms a new trading range. The focus on the 0.7 support and the bulls' reaction...
Bitcoin looks quite positive after breaking the downside resistance, but there is a strong 112K zone ahead and news on Thursday / Friday. If the general backdrop maintains its bullishness, BTC's rise will support strong altcoins and the market could turn green, including the coin discussed in this publication...
ENAUSDT breaks through the downtrend resistance. Price is consolidating above the boundary and forming a trading range. The focus is on the 0.7 - 0.683 area. If the bulls keep the price above this area, it will confirm the fact of trend change, which could trigger a rally to 0.7745 - 0.853
Support levels: 0.7, 0.683, 0.668
Resistance levels: 0.736, 0.7745
Technically, there is a possible struggle between market participants for the area 0.7 - 0.668. In this case, I will not consider the return to the channel as a false breakout of the trend, as a strong upward impulse was formed earlier, which generally broke the local market structure. However, based on the technical situation, I will consider entering the position after clear signs of price holding above the key support zone.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Roadmap | Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) created a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day this week.
How long do you think this upward trend in Gold will continue?
Reasons for Gold's upward trend this week:
Announcement of the US economic indexes.
Geopolitical issues that occurred in the world(China meeting, possible tension between Venezuela and the US, etc.)
Gold is currently moving between the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Fibonacci levels and touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) and Support lines, we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
WLFI Faces -10% Risk! Will PRZ Trigger a Strong Reversal?Today, I’m going to analyze World Liberty Financial ( BINANCE:WLFIUSDT ) from a fundamental and technical perspective .
WLFI is the governance token (non-equity) with a 5% per-wallet voting cap.
USD1 is a fully backed U.S. dollar stablecoin (T-Bills + cash).
Total WLFI supply is 100B, with ~24.6B circulating at launch (TGE).
A large share of economic benefits (75% of net revenues) goes to a Trump-affiliated entity, raising concentration and political/regulatory risk.
Key partnership : Alt5 Sigma announced $1.5B funding to adopt WLFI’s treasury strategy and acquire tokens.
Risks : ownership concentration, regulatory scrutiny, and recent EIP-7702 phishing attacks targeting WLFI wallets.
Latest update : WLFI trading started Sep 1 with high volatility and a strong market cap, alongside ongoing security warnings.
Summary : WLFI is a high-risk, high-attention project whose future depends on USD1 adoption, governance transparency, and security execution.
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Now, let's use the candles that the WLFI token has created since September 1st and examine the technical analysis of this token on the 15-minute time frame .
First, let me say that due to the low number of candles created , some technical analysis can be challenging .
The WLFI token has been in a correction mode since it was listed on various exchanges .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , WLFI token seems to be completing the microwave C of the main wave Y . The corrective wave structure could be a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect WLFI token to continue its decline and drop at least -10% . The Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support lines could cause the WLFI token to rise again.
First Target: $0.2043
Second Target: $0.2003
Stop Loss(SL): $0.2400(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
World Liberty Financial Analyze (WLFIUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Cable: Texbtook Elliott Wave pattern is pointing higherCable stabilized at the 1.3350 area as expected, from where we’ve seen a nice intraday rebound that could even be a small impulse, signaling continuation within the uptrend. This fits the textbook Elliott Wave 8-wave pattern, with five waves up from the August lows followed by an A-B-C, 3-leg setback. Such a structure suggests bulls are yet to lift the price toward and beyond the 1.36 area, though we may have to wait for tomorrow’s NFP release, which could be the key catalyst for markets this week.
GH
(Alchemy Markets) SP500 Elliott Wave Going into US Jobs ReportPrior to the open of the US session tomorrow, the US non-farm payrolls report is released. How will these numbers fair with a new chief labor statistician in place? We'll find out tomorrow.
Meanwhile, SPX appears to be carving a wedge. In Elliott wave terms, it would be an ending diagonal pattern.
The rally this week appears to be wave 5 of the five-wave pattern. RSI is diverging which is common on the final highs of this pattern. This implies an ending wave may be underway.
One of the rules of Elliott wave is that wave 3 cannot be the shortest between waves 1, 3, and 5. Therefore, since wave 3 is shorter than wave 1...this implies wave 5 must be shorter than 3.
Plopping that onto the chart, the current wave labeling shows a max price of 6,525. Now, of course price can go higher than 6,525, which would then require us to adopt an alternate wave count. If 6,525 is broken, then I would label the rally from Aug 19 thru today as wave 3. Still more upside, but similar outcome when the pattern does complete.
After the ending diagonal is finished, a swift retracement typically is experienced back to 6,212.
Dejitaru Tsuka: A Puritan of Decentralized Finance?I've made other UNISWAP:TSUKAUSDC_67CEA3 posts prior to this one. The targets are all over the place. This is partly due to TradingView's Fibonacci tool sometimes acting erratically, but also due to premature assumptions on my part.
re: $777 target
This one was very much wild, especially in near term. This was due to my belief that TSUKA would be printing an impulsive wave (I was still growing in my Elliott Wave studies, as I am now too). My belief is now different, and I think the chart has confirmed the same.
re: sub $100 targets
These were totally due to a glitching Fib tool. Thanks TradingView.
re: targets between $100-$130
These are fully expected to be in order based on the Fibs and form of TSUKA's macro fractal. The only thing that could negate such targets in my opinion is Bitcoin breaking below $75,000 before October - December 2026 . I think this would be a strong and decisive indication that altseason is officially over (and the first major fractal for Bitcoin's macro chart).
Between today and the end of altcoin season, I expect that Dejitaru Tsuka will outperform 99% of all available tickers, of all available markets .
*Key price levels and expected periods of transitional moves are very likely to change. Surf carefully/closely.
IOTA Finishing A Bullish Triangle?IOTA can be finishing a bullish triangle pattern that can send the price higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrency IOTA with ticker IOTUSD remains in sideways consolidation, and it more and more looks like a bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in wave (B) that can be coming to an end soon. We are actually tracking final subwave “c” of E of (B), so soon watch out for a strong bullish breakout into wave (C), which can send the price back to March 2024 highs. Keep in mind that bullish confirmation is only above upper triangle line and 0.25 level.
IOTA is a cryptocurrency designed for the Internet of Things (IoT). Unlike traditional blockchains, it uses a unique technology called the Tangle—a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that allows transactions to be feeless, scalable, and lightweight. This makes it well-suited for machine-to-machine payments, microtransactions, and secure data transfer. IOTA’s goal is to be the backbone of a machine economy, enabling devices to transact and share data autonomously.
$MARA One More Push Lower to the Golden Pocket?NASDAQ:MARA was rejected hard on the 6th test of the daily 200EMA! The probability of a breakthrough is huge but it just cant overcome supply as people want out of this underperforming Bitcoin Miner! Just the recipe we need for explosive upside, capitulation.
The S2 pivot and Fibonacci golden pocket should see strong support and potential bottoming of wave II, $13.20
Daily RSI is working its way into oversold which will line up nicely for a high probability trade set up I will share in my trading signals substack.
Safe trading
BTDR Still in a triangle, Wave c of (C) downNASDAQ:BTDR Bitdeer was rejected harshly on the 4th test of the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance, each test weakening the Node and adding probability to a breakout.
Wave c of an ABC within a triangle wave (C) appears to be underway with price closing below both the daily pivot and 200EMA. RSI has slight bullish divergence.
Until we get a break below wave (A) or a above wave (B) the analysis is good. Will readjust and update if anything changes. A breakdown below the triangle has a wave 2 target of the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement and HVN support at $9.63 and may offer a great buying opportunity.
Breakout target is the R5 daily pivot at $21.84
Safe trading
Tesla Short: Expecting Wave 3 of 3 DownIn this video, I go through the Elliott Wave Analysis for Tesla in detail and talk about how the final corrective wave may not be ideal but is still al valid place for a short. In essence, I think that Tesla should be going for a wave 3 of 3 down that will see it going to $273 for a short-term target and even below $214 based on the general market condition that I have previously discussed.
The stop loss for this idea is above 349.54 but I recommend setting it higher around 351.85.
Good luck!
“EUR/USD 15m Outlook | Bullish Bias from Demand ZonePrice is currently balancing between the demand zone (buyers at 1.1607 – 1.1635) and the supply zone (1.1680 – 1.1720).
📌 If demand holds → Expect liquidity grab → retest → bullish continuation into supply.
📌 If supply reacts → Watch for rejection → intraday shorts possible before next rally.
This setup is not about guessing direction — it’s about hacking the structure: let price tell the story, then follow the flow.