ASX:STW sharing my view on the STW Track Record – launched in August 2001, STW was the very first exchange-traded fund listed in Australia. Core Index Exposure – a potential core Australian equity exposure for investors. Diversification – low-cost exposure to over 90%1 of the Australian equity market capitalisation in a single transaction. Capture Capital...
if we fail the double top, and break 18.34 confirming a downtrend with a lower high, or immediately continue bear vix, im fine with selling volatility here. if we immediately continue over 19.17, or we set a higher low over the .382 of the bounce and break the high i would stay long vix for the time being if multiple sectors are continuing to make new lows...
we are at a critical level in UVXY where oscillators like rsi are making a same low while the price has decreased somewhat.
i really want to stress that i am not saying the daily/weekly trend is going to change right back to bull. with that said, i think there is money to be made long over the next week, as long as futures sunday dont have the craziest bear session since corona. some shorts are going to cover on the next drop, and this is going to cause a small squeeze. i dont think...
we have reached another crossroads for vix, and thus one of my favorite etfs: UVXY. if we hold mid to high 11s the we could be up at mid 12s by friday if we keep breaking to new lows today and tommorow then we could be back down in the low 11s by the middle of next week.
i just wanted to show people why this could still go very badly for broader market longs. im not doomsaying, or fear mongering here. im simply outlining why i still have a long forecast for vix, even though we are almost breaking to new lows in uvxy. the highlighted areas are times in the very recent past where spx has increased in volatility even while indices...
nasdaq futures are looking pretty troubled right now, and if we see a large enough gap down and break last weeks low this could spell out further weakness in the index which could last into march volume has refused to drop off, and if we see another spike it will probably be selling taking out fridays high probably opens the gate to $76, and additional volatility...
if we dont break 133.33 confidently, and confirm 15 min reversal pattern with a lower low 131.85 this may signal overheated conditions in spx should we keep the uptrend holding 130.69 and continuing higher i imagine we have a go at 135, although id still be wary of buying borader markets right now except for a quick flip if we dont hold 130 and cant get back over...
India has recently caught my attention as a very interesting region of the world that is growing fast and building fast. Let me be clear, though, that I am not an expert about India. What I am about to write are all the things I've learned doing some research and talking with friends and users online who have been there or live there. The chart I've attached here...
spy daily is deep in the red. this is making me think were near max pain as it is near critical support. im capitalizing on the chance that vix goes down from here for a while.
short term vix futures have put in a multiday high and many broader market sectors are breeching their intraday lows at the same time this could have a longer term effect, but i think the short term movement in vix will trend back toward 11.89 uvxy if we build a base of support above 12 and move higher we could be in for more like 12.30, but keep it on the pivot...
$0.16 cents is the range up or down for this etf right now
getting to an area where longs from this morning are breaking even and shorts in broader markets will be squeezed provided we dont break to new highs in uvxy this is an interesting area to topfish target for short 11.65
looking for prices above 145.5 or below 144.6 if we break out of this pattern of higher lows and lower highs in the s&p500
i think were in for continued volatility in nasdaq futures midweek this first week of 2022 before the week is out i expect there to be several runs down towards the lows even if we open higher or especially so its for this reason that i am focusing on the long side as contrarian dip buys come in banking on the likelyhood that the end of the santaclaus rally...
broader market health permitting we should be finding a lower high in sqqq and retracing back into the channel below mean regression and vwap should we set a lower high than 6.15 and break 6 convincingly i wouldnt be surprused to end up around 5.92
if we dont acheive reversal by breaking 163.09, setting a higher low and confirming the trend change we will certainly bearflag on the potential for daily continuation long target 163.63 short target 161.48
hedge action has added to the price of short room for bulls to work with. we will probably test some area above postmarket lows and move higher in the beginning of next week