ETHEREUM crashing. Can it reach $1000?Ethereum (ETHUSD) is on an aggressive 4-week sell-off following the rejection on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As we explained on our last month analysis, this was to be expected as the Bear Cycle has been trading within a Channel Down and the rejection would initiate it's 3rd main Bearish Leg.
With the previous two falling by around the same degree (-47.03% and -48.69%) we expect at least the same extent on the current one, targeting the April 09 2025 Low at $1390. That is the minimum Target for the remainder of the Bear Cycle, which if extended can even test the bottom of the 4-year Channel Up (dashed trend-lines) around $1000.
Keep in mind though that technically, a 1W RSI reading below 30.00 (oversold) would be a solid long-term buy opportunity, similar to the June 13 2022 Low, which was the bottom of the previous Bear Cycle.
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Ethereumsignals
Ethereum Sell Trading Opportunity SpottedH1 - Strong bearish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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ETHEREUM Bear Cycle starting the new Leg.Ethereum (ETHUSD) had the strongest 1W red candle last week since January 26 and technically that has initiated the 3rd Bearish Leg of the current Bear Cycle.
The successive rejections on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), highlighted the absence of buying power to push above this Resistance and technically that is putting an end to the 3.5 month consolidation phase, which is similar to the previous two that initiated identical Bearish Legs of around -48% declines.
The first level of Support is the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) around $1750, which has supported on the Feb 02 2026 and April 07 2025 Lows and if broken, the April 2025 Low itself of $1390.
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ETH/USD 4H Market Analysis๐ ETH/USD 4H Market Analysis โ Bearish Pressure Building โ ๏ธ
Ethereum is currently showing signs of weakness after failing to sustain momentum near the mid-range resistance zone. The market structure suggests a possible bearish continuation toward the highlighted support area. ๐ป
๐ Technical Overview
๐ Previous bullish channel completed its expansion phase successfully.
๐จ Price entered a consolidation range, showing indecision and reduced momentum.
โ Multiple rejections from higher levels indicate strong seller presence.
๐ Current structure is forming lower highs, increasing bearish pressure.
๐ฏ If price loses the current support region, the next major target sits around the marked support zone near 2,160 USD.
๐ง Market Sentiment
The trend is shifting from bullish recovery to short-term bearish correction. Sellers currently control momentum unless buyers reclaim higher resistance levels. โก
๐ Key Levels
๐ง Resistance: 2,470
๐ก๏ธ Support: 2,160
๐ป Bearish Target Zone: Support area highlighted on chart
โ ๏ธ Confirmation of breakdown could accelerate selling momentum in the coming sessions.
ETH/BTC 4H๐ ETH/BTC 4H โ Bearish Channel Breakdown Setup ๐ป
๐ง Market Structure
Price previously moved inside a range zone โ accumulation phase โ๏ธ
Breakout from range failed to sustain โ shift to bearish structure โ
Currently trading inside a descending channel (bearish trend) ๐
๐ Key Levels
๐ด Resistance: ~0.0320 โ strong rejection zone
๐ต Support: ~0.0288 โ major downside target
โก Current Price Action
Lower highs & lower lows confirm ongoing bearish momentum
Weak bounce near channel bottom โ no strong bullish reaction
Price struggling below mid-channel โ sellers still in control
๐ฏ Scenario Outlook
๐ Short-term: Small pullback possible within channel
โฌ๏ธ Main move: Continuation downward toward 0.0288 support
๐จ Trading Insight
Bias remains bearish unless channel breaks upward
Any rejection from upper trendline = sell opportunity
๐งฉ Conclusion
Trend is clearly bearish. Market likely to continue lower after minor retracement. Your chart structure is clean โ momentum supports downside continuation.
ETHEREUM Top of 8-month Channel Down initiating new Bearish Leg.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the entirety of its Bear Cycle since the August 24 2025 All Time High (ATH). The price is now marginally below the Top (Lower Highs trend-line) of this pattern, having just broken above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the previous Bearish Leg got rejected.
This pattern has so far had two Bearish Legs, both strongly symmetrical. The 1st declined by -47%, while the second completed a -48.69% total drop. Right now it appears that we are getting out of the standard consolidation phase that kick-starts the next Bearish Leg. As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds as a Resistance, the pattern remains valid and the 3rd Bearish Leg should start.
A new -47% correction would put us a little under the April 09 2025 Low. As a result, our Target Zone is $1390 - $1300.
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ETHEREUM Bearish Wave no3 is starting.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the entirety of its Bear Cycle since the August 24 2025 All Time High (ATH). This pattern has so far had two Bearish Legs, both strongly symmetrical.
The 1st declined by -47%, while the second completed a -48.69% total drop. Right now it appears that we are on the standard consolidation phase that kick-starts the next Bearish Leg. As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds as a Resistance (recorded the rejections of January 13 2026 and October 27 2025), the pattern remains valid.
A new -47% Bearish Leg would put us a little under the April 09 2025 Low, so due to the presence of that Support, our next Target is at $1390.
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Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Resistance Rejection โ Potential Sell Setup Overview:
This is a 45-minute chart of Ethereum against Tether (ETH/USDT) on Binance.
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2105 โ 2120, where sellers previously pushed the market down.
๐ Key Levels
๐ฉ Resistance / Entry Zone:
2105 โ 2120
Price has reacted here multiple times, showing strong selling pressure.
๐ช Support Area:
Around 1995 โ 2005
This zone acted as previous demand, where buyers stepped in earlier.
๐ Market Structure
After a strong spike upward, price failed to continue the uptrend.
The market is now consolidating below resistance.
The chart suggests a possible rejection from the resistance zone.
๐ก Trade Idea (Based on the Chart)
Entry (Sell):
Near 2105 โ 2120
Target:
2000 โ 1995 support area
Stop Loss:
Above 2135
๐ Expected Move
If sellers defend the resistance zone again, the price may drop toward the support area near 2000, as indicated by the blue arrow.
โ
Simple Summary:
Trend: Sideways to slightly bearish
Key level: Resistance near 2120
Idea: Sell from resistance โ target support around 2000
ETHEREUM The anatomy of the Bear Cycle.Following our Fibonacci comparative analysis of Ethereum (ETHUSD) between its 2022 and 2026 Bear Cycles almost 3 months ago (December 01 2025, see chart below) where we predicted the consolidation and January's - February's crash, we decided to take this a step further and add the 2018 Bear Cycle in the mix too:
The results are even more mind-blowing and help put the rest of the 2026 Bear Cycle into greater context.
With the 1W CCI sequences identical among the three Cycle fractals, we are now at a point where Stage 2 of the Cycle has already started. The question is of course how low can it go?
A relatively fair approach would be expecting it to drop and bottom somewhere within a potential -82% decline (as was the 2022 Bear Cycle) and the 1.5 Fibonacci extension from the Bull Cycle's last pull-back. As you can see this has been consistent on the 2018 Cycle too.
A triple bottom below the CCI's -100.00 (oversold) level would also be a fair estimate (again was an optimal long-term buy entry in 2018 and 2022). A break and 1W closing above its 1D MA200 (red trend-line) has also confirmed the start of the new Bull Cycle in both 2019 and 2023.
As a result, we have a cyclical Buy Zone within the $900.00 - $750.00 range.
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ETHEREUM Channel Down got oversold but this isn't the bottom!Ethereum (ETHUSD) is extending its losses as, following the January 14 rejection on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it made a Lower High on its 4-month Channel Down that kick-started the new Bearish Leg.
The 1D RSI turned oversold (below 30.00) for the first time since November 21 2025 but besides a (potential) short-term dead-cat-bounce towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement like on November 10 2025, it should bottom lower, at least at $1900 making a -44.80% decline (at least), similar to the previous Bearish Leg, before any meaningful longer term relief rally.
Technically, the strongest pressure zone (demand at this point) is the 1385 Support of the April 09 2025 Low.
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ETHEREUM Massive H&S forming before total collapse.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been currently forming the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. A technically bearish formation, this Right Shoulder is contained below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which may be the final test point before rejection and initiation of the 2nd Stage of the Bear Cycle.
In any case, a break below the Higher Lows trend-line, which is the pattern's Support, kick-starts the next selling phase regardless. H&S patterns typically target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the Shoulder's Low, which interestingly enough sits exactly on the 1385 Support of the April 09 2025 Low! Natural expectation as we will be getting closer to the end of the year, is $1400 at least.
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ETHEREUM Will it make this strong bullish break-out?Ethereum (ETHUSD) is testing yet again its Lower Highs trend-line, which is the Resistance that started on the October 07 2025 All Time High (ATH). This has failed to break two times already, causing strong rejections but this time we may finally see it breaking.
The reason, apart from the bullish RSI on Higher Lows, is that today's 1D candle is so far finding support on the 1D MA50 for the first time since the downtrend started and if it closes above it, it will be a first.
The result can be a Channel Up, which technically is a Bear Flag inside the new Bear Cycle, whose potential symmetrical +31.47% Bullish Leg can target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 3600.
Why is the 1D MA200 so important? Because it's been the technical Target of every first Dead-cat-bounce during ETH's previous Bear Cycles.
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ETHEREUM made 1D Death Cross. Will it follow the 2022 BearCycle?Ethereum (ETHUSD) completed on Saturday its first 1D Death Cross in 9 months (since February 28 2025) and today the market is (so far) reacting violently to it with a strong sell-off.
The market didn't even manage to re-test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on last week's rebound and if it follows the 2022 Bear Cycle, it may look for a bottom after completing a -52.50% decline from its Cycle Top. Technically, even the build up to the Cycle Top resembles the 2021/22 fractal and as you can see the similarities are even evident on their 1D RSI sequences.
As a result, if this 1st Bear Cycle wave for ETH bottoms around $2400, we could be expecting a first rebound to test the 1D MA50 (within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, i.e. around $3100) and get rejected, followed by one last to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (i.e. above $3350) and get rejected to start the 2nd wave of the Bear Cycle.
Would you 'trust' this Bear Cycle build up?
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Ethereum Accumulates Below Key ResistanceFenzoFxโEthereum remains bearish, trading near $3,078.00. Price is below $3,170.00, with a bearish fair value gap overhead and resistance at $3,371.00. Technical indicators show an oversold market with bullish divergence, and candlestick patterns suggest accumulation around this zone.
Despite the bearish setup, a short-term rise may occur to grab liquidity before the downtrend resumes. In this case, Ethereum could target the bearish gap and resistance at $3,371.00.
ETHEREUM Dead cat bounce incoming?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 07 High with both its Bearish Leg so far declining by -27.50% each.
As the 1D RSI is forming Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence similar to October 11, it is possible to see a short-term bounce to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again (where the price got rejected on October 27), before it completes the -27.50% Bearish Leg projection.
The medium-term Target remains 2650.
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Ethereum Bear Flag Below $3,510FenzoFxโEthereum remains below the $3,510.00 resistance and descending trendline, consolidating near $3,237.00 in a bear flag. The November 4 drop created a liquidity void with resistance at $3,673.00.
As long as ETH trades below this level, the bearish outlook holds. A breakdown could retest support at $3,040.00, and if selling pressure continues, the decline may extend toward the next liquidity void at $2,771.00.
ETHEREUM hit its 1W MA50. Can this save the Bull market?Ethereum (ETHUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 4 months since it broke above it on the week of July 07 2025. This pattern looks very similar to the 1W tests after the March 11 2025 and November 08 2021 Highs (latter as also a Cycle Top).
In both cases the 1W MA50 failed to hold as a Support (did also the same on the Jan 13 2025 test) and the price declined further completing -48% and -52% total drops respectively.
As a result, there are high probabilities currently for ETH to extend its decline by at least -48%, in which case it may reach $2600.
Based on the 1W RSI, the most probably level for a bounce is the 38.50 (RSI) level, which is the Symmetrical Support that initiated the rebounds of September 02 2024 and January 24 2022. The September 18 2023 and November 07 2022 Lows also came very close to it and rebounded.
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ETHEREUM Only the 1D MA50 can save the day.Ethereum (ETHUSD) marginally broke its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) on last Friday's flash crash and rebounded. The bullish continuation wasn't enough however to break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and so far it's been rejected.
This is the exact same reaction it had the last time it hit its 1W MA20 (June 22), technically the previous Higher Low of the Fibonacci Channel Up. Both crashes have been around -27%. It took the market some days of consolidation below the 1D MA50 but when it finally broke it, the new Bullish Leg was confirmed.
With a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence already under ETH's belt (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows), the market looks like it has bottomed but this can only be validated by a 1D MA50 break-out. The next Bullish Leg can lead ETH to a least $7150 (+108.31% rise similar to the first Bullish Leg).
A break and candle closing below the 1W MA20 however, opens the way to further decline towards the 1W MA100 (green trend-line, the natural long-term Support of the Bull Cycle) around $3050.
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ETH: Technical Precision Amid the CrashIn spite of the crypto market crash, Ethereum actually moved very technically.
The break below the $4,300 support led to a drop toward the important $3,500 zone.
Although the price also broke below $3,850, a quick reversal followed โ the rebound brought the price back above the $3,850 support and up to the $4,300 resistance.
A new wave of selling came next, but this time, the price stopped around the $3,850 support zone, confirming it as an important level.
A quick rebound followed, and now ETH is back above $4,000, trading around $4,100.
Also very important โ the price of ETH is forming an ascending triangle, with resistance at $4,300.
A break above $4,300 will most likely accelerate gains toward the $4,900โ$5,000 area, which is both a technical resistance and the target of the triangle.
Iโm looking to buy on dips, preferably below $4,000, and considering the mentioned target, such a setup offers around a 1:3 or even 1:4 risk-reward ratio.
Volatility Rises as ETH Tests SupportFenzoFxโEthereum rejected resistance at $4,233.00, aligned with the bearish fair value gap. Fridayโs selloff widened the trading range, increasing risk for ETH traders.
The trend remains bearish while price stays below $4,233.0. Critical support lies at $3,825.0. If ETH closes below this level again, the downtrend may escalate toward $3,368.0. Traders should approach cautiously, as the market is in an uncertain phase with potential for volatile price swings.
Ethereum Pulls Back After Liquidity TapFenzoFxโEthereum tapped liquidity above the equal highs at $4,233.00 and now trades around $4,190.0, down 0.60% today. Despite the move, the volume profile didnโt form a new high, signaling bearish bias.
Immediate support lies at $4,130.0. A close below this level may trigger further downside toward $4,034.0. If selling pressure continues, ETH could decline to the recent lows at $3,825.0. The bearish outlook remains valid below $4,250.0, which must be breached and held to invalidate it.
Ethereum Tests Key Support at $4,535FenzoFxโEthereumโs downtrend eased after hitting the bullish breaker at $4,425.00. It currently trades near $4,540.00, down 1.00% today. Immediate support lies at $4,535.00. A close below this level could extend the decline toward the equal lows at $4,425.00 and possibly $4,240.00.
The bearish outlook remains unless Ethereum exceeds $4,700.00 and closes above the bearish fair value gap.






















