The price seems to build an H&S pattern, not very perfect in shape. A strong support to break is the 27$ level. Look for a breakout confermation in that level for shorting opportunities. Possible target 23$ level. Risk reward ratio 4,7. Possible gain 14,9%.
EWZ failed to break out and lost about $2 from last week's close. All indicators are still healthy (so far).
Going to where the volatility is to sell premium, and that's in EWZ (implied vol rank >70/implied vol is >50). (Plus, I'm kinda ticked that I screwed up closing out that rolled EWZ setup without checking the trade chain ahead of time ... ). In any event, here are the metrics for the setup: Probability of Profit: 74% Max Profit: $66/contract Buying Power Effect:...
EWZ had a golden cross (10 week MA above 40 week MA). And it appears to be closed above the blue resistance (a small breakout?) RSI and MACD all broken out.
Originally opened for a $104 credit, I closed this out today for a $60 debit, yielding a $40.92/contract profit after fees/commissions ... .
If you've been paying attention to headlines about Brazil recently, the term "impeachment" seems to be all over the place. But what's really driving prices upwards in the country's stock market? Is it the daily swaying impeachment probability or something else? Today's instrument to be analysed is EWZ, the ETF that seeks to track the investment results of the...
I already have a couple EWZ premium selling setups on, but with an implied volatility rank of 95 and implied volatility of 59, I'm going to put some more on here. I'm going small and using multiple expirations for setups to disperse my risk, while taking advantage of this fairly low priced underlying to haul in some pretty good credit. Here's the...
Another week of wasteland for premium selling, with EWZ again topping the volatility charts for non earnings plays, although I may go small with an IWM setup in the May monthly (it's the most volatile amongst the index ETF's, which ain't saying much). I've got one more short-term RUT/IUX setup on that I will need to address, but other than that, it's going to be...
This rolled out, "goofy" setup (it basically morphed into a long strangled inverted short strangle upon rolling) has moved into profit, so -- like the LULU short strangle (i.e., broken and rolled) -- I'll look to take it off at NY open for a small profit, so that I can redeploy the buying power elsewhere in a higher probability setup ... . I'll post the trade...
Closing out the short put side of my iron fly for a .10 ($10), as it's basically nearing worthless, and I'd like to clean up this broken setup here if I can. This left me with the 22/25.5 short call side of the setup to deal with, which I rolled out to the April 23rd expiry 22.5/27 strikes for a .26 ($26) credit. If I'm going to attempt to improve strikes, I do...
With the short put side of my EWZ iron fly nearing worthless (<.10/<$10), I'll be looking to close that out tomorrow (I neglected to notice it today, my usual "housekeeping" day where I clean up trades). Although the short call side at 22/25.5 still has 18 DTE to "work out," I think that is unlikely, so I'll look at rolling that side out for duration a modest...
Here's what I'm looking at for next week: VIX/VIX PRODUCTS . VIX finished last week at 16.50. I will look at VIX/VIX product setups early next week depending how the "horse does at the gate" (Monday). If we see a tight range in the S&P like we did pre-Draghi in prepation for FOMC, VIX could drift go a little lower Monday through Wednesday, in which case I will...
With the VIX finishing the week out at 16.66, next week is setting itself up to be a less than sexy week for premium selling, particularly in broader market instruments like SPY, IWM, QQQ, and DIA. Moving to other sectors, the Brazil ETF, EWZ continues to be hot premium selling wise, with an implied volatility rank of 72. A couple of issues in the oil and gas...
In bull market in ONE week. (open price: 20.60, close price: 24.99, 21.3% gain). Weekly technical is in sweet spot and I think it has a lot potential. Waiting for some pullback and consolidation and a better entry.
With volatility ebbing out of the broader markets and earnings season, for all practical purposes, over, I'm looking to put on some small, defined risk, premium selling plays in April while the remainder of my March setups work themselves out. With an implied volatility rank at 60 and an implied volatility of 48, EWZ isn't the greatest play in the world for...