CosmicDust

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Joined 61803398875
Markets Allocation
70 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % forex 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 14% | 134 IWM 10% | 100 GDX 8% | 79 TLT 5% | 55
CosmicDust CosmicDust UUP, 1W,
UUP: UUP weekly - Dollar near bottom
23 1 0
UUP, 1W
UUP weekly - Dollar near bottom

The chart suggests dollar is bottoming short term. I would accumulate at this level with a stop around $23. A strengthened dollar in the second half of the year would indicate a stronger economy, higher rate and stronger stock market driven by higher earnings/profits.

CosmicDust CosmicDust VDC/VTI, 1W,
VDC/VTI: VDC/VTI weekly - a breakout signals troubled market
42 0 3
VDC/VTI, 1W
VDC/VTI weekly - a breakout signals troubled market

Is it going to break out (with a 40 week MA ticking up)? Quite possible in the next several weeks. We will watch this ratio closely as each time it breaks out, market is in rout.

CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/TLT, 1W,
SPY/TLT: SPY/TLT weekly - weakening
86 1 3
SPY/TLT, 1W
SPY/TLT weekly - weakening

MACD is negative, RSI is below 50. Price is still above trend line. A price breakdown here may signals trouble ahead.

CosmicDust CosmicDust DJP, 1M,
DJP: DJP monthly - trending is turning up
14 0 1
DJP, 1M
DJP monthly - trending is turning up

DoubleLine Gundlach said this year is the year of commodities. I took a look at DJP it indeed looks very attractive. RSI is above 50, MACD is positive and price is above 10 month MA and the MA itself is flat to turning up! I think it is a buy if it can close above $25.50 on a monthly basis.

CosmicDust CosmicDust SPX, 1M,
SPX: SPX month - watch closely for FEB price action
298 2 3
SPX, 1M
SPX month - watch closely for FEB price action

Horrible market today but has not triggerred my sell signal just yet. My sell signal: price below 10M MA and lost red support line and 3/5 Month EMA crossed, RSI and MACD lost red supports. Note the callouts on the chart are the sell/buy reference points based on 3/5 month EMA cross signal only.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TIP, M,
TIP: TIP monthly - mixed picture
27 0 1
TIP, M
TIP monthly - mixed picture

RSI is around 50, MACD is still negative. The price itself is in the twilight zone but it will have to break out or break down. Need to watch this closely as it has definite implication for asset allocation.

CosmicDust CosmicDust QQQ, W,
QQQ: QQQ weekly - short candidate
86 0 3
QQQ, W
QQQ weekly - short candidate

Note RSI and MACD divergence. Will not surprise to see 10 - 20% correction in Q1 (targeting blue support line, around $135). Watch the support lines closely for possible breakage entering 2018.

CosmicDust CosmicDust AAPL, W, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL weekly - go short
86 0 0
AAPL, W Short
AAPL weekly - go short

High chance AAPL can fall between $133 to $110. Short $168 and cover $176.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TAN, M, Long ,
TAN: TAN monthly - breakout
60 1 1
TAN, M Long
TAN monthly - breakout

TAN has a great year - almost 50% gain in 2017. Now it breaks out and next price target might be $42 in the next 6 to 12 months.

CosmicDust CosmicDust EDV, M,
EDV: EDV monthly - looks like it wants to go higher
33 0 2
EDV, M
EDV monthly - looks like it wants to go higher

It may close the month with a 6/10 MA crossover, a positive MACD and a strong RSI. I would say it is a buy candidate for now, and will give it one more month for better signal.

CosmicDust CosmicDust VDE, M, Long ,
VDE: VDE monthly - good time to long energy
52 0 4
VDE, M Long
VDE monthly - good time to long energy

I would like to see a stronger RSI and a 6/10 MA crossover. But I am mostly certain the trend has turned up.

CosmicDust CosmicDust GREK, M,
GREK: GREK  monthly - maybe on another leg up
34 0 2
GREK, M
GREK monthly - maybe on another leg up

Technical looks good. Intend to add to position if closing above A.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TWTR, M,
TWTR: TWTR monthly - turning up
43 0 2
TWTR, M
TWTR monthly - turning up

MACD, RSI, MA crossover - all look good. Hopefully 2018 will be a good year for Twitter.

CosmicDust CosmicDust IWM, M,
IWM: IWM monthly - long term breakout
69 1 3
IWM, M
IWM monthly - long term breakout

IWM is able to break out from the rising wedge which itself is very bullish. It can continue to rise within the red rising channel in the next 12 to 24 months. RSI and MACD are strong.

CosmicDust CosmicDust XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD monthly - still consolidating
69 0 4
XAUUSD, M
XAUUSD monthly - still consolidating

Short term looks weak but long term technicals still look good. May test $1250.

CosmicDust CosmicDust USOIL, M,
USOIL: USOIL monthly - reverse HS completing
163 0 5
USOIL, M
USOIL monthly - reverse HS completing

A breakout will be bullish (already above 10 month MA). MACD and RSI are strong. I am still thinking it is heading towards $88 in the next 6 months.

CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/TLT, W,
SPY/TLT: SPY/TLT weekly - short term breaking out
84 0 4
SPY/TLT, W
SPY/TLT weekly - short term breaking out

long term trend is still up as 40 week moving averaging is still pointing up. May dancing around 40 week MA for a while before we know a clear direction. Under currently condition, we should overweight stocks over bonds.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TIP, M,
TIP: TIP monthly - breaking down
28 0 3
TIP, M
TIP monthly - breaking down

TIP is falling out of long term consolidating triangle and and may signaling continued disinflation. If this trend continues, we expect continued lower rate environment (meaning weaker dollar).

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