CosmicDust

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Joined 61803398875
Markets Allocation
70 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % forex 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 14% | 133 IWM 10% | 100 GDX 8% | 79 TLT 6% | 55
CosmicDust CosmicDust IWM, M,
IWM: IWM monthly - long term breakout
51 1 3
IWM, M
IWM monthly - long term breakout

IWM is able to break out from the rising wedge which itself is very bullish. It can continue to rise within the red rising channel in the next 12 to 24 months. RSI and MACD are strong.

CosmicDust CosmicDust XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD monthly - still consolidating
57 0 4
XAUUSD, M
XAUUSD monthly - still consolidating

Short term looks weak but long term technicals still look good. May test $1250.

CosmicDust CosmicDust USOIL, M,
USOIL: USOIL monthly - reverse HS completing
153 0 5
USOIL, M
USOIL monthly - reverse HS completing

A breakout will be bullish (already above 10 month MA). MACD and RSI are strong. I am still thinking it is heading towards $88 in the next 6 months.

CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/TLT, W,
SPY/TLT: SPY/TLT weekly - short term breaking out
61 0 4
SPY/TLT, W
SPY/TLT weekly - short term breaking out

long term trend is still up as 40 week moving averaging is still pointing up. May dancing around 40 week MA for a while before we know a clear direction. Under currently condition, we should overweight stocks over bonds.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TIP, M,
TIP: TIP monthly - breaking down
11 0 2
TIP, M
TIP monthly - breaking down

TIP is falling out of long term consolidating triangle and and may signaling continued disinflation. If this trend continues, we expect continued lower rate environment (meaning weaker dollar).

CosmicDust CosmicDust TYX, W,
TYX: TYX weekly - short term breakout
13 0 3
TYX, W
TYX weekly - short term breakout

soon will face resistance but may rally to 3.06 level short term. Long term trend is still down. Might be good opportunity for a short term TBT trade.

CosmicDust CosmicDust DXY, W,
DXY: DXY weekly - so far still a counter-trend rally
36 0 4
DXY, W
DXY weekly - so far still a counter-trend rally

Judging by the 40 weeks moving average direction, moving average rainbow, recent dollar rally is still a counter-trend rally, and may targeting 96 level. Probably a good idea to open a short term long dollar trade (or short bond, short gold etc.)

CosmicDust CosmicDust IWM, W,
IWM: IWM weekly - meaningful pullback may be in the store - 8/7/2017
57 1 2
IWM, W
IWM weekly - meaningful pullback may be in the store - 8/7/2017

Rising wedge exhausted, visible divergence between price and RSI and MACD. Looks like ~10% pullback is coming.

CosmicDust CosmicDust EEM/VTI, M,
EEM/VTI: EEM/VTI montly - time for emerging market - 7/26/2017
52 3 5
EEM/VTI, M
EEM/VTI montly - time for emerging market - 7/26/2017

The ratio bottomed and now is meaningfully turning up.

CosmicDust CosmicDust DXY, W,
DXY: USD weekly - red support has to hold - 7/26/2017
56 0 4
DXY, W
USD weekly - red support has to hold - 7/26/2017

Expect some bounce up from current level. If red support is lost, the target might be 88.

CosmicDust CosmicDust USOIL, M,
USOIL: USOIL monthly - historical lessons - 7/26/2017
161 0 6
USOIL, M
USOIL monthly - historical lessons - 7/26/2017

Judging from past when RSI at cycle low, oil rallied from 27 to 114 months, with price gained from 78% to 1121%. So there is a high chance current oil rally is far from over. I would buy on breakouts and dips with a target of $87.

CosmicDust CosmicDust ASHR, M,
ASHR: ASHR monthly - looks like an early bull - 7/26/2017
13 0 2
ASHR, M
ASHR monthly - looks like an early bull - 7/26/2017

China currently has a lot problems for sure. But stock market is a discounting and forward looking mechanism. Technically ASHR is in its early bull run.

CosmicDust CosmicDust COPX, M,
COPX: COPX monthly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017
18 0 1
COPX, M
COPX monthly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017

May be targeting $32 level.

CosmicDust CosmicDust GDX, W,
GDX: GDX weekly - may be targeting $24 - $26
52 1 1
GDX, W
GDX weekly - may be targeting $24 - $26

Overall the chart is still weak but MACD ( > 0) and RSI ( > 50) are getting better, price is now above 40 week MA. We will give it one more week to prove itself.

CosmicDust CosmicDust XOP, W,
XOP: XOP weekly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017
44 6 2
XOP, W
XOP weekly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017

We need the price to go above the red resistance and then it can target $38. Once $38 level is cleared if ever, we can think about $43 to $46 level.

CosmicDust CosmicDust ASHR, M,
ASHR: ASHR monthly - might be on the verge of breaking out
23 2 5
ASHR, M
ASHR monthly - might be on the verge of breaking out

It needs to go above previous high which is $26.14 before anything else. Visually the moving average rainbow is tightening, which indicates the start of a big move is coming.

CosmicDust CosmicDust VDE, M,
VDE: VDE monthly - we will know the direction in June
15 0 4
VDE, M
VDE monthly - we will know the direction in June

In June 2010, after 50% retrace it bounced strongly and gained 66% in the next 10 months. Is it in a similar situation today? we will have to see how it behaves in June.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TWTR, W,
TWTR: TWTR weekly - on breakout watch
115 0 8
TWTR, W
TWTR weekly - on breakout watch

It appears to be double bottomed. Technical aspects look good. IMHO, it is a strong buy if ever breaking out.

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