The chart suggests dollar is bottoming short term. I would accumulate at this level with a stop around $23. A strengthened dollar in the second half of the year would indicate a stronger economy, higher rate and stronger stock market driven by higher earnings/profits.
DoubleLine Gundlach said this year is the year of commodities. I took a look at DJP it indeed looks very attractive. RSI is above 50, MACD is positive and price is above 10 month MA and the MA itself is flat to turning up! I think it is a buy if it can close above $25.50 on a monthly basis.
Horrible market today but has not triggerred my sell signal just yet. My sell signal: price below 10M MA and lost red support line and 3/5 Month EMA crossed, RSI and MACD lost red supports.
Note the callouts on the chart are the sell/buy reference points based on 3/5 month EMA cross signal only.
RSI is around 50, MACD is still negative. The price itself is in the twilight zone but it will have to break out or break down. Need to watch this closely as it has definite implication for asset allocation.
long term trend is still up as 40 week moving averaging is still pointing up. May dancing around 40 week MA for a while before we know a clear direction. Under currently condition, we should overweight stocks over bonds.