CosmicDust

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Last visit Joined 4 years ago 61803398875
Markets Allocation
71 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % forex 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 14% | 132 IWM 11% | 98 GDX 8% | 78 TLT 6% | 55
CosmicDust CosmicDust TBT, M, 4 days ago
TBT: TBT monthly - re-testing breakout - 2/15/2017
32 1 7
TBT, M
TBT monthly - re-testing breakout - 2/15/2017
TBT had a long term breakout last November. Looks like it is working on a re-test. A close about $43 might be a game changer (to confirm the death of bond bull market). It is still too early to make the call.
CosmicDust CosmicDust FXI, W, 4 days ago
FXI: FXI weekly - head and shoulders breakout - 2/15/2017
35 0 7
FXI, W
FXI weekly - head and shoulders breakout - 2/15/2017
looks like a classical head and shoulders breakout. 40 weeks MA is pointing up. RSI and MACD all look good. In the past it had several breakouts that gained anywhere from 10 to 40 percent.
CosmicDust CosmicDust EWZ, W, 14 days ago
EWZ: EWZ weekly - breakout will be bullish - 2/5/2017
24 0 8
EWZ, W
EWZ weekly - breakout will be bullish - 2/5/2017
Call it head and shoulders, or cup and handle. If it manages to break out (again), momentum should be able to carry it all the way to $50 area.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY, M, a month ago
SPY: SPY monthly - do not like what I see - 1/17/2017
80 1 4
SPY, M
SPY monthly - do not like what I see - 1/17/2017
My reading is that a correction (and maybe a bear market, or even worse) is approaching, as the chart simple has already been in its extreme. Might not be time to sell just yet but not a good time to buy when a chart looks like this.
CosmicDust CosmicDust DXY, M, a month ago
DXY: DXY monthly - at a reflection point - 1/17/2017
29 0 3
DXY, M
DXY monthly - at a reflection point - 1/17/2017
Current chart pattern looks very similar to 06/1999. Basically a breakout may lead to 120 level and a breakdown may lead to 85 level. So we will have to look at it carefully in the first quarter, as it will affect all asset classes. So far the odd is still in favor of a breakout (until all supports break down, if ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust TYX, W, a month ago
TYX: TYX weekly - might be targeting 2.7 - 1/13/2017
15 0 3
TYX, W
TYX weekly - might be targeting 2.7 - 1/13/2017
Overall trend is bullish, but a correction from overbought to 40 week MA is very likely. Note both MACD and RSI are facing long term resistance. Might be a good 2 to 4 months of window for global stocks, commodities and precious metal, before the bullish trend resumes (if it can).
CosmicDust CosmicDust TLT, W, 2 months ago
TLT: TLT weekly - bouncing on major support - 1/4/2017
49 0 5
TLT, W
TLT weekly - bouncing on major support - 1/4/2017
Both RSI and MACD are on extreme oversold condition. I think it is a buy with a stop around $117.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY, W, 2 months ago
SPY: SPY weekly - major rising wedge exhausting - 1/4/2017
131 0 9
SPY, W
SPY weekly - major rising wedge exhausting - 1/4/2017
Last time the wedge exhausted, SPY dropped about 12%. It is at it again. So be prepared (buy protection). I fear when everyone cheers.
CosmicDust CosmicDust EWZ, W, 2 months ago
EWZ: EWZ weekly - buy breakout - 1/4/2017
32 1 6
EWZ, W
EWZ weekly - buy breakout - 1/4/2017
EWZ bounced up from 40 week MA, coincidental with RSI rising channel support. Wait for a breakout (and a positive MACD) for buy confirmation.
CosmicDust CosmicDust GREK, W, 2 months ago
GREK: GREK weekly - base has been built - 1/4/2017
24 0 7
GREK, W
GREK weekly - base has been built - 1/4/2017
It has been building a solid base... Buy breakout at about $8.50, with stop at about $7.50
CosmicDust CosmicDust TAN, W, 2 months ago
TAN: TAN weekly - falling wedge exhausting - 1/4/2017
52 10 7
TAN, W
TAN weekly - falling wedge exhausting - 1/4/2017
Current setting is similar to December 2012, where a breakout produced several hundreds percent gains. Buy breakout here at about $18.50 with a stop at about $16.50, as it has the potential to $33.
CosmicDust CosmicDust TLT, W, 2 months ago
TLT: TLT weekly - approaching major support - 12/1/2016
59 0 4
TLT, W
TLT weekly - approaching major support - 12/1/2016
TLT is approaching major long term support line. RSI oversold. Expect some rebound (might be close to 40 week MA, which is $130 level).
CosmicDust CosmicDust XOP, W, 2 months ago
XOP: XOP weekly - bullish - 11/30/2016
21 0 5
XOP, W
XOP weekly - bullish - 11/30/2016
Looks like XOP is on its way to close above 2 major resistances. RSI and MACD all looks good. Likely next level is around $43 - $44.
CosmicDust CosmicDust GREK, M, 2 months ago
GREK: GREK monthly - on something - 11/30/2016
18 0 5
GREK, M
GREK monthly - on something - 11/30/2016
November is ending and GREK is able to meaningfully close above 10 month MA the very first time since mid 2014. It made a higher low last month, and its trading volume began to pick up. MACD is positive. RSI still needs improvement (like to see it goes above 45). Also want to see it making a higher high (close ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY, M, 3 months ago
SPY: SPY monthly - year end rally or die - 11/3/2016
143 0 5
SPY, M
SPY monthly - year end rally or die - 11/3/2016
Market on edge. If no year end rally, the new year is going to be really interesting. An observation on 10 year rate: during 2000 - 2003 bear, 10 year dropped from 6 to 4 (roughly), during 2007 - 2009 bear, 10 dropped from 4 to 2. Right now 10 year sits at 1.81. if a bear is coming, can it drop to 0? We will have ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust TBT, W, 3 months ago
TBT: TBT weekly - at resistance - 11/1/2016
21 0 1
TBT, W
TBT weekly - at resistance - 11/1/2016
TBT had a great run for the past several months and is now at resistance. Note the dominating trend is still down. We need to see a breakout, a higher low, and a higher high to confirm the trend change.
CosmicDust CosmicDust TYX, W, 3 months ago
TYX: TYX weekly - at inflection point - 11/1/2016
36 0 1
TYX, W
TYX weekly - at inflection point - 11/1/2016
Bond rate has been rising for the past 3 months and now it is approaching the upper resistance channel. It can break out, or back down from here.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/GDX, W, 3 months ago
SPY/GDX: SPY/GDX weekly - looks like another leg down - 11/1/2016
72 0 3
SPY/GDX, W
SPY/GDX weekly - looks like another leg down - 11/1/2016
Given the uncertainty of bond market, IMO mining stocks might be one of "safe heavens" if stock market is in trouble. The ration was not able to capture May high (so it made a lower high in October). It is now turning down again. Note the decisive downward pointing 40 week MA.
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