CosmicDust

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Last visit Joined 4 years ago 61803398875
Markets Allocation
71 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % forex 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 14% | 130 IWM 11% | 98 GDX 8% | 78 TLT 6% | 55
CosmicDust CosmicDust TLT, W, 6 days ago
TLT: TLT weekly - approaching major support - 12/1/2016
24 0 1
TLT, W
TLT weekly - approaching major support - 12/1/2016
TLT is approaching major long term support line. RSI oversold. Expect some rebound (might be close to 40 week MA, which is $130 level).
CosmicDust CosmicDust XOP, W, 7 days ago
XOP: XOP weekly - bullish - 11/30/2016
9 0 2
XOP, W
XOP weekly - bullish - 11/30/2016
Looks like XOP is on its way to close above 2 major resistances. RSI and MACD all looks good. Likely next level is around $43 - $44.
CosmicDust CosmicDust GREK, M, 7 days ago
GREK: GREK monthly - on something - 11/30/2016
11 0 2
GREK, M
GREK monthly - on something - 11/30/2016
November is ending and GREK is able to meaningfully close above 10 month MA the very first time since mid 2014. It made a higher low last month, and its trading volume began to pick up. MACD is positive. RSI still needs improvement (like to see it goes above 45). Also want to see it making a higher high (close ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY, M, a month ago
SPY: SPY monthly - year end rally or die - 11/3/2016
124 0 2
SPY, M
SPY monthly - year end rally or die - 11/3/2016
Market on edge. If no year end rally, the new year is going to be really interesting. An observation on 10 year rate: during 2000 - 2003 bear, 10 year dropped from 6 to 4 (roughly), during 2007 - 2009 bear, 10 dropped from 4 to 2. Right now 10 year sits at 1.81. if a bear is coming, can it drop to 0? We will have ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust TBT, W, a month ago
TBT: TBT weekly - at resistance - 11/1/2016
16 0 0
TBT, W
TBT weekly - at resistance - 11/1/2016
TBT had a great run for the past several months and is now at resistance. Note the dominating trend is still down. We need to see a breakout, a higher low, and a higher high to confirm the trend change.
CosmicDust CosmicDust TYX, W, a month ago
TYX: TYX weekly - at inflection point - 11/1/2016
26 0 0
TYX, W
TYX weekly - at inflection point - 11/1/2016
Bond rate has been rising for the past 3 months and now it is approaching the upper resistance channel. It can break out, or back down from here.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/GDX, W, a month ago
SPY/GDX: SPY/GDX weekly - looks like another leg down - 11/1/2016
71 0 2
SPY/GDX, W
SPY/GDX weekly - looks like another leg down - 11/1/2016
Given the uncertainty of bond market, IMO mining stocks might be one of "safe heavens" if stock market is in trouble. The ration was not able to capture May high (so it made a lower high in October). It is now turning down again. Note the decisive downward pointing 40 week MA.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/TLT, W, a month ago
SPY/TLT: SPY/TLT weekly - attempt to break out -11/1/2016
50 0 1
SPY/TLT, W
SPY/TLT weekly - attempt to break out -11/1/2016
The ratio is near the double resistance, and looks like is working on a breakout. We will know more in the next couple of weeks. So far RSI broke out, MACD is positive, 40 week MA is turning upward. If this ratio breaks out, we will reduce even more bond holdings (and may start to short bonds), and move into ...
CosmicDust CosmicDust ITB, M, a month ago
ITB: ITB monthly - bounce or die - 10/27/2016
10 0 1
ITB, M
ITB monthly - bounce or die - 10/27/2016
We will see if we have a case to short ITB by end of year or early next spring.
CosmicDust CosmicDust HGX, M, a month ago
HGX: HGX monthly - timing the housing market - 10/27/2016
10 0 0
HGX, M
HGX monthly - timing the housing market - 10/27/2016
Housing market may be ready to roll over. I guess spring 2017 will be telling. We will watch and will act according.
CosmicDust CosmicDust VWO/VTI, M, a month ago
VWO/VTI: VWO/VTI mothly - overweight emerging market - 10/26/2016
19 0 1
VWO/VTI, M
VWO/VTI mothly - overweight emerging market - 10/26/2016
It is more obvious now, as VWO has been outperforming for several months. As the ratio is still turning, we should be moving into emerging market but only gradually.
CosmicDust CosmicDust GDX, D, a month ago
GDX: GDX daily - breakout watch - 10/25/2016
78 0 5
GDX, D
GDX daily - breakout watch - 10/25/2016
RSI and MACD look good. Waiting price for confirmation...
CosmicDust CosmicDust EWZ, W, 2 months ago
EWZ: EWZ weekly - triple resistance - 10/18/2016
22 0 3
EWZ, W
EWZ weekly - triple resistance - 10/18/2016
Expect some pullback and higher volatility from here. Note weaker RSI and MACD relative to price. Buy a retested breakout if occurred.
CosmicDust CosmicDust EWW, M, 2 months ago
EWW: EWW monthly - Mexico appears to be bottomed - 10/10/2016
26 0 2
EWW, M
EWW monthly - Mexico appears to be bottomed - 10/10/2016
We will keep it on the radar for the coming months, and would like to see further strength for confirmation.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/GDX, W, 2 months ago
SPY/GDX: SPY/GDX - miner still vulnerable - 10/7/2016
28 0 0
SPY/GDX, W
SPY/GDX - miner still vulnerable - 10/7/2016
Did you wish you bought gold miner back in February, and sold in July? This chart provided the clue. If the ratio breaks out the blue channel, it will be really bad for the miners.
CosmicDust CosmicDust SPY/TLT, W, 2 months ago
SPY/TLT: SPY/TLT - soon we will know who has an upper hand - 10/7/2016
38 0 0
SPY/TLT, W
SPY/TLT - soon we will know who has an upper hand - 10/7/2016
The ratio is still within the triangle, with SPY has a slight advantage. Soon it will have to break out, or break down. Worst case is both SPY and TLT are going down, rendering the ratio useless (meaning cannot use TLT as a safe heaven).
CosmicDust CosmicDust IWM, W, 2 months ago
IWM: IWM weekly - be cautious - 10/7/2016
17 0 0
IWM, W
IWM weekly - be cautious - 10/7/2016
Nothing yet but it has a rolling-over look, and thus be cautious.
CosmicDust CosmicDust GREK, W, 2 months ago
GREK: GREK weekly - there will be a resolution soon - 10/5/2016
41 0 0
GREK, W
GREK weekly - there will be a resolution soon - 10/5/2016
The triangle is exhausting with a bias to the up side. Buy breakout if materialized with a stop around $7, and potential gain can be ~ 20 % (targeting $9).
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IWM
ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 ETF
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TLT
ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
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POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST
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10-Year Treasury Note
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30-Year Treasury Bond
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U.S. Dollar Index
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