CosmicDust

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Joined 61803398875
Markets Allocation
71 % stocks 13 % indices 1 % forex 15 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 14% | 132 IWM 10% | 99 GDX 8% | 79 TLT 6% | 55
CosmicDust CosmicDust IWM, W,
IWM: IWM weekly - meaningful pullback may be in the store - 8/7/2017
46 1 2
IWM, W
IWM weekly - meaningful pullback may be in the store - 8/7/2017

Rising wedge exhausted, visible divergence between price and RSI and MACD. Looks like ~10% pullback is coming.

CosmicDust CosmicDust EEM/VTI, M,
EEM/VTI: EEM/VTI montly - time for emerging market - 7/26/2017
39 3 5
EEM/VTI, M
EEM/VTI montly - time for emerging market - 7/26/2017

The ratio bottomed and now is meaningfully turning up.

CosmicDust CosmicDust DXY, W,
DXY: USD weekly - red support has to hold - 7/26/2017
52 0 4
DXY, W
USD weekly - red support has to hold - 7/26/2017

Expect some bounce up from current level. If red support is lost, the target might be 88.

CosmicDust CosmicDust USOIL, M,
USOIL: USOIL monthly - historical lessons - 7/26/2017
155 0 6
USOIL, M
USOIL monthly - historical lessons - 7/26/2017

Judging from past when RSI at cycle low, oil rallied from 27 to 114 months, with price gained from 78% to 1121%. So there is a high chance current oil rally is far from over. I would buy on breakouts and dips with a target of $87.

CosmicDust CosmicDust ASHR, M,
ASHR: ASHR monthly - looks like an early bull - 7/26/2017
7 0 2
ASHR, M
ASHR monthly - looks like an early bull - 7/26/2017

China currently has a lot problems for sure. But stock market is a discounting and forward looking mechanism. Technically ASHR is in its early bull run.

CosmicDust CosmicDust COPX, M,
COPX: COPX monthly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017
11 0 1
COPX, M
COPX monthly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017

May be targeting $32 level.

CosmicDust CosmicDust GDX, W,
GDX: GDX weekly - may be targeting $24 - $26
48 1 1
GDX, W
GDX weekly - may be targeting $24 - $26

Overall the chart is still weak but MACD ( > 0) and RSI ( > 50) are getting better, price is now above 40 week MA. We will give it one more week to prove itself.

CosmicDust CosmicDust XOP, W,
XOP: XOP weekly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017
37 6 2
XOP, W
XOP weekly - on breakout watch - 7/26/2017

We need the price to go above the red resistance and then it can target $38. Once $38 level is cleared if ever, we can think about $43 to $46 level.

CosmicDust CosmicDust ASHR, M,
ASHR: ASHR monthly - might be on the verge of breaking out
22 2 5
ASHR, M
ASHR monthly - might be on the verge of breaking out

It needs to go above previous high which is $26.14 before anything else. Visually the moving average rainbow is tightening, which indicates the start of a big move is coming.

CosmicDust CosmicDust VDE, M,
VDE: VDE monthly - we will know the direction in June
12 0 4
VDE, M
VDE monthly - we will know the direction in June

In June 2010, after 50% retrace it bounced strongly and gained 66% in the next 10 months. Is it in a similar situation today? we will have to see how it behaves in June.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TWTR, W,
TWTR: TWTR weekly - on breakout watch
114 0 8
TWTR, W
TWTR weekly - on breakout watch

It appears to be double bottomed. Technical aspects look good. IMHO, it is a strong buy if ever breaking out.

CosmicDust CosmicDust EWZ, W,
EWZ: EWZ weekly - not looking good
41 0 6
EWZ, W
EWZ weekly - not looking good

So far uncertain if it is just technical based selling or any fundamental reasons. It is a sell once it breaks 40 weeks MA (which is 200 days MA).

CosmicDust CosmicDust ASHR, M,
ASHR: ASHR monthly - needs to go above $25.88
14 0 4
ASHR, M
ASHR monthly - needs to go above $25.88

ASHR (China CSI 300 index) has been steadily rising since 2016 low. MACD is now positive, price is above 10 month MA. Need it to take out Nov. 2016 interim high to confirm the trend change. IF that ever happens, I would expect a price spike.

CosmicDust CosmicDust TLT, W,
TLT: TLT weekly - short term bullish
44 0 5
TLT, W
TLT weekly - short term bullish

TLT had double bottom and now broke out. First hurdle is 40 weeks MA (around $126) and if that is cleared it can possibly reach $130 level.

CosmicDust CosmicDust VIX, M,
VIX: VIX monthly - the weird chart of vix
48 1 4
VIX, M
VIX monthly - the weird chart of vix

Like the period of 1996 to 1997, market can go higher together with vix. Like the period of 2007 to 2008, market can go lower with increasing volatility. Current period? anyone's guess.

CosmicDust CosmicDust XAUUSD/SPY, M,
XAUUSD/SPY: Gold vs. SPY monthly - make it or break it time.
79 0 5
XAUUSD/SPY, M
Gold vs. SPY monthly - make it or break it time.

Technical setup looks similar to the 2000. If breaks out, might be an indicator to overweight precious metal related assets (and underweight US equities in general).

CosmicDust CosmicDust EEM/SPY, M,
EEM/SPY: EEM/SPY breaking out
59 0 7
EEM/SPY, M
EEM/SPY breaking out

The ratio is breaking out and is above 10 month MA. 10 month MA itself is turning. Probably an indication emerging market should be overweighted gradually.

CosmicDust CosmicDust EURUSD, M,
EURUSD: EURUSD monthly - likely the bottom is in
67 0 8
EURUSD, M
EURUSD monthly - likely the bottom is in

Technicals are similar to 2001 - 2002, with diverged RSI and MACD. Probably a strong buy if it breaks out and price goes above 10 month MA.

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