EWZ still has high IV & IVR and looks to be finding some support at this level . Good value on a 31/26p 37/42 Iron Condor Selling for 2.36 cr max risk 2.64 Tasty stats POP 56% P50 62% Delta -1.95 theta 2.35
Although both FDX and ORCL announce earnings tomorrow (Monday) after market close, the underlying with the implied volatility metrics I generally look for in a volatility contraction play are present in MU, which announces Thursday after market close. With a rank of 82 and a 30-day of 60%, the 70% probability of profit 39/52.5 20-delta short strangle is paying...
I'm soing it with options so my spread is between 35 and 31. Sucking up that premium.
Stay tuned for a possible breakout in USD vs Brazilian Real
Earnings: ORCL: Announces Thursday after market. Rank/IV: 74/31. Sept 21st 68% Probability of Profit 20 delta 45/50.5 short strangle: .79 credit. KR: Announces Thursday before market. Rank/IV: 54/37. Sept 21st 72% Probability of Profit 20 delta 30/35 short strangles: .60 credit. Non-Earnings: EWZ: Rank/IV: 97/48 TSLA: Rank/IV: 95/57 GDX: Rank/IV: 68/30 USO:...
Looking at what's left of the trading week post-Labor Day ... . AVGO (announcing earnings on Thursday after market close) is the only fairly liquid underlying that interests me for an earnings-related volatility contraction play (rank 57/30-day 37). The 63% probability of profit Sept 21st 200/205/235/240 iron condor pictured here is preliminarily going for 1.65...
or Lula winning elections
A break under 30.98 would be a new 2 year low. Leverage via $BZQ (2x bear ETF)
Keeping positive theta. buying some call options to sell against it when the price rises
Short Strangle, 30 delta (31/38 strikes), 37 'DTE, $1.00 credit
The only volatility contraction earnings play I'm looking at for this coming week is in Macy's, which announces earnings on Wednesday before market open, since it has the implied volatility rank and 30-day metrics I'm looking for (76/56). Here are some Macy's preliminary setups, with the short strangles set up around the 20 delta strikes: August 17th 36/44 short...
Looking for some high IV trades to enter into the mix here. -1 Sep21 33/40 strangle for $1.34. Risk: 2x credit received (worst case, take stock) Target: 50% profit Depending on how things go, I may keep rolling this position on in different ways, reacting to how the market moves.
There is no real clear price action direction, this chart has even room to run in both directions, and the 'IVR is high which makes it a good candidate for a short premium trade. I am selling a straddle as I can collect 10% of the underlying in premium in just 46 days.
I forgot to mention Mexico ETF EWW +17.75% & also short MXNUSD +10%
Brazil is extremely washed out, but it has held a long term support level so far. I think odds are the market turns up from here. I'm long $PBR in particular, since it is showing tremendous relative strength vs the brazilian market, and it has a long way to go to catch up to oil, closing the gigantic spread it now has. The situation with the CEO resigning caused...
Hi guys, thank you for the support! I will have this analysis out each weekend as well as daily updates throughout the week, if you guys like what I'm doing hit the "follow" button and you will get a notification each time I post a video or chart! Have a great day everyone!
Hi guys, thank you for the support! I will have this analysis out each weekend as well as daily updates throughout the week, if you guys like what I'm doing hit the "follow" button and you will get a notification each time I post a video or chart! Have a great day everyone!
... for a 2.44/contract credit. Metrics: Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: Undefined/6.94 Max Profit: 2.44 Break Evens: 31.56/36.44 Theta: 3.89 Delta: -14.41 Notes: Going where the volatility is at (again) in exchange-traded funds to sell a little August cycle premium while I wait for the September monthly to be more in that 45 days until expiration sweet spot. ...