GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 17th Dec '25GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 17th Dec '25
Useful to Tally / Recognize or sometime DETECT abnormal Movement of NIFTY forToday / Next day Trade Plan.
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
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Fibonacci
ADA to lift off for Wave 3 soon?ADA CARDANO's treasury-backed push into stable coins is a core part of Cardano's 2025–2026 strategy to boost adoption.
The trade setup looks like a broad wave (1), with the 2nd EW corrective phase.
It looks like a Wave (3) Push is coming to hopefully smash through the last ATH of $3.09 US.
ADA / BTC is also showing signs of a potential reversal soon.
Alphabet - CorrectionThe upward move started in mid-October 2025.
A full five-wave bullish cycle has been completed.
The market is now developing corrective wave A .
Targets:
Intermediate: 292
Primary: 280
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ATOM/USDT short-term🔍 Market Structure
Clear downtrend – price is moving within a descending channel (lower highs and lows).
Each bounce is sold at the upper band of the channel.
No signal of a change in structure yet (no HH + HL).
📉 Current Price Status
Price is at the lower end of the channel.
Consolidation after a downward impulse → typical bearish continuation or short technical rebound.
Current Zone:
~2.02–2.05 USDT – local support + demand reactions.
🟢 Key Levels
Support
2.049 – local support (current reaction)
1.999 – strong psychological support
1.951
1.878 – lower demand zone (important!)
Resistance
2.099
2.125
2.201 – key resistance / S→R flip.
Upper channel line (~2.20–2.23)
📊 Stochastic RSI
Oscillator often in oversold territory.
Currently recovering from the low → possible short rebound.
BUT: in a downtrend. The Stoch RSI is not a long-term signal.
➡️ More likely a pullback, not a trend change.
🧠 Scenarios
🔴 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Bounce to:
2.09 → 2.12
Rejection + further decline:
1.99
then 1.95 / 1.88
➡️ Short at resistance levels in line with the trend.
🟢 Alternative scenario (less likely)
Breakout of 2.20 + close of the 1H candle above the channel
Retest from above
Then targets:
2.28
2.35–2.40
➡️ Only then can we talk about a change in structure.
Abercrombie & Fitch Wave Analysis – 16 December 2025
- Abercrombie & Fitch broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 125.25
Abercrombie & Fitch recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 103.80 (which has reversed the price multiple times from February) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from January.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of December.
Abercrombie & Fitch can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 125.25 (former strong support from 2024 and the target for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).
$AAPL On the Move NASDAQ:AAPL Look just like the rest of them with the HARD rejection at -0.414 & -0.272. The Chart Explains it self for the Most Part. The Risk to Reward Ratio is Super Litty!. A whole lot to get and not too much to lose. Stay Discipline and yall will be just FINE.
Alerts Sets, Happy Trading!
TUESDAY is my Favorite day of the Week, Its random as hell.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis📊 US macro data has been updated — and CRYPTOCAP:BTC reacted with a bounce to the upside.
Altcoins, meanwhile, still look confused, as if they don’t know where to run yet 🤷♂️
😨 Fear & Greed Index: 11.
That’s extreme fear — and historically, such levels often mark zones where a gradual recovery can begin. Possibly even starting tomorrow.
📈 Overall, the OKX:BTCUSDT price action in 2025 looks very similar to #Bitcoin ’s behavior in 2021–2022.
We really want to believe we’re already in “Phase 2” of this fractal.
Because if this is still “Phase 1”, history suggests a scenario like:
➡️ first $103,000 BTC,
➡️ then potentially a deeper move toward $53,000.
🤔 What do you think — are we already transitioning into recovery, or is another painful leg still ahead?
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
$Amzn Are You Finished or Are you Done? S/O to Birdmard just because I love that wild ass statement; Lol.
So I've been on NASDAQ:AMZN for a week now and I Learned a Lesson from it last week wicking 1.272 action. So I'm back to perhaps call it from the bottom of where its at currently. But check this is out, I generally only have my fibs to show on the level I chart on, (I dont want to see it on another time frame.) Well, this morning; I guess I hadn't turned my motor all the way on and I read my 1 HR fibs on the 15 mins and got into some 225 Amazon calls only to realize that this is my 1 Hr TF fibs not the 15 mins (Which is what I trade every day). So, this NASDAQ:AMZN Chart Image is Charted on the 1 HR TIME FRAME, but the Image I posted is on the 15 min TF. #Calls
Happy Trading, Alerts Set!
GOLD - Retest of key support ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is falling during the Asian session, retreating from $4,350 — its highest level since late October — amid optimism over a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine and ahead of US employment data.
Trump's statements about the approaching peace agreement are reducing demand for safe-haven assets. The probability of a Fed rate cut in January is about 77%, with two easing measures expected in 2026. Expectations of a dovish Fed chair appointment continue to put pressure on the dollar.
• Today, October NFP data will be released, which may confirm the weakening of the labor market
• On Thursday, US inflation data will be released
The current decline looks like a correction and profit-taking. The uptrend remains intact unless employment data exceeds expectations. Any further decline could be seen as a buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 4292, 4317
Support levels: 4265, 4255
If the news is positive, which will only reinforce expectations of an aggressive rate cut, gold's growth after retesting key support may continue. Otherwise, the correction may continue. However, the 4265-4255 area plays an important role and needs to be monitored.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN - The downward trend may continue. Focus on 88KBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P failed to realize its bullish potential associated with positive news. Is crypto winter getting closer and closer?
Fundamentally, despite the rate cut and a relatively positive overall backdrop, the market continues to fall. Bears held the 95k resistance and the 90k zone. Bitcoin is breaking the consolidation support and entering a distribution phase. The decline has been temporarily halted by support at 85,500, and the market may correct to 87,000-88,000 (the break-even zone) before continuing its decline within the current trend. The target the market may strive for is 84K-80K.
Resistance levels: 87,000, 88,000, 90,000
Support levels: 85,560, 83,800, 80,000
If the market continues to lack support or no bullish driver emerges, the price may fall even lower. I expect a retest of the zone of interest (the support area of the trading range) and a further decline to key levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Crypto market review and potential trade opportunitiesAfter breaking those key macro support levels (check my October/November reviews), BTC has moved into a solid downtrend. Right now, any bounce we see should be first viewed as just a correction-phase retrace - not the start of a full-blown rally.
From the correction structure off October highs, a drop to the 75k–71k zone feels like the cleaner play. That would let us call the first wave of this correction done in classic 5-wave fashion from all-time highs.
BTC Chart:
Short-term, things are murkier - it all hinges on price action in the coming days.
• If we break convincingly above December highs around 94.6k, it opens the door to 102.5k–106k, with potential stretch to 112k.
• But if price slips below recent lows at 89k and 87.5k, that deeper correction to 75k–71k starts looking very likely.
For altcoin plays, short ZEC if it breaks below 445 (risk at 476, first profit targets 355–340) looks most compelling to me risk-reward wise
ZEC Chart:
Wishing everyone chill, sunny weekends ahead!
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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XAU/USD: Rejected at Sell, Awaiting Support Reaction◆ Market Context (M30)
Price has twice swept Liquidity Sell around the peak area but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure at premium. Previously, the market had a Liquidity Sweep + Trap at the bottom, then created an upward BOS, so the current decline is seen as a rebalancing pullback, not yet a confirmed reversal.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upper Liquidity Sell area has been completed → profit-taking pressure appears.
• Price is returning to Support Zone 4,275 – 4,270, where it previously held and created BOS.
• Below is a large OB 4,216, acting as a liquidity attraction area if the current support is broken.
• The FVG + Fibo Sell area above is a reaction zone if the price retraces.
◆ Key Levels
• Liquidity Sell (swept): 4,345 – 4,350
• Current Support: 4,275 – 4,270
• Lower OB: 4,216
• Supply / upper target (if rebound): 4,330 → 4,360+
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Await reaction at Support 4,275 – 4,270
• Condition: maintain structure, appearance of rejection candle / buying reaction
• Targets:
▪ 4,305
▪ 4,330
▪ extended: 4,360+
• Invalid if clearly breaks 4,257
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If Support 4,275 is lost
• Monitor reaction at OB 4,216
• Only BUY when a new upward CHoCH appears
➤ Scenario C – Short-term Sell Retracement
• If price retraces to FVG + Fibo Sell but does not break the peak
• Observe rejection signals for short-term SELL back to the support area
◆ Summary
• Context: upper Liquidity Sell swept → prioritize waiting for pullback.
• Decisive area: 4,275 – 4,270.
• Losing this area → potential liquidity attraction to 4,216.
• Avoid FOMO BUY at premium; wait for clear reaction at support/OB.
TMC: potential for one more upside leg into 2021 ATHAs long as price continues to close above the 7.75 support and 21d EMA, I continue to favor one more upside push into the key mid-term resistance zone outlined in previous macro-structure updates.
Chart:
Weekly view:
Previously:
• Possibility of longer consolidation — negated (Sep 28):
www.tradingview.com
• On macro potential (Sep 16):
www.tradingview.com
• On follow-through potential (Jun 12):
www.tradingview.com
• On macro bullish structure (May 15):
www.tradingview.com
XAU/USD: Sell on Bearish OB, Buy Deep at Bullish OB1. Context & Price Structure (M30)
• The price is in a downward correction after a strong previous increase.
• On the retracement zone, EQH + ChoCH decrease appears → signal of weakening buying flow, prioritize "retracement to sell" in the short term.
• The price is still pressed under the descending trendline, so the short-term bias remains downward until a clear break occurs.
• Support Zone 4,275 is the decisive point: if held, it will rebound technically, if broken, it opens the path to the lower demand zone.
2. Key Levels (according to the chart drawn)
• OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4,308 – 4,312 (≈ 4,311.888) → supply zone + trendline confluence, prioritize watching for SELL when retracing.
• Support Zone: 4,272 – 4,276 (≈ 4,275.451) → central support zone, can create a rebound/retracement.
• Mid Support / Target: 4,247.624 → next target if 4,275 is broken.
• OB Bullish (Buy Zone): 4,223.400 – 4,205.983 → strong demand zone, expected to sweep and reverse.
3. Trading Plan (with clear conditions)
Scenario 1 – SELL on retracement at Bearish OB (main scenario)
• If the price retraces to 4,308 – 4,312 and a rejection reaction appears:
strong pin bar
downward engulfing
or ChoCH decreases again on M15/M30
• Then prioritize SELL according to the correction trend.
• TP1: 4,275
• TP2: 4,247
• TP3: 4,223 (approaching OB Bullish)
• Invalidation: M30 closes above 4,318 and holds above → stop SELL idea.
Scenario 2 – BUY deep at Bullish OB (important scenario to catch a large retracement)
• If the price breaks 4,275 with a clear M30 candle and slides down to 4,223 – 4,206.
• Wait for Liquidity Sweep + reversal signal:
pin bar at OB
upward engulfing
or ChoCH increases (M15/M30)
• When confirmed, prioritize BUY.
• TP1: 4,247
• TP2: 4,275
• TP3: 4,308
• Invalidation: M30 closes below 4,198 → stay out and observe.
4. Risk Management Notes
• Do not chase SELL when the price is close to 4,275 (support zone).
• Do not BUY early before the price hits Bullish OB and confirmation is received.
• If the price reclaims strongly above the trendline + 4,312, the bias will shift to "BUY pullback" instead of "Sell retracement."
IONX 4H - When the noise fades, volume takes controlIONX is transitioning from a sharp corrective phase into stabilization near the 22 to 23 zone. This move is not random selling but a clear sign of seller exhaustion. Price is holding a confluence area where Fibonacci 0.618 and 0.786 align with a prior accumulation zone. Volume tells the real story. Selling pressure is fading, while momentum indicators show bullish divergence. Sellers are losing control even as price remains near the lower range.
The current structure suggests stabilization rather than trend continuation to the downside. Ranges are tightening and demand reactions are becoming consistent. As long as price holds above 22 to 23, the recovery scenario stays intact. The first resistance zone sits near 29 to 30, where previous balance was formed. A confirmed breakout opens the path toward 38.04 and then 48.10.
IONX is what happens when emotions leave the chart and patience takes over.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026
- PR High: 25373.25
- PR Low: 25280.25
- NZ Spread: 208.0
Temp 25% AMP margin requirements increase
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Nonfarm Payrolls
Unemployment Rate
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
S&P Global Services PMI
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 430.72
- Volume: 41K
- Open Int: 168K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAU/USD – Distribution at the Top, Sell on Rallies Market ContexAfter a strong bullish impulse, Gold is now showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper liquidity zone. Price failed to sustain above the recent high and has started to rotate lower, suggesting a distribution phase rather than continuation.
From a macro perspective, although expectations around Fed policy remain mixed, short-term positioning looks crowded on the buy side, increasing the probability of a corrective move to rebalance liquidity.
Technical Structure (M30–H1)
Price rejected sharply from the 4,348 supply / liquidity zone
A lower high has formed under descending trendline resistance
Market is trading below key intraday structure, signaling bearish pressure
Current price action favors a sell-the-rally approach
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – SELL Continuation
Preferred SELL zone: 4,300 – 4,306
Confirmation: bearish rejection / weak bullish momentum
Targets:
TP1: 4,281
TP2: 4,269
TP3: 4,248
Extended target: 4,219 (major demand + channel support)
Invalidation
A clean break and hold above 4,348 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias.
In that case, stand aside and wait for new structure confirmation.
MMF Perspective
At premium levels, risk favors patience over chasing buys.
The focus now is on capital protection and selling rallies, waiting for price to reach deeper demand zones before considering any new bullish setups.
Bias today: Bearish below 4,348 – Sell rallies, manage risk strictly.
AUDUSD - Future OutlookHistorical Retrospective:
Feb 2012 - mid-Mar 2020: clear technical five-wave impulsive move down.
Mid-Mar 2020 - Feb 2021: wave A , a corrective impulsive move.
Feb 2021 - present: wave B , a three-wave correction.
Expectation:
Wave C - a five-wave corrective impulse upward.
Targets:
From the current level (wave C underway): 0.84
From the end of the impulsive move: 0.80
Summary:
We are close to a reversal or have already completed it, with a strong upward move expected next.
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