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Fibonacci Retracement

EURUSD weekly Fibonacci levels for long term view and trading EURUSD is adhering or responding to the Fibonacci levels all most all of the times. When trader wants to ride the trend this much information is enough to enter and exit trades. We are not trying to forecast the direction or the top/bottom. We are trying to identify important zones in which price may turn in Future. Price patterns like double top or bottoms or many other patterns can be used along with Fibonacci. I have mentioned few on chart. Going ahead we can look for shorting opportunity near level 1 of Fibonacci and long near 1.27. Price may stop and turn(as expected) or continue up or down movement from mentioned levels. To avoid such scenarios where price continues the move instead of reversing, we need to take help of price structure and candlestick patterns. Many traders msg me about how Fibonacci doesn't work, I recommend them all to stop using Fibonacci and use the tool in which you believe. As a trader our job is not to criticize any tool or method of analysis. Our target needs to be "designing trade plan which works for us". No tool works independently in my experience, we always need to club different tools and use them collectively.
Education
by dhananjay.d.joshi
[Tips] High-Probability Trade with Fibonacci Retracement How To Use Fibonacci Retracement to find High-Probability Trade Setup Brief Definition: Fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool among technical traders and is based on the key numbers identified by mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the thirteenth century. In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement is created by taking two extreme points (usually a major High and Low) on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%. Once these levels are identified, horizontal lines are drawn and used to identify possible support and resistance levels. These ratios seem to play an important role in the financial market and can be used to determine critical points that cause price to reverse. The direction of the prior trend is likely to continue once the price has retraced to one of the ratios listed above. Tips for Effective Setup: 1. Analyze the general overview (big picture) of price movement to the current trend. In the above example, blue vertical line divides chart into 2 section, Downtrend on the left and Uptrend on the right. We can use MA200 to identify the overall trend. 2. Look at the price movement carefully and then draw Fibo Ret from the extreme pivot points. For Downtrend, drag 100% level from previous High to 0% level at the newly formed Low. For Uptrend, drag 100% level from previous Low to 0% level at the newly formed High. 3. Pay attention to the price movement to the opposite direction of the general trend. Wait for any price rejection to the same direction with the general trend at one of the Fibo Ret level. Entry zone which quite popular are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% level. 4. Probability of success will increased if price rejection occurs at the confluence of Support and Resistance levels. ie. confluence of one Fibo Ret level with Support / Resistance area, Trendline, or Chart Pattern. The point is, more confluences are taking places, probability of success for price rejection at Fibo Ret level is higher. Few Examples: Example 1 - 3 for Downtrend case (MA200 sloping down) Example 4 - 5 for Uptrend case (MA200 sloping up) 1. (Normal Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from around Fibo Ret 50%. The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be normal and not too deep. 2. (Higher Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from the confluence of 2 resistance: Fibo Ret 23.6% and Resistance Area 110.648-110.771. The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be quite deep. 3. (Highest Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from the confluence of 3 resistance: Fibo Ret 61.8%, Major Down Trendline (diagonal red line), and Resistance Area 110.275-110.346. The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be very deep. 4. (Higher Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected up from the confluence of 2 support: Fibo Ret 38.2% and Support Area 110.648-110.771. The uptrend continuation after price rejection tend to be quite high. 5. (Normal Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected up from around Fibo Ret 61.8%. The uptrend continuation after price rejection tend to be normal and not too high. Happy Trading...
Education
by arieg1985
1
How to Use Fibonacci RetracementsHow to Use Fibonacci Retracements I'm back with another educational post after receiving a lot of requests and today's lesson is on how to use Fibonacci retracements. I've used a recent market example with NZD/USD to break this down for you. Let's get straight into the finer details before breaking down each section of the chart shown. Fibonacci retracement levels are amongst the invisible levels of support and resistance within the market, providing objective price reference points. Essentially where the flow of buying and selling is likely to change. The main Fibonacci retracement levels used are shown below. Fibonacci Ratios 0.382 (Indicating a strong trend) 0.50 0.618 Where can I find the tool? You can find the Fibonacci retracement tool in the chart section by going to your left sidebar, third section down and the icon is three horizontal lines. Upon your first use of this tool, you will want to edit the settings and add in the three ratios stated above if they are not already there, make sure you tick the boxes to use them. How do I use it? To apply the tool on your charts click from high to low to measure the full price swing. OR Draw in your tool from low to high depending on the market situation. Breaking down the charts If you're basing your trades off Fibonacci retracements they work at best in trending markets, but if it's used as a part of your strategy it can be effectively applied to any or most types of markets. Now let's look at the chart for recent examples of price reversals using Fibonacci retracements. If you look at the example on the left-hand side, I measured from high to low and price hit bang on the 0.618 retracement level. Your question right now will be... How did you know it was going to reverse? I personally go off the retracement level that is causing the most activity within the market. Have a look at price history and see what is happening at the particular level, is there a lot of stalling? Is it a key support or resistance level within the market? If so, price will more than likely reverse there in comparison to the other retracement levels. To validate the reversal you will, of course, want to analyse price action, what are the candlesticks telling you? Any signs of indecision or stalling at a certain level will help you make a solid choice whether to take the trade or not. Now let's take a look at the right-hand side, this time I have two examples (again I measured from high to low). You can see from the top example price pulled back to the 0.382 and 0.50 retracement levels not once or twice but three times before dropping. Indicating a very strong resistance level! The bottom example is a similar situation, price spiked up above the 0.50 retracement level (all candlesticks closed below) before heading in the opposite direction. To round of this educational post, I hope you found this extremely useful and you can now use Fibonacci retracements in your own trading. I am available via private message for any questions you may have. Here's to your success!!!
Education
by LewisGlasgow
25
Sell GBPJPY (educational)Sell GBPJPY (educational) "kalbotical retracement confluence 1" 1. Up Trend line broken 2. down Trend line formed 3. second leg has a strongest momentum so possible third leg for some kind of 1-2-3-4-5 structure ) You can catch momentu e.g with Squeeze Momentum Indicator 4. Look left for S/R zone 5 perfect Fib level - .618 6. Kalbot RSI shows the fastRSI line in the overbought area, so there is a possible end of retracement 7. Top predictor (or your mentor) loves this structure too 8. Plan your trade trade with one of possible strategies . e.g countertrendline break ( 9 ) strategy StopLoss 30 pips above U-turn Take profit :- 100 pips (3:1 trade) :- or -0.25 Fibs extension (10) :- or Look left for S/R level (11) 12 trade your plan
Education
by quql
1
My latest Short Term Sell Trade Explained #forex In response for your requests guys to explain the rational behind the live trade we took on GBPCHF. Here is the explanation. On the left hand side daily chart, the price started the bearish behavior on the 78.6 retracement level for the overall bearish wave as shown on chart. As it formed two major bearish shooting star candles. That was not enough for me to initiate the trade so i moved to the lower time frame(4-hour) for the final confirmation. The price has indeed broken back below the prior high at 1.2868 and below the hanging man candle. That was accompanied by bearish divergence on RSI and that assured that the trade is a high probability one. If you were following my updates on the channel, you would know that i put a limit short order as shown on chart. The targets was just reached minutes ago for 157 pips gain. Adding to my account 4.37% gain this month. Best of luck and keep posted.
Education
by Technician
121
USD/JPY - 2618 Trade Explained USD/JPY - H1 - 2618 Trade Explained Having had a double top and now approaching a retracement back into the 61.8% Fib level, we can now look for reasons to short the USD. Unlike patterns we can't just place BUY or SELL orders in advanced. Once we have completed the rules of engagement below, we are looking for confluence within a certain area that all coincide. This in the long term will give us a better success rate. Rules Of Engagement 2618 - Double Top - Break below Neckline / Support - 0.618% Fibonacci retracement - Stop loss above double top - Target 1 at 38.2% Fibonacci - Target 2 at 61.8% Fibonacci Good luck.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn180388
15