Trendlines, Volume and FibonacciTrendlines are the simplest chart pattern you can find, but they are some of the most widely used, and for good reason.
They highlight a price trend going up, down, or sideways. Which therefore will be used for further analysis and other chart patterns, but what many people don't know are the specifics of trendlines. Firstly, widely-touched trendlines (about a month apart) perform much better than closely-touched trendlines. Trendlines with more touches also perform better than those with fewer. Furthermore, the longer the trendline the better the performance. However, steeper trendlines don't cut - performance usually lacks when trendlines get steeper.
The Gold monthly chart shows a downward channel highlighted by blue trendlines. This channel isn't the best since the breakout doesn't kick in for a couple of years, however, it would have been great for a few swing trades.
Highlighted by the blue notes are regions of high volume at valleys and peaks. Heavy volume at peaks and volumes are good indicators of support and resistance. Represented by the white horizontal lines. However, one important thing to note is that horizontal consolidation regions provide better support and resistance then peaks and valleys.
The HCR is presented by the yellow note and the highest blue note in the chart.
Also shown is the Fibonacci retracement. The Fibonacci retracements of 38%,50%, and 62% are good regions for support and resistance. A stop placement at 67% protects trades 66% of the time.
Fibonacci Retracement
Bharat Forge - Perfect Example of .618 Bullish Retracement .618 Fibonacci Retracement
Most Popular Retracement
Important retracement for a stock that is selling off after completing a good Rally.
#BharatForge is a perfect example of .618 Bullish Retracement and its amazing to see how prices rallied after hitting .618 retracement
Trade Consideration ( Refer Chart )
Point #1 : A good rally
Point #2 : A sharp Sell-off
Point #3 : Exhaustion Candle with huge volume at .618 Retracement Support ( First Clue from Pure Price Action )
Point #4 : Hammer/Key Reversal Candle with huge volume at .618 Retracement Support ( Second Clue from Pure Price Action )
Point #5 : Huge Volume at two important Reversal Candles ( Exhaustion followed by Reversal )
Assignment for Learners: Identify .618 Retracement on daily chart and post in the comment section
If you have Any Questions, please feel free to ask in the comment section below
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Fibonacci WavesAn idea regarding Fibonacci
I believe the price within the arcs of the fibonacci circle move in waves
With 1.618 being a bearish wave in this case, with a bullish transition to another ring.
There seems to be a clear relationship between 1.618 and .618 its probably simple for someone more knowledgeable in this field which I am still learning.
Explains on chart.
If anyone knows more about this comment please.
How To Day Trade Consolidations Profitably With #FibonacciTraders, Several fellow day traders have been asking to show how they can day trade using fibonacci based analysis which I use for swing trading. The fibonacci based analysis is applicable to all chart time frames and on all instruments in all markets. It even works on tick charts. In this educational video I present how we could have made 130 pips easily with day trading GBPUSD using fibonacci based analysis. Support and motivate me by hitting the like button, subscribing to my channel and sharing this analysis with other traders. Comment below and let me know what you think of this analysis and what is yours? I welcome all comments, feedback, ideas and sharing of knowledge.
Have a great trading week!
What Path For SPX?
With the entire world a bit shaken by everything in it including the S&P 500 Index now would be a good time to see how the market has previously turned the corner after being clipped by a “Black Swan”.
I’ll start with the monthly chart which will update monthly, weekly, daily, etc. Technical Indicators I enjoy using include moving averages, Williams Alligator, Gaussian Channels and occasionally the VSRS. I might also use ADX and RSI, occasionally.
This chart includes a reversed Fibonacci Retracement Scale along with both Elliott Impulse and Correction Waves retracements of the SPX going back to August of 1982 to help us keep a calm and level mind going forward.
If you take notice you will see the market is still well above the blue 100 EMA however you can observe the market has been below it several times in the history of the SPX as well as the red 200 EMA.
You might also recognize the Elliot characteristics in the Elliott Impulse Wave from Aug 2009 up to the past ATH of 3393. Notice point 2 does not drop below point 0 at (c), that leg 3 is the longest, that leg 1 and 5 closely match in length and that it is also the start of the Elliott Correction Phase.
Is there anything that could substantiate that? There is. The Elliot Correction Phase has undeniably begun. The low for March was a measly 162 points above being a full 50% Fib Retracement. That same low also dove below the last Elliott Impulse Wave 5.
The refreshing thing I think is the Elliott Correction Wave is a simple path to follow.
Hope to see all of you as we progress forward.
Remember. This is not trading advice. Please engage the like button and add your comments below, Follow me if you wish, share it if you want.
Ethereum - How we conduct Technical analysisTechnically I refer specifically to ETH in this post but this analysis should help guide analysis on other securities, crypto or otherwise. I hope the chart is self explanatory and if not please ask. We are basically looking for bullish divergences which I have highlighted using angled lines and also utilizing the Fibonacci tool. Please look up videos on youtube if you don't know how to use it. However I have provided arrow tipped lines showing how it can be used to predict retracement as well as extension levels. In placing the 0 and 100 points *beginning and end of Fibonacci spread) we basically need to look for and identify our impulse wave, a clear movement in any direction, up or down. Lastly never forget to utilize volume, we can see from the horizontal bars towards the right of the screen that the path of least resistance is up. Thanks for reading and I hope this helps.
#CADCHF Fibonacci Analysis Tutorial & OpportunityTraders, in this short analysis, I show how to draw Fibonacci ratios to predict market movements and plan trades. We also look at how we plan to execute these trades for best R:R.
Hit the like button if enjoyed this analysis and found it useful. Thanks!
Bitcoin - Big players are using these levels, so why not you? Before reading, please show me some love by liking and commenting! It's free, so why not?
In this post I want to show you the power of the Golden Pocket (0.618 -0.65 Fibonacci retracement). After one year in a downtrend, we finally saw that price increased and reached a high of $13920 on Bitmex.
But why did the price stop exactly at this level?
For those who think that TA is not working, here is the answer:
Fibonacci is a fantastic tool that works in all markets of the world, and when you understand how to use it, it make the difference between an amateur and a pro trader.
In this example, since we are looking for a short opportunity, we just took the high that we reached the 11 December 2017 and the low of 10 December 2018. And what do you notice? Yes, price stopped exactly at this Golden Pocket.
Is this a coincidence? Not at all.
Why this level is very important and why do you see price rejection most of the time at this level?
Because big players are using it, financial institutions with large capitals that have very complex trading algorithm use it every single day, whether it is for scalping, day trading or swing trading.
Now when using the Golden Pocket we don't want to blindly long or short at this level. What we are looking for is confluence with at least something else.
In this case, what made this trade a high probability one is the fact that the Golden pocket was sitting exactly at the previous weekly level of $13873 (previous support that became resistance) which is enough of a confluence to take the trade.
Big players are using those levels, so why not you?
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Have an amazing day!
How To Plan Plan A Trade With Fibonacci Ratio ConfluenceHi Traders, In this video we will look at How To Plan Plan A Trade With Fibonacci Ratio Confluence. Fibonacci ratios are most powerful tools with they are used in right manner. We can use them in all sorts of market conditions and asset classes. Fibonacci confluence creates harmonic patterns and gives us very good reward risk ratio. The best thing is the possibility to pre-plan and quantify a trade with high accuracy.
Please feel free to comment or ask questions. Hit the like button if you found value in this post. Thanks! :)






















