This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 11 - 15 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand...
The feds Balance sheet reduced from $7.96 Trillion to $7.73 Trillion This is the largest reduction in the balance sheet since September 1st 2023.
I think we have made the bottom for bitcoin at 15-16k area and now we are in the accumulation phase of the crypto cycle. It is hard to say how long it will take, but I am more convinced towards the accumulation phase based on my analysis of the weekly chart. There are 3 major occasions during which we have tanked below weekly 21 moving average and immediately...
Hi Traders! There is further downside potential on the USDJPY 4H chart. The current monthly low at 141.152 looks to be the next likely target for a possible re-test of the level. Price Action 📊 The price action looks bearish, the market swings are getting lower, and the market has been below the 20 EMA for the past week. As long as the market remains below the...
#NAS #SPX #US30 #DailyReview #DailyOutlook In the over night sessions, price was the smoothest on the indices, as the price failed to take out the PDHs on SPX and US30. NAS tapped the PDH and traded above it only to move back into the previous day’s range. The #fomc meeting notes and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in the afternoon seems to have held up up for...
The dollar index has experienced a rebound, surpassing the 103.00 threshold. When examining currency pairs such as GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and EURUSD, it becomes evident that there is further potential for movement within the frameworks we are monitoring. This suggests the likelihood of DXY breaching the 103.000 support level, setting the stage for extended targets in the...
The GBP/USD continues to rise for the third consecutive session, supported by the speech of the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey at the Henry Plumb Memorial Lecture on Monday. The GBP/USD pair is trading around 1.2530 during Tuesday's Asian session, approaching 11-week highs. The GBP/USD was last seen trading near 1.2470, where the 38.2% Fibonacci...
The situation in the Middle East has impacted global markets, affecting commodities like the gold price on Comex. Despite optimism related to Chinese stimulus and expectations of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates, Comex gold faces challenges. The recent US CPI report indicated consumer inflation cooling faster than anticipated, while unemployment...
English For this index, I see how we are on a bullish rally (Christmas rally) which is about to break its last H(HIGH) and unless something happen with the FOMC on December, I wouldn`t expect to start a bearish movement. We are currently in a monthly OB which is the last H, if it breaks that H, we could expect higher prices and maybe break the ATH price, but we...
The Canadian Dollar experiences a slight uptick in a calm yet moderately optimistic Monday. Tuesday's Canadian CPI figures will be in focus for Loonie traders. The market anticipates a marginal increase in the monthly figure, 0.1% for October compared to September's -0.1%. The expected annualized Canadian CPI inflation is projected to cool slightly, coming in at...
The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Monday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6553, up 0.59%. The Aussie is flexing its muscles, gaining some 3% in the past week. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of the meeting earlier this month on Tuesday. There wasn't much of a surprise as the RBA raised rates by a quarter-point...
Looks like USDJPY has broken down through the rising trendline, there was a slight recovery at the backend of Friday, this indicates we could see a short retracement from here to test the trendline break, and then down. The Yen performed well at the start of Friday, I don't believe this was BoJ intervention, as they have said that they expect the fundamentals to...
Not sure if this is the big short or not yet, but looking at price action it's been a jog up to this point, rather than a sprint, this tells me we're fine to short until at least the ascending dynamic trendline that reversed the last short. We have an engulfing candle on the 1 hour, followed by a long-body doji, so I think we're going to see a push down. If we...
Today we are showcasing our dear and favourite NASDAQ:NVDA . Suprisingly latest FOMC news delivered a strong 15% move only in a couple of days. I have structured a descending channel that forms withing a triangle formation. Resolution of both is coming soon, expected before EoY.
That fundamentals last week had a serious impact on this pair. The FED held rates with a dovish tone, and then the cooling labour market data slammed the USD. The BoE also held rates, but with a hawkish tone. UK data is not great, USD real yields are stronger, and there are still global tensions which are normally strong for the dollar, that said, this pair has...
I don't believe the BoJ have gotten involved yet, or if they have it's going under the radar. I believe this pair has only slipped due to USD retracement following the NFP and softer labour market data last week. With retailers now net short I think that we'll see another push back up. We have broken my rising wedge line related idea, however unless we break...
Gold is now beginning to consolidate. For us, the 1999 level is significant because if this resistance level gets crossed, the market will actively keep rising until it reaches levels around $2070 ( Weekly Resistance). OANDA:XAUUSD will probably start determining what happens in the future. NFP damaged the TVC:DXY DXY dollar market, which could lead to a...
Let's do this again. On the daily, you can see the move. If the market believes that the FOMC is achieving its goal, will they continue buying? If the November to May adage is true, how high might we go? Do your own research: seekingalpha.com