BIGGEST Crypto Liquidation TO DATE - Market CorrectsToday and yesterday over the past few hours, $19 billion dollars was wiped out in crypto. This is historic. And also a lesson in risk management, an eerie reminder of how risky speculation can be.
The market was over leveraged , and this is the result.
How can we monitor/ safeguard against this going ahead and be prepared for such an event in the future?
1) Always use a stop loss
2) Watch Bid/Ask spread and volatility
3) Use proper risk management
On the 10th of October, POTUS Donald Trump Tweeted about a new set of trade measures that include 100% tariff on certain Chinese exports, and new stricter export controls. The market immediately reacted; stocks and commodities dropped and crypto fell into chaos. What made this worse is that several exchanges were down, resulting in investors being unable to close or update their positions.
It seems like a fitting "reason" and also not, oddly. What we need to note here, is that the market was over leveraged. This is a self-correcting event that presents truer market reflections and better prices for investors - a blessing for those who were not affected/invested.
As an extra measure if you trade S&P500, you could watch the VIX - and set an indicator to any daily change greater than 15%-20%. This way, you'll be notified if there's action in the stock market.
You can also take a look at this idea on Risk vs Reward:
Fundamental Analysis
Gold continues to rise. Bulls and bears clash.Last week, gold prices intensified risk aversion amid Trump's tariff policy. Subsequent rhetoric of peace has tempered risk sentiment, but gold prices haven't fallen. Gold opened the week stronger, hitting new all-time highs. Currently, the market's gains are primarily due to a lack of bearish catalysts, allowing prices to rise by inertia.
From an information analysis perspective, as the Federal Reserve continues its dovish policy response, real interest rates may continue to decline, which will support the long-term upward trend of gold.
At present, gold is still rising slowly, breaking through highs continuously, and the upward trend is still continuing. It is still unknown whether it can break through 4100. The first retracement point that can be seen at present is 4060. If it unexpectedly falls below, it will test the 4030 line, but it seems a bit difficult at the moment.
The 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, and gold bulls still have upward momentum, but we need to pay attention to the correction after the price surges. The overall strong upward trend of the hourly line has not changed. There may be small fluctuations in the short term, and you can try to enter the market operation. The short-term resistance level is temporarily focused on the 4100 mark, and the support level is around 4060.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on a pullback near 4060, with a stop loss at 4050. Profit range: 4085-4090-4100.
Short around 4095, with a defense at 4105. Profit range: 4070-4060-4050.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Oct 13 - Oct 17]During this week, international OANDA:XAUUSD continuously set new record highs, surging from $3,884/oz to as high as $4,059/oz, before closing the week at $4,011/oz.
Although the fundamental factors supporting gold’s uptrend remain solid, many analysts have expressed concerns about the possibility of a gold sell-off, similar to what occurred in 2011, as investment demand for gold has skyrocketed in recent months. According to data from the World Gold Council, global investment demand for gold-backed ETFs surged by 221.7 tons (worth nearly $26 billion) in the third quarter. This strong inflow pushed total ETF gold holdings up by nearly 2%, approaching the all-time high recorded in 2020.
Moreover, within just one trading session following Donald Trump’s tariff announcement, about $1.5 trillion in U.S. stock market capitalization was wiped out, while the crypto market also lost roughly $280 billion. This raises concerns that investors might start taking profits on their gold positions—which are currently showing strong gains—to cover losses in stocks and cryptocurrencies.
However, mounting fiscal pressure, rising public debt, and waning confidence in fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar, along with uncertainty surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and Trump’s recent threat to impose 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports, continue to support gold prices in the near term.
For the upcoming week, gold prices are likely to fluctuate between $3,850/oz and $4,150/oz.
📌In terms of technical analysis, on the short-term chart H1, it is necessary to pay attention to 2 resistance levels: the resistance level around 4059, and the support level 3945. Next week, the gold price will continue to maintain its upward momentum when the 4059 level is broken. In case the price trades below the 3945 level, the gold price may be sold off, causing the price to adjust to around 3850.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
• Nearest resistance: $4,059 – this is the short-term top zone that needs to be overcome to extend the upside momentum.
• Next resistance:
o Fibonacci level 0.382 at $4,232,
o Level 0.5 at $4,320,
o And the 0.618 extension zone at $4,408 – potential targets if gold maintains the current momentum.
• Short-term support:
o $4,000 (strong psychological zone – now turned from resistance to support).
o Deeper support at $3,896 – $3,871, coinciding with the confluence of MA20 + previous correction bottom.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4098 - 4096⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4102
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3908 - 3910⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3904
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is currently trading around a strong support zone, an area where buyers have previously shown solid interest. After a period of correction, price action is indicating signs of accumulation and a possible shift in momentum from sellers to buyers.
If the price continues to hold above this support region and forms a bullish candle structure (like a hammer or bullish engulfing), it may confirm the start of a reversal to the upside.
Volume analysis also suggests that buyers are gradually stepping back in, defending the key demand levels.
As long as the market maintains its position above support, the overall structure remains bullish, and potential upward continuation can be expected in the short to medium term.
$XRP Same scenario, new cycle. XRP cyclical structure is showing a striking similarity once again.
After the major rally in 2017, the price was rejected from the 2013 ATH level and then retested the 2014 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. After accumulating strength in this area, it began its parabolic run.
Today, the picture is almost identical..
After the strong surge in 2024, the price was rejected at the 2017 ATH level and retested the 2021 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. Now, the power accumulation phase is ongoing in this region.
Following this consolidation, the next parabolic run will be inevitable.
Patience is the most valuable strategy in this cycle.
Monthly Crypto Analysis: Cardano (ADA/USD) – Issue 97 (Free AcceThe analyst believes that the price of ADAUSD will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 09 Nov 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Nvidia Is Trading Near All-Time Highs. What Does Its Chart Say?Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA hit an all-time intraday high this past week after rebounding some 120% from its April lows. What does the AI-friendly chip giant's chart and fundamental analysis say could happen next?
Let's check things out:
Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis
We're still more than a month away from hearing from Nvidia about its Q3 quarterly results, which will likely come in late November.
But as of right now, the Street is looking for the high-end GPU designer to report $1.24 in adjusted earnings per share for the period on roughly $54.7 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 53.1% gain from the year-ago period's $0.81 in adjusted EPS, as well almost 56% growth from the $35.1 billion in revenues seen 12 months earlier.
That kind of sales growth would be more than impressive for almost any other firm, but would actually represent a deceleration from the growth pace NVDA has experienced over the past two years or so.
The advent of big capex up-spend on artificial-intelligence-focused infrastructure meant Nvidia boasted annual sales growth well into three-figure percentages during much of 2023 and into 2024.
But the "law of large numbers" eventually kicks in for everyone, even Nvidia -- and that's really not a bad thing at all. After all, NVDA's stock currently trades at about 30 times forward-looking earnings and 53 times trailing earnings.
Expensive? Maybe, but a growth rate at this kind of scale is hard to put a price on. Less than 1% of Nvidia's entire float is held in short positions, so we know there aren't a lot of NVDA out there.
In fact, 33 of the 38 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover NVDA have revised their Q3 earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while just two have lowered their forecasts. (Three have left their estimates unchanged.)
And in full disclosure, I'm personally long this name and have been for a very long time.
Nvidia's Technical Analysis
Now let's check out NVDA's chart going back some eight months and running through Wednesday afternoon:
Readers will see that Nvidia bottomed out at $86.62 intraday on April 7, forming a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern in the process (marked with a curving purple in at the chart's left).
The stock then rallied from that early April low into late July, which I've illustrated with a Raff Regression model (the orange-shaded area above).
However, NVDA next hit stiff resistance from late July through late September, bumping its head up against the Raff Regression's ceiling many times before finally cracking through on Sept. 30.
This resistance formed the upper trendline of what's known as an "ascending-triangle" pattern of bullish continuance, marked with thick black lines at the chart's right.
The top black line now serves as Nvidia's pivot at the $184 level. We can see that since cracking this line in recent days, the stock has tested it from above and found support. (NVDA was trading at $189.85 Monday morning as I wrote this after hitting a $195.62 all-time intraday high on Friday.)
Meanwhile, Nvidia's secondary indicators are postured quite bullishly.
Its Relative Strength Index (the gray line marked "RSI" at the chart's top) is improving and flashing a better-than-neutral signal, but isn't yet technically overbought.
Similarly, all three components of Nvidia's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indications (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) are in good shape.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (blue field) is above the zero-bound, as are the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with a black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line). The best part for the bulls is that the 12-day line is running above the 26-day line and both lines are still rising.
An Options Option
A bullish trader might get involved with Nvidia by initiating a "buy-write" strategy.
This involves purchasing a stock and simultaneously "writing" (i.e. selling) a covered call against that equity position to reduce the investor's net basis. Here's an example:
-- Buy 100 shares of NVDA at or close to $188.
-- Sell (write) one Nov. 21 $210 call for about $4.25. This call will likely expire after Nvidia's 3Q earnings come out.
Net basis: $183.75.
In the example above, selling the covered call will significantly lower the equity position's net basis.
Should the shares be called away in November, the trader would still realize a 14.3% profit. That's fine, but this trade is really about getting long NVDA while finding ways to reduce net basis.
The trader in the example above could theoretically keep writing covered calls against the stock for as long as the equity position exists, further and further reducing net basis.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long NVDA at the time of writing this column.)
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It may not be the end of the world for BTCUSD despite the post-AIt may not be the end of the world for BTCUSD despite the post-ATH cliff-drop.
Technical Analysis
1. After setting a new all-time high, BTCUSD plunged sharply last week, breaking below both EMAs and the last swing low. On the bigger picture, the trend has reverted to a broad sideways phase, potentially, a high-level consolidation awaiting a directional break.
2. However, the range carries a bullish bias as it follows an early-year bullish cycle and has formed a Bullish Megaphone (Broadening Triangle) —a bullish continuation pattern. Last week’s drop is viewed as completing wave 4, the final leg down before the next upswing.
3. If the market is indeed still in an uptrend, price should hold above EMA200 (around 113,000) before rally further to test the channel's upper bound, slightly above the prior high near 126,000.
4. However, if price breaks below the lower boundary of the pattern around 104,000, this view would be invalidated and require reassessment.
Macro Analysis
5. US–China trade tensions spiked after President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports of up to 100% and restrictions on exports of key raw materials—sparking panic in both crypto and global equity markets.
6. Some investors also panicked on rumors about Binance liquidity issues and large-holder selling, with retail participants rushing to exit to avoid near-term risk.
7. Part of last week’s decline was driven by a short squeeze—forced liquidations in leveraged accounts—pushing price down excessively, which is a temporary factor.
8. Overall, the drivers of the decline appear short-term, suggesting the market can recover once weak hands are shaken out.
9. Glassnode data also show that during the drop, whales accumulated and more coins were moved into self-custody wallets, indicating renewed accumulation; this points to the decline being led more by short-term speculators than long-term holders.
10. Separately, US Senator Cynthia Lummis noted that the US could establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve at any time, as the legal framework now allows profits from gold holdings to be reinvested into Bitcoin. Such regulatory acceptance could bolster Bitcoin’s long-term recognition and support prices over time.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Monthly Forex Analysis: GBP/USD– Issue 211 (Free Access)The analyst predicts that the GBP/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 07 Nov 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
BAC Completed a Cup and Handle Model - Get Ready for a BounceBAC Completed a Cup and Handle Model - Get Ready for a Bounce
The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern.
The BAC weekly chart displays a large, rounded bottom that formed over several years, indicating long-term accumulation.
After breaking above the key resistance around $45.50–$47.00, the price pulled back to retest this zone, which is now acting as strong support.
BAC broke out in a solid way the top created on December 2021 thus indicating for signs of a stronger bullish momentum.
As long as the BAC price stays above this area, the trend remains bullish, with potential upside targets near $54.50, $60, and $65.
Support zone: $45.50 – $47.00
Targets:
$54.50
$60.00
$65.00
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
$Doge prepares quietly.In 2020, after breaking the major downtrend from its 2017 peak, Dogecoin experienced a brief period of accumulation and then began its own parabolic run.
A similar structure is forming again today.
The major downtrend from the 2021 ATH has already been broken, and it is currently undergoing a brief accumulation phase before its own bull run.
Short term fluctuations, panic, or euphoria...
It's all just noise.
In the big picture, the trend is moving in the right direction.
When the time comes, Dogecoin will once again begin its run "when no one expects it."
INOX INDIAnox India Ltd. (currently trading at ₹1191) is a global leader in cryogenic equipment manufacturing, serving industrial gases, LNG, green hydrogen, and scientific research sectors. Headquartered in Vadodara, Gujarat, the company operates four manufacturing facilities in India and one in Brazil, with exports to over 50 countries. It specializes in cryogenic tanks, microbulk systems, vaporizers, and bespoke solutions for clean energy, aerospace, healthcare, and fusion research. Inox India is a key supplier to ISRO, ITER, and global EPC clients.
Inox India – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹730 Cr → ₹875 Cr → ₹1,020 Cr → ₹1,180 Cr Growth driven by LNG infra, industrial gas, and fusion energy orders
• Net Profit – ₹155 Cr → ₹180 Cr → ₹225 Cr → ₹260 Cr Earnings supported by high-margin engineering and export mixScreener
• Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong EBITDA margins consistently above 24%; RoCE at 38%, ROE at 29%
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy
• Equity Capital – ₹10.9 Cr (constant) No dilution; lean capital structure post IPO
• Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) Fully equity-financed operations
• Fixed Assets – ₹320 Cr → ₹360 Cr → ₹400 Cr → ₹440 Cr Capex focused on Savli plant, fusion energy, and LNG
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 56.67%, with no pledging. FIIs and DIIs have actively accumulated post IPO citing clean energy exposure and export visibility. Delivery volumes reflect long-term positioning by industrial, energy, and ESG-focused funds.
Business Growth Verdict
Inox India is scaling across LNG, hydrogen, and cryo-scientific infrastructure Margins remain robust due to high-value engineering and global client onboarding Debt-free structure enhances flexibility and reinvestment Capex supports long-term competitiveness and clean energy readiness
Management Highlights
• Q2 FY25: Industrial Gas division contributed 59% of revenue; LNG and scientific segments gaining traction • Order backlog at ₹1,043 Cr; 47% export orders, 50% industrial gas, 23% LNG • ITER fusion project order received; first LCO₂ tank supplied to Taiwan • FY26 outlook: 15–18% revenue growth, margin retention, and PAT expected to cross ₹300 Cr
Final Investment Verdict
Inox India Ltd. offers a high-conviction clean-tech and engineering story built on cryogenic depth, global reach, and scientific credibility. Its improving profitability, zero debt, and multi-sector exposure make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s energy transition, fusion research, and LNG infrastructure. With strong execution, export traction, and cryo-led margin expansion, Inox India remains a durable value creator in the industrial and scientific engineering space.
Indonesia > Abraham Accord
May Peace & Blessings be Upon You ,
No “NEW” International Investor should Purchase or Enter the Market right now.
Indonesia will sign Abraham Accord. This is Guaranteed. Very soon it will be in media.
Please check our last year 2024 posts / books:
“Nov 01 2024 ·10:00 AM: Saudi Arabia will sign Abraham Accord by 2026.”
“Jun 26 2025 ·23:00 AM: Abraham Accord will see new Spike by 2026.”
“Jul 12 2024 · 7:05 AM: No New Global Investor should Purchase or Enter the Global Market right now. Let all Election finish , as Huge Global Laws are coming on 2025.”
“Jul 14 2024 · 9:56 AM: No New International Arab Investor should Purchase or Enter the Arab Market right now. Let all Election finish , as Bashar al-Assad is NOT going to win 2024.”
“Sep 19 2024 · 4:22 PM: Push - Pull = SpirITual Shift”
After the New World policy is implemented, you should all return to the market.
Related industries must consider this Point in their annual research. Check our “VIP Letter” for
Entry/Exit Strategy.
> Smart people position themselves.> Stop asking what's going up or down today start asking why?
>Wealth doesn't come from predicting the future perfectly it comes from preparing for a range of outcomes and positioning yourself accordingly right now with the market
= Win isn't about avoiding risk it's about managing it intelligently
Thank You
Sulaiman Solution
13 October 2025
NQ & ES Premarket Comment Monday 13-10-2025 Good morning everyone,
Following the recent market crash, we’re now left with unfilled gaps both above and below current price levels. As a result, the market is currently trading within an equilibrium zone — a balanced range — after opening significantly higher and leaving a large imbalance behind.
Personally, I don’t expect further downside from here. However, given that today is a U.S. market holiday, I wouldn’t advise active trading. Still, since I’m committed to providing analysis on every open session, here are the scenarios I’m watching:
____________________________________
Daily Bias: Neutral
Possible Scenarios:
1. Scenario One: At the open, price could pull back to find support near the NWOG level. As this unfolds, we’ll likely notice bearish price action showing short-term weakness — breaking through support levels while struggling to gain acceptance above resistance zones. This will signal that the market is testing liquidity pockets before making its true directional move. Once the initial volatility fades and the noise settles, the price action should reveal its true intention. If price then reclaims the equilibrium point (purple line) with conviction, we could see a bullish reversal to the upside.
2. Scenario Two: Alternatively, price may continue to grind higher gradually without offering meaningful pullbacks or discounted entries.
If the first scenario unfolds, we’ll be looking for short opportunities down into the purple line, and then transition to long setups once we see a clean reclaim below and back above that equilibrium area.
If the second scenario plays out, we’ll remain on the sidelines, as any participation under such structure would expose us to unnecessary risk.
________________________________
Trade Focus
Try to capture either the red (bearish) move or the blue (bullish) move — and leave everything else aside.
Avoid forcing trades in the middle of the range; stay patient and let the market commit to a clear directional bias before engaging.
________________________________
Technical Guidance
As the market opens, we’ll monitor the initial price action closely. After the recent volatility and structural resets, today’s best move may simply be to observe. Let the market show its hand first — watch how liquidity is engineered and absorbed.
Smart traders avoid overtrading on days like this — just as a cat avoids a dog.
Remember: it’s always better to have a day with no profits than a day with losses. Stay disciplined, remove ego from decision-making, and use today as a learning opportunity — both for your trading career and your personal development.
Don’t get influenced by social media noise — most traders out there are still lost in volatility. Be patient, stay sharp, and wait for the market to present clean, high-probability setups aligned with your plan.
PF
Longs then shorts for GBPUSDHi Guys,
GU has rejected a resistance area and now entered a corrective phase.
It is also heading towards a high confluence support zone.
After some short term consolidation we are expecting higher prices expect prices up towards its previous resistance levels.
It is also following DXY closely along with EURUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD and USDCHF.
We will remain bullish until FED on Sep 17th where we could see a reversal with the overall picture of DXY being bearish.
Let me know what you think!
When Fear Takes Over the Feed: How to Stay on Top of Your GameFriday wasn’t just a red day — it was the kind of red that makes traders question their life choices.
The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC plunged 3.6% , its worst day since the April tariff-fueled meltdown.
The S&P 500 SP:SPX dropped 2.7%, the Dow Jones TVC:DJI tumbled nearly 900 points, and $1.6 trillion in market value simply evaporated.
Hello tariffs, my old friend.
President Trump announced he’s canceling a planned meeting with China’s Xi Jinping and slapping 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. Just when investors thought the trade wars were over.
It was China this time that triggered the mayhem. President Xi unveiled plans to tighten controls on rare-earth exports, materials critical for EVs and high-tech hardware.
The widespread selling was especially brutal over at the crypto corner with a record $19 billion in liquidations. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD face-planted 7.2% for the day, sliding below $111,000.
So, what’s a trader supposed to do when markets melt faster than your enthusiasm to study the Elliott wave?
Here’s a step-by-step guide that breaks down the psychology of panic and how smart traders stay cool when the feed turns into a fear factory.
🧠 Step One: Understand the “Fear Reflex”
When bad news breaks, the first instinct for most traders is to actually do something. Anything. Sell, short, hedge, pray — anything to make the pain stop. That’s your amygdala (the brain’s alarm system) talking.
When headlines hit, ask yourself:
• Is this new information, a re-spin of old fears, or a projection?
• Does it change the fundamentals of my positions?
• What’s the time frame of this impact — minutes, months, or meme-cycle?
If you can’t answer those calmly, and instead rush to offload your positions, you’re in panic mode and you risk making impulse decisions.
📊 Step Two: Zoom Out (Literally and Mentally)
When fear takes over the feed, the chart shrinks. Traders start staring at 1-minute candles and wonder if they should dump their stocks right now .
That’s the moment to zoom out. Pull up the 4-hour, daily, or weekly chart. You’ll likely notice that Friday’s epic collapse looks less like the apocalypse and more like a blip in an ongoing uptrend.
Case in point: The Nasdaq may have tanked 3.6%, but it’s still sitting near record territory after months of AI-fueled gains. The broader trend — higher highs, higher lows — is intact.
Volatility doesn’t mean reversal. It means emotion acting out. And markets love testing conviction.
💬 Step Three: Tune Out the Noise
When every post in your feed screams “MARKET MELTDOWN!” it’s tempting to join the panic chorus. But that doesn’t mean it’s going to be like that tomorrow.
Take for example the April crash. Stocks were rising and rising , and not too long after, they started hitting record after record .
You don’t need to read 20 opinions — you need one solid plan (and, of course, to be a daily reader of our Top Stories ).
A simple checklist helps:
• Position size: Are you overexposed?
• Stop-loss: Is it placed logically, not emotionally?
• Cash buffer: Do you have dry powder for the dip?
Don’t scramble mid-freefall. Prepare for volatility before it happens.
🧩 Step Four: Identify the Difference Between Noise and Narrative
Every market drop has two layers — the market-shaking news story and how investors perceive it.
• The headline on Friday: “Trump reignites trade war with China.”
• The perception: Markets pricing growth halt, rake hikes, gloom and doom, and apocalypse.
In the short term, that’s fear-inducing. In the medium term? It could actually mean looser monetary policy — which is generally bullish for risk assets like stocks, gold, and even crypto.
In other words, what feels like the end of the world on Friday might look like a buying opportunity by Tuesday.
🧭 Step Five: Play Offense When Others Play Defense
There’s a reason Buffett’s “be fearful when others are greedy” quote is overused — because it’s true.
When the market wipes out $1.6 trillion in a day, it’s a reminder that liquidity and emotion drive short-term moves. If your thesis is intact and you’re not that up high on leverage, you may consider this drop as a time to look for opportunities.
Instead of selling in fear, study which sectors overreacted.
• Tech led the plunge — but if (or when) there’s a rebound, these stocks will most likely be the leaders. Especially now when the third-quarter earnings season is here (check when it’s big tech’s turn to report by browsing the Earnings calendar ).
• Gold and bonds saw inflows — typical defensive plays.
• Energy and industrials may catch bids if tariffs stick.
🪙 A Note to Crypto Bros
Bitcoin’s 7% slide shows that once-independent assets have spent too much time with traditional risk assets.
And now they’re almost impossible to tell apart. As institutional capital grows in crypto, it behaves more like a growth play where risk is embraced during good times, but dumped during bad.
The lesson? Don’t buy the “decoupling” narrative so easily. Bitcoin may hedge against long-term fiat decay, but in a short-term panic, it’s still part of the same risk ecosystem. The smart move is to trade correlations , not beliefs.
If Bitcoin drops with stocks during a tariff tantrum, that’s confirmation that institutional traders are playing both arenas.
🧡 Final Takeaway
Let’s acknowledge that Friday’s bloodbath was catastrophic to many . It wiped out traders that were holding both stocks and crypto. If that happened to you, as painful as it is, keep your head up, take a breath (or a break), and come back another day.
And when you do, widen your chart, trim that leverage and keep your bets nimble so you’d survive the next inevitable meltdown.
Finally, we can't not address the elephant in the room. It was likely another Trump-led market rinse-and-repeat cycle: tweet, panic, rebound. Futures are recovering after Trump waved away tariff fears , saying “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!”
Off to you : How did you fare Friday? And what's your way of weathering the market storms? Share your experience in the comments!
ETH Intra-Day Analysis 13-Oct-25
After the Sell-off that took place on Friday Oct-10, due to the fear in the markets after the US President announced 100% tariffs on Chinese Exports.
The move triggered massive liquidation which wiped out around 19B in 1 day.
Later during the weekend we started to head a de-escalation tone from Trump.
In this video, we are sharing the areas of interest we will be looking at on ETH.
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AUDJPY Technical & Fundamental Analysis | 13 October 2025Market Structure
AUDJPY continues to display a well-established bullish structure, respecting its ascending trendline that has guided price since mid-year. The recent pullback into the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone, located around 98.00–98.50, aligns with a previous Break of Structure (BOS) and a clear area of institutional demand.
This confluence suggests that the current move is likely a re-accumulation phase before the market resumes its bullish expansion. As long as price remains above 96.12, the broader bias stays firmly bullish.
technical Concepts :
The pair maintains a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong bullish order flow.
The demand zone around 98.00–98.50 represents an area where liquidity was swept and absorbed, creating a potential launch point for the next impulsive wave.
With downside liquidity already collected, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, with price expected to target the liquidity resting above 101.00, 102.50, and eventually the 104.00–104.30 region.
Momentum remains supportive — every retracement shows diminishing bearish volume, a clear indication of smart money accumulation within a sustained trend.
Fundamental Context
From a macroeconomic standpoint, monetary divergence continues to drive this pair. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains a relatively tight stance as inflation remains persistent, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy.
This yield differential continues to favor the AUD over the JPY.
Additionally, rising commodity prices — particularly in iron ore and LNG — continue to support the Australian dollar. With global risk sentiment relatively stable, the environment remains favorable for carry trades and risk-on flows, reinforcing the bullish bias on AUDJPY through Q4 2025.
Strategic Outlook
The overall market bias remains bullish in the medium term.
A confirmed bullish reaction within the 98.00–98.50 demand zone could provide an optimal entry opportunity.
As long as the structure holds above 96.12, the pair is projected to advance toward 101.00, 102.50, and potentially 104.00 in the coming weeks.
Below 97.50, the structure would be invalidated and signal a deeper corrective phase.
📊 Conclusion:
AUDJPY remains supported by both technical confluence and fundamental strength. The setup presents a well-structured opportunity for traders aligning with institutional order flow and higher timeframe trends.
⚡️ Don’t gamble the markets — trade with confluence, structure, and discipline.
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Gold price analysis October 13#XAUUSD – Gold continues to maintain strength, heading towards new peaks
After a short correction period, gold is gradually regaining its upward momentum and approaching the historical peak (ATH). The main trend is still Uptrend, so the trading strategy at the present time is still completely inclined towards the BUY side.
The market is showing a positive reaction at strong support zones that previously helped the buyers dominate: 4024 – 3990 – 3950. These are considered important “defensive” zones of the uptrend.
Trading plan:
BUY Trigger: When a price rejection signal or a bullish reversal pattern appears at the 4024 – 3990 – 3950 zone
Target: Heading towards the 4100 zone
The trend is still clear, prioritize waiting for confirmation signals at support to synchronize with the market instead of catching peaks against the trend.