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Fundamental Analysis

Short first, then long; perfectly grasping the market rhythm.On Tuesday, the bottoming strategy suggested that gold should pay attention to the 4000 level for a rebound and correction. As expected, it rebounded to around 4040. After the opening, a short position was arranged at 4052, which reached the profit target of 4030 as expected. Then, a long position was arranged at 4000, which was closed at 4015. The intraday strategy was to first short and then long, reaping a profit of 37 pips! Gold prices continued their weak opening on Tuesday, with selling pressure emerging after breaking below short-term moving averages yesterday. Although delayed data such as the September non-farm payrolls will be released this week, the results may reinforce the Federal Reserve's stance of holding rates steady, putting continued pressure on gold prices. Overall, gold prices are likely to adjust this week. With no major data releases today, the market focus is on speeches by Federal Reserve officials and changes in expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold's technical outlook remains bearish. The hourly chart is still within a standard downward channel. After rebounding to around 4055 at the open, it fell back again, indicating a weak corrective structure. No effective reversal signal has been seen in the short term. The strength or weakness of the European session will be the key observation point for today's trend. The watershed above is still the 4045-4070 area. As long as the price continues to be pressured below this range, the bearish structure is likely to continue. The first support level to watch is the 4000 mark. If it breaks down effectively, the bearish target will continue to be around 3980. In terms of trading strategy, if there is a rebound to the 4045-4070 area before or after the European session, consider shorting gold in batches, following the channel structure. The overall outlook remains bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
3
NUAI Reversal So, interesting developments as the chart unfold. Downtrend crossing up twice. MACD convergence. Clear reversal pattern established. Goes into short term consolidation Breakout top channel price up to resistance at 4.5 Might find new support at 4.12 and if so there i will buy more Next wave should have strong momentum to breakout 4.5 resistance and test close to 5 In case the price will stay and established support around 4.30 it might head straight up to test the resistance at 5 in the next wave NUAI presents strong and solid behavior under the strong market correction lately. Low float, good and clever administration shows great responsibility for the the company, market value and their investors. Next catalyst: Contract with a tenant announcement and hopefully one of the big companies. Anyway in my opinion the scenarios are bullish in the short term and if the administration will keep navigating this company wisely as they do now the valuation in 2 years can be very high. Best of luck in our trading journey!
NASDAQ:NUAILong
by deanweasel
2
Deposits All Commercial Banks & US DebtWhen a politician and their buddy start spouting nonsense about the US debt spiraling out of control, but then insist that tax cuts are great because they’ll create jobs, and all that money will somehow trickle down to the rest of us, magically boosting tax revenue to "make up" for the lost funds. Especially when that same politician was re-elected bc inflation & the economy were just so horrible, promising he would come in and save the day bringing prices down again with more tax cuts because they worked so great the first time around. That's the extreme right. What about the extreme left #MMT? #MMT is just as bad as MAGAs! They will tell you deficits are great! Deficits add to our savings! Deficits make us all richer! It's accounting, they say! it has to be that way! Except for the little fact that it's not based on empirical evidence. So the next time some B.S. Artist tells you their little version of a fictional money story, you will know what reality is since 2018. You will have seen this chart with your own eyes and cannot unsee it! No matter what you do, no matter what side you lean politically, it's irrelevant. Public debt since the tax cuts have grown exponentially, while the private sector deposits have lagged to the point they have stagnated completely since 2021. Barely rising 6%. Defunding CIA, FBI, USAID, Dept of Education etc.. will do absolutely nothing to make up for all the lost tax revenue since 2018 and the next tax cuts to follow. In fact, when we enter a recession, the deficits will explode even higher as tax revenues collapse and social and economic stabilizers (if there are any left) kick in. Then what? Don't shoot the messenger!
FRED:DPSACBW027SBOGLong
by RealMacro
2
USD/JPY Facing Intervention Risk?The USD/JPY pair is trading around 155.40 today as the dollar gains ground against the yen amid a shift in risk sentiment and fading expectations of a near‑term rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The yen recovered slightly but remains under pressure after the pair hit multi‑month highs near 155.90; Japanese officials are signaling concern over the weakness and rising volatility in the currency market. So while the Yen has room to weaken on the back of rate differentials and fiscal consternation in Japan, further the risk of Japanese FX intervention is increasing, which could act as a ceiling on upside for the pair. In the above chart, USD/JPY rates have finally breached the February 2025 swing high near 155, the culmination of a two-week effort to scale resistance. Momentum continues to point higher, with USD/JPY well-supported by its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on pullbacks. The 2025 high at 158.88 is now in focus; a drop below the 20-day EMA would suggest that the rally has run out of steam.
by tastyfx
PANW Rose 55% in Six Months to Record Highs. What Its Chart SaysAI-powered cybersecurity giant Palo Alto Networks NASDAQ:PANW recently hit an all-time high after rising some 55% from its April lows. What does its chart and fundamental analysis say ahead of this week's fiscal Q1 earnings report? Let's take a look: Palo Alto Networks' Fundamental Analysis PANW plans to report results after the bell on Wednesday for the three months ended Oct. 31. The company will bat leadoff among major cybersecurity stocks, with rivals Zscaler NASDAQ:ZS reporting results next week and CrowdStrike NASDAQ:CRWD the week after that. That said, Cisco Systems NASDAQ:CSCO -- whose primary business is networking, but whose second-largest operation is security -- last week reported a 2% year-over-year contraction in security revenues, although CSCO posted a very good quarter overall. I'm not quite sure what the portends for PANW's earnings, but it bears keeping in mind. As I write this, the Street's consensus estimate for Palo Alto Networks calls for the firm to report $0.89 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $2.5 billion of revenue. That would represent a sharp contraction from PANW's year-ago print of $1.56 in adjusted EPS, but about a 15% gain from fiscal Q1 2025's $2.1 billion in revenue. All told, 35 of the 46 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover PANW have increased their earnings estimates since the quarter began, while only one analyst has revised their estimate lower. (Ten have left their forecasts unchanged.) Palo Alto Networks' Technical Analysis Now check out PANW's chart going back approximately one year and running through last Tuesday: I'd be lying if I were to say that looking at this chart, I'm not concerned about PANW's short-term future. Readers will see that from late 2024 into early 2025, PANW developed a double-top pattern of bearish reversal, as marked with two red boxes, a jagged red line and pink shading at the chart's left. Technically speaking, this pattern worked like a charm, with PANW falling some 30% from a $208.39 February high to a $144.15 April low. Then this past spring, the stock developed a rising-wedge pattern of bearish reversal, as noted in the above chart's center. Once again, this pattern worked like a charm. PANW fell some 21% in a matter of weeks from a $210.39 July peak to a $165.21 August low. Next, Palo Alto Networks put together yet another rising-wedge pattern of bearish reversal from August into late October, as denoted at the above chart's right. Since then, PANW has fallen 9.3% between hitting a $223.61 all-time intraday high on Oct. 28 and closing on Monday at $202.90. All in, this stock has repeatedly developed bearish patterns over the past year -- and so far, these set-ups have preceded fairly sharp sell-offs. In fact, PANW is currently struggling with its latest bearish pattern ahead of earnings. The stock has recently been testing its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $208.60) from above. That $208.60 level now represents the stock's downside pivot, and PANW closed below that on Friday and Monday. Meanwhile, PANW's $223.61 Oct. 28 record high might be the stock's upside pivot. Readers will also see that Palo Alto Networks' Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is still neutral, but appears to be weakening. Similarly, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is sending some bearish signals. The histogram of the 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) is below the zero-bound and has been for most of the past six weeks. In addition, the 12-day EMA (the black line) moved below the 26-day EMA (the gold line) in early November, and both of those lines have moved towards zero from above. An Options Options As I write this, the options market is pricing in a roughly 6.5% move in PANW's share price in response to the company's upcoming earnings. With Palo Alto Networks trading at about $203 recently, a 6.5% move would put the shares in a roughly $190-$216 range. Some option traders who are neither bullish nor bearish on PANW might look to take advantage of any greater-than-expected post-earnings move by the stock by employing a so-called "long strangle." That consists of simultaneously buying a call with a higher strike price and a put with a lower strike price, with both having the same expiration date. Conversely, some options traders who expect PANW won't move that much at all around this week's earnings might use what's called a "short strangle" to attempt to take in some premium. A short strangle consists of simultaneously selling a call with a higher strike price and a put with a lower one -- again, with both contracts having the same expiration date. Here's an example of a short strangle: -- Selling one PANW $195 put with a Nov. 21 expiration date (i.e., after the earnings release). This would cost about $3.70 at recent prices. -- Selling one Nov. 21 PANW $215 call for about $3.70. Net credit: $7.40 Should the shares not trade outside of the $195-$215 range at expiration, the options would expire worthless and the trader would keep the $7.40 net credit above. But on the downside, an options trader faces two risks at expiration with this trade. First, the person could end up owning 100 PANW shares at a $187.60 net basis at a time when the shares are trading below $195. Conversely, the trader risks being short 100 PANW shares (with theoretically unlimited risk) at a $222.40 net basis when the shares are trading above $215. Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long PANW and CRWD at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. 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Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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NASDAQ:PANW
by moomoo
1
SAP has exited an uptrend and is now forming two peaksSAP has exited an uptrend and is now forming two peaks. I would not call this a double-top formation since there is no supporting evidence in the volume. However, one should be aware that the price has support around 213 (see also the 3-year volume profile). If the support holds, this is positive for the price. But if there is a breakdown with increased volume, it would be a sell signal in the medium term (1–6 months) for investors with that time horizon. The price currently has negative momentum as it is trading below all moving averages (50, 100, 200), the Ichimoku cloud, and the RSI 21 is trending downward. Fundamental analysts remain broadly positive on the stock. My assessment is that the valuation has been too high for some investors, prompting profit-taking. Whether the valuation — with a P/E of around 40–50 — is still considered too high remains to be seen. It should also be noted that while annual results are positive, they fluctuate significantly. Disclaimer: I hold a position in SAP. I do not use a stop loss regarding a potential breakdown below 213, but I have set an alert. I will only consider selling if there is a breakdown with strong volume, and in that case I would look to buy back at a lower level. My overall position is long on SAP.
XETR:SAP
by scorpiris
PGNY. Bullish technical setup, weak fundamentals, Key levelsThis analysis combines NASDAQ:PGNY both fundamental and technical perspectives. Fundamental View From a fundamental standpoint, PGNY looks weak and potentially overvalued. 1. EPS and profitability EPS remains unstable. After reaching break even around 2021, it has been fluctuating between 0.4 and 0.6. There is no clear EPS growth trend, which puts pressure on the valuation. 2. Revenue growth Revenue growth used to be strong at 40 to 50 percent per year. Over the past year growth has slowed dramatically to about 7 percent. The expected quarterly growth is around 10 percent which is still far below historical levels. 3. Forward P E The forward P E is around 44 which is expensive given the current fundamentals. 4. Cash flow and capital structure Cash flow has been flat since 2024. The liquidity cushion is small at about 190 million and not growing. The company executed a small buyback from May to December 2024 but is now slightly diluting shares by 0.3 to 0.6 percent. Fundamental conclusion: The stock looks overpriced. Growth is slowing and EPS is not improving while valuation remains high. Technical View Technical analysis gives a much more bullish picture. 1. Completion of a large Wave Two Price appears to have completed a W X Y corrective structure. The important OX trendline has been broken which is a strong bullish signal. 2. Local wave structure A clear first and second wave have formed to the upside. The trendline breakout was confirmed by a candle with increased volume. Usually after such a breakout price retests the line from above and continues higher. Expected movement: potential retest near 20 after that a move toward 45 above 45 the next technical target is around 68 3. Volume profile Price is currently sitting at the lower boundary of the major volume cluster between 20 and 25 dollars. This area is strong support where reversals often occur. Gaps and Risks There are several important gaps that may influence the price action. 1. Gap at 18 to 19 dollars Price may attempt to fill this gap. It would be a sharp correction but it is possible. My stop loss is set at 18 dollars. A breakdown below this level destroys the current bullish structure. 2. Gap near 15 dollars This gap has never been closed. Fundamentally the company is weak so the scenario of a deeper correction is not impossible. However the most likely scenario still suggests that this gap may remain open. My Position I currently hold PGNY in my portfolio. My entry price is 16.40 dollars. My stop loss is set at 18 dollars which is the level that would invalidate my bullish structure. Summary PGNY is in a mixed position. Fundamentals are weak and valuation looks elevated. Technicals are bullish with a trendline breakout supported by volume. Short term price movement will likely include a correction toward 20 to 21. A dip to 19 to close the gap is possible before any move higher. If the technical setup holds targets are 45 and then 68. Risks remain due to the open gaps at 18 to 19 and 15. A breakdown below 18 would signal a bearish reversal.
NASDAQ:PGNYLong
by sdk-trading
Risk Management for Automated SystemsAutomation gives you speed, consistency, and emotionless execution, but it also has a dark side. A bot can follow rules perfectly, but if the rules are risky, it will amplify the danger with mechanical precision. That’s why risk management is the backbone of every successful automated strategy. It doesn’t matter how good your code is — without proper risk control, even the smartest system can fail fast. Below are five core pillars of risk management that every trader should build into their automation framework. 1. Know Your Maximum Drawdown Every trading system, even the best one, goes through losing streaks. What matters isn’t avoiding them, but controlling how deep they cut. Setting a maximum drawdown limit defines the exact point where your bot pauses or shuts down. Whether it’s 5%, 10%, or 20%, this boundary protects your capital and your mindset. Why it matters: Prevents “death spirals” during high volatility Stops the system if market conditions change Forces you to step back and evaluate logic Protects the account from black swan trends A bot that can’t stop itself, is a bot that will eventually blow up. A bot that knows when to stop, survives. 2. Position Sizing Is Everything You can have the best entry logic in the world, but if your position sizes are inconsistent or too large, the system becomes unstable. Smart position sizing adapts to: Account balance Market volatility Asset liquidity A fixed-percentage model, such as risking 1–2% per trade, keeps performance steady even during rough periods. It also allows your system to grow naturally without taking oversized risks. Think of sizing as the volume knob of your bot — turn it too high, and you distort everything. 3. Avoid Correlated Exposure Running several bots doesn’t automatically mean you are diversified. Many traders make the mistake of running multiple strategies that all rely on the same market behavior. For example: Three momentum bots on BTC, ETH, and SOL are still highly correlated Two trend systems may fail at the same time if the market suddenly ranges Several “dip-buying” strategies will all get hit hard during a crash True diversification means mixing: Uncorrelated assets Different signal types Varying timeframes Both trend and mean-reversion logic The goal is for your bots to perform differently, not identically. 4. Review Your System’s Risk Profile Markets change, and so should your risk model. Volatility increases and decreases, spreads widen, volume dries up, and certain assets become more unpredictable. Regular reviews ensure your system stays aligned with real conditions. What to check: Has drawdown increased over the last quarter? Are trades becoming larger than planned due to volatility shifts? Has your system entered a new market phase it wasn’t designed for? Are win rates or profit factor weakening? A quarterly or monthly audit reveals issues before they explode. Risk management isn’t a one-time setup — it’s a continuous process. A strategy tester can be very good tool to help you manage risk properly and evaluate risk. Here is an example from one of our strategies. 5. Let Risk Management Be Automated Too If your entries are automated but your risk controls aren’t, you’re only half-protected. Risk management logic you can automate: Stop-loss placement Progressive stop tightening Position scaling Reducing size after a losing streak Pausing after reaching a daily or weekly limit Complete shutdown at max drawdown This turns your bot into a self-regulating system that responds to both opportunity and danger. The more risk rules you automate, the less emotional interference you’ll face — and the more consistent your results become.
Education
by Green_Squad
3
Those must be one of the best times to buy Cardano tokens [ADA]It very rarely happens that a coin similar to both BTC (UTXO model/limited supply) and ETH (programmable/smart contracts) has its bearish low lower than the last cycle's highest top. Tech stocks are somehow related to Crypto tech tokens, Therefore BTC likes to correlate to other Alts, but for the longer-term BTC on itself is closer to Gold from the Store of value standpoint and medium of exchange (the lightning network has been developing rapidly recently). The bottom line is sometimes BTC and crypto will correlate to gold and sometimes it will correlate to stocks, it's not one or the other only. The statistics are very clear that crypto is the most uncorrelated asset. Keep in mind the global situation with Russia and Ukraine is somehow dragging the US stock market that was already long overdue to pop bubble sooner than later. The situation with Canadian truckers only confirmed that storing BTC and any crypto on custodian exchange is a bad idea and breaks the purpose of decentralization, do keep your crypto off those central points of failure, and remember, those news are not negative for BTC and other cryptos, they are positive. Truly decentralized ledger blockchain technology cannot be stopped, govs can only block fiat on/off ramps, and even there people are getting smarter and more creative. For the longer timeframes in my opinion any buy below 0.95 cents for ADA is a good buy, make sure not to wait too long, this thought has 5-year time horizon. Do not trade daily, it's a waste of time and money.
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by Teqnkka
1
DHT - Precision Swing Long TradingView Idea: DHT (DHT Holdings) - Precision Swing Long (Perfect Technical Alignment + Value) 🎯 Ticker: DHT (NYSE) 📈 Type: Swing Long ⏰ Timeframe: Daily & 4H 📊 Technical Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Trend: BULLISH Across All Timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H) ✅ Technical Consensus: RARE "Triple Buy" Signal (Daily, 4H, 1H Recommendations) Momentum: RSI (67.6) shows strong bullish momentum without being overbought Pattern: Trading in a tight consolidation range, poised for a breakout above $13.70 💡 Trading Thesis: DHT presents an exceptional technical setup combined with attractive valuation: PERFECT TECHNICAL ALIGNMENT: Uncommon "Triple Buy" signal across all major timeframes indicates unified bullish pressure. Price is above all key moving averages, confirming the uptrend. Consolidation near highs suggests accumulation before a potential breakout. STRONG FUNDAMENTAL SUPPORT: Undervalued: P/E ratio of ~11 is attractive for the sector. Healthy Balance Sheet: Perfect 10/10 Debt Health Score with manageable leverage. Stable Operations: Moderate earnings growth provides a solid foundation. SECTOR TAILWINDS: Tanker shipping rates showing resilience, providing a favorable backdrop. ⚡ Trading Plan: 🎯 Entry: $13.72 (Breakout above consolidation resistance) 🛑 Stop Loss: $12.50 (Below key support and the 50-day SMA) 💰 Profit Target: $16.14 (Measured move from consolidation pattern) 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3.1 (Exceptional for a swing trade) 📉 Risk Management Notes: Stop Loss is placed to protect against a false breakout and a shift in the daily trend. Consider taking partial profits near $15.00 if momentum slows. The excellent R/R ratio allows for a smaller position size to maintain strict risk control. Only enter if the breakout above $13.70 is confirmed with volume. Conclusion: DHT offers a high-probability, high-reward setup driven by a rare perfect technical alignment and supported by a value-oriented fundamental case. The 1:3.1 risk/reward ratio makes this a compelling swing trade opportunity. Trade with discipline! Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal tolerance and strategy. #DHT #SwingTrading #Long #Shipping #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #ValueInvesting
NYSE:DHTLong
by shortermtrader
UNI 4H – Post-UNIfication consolidation longUniswap remains one of the key DEX protocols: TVL is around $4.5B and 30-day DEX volume is roughly $94.6B, which keeps Uniswap at the top of the sector by liquidity and fee generation. Over the last 30 days UNI is up ~+22%, with a sharp acceleration in November (70%+ week) after the UNIfication proposal: enabling protocol fees and burning up to 100M UNI (~16% of supply). That fundamentally changes expectations for UNI as a value-accrual token rather than “governance only”. On derivatives, UNI trades with deep liquidity: OI ≈ $560M, ~ $1.16B futures volume and ~$220M spot per 24h, so larger positions can enter/exit without severe slippage. Regulatory tail risk also eased earlier this year when the SEC closed its investigation into Uniswap Labs without charges. Technical setup (#4h) After the vertical post-UNIfication spike into the 10–11 area, UNI has been digesting the move in a sideways 4H range roughly between 7.3 and 8.1: Price is hovering around the 4H EMA band; on higher TFs (1D–3D) UNI still trades above the main EMAs, keeping the broader uptrend intact. Multiple tests of the lower part of the range (7.3–7.5) have been bought back, with my PRICE_EMA long signals firing near the lower deviation/ATR zone. Overhead, a major supply/OB cluster sits around 10–10.5, which also matches the prior spike highs and HTF resistance. I view this as a post-news consolidation above support within an emerging bullish trend. Strategy context This trade comes from my 4H EMA-based swing system (trend-following mode): The system focuses on buying pullbacks to the EMA band during strong momentum phases and targeting prior liquidity zones. Sample of 30+ trades on alts shows roughly ~70% win rate with average winners larger than losers, at the cost of relatively wide stops and multi-day holding times. UNI currently fits the “momentum + consolidation on EMAs” template for this system. Trade plan (swing 3–10 days) Entry zone: ~7.5–7.7 (current spot around 7.6–7.7). Main target: 10.2–10.3 – retest of the post-UNIfication spike high and upper supply block. Stop / invalidation: below 6.8–6.9 (under the lower ATR band and recent local lows). A 4H close below this zone would mean the consolidation broke down and the “second leg” scenario is off. This gives a rough R:R of ~3.5:1 from entry to the 10.2–10.3 target. I’ll look to trail partial size if price breaks and holds above 8.5 (orange level) with strong volume, but the core idea is to catch one clean extension from the current range into the upper resistance cluster. Fundamental snapshot Key bullish points: UNIfication: proposal to turn on protocol fees and burn up to 100M UNI (~16% supply), aligning Labs, Foundation and DAO economics and finally connecting UNI to protocol cash flows. Strong fee engine: Uniswap generates ~$1.25B annualized fees, ~$100M in the last 30 days, currently all going to LPs – a large “pool of value” that fee switch can redirect partially to UNI. Sector leadership: ~$94.6B 30-day DEX volume and deep liquidity in UNI markets (tens of millions in depth), making it one of the core DeFi blue chips. SEC case closed: investigation into Uniswap Labs ended without charges, cutting a major tail risk. Key risks: UNIfication is not fully implemented yet – parameters of fee switch and burn (LP share vs DAO vs burn) can still change and may trigger LP outflows. DeFi / DEX tokens as a group still trade at a discount vs L1s, and Fear & Greed is in Extreme Fear territory. UNI is still ~−80% below its $44 ATH, so structurally it’s early in any potential new DeFi cycle. Alternative scenario If UNI breaks down and starts closing 4H candles below 6.8–6.9 with no new positive catalysts on UNIfication or DeFi sentiment, I’ll treat this setup as invalid and stand aside, watching the 6.0–5.5 area for a deeper retrace and fresh structure before considering new longs. Not financial advice — just my structured 4H EMA swing long on UNI, combining the current consolidation pattern with system stats and the UNIfication fundamental narrative.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
XRP MONTH OF ETF'S! 🔥 Hey hey, if your reading this I hope this finds you well. Been a while and figured it'd be good to catch up with things and make a quick analysis on what we're dealing with and looking at on our technical and beyond analysis'. 🔥 The last month or so has seen much of the digital space take on a rather big slump being led by Bitcoin's 14% decline from that $115,000 mark down to the $94-95,000 range. That being said XRP has managed to hold and keep it's gains much better than most others in the space, especially as it holds above that $2.1 mark, even after the flash sale that hit October 10th the asset has held strong. 🔥 It's great to see that price action has been pretty steady, even as we've been dragged down thanks to a descending channel so that's been positive to see the market's resilience through everything. I've set a price alert at $1.95 should we break below that but with tomorrow's XRP ETF launch we may just see things bounce from where we are with bullish optimism, hype. 🔥 Main thing I'll be watching for is the descending channel, mainly looking for bullish confirmation if we reenter the channel and another confirmation would be if we could break out of the channel for a breakout which could help sustain that momentum and help us retest $2.5 and even $3 depending on just how much investors and institutions are willing to buy into the ETF on the opening. 🔥 Definitely won't be easy though, it has also been reported that a whale has transferred roughly $95 Million worth of XRP to Binance within the last few days. Might not mean much but historically speaking more often then not we're use to seeing whales move large quantities off cold storage to the exchanges prior to large events whether it's an ETF or some hype for a project or asset in anticipation of selling some or buying more using leverage depending on which way things lean. So least to say, it'll be a fight this week for bulls and bears. 🔥 Main driver we've got right now for XRP is it's ETF debut's this month with it's first being Canary's Capital funds XRP ETF which saw a record $58 million in volume for the first day setting 2025's ETF debut record. That's been a good boost and with Franklin Templeton's XRP ETF launch today expectations are high for the new investment vehicle so hoping we get some positive price action today. 🔥 Last but not least, much as we love doing our beyond analysis, for our technical we're watching this falling wedge to see if XRP can breakout of that channel and possibly give us the breakout we've been waiting on. If there's ever a day we'd want it, it's today and at the very least this week so keeping track with that and my alert for $2.19 should we reverse and fall further. Either way keep posted and keep your spirits up. 🔥 End of the day, everything works out, just have to trust in the process. Thanks for joining me today and wishing all the best. 🔥 Best regards as always till next time, ~ Rock'
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by Rocksorgate
Market Snapshot: US100, US500 & XAU/USD – Key Levels to Watch ThUS100 (Nasdaq 100) – Bearish Momentum Persists The US100 continues to trade below the key 25,626 gap, confirming the Island Top formation. Bulls are struggling to reclaim territory as sellers maintain pressure. Key Levels Support: 24,980 – 24,720 Resistance: 25,350 – 25,620 Bias: Bearish below 25,626 Technical Outlook Price is forming lower highs, and momentum remains weak. A break below 24,720 opens room for a deeper correction toward 24,300. 📈 US500 (S&P 500) – Sideways but Vulnerable The S&P 500 is consolidating within a tight range, showing indecision as traders await U.S. data releases later this week. Key Levels Support: 5,220 Resistance: 5,310 Bias: Neutral → Bearish if 5,220 breaks Technical Outlook A clean break below 5,220 could trigger a sharper pullback toward 5,150, while recovery above 5,310 would strengthen bullish momentum. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Still Under Pressure Below $4,100 Gold has slipped below the $4,100 mark, with uncertainty around U.S. data and Fed rate expectations weighing on sentiment. Key Levels Support: 4,040 Resistance: 4,120 Bias: Bearish below 4,100 Technical Outlook As long as gold stays below 4,100, sellers are favored. Watch for a retest of 4,040, where a bounce or breakdown will determine the next sharp move.
by The_new_world_order
11/18/25 - $gamb - lol11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GAMB lol - won't rehash the one i wrote a few days ago but just to add - i'm here buying everyone's bags - at over 20% implied FCF yields, growth totally reset and still DD - the casino SEO biz effectively priced to go out of business in 2 yr - and the data business at 1/2 industry avg (despite it's growing faster and smaller) - you do you - but when i talk about the market doing silly things in 2H of 4Q and 1H of 1Q... this is the poster child of this sort of emotional behavior - must be too much fluoride in the water - be thoughtful :) V
NASDAQ:GAMBLong
by VROCKSTAR
Bullish Analysis. (Gold) SL Hit🟦 POST READY TO SHARE 📉 Losing Trade… with the Right Analysis (XAU/USD) Today I’m sharing a trade that ended in Stop Loss, but delivered a huge lesson. And yes — I don’t only post winners. Transparency builds real traders. 🔍 What was the idea behind the trade? • Mitigation of the FVG • ChoCH at demand • Reaction at the 5M OB • Fake Out sweeping liquidity • BOS confirming bullish intent • Full institutional sequence: Liquidity → Mitigation → Rejection → Expansion 🎯 So, what happened? Price completed: ✔ The liquidity sweep ✔ The mitigation ✔ The rejection ✔ The bullish BOS ✔ The entire push to TP1 and TP2 BUT before taking off… 👉 it swept my SL by just a few pips. Classic gold manipulation. 🧠 Professional lesson This wasn’t a bad analysis. This wasn’t misreading structure. It was gold doing what gold does — deeper liquidity sweep before expansion. This doesn’t invalidate my idea. It validates my vision. 💬 Motivational message “Great traders aren’t built by wins… they’re built by process. A losing trade doesn’t lower your level — it sharpens it. Those who only show wins aren’t growing… those who show the journey build consistency.”
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
1
Gold Rebounds at Channel Support – Short-Term Bullish OutlookXAU/USD – Gold Analysis After the recent drop in gold and the continued strength of the U.S. dollar, price has reached the lower boundary of the ascending channel. As long as this level doesn’t break, it remains a positive sign. Today’s candle has left a bullish wick with a solid body, showing that there is still buying interest at this support. For today, I expect gold to move toward the mid-channel area, where the next reaction will give us more information about the short-term trend. Even though gold appears to be forming a bearish structure overall, it still needs to grab liquidity to the upside before continuing lower. That’s why, for now, my bias for today is bullish, expecting a corrective move upward before the market decides its next major direction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dan-Goldfx