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Fundamental Analysis

BTC/USD - Order Block Retest Sets $93K vs. $86K DecisionKey Technical Observations • Order Block (OB) Identification: The red rectangular zone, approximately between $89,500 and $90,000, is labeled as an OB. This zone represents a price level where institutional orders were likely executed, making it a critical area of potential support or resistance when the price revisits it. • Current Price Action: The price is currently retesting the lower boundary of this OB, trading at approximately $89,320.31. • Dual Possibilities: The chart illustrates two potential paths forward, suggesting a high-volatility decision point at the current level. 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal (Uptrend Continuation) • Condition: The price successfully holds the Order Block (OB) area as support and shows a strong rejection of the lower prices. This would imply that the buy-side institutional orders at the OB were successfully 'filled' and are now pushing the price back up. • Entry Signal: A clear break and close of a 30-minute candle above the OB (e.g., above $90,000) or a bullish candle pattern forming right on the support. • Target: The move is projected to target the upper level at approximately $93,000. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakout (Downtrend Continuation) • Condition: The price breaks decisively below the Order Block (OB) area. This would indicate that the selling pressure has overwhelmed the buy orders in the OB, leading to a breakdown of a key structural level. • Entry Signal: A clear break and close of a 30-minute candle below the OB (e.g., below $89,500) and/or confirmation of the OB zone flipping to new resistance on a retest. • Target: The move is projected to target the lower level at approximately $86,000. 🔥 Trade Strategy Recommendation Traders should wait for confirmation of which scenario is playing out: 1. For a Long Position (Scenario 1): Wait for a strong bounce and candle close above the OB zone to confirm support is holding, with a stop-loss placed just below the low of the OB structure. 2. For a Short Position (Scenario 2): Wait for a clear 30-minute candle close below the OB zone to confirm the breakdown, with a stop-loss placed just above the high of the OB structure. Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on a single chart and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk carefully.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Hamza_Gold
1
Analysis for What’s Coming - AI Bubble Sentiment The US markets have been described as “on a rally” for quite some time. I would not agree if it is meant to describe the overall US market, but would agree if it refers specifically to AI or tech stocks. Why? Among the four major US indices, the Russell—representing a much broader base of US-listed companies—continues to struggle to break above its high from last year, even though the others have far surpassed it. In fact, it has since corrected by 9.5% since its all-time high just last month. After that, the other indices are also following suit only in the past few days, breaking below this uptrend that started in April. Micro E-mini Russell 2000 Index Ticker: M2K Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:M2K1!Short
by konhow
24
Merck (NYSE: $MRK) Wins EU Approval for Subcutaneous KeytrudaMerck (NYSE: NYSE:MRK ) has secured a major regulatory milestone after the European Commission approved a new subcutaneous version of Keytruda, the company’s flagship cancer therapy. This marks a significant expansion for one of the world’s best-selling immunotherapy drugs, previously only administered intravenously. The new formulation allows injections under the skin, giving patients faster, more convenient access to treatment while reducing strain on hospital infusion facilities. The approval applies to all adult indications for which Keytruda is already authorized in the European Union. Keytruda works by activating the body’s immune system to identify and attack cancer cells, and it remains a cornerstone therapy across multiple cancer types. Merck reported more than $23.3 billion in Keytruda sales during the first nine months of the year, underscoring the drug’s central role in the company’s revenue base. The new delivery method may further strengthen market demand, especially in regions prioritizing efficiency and patient comfort. From a technical standpoint, Merck’s stock continues to trade in a bullish structure. Price action remains firmly above a long-standing ascending support trendline that has held since 2019. As long as this structure remains intact, the next major long-term upside target sits at the $134 level, a zone supported by higher-timeframe momentum. A temporary pullback is possible, and any retracement could provide a retest of the ascending support before buyers attempt another continuation. Overall, Merck’s regulatory win adds fundamental strength to an already constructive technical outlook. With Keytruda’s expanded accessibility and consistent revenue performance, long-term sentiment appears supportive. Bulls will want price to stay above the structural trendline to maintain the pathway toward the $134 target.
NYSE:MRKLong
by DEXWireNews
Gold price analysis November 19Gold is showing a very positive reaction around the large-frame trendline, where buying pressure is quite strong. The break of the key resistance zone 4080 has opened up a new bullish momentum and sent the market straight towards the psychological level of 4100. The bullish structure is more clearly consolidated and the current momentum is targeting the resistance zone 4145 – the upper range of today's trading session. The previous BUY setups have worked out well, especially the position from 4075 which has given impressive profits. The overall trend remains in favor of the buyers while the important support zones continue to be well defended. 💡 Reference strategy: Current BUY around 4090 BUY when price rejection signal at support 4080 BUY DCA when price breaks 4103 Target: 4175 – even extend to 4200 Risk: trend invalidated if price breaks trendline and closes candle below 4050
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
QuyetP | XAUUSD Rises on Point — Waiting for the Key LevelTVC:GOLD ’s move up wasn’t noise — it lined up with the broader market tone. U.S. real yields dipped again this week (10y TIPS down ~4 bps), and that almost always gives gold a little oxygen to breathe. TVC:DXY also stalled under 104.5, not breaking higher, which removes short-term pressure on XAUUSD. And yeah… the inverse head & shoulders played out clean. Not explosive, but directional. Real. Now I’m watching how price reacts at $4k1. That zone matters because that zone last shown the equal strength of buyers n sellers. If buyers step in with conviction, the move continues. If they hesitate… then waiting is the smarter trade. We’re traders, not prophets. Chart goes first — we react after. See the previous analysis in the link below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuyetP
APH - High-Conviction Swing Long (Strong Growth + Momentum)🎯 Ticker: APH (NYSE) 📈 Type: Swing Long ⏰ Timeframe: Daily & 4H 📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Trend: BULLISH (Daily & 4H) ✅ Momentum Signal: STRONG CONNORS RSI2 BUY (3 consecutive daily signals) Key Level: Breaking above $135 resistance with momentum Market Position: Leader in electronic connectors with strong institutional support 💡 Trading Thesis: APH presents a powerful growth + momentum combination: EXCEPTIONAL FUNDAMENTAL GROWTH: Revenue Growth: +21.2% ($15.22B → $12.55B) Earnings Growth: +25.7% ($2.42B → $1.93B) Strong Growth rating in both categories RARE MOMENTUM CONFIRMATION: 3 consecutive Connors RSI2 Buy signals indicate sustained bullish momentum This pattern typically precedes significant moves in growth stocks SECTOR LEADERSHIP: Critical supplier across tech, auto, and industrial sectors Benefiting from global electronic component demand Consistent market share gains ⚡ Trading Plan: 🎯 Entry: $135.73 (Breakout above key resistance) 🛑 Stop Loss: $119.00 (Below major support and 200-day MA) 💰 Profit Target: $169.40 (Measured move to all-time highs) 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.0 (Excellent for growth stock swing trade) 📉 Risk Management Notes: Stop loss placed below major support at $120-122 zone Wide stop accounts for normal growth stock volatility Consider partial profit taking at $155-160 area Position size appropriately for 2-3% maximum portfolio risk Monitor tech sector sentiment for broader market moves 🚀 Growth Catalysts: 5G infrastructure expansion Automotive electronics transformation Industrial IoT adoption Aerospace & defense electronics demand Conclusion: APH offers a high-conviction long setup with exceptional fundamental growth confirmed by strong momentum signals. The breakout above $135 opens path to all-time highs with favorable risk-reward dynamics. Trade the growth, manage the risk! Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately. Growth stocks carry higher volatility. #APH #SwingTrading #Long #GrowthStocks #ConnorsRSI2 #Electronics #TechnicalAnalysis
NYSE:APHLong
by shortermtrader
EURUSD 4H – Alligator “Sleep Phase” Before Next MoveAlligator lines have tightened after a bullish leg and are starting to turn down while price sits under the descending trendline → short-term momentum is weakening. The chart shows a clear triangle/descending resistance and support zones marked for targets. What Alligator is saying Sleeping / compressing now → wait for the Alligator to open (lines separate) before taking a directional trade. If the Alligator opens down (green < red < blue) = bearish continuation. If the Alligator opens up (green > red > blue) after a clean break above the trendline = bullish continuation. Trade ideas (4H) Bear (preferred while price below trendline): Entry: Short on a close below 1.157 with Alligator stacking bearish. 1st TP: 1.1500 (support zone). 2nd TP: 1.1480–1.1460 (lower support cluster). Stop: 1.1620–1.1640 (above consolidation / Alligator cluster). Bull (counter / breakout): Buy on a clean close above the descending trendline / 1.1610–1.1620 with the Alligator reopening upward. Targets: 1.1647 (near resistance) → 1.1700 (upper target zone). Stop: below 1.154 (recent swing low / Alligator cluster). Risk & execution notes Alligator tangled = no edge; prefer confirmed line separation and candle close for entries. Use proper position sizing (1–2% risk), look for volume confirmation on breakouts. Timeframe: this is a 4H read — check daily for stronger confirmation.
by BlackDiamond_SpecialEa
2
CADJPY: Ending Diagonal + RD(_) = Downtrend StartingToday, I’d like to share a Short positioning opportunity on the CADJPY pair . In the current scenario, CADJPY is moving within a Resistance zone(112.100 JPY-109.500 JPY) and is close to a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as well as the upper line of the ascending channel. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that CADJPY is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y , and the microwave 5 appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal . Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the peaks. Fundamental analysis : Considering the above analysis, and also taking into account the fundamental conditions, Canada’s core inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing the BoC’s easing path, while JPY benefits from the current risk-off tone. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains biased to the downside. Finally, based on all the above, I expect that CADJPY will begin its downward trend, with a First target at 109.103 JPY Take Profit(2): 108.543 JPY Stop Loss(SL): 118.820 JPY(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Canadian Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analysis (CADJPY), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
GBP/USD - H1 - Trendline Breakout (19.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview FX:GBPUSD GBP/USD has broken below a long-term ascending trendline, followed by a clean retest rejection — a strong bearish confirmation signal. Price also remains below the resistance zone (1.3180–1.3200) and is showing consistent lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control. With bearish fundamentals supporting USD strength, further downside pressure is expected. 📊 Trading Plan🔻 Sell Bias (Primary Scenario) Look for bearish candles forming below the trendline retest Target the next support levels 🎯 Targets: 1st Support: 1.3077 2nd Support: 1.3039 ❌ Invalidation: A break and close above 1.3200 (resistance zone) cancels the bearish view ⚡ Fundamental Outlook – Today (19 Nov 2025) 🇺🇸 USD Fundamentals 1️⃣ U.S. yields continue to climb as investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain tight policy for longer due to sticky inflation.→ Higher yields → Stronger USD 2️⃣ Risk sentiment remains weak, with markets rotating into safe-haven assets, supporting USD strength. 🇬🇧 GBP Fundamentals 3️⃣ UK economy shows slowing momentum, and BoE policymakers remain cautious. → Weaker GBP outlook ➡️ Combined outlook favors a bearish continuation on GBP/USD. #GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendlineBreak #BearishSetup #USD #GBP #ForexSignals #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #SupportAndResistance #MarketBreakdown ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice — always confirm entries and manage your risk properly. 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If you find this helpful:👍 LIKE💬 COMMENT🔔 FOLLOW Your support motivates me to post more daily trade setups!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
39
USDJPY bullish enough to cook more 300pips pumpThe USDJPY pair has achieved a significant technical milestone by decisively breaking through several key resistance levels, each followed by a successful retest that has confirmed their new role as support. This structural shift suggests a strengthening of the underlying bullish momentum. For this upward trajectory to be sustained, we will need to observe continued strength in the form of consecutive bullish candles accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume. This would serve as a confirmation of buyer conviction. Provided these conditions are met, the technical structure projects a minimum further advance of at least 300 pips, aligning with the measured move implied by the recent breakout. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (19 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will begin receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA earnings will be released today after market close. If NVDA beats expectations, this could trigger an impulsive bullish move for both QQQ and SPY. If earnings miss, that may create strong bearish sentiment across the market. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the 595.5 level and bounced cleanly from there. A strong bullish candle close has appeared on NQ, indicating solid upward momentum for the day. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction I am buying calls targeting 613.5 first. I will also keep a runner for a potential move toward 625 in case NVDA reports strong earnings. That could generate significant bullish momentum, potentially pushing price toward new all-time highs. My runner is positioned for that potential after hours continuation. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
GOLD → Market support, exit from consolidationFX:XAUUSD is feeling market support ahead of the news. The price is rebounding from trend support, breaking through strong resistance and enjoying high interest from bulls... The rise in demand for defensive assets is driven by concerns about the overvaluation of technology stocks and weak US labor market data. The number of applications for unemployment benefits rose significantly in October. Private employers cut jobs for four weeks. The Fed minutes may show disagreement over the regulator's future policy, and the probability of a rate cut in December is estimated at 50/50. The market's attention is focused on September NFP data (forecast: +50K). Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed and employment data. The Fed's cautious stance and weak NFP data could support further price growth. Resistance levels: 4145 - 4211 Support levels: 4097, 4082, 4055 Gold is entering a long zone. Any correction could be a good opportunity to enter the market. Pay attention to key support levels for trend trading... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
SOLANA → Hunting for liquidity in a weak market BINANCE:SOLUSDT is forming a countertrend correction. Zone of interest: 140.0–143.5. The lack of bullish potential and positive fundamentals could cause another decline... Bitcoin is extremely weak, with the price testing the 90K zone. There is panic in the market. Against the backdrop of a bear market, altcoins may enter a phase of “liquidity hunting” before another decline. Solana's price on D1 broke through fairly strong support at 141.3-138.5. The trend is bearish, and the breakout of support confirms the weakness of buyers (strength of sellers) at the moment. SOL is updating its low to 129 and forming a pullback. As part of the current correction, the price may test the liquidity zone formed by yesterday's surge in volume - 140.5 - 143.3 Resistance levels: 139.0, 140.2, 143.3 Support levels: 135.67, 129.3 Consolidation is forming above the support range - 135.67. Most likely, bulls may flood the volume and provoke another rise to the liquidity zone, but there may not be enough potential for continued growth. A false breakout and lack of bullish momentum could trigger a decline to 135.5 - 129.3. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
GBPJPY → Attempt to reverse the local trend to bullish FX:GBPJPY breaks the structure of the local downtrend amid the fall of the Japanese yen. The price may continue the global bullish trend... The yen continues to fall, the pound is rising. A breakout of the trend resistance is forming. The global trend is bullish. Key support is 203.500 - 203.260. Consolidation above this zone will confirm the bullish structure and may support further growth. If the bulls keep the price above 203.500, it could trigger growth. Resistance levels: 204.06, 205.32 Support levels: 203.52, 203.26 There is a battle between the bulls and bears for the 203.5 area. Consolidation is forming above 203.0, confirming the importance of the current zone. Now the focus is on the bulls; if they can keep the price above 203.5, the growth will continue. Otherwise, the price may test support... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
"Tiny Bubbles"Don Ho 1966 Setup 6.3% moderate pull back Px coil atop strong support Breakout trade just above 09:30 close 09:30 5m candle big volume Don't think this is a bubble. Just a normal pull back. All fundamentals remain strong. His entries +4 @ 24640; target: 24659 +4 @ 24660; target: 24679 +4 @ 24680; target: 24699 +4 @ 24700; target: 24719 +4 @ 24720; target: 24739 This was a really good setup, so he used +4 for first five entries. He very seldom does 5 trades in a row of +4. That tells you how good this setup was. 24740 is a bit of resistance so he switched to +3 entries. From here to 24840, the next resistance, he bot +3 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point targets. From here to 24940, the next resistance, +2 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point increments. From here on +1 in 20-point increments same 19-point target.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (18.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview GBP/USD has broken below the triangle structure, signaling a shift toward bearish momentum after repeated rejections from the upper trendline. Price is sitting under the breakout region, indicating that sellers are gaining control. With fundamentals supporting USD strength, the downside continuation scenario looks favorable. 📊 Trading Plan🔻 Primary Bias: Sell Wait for a retest & rejection near the triangle support-turned-resistance Look for continuation toward the lower support zones 🎯 Targets: 1st Support: 1.3091 2nd Support: 1.3062 #GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TriangleBreakout #BearishBias #USD #GBP #ForexSignals #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #TrendlineBreak #SupportAndResistance ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always follow your confirmation signals and risk management rules before trading. 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If this analysis helps you: 👍 LIKE💬 COMMENT🔔 FOLLOW Your support motivates me to post more clean and consistent chart breakdowns!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Price has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zonePrice has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zone and is now pulling back toward a key demand region. The 4118–4110 area represents a strong intraday buy zone, highlighted by prior accumulation and repeated bullish reactions. A corrective dip into this zone may offer a buying opportunity, with buyers expected to defend the structure as long as price holds above 4105, which acts as the invalidation level for the setup. 📌 Buy Zone: 4118 – 4110 ❌ Stop-Loss: Below 4105 🎯 Targets: 4125 – Retest of minor intraday resistance 4145 – Major resistance area marked on the chart 4230 – Extended target if momentum continues The bullish pathway drawn on the chart aligns with a continuation structure, suggesting that as long as the pullback remains shallow and volume supports buyers, upside targets remain in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WarroomXYZ
QuyetP | EURUSD keeps Slipping — We keep riding!I said this earlier — and the market keeps proving it right. OANDA:EURUSD isn’t just dropping; it’s following the same tired rhythm we already talked about in the previous analysis. Intermarket keeps squeezing the euro: – DXY sticking above 104. – U.S. 2-year yields nudging back toward 4.4%. – EU equities still underperforming U.S. indices. The structure stays heavy: lower highs, shallow bounces, liquidity sitting under the next 200-pip pocket. So yeah — I’m still short, riding the wave we mapped out before. I'm a trader, not prophets — but this bias continues to age well. (See prior analysis linked below.)
Short
by QuyetP
Gold pullbacks present buying opportunities.The gold pullback has ended, with a steady rebound after retracing to the 4000 psychological level, forming an upward trend. Therefore, the strategy should focus on buying, following the mainstream trend. From the current price action, the 4100 resistance level has been broken and has now become support. The Fibonacci retracement level also shows the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement is around 4092. The 1-hour moving average for gold has turned upwards, indicating continued upward momentum. After breaking and stabilizing above 4100, gold is now steadily rising on the 1-hour chart. The 4090 area has formed short-term support, and a pullback to the 4090-4100 range presents a buying opportunity. Therefore, we simply need to wait for a pullback to the 4090-4100 range to buy. I personally believe the US session will provide such an opportunity.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
EDUCATIONAL -TRADING NFP TOMORROW Here’s a clear, professional analysis of the chart EUR/USD. I’ll break it down into market structure, liquidity, zones, and likely scenarios based on the current price action visible. --- ✅ Professional EUR/USD Chart Analysis 1. Overall Market Structure The chart is currently showing a short-term bullish retracement inside a larger bearish structure. Price has been moving from a recent low upward, but each bullish leg still respects the broader descending structure (lower highs remain intact). This means bulls are active intraday, but macro bias is still bearish unless the major high is broken. --- ✅ 2. Key Liquidity Zones A. Liquidity Above You have liquidity resting above: Prior swing high Equal-highs region Thin wick area where institutions likely left orders This is the “buy-side liquidity” zone where: Market makers may push price up to grab stops Fully mitigate a nearby supply zone before reversing --- B. Liquidity Below Below current price: There is a clean sell-side liquidity pool Multiple untapped lows A large inefficiency/FVG sitting below This means that if price grabs the upside liquidity, there is strong reason for a reversal downward. --- ✅ 3. Institutional Zones to Watch Main Institutional Supply Zone (Primary Sell Zone) The large supply block above current price is the main institutional sell zone. Price has not mitigated it yet. This is the zone that institutions will likely use to: Close premium buy positions Open discounted sell positions Trigger a reversal Expect strong reaction there. --- Mitigation Zone Lower There is a smaller mitigation zone just before the main supply. Price may react mildly here, but the true turning point is above, at the major supply. --- ✅ 4. Volume & Candle Anatomy You have increasing bullish momentum candles (medium-body green candles) showing engineered liquidity—they push price into an intended target rather than starting a true trend. No strong imbalance yet on the downside—this implies they plan to create one after hitting the supply. This further confirms up first, then down. --- ✅ 5. Expected Price Behavior 🔹 Scenario 1 (Most Likely): Sweep High → Sell Off 1. Price climbs into: Mitigation zone and Main institutional supply zone 2. Sweeps liquidity above the highs 3. Strong bearish rejection wick 4. Selloff down into: Sell-side liquidity The demand zone below fair value gaps on the lower levels This is the textbook smart-money move. --- 🔹 Scenario 2 (Less Likely): Immediate Drop This only happens if: A major news release hits unexpectedly Liquidity providers already accumulated enough positions But the chart currently shows not enough liquidity collected above, so drop from here is less probable. --- 📌 Conclusion Bias: 🔼 Short-term bullish (to grab liquidity) 🔽 Medium-term bearish (after tapping institutional supply) What price wants to do: 👉 Go up, sweep the highs, mitigate supply, then drop sharply This matches the typical pre-NFP behavior where markets engineer stops before the real move.
Short
by enwemadufranklyn1989