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Fundamental Analysis

$ETH looks MAJORLY BULLISH for 2026CRYPTOCAP:ETH has been stagnant this entire year, performing very poorly related to CRYPTOCAP:BTC However, CRYPTOCAP:ETH will have its day. It looks majorly bullish fundamentally leading into 2026, and the chart checks out as potentially very bullish setup. As you can see, CRYPTOCAP:ETH closed above the .618 the past few days from the range dating back to April 2025. It also is channeling down in a falling wedge. What is interesting is Ethereum's recent strength relative to Bitcoin. It looks stronger than CRYPTOCAP:BTC and I believe the narrative majorly shifts from BTC to ETH next year. The chart is primed for an absolute explosion and the suppression of it this year reminds me of the BTC suppression that happened in 2022 as institutions and whales had their fill (bought a ton). Keep an eye on Ethereum into 2026, but the chart screams she is ready to rip with a proper push. If we break out of this falling wedge and retest it with volume, get ready to fuel the jets because Ethereum has not had a proper run since 2021. It is quite likely it will be a keystone to the digitalization of our society and world via the blockchain. No other coin or company can compete. ETH is about to have its day in the sun.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by chiro_crypto
1
Analysis & outcome – XAU/USD (15M)🇺🇸 BREAKDOWN GOLD This setup played out exactly as projected from the beginning. Price executed the full institutional sequence: first a clean sell-side liquidity sweep, creating a false bottom to induce shorts. Right after that, we got a bullish ChoCH, giving us the first confirmation of intent. Then price left an unmitigated FVG, followed by a manipulative bearish BOS, a classic move to trap sellers before pushing higher. That manipulation brought price straight into the 15M Order Block, the same zone we marked as high-probability demand. My entry was placed at 4,039, right at the OB and support zone. Price reacted EXACTLY there but missed triggering us by just a few pips. Even though we didn’t get activated, the analysis played out perfectly: • Clean institutional rejection • Structure confirmation • Strong bullish expansion From that point, price respected both targets: • TP1: 4,073 → FVG mitigation + liquidity grab • TP2: 4,101 → Higher timeframe imbalance mitigation Price even extended beyond TP2, confirming that the institutional narrative was spot on. Even though we didn’t enter, this is the type of setup that shows the accuracy of reading structure, liquidity, and manipulation. And as always—better to miss a trade than to chase it outside the optimal entry zone. This analysis confirms we’re aligned with how the market actually delivers.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
$ETH Dead Cat Bounce Before Another (Potential) Rate Cut"Rush to buy and cheer the little bounce, The next cut will soon be announced." As of today, the probability of another 0.25 bps rate cut by Fed is roughly 76%. Why it is important? Most people try to understand the negative effects causing crypto and BINANCE:ETHUSDT price being dumped lately. I welcome everyone to analyse the following chart demonstrating almost the cleanest correlation between rate cuts and downtrending effect. We are likely to see another retracement above 3000 price level before continuation of a downtrend into 2026. While it is typical for Ethereum to demonstrate big swings, more liquidity is considered necessary for unloading whale orders above 3000 level. Not a financial advice.
CRYPTOCAP:ETHShort
by Bear_Hunter01
1
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Review1. Local trend The chart shows: ✔️ Clear upward trend - the price respects the rising trend line (black diagonal). ✔️ The last candle broke strongly upwards, which suggests bullish momentum. ⸻ 🟢 Key resistance levels (green lines) 1. 90,352 USDT - the first stronger resistance (it looks like the price is just reaching it). 2. 93,271 USDT - another strong resistance; there may be a clearer sell-off here. ➡️ If it breaks 90,352 with high volume, the path to ~93k is open. ⸻ 🔴 Key support levels (red lines) 1. 86,890 USDT - Local Support/Trendline Retest. 2. 84,989 USDT - Stronger support. 3. 82,545 USDT - key support for the growth structure. ➡️ Loss of 86,890 + breakout from the trendline may mean a correction to around 85,000. ⸻ 📉 RSI / Stochastic (bottom of the chart) Stochastic RSI is: ✔️ In the growth phase ✔️ Approaching overheating level (80-100) ➡️ This often means that the upside momentum continues, but a local correction may be imminent, especially at the 90,352 resistance. ⸻ 📌 Summary 🔼 Bullish Signals: • Uptrend intact • Breakout with an upward impulse candle • The price is rebounding from the trend line 🔽 Bearish Signals: • Stochastic RSI is approaching the “high” zone • The price is under important resistance at 90,352 • Local pullback possible if resistance is not broken ⸻ ⭐ Short-term scenarios (4H) 👉 Bullish scenario • Maintaining price above 88,800-89,000 • Breakout 90,352 ➡️ Target: 93,000 – 93,300 USDT 👉 Bears scenario • Rejection from 90,352 • Back below 88,900 ➡️ Downside target: 86,900 → 85,000 USDT
by cryptodailyuk
1
Amazon (NASDAQ: $AMZN) Expands AI Power With $50B GovCloud PushAmazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) is strengthening its position in the AI and cloud infrastructure race with a massive pledge of up to $50 billion to expand supercomputing capacity for U.S. government agencies. The investment focuses on building advanced AWS data centers across Top Secret, Secret, and GovCloud regions starting in 2026, adding nearly 1.3 gigawatts of AI and high-performance computing power. With more than 11,000 government customers, AWS aims to widen its lead as AI competition intensifies across cloud providers. Industry analysts note that Amazon has lost some ground in AI-specific cloud growth to rivals like Google and Oracle. As companies such as Microsoft, OpenAI, and Alphabet pour billions into AI infrastructure, Amazon’s scale-driven investment is a strategic move to ensure AWS remains the backbone of government AI systems. The new capacity will support federal agencies with a full stack of AI tools—including Amazon SageMaker, Amazon Bedrock, and foundation models like Amazon Nova and Anthropic Claude—allowing them to build customized AI solutions at scale. Analysts expect the U.S. government to accelerate AI adoption as part of its race to maintain technological leadership over China. Technical Outlook AMZN is currently pulling back from the $258 resistance, forming a healthy correction toward the $232 support zone, which aligns with a weekly demand level. Bulls will look for a strong reaction here to retest the $258 high and potentially break above it. A failure at $232 exposes the ascending trendline support that has guided Amazon’s uptrend since early 2023. The RSI cooling off suggests this is a normal correction rather than a trend reversal. If support holds, upside targets between $280–$300 remain valid, matching long-term Fibonacci projections.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by DEXWireNews
11/24/25 - $defg - Best of Defi in one package11/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:DEFG Best of Defi in one package - at today's px you're getting the most used defi platforms under one hood - uniswap... the OG and continuously evolving liquidity hub (40% weight) and awaiting a fee switch by YE that we've seen the market telegraph, previously, that puts uni at $15-20/token vs. the $6 today. - aave... the lending behemoth that has it's own stable and bank killing savings app (30% weight in defg's holding) - ondo... the best in class tokenization platform (15% of defg holdings) - aero... the best (3,3) liquidity hub on Base (6% of holdings) - ldo and crv... daos i don't love, but still relevant (ldo much more so than crv) at today's $14.5/shr of defg you pay 3% more than NAV and you can't get access to any of these tokens anywhere else on tradfi rails the fund is like $3mm AUM, so it's insanely illiquid... which means LIMIT ORDERS ONLY or you'll move this thing hardcore it's a nice way to play rocket boosters on my ETH trade (which is 55% of my book thru SBET). and i still stack cash. no stocks. i don't see the point here w/ eth in sbet at 20% off and with X's on the upside in the next 12-18 mo period. defg. interesting. V
OTC:DEFGLong
by VROCKSTAR
Alphabet - This rally will soon be over!🪦Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) will end its rally soon: 🔎Analysis summary: Starting back in 2025, Alphabet created a major bullish break and retest. Following this behavior, we witnessed an expected strong rally of about +120%. But with the current retest of the upper resistance trendline, Alphabet will soon create a healthy retracement. 📝Levels to watch: $300 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
8
We all want COFFEE to be cheaper, but uptrend might hold on! Although most CFD-traders might don't care - COFFEE is an interesting commodity right now, especially with current trends with nervous stock markets/indices. In general: - Coffee prices correlate with DXY and stock indices/VIX. Especially when stock markets go down - Coffee is in higher demand as it is used as hedge against falling stock prices - Coffee is in a long-term bull-market If correlations align, especially if stock markets decrease more, there is more upside potential for the Coffee price. CRITICAL WATCHING POINTS Correlations for taking a LONG on COFFEE: DXY (Dollar Index): - Above 100.50 = BEARISH for coffee - Below 99.70 = BULLISH for coffee SPX/Stock Indices: - Rally (VIX < 18) = BEARISH for coffee - Weaken (VIX > 23) = BULLISH for coffee BCOM: - Break below 107 = BEARISH for commodities/coffee - Break above 108.50 = BULLISH for commodities/coffee Coffee Major Support Zone: Hold above 355 = bull market intact Break below 350 = could be a major problem (or we finally get cheaper coffee in the supermarket?!)
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEELong
by OwlResearch
1
ZM | Long Setup | Re-Rate on AI UCaaS/CCaaS Pivot | Nov 24, 2025ZM | Long Setup | Range-to-Trend Re-Rate on AI UCaaS/CCaaS Pivot | Nov 24, 2025 🔹 Thesis Summary Zoom is exiting a two-year base and riding a rising channel as the mix shifts from “meetings” to a broader AI-enabled UCaaS/CCaaS stack. If growth stabilizes and margins hold, a multiple re-rate from ~13x fwd EPS is plausible into 2026. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry Zone: $76–$81 (value area/POC ≈ $79) Stop Loss: $68.5 (below channel base & prior swing lows) Take-Profits: TP1: $101.4 TP2: $118.5 TP3: $124.1 Max Target: $160–$165 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: Weekly rising channel since 2023 with a completed W-formation; price keeps reclaiming the VAH ~ $79 with positive reactions near value area lows. Quality of sponsor base: ~77% institutional ownership with >1,000 holders; consistent EPS beats on the most recent quarters and revenue holding near $1.1–$1.2B/qtr. Product mix shift: Zoom Phone + Contact Center (CCaaS) + AI Companion reduce dependence on commoditized meetings and increase seat/ARPU durability. Seasonality/flow: 2025 YTD underperformed vs. 2023–2024; mean-reversion tailwind into Dec–Jan is typical for profitable software after weak YTD prints. 🔹 Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, framed simply) Forward P/E ≈ 13.3x vs. large-cap software ~24–28x → market prices Zoom like a no-growth asset → if CCaaS/Phone sustain mid-single-digit top-line and stable margins, the discount can narrow—this is the re-rate upside. P/FCF ≈ 12.8x vs peers high-teens to 20s → cheaper cash generation → supports buybacks and tuck-ins during the pivot. Quality: ROE ~13.6% / ROIC ~13.2%, Quick Ratio ~4.4 → solid balance sheet, self-funded transition. Growth: EPS past 5Y +106%, Sales past 5Y +49.6% → post-pandemic decel but still compounding; stability matters more than acceleration for a re-rate. Risk: Debt/Equity ~0.0x → low leverage limits downside in macro shocks. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Consensus still frames ZM as a stagnant “meetings” play. The tape shows accumulation within an ascending channel and improving mix economics. A shift from 13x → 18–20x fwd on steady EPS supports $120–$160 over the next 12–18 months—well above many cautious targets. 🔹 Risks (balanced) Earnings gap risk & guide sensitivity (event tonight) could pierce the stop before trend resumes. Competitive bundling from MSFT/GOOGL pressuring seat growth and pricing. Execution risk scaling CCaaS/AI while protecting margins and security posture. 🔹 Macro Considerations NDX / 10-Year yields: ZM correlates with duration-sensitive software—lower yields aid the re-rate; rising DXY/yields would cap multiples. IT spending cadence: Enterprise budget resets (Q1CY) and procurement softness could stall seat adds. Volatility/hedging: Elevated IV around earnings; consider staged entries or collars/call-spreads if taking exposure into the print. 🔹 Bottom Line ZM screens inexpensive on forward and FCF multiples with a strong balance sheet and a credible path to mix-led stabilization. The weekly structure offers a defined-risk long from value, aiming for a re-rating toward $120–$160 as CCaaS/AI execution compounds. 🔹 Forward Path If this post gains traction, I’ll follow up with: (1) weekly/quarterly re-maps of the channel and volume shelves, (2) updates on breakout/invalidations vs. $97/$101/$118/$124, (3) commentary on post-earnings guide and margin cadence. Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
NASDAQ:ZMLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Is Morgan Stanley right about NZD?With the RBNZ set to deliver its Monetary Policy Statement this week, Morgan Stanley sees the New Zealand dollar recovering as growth stabilises. Technically, NZD/USD is sitting right on the edge of its potential correction zone, holding above the recent 0.5485 low. A bounce into 0.5650–0.5700 is on the table if buyers protect this level. A clean break under 0.5485 could reopen downside risk. AUD/NZD remains firmly in an uptrend. Price is consolidating above the 1.14 breakout, and the Fib circle projections from the chart point toward an extension into the 1.1650–1.1700 region if momentum builds. Morgan Stanely expects the Australian dollar to keep outperforming. Stronger Australian data and higher migration flows continue to widen the gap between the two economies, favouring further gains in AUD/NZD.
by BlackBull Markets
Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Market OutlookOn the H1 timeframe, Gold is currently showing consolidation around the 4120 zone, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. This area is acting as a short-term decision point where buyers and sellers are balancing out. From a structural perspective, the current candles are leaning toward bearish momentum, suggesting that sellers are gradually building pressure. If this momentum continues, the price may revisit key intraday levels such as the 4100 zone as the first area of interest. A sustained move below this region could open the way toward deeper liquidity areas around 4080, and potentially extend into the broader demand zones near 4050–4030, where market participants have previously shown reaction. For risk management in scenario-based analysis, the 4150 region remains an important invalidation zone, as a clear break above this structure may signal a shift in momentum or trend strength. This outlook is shared purely for educational and analytical purposes, based on observable chart structure and price behavior. It should not be taken as financial advice or a buy/sell signal. Always confirm direction with your own analysis and risk approach.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Chart_Wolf
1
Momentum Breakout Swing Trade (Strong Growth + Sector Leadership🎯 Ticker: LRCX (NASDAQ) 📈 Type: Swing Long ⏰ Timeframe: Daily & 4H 📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis: Trend Structure: BULLISH Daily & 4H Trends ✅ Momentum Signal: CONNORS RSI2 BUY (Active 14-17 Nov) Key Level: Breaking above $150 psychological resistance Sector: Semiconductor Equipment Leader 💡 Trading Thesis: LRCX offers a powerful momentum + fundamental growth setup: STRONG FUNDAMENTAL GROWTH (Score: 5/9): Revenue Growth: +23.7% ($18.44B → $14.91B) Earnings Growth: +40.0% ($5.36B → $3.83B) Strong Growth rating in both categories Healthy Debt: Score 10/10 with manageable leverage MOMENTUM CONFIRMATION: Active Connors RSI2 Buy signals indicate bullish momentum Breaking above key $150 resistance level Semiconductor equipment cycle acceleration SECTOR TAILWINDS: Leading provider of wafer fabrication equipment Critical enabler of AI chip production Benefiting from global semiconductor capex expansion ⚡ Trading Plan: 🎯 Entry: $51.90 (Momentum breakout level) 🛑 Stop Loss: $134.00 (Below major support & 200-day MA) 💰 Profit Target: $187.28 (Measured move to next resistance) 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.0 (Strong for growth stock) 📉 Risk Management Notes: Wide stop accounts for semiconductor stock volatility Consider partial profit taking at $175-180 zone Position size for 2% maximum portfolio risk Monitor SOXX (Semiconductor Index) for sector direction Be aware of earnings date for increased volatility 🚀 Growth Catalysts: AI chip manufacturing expansion Advanced node technology transitions Memory capex recovery cycle Geographic supply chain diversification Conclusion: LRCX presents a compelling momentum breakout setup with strong fundamental growth and sector tailwinds. The active Connors RSI2 signals combined with technical breakout above $150 create a high-probability swing trade opportunity. Ride the semiconductor wave! Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately. Semiconductor stocks carry higher volatility. #LRCX #SwingTrading #Long #Semiconductors #ChipEquipment #ConnorsRSI2 #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:LRCXLong
by shortermtrader
Premium Quality Swing Trade (Value + Growth)🎯 Ticker: TSM (NYSE) 📈 Type: Swing Long / Position Trade ⏰ Timeframe: Daily 📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis: Trend Structure: BULLISH Daily Trend, Consolidating Near Highs ✅ Key Support: Strong foundation at $275-$280 zone Market Position: World's leading semiconductor foundry 💡 Investment Thesis: TSM represents a rare combination of world-class quality and reasonable valuation: FUNDAMENTAL EXCELLENCE (Score: 7/9): Strong Growth: Revenue +33.9%, Earnings +36.0% Exceptional Value: P/S Ratio of 0.40 (Extremely Undervalued for sector) Financial Health: Perfect Debt Score (10/10), Interest Coverage 174x TECHNICAL SETUP: Trading in bullish consolidation pattern Recent Connors RSI2 Buy Signal (13-Nov) providing momentum timing Building energy for next leg higher STRATEGIC POSITION: Monopoly-like position in advanced semiconductor manufacturing Critical supplier to Apple, NVIDIA, AMD, and more AI and technology megatrend beneficiary ⚡ Trading Plan: 🎯 Entry: $283.00 (Current support zone with momentum) 🛑 Stop Loss: $269.74 (Below key support cluster) 💰 Profit Target: $319.21 (Previous resistance + measured move) 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.7 (Excellent for blue-chip swing trade) 📉 Risk Management Notes: Stop loss placed below critical $270-$275 support zone Consider partial profit taking at $305-$310 area Position size for 1.5-2% maximum portfolio risk Monitor semiconductor sector (SOXX) for broader trends Earnings date awareness for volatility management 🚀 Catalysts Ahead: AI chip demand acceleration Advanced packaging technology leadership Global semiconductor recovery cycle Geographic diversification benefits Conclusion: TSM offers a premium quality swing trade with exceptional fundamental metrics and attractive risk-reward. The combination of strong growth, pristine balance sheet, and strategic positioning makes this a high-probability setup for the coming weeks. Trade the quality, own the leader! Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal tolerance. Semiconductor stocks can be volatile. #TSM #SwingTrading #Long #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #GrowthStocks #TechnicalAnalysis
NYSE:TSMLong
by shortermtrader
XRP’s Final Bull Run Mapped Out: $33 → $186 → $285 → $1,115. • Path A (Red) = Immediate delivery • Path B (Blue) = Normal delivery • Path B #2 = ONLY triggered if price stays suppressed — final backup execution in Jan 1–6, 2026 This model has 3 possible executions, but only 2 primary paths. Path B #2 only happens if suppression continues. 🔴 PATH A — Immediate Delivery (Starts: Nov–Dec 2025) First impulse: $30–$33 Secondary spike: $186 Consolidation → climb toward $285 Final blow-off targets later: $1,115 This is the fast outcome. 🔵 PATH B — Standard Delivery (Starts: Jan–Mar 2026) First stop: $30–$33 Volatility waves through Feb–March Breaks into the macro expansion zone Major target: $285 Final target: $1,115 This path is smoother and slightly delayed. 🔵 PATH B #2 — Suppressed Variant (Only if A and B fail) If price stays held down → algorithm resets and fires between Jan 1–6, 2026 Same opening move: $30–$33 Same structure as Path B afterward Same macro targets: $285 → $1,115 📅 Key Timing Windows Nov 2025 → Jan 2026: Entry + breakout window Mar 21, 2026: Mid-cycle reversal point Aug 14, 2026: Warning Zone Oct–Nov 2026: Pullback Jan 1, 2027: Final liquidity window 🔑 Summary Only Path A or Path B are required. Path B #2 is the failsafe if price remains artificially suppressed. All three lead to the same final targets. — NeverWishing
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by NeverWishing
26
Dell Has Lost Some 25% in Recent Weeks. What Its Chart Says HereDell Technologies NYSE:DELL has fallen some 25% in just three weeks after hitting an 18-month high earlier this month, and the stock has trailed the S&P 500 SP:SPX in almost every timeframe from one month to five years. Let's check out the computer-hardware and enterprise-solutions firm's chart and fundamentals ahead of this week's Q3 earnings release. Dell's Fundamental Analysis DELL is set to report fiscal Q3 results after the bell on Tuesday, with the Street looking for $2.48 in adjusted earnings per share on $27.3 billion of revenue. That would represent a 15.3% gain from the $2.15 in adjusted EPS that DELL recorded in the year-ago period, as well as about a 12% increase from the $24.4 billion in sales it saw in fiscal Q3 2025. However, analysts are split on how DELL is doing. Seven of the 22 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover the stock have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while 10 have cut their estimates and five have made no changes. But perhaps most significantly, Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring -- who last week downgraded Dell and a plethora of other tech stocks in a single day -- gave DELL a double downgrade. Woodring, who's rated at five stars out of a possible five by TipRanks, cut the stock from "Overweight" (a buy-equivalent rating) all the way down to "Underweight" (a sell-equivalent). Making matters worse, the analyst reduced his DELL target price to $110 from a previous $144 at a time when the stock had closed the session before at $133.76. (TipRanks listed analysts' consensus 12-month Dell price target at $167.14 at last check vs. the $127.36 the stock was trading at Monday afternoon.) DELL fell 8.4% on Woodring's double downgrade, but soon made contact with its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA") and showed signs of bottoming out. Still, that's certainty not what the stock needed going into earnings. Dell's Technical Analysis Now let's look at DELL's chart going back some five months and running through Wednesday afternoon: Readers will see that DELL rallied in mid- to late September, then sold off, then rallied again and then sold off again. By November, the stock had developed a double-top pattern of bearish reversal, as denoted by the two red boxes and pink-shaded triangles at the chart's right. This pattern had a $145 downside pivot that was triggered recently, then DELL gave up its 50-day SMA (marked with a blue line) shortly thereafter. Next, the stock suffered what some call a "mini death cross or "swing trader's death cross." That's when a stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line above) crosses below the 50-day SMA. Technicians generally see this as a negative for a stock's price. But DELL finally appeared to find support at its 200-day SMA (the red line above) after some air had been let out of the balloon. Is there any more help to be found here for the stock? Let's look at DELL's secondary technical indicators for some signs. On one hand, the stock's Relative Strength Index (marked with a gray line at the chart's top) has sunk into technically oversold territory. However, DELL's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is about as bearish looking as daily MACDs can get. For instance, the histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) is deep into negative territory. Meanwhile, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is running below the 26-day EMA (the gold line), and both of those lines are below zero. These are all bearish technical signals. An Options Option Options traders who are somewhat bullish on DELL but not confident enough to lay out a ton of money for an equity stake might choose to employ a so-called "ratio-call spread" based on the stock's technical support indicators. This involves buying a call at the same time as selling multiple higher calls with the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Long one DELL $120 call with a Nov. 28 expiration (i.e., after this week's earnings come out). This cost about $6.40 at recent prices. -- Short two Nov. 28 DELL $144 calls for roughly $0.80 apiece. Net Debit: $4.80. This trader would break even if DELL rises to $124.80 at expiration vs. Thursday's close at $119.38. If the stock rises above $120, then the person would wind up long 100 DELL shares at a $124.80 net cost basis. Conversely, should the shares be at or below $120 at expiration, the trader would be out the $4.80 net debit. The options trader's theoretical maximum gain would be $19.20 and would occur at $144, the strike price of the two short calls. If the stock is above $144 at expiration, the trader would end up short 100 shares of DELL with the potential for unlimited loss. Meanwhile, any increase in the stock price beyond $144 would start to eat into the gain made on the long call until this trade reaches its upper breakeven level at $163.20. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in DELL at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. The Analyst Ratings feature comes from TipRanks, an independent third party. The accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed and should not be relied upon as a primary basis for any investment decision. The target prices are intended for informational purposes only, not recommendations, and are also not guarantees of future results. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NYSE:DELL
by moomoo
e will have a heavy bitcooin drop in next few months Bitcoin Analysis Over the next few weeks, note that it has experienced heavy selling pressure and the market will most likely find itself in a long range-like phase. The reason is that after every heavy drop, we will have an upward correction phase or simply fluctuate within a time range until the big players decide for it. I have identified two ranges for you. If the price fails to break these limits, we will have a 100% continuation of the downtrend.‏
by traderrahmati
EUR/CHF – Rejection or Breakout?On EUR/CHF, I’m seeing a moderately bullish overall structure, although I recognize a real risk of rejection within the supply zone I’m monitoring on the daily timeframe. Since September, the broader market structure has been clearly bearish: price has been moving inside a well-defined descending channel, and the rebound from the 0.922–0.923 area simply pushed price back toward the upper boundary of that channel, right into my 0.9315–0.9335 supply zone, where the descending trendline also aligns. It’s normal to see profit-taking and liquidity from late buyers coming into play here. As long as I don’t see a clean daily close above 0.9330–0.9340, the downtrend is not technically invalidated for me. The most likely scenario based purely on price action is an initial bearish reaction from the current area, potentially followed by a pullback toward 0.9280–0.9290, which now acts as the first meaningful support (former resistance + top of the inner channel). Only if I see clear rejection in that zone — pin bars or bullish engulfings on H4/H1 — I will consider long entries targeting 0.9360–0.9380 and, in extension, the large supply zone at 0.9410–0.9450. I completely invalidate this long setup below 0.9250, and definitively below 0.9220. Regarding the COT, even though the data is outdated due to the shutdown, the structural picture remains intact: speculators are strongly net long EUR (255k vs 137k) and strongly net short CHF (7.5k vs 35k). This combination — “specs long EUR / short CHF” — continues to support a medium-term bullish bias for this cross. COT doesn’t give me timing, but it does prevent me from trading against the macro flow: deep pullbacks still look more like buying opportunities than the start of a fresh bearish trend. Seasonality shows that both EUR and CHF are typically weak in November, so there isn’t a strong directional edge. What matters more is December, where both currencies tend to strengthen, with CHF historically performing slightly better. This makes seasonality essentially neutral for EUR/CHF, so I use it only as a soft confirmation rather than a directional driver. On the sentiment side, I notice that 69% of retail traders are short EUR/CHF. That’s a strong contrarian signal in favor of further upside: retail is still anchored to the bearish narrative of the past months, so a breakout above 0.933–0.934 could trigger a sharp squeeze, even more so if price extends above 0.937–0.938.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
S&P 500 May Be Finding SupportThe S&P 500 has been under pressure since late October, but some traders may think the index is trying to stabilize. The first pattern on today’s chart is the October 10 low of 6,551. Prices probed and held the level last week with another bounce today. That may suggest it’s become support. Interestingly, S&P Global data shows index members’ combined earnings up about 2 percent since the last test of the zone. Third, the pullback since October 28 may be interpreted as a completed A-B-C correction. Fourth, SPX may be trying to bounce at its rising 100-day simple moving average. Next, stochastics are turning up from an oversold condition. Finally, last week’s low represents a 50 percent retracement of the advance above February’s high. Staying above it may confirm an upward direction. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation