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Fundamental Analysis

"Tiny Bubbles"Don Ho 1966 Setup 6.3% moderate pull back Px coil atop strong support Breakout trade just above 09:30 close 09:30 5m candle big volume Don't think this is a bubble. Just a normal pull back. All fundamentals remain strong. His entries +4 @ 24640; target: 24659 +4 @ 24660; target: 24679 +4 @ 24680; target: 24699 +4 @ 24700; target: 24719 +4 @ 24720; target: 24739 This was a really good setup, so he used +4 for first five entries. He very seldom does 5 trades in a row of +4. That tells you how good this setup was. 24740 is a bit of resistance so he switched to +3 entries. From here to 24840, the next resistance, he bot +3 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point targets. From here to 24940, the next resistance, +2 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point increments. From here on +1 in 20-point increments same 19-point target.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (18.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview GBP/USD has broken below the triangle structure, signaling a shift toward bearish momentum after repeated rejections from the upper trendline. Price is sitting under the breakout region, indicating that sellers are gaining control. With fundamentals supporting USD strength, the downside continuation scenario looks favorable. 📊 Trading Plan🔻 Primary Bias: Sell Wait for a retest & rejection near the triangle support-turned-resistance Look for continuation toward the lower support zones 🎯 Targets: 1st Support: 1.3091 2nd Support: 1.3062 #GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TriangleBreakout #BearishBias #USD #GBP #ForexSignals #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #TrendlineBreak #SupportAndResistance ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always follow your confirmation signals and risk management rules before trading. 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If this analysis helps you: 👍 LIKE💬 COMMENT🔔 FOLLOW Your support motivates me to post more clean and consistent chart breakdowns!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Price has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zonePrice has recently broken above the mid-range consolidation zone and is now pulling back toward a key demand region. The 4118–4110 area represents a strong intraday buy zone, highlighted by prior accumulation and repeated bullish reactions. A corrective dip into this zone may offer a buying opportunity, with buyers expected to defend the structure as long as price holds above 4105, which acts as the invalidation level for the setup. 📌 Buy Zone: 4118 – 4110 ❌ Stop-Loss: Below 4105 🎯 Targets: 4125 – Retest of minor intraday resistance 4145 – Major resistance area marked on the chart 4230 – Extended target if momentum continues The bullish pathway drawn on the chart aligns with a continuation structure, suggesting that as long as the pullback remains shallow and volume supports buyers, upside targets remain in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WarroomXYZ
QuyetP | EURUSD keeps Slipping — We keep riding!I said this earlier — and the market keeps proving it right. OANDA:EURUSD isn’t just dropping; it’s following the same tired rhythm we already talked about in the previous analysis. Intermarket keeps squeezing the euro: – DXY sticking above 104. – U.S. 2-year yields nudging back toward 4.4%. – EU equities still underperforming U.S. indices. The structure stays heavy: lower highs, shallow bounces, liquidity sitting under the next 200-pip pocket. So yeah — I’m still short, riding the wave we mapped out before. I'm a trader, not prophets — but this bias continues to age well. (See prior analysis linked below.)
Short
by QuyetP
Gold pullbacks present buying opportunities.The gold pullback has ended, with a steady rebound after retracing to the 4000 psychological level, forming an upward trend. Therefore, the strategy should focus on buying, following the mainstream trend. From the current price action, the 4100 resistance level has been broken and has now become support. The Fibonacci retracement level also shows the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement is around 4092. The 1-hour moving average for gold has turned upwards, indicating continued upward momentum. After breaking and stabilizing above 4100, gold is now steadily rising on the 1-hour chart. The 4090 area has formed short-term support, and a pullback to the 4090-4100 range presents a buying opportunity. Therefore, we simply need to wait for a pullback to the 4090-4100 range to buy. I personally believe the US session will provide such an opportunity.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
EDUCATIONAL -TRADING NFP TOMORROW Here’s a clear, professional analysis of the chart EUR/USD. I’ll break it down into market structure, liquidity, zones, and likely scenarios based on the current price action visible. --- ✅ Professional EUR/USD Chart Analysis 1. Overall Market Structure The chart is currently showing a short-term bullish retracement inside a larger bearish structure. Price has been moving from a recent low upward, but each bullish leg still respects the broader descending structure (lower highs remain intact). This means bulls are active intraday, but macro bias is still bearish unless the major high is broken. --- ✅ 2. Key Liquidity Zones A. Liquidity Above You have liquidity resting above: Prior swing high Equal-highs region Thin wick area where institutions likely left orders This is the “buy-side liquidity” zone where: Market makers may push price up to grab stops Fully mitigate a nearby supply zone before reversing --- B. Liquidity Below Below current price: There is a clean sell-side liquidity pool Multiple untapped lows A large inefficiency/FVG sitting below This means that if price grabs the upside liquidity, there is strong reason for a reversal downward. --- ✅ 3. Institutional Zones to Watch Main Institutional Supply Zone (Primary Sell Zone) The large supply block above current price is the main institutional sell zone. Price has not mitigated it yet. This is the zone that institutions will likely use to: Close premium buy positions Open discounted sell positions Trigger a reversal Expect strong reaction there. --- Mitigation Zone Lower There is a smaller mitigation zone just before the main supply. Price may react mildly here, but the true turning point is above, at the major supply. --- ✅ 4. Volume & Candle Anatomy You have increasing bullish momentum candles (medium-body green candles) showing engineered liquidity—they push price into an intended target rather than starting a true trend. No strong imbalance yet on the downside—this implies they plan to create one after hitting the supply. This further confirms up first, then down. --- ✅ 5. Expected Price Behavior 🔹 Scenario 1 (Most Likely): Sweep High → Sell Off 1. Price climbs into: Mitigation zone and Main institutional supply zone 2. Sweeps liquidity above the highs 3. Strong bearish rejection wick 4. Selloff down into: Sell-side liquidity The demand zone below fair value gaps on the lower levels This is the textbook smart-money move. --- 🔹 Scenario 2 (Less Likely): Immediate Drop This only happens if: A major news release hits unexpectedly Liquidity providers already accumulated enough positions But the chart currently shows not enough liquidity collected above, so drop from here is less probable. --- 📌 Conclusion Bias: 🔼 Short-term bullish (to grab liquidity) 🔽 Medium-term bearish (after tapping institutional supply) What price wants to do: 👉 Go up, sweep the highs, mitigate supply, then drop sharply This matches the typical pre-NFP behavior where markets engineer stops before the real move.
Short
by enwemadufranklyn1989
GBPUSD LONGMy TP hit last night for my short on this pair and price still shows bullish for the overall trend on my higher timeframes(1HR, 4HR, etc). Price continues to hit the resistance but rarely coming back down to tap the support, so based upon that information, I see an entry for a buy at this well respected Bull OB. Price is in the process of breaking through this range it's in currently and heading back up to its previous high before it took the big fall(Head and Shoulders).
Long
by MrGrayplease98
GBPUSD Retracement Idea for a new Lower HighHi Traders! Since my last idea GU reached my short target around 1.30000. I'm now looking for price to retrace to a previous bearish BOS area around 1.32500-1.33000. If price can create a new lower high in that area we could possibly see more bearish movement. In addition, if DXY can hold around 99.000-99.500, and continue reversing to the upside I'd have a new swing target for GU at the next Daily OB around 1.29000-1.28500. 1st alert set just below 1.32500 in case price doesn't make it to my target. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Short
by thattradergirl
3
Horizen ZEN price analysis#Horizen ( #ZEN ) is showing signs of renewed interest: after previous delistings, the project is now being relisted on several exchanges. This usually indicates that liquidity providers or early stakeholders are reactivating their involvement. Key fundamentals: Current market cap: ~$250M Structurally important support: $12 Technical target zone: $35–41 If price holds above the $12 level, the probability of a trend expansion toward the $35–41 range remains high. Even at those levels, ZEN’s total valuation would be around $600M, which is still moderate compared to current market conditions. P.S: Additionally, our earlier #Starknet (#STRK) analysis appears to be unfolding as projected. ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
by P_S_trade
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) — Scaling EVs with Software UpsideCompany Overview: Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN builds adventure-ready electric trucks, SUVs, and commercial vans, giving investors clean exposure to the EV + sustainable transport megatrend. Key Catalysts: Record Quarter: 13,201 deliveries in Q3’25; revenue $1.56B (+78% YoY)—evidence of strong demand and improving operations. Turning the Corner on Profit: First-ever positive gross profit: $24M, driven by cost reductions and a 324% surge in software & services—marking Rivian’s shift toward a software-enhanced platform. Mass-Market Expansion: R2 at ~$45,000 slated for early 2026, broadening TAM and supporting multi-year volume growth. Why It Matters: ✅ Proven ability to ramp production ✅ Improving unit economics with software tailwinds ✅ Clear catalyst with R2 launch Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $14.00–$15.00 Target: $23.00–$24.00, supported by volume growth, margin improvement, and platform monetization. 📌 RIVN — from premium adventurers to mass-market momentum.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by Richtv_official
USDCHF Poised for a Range-Trading ReboundUSDCHF Poised for a Range-Trading Rebound USDCHF has been trading within a broad range since July 1, 2025, moving between strong support around 0.7870 and resistance around 0.8120. Four days ago, the pair retested the support zone for the fourth time, and the initial reaction was sharp—signaling strong buying interest at this level. With the market holding this range for roughly 140 days, the probability favors another upward swing developing inside the structure. If momentum builds, USDCHF may soon begin a new bullish leg toward the next key levels: 🎯 0.8030 🎯 0.8120 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold holds 0.618, prioritize ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold holds 0.618, prioritize bullish scenario for Wednesday 🎯 Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on H1 – indicating that buyers still hold the advantage. The price is also clinging to the upward trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so today I continue to prioritize the BUY scenario following the trend. 📰 Macro – news context After the US government reopened, the market is preparing to receive a series of economic data today and tomorrow → USD and gold can both fluctuate strongly according to the news. President Trump attacked Fed Chairman Powell, calling him "stupid and incompetent," expressing that he wanted to fire him immediately but was prevented by advisors. 👉 Therefore, market sentiment is quite sensitive: just a tilt towards a rate cut scenario in the data could further support gold. 📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile Fibonacci 0.618: The price is at the 0.618 level of the most recent decline; if it holds above this level, the natural target will be the FVG area + resistance above 4120–4150. Upward trendline H1: The trendline from the most recent bottom is supporting the price very well; each touch back to the trendline results in a rebound → this will be an ideal area to wait for a BUY. Volume Profile & Liquidity: Cluster 4075–4080 is the Buy Liquidity area – thick volume, many orders exchanged → very suitable as an entry point if the price retests. VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defense lines if the market is swept deeply. Upside liquidity: The past FVG on H1 is still open to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario succeeds, gold can fully extend to this area. 🎯 Reference trading scenario (LiamTrading) 1️⃣ BUY following the trend – main priority Entry: 4078–4080 (retest trendline + strong volume cluster) SL: 4073 TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175 💡 Note: Wait for M5–M15 to have a nice reaction candle (long lower tail, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering the order. When the price moves ~1R, move SL to breakeven to protect the account. 2️⃣ Price area for short scalping Support – quick buy: 4048 – 4023 (VAL + lower FVG area). Resistance – quick sell: 4121 – 4151 (FVG + upper liquidity area). This is just a scalping area, so: Enter orders on small frames (M5–M15). Close quickly, do not hold orders through strong news. ✅ Summary Short-term trend: leaning towards bullish, as the price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 area. Main plan: wait for BUY 4078–4080, target direction 4120 → 4140 → 4175. Do you think gold will go straight to 4150 today or will it be swept back to 404x first? 👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel to receive daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
META: The Reversal Zone | Short term Swing Long Trade PlanThe chart shows the price has fallen sharply and is currently testing a zone where three significant technical features converge: Long-Term Trend Line (Yellow): The price has fallen back to the long-term ascending yellow trend line. This line represents the primary bullish trend established since the major low (around 2022/2023). A successful bounce here is essential for maintaining the longer-term uptrend. Horizontal Pivot Line (Pink/White): The current price is sitting directly on the horizontal support/resistance line (pink or white line near the price). This level acted as a strong pivot point in the past, suggesting significant trading interest. Breakout Retest (Red Line): The price is also re-testing the long-term descending red trend line from which it previously broke out. This former resistance line often turns into new support. Conclusion: The convergence of the ascending yellow trend line, the horizontal pivot, and the retest of the old red resistance creates an extremely strong confluence support zone in the $573 to $590 region. Trade Idea: ENTRY $590 - $598 Enter upon confirmation of support holding (e.g., an intraday reversal candle). TARGET 1 $652 This is the recent short-term resistance pivot shown on the chart. This is the primary target for a short-term swing trade.
NASDAQ:METALong
by GoldenTraderz_2025
Diary of emotions: a detailed guide. Part 1Hello, traders 😊 Today we will talk about 📖 diary of emotions . 🏳️ This is part 1, as the topic is very voluminous. In the second part, there will be an example of a diary and consider the mistakes in its management. I know many people don't even keep a trade journal, but they don't take into account the importance of recording emotions at all. ⚡️ Perhaps, after reading this article, you will change your mind and the diary will become as routine and important for you as opening/ closing deals. Let's start with the definition: ✔️ Emotion Diary - is a structured tool for the systematic registration and analysis of a trader's psychoemotional state at key moments of the trading process: before entering a position, during its execution, and after closing . 📍 The purpose of the diary is to objectively identify correlations between emotional states and the quality of trading decisions, as well as to exclude subjective interpretations in the process of analyzing the results. It is not intended for therapy, self-reflection, or motivation. ✂️ It serves as an analytical tool that allows you to quantify the impact of psychological factors on the execution of a trading strategy, thereby reducing the likelihood of errors caused by cognitive biases (there was a recent post about some cognitive biases, it will be attached) 🔎 Theoretical basis The psychology of trading demonstrates that decisions in the market are often made not based on analysis, but under influence. ➡️ Cognitive distortions: - the effect of disposition (profit is attributed to oneself, loss to the market); - loss effect (greater reaction to loss than to equivalent profit); - confirmation effect (interpretation of data in favor of one's own beliefs). ➡️ Emotional triggers: - stress from a previous loss; - the desire to win back; - social pressure (comparison with other traders); - feeling guilty or ashamed of a mistake. 📔 Studies of behavioral economics (Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky and Richard Thaler) and neuroscience (A.Damasio) confirm that emotions influence decision-making even among experienced traders, and this influence cannot be realized without external fixation. The diary of emotions is a methodology of external cognitive support that allows to circumvent the limitations of human memory and subjective interpretation. 🔎 Diary structure: A diary can consist of several important components, each of which is designed to capture a specific aspect of a psychological state and its relationship to an action. ✏️ For example, such: 🟣 1. Date and time of the transaction: provides an emotional state link to a specific transaction and time context (session, news background). 🟣 2.Position type: long / short - allows you to analyze whether there is a dependence of emotions on the direction of the transaction (for example, fear of shorts) 🟣 3.Trading instrument and time frame of analysis: BTC/USDT, H1 - captures the context, whether the emotional state affects the choice of the instrument (for example, high volatility → increased anxiety). 🟣 4. Emotional state before entering, determine the state: calm, nervous, aggressive, tired, expectation of profit, fear of loss, doubt, indifference. Purpose: to record the basic psycho-emotional state prior to making a decision. 🟣 5. The key thought before entering. Captures the automatic thought that influenced the decision. Examples: "The market needs to bounce off this level," "I don't want to miss the last opportunity," "I lost yesterday, I'll fix everything today." Objective: to identify the cognitive biases underlying the input. 🟣 6. Emotional state during the execution of the transaction. Captures the dynamics of emotions in real time. It may differ from the state before entering, for example, "calm" → "nervous" after the stop is triggered. The goal: to determine how the price affects the emotional state, and vice versa. 🟣 7. Emotional state after closing the deal. Captures the consequences of a decision. For example: "The deal closed with a profit, but I feel empty" → indicates dependence on the result, not on the process. 🟣 8. Was there a violation of the trading plan? yes/no If "yes", it is mandatory to indicate the type of violation: entering without a signal, changing the stop loss, increasing the lot, holding a losing position, no take profit, trading outside the Kill Zone. The goal: to connect emotions with specific violations of the rules. 🟣 9. The factor that influenced the emotional state. Indicates an external or internal trigger: a previous loss, someone else's profit on the social network, lack of sleep, FOMC news, lack of a plan for the day ... Goal: to identify systemic provocateurs of emotional breakdowns. ....... 💡 The second part will be released in a few days . Leave 🚀, so I'll understand that the topic is interesting to you. Profit and discipline to all 🪙
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by mari_trade
SILVER 4H Cup & Handle — High Probability Long OpportunityHey Traders, #Silver is shaping up for a high-probability long-term bullish move, and the chart is giving us some very clean signals right now. Why I’m Bullish on #SILVER Strong Range Accumulation: Price has been consolidating in a healthy accumulation range — ideal for long-term buyers. 4H Cup & Handle Pattern: A classic bullish continuation pattern is forming beautifully on the 4-hour timeframe. Trendline Respect: #Silver recently touched and respected the ascending trendline, indicating buyers are still in control. No Bearish Signs: Momentum, structure, and volume — all showing strength. No major bearish signals visible. Trade Plan I’m planning 2 Long Entries: Entry #1: At the current market price (CMP) — early position before breakout. Entry #2: On the breakout + retest of the Cup and Handle pattern — confirmation entry. Targets (Short-Term & Mid-Term) I’ll share detailed targets and SL levels in the chart. All trades will be taken with strict risk management to protect capital. Potential for an Explosive Move Cup & Handle breakouts on 4H charts historically produce strong follow-through. If we break above the neckline with volume, #SILVER could be ready for a significant rally. What do you think about the #SILVER setup? Drop your analysis below — agree or disagree? Let’s discuss! If you found this helpful, don’t forget to LIKE, COMMENT, and FOLLOW for more high-probability setups! #SILVER #XAGUSD #Commodities #TradingAnalysis #PriceAction #CupAndHandle #BreakoutTrading #ForexTrader #MetalMarkets #Trendline #LongSetup #4HAnalysis #SwingTrading #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by mudusir
USDJPY Enters Intervention TerritoryAccording to a Bank of America survey of 170 fund managers, the Japanese yen is expected to be the top-performing major currency in 2026, with gold in second place. Despite these bullish longer-term expectations, the USDJPY rally continues relentlessly. Contributing factors include fears of a large supplementary budget, potential delays to BOJ rate hikes, slower-than-expected Fed rate cuts, and heightened Japan-China tensions. Japanese authorities have once again begun verbal intervention, warning about excessive yen weakness following the latest sharp moves, though no actual intervention has occurred yet. The 157 level could act as near- to medium-term resistance, but USDJPY still needs a clear catalyst to reverse its uptrend despite the pair's substantial downside potential on any shift in fundamentals or policy.
by ftdsystem
Bitcoin’s Price at $90,000 Is Signaling a Bottom Formation Bitcoin trades at $90,331 and holds above the $89,800 support level, which has become a key buffer during the decline. The recent drop to a multi-month low has increased caution, but technical and behavioral signals suggest downside pressure is easing. Based on investor support and historical patterns, a deeper drop appears unlikely. A bounce from $89,800 could push BTC back toward $95,000 as confidence improves. Strengthening demand and exchange outflows reinforce the possibility of a recovery in the near term. If bullish momentum fades and broader weakness intensifies, Bitcoin could slip below $89,800 and fall toward $86,822. Such a decline would invalidate the current bullish thesis and signal a deeper retracement.
by BeInCrypto