EUR/JPY Breakout possible the seller are highly sitting in this key level , for me i don't trade in the zone as long as none of the support or resistence are broke , i personnaly don't trade in the zone , But keep an eye on a sell
Fundamental Analysis
HIGH-PROBABILITY SELL | Upper Order Block RejectionThe market recently broke out of a consolidation zone, which had been holding price in a tight sideways structure. This breakout cleared the liquidity above the range, and price briefly surged past the trend line, showing temporary bullish momentum. However, this move is corrective within the broader bearish framework.
Price has now entered the imbalance region, leaving a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) above, signaling inefficiency that the market is likely to revisit on the downside. Above this, the price is approaching a strong, unmitigated Upper Order Block — the key supply zone on the chart.
This Upper OB sits above the liquidity cleared during the consolidation breakout, making it the strongest potential rejection point. A reaction from this zone would likely trigger a sell-off back toward the Lower Order Block, filling the remaining FVG on the way down. This aligns with the original bearish structure, with the recent upward move being only a corrective retracement.
If the Upper OB holds, the expected move is a decline, making this a high-probability sell setup. Only a strong breakout above the OB with sustained closings would invalidate this bearish scenario.
SPY & Macro HistoricalToday FED ended QN (Quantitative Normalizing NOT "T" = tightening. 1st, you normalize, then you tighten. Right??)
The Fed is continuing to let mortgage-backed securities roll off its balance sheet, while the U.S. Treasury increases T-bill issuance (cash-like instruments). That combination means more gov securities are hitting the market even as the Fed’s balance sheet stays roughly unchanged.
More Treasury supply + no Fed buying = higher yields and tighter liquidity. More MBS roll-off = higher mortgage rates and pressure on housing. Treasury bills soak up cash, while longer bonds suffer.
🔥 REALMACRO summary:
The Fed is doing this to:
Get out of the mortgage market.
Strengthen the Treasury bill market (the foundation of dollar liquidity).
Keep bank reserves “ample” without restarting QE.
This combo lets them tighten just enough to cool asset prices, without breaking the plumbing again like in 2019.
The success of this experiment will largely determine how long the Fed can avoid returning to QE. If liquidity tightens too far as the economy continues to weaken, they’ll be forced back into some form of balance sheet expansion sooner rather than later.
Lastly, let's check how right I was when I posted "MMT Everything."
As of April 2020, US debt was $ 24T. Today, it is $38T, representing a total increase of $14T in 5 years.
✅ CAGR ≈ 9.6% per year
✅ S&P 500 CAGR (Apr 2020 → Today): ~18.6% per year
Both are completely unsustainable growth rates.
I nailed that back in April 2020. Trump & MMT "print and play" will be the death of us! SIGH!
Lastly, the DOGE gimmick was a complete and total failure as expected. No reduction in deficit and no fraud found. Imagine that!
As I keep saying, " NEVER INVEST IN TOXIC PEOPLE! THEY WILL ALWAYS BURN YOU IN THE END!" It's not political it's a FACT!
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Brent Crude Short Set up
The technical sell signal for Brent Crude aligns with a broadly bearish fundamental outlook driven by concerns over a persistent global supply glut heading into 2026.
Resistance Rejection: Price is bouncing bearishly off the upper edge of the 4H channel.
Bearish Confirmation: A Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern has formed, signaling a decisive shift in sentiment.
Momentum Shift: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken below its 50-level and its own Moving Average, indicating that momentum has swung from bullish to bearish.
Fundamental Analysis: The Supply Glut
The primary fundamental pressure pushing Brent prices lower is the expected oversupply in the global oil market, a factor that overshadows moderate demand growth and geopolitical risks.
The fundamental picture supports a downside move, with many major research institutions revising their 2026 Brent price forecasts lower, often into the $60–$62 range, largely due to the risk of an unprecedented global oversupply.
The current $61.00 technical target aligns with the lower end of the projected price corridor and a major support level.
How to Build a Consistent Execution Checklist on TradingViewMost trading mistakes don’t come from bad strategy, they come from inconsistent execution.
An execution checklist removes guesswork and replaces it with structure.
When your actions follow a routine, your results stabilize.
TradingView gives you everything you need to build a checklist that stays visible, actionable, and tied directly to your chart.
1. Define Your Core Conditions
Before any trade, the bigger picture must be clear.
Start your checklist by answering three questions:
What is the higher-timeframe direction
Where is price relative to key levels
Is price approaching with strength or weakness
Use TradingView’s drawing tools to mark support, resistance, value zones, and session highs and lows.
Add a simple text note on the chart listing your core conditions so they are always visible.
If the market context fails this first screen, the trade is already invalid.
2. Build Confirmation Criteria
Once structure is confirmed, you move to evidence.
Mark confirmation areas directly on your chart:
Liquidity pools
Fair value zones or imbalances
Previous session highs and lows
Asian range or New York open
If your strategy uses indicators, document exact conditions:
Moving average position and slope
Volume behavior
VWAP location
Volatility expansion or contraction
Define rules that don’t change based on emotion.
Confirmation should prove your bias, not justify your urge to trade.
3. Validate Risk Before Execution
Every setup must survive a risk checkpoint before it’s allowed to go live.
Your checklist must answer:
Where is my invalidation level
How much capital am I risking
Does this violate any daily limits
Is the reward worth the risk
Use TradingView’s long or short position tool to visualize risk directly on the chart.
Save it as a template so your risk process stays uniform across all trades.
No trade is valid if risk isn’t clean.
4. Create a Pre-Execution Routine
A checklist only works if you actually follow it.
Add a short pre-trade process directly to your chart notes using checkboxes or bullet points:
Example execution checklist:
Market phase confirmed
Level identified
Confirmation present
Risk valid
Entry condition active
Walk through this list before clicking buy or sell.
If one item fails, the trade fails.
Over time, this routine removes emotional impulse completely.
5. Review and Refine Weekly
Your checklist isn’t static, it evolves.
Every week ask:
Where did I break my rules
What conditions led to losses
Which confirmations work best
What rules saved me from bad trades
Use TradingView’s trade replay and journaling features to review execution quality, not just profit.
Consistency improves when your system evolves with you.
Final Thought
A checklist doesn’t restrict your trading, it frees you from emotion.
When your process is clear, your confidence increases.
When your confidence increases, discipline follows.
Good traders make decisions.
Great traders execute procedures.
Stay Green!
Nvidia ($NVDA) Stock: $2B Synopsys Deal Expands AI Design PowerNvidia has taken another major step to secure its dominance in AI infrastructure by investing $2 billion in Synopsys, one of the world’s leading chip design software companies. The investment instantly makes Nvidia one of the top shareholders and deepens the long-term collaboration between the two firms. The deal strengthens Nvidia’s control over key parts of the AI value chain, from hardware to software tools used in designing new chips across multiple industries.
This partnership gives Synopsys access to Nvidia’s advanced developer tools and GPU-accelerated libraries to boost its electronic design automation (EDA) processes. These improvements aim to speed up chip development cycles at a time when demand for advanced AI hardware continues to surge. For Nvidia, the move ensures it stays positioned at the center of AI innovation and benefits financially from the growth of the entire ecosystem—not just from selling GPUs.
The timing also matters. Synopsys recently reported weakness in its intellectual property segment due to export restrictions tied to China and slower activity from a major foundry customer. Nvidia’s investment restores confidence in Synopsys' long-term outlook while offering Nvidia a strategic foothold in the tools that design the chips running global AI infrastructure.
Technical Analysis
Nvidia’s overall trend remains bullish despite a slight pullback. Price currently trades around $178, holding above a key support zone at $145, which becomes the level to watch if broader tech stocks weaken. Upside momentum resumes if price pushes toward the $212 resistance area—its previous major high. A confirmed breakout above $212 would signal continuation of the broader bullish structure.
With a strong fundamental catalyst and firm long-term trend, Nvidia remains one of the leading names powering AI’s next wave.
CORE5 WEEKLY WARMAP — 1 DECEMBER 2025The market opens the week with the dollar locked inside a well-defined range between 97.67 and 99.98. Price is sitting near the mid-zone around 98.60, showing no structural breakout. Until one of these levels is taken out with conviction, this is a rotation environment, not a trend environment.
Yields continue to firm. The 10-year is up about 1.63 percent and the 2-year roughly 1.66 percent. Higher yields paired with a rangebound dollar create a more selective backdrop for risk assets. ES holds strength inside its upper band, but rising volatility signals a shift toward more two-way movement. Gold liquidated last week’s high and remains in a two-month bullish range. Across the six-chart grid, the underlying message is the same: strength on the surface, tension underneath.
The calendar is dense. ISM Manufacturing, ADP employment, ISM Services, trade balance, consumer credit, Michigan sentiment, and the full employment situation report arrive in a tight cluster. Each print feeds directly into expectations for the Fed’s December path.
Through the CORE5 lens, the dollar’s range defines the entire week. Market Structure confirms a rotation box. Dynamic Geometry shows price in discount, favoring fast intraday swings rather than smooth trends. Volume Flow flipped bearish last week after failing the bullish daily range, turning prior volume shelves into supply. Order Flow across FX pairs remains bullish, removing justification for blind shorting of risk assets. Execution must stay high-frequency, level-to-level, and based on clear confirmation.
The weekly thesis is direct: markets are being driven by firm yields and a heavy sequence of U.S. data. This is a reaction-driven week, not a predictive one. Intraday rotations offer more clarity than directional conviction.
The takeaway: the dollar remains inside its box, yields are firm, and volatility is rising. Treat every level as a behavior test. Trade the rotations, not your opinions.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
MPWR - Long Setup: 20%+ Upside Potential📈 Ticker: MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems)
Recommendation: LONG
Instrument: NASDAQ:MPWR
Timeframe: Daily + Weekly
Strategy: Position Trade with Swing Entry
🎯 Trade Parameters
Entry Price: $930.36
Stop Loss: $850.41
Take Profit: $1,121.71
Risk/Reward: 1:2.4
Position Size: Medium
Holding Period: 4-12 weeks
📊 Technical Analysis
Multi-Timeframe Convergence:
Weekly Chart (Bullish Structure):
Uptrend intact since 2020
Higher highs & higher lows
Trading above 50-week MA ($~880)
Volume profile shows accumulation
Daily Chart (Entry Setup):
Consolidation in bull flag pattern
RSI(14): 48.39 (neutral, room for upside)
MACD: Histogram turning positive
Price holding above key support at $910
Bollinger Bands: Middle band at $932 (coiling)
4-Hour Chart (Momentum Building):
Higher lows forming
RSI(14): 50.95 (bullish momentum)
MACD crossing above signal line
Volume increasing on up moves
🏆 Key Levels & Pattern
Support Zones:
$910-915 (recent consolidation)
$880-890 (50-week MA + psychological)
$850.41 (Stop Loss - pattern invalidation)
Resistance Zones:
$960-970 (recent highs)
$1,000 (round number + measured move)
$1,050 (extension target)
$1,121.71 (Primary TP - ATR projection)
Pattern Recognition:
Bull Flag formation on daily
Target: $1,120-1,130 (flag pole projection)
Measured move aligns with TP
💼 Fundamental Backdrop
Strengths:
Revenue Growth: +21.2% YoY
Net Income: +318% YoY (explosive)
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
Strong margin expansion
Semiconductor sector tailwinds
Valuation:
P/E: 23.8x (reasonable for growth)
P/S: 16.7x (high but justified by margins)
ROE: >30% (exceptional)
🎮 Trade Management
Entry Strategies:
Aggressive: Market order at current levels
Conservative: Limit at $925-930 zone
Patient: Wait for break above $935 with volume >500k
Exit Strategy:
TP1: $1,050 (take 30-50% profit)
TP2: $1,121.71 (remaining position)
Trailing Stop: Move to breakeven at $1,000
Time Stop: Exit if no progress in 4 weeks
⚡ Catalysts & Triggers
Immediate Catalysts:
Break above $935 with volume
Semiconductor sector rotation
Market risk-on sentiment
Upcoming Events:
Next earnings: February 2026 (est.)
Sector news (SMH, SOXX movement)
Fed policy decisions
📉 Risk Assessment
Primary Risks:
Market correction affecting growth stocks
Semiconductor sector weakness
Valuation compression in tech
Break below $850 support
Risk Mitigation:
Strict stop loss at $850.41
Monitor SOXX ETF for sector health
Regular technical checkups
Consider hedging with options
🔍 Confirmation Signals Needed
Bullish Confirmation:
Daily close above $935
RSI(14) > 55 on daily
Volume > 400k on breakout
SOXX above $520
Warning Signs:
Daily close below $910
RSI(14) < 40 on daily
Volume drying up
Semiconductor sector breakdown
📱 Monitoring Plan
Daily:
Price action relative to $910 support
RSI momentum
Volume patterns
Sector correlation
Weekly:
Overall trend structure
Major support/resistance tests
Fundamental developments
🏁 Trade Thesis Summary
Bull Case (70% Probability):
Bull flag breakout to $1,120+
Strong fundamentals support higher valuation
Sector tailwinds continue
Technical alignment across timeframes
Bear Case (30% Probability):
Failed breakout, range continuation
Sector rotation out of semis
Market correction hits growth stocks
Expected Move: +$191.35 per share (+20.6%)
Max Risk: -$79.95 per share (-8.6%)
🎨 Chart Setup Instructions:
Draw Support/Resistance:
Horizontal line at $910 (support)
Horizontal line at $960 (resistance)
Horizontal line at $1,121 (target)
Add Indicators:
RSI(14) - watch for >55 breakout
MACD(12,26,9) - crossover confirmation
Volume profile
Pattern Recognition:
Highlight bull flag from $1,050 to $910
Project measured move to $1,120-1,130
#TradingView #MPWR #NASDAQ #Semiconductors #PositionTrading #BullFlag #GrowthStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement
Disclaimer: This is educational content, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance.
Liked this idea? 👍 Follow for more technical setups!
Questions? Drop them in comments below! ⬇️
XAUUSD: Pullbacks are opportunities; remain bullishThe direction I've been aiming for these past two days has been correct, but unfortunately, the limited pullback in gold prices hasn't provided a suitable entry opportunity.
Currently, gold remains in an overall bullish trend. Gold has been consistently hitting new recent highs, indicating continued bullish strength. Pullbacks during the US session present buying opportunities. Now that gold is testing lower levels again, consider buying in the 4220-4230 support zone.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are still in a bullish golden cross and diverging upwards, suggesting further upward momentum and potential for continued gains.
Gold is currently in a bullish trend; pullbacks present buying opportunities. Trade with the trend.
Trading strategy:
Buy gold at 4220-4230
TP1: 4255
TP2: 4280
Set your stop-loss order according to your own situation. Good luck!
CL1! — Bullish Above 58 with Target at 62.22Crude oil maintains a constructive bullish structure as long as price holds above the 58.00 key support zone. This level remains the foundation of the current upward bias.
The next meaningful obstacle for buyers sits at the 60.69 resistance, which aligns with a major Fibonacci cluster and has shown strong rejection in previous attempts. A clean breakout and sustained close above 60.69 would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
Above that resistance, the path opens toward 61.71 followed by the main upside target at 62.22, which represents the completion of the current Fibonacci expansion.
As long as price trades above 58, the bullish scenario remains valid. A failure at 60.69 may trigger a temporary pullback, but the broader structure favors continuation toward 62.22 once the level is cleared.
XAUUSD Support Zone Reversal SetupThis chart shows XAUUSD (Gold) on a lower timeframe.
The price has dropped into a support zone (highlighted in red). This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped i
USD/JPY M30 BULLISH USD/JPY is currently in a short-term downtrend, but price is approaching a potential reversal zone. A strong rejection wick has formed near the support level around 154.40 – 154.50, indicating possible buying pressure. --- Trade Setup 📌 Buy (Long) Setup Entry: Wait for price to retrace slightly and form a higher low above the support zone (around 154.50 – 154.70). Enter after confirmation (bullish candle or break of minor structure). Stop Loss: Below the support zone, around 154.00 – 154.20. Take Profit / Target Zone: First major resistance level around 156.50 – 157.00. This is the same zone highlighted as your TARGET POINT. --- Reasoning Price has reached a key support area and shows signs of exhaustion in the downtrend. M30 chart indicates a possible trend reversal pattern forming. If price creates a higher low, it increases the probability of an upward move. --- Trade
Will this idea play out??? 30 Year Mortgage rates to 4.5%!Trump has been begging for a rate cut and with new FED leadership on the way and technical analysis correlating I think lower rates are very possible in 2026-2027.
PALANTIR HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP SOON!!!🚨 PALANTIR HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For PLTR Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Breaking; Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. ($DRCT) Spike 37% TodayThe price of Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ; NASDAQ:DRCT ) Spike 33% today gearing for a move to the $1 resistant amidst general market turmoil that saw notable tech stocks down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC dipping to the $80k zone.
NASDAQ:DRCT is looking poised to reclaim the $1 resistant as the relative strength index (RSI) is at 43 giving it ample of opportunity to capitalise on the dip.
In recent news, Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: DRCT) announced that it has received notice from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market notifying the Company that it has regained compliance with the minimum stockholders' equity requirement for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(b)(1), which requires listed companies to maintain stockholders' equity of at least $2,500,000.
Financial Performance
In 2024, Direct Digital Holdings's revenue was $62.29 million, a decrease of -60.35% compared to the previous year's $157.11 million. Losses were -$6.24 million, 184.2% more than in 2023.
Analyst Summary
According to one analyst, the rating for DRCT stock is "Strong Buy" and the 12-month stock price target is $6.0
About DRCT
Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. operates as an end-to-end full-service advertising and marketing platform. The company’s platform primarily focuses on providing advertising technology, data-driven campaign optimization, and other solutions to underserved and less efficient markets on both the buy- and sell-side of the digital advertising ecosystem. It serves various industry verticals, such as travel, education, healthcare, financial services, consumer products, and other sectors with a focus on small and mid-sized businesses.
EURCAD sellit is time to sell eurcad with 3% risk . It given nice rejection from a strong supply zone and now price is going down.
GBPCAD buy!GBPCAD hit a strong demand level and gave a nice rejection. I'm risking 2% for this trade is my profit target is 5% . Do not risk more than 2% per trade. Time to buy this pair.
Santa Rally or Santa Crash? What History SaysSanta Rally or Santa Crash? What History Says About December Volatility?
Every year, traders wait for the “Santa Rally” — the seasonal jump in stocks during the last week of December and the first two trading days of January. But history shows that December isn’t always a calm or bullish month. While the S&P 500 has posted a Santa Rally in about 70% of the past 25 years, several Decembers have still ended in the red, including notable declines in 2002, 2018, and 2022.
Seasonality matters, but macro conditions often dominate. A firm Federal Reserve stance, year-end tax-loss selling, and thin holiday liquidity can all turn December into a more volatile period.
So what could this December bring — a Santa Rally or a Santa Crash? The market may offer gifts, but history reminds us that risk management is the one thing traders can rely on.
Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BMNR HIGH PROBABILITY LONG SETUP SOON!!!!🚨 BMNR HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For BMNR Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
ETHUSD | Don’t get fooled...Understand the chartTL;DR: This chart looks like what happened in 2021 in a ridiculous way. A breakout, a rejection, a relief rally, then a painful descent through layered support zones.
I really don’t want to be the guy who says “I told you so” but charts teach with loss as often as profit.
Look at what happened when ETH reached ATH in 2021. A clear breakout and immediate rejection. Price then collapsed with multiple spikes to trick HODLers and bull for life traders.
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The lesson the chart here to offer
If our analysis is correct, we’ll see a short-lived manipulation into resistance ($3.6–$4.0k) that will suck in all longs.
What happens next you may ask? Straight down to support zones.
Breaking one support usually leads to the next.
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Practical rules to survive this (educational only):
Assume rallies are traps until proven otherwise. Wait for structure (higher lows + higher highs) on higher timeframes before adding long positions.
Manage size. If you trade this, keep position sizing small and protect capital with stops and trailing stops when in a winning trade.
Use multi-timeframe confirmation. Don’t buy solely on daily candles. Micro structure of a daily candle forms on smaller timeframes.
If you want to accumulate, always scale. Don’t all-in. That way you better position yourself, increase your profit and decrease your loss
As always...Stay disciplined.
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Good Luck!
P.S: Check the linked idea for a better understanding.
ETHEREUM HIGH PROBABILITY LONG SETUP SOON!!!🚨 ETHER HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For ETHUSD Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
Will gold prices fall after a surgeWhat will become ofthe marketGold Technical Analysis: Today, the gold market was paralyzed due to a data malfunction on the CME Group, leading to the closure of all gold trading. Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, trading was relatively quiet, and overall price fluctuations were not significant. However, the overall trend remains bullish. Looking at the intraday price action, fundamental uncertainties exacerbated market sentiment volatility, but the overall trading range remained within the expected range of 4220-4155. This indicates that with the US market closed today, market sentiment remains cautious, not blindly following sudden fundamental developments or completely deviating from technical expectations. However, this also reflects the current market's lack of direction and the risk of sudden price movements due to other factors.
Gold is still trading within an upward channel on the hourly chart. A pullback to the lower channel support suggests a continued bullish trend. During the US session, gold is expected to fall back to 4160, presenting an opportunity to buy on dips. The hourly chart also shows gold at the upper edge of a range-bound pattern, potentially forming a support/resistance level. Support lies around 4160, the starting point of the morning's rise, which could become a key level for determining future direction. Key resistance is around 4220; a break above this level could lead to a challenge of the previous high near 4245. The recent upward movement after the open may be due to pent-up energy from the past two days of consolidation. Currently, the market trend leans towards an upward consolidation, so our trading strategy should focus on the bullish direction.In summary, the recommended trading strategy for gold is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4240-4250, while the key support level is 4170-4160. Please stay tuned for further updates.
MSTR HIGH PROBABILITY LONG SETUP SOON!!!🚨 MSTR HIGH PROBABILITY BUY SETUP 🚨
* Here We Can See Clearly The Next Potential Moves For MSTR Coming Hours/Days.
* Keep Your Eyes Close On Your Trading Positions.
* Happy PIP Hunting Traders.
FXKILLA.
