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Fundamental Analysis

11/18/25 - $gamb - lol11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GAMB lol - won't rehash the one i wrote a few days ago but just to add - i'm here buying everyone's bags - at over 20% implied FCF yields, growth totally reset and still DD - the casino SEO biz effectively priced to go out of business in 2 yr - and the data business at 1/2 industry avg (despite it's growing faster and smaller) - you do you - but when i talk about the market doing silly things in 2H of 4Q and 1H of 1Q... this is the poster child of this sort of emotional behavior - must be too much fluoride in the water - be thoughtful :) V
NASDAQ:GAMBLong
by VROCKSTAR
Bullish Analysis. (Gold) SL Hit🟦 POST READY TO SHARE 📉 Losing Trade… with the Right Analysis (XAU/USD) Today I’m sharing a trade that ended in Stop Loss, but delivered a huge lesson. And yes — I don’t only post winners. Transparency builds real traders. 🔍 What was the idea behind the trade? • Mitigation of the FVG • ChoCH at demand • Reaction at the 5M OB • Fake Out sweeping liquidity • BOS confirming bullish intent • Full institutional sequence: Liquidity → Mitigation → Rejection → Expansion 🎯 So, what happened? Price completed: ✔ The liquidity sweep ✔ The mitigation ✔ The rejection ✔ The bullish BOS ✔ The entire push to TP1 and TP2 BUT before taking off… 👉 it swept my SL by just a few pips. Classic gold manipulation. 🧠 Professional lesson This wasn’t a bad analysis. This wasn’t misreading structure. It was gold doing what gold does — deeper liquidity sweep before expansion. This doesn’t invalidate my idea. It validates my vision. 💬 Motivational message “Great traders aren’t built by wins… they’re built by process. A losing trade doesn’t lower your level — it sharpens it. Those who only show wins aren’t growing… those who show the journey build consistency.”
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
1
Gold Rebounds at Channel Support – Short-Term Bullish OutlookXAU/USD – Gold Analysis After the recent drop in gold and the continued strength of the U.S. dollar, price has reached the lower boundary of the ascending channel. As long as this level doesn’t break, it remains a positive sign. Today’s candle has left a bullish wick with a solid body, showing that there is still buying interest at this support. For today, I expect gold to move toward the mid-channel area, where the next reaction will give us more information about the short-term trend. Even though gold appears to be forming a bearish structure overall, it still needs to grab liquidity to the upside before continuing lower. That’s why, for now, my bias for today is bullish, expecting a corrective move upward before the market decides its next major direction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dan-Goldfx
AUD CHF short ideaPerhaps a slightly unusual 'leftfield trade, but the recent underlying negativity remains (AI overvaluation concerns, readjustment of FED rate expectations). And with NVIDA, NFP and FOMC minutes looming, I expect it would take some fresh positive news to flip the narrative back to positive before those events. The S&P is under pressure, the VIX is at 25 and AUD CHF is appearing to 'roll over' at 1hr resistance. The risk to the trade is my underlying belief that the AUD 'should be strong' and the trade could stop out quite quickly as the root of the negativity perhaps doesn't warrant a 'risk off trade'. But for better or worse, I've given it a go. Due to volatie 'widening spreads at market close', particularly CHF pairs, it is a trade I will close an hour or so before end of day.
Short
by johnelfedforexblog
USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend (76% Probability) A fresh BUY signal has been triggered on USD/CHF following the formation of a Marubozu candlestick pattern on the current timeframe. Our model assigns a 76% historical backtest probability to this setup, highlighting a statistically strong bullish continuation opportunity. 🔍 Technical Analysis & Price Structure The recent Marubozu candle signals strong buyer dominance, where price closes near the high with minimal wicks — a hallmark of decisive bullish control. This pattern suggests: A resumption of the prevailing uptrend after a brief corrective pullback Strong participation by buyers at current levels Rejection of lower liquidity zones Upside continuation potential toward key resistance levels Combined with trend-following model confirmation, the setup carries high technical validity. 🌍 Market Context & Macro Overview Market sentiment around USD/CHF remains constructive: USD performance is mixed, but the pair benefits from safe-haven dynamics Swiss Franc strength seems muted as global risk sentiment stabilizes Interest rate differentials still broadly favor the USD Market expectations around upcoming US economic data may add bullish pressure Overall, macro conditions support potential upside continuation. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch These levels will guide short-term price action: Immediate Resistance – 0.79866 A short-term ceiling; clearing this opens the path to higher levels. Immediate Support – 0.79388 A key zone where buyers stepped in to confirm the Marubozu formation. Major Resistance – 0.80423 Primary bullish target if momentum sustains. Major Support – 0.78831 Critical structure invalidation for the bullish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Parameters (0.10 Lot Example) Parameter Level Entry 0.79627 Stop Loss (SL) 0.79427 Take Profit (TP) 0.80027 Risk $50 Potential Profit $100 Risk–Reward Ratio 1 : 2 The setup presents a clean, mechanical bullish continuation structure with clearly defined risk boundaries. 🛡 Risk Management Guidance Maintain professional-grade discipline: Keep risk per position between 1–2% of your capital Scale in on retests or partial confirmations if volatility increases Move to break-even or trailing stop once price clears the first resistance Avoid entering before high-impact USD or CHF data releases Lock profits if momentum begins to flatten near major resistance Marubozu-driven setups often follow through quickly — managing the trade dynamically is essential. 📌 Final Thoughts USD/CHF is presenting a well-defined bullish continuation opportunity, supported by a high-probability Marubozu signal, trend alignment, and supportive macro conditions. A break above 0.79866 could accelerate momentum toward 0.80423, while maintaining SL discipline below 0.79427 keeps risk controlled. This setup fits well for traders looking for a structured, statistically tested trend continuation entry.
Long
by SivaArjun
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (NOV 18)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (18 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction There are 2 different expectations outlined on the chart. S cenario 1 (Green line): Price to hit 585.5$ then close 1H above the level, bringing it back to us for a bounce. Scenario 2 (Red line): Price retraces till 579 and gets a bounce from there. I believe 579 is the strongest zone for buyers. I will be buying calls once we hit there. 💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (17 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment appears bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED may pause rate cuts in December, which has contributed to recent selling pressure and possible hedging flows. However, with the U.S. government reopening last week, we will start receiving updated economic data again. If employment data weakens and CPI comes in low or stable, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. NVDA will report earnings this Wednesday after market close. I will be watching closely in my view, if NVDA were to miss expectations, both QQQ and SPY could see a strong retracement. However, I think this is unlikely. I expect solid earnings growth and believe the ongoing AI cycle continues to support upside. Additionally, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration aims to finalize its trade agreement with China by Thanksgiving (November 27). This could bring further bullish sentiment into the market. 📈 Technical Analysis The market showed a strong bounce on Friday after tapping the 599 level. RSI has also reset, meaning price is no longer overbought. We remain inside the weekly range, and price has now touched the 0.75 max discount zone for the second time. 📌 Game Plan – Prediction A 1H candle close above 613 on QQQ will confirm bullish momentum, setting the next target at 618. If we get a clean 1H close above 613, I will be buying calls. After hitting 618, price may pull back slightly before eventually pushing toward 625 and potentially all-time highs around 637. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
Crypto Market Alert: New York Session Breakdown Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Strategy: Quantum Pulse AI (Fibonacci Focus) Session: New York Open Date: November 18, 2025 🧠 Executive Summary The Quantum Pulse AI algorithm has triggered a BUY signal for Bitcoin during the New York session. Despite neutral readings on traditional lagging indicators (MACD and RSI), our proprietary model is detecting an imminent volatility expansion. The price action suggests a "coiled spring" consolidation phase, often a precursor to a sharp breakout. Current sentiment is reacting to shifting risk parameters in the broader market, positioning BTC as a high-beta asset for the session. 🎯 The Trade Setup We are looking for a continuation of the bullish structure, targeting liquidity above the recent consolidation range. Direction: 🟢 BUY (Long) Entry Price: $92,332.82 Take Profit: $94,553.09 Stop Loss: $90,852.64 Risk Analysis Risk per Unit: ~$1,480.18 Reward per Unit: ~$2,220.27 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.5 Insight: For every $1.00 risked, the trade targets $1.50 in profit. This is a solid, probability-based setup suitable for intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Deep Dive Why "Neutral" Indicators Matter Here You might notice the standard indicators are flat: RSI (14): 50.0 (Dead Neutral) MACD: 0.0 (Flatline) Analysis: In the Quantum Pulse strategy, a "flatline" on the MACD combined with an RSI of 50 is not a sign of inactivity—it is a sign of equilibrium. The market has priced in recent moves and is awaiting a catalyst. The "Pulse" algorithm detects that order flow is building up pressure at the pivot points (support/resistance), suggesting that the next move will likely be explosive rather than gradual. Key Levels Resistance: The target of $94,553 aligns closely with the recent weekly high structure. A break above here opens the door to $95k+. Support: The stop loss at $90,852 is placed strategically below the daily pivot area to prevent a "whipsaw" stop-out. 🌍 Fundamental Context The analysis flags "Heightened Volatility" driven by risk sentiment shifts. As traditional markets (S&P 500, Nasdaq) open in New York, liquidity flows often spill over into crypto. The trade rationale anticipates that risk-on sentiment will favor Bitcoin as a hedge against currency debasement or simply as a momentum vehicle for the day. 🛡️ Trade Management Plan Entry: Execute at market or limit at $92,332. Mid-Trade Adjustment: If price reaches $93,500 (approx. 50% to target), consider moving Stop Loss to Breakeven ($92,332) to secure a "risk-free" trade. Exit: Hard exit at $94,553. Do not hold through the session close if the target is not met, as swap fees and Asian session volatility may alter the landscape. Disclaimer: This analysis relies on algorithmic projection and fallback strategies (Fibonacci Retracement). Cryptocurrency trading involves extreme volatility. Never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SivaArjun
1
TRADINGVIEW — NY SESSION UPDATELondon pushed the Dollar into 99.591, but DXY remains inside yesterday’s structure. Compression unchanged. Yields softer into NY — 10Y −1.11%, 2Y −1.27% — defensive tone with no directional commitment. ES reclaimed the 6655.50 London low and trades back inside its range. Gold steady above 4019.57. Volatility stable. NY opens into a tight Dollar and softer yields. First expansion sets the tone. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
TVC:US02Y
by CORE5DAN
SYS Short Term Goals Still Apply🔵 SYSUSDT Long-Term Cycle Projection (Macro View) 1) Current Structure SYS is sitting at the bottom of a multi-year descending channel. Price is tapping long-term support while the RSI forms a clear bullish divergence on the higher timeframes. This is typically a bottoming pattern seen before new cycles begin. 2) Short term goals Price range: 0.024–0.059 Market builds strength, volatility low, compression continues. Reclaiming 0.059 = first bullish trigger. Reclaiming 0.10 = confirmation of trend shift. - Bullish divergence confirmed. - Price at macro support. - Accumulation phase likely ongoing. - Break 0.10 to start the new cycle. - Long-term structure supports strong upside potential across 2025–2027.
Long
by alfra
HBAR Price Tumbles 25% — Indecisive Traders Could Extend Drop HBAR has fallen 25% over the last week and trades at $0.144, hovering near the $0.145 level. The steep decline has pushed the token into a vulnerable position where bearish sentiment continues to overshadow attempts at stabilization. Based on current indicators, HBAR could slip below its $0.139 support level. A drop to $0.133 or even $0.120 is possible if selling accelerates and market conditions worsen. Such a move may trigger panic among investors and deepen the correction. If HBAR manages to hold the $0.145 support and bounce, the price could attempt a recovery toward $0.154. A breakout above that level may open the path to $0.162 or even $0.175. This scenario would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal renewed buyer interest.
by BeInCrypto
How Can XRP ETFs Prevent Price Crash To $2 This Month?XRP trades at $2.14 and currently rests on key support at the same level. The asset has been locked in a downtrend for nearly a month, struggling to break out despite periodic attempts. Without external catalysts, XRP risks drifting lower as bearish momentum persists. However, XRP may avoid a deeper decline as the likelihood of ETF approval increases. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the SEC released guidance allowing issuers to speed up filing effectiveness, likely to clear regulatory backlog. Bitwise’s XRP ETF is reportedly next in line, and any progress could improve market sentiment instantly. If bullish momentum continues and ETF expectations strengthen, XRP could climb to $2.28 and then $2.36, breaking free from its downtrend. If momentum weakens or ETF decisions face delays, XRP may resume its slide and potentially drop 6.8% to reach $2.00. This would invalidating the bullish thesis.
by BeInCrypto
Report 18/11/25Summary The next leg of the market narrative is being pulled in opposite directions by three forces: Tesla’s shareholder vote on an unprecedented, performance-contingent $1 trillion award that would cement Elon Musk’s control over a “physical-AI” strategy; a renewed wave of mega-cap AI capex that is visibly compressing margins at some tech leaders while strengthening others via cloud cash flows; and a fragile, tariff-truce détente between Washington and Beijing that eased tail risk but leaves core strategic frictions unresolved. Into this mix, risk appetite wobbled as a broad selloff swept across equities, crypto, and even gold late last week, while oil slumped and the dollar stayed firm against the yen, reminding investors that positioning and liquidity matter as much as fundamentals in the near term.  Tesla’s vote is the catalyst that concentrates these themes. The package would lift Musk’s stake to roughly 25% on stretching milestones, including audacious targets for market value and operational delivery tied to robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid platform. The governance optics are controversial, but the market read is binary: either lock in the “key-man” premium that underwrites Tesla’s robot ambitions, or risk a multiple that re-anchors on autos and energy storage if leadership or strategy fragment. Reporting indicates investors broadly expect passage, and U.S. press has framed the plan near-term as “likely to pass,” with big holders signaling support. The immediate vector for TSLA, then, is not demand for EVs in Q4, but whether investors are willing to keep discounting high-variance, long-dated FSD/robotaxi/robot cash flows on faith that Musk stays, and executes. At the same time, Big Tech’s AI arms race is reshaping P&Ls and factor exposures. Meta has guided capex up again into a ~$64–72 billion band for 2025 (with spending heavily skewed to data-center equipment that depreciates over ~5½ years), and its Q3 results showed costs rising faster than revenue, souring sentiment as investors reassessed the “spend now, profits later” trajectory. Alphabet also lifted capex materially this year (to the ~$70–75 billion zone), but benefits from Cloud profitability and stronger free-cash-flow momentum, softening the blow relative to Meta. Microsoft continues to show Azure revenue growth around the 30–40% range with high-40s to low-40s operating margins in Intelligent Cloud, keeping the cash-engine humming even as depreciation ramps. The message for markets is straightforward: AI is no longer just an “NVIDIA trade”, it is a capital-intensive, margin-shifting infrastructure build-out that helps owners of rentable compute (clouds) and strains ad-only models that lack a cloud payback.  The macro backdrop isn’t standing still. A fragile U.S.–China trade calm followed leadership talks that paused some tariff escalations and delayed rare-earth restrictions for a year, lowering immediate supply-chain stress and trimming the “worst-case” path for the dollar and global growth volatility. But analysts caution that structural rivalry remains intact, and any reprieve could fade as technology controls and election-year politics re-assert themselves. The effect is “less bad, not solved,” which markets will treat as volatility-suppressing while it lasts.  Market reactions (now) Into the weekend and Monday session, risk assets stumbled in concert. U.S. stocks slid, the Dow closed near 46,590, oil fell hard toward the high-$50s, and even havens wobbled as traders de-risked broadly; the euro hovered near $1.16 and USD/JPY around ¥155. A single-session snapshot never tells the whole story, but the breadth of the selloff, “ensnaring everything from gold to crypto to highflying tech”, speaks to tight positioning meeting a liquidity pocket, not a sudden change in the economic data.  Strategic forecasts For the next 1–3 months, the path of least resistance is choppy but range-bound risk. If Tesla’s plan passes, the “physical-AI” optionality narrative can re-inflate specialty AI and autonomy beta even if near-term EV unit data stay soft; if it surprises by failing, expect an abrupt de-rating in “far-dated optionality” names and a quality/margin rotation back toward cash-rich cloud providers. Beneath the surface, AI-capex leakage into the real economy, power demand, land for data centers, transformers, grid upgrades, should keep non-tech cyclicals like utilities equipment, select industrials, and specialized REITs on a firmer trajectory, even as ad-driven platforms digest depressed operating leverage. On policy, the tariff truce keeps DXY capped versus Europe but supported against Asia until there is clarity on tech controls; any renewed chip-export tightening would be dollar-positive vs. CNY/JPY but equity-negative near term.  Fiscal and political implications The AI build-out is becoming a fiscal and regulatory story. Power-grid bottlenecks will invite incentives, permitting reform, and local tax debates; capex-heavy tech will lobby for rapid interconnection timelines and favorable depreciation schedules to cushion income statements. Internationally, Washington’s need to coordinate with allies on “de-risking” versus China will continue to produce mini-deals that ease immediate trade noise without resolving the core strategic contest, keeping corporate planning in a “just-in-case” mode. Domestic labor and household stress remain in focus, shutdown aftershocks and partial SNAP payments demonstrate both the system’s resilience and its limits, with court-ordered funding workarounds creating administrative frictions that can dent near-term consumption at the margin.  Risks Execution risk dominates. For Tesla, commercialization of FSD at meaningful attach rates and regulatory-permitted robotaxi operations is the hurdle, not demos; any high-profile setback in autonomy safety would sharply compress the “option value” embedded in TSLA. For Big Tech, the risk is a capex-driven margin air-pocket that collides with a softer ad tape or slower cloud bookings. Macro-politically, the U.S.–China respite could evaporate on chips, rare-earths, or maritime incidents; sanctions slippage via Russia-China energy trade complicates oil balances and could reignite volatility if enforcement tightens. Lastly, positioning risk is acute: with crowded exposures in AI beneficiaries and gold/crypto hedges, air pockets can produce “sell everything” days like we just saw.  Opportunities Investors can lean into AI infrastructure second-derivatives, power, grid equipment, switchgear, long-lead transformers, specialized construction, and select data-center landlords, where backlog visibility is rising with less headline risk than ad-supported platforms. Within tech, prefer cloud vendors with improving unit economics over ad-only models until depreciation crests. In autos, position for dispersion: high-quality suppliers leveraged to driver-assist and power electronics should hold up better than commodity EV assemblers until pricing stabilizes. For macro hedges, maintain a barbelled approach, quality duration and cash-generative defensives on one side; selective commodity exposure (especially if China continues to build oil reserves) on the other, while avoiding crowded, high-beta hedges that can unwind violently.  Asset-by-asset take XAUUSD (Gold): The latest de-risking wave hit gold alongside crypto, which is unusual but not unprecedented when funds raise cash. Structurally, gold is still supported by negative real-rate impulses if the Fed leans easier into 2026 and by central-bank buying. Tactically, expect choppy consolidation after a parabolic year; add on dips that coincide with DXY spikes rather than chase strength.  S&P 500 / Dow Jones: Mega-cap tech’s capex shock and margin questions argue for a narrower leadership with rolling corrections beneath the index. The Dow’s latest pullback to ~46,6k reflects de-risking, not a growth scare; breadth and earnings revisions, particularly in cloud, utilities-adjacent industrials, and healthcare, will dictate whether dips are bought. Near-term, a 3–5% volatility band is base case.  DXY: The tariff truce and softer oil tone limit upside versus EUR, but DXY stays supported by U.S. growth differentials and higher carry versus JPY and some EM. Range 102–106 feels appropriate unless a new policy shock re-prices the Fed path or a sharper European slowdown materializes.  USDJPY: With yen near ~¥155 and the BoJ’s normalization still glacial, USDJPY remains a funding-beta barometer. Episodes of global de-risking can pull it lower, but the structural trade favors rallies unless Tokyo accelerates policy shifts or U.S. yields break lower decisively.  Crude Oil: Prices slipped toward the high-$50s despite geopolitics, aided by ample supply and China’s stockpiling strategy smoothing demand. Sanctions friction around Russian flows is real but porous; watch for enforcement surprises as the main upside risk. Base case: $58–70 WTI unless inventories tighten.  TSLA (as a proxy for “physical-AI” beta): Passage of the plan likely sustains the optionality premium; failure compresses the multiple quickly toward autos/energy storage comps. Either way, volatility is elevated into and right after the vote; risk-manage with staged sizing and options overlays if expressing a view.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
11/18/25 - $four - Probably my #2 fintech11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FOUR Probably my #2 fintech - i don't love the niche in this consumer environment - but this founder-led business is a winner (i like mgmt) - mkt doesn't seem to want to believe in the FCF story - tide out on payments, to be sure - many of them look like M&A frankensteins but four has done a nice job - stock objectively a buy here, but the net debt (a factor the mkt is not loving at the moment until we see some direction in rates - and usually that's catalyzed by unemployment spiking... and that's consumer -ve which again... see pt 1 above...) - so i'd not be surprised if the stock has already found a floor - i think the solution they've built will be augmented not disrupted by ai-related developments and tooling and the mkt has this wrong (it's not easy to replicate what's been done here... look at the margins, they spend a fair amt) - but remember, the terminal values of stocks really matters in this ai-who-knows-what-happens-and-if-someone-knows-they-dont... which is why you see stonks like cost and wmt trade at PEs of ... well also silly... but it's bc the market *thinks* these brands are performing well and have good visibility to the next 10+ years of profitability. - so in a tax loss selling dump all things and jump ship sort of year-end emotion-fest, this would be on my short list (behind adding more dlo), perhaps i'd take dlo to 3.5% (from 2.5%) and i'd take four to 1.5% so 5% for "fintech" exposure let's call it. - tbd. - lmk if u have a more discerning view :) - have a good day my friends V
NYSE:FOURLong
by VROCKSTAR
Bitcoin: Short-Term Bullish Recovery on the TableBitcoin: Short-Term Bullish Recovery on the Table Bitcoin is showing early signs of a potential short-term bullish reversal as price continues to respect the descending channel. The latest bounce from the channel’s lower boundary suggests growing buyer interest, and a breakout above the upper trendline could trigger a stronger recovery. If BTC manages to break and retest the channel resistance, the next targets sit at: Key Bullish Targets $99,600 $103,800 As long as the price holds above the channel, the short-term bullish scenario remains valid. A clean breakout would confirm upside continuation. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
11
How to properly seize gold trading opportunities?Gold Technical Analysis: Reviewing yesterday's gold price performance, it showed a clear downward trend overall. Specifically, the gold price moved downwards along the five-day moving average. This trend often suggests a short-term weak market from a technical analysis perspective. During the US session, the gold price experienced a significant decline, which undoubtedly exacerbated the tense atmosphere in the market. From the daily chart analysis, gold closed yesterday with a medium-sized bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows. This candlestick pattern contains a wealth of market information. The presence of the upper and lower shadows indicates that both the bulls and bears exerted their strength briefly during the struggle, but ultimately the bears prevailed, pushing the price lower and closing with a bearish candlestick. This forms a "three-day losing streak" pattern on the daily chart, indicating a short-term weak trend. From a trend perspective, the bearish pattern in the gold market remains unchanged. Based on the above technical analysis and market trends, we can make a reasonable prediction for the future price movement of gold. We expect the price to further test the support level of the daily chart's lower trendline. Therefore, our trading strategy for today remains unchanged: shorting on rallies. Specifically, we will focus on the 10-day moving average as our entry point for shorting. On the downside, we will first look at yesterday's low. If the price breaks below yesterday's low, we can expect it to fall further. Taking into account various factors, we have identified the following specific resistance and support levels. The resistance levels are 4050-4070 and 4100, respectively. These levels have historically exerted downward pressure on prices and are key resistance areas that we need to pay close attention to during trading. The support levels are 4005-3980 and 3930, respectively. These levels are crucial points where prices may find support and rebound. Regarding trading recommendations, we suggest entering short positions in the 4050-4070 range. It is important to note that the market is fraught with uncertainty and risk, and the above trading strategy is for reference only. When making investment decisions, investors should fully consider their own risk tolerance and investment goals, and make decisions prudently. We hope every investor can have good luck in the market and achieve their investment goals. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4050-4070, and the key support level is 4005-3980. Please keep up with the pace.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
11/18/25 - $payc - Consolidating into others11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PAYC Consolidating into others - We're in the season where the big $ is made. 2H of 4Q and 1H of 1Q. Weird stuff always seems to happen "now", if you've not already noticed. - I still like NYSE:PAYC so i'll leave it as a "buy" and do think it works in time - But realistically I'm looking to own the "best" of a particular sector and perhaps if I can't decide (as was the case w/ NVDA and TSM coming into the year), i'll own both - I think the recent NASDAQ:DLO results highlighted that this will be my "payments" or payment-adjacent+ (as is the case w/ PAYC) exposure name of most interest - It grows at 2.5x PAYC - PE is 15x 2025 (vs. 16x for PAYC) and what i'd consider (in the case of DLO) best in class mgmt (btw i think payc mgmt is actually A-tier too) - Then you add in DLO's one-of-one emerging market status and that 6 of the 7 mag7s work with them and they're growing w/ each account. ppl this past q "didn't like the take rate" - but honestly... it's going lower... get used to it... and the top line will continue to compound >20% and they'll throw off a ton of cash - v hard to replicate what DLO has built, for now - so while ultimately payments, software etc. is a v difficult thing to own and I think ETH "eats" it all, i don't think the mkt sees any of this rn and i think the setup for DLO to outperform into 2026 given it's $3bn mcap is great. - gl to the payc holders, take a look at DLO and lmk V
NYSE:PAYCLong
by VROCKSTAR
XAUUSD: Short if resistance at 4050 is not broken.Gold prices plunged by approximately $100 yesterday, from a high of around 4110 to around 4010. Looking at the current 1-hour chart: It's clear that the 4010-4000 area represents a support level from the previous rapid rise. If the price fails to break below 4000, a bottoming-out rebound is possible. The current resistance level is around 4050. After breaking below 4050 last night, 4050 has become resistance. Gold is currently likely to consolidate within the 4000-4050 range. Which way will the breakout occur next? If gold prices return above 4050, the trading range will revert to 4050-4100. Conversely, if it breaks below 4000, the subsequent range will become 4000-3950. Therefore, as long as the 4000-4050 range remains unbroken, I recommend maintaining a range-bound trading strategy, buying low and selling high, and avoiding chasing highs and lows. Gold is currently at 4050, a short position can be initiated.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James_AU