3 Option Strategies✅ 1. 0-DTE Iron Fly (ATM Iron Butterfly)
The 0-DTE Iron Fly — selling an at-the-money straddle and buying wings for protection — is the most powerful theta-harvesting strategy in same-day options trading. Its core edge derives from the extraordinary rate of time decay at the money. ATM options experience the fastest gamma and theta changes, and within hours of expiration, their value collapses dramatically if price remains relatively stable.
An iron fly sells both the ATM call and ATM put, while purchasing further OTM wings to cap risk. This creates a defined-risk straddle, turning unlimited risk into a predictable maximum loss. Because you are collecting the highest premium on the chain (the ATM options), this strategy often yields 3–20× more credit than bull put spreads.
Professionals use iron flies on days where the market is expected to consolidate, remain rangebound, or collapse in implied volatility. The setup excels after large overnight moves, strong gap opens, or major news the previous day. These conditions often produce morning chop followed by volatility compression — the exact environment that crushes ATM premiums.
Key Greek behavior defines this strategy’s edge. The position is delta-neutral, vega-negative, and theta-maximizing. A neutral delta means you’re not betting directionally — any sideways action generates rapid profit. The negative vega means falling IV immediately boosts your P&L, and the extraordinarily high theta means the position decays in your favor every minute, especially after 11 AM ET.
However, gamma is the double-edged sword. ATM options have the highest gamma, meaning price moving too far too fast can rapidly eat into the credit and even create maximum loss conditions. For this reason, institutional traders manage iron flies aggressively using time-based exits, gamma stops, and dynamic hedging using micro futures (MES, ES, or SPX futures). They often hedge intraday with small futures positions to flatten delta.
A well-built iron fly has wings positioned at 15–30 delta, balancing risk and credit. The payoff is largest when price finishes near the ATM strike. Closing early—especially when you’ve captured 40–70% of the total credit—is standard practice. The trade is almost always exited before 2:00 PM ET to avoid the “gamma death zone,” where even minor price moves cause large swings.
Iron flies are best for traders with mechanical discipline, strong understanding of intraday volatility patterns, and the ability to manage delta quickly. When executed correctly in calm or mean-reverting markets, the iron fly is the most profitable theta-capture strategy in the entire 0-DTE universe.
Why it’s the best?
Highest theta concentration (ATM options decay the fastest).
Very tight structure → excellent gamma control.
Collects huge premium → offsets intraday noise.
You can define risk precisely.
When to use?
Low–moderate volatility mornings
Rangebound price action
Strong liquidity in SPX, narrow bid–ask
Typical setup:
Sell ATM call + ATM put
Buy wings ±15–30 points
Hold 1–2 hours, manage delta
Stats:
Win rate often 60–75%
Avg R:R 1:0.6 to 1:0.8
Excellent for consistency
✅ 2. 0-DTE Bull Put Spread (BPS)
The Bull Put Spread is the highest-probability and most stable 0-DTE income strategy used by SPX and XSP premium sellers. It involves selling a put that is out of the money and simultaneously buying another put further OTM to define risk. Its primary advantage lies in its exposure to positive theta, negative vega, and controlled gamma, making it ideal for days with orderly price action or bullish-to-neutral drift.
The core principle behind the bull put spread is simple: markets typically spend more time drifting upward or sideways than collapsing. 0-DTE options lose value extremely fast, particularly out-of-the-money options. By selling a 22–26 delta put and buying a 15–17 delta put, you position yourself in the zone where time decay works aggressively in your favor, and where IV crush after the open exponentially increases your probability of profit.
Professional traders rely on several metrics to select the correct strikes. First, the delta ratio between the short and long legs should be between 1.45–1.70. This ensures you're collecting enough premium for the risk while keeping gamma manageable. Next, the short-leg gamma must remain below threshold (0.045 for XSP, 0.015 for SPX), preventing sudden P&L swings late in the session. You also want net vega negative, so falling implied volatility benefits your trade, and net theta positive, so time decay improves your position.
Volume profile, expected move, skew, and opening volatility conditions guide entry timing. The best window tends to be 9:50–10:20 AM ET, after the initial volatility shock has normalized. Avoid entering during major macro events (CPI, FOMC, NFP), as volatility expansion can instantly destroy the probability structure.
You profit if price stays above your short put strike at expiration. Even if price moves downward slightly, the speed of decay can still allow you to win. Risk is strictly defined by the width of the spread, typically 3–5 points in XSP and 30–50 points in SPX. This creates a predictable maximum loss and controlled exposure.
Profit-taking is straightforward: close the spread when it's worth 5 cents or less, or when you’ve captured 70–90% of max profit. Stop out if the spread doubles in value relative to your credit (e.g., enter for $0.30, stop at $0.60). Always exit entirely by 3:32 PM ET to avoid gamma slingshot behavior.
Overall, the bull put spread is the most consistent 0-DTE strategy, with typical win rates between 75–90%, depending on strike selection. It is ideal for traders looking for systematic, repeatable edge without needing to predict market direction — only that markets won’t collapse that day.
Why it works?
Markets drift upward intraday statistically.
Keeps positive theta + directional bias.
When to use?
ES/NQ bullish open
SPX trending strong
VIX < 17
Breadth strong (AD line positive)
Typical setup:
Short put at 5–15 delta
Long put 20–30 points lower
Risk-defined, easy to automate
Stats:
Win rate 80–90% in bullish days
Low stress
Great for small accounts
✅ 3. 0-DTE Broken Wing Butterfly (BWB)
The Broken Wing Butterfly is the most advanced and nuanced 0-DTE strategy, offering asymmetric risk, low cost, and powerful edge during high-volatility or directional days. A BWB is essentially a skewed iron fly or skewed butterfly where one wing is placed further away, creating a structure with higher reward than risk or even a no-debit or credit-based butterfly.
A typical bullish BWB sells two ATM or slightly OTM puts, buys a closer lower put, and buys a further lower put several strikes away. This creates a payoff profile where the middle strike yields the highest profit, but losing scenarios are heavily controlled. The beauty of the BWB is that you can collect credit while still having a buffer zone and minimizing tail risk.
Unlike the bull put spread or iron fly, the broken wing butterfly shines in volatile markets. It's designed to handle one-directional moves, strong intraday drops, or large opens. When skew is elevated — especially put skew — the far-out wing becomes cheap, allowing you to build the structure for little or no cost. This skew is what gives BWBs institutional appeal: they exploit uneven pricing in the options chain created by market fear.
Key features include moderate gamma, moderate theta, and mildly negative vega. Although not as theta-rich as iron flies or as high-probability as bull put spreads, BWBs offer something neither of those provide: asymmetric opportunity. You risk less than you can make, while still benefiting from IV crush and directional drift.
Professionals place BWBs based on expected move, skew, and opening momentum. A bullish BWB is ideal when price is expected to drift upward or when volatility is high enough that selling ATM premium is too dangerous. It provides better tail risk management than credit spreads and avoids the unlimited risk of naked options.
Management rules revolve around maintaining delta, controlling gamma, and monitoring whether price migrates toward the tent peak. Traders often take profits early if price stalls near the short strike or begins to threaten the near wing. If price collapses rapidly, a BWB tends to hold up far better than a credit spread, because the long wing absorbs much of the gamma and Vega shock.
The BWB becomes exceptionally powerful when structured for zero debit, creating a free “lottery ticket” with hedged downside. Many traders use multiples—layering BWBs at different levels—to build a volatility-weighted directional profile.
In high volatility, trending, or one-directional markets, the broken wing butterfly is the best risk-adjusted strategy, offering safety, optionality, and strong skew exploitation.
Why this is sleeper-OP?
Collects more credit than risk (asymmetry).
Handles violent intraday moves better than iron fly.
Still benefits from fast theta burn.
When to use?
VIX severe > 20
ES/NQ whipsaw
FOMC days, CPI, NFP
Big macro catalyst days
Typical setup:
Sell ATM short strikes
One wing close
One wing far out
Net credit > max loss
Stats:
Win rate 50–70%
Best for tail-risk adjusted returns.
⭐ Which one is best overall?
If you want consistency:
→ 0-DTE Iron Fly
If you want safest risk-defined trending play:
→ 0-DTE Bull Put Spread
If you want best payout on volatile days:
→ 0-DTE Broken Wing Butterfly
Fundamental Analysis
US Recession Imminent! WARNING!Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much.
As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the economy.
The best time to be buying up stocks and going long the market is when the yield curve is uninverted and fanned out wide—not when it is bunched up like this.
My followers know this is my first warning of a recession since FEB. 2020.
WARNING! Things can get ugly from here very quickly!
Healthy Correction or the Beginning of a Bear Market?“Is this a correction or the start of a bear market?”
Wrong question.
What we’re seeing is volatility born from a market structure that isn’t built like the old one. The dynamics have changed — full stop.
1. AI-driven strategies are crowding the same trades.
When half the market is reacting to similar signals, you get synchronized surges and synchronized pukes. It’s not 2008, it’s not 2020 — it’s AI feedback loops.
2. Private credit is now a shadow central bank.
Money isn’t flowing through the same pipes. Leverage, risk, and “liquidity” are being created off-exchange, which means stress shows up in weird places and at weird times.
3. Retail is no longer small.
Retail isn’t the sideshow. It’s a real flow factor — chaotic, opinionated, overleveraged, and occasionally right as hell. That alone makes swings sharper and reversals faster.
So what does that mean for this pullback?
It’s not a healthy correction or a baby bear.
It’s the market trying to price things in a world where the drivers are new, the players are louder, and the feedback loops are violent.
Volatility is the feature — not the warning siren.
My stance:
“We’re in a structurally different market. Expect struggle, expect whip, expect overreactions — and trade the environment we actually have, not the one people wish still existed.”
PM Stock Technical Analysis – Short Sell Justification PMThe daily chart for Philip Morris International (PM) shows the stock is confronting strong resistance at the 200-day moving average, with prices consistently trending below both the 50-day and 200-day averages. After a recent bounce, the stock failed to break this key resistance, which is a classic technical signal for a short-term pullback .
Short-Sell RationaleThe most recent candlesticks reveal rejection at the $160 level, supporting expectations of downside movement.Technical indicators, including a weak RSI and bearish momentum, suggest limited buying strength and potential for further selling pressure.Target projections and current market sentiment point to a $5-$10 decrease over the next week, which matches observed technical patterns.
This setup justifies a cautious short sell position for traders anticipating a brief decline in PM’s share price.
IS SYSCOIN DEAD OR NOT? A Deep Dive into the Potential RevivalI’ve recently found out some MC related stuff about SYSCOIN, that came to me as surprise. SYSCOIN was launched in 2014 and is one of the oldest coins still trading on BINANCE CEX. Coin once boasted a market cap of ~$730 M at its 2022 peak. Fast forward to March of last year (2024), it was still around ~$256 M MC. Now? We’re below $20 M. What happened???
On the weekly chart of SYS/BTC (or the coin/chart pair you’re using) I’m spotting a bullish divergence forming — this could be the sign of a reversal. My target zones are the EMA lines around 0.00000150 and 0.00000300 (light-blue = more believable). Coin support is around 0.00000020 (could still drop down there)
Fundamentally this coin looks stronger than ever: real-world adoption appears to be ramping up and its network hash rate has surged. Back in 2022 it was ~28 EH/s; now it’s reportedly closer to ~550 EH/s (~20× growth). So something is going on beneath the surface.
Source about Peru adopting SYSCOIN from the Syscoin official X channel: x.com
Maybe early holders got tired and exited, but the chart is suggesting that the bottom could be in—or at least very near. And if it reverses, what a reversal it could be.
Targets:
Short/mid-term: ~x4–x5 from current levels
Long-term: ~x10 if everything aligns
Let’s keep an eye on this one.
Decoding Trading Charts and Psychology in NIKOLA TESLA'S way! Hey, how are you all! Let's dive deep into a powerful concept inspired by Nikola Tesla’s famous quote: “If you wish to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of ENERGY, FREQUENCY, and VIBRATION.” This idea, though from the realm of physics, it beautifully translates into the world of trading—both in developing the individual’s right trading mindset and understanding price charts.
Disclaimer:
This post is dedicated solely to educational content and community-driven insights. All information shared here—including strategies, trade setups, and opinions—are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial, investment, or trading advice.
Viewers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions.
Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and the channel will not be held responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of actions taken based on the content presented.
Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Let’s break down each component and see how you can apply it practically to your trading journey.
At first, let’s talk about the Energy: The Driving Force in Mindset of an individual and Money in Markets.
Energy —Tesla described it as the fundamental driving force behind everything. In trading mindset, energy is your mental and emotional vitality. It’s the passion that fuels your motivation to study markets daily, the focus that keeps you glued to charts during sessions, and the resilience that helps you bounce back from losses without losing confidence.
Imagine two traders: One wakes up excited, ready to analyse and follow their strategy, maintaining positivity even after a tough day. The other wakes up tired and doubtful, easily frustrated by every small loss. The difference? Their energy levels. High, consistent energy levels mean a trader can handle stress better, maintain discipline, and stick to a well-thought plan rather than acting impulsively.
On the market side, think of it as the driving force in the universe of trading. In trading, energy directly corresponds to Money. Money represents the real driving power or driving force behind price movement. It is the buying or selling pressure that injects momentum into the market.
When big chunks of money flow into a stock, like institutional buying, it fuels powerful upward moves. Conversely, large sell-offs drain energy, pushing prices down. Understanding where money is concentrated and how much “Energy” in the form of “Money” is behind the moves lets you anticipate strong trends or reversals.
Secondly, It’s time to discuss about Frequency: The Discipline of an individual and the Time factor in Trading.
Frequency, which for Tesla referred to the rate at which something vibrates or repeats. In trading mindset, frequency is the rhythm of your actions—your habits, your routine, and your discipline. Are you consistently reviewing charts at time intervals? Do you stick to your risk management and trading plan day after day? That regularity creates a frequency that stabilise your results.
Consider a trader who trades instantly, jumping into random setups at different hours without a plan. Their frequency is erratic, and their results are often inconsistent. Contrast that with a trader who enters the market with a fixed routine, analysing and executing trades in well-defined sessions. This disciplined frequency builds confidence and clarity, reducing emotional reactions like fear and greed.
For market charts, the context is in which price move happen in market hours, trading sessions, days, weeks, or months. Frequency is about the rhythm or cycle of these movements. The time of entry and exit of a trade needs understanding of the time factor to achieve better results. For example, price Accumulation and Distribution within an area represent the range of price movements in the near future.
It relates to the timing of price moves. This includes how often prices spend in a particular area without sweeping their highs and lows. The more time spent on it can potentially be how directional the price can behave.
At last, it is Vibration we must look into: It is the Emotional State of an individual and Price Action in charts.
Vibration: On a psychological level, vibration reflects your emotional states—the subtle feelings influencing how you react to market moves. Positive vibrations like calmness, confidence, and patience help you stay grounded, while negative ones like fear, frustration, and impatience can cause poor decisions.
For example, a trader who can stay calm during a price pullback might hold their position with confidence, trusting their analysis. Another who feels anxious might exit too early or overtrade to compensate, resulting in losses.
On the chart side, vibration is best understood as the actual Price Action on the charts—the patterns, candlesticks, and trends that represent how the market feels and behaves at any moment.
Just as vibration represents waves or oscillations in physics, price action is the ever-changing market vibration, reflecting trader sentiment, supply and demand shifts, and market psychology.
For example, a strong bullish trend or bearish trend are vibrations signalling increasing pressure. Sideways or choppy price action indicates indecision and low vibration energy. Learning to read these vibrations means interpreting the real-time mood and momentum of the market.
vibration is the actual price action—the patterns, trends, and candlestick formations that “vibrate” with market sentiment. Sharp price spikes, steady trends, or choppy sideways movement all represent different vibrations of the market. Learning to “read” these vibrations lets you align your trades with what the market is truly expressing.
Bringing It All Together>>>>>>>>>>>
So, how do we use these three—energy, frequency, and vibration—in practical trading mastery?
- First, cultivate your energy by maintaining a positive mindset, managing stress, and staying passionate about learning how, where and when the money is being exchanged.
- Next, build your frequency by developing and sticking to disciplined routines and timing your trades in harmony with market rhythms.
- Lastly, heighten your awareness of vibration by controlling your emotions and learning to interpret price action signals accurately.
Mastering these interconnected elements doesn’t just help you with strategy—it transforms your entire trading psychology, turning you into a more consistent and confident trader.
If this perspective adds value and if you have any inputs to this understanding about trading, Share your experiences or questions in the comments below—I love hearing the application of this thought into charts. Until next time, focus on your energy, maintain your frequency, and tune into the vibrations. Trade smart, and stay disciplined!
Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)Daily QQQ (US100-NQ) Outlook - Prediction (21 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment is bearish right now, in my opinion. The FED is expected not to cut rates in December, and the uncertainty around when rate cuts may resume in 2026 is adding pressure. After yesterday’s intraday crash, overall market anxiety has increased significantly.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price tapped the monthly FVG level around 588.5, which holds significant liquidity. In my view, this zone may set up the foundation for a potential Friday bounce.
📌 Game Plan – Prediction
I expect two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Black Line):
Price may consolidate and range between 597–588, creating choppy intraday price action.
Scenario 2 (Red Line):
Price may retrace toward 578.5, then recover and move back above the 588 level.
💬 For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
FinVolution (FINV)- Massive Selloff, Massive Opportunity?⚡ Market Context
FinVolution ( NYSE:FINV ) just went through one of its strongest selloffs in years.
After the recent earnings release, the stock dropped about 12 percent in one session and roughly 60 percent over the last six months.
What is surprising is that the earnings report itself was not bad. Revenue remains stable, the company is still profitable, and cash flows continue to look healthy. Fundamentally the decline looks excessive relative to the numbers. It is possible that the market is pricing in China specific risks that we cannot clearly see, but the size of the move still appears disconnected from the financial results.
📉 Technical Structure
From a structural point of view, FINV has now returned to one of the largest accumulation clusters on the entire chart.
This support zone stretches from 3.5 to 7, and the price is already trading near the upper boundary of this block.
The recent collapse fits well into a corrective pattern inside the larger wave structure. The current price action is likely completing the final part of the decline. The global bullish structure is still intact.
Key levels:
Major accumulation zone: 3.5 to 7
Current price: around 4.7
Wave invalidation level: 2.68
(Only a break below 2.68 cancels the entire long term structure.)
Until the price breaks below 2.68, the wave count remains valid and the bullish scenario stays active.
🔍 My Position and Strategy
My stop loss was hit during the drop, so I am currently out of the market.
Right now I am waiting for a clear confirmation signal before reentering.
My plan:
Price must break out of the current downward channel.
After the breakout, I need to see a clean retest from above.
That retest becomes the entry trigger, with a tight stop.
If the price moves lower before the breakout, that is acceptable inside the current wave structure.
The most important part is the confirmation and the retest.
📊 Bigger Picture
Even though the decline looks brutal, the long term structure remains bullish.
We are inside the largest multi year accumulation zone, and the broader formation still points to a potential long term upside once the correction completes.
The next big move can start only after the structure confirms the reversal. Until then, patience is the strategy.
✅ Summary
Earnings were acceptable, but the market reaction was extremely negative.
Price is now inside a huge accumulation cluster between 3.5 and 7.
Wave structure remains valid unless 2.68 breaks.
I am currently out and waiting for a breakout and retest signal.
Long term bias remains bullish.
💬 What do you think?
Is this a deep accumulation opportunity, or is the market pricing in hidden risks?
Share your thoughts below and drop your tickers for the next analysis.
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout
After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave.
Macro – Fed context
Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated:
This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed.
The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions.
This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction.
Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile
The current H4 structure is a triangle model with:
A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx.
An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support.
Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend.
Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile.
4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave.
4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely.
4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken.
4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep.
When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction.
Risk management and invalidation
H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held.
H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend.
Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
XAGUSD : Harmonic structureIn terms of harmonic structure, I can see that XAG shares EXACTLY the same structure as XAU. Yes, exactly the same when the price goes up to the ATH.
In the coming days or weeks, the price will come crashing down, as it has on previous occasions, just that XAG will go down more compared to XAU.
I think most likely deflation is coming.
Good luck.
XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1💛 XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION TRIANGLE ON D1, AWAITING A NEW BREAKOUT THIS WEEK 🎯
🌤 Overview of the New Week
Hello everyone, Lana here 💬
Gold, after a very strong rise from the 3,500 region to above 4,400, is entering a "resting" phase on the D1 frame: the price continuously tests the upward trendline but has not yet broken it to confirm a downtrend.
The market is clearly waiting for a real breakout before forming a new medium-term wave.
Next week, we have CPI and PPI – important inflation data that could act as a catalyst to push gold out of the current accumulation zone.
💹 Technical Analysis (Daily Triangle)
On the D1 frame, when connecting the descending peaks and ascending bottoms, gold is in a narrowing triangle pattern.
The upward trendline below is still maintained, indicating that the medium-term trend has not reversed.
Below are important zones:
≈ 3,890: if the price closes below this area, it could confirm medium-term weakening.
Fibonacci & psychological resistance zone 3,800–3,900: strong support, confluence with old price structure.
POC Volume Profile around 3,650: if a deep decline scenario occurs, this will be the next price attraction zone.
Above, the old peak zone around 4,300–4,400 remains a large liquidity zone, a natural target if gold breaks the upper edge of the triangle.
In summary: the more compressed the triangle, the stronger the breakout – the direction will depend heavily on CPI/PPI data & Fed expectations.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan (Medium-Term)
💖 Scenario 1 – Maintain Uptrend (priority when the trendline is not broken)
Observe the reaction at the D1 upward trendline (area around 4,000).
If the price continuously bounces from the trendline and stays above the 3,890 area, you can:
Prioritize buying according to the trend at support retests on H4–H1.
Medium-term targets: 4,150 → 4,250 → 4,300–4,400 if the triangle breaks upwards.
💢 Scenario 2 – Triangle Breaks, Shifts to Medium-Term Decline
If D1 closes below 3,890:
Consider this a signal confirming medium-term weakening.
Prioritize selling at newly formed resistance zones.
Step-by-step targets: 3,800 → 3,700 (POC) → 3,500 (strong previous support).
In both scenarios, specific entry points should be refined on smaller frames (H4, H1) based on price action/OB/FVG.
⚠️ Note News & Risk Management
Next week's CPI & PPI could be the "final blow," pushing gold out of the triangle – volatility can be wide and fast, spreads may widen.
Last week's NFP news hardly created big waves for gold after the US government shutdown, indicating the market is holding strength waiting for more important data.
🌷 Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold on D1 is in the final stage of the accumulation triangle – this is a time where patient observation is as important as a beautiful entry point 💛
Next week, I will continue to update daily details on smaller frames so everyone can have more specific entry points.
Cup Complete, Breakout Brewing — Handle Still Lost in Tokyo!Greetings, traders! Market Prophecy is telling a story again… Don’t run — it’s not a horror movie, just a Cup & Handle trying to find its happy ending. Grab your popcorn, because this chart has more drama than a Netflix series!
The difference between EUR/JPY and USD/JPY? Simple: USD/JPY has already finished sipping its cup on the monthly chart, while EUR/JPY is still brewing like a slow barista. (Don’t worry, I’ll spill the details on the daily or weekly EUR/JPY chart later.)
For USD/JPY, the handle is still in progress — think of it as the market adding the latte art before serving the breakout. Best dip-buy zone? Around 120, but even at 140, this pair might bounce like a trader after a margin call.
Once the handle completes and resistance breaks, say goodbye to boring consolidation and hello to trending mode. That’s exactly what happened with XAU/USD — it rocketed sky-high! 🚀 So don’t miss out, unless you enjoy watching profits fly past like shooting stars.
Enjoyed this? Show some love with a LIKE and share your thoughts in the COMMENTS! 💬
Disclaimer
My trading strategy isn’t a signal — it’s more like therapy for my brain. I’m just here crying over candlesticks while pretending it’s ‘learning market structure.’ Sharpening my skills? Sure. Building my trade journal? Absolutely. But deep down, it’s just me whispering to the charts: ‘Please love me back
REAL BTC Dominance compared to FAKE BTC DomincanceThis is real BTC Dominance Chart By subtracting Mcap of major stablecoins like USDT, USDC and DAI Compared to gross btc dominance (BTC.d)
The major misconception that has gripped the crypto market is the gross BTC Dominance.
From 2022, there has been an enormous amount of stablecoin creation by multiple US firms. The Stablecoins are not just used in purchase of crypto assets, but also used in holding real dollar currency in several countries whose national currency is in trouble. Even the Black economy is slowly transitioning from Cash business to USD stables.
The Real BTC Dominance should be a parameter of BTC market cap divided by the total Actual mcap of ETh and all other coins and tokens. That is how we used to judge the BTC dominance prior to 2020 (in 2020 the stablecoin economy was very small and almost entirely used for buying crypto assets only). Since today the USD stablecoin economy is increased enormously, we need to subtract the market cap of the stablecoins to get the real BTC dominance.
BTC Short Setup: Following the Whales to 74,350Bitcoin has tapped into a major premium zone, showing clear signs of distribution and potential weakness. With liquidity building up below the 74,350 level, this area becomes a highly reactive zone where smart money often seeks to rebalance price.
Price has engineered liquidity above recent highs, suggesting a possible manipulation before a deeper move. If momentum continues shifting bearish, I’m watching for a sweep into the 74,350 liquidity pool and potentially lower, where imbalances and resting sell-side liquidity align.
This breakdown focuses on market structure, liquidity dynamics, and institutional behavior — not financial advice, just the logic behind my analysis. Let’s see how price reacts as we approach these key areas.
EUR/JPY’s Coffee Break Before the Big Bull Run!Greetings, traders! Market Prophecy: Forecasting Breakouts, Not Birthdays!
Disclaimer: My trading strategy isn’t a signal—it’s more like a workout for my brain. I’m just here flexing my market structure knowledge and sharpening my trading skills while building my trade journal. Think of it as financial gym time—no personal trainers, just candlesticks!
Attention XXXJPY lovers
In the coming months, we’re about to witness some seriously interesting moves on the XXX/JPY pair. Don’t snooze on this — it could be your chance to turn charts into cash! As we all know, the Cup & Handle is a continuation pattern, and right now, it’s brewing like a perfect latte. After years of depositing, losing, winning, and hitting repeat like a broken playlist, I thought… why not share this trade idea so we can all sip profits together? Let’s make forex fun — and profitable!”
And to answer that PM asking why I do this on weekends when the market is sleeping?
Simple — because weekdays are like speed dating with pips. I’m too busy focusing on my trade plan and fixing those little flaws that sneak in like uninvited guests. Weekends? That’s my chill time with the charts — no drama, no price action,no breakout, no trendline just me and my candlesticks having a quiet coffee date.
“If you found this helpful, hit LIKE & COMMENT ❤️ Because every click saves a trader from staring at charts alone on a Saturday night.”






















