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GBP/USD in holding pattern ahead of US CPIFor FX traders, the risks look tilted to the downside for the dollar ahead of the release of US CPI data later on. A relatively benign CPI reading could give traders the green light to re-enter dollar shorts against the likes of the pound and Aussie dollar. However, a surprisingly strong report could undermine currencies that were already weaker against the US dollar – especially the Japanese yen, which has been dropping across the board lately. The GBP/USD has held resistance in the range between 1.3550 to 1.3600. A clean break above this range could pave the way for a move towards the July high of 1.3788. The next short-term support below market is seen at 1.3460 to around 1.3435. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
LIQUIDITY GAMES: DOLLAR HOLDS THE LINE WHILE CRYPTO SURGESWe head into a heavy news flow week with CPI Thursday and the FOMC next Wednesday. It’s easy to expect continuation of bearish economic data — but don’t think for a second that news alone will simply make price drop. The dollar has been holding and absorbing both sides of the market for the past month. This kind of structure often creates the opposite effect of what headlines suggest. While traders lean bearish, the dollar could easily run higher into mid-range before rolling over. We’ve seen this pattern before — gold rush movements and Bitcoin rallies that unfold without the dollar moving. It’s planned this way, building liquidity by trapping both sides. From a CORE5 perspective: – Structure → BTC is pressing toward the 124K liquidity zone, while DXY consolidates in balance. – Dynamic Symmetry → rallies and pullbacks are aligned; watch for rotation if dollar squeezes higher. – Volume & Order Flow → Bitcoin flows remain elevated, but sustainability hinges on post-CPI reactions. – Confluence → Risk pairs remain vulnerable if DXY snaps higher, despite crypto’s relief bid. Beaware - In weeks like this, price action around news is designed to confuse. Stay focused on structure and confluence, not headlines. Trading is only fun when you’re on the winning side — guessing usually lands you on the other
TVC:DXY
by CORE5DAN
USDJPY Holds Strong — CPI Data AheadUSDJPY Holds Strong — CPI Data Ahead The US dollar strengthened across multiple currency pairs overnight after a decline in PPI data. Given that the CPI data came in lower than expected, there is a chance that today’s CPI numbers could also be a downside surprise. This decline in inflation data is further increasing the chances that the Fed will cut rates at its September meeting. This could help the US dollar show some strength, but there is still the risk of some major speculation. CPI YoY expected at 2.9% (vs. 2.7% previous) Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) YoY expected to stay at 3.1% Key Targets: 148.80; 149.50 and 150.70 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
12
Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? Itron: Undervalued Smart Grid Play or Tech Pullback Risk? $144 Target in Play? Itron (ITRI) shares are trading at $118.29 today, down 0.40% from yesterday's close but up 2.5% over the past week amid broader market gains following S&P 500 and Nasdaq record highs. As a leader in smart metering and utility analytics, Itron reported record Q2 2025 profitability and raised its full-year earnings guidance, even as revenue expectations were trimmed slightly due to supply chain hiccups. With analysts pegging a $144.40 one-year target—implying 22% upside—and the stock flagged as one of September's top undervalued picks, is ITRI poised for a breakout on IoT and energy transition tailwinds, or will sector rotation and macro jitters weigh it down? Let's dissect the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and setups for September 11, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Itron's growth is anchored in the booming demand for smart grid solutions, with Q2 2025 delivering EPS of $1.12 (beating estimates) and margins hitting all-time highs at 11.05%. Analysts forecast 2025 EPS of $6.45 on $2.5B revenue, up 10% YoY, fueled by utility digitization and partnerships in renewables. However, softer demand in some segments and persistent supply issues could pressure short-term execution if inflation lingers. - **Positive:** - Raised 2025 earnings guidance signals operational strength; strong backlog in smart metering amid global energy upgrades. - Institutional buying and ETF inflows in industrials highlight undervaluation at 18.35 forward P/E versus sector average of 22x. - Broader trends like AI-driven grid management and ESG mandates position Itron for 15%+ annual growth. - **Negative:** - Revenue trim in guidance reflects supply chain vulnerabilities and delayed projects. - Economic uncertainties, including potential tariff escalations, could slow utility capex if rate cuts stall. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Dominant market position in smart metering with a 20%+ share in North America; robust R&D pipeline yielding high-margin IoT innovations and recurring software revenue. **Weaknesses:** Heavy reliance on cyclical utility spending exposes earnings to economic downturns; elevated debt levels at 0.8x EBITDA limit flexibility amid rising rates. **Opportunities:** Expansion into emerging markets like Asia-Pacific for grid modernization; integration of advanced analytics and AI for $11.9B global utility market by 2025 end. **Threats:** Intensifying cybersecurity risks in connected devices; fierce competition from Siemens and Schneider, plus regulatory shifts in energy policies. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, ITRI is forming a bullish ascending triangle after rebounding from $115 support, with volume rising on the upside amid the broader tech rally. This follows a 3.68% monthly dip, now stabilizing near key EMAs as September forecasts eye a range of $108–$120. Current price: $118.29, with VWAP at $117.80 offering intraday balance. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 52, neutral but climbing from oversold—bullish if it sustains above 55. 📈 - **MACD:** Histogram ticking positive with lines converging for a potential crossover, signaling emerging momentum. ⚠️ - **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($116.50) but testing the 50-day SMA ($119)—a hold here maintains the uptrend. Support/Resistance: Solid support at $115 (recent low and 200-day EMA), resistance at $120 (September high). Patterns/Momentum: Triangle apex approaching; breakout above $120 targets $130. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows and analyst upgrades. 🔴 Bearish risks: Bearish MA trend could drag to $108 on sector weakness. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Clear $120 on strong earnings momentum or soft CPI data targets $130 short-term, then $144 by year-end. Buy dips to $115 for value entries. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $115 eyes $108 (monthly low); broader tech correction could trigger 10% pullback. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $115–$120 if data mixed, suitable for covered calls or waiting for Q3 catalysts. Risk Tips: Set stops 2% below support ($112.70) to curb downside. Risk 1-2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with peers like SEDG or broader industrials to dodge utility-specific traps. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if ITRI holds $115 and guidance beats continue, cementing its undervalued status with 20%+ upside on smart grid demand. But watch Q3 earnings and Fed minutes for confirmation—this echoes September's value rotation in tech amid record highs. What’s your take? Bullish on Itron's rebound or sidelining for now? Share in the comments!
NASDAQ:ITRI
by DCAChampion
Gold on the Edge: Risk-On Mood Pressures Bulls Ahead of CPI🔎 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating between $3,624 minor support and $3,644 major resistance. The chart shows two possible pathways: Bullish scenario: A breakout above $3,640–$3,642 resistance zone may trigger momentum toward $3,660–$3,672. Bearish scenario: Failure to hold $3,624 support could lead to a sharper drop toward the broader $3,600–$3,598 support zone. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry (Long): Above $3,642 on breakout confirmation Stop Loss: Below $3,640 Take Profit: $3,660–$3,672 Entry (Short): On rejection at $3,630–$3,633 or a clean break below $3,624 Stop Loss: Above $3,633 Take Profit: $3,600–$3,598 🌍 Macro Background Gold price action is highly sensitive ahead of the U.S. CPI release. A softer print could reinforce Fed rate cut bets, weaken the dollar, and fuel upside for gold. Conversely, hotter-than-expected CPI may push the USD higher and pressure bullion lower. Geopolitical tensions (Poland drone incident, Middle East escalation) remain supportive for safe-haven demand, limiting downside risk. 📌 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,640 / $3,642 Support: $3,624 / $3,600 📝 Trade Summary Gold sits at a pivotal zone, awaiting a CPI-driven breakout. Bulls need to reclaim $3,642–$3,644 to push higher, while bears will aim to break $3,624 to extend the correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
GBP/USD Faces Resistance at Weekly Supply,Signal for Short EntryI am initiating an additional short position on GBP/USD as the currency pair has reached the Weekly Supply zone and is currently facing resistance in breaking above this area. The price action indicates a struggle to sustain upward momentum, with repeated rejections at this level. Moreover, the pair appears to be rejecting the Daily Supply zone as well, further confirming bearish pressure. Based on this technical setup, I am looking to capitalize on a potential downward move, positioning myself for a short trade. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Iberdrola Strengthens Its Position in BrazilIberdrola secures control with the €1.88 billion purchase of 30% of Neoenergia from Previ Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Iberdrola has taken a decisive step in its international strategy by reaching an agreement with PREVI, the pension fund for Banco do Brasil employees, to acquire the 30.29% stake in its subsidiary Neoenergia. The deal, valued at 11.95 billion Brazilian reais (approximately €1.88 billion), will allow the Spanish utility to increase its control over the Brazilian company to 84% of the share capital. The agreed price of 32.5 reais per share underscores Iberdrola’s commitment to a key growth market. Neoenergia supplies electricity to around 40 million people across six regional distributors and Brasilia, operating more than 725,000 kilometers of distribution lines and 3,800 MW of renewable capacity, mainly hydroelectric. In 2024, it was the company with the highest investment in basic infrastructure in Brazil, with expenditures exceeding 9.8 billion reais (€1.54 billion). The acquisition strengthens Iberdrola’s networks business as a strategic pillar, with the company already managing 1.4 million kilometers of infrastructure in the United States, United Kingdom, Brazil, and Spain. Furthermore, the deal follows the sale of assets in Mexico and a recent capital increase, enabling Iberdrola to reinvest swiftly in strategic markets. Although speculation has arisen in the market regarding a possible delisting of Neoenergia, the company has not made any official statement on the matter. Technical Analysis of Iberdrola On the stock market, Iberdrola shares are trading around €15.73, showing a slight correction from yearly highs. The daily chart reflects an underlying upward trend supported by the uptrend line initiated in October 2024. Key support lies at €14.76, while immediate resistance stands at the yearly highs reached on August 22. Since early April, price action has consolidated between €14.72 and the current highs of €16.785, with a narrower trading range between €15.80 and €16.03 acting as the most visited area, centering the Point of Control (POC) around current levels. The session opened with a bullish gap, lifting the price back to €15.78, slightly above the previous close. This support around the 100-day moving average could indicate an upward reversal despite mixed short-term signals. The RSI at 45.59% suggests slight oversold conditions, while the MACD has entered negative territory with a contracting bearish histogram, signaling possible indecision in the market. For now, both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages maintain their bullish slope, which could support a price recovery later this week. Meanwhile, the ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicator points to a neutral–mixed stance across European markets, with decreasing volumes and a shift toward risk-off sentiment. A breakout above resistance could project the price toward the psychological level of €17.50, whereas a break below €16 would open the door to declines toward stronger support areas. Iberdrola Strengthened Amid Portfolio Rotation The Brazilian deal reinforces the company’s fundamental appeal and, combined with expectations for its new strategic plan at the end of the month, could sustain the stock’s positive bias in the short and medium term. The broader global market context is leaning toward neutrality with a risk-off tilt, a backdrop that typically benefits defensive companies like Iberdrola due to the stability of their regulated income and exposure to critical infrastructure. In this light, the Brazilian operation enhances Iberdrola’s profile as a defensive asset, while the upcoming strategic plan could act as an additional catalyst to consolidate its position as a safe haven within the European utilities sector. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BME:IBELong
by ActivTrades
Can Specialized Depth Trump Market Breadth in Cybersecurity?NetScout Systems (NASDAQ: NTCT) has emerged as a compelling investment opportunity at the intersection of escalating global cyber threats and artificial intelligence innovation. With DDoS attacks surging to over 8 million globally in the first half of 2025—including record-breaking attacks reaching 7.3 terabits per second—NetScout's specialized position in network security has garnered analyst attention, including B. Riley's recent "Buy" rating with a $33 price target. The company's unique value proposition lies in its patented Adaptive Service Intelligence (ASI) and Deep Packet Inspection (DPI) technologies, which transform raw network traffic into actionable "smart data" without disrupting operations. The company's financial performance reflects this strategic positioning, with Q1 FY26 revenue growing 7% year-over-year to $186.75 million, driven by a remarkable 19.3% growth in product revenue. NetScout's enterprise segment has been particularly robust, expanding 17.7% annually and comprising 59% of total revenue, while serving high-value clients across government, healthcare, financial services, and telecommunications sectors. The company's gross profit margins of nearly 79% and strong balance sheet with more cash than debt underscore its operational efficiency and financial stability. NetScout's competitive advantage stems from its focused specialization rather than broad market dominance. While holding only 2.82% of the Application Performance Monitoring market, the company has been recognized as a "Technology Leader" and "Ace Performer" in DDoS mitigation—a critical niche where depth matters more than breadth. The integration of AI and machine learning into its Arbor DDoS protection suite, combined with the ATLAS Intelligence Feed providing global threat visibility, positions NetScout as a force multiplier for understaffed security teams facing increasingly sophisticated attacks. The strategic outlook appears promising, with the global DDoS protection market projected to grow from $4.34 billion in 2025 to $13.90 billion by 2034 at a 13.81% CAGR. NetScout's 46% international revenue exposure aligns well with rapid cybersecurity growth in Asia-Pacific, where the market is expected to exceed $146 billion by 2030. Despite facing competitive pressure in some segments, the company's focus on AI-enhanced hybrid solutions for large enterprises, coupled with its patent-protected intellectual property, creates a defensible position in an increasingly complex and high-stakes cybersecurity landscape.
NASDAQ:NTCTLong
by UDIS_View
Visa Stock Shows Strong Daily Rebound Amid Diverging MarketThe VISA stock chart is currently demonstrating a promising rebound on the daily timeframe, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. This upward movement is primarily fueled by demand zones where institutional traders and larger market participants—often classified as non-commercials—are actively pushing prices higher. Their buying activity suggests confidence in VISA’s future prospects and could be a strong indicator of continued upward momentum. Conversely, retail investors seem to be retreating or selling off, which is creating a contrasting pressure on the stock. Despite retail traders' bearish stance, the overall chart pattern and the demand levels suggest that the stock might be poised for further gains. This divergence between institutional and retail trading behaviors often signals an opportunity for savvy investors to consider a long position, especially if the demand continues to hold. It's important to monitor key support levels and volume indicators to confirm the strength of this rebound. If the demand sustains and the stock maintains its upward trajectory, it could be a strategic entry point for those looking to capitalize on a potential bullish move in VISA. What are your thoughts on this analysis? Do you see further upside, or are there cautionary signs to consider? Share your perspective in the comments below—I'd love to hear your insights! ✅ Please share your thoughts about VISA in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NYSE:VLong
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Outlook: CPI Today, FOMC Ahead - Potential retrace 🔎 Macro Context CPI (Sept 11): Today’s inflation print will guide short-term USD and bond yield moves. A softer CPI → strengthens the Fed pivot case → bullish Gold. A sticky CPI → temporary USD bid → potential Gold retracement first. FOMC (Sept 17): With the record NFP revision (-911K) and unemployment at 4.3%, the Fed is closer to easing. Market already pricing in September cut. Forward guidance = critical for Gold momentum. Bond Market: Yields have started easing on weak labor + growth risks. Lower real yields = structural bullish tailwind for Gold. 📊 Technical Outlook (XAUUSD) Price currently consolidating around 3625–3630. Strong resistance cluster: 61.8% Fib @ 3654 15m imbalance (OB) zone + liquidity pocket. Daily pivot resistance @ 3639–3640. Key downside liquidity: 3619 → 3600 (4H demand zone). Scenario: Market may sweep liquidity below 3620–3600 zone before CPI/FOMC catalysts. Holding above 3600 keeps the bullish structure intact. Break + close above 3665–3670 opens the way to 3685–3700. ⚠️ Risk Factors Sticky CPI surprise could push USD up → deeper Gold flush toward 3590–3580. Strong CPI miss → USD dump → Gold may skip retracement and run directly. 🎯 Trading Plan Bias: Bullish (buy the dip, liquidity grab scenario). Buy zone: 3600–3615 (4H demand). Upside targets: 3665 / 3685 / 3700. Risk: Max 1%. 🔑 Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish into September with Fed cuts on the horizon. Short-term, CPI and FOMC will dictate liquidity runs, but dips into 3600–3610 remain high-probability buy zones for continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_Trading_Path
XAUUSD – CPI Day Setup | Head & Shoulder Pattern.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading near 3627 support after recently creating an ATH at 3674. With CPI ahead, volatility is expected. 🔻 Short Scenario: If price breaks 3627 support, I expect retracement toward 3597 zone (a strong support). If support holds, I will look for short entries from 3646–3650 resistance, where a bearish Head & Shoulder pattern is visible on the H1 timeframe. 🟢 Bullish Continuation: From 3597 strong support, I’ll be looking for fresh buying opportunities as the main trend remains bullish. ⚠️ Note: CPI data can cause high volatility — trade with strict risk management. 👉 If you find this analysis helpful, like, comment & share to support more updates. Regards: Forex Insights Pro. #XAUUSD #Gold #CPI #Forex #Trading #PriceAction #HeadAndShoulders #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_Insights_Pro
Palladium Long#Invest #Palladium #PALL #PA #XPDUSD A weaker dollar after soft US inflation data has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut US President Trump's announcement of tariffs of up to 100% on India and China to pressure Russia is increasing demand for safe haven assets, including palladium Palladium prices have lagged behind other precious metals Palladium production is gradually declining due to the depletion of deposits in South Africa, the US and Canada. Recycling from old cars only partially compensates for the deficit Despite the growth of electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles with internal combustion engines retain market share, and this supports demand for palladium for catalysts New areas of demand: China and India invest in hydrogen infrastructure. Palladium is used to purify hydrogen Innovative technologies for using palladium to synthesize ammonia without CO₂ emissions Supply reduction: Producers Anglo American, Wesizwe Platinum and others are cutting investments due to low prices Production in Russia is stable, but growth is only possible with the launch of the Chernogorsk deposit in 2026 Palladium is attractive as an alternative to gold due to its growth potential From a technical point of view -formation of a double bottom. -There was already an exit, a false exit upward. -Now a cup with a handle is being drawn. How to participate in the growth? -Buying a futures contract (US NYMEX ticker PA) -buying through an ETF (for the US, ticker PALL). *The ticker may be different on the stock exchange in your country You can also look at companies with exposure to palladium Norilsk Nickel, Sibanye-Stillwater and Anglo American
NYMEX:PA1!Long
by A3MInvestments
Silver Daily Channel After Breaking Above Major ResistanceI identified this channel at the beginning of August, and it has worked quite well for position trades to date. As daily fluctuations evolve, I may make minor adjustments to this channel using significant lows from the past, present, or future. The following is my August video explaining the construction of the channel: Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
Risk-Reward Ratios Explained: How to Trade Less and Earn More​​If you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve probably had one of those weeks where you take 15 trades, stress over every tick, barely sleep – and somehow, your P&L ends up red anyway. Meanwhile, someone in your Discord chat casually posts their “one trade of the week” that banked more than your entire month. The difference? They understand risk-reward ratios (unless they’re social-media influencers and have a course to sell). The ones that get risk-reward ratios right aren’t trading more, they’re trading less, better. And that’s what we’re diving into today: how to use risk-reward to stop overtrading, focus on higher-quality setups, and finally give your capital the respect (and break) it deserves. 💡 What Risk-Reward Really Means At its core, the risk-reward ratio (RRR) tells you how much you’re willing to lose compared to how much you aim to gain. But don’t let the simplicity fool you – mastering this concept separates the true traders from the exit liquidity. Say you’re risking $100 to make $300. That’s a 1:3 risk-reward ratio – for every $1 on the line, you’re targeting $3 in return. The beauty is, you don’t need to be right most of the time to make money. At a 1:3 ratio, you can lose six trades out of ten and still come out ahead. That flips the game from “I need to be right” to “I just need to manage risk.” But, believe it or not, most traders do the opposite. They risk $300 to make $100, cut winners too early, and widen stops when trades go south. That’s not risk management; that’s donation season. 📐 Why This Isn’t Just About Math Risk-reward ratios look clean on paper, but in real life, psychology can ruin everything. Picture this: You plan a beautiful 1:3 setup. The trade starts working, you’re up 1R, and you panic. You close early “just to lock in profits.” If you’ve been around for a while, you’ve heard the saying “You never go broke taking profits.” True. But cutting winners early might mean missing out, hitting your goals slower or not hitting them at all. Pro tip: once you’re up 1R, consider putting a stop at breakeven and let your take profit stay where you set it initially. Because there’s a flip side, too. When trades go against you, emotions tell you to give it a little more room. You move your stop. Then you move it again. Suddenly, your carefully planned 1:3 trade becomes a 3:1 loser. This is where discipline comes in. A risk-reward plan only works if you have the discipline to stick to it . Otherwise, you’re trading vibes, not setups. 🎯 The Sweet Spot for Most Traders There’s no universal “best” ratio, but for most retail traders these setups work fine: Day traders often aim for around 1:1 to 1:2 Swing traders typically prefer 1:3 to 1:4 Position traders can stretch to 1:5 or higher Why? Higher timeframes give price more space to breathe. If you’re scalping, you can’t realistically aim for a 1:5 setup unless you enjoy watching charts like they’re Netflix and crying when spreads eat your edge. But here’s where traders mess up: Instead of finding setups that naturally offer good ratios, they force them. They shrink stops to chase a flashy 1:6 RRR and end up getting wicked out by noise. Quality setups beat aggressive plays more often than not. 🚀 Asymmetric Risk-Return: The Home Run Setup Let’s talk about asymmetric bets – trades where the upside massively outweighs the downside. Think 1:10, 1:15, or even 1:20 setups. These are rare, but they’re game-changers when they hit. Imagine risking $100 with a tight stop on a breakout setup. If price pops and you catch the move early, you could ride it for $1,500 or more. That’s a 15R trade – the kind that can pay for weeks, sometimes months, of smaller losses. Here’s a recent example in FX:GBPUSD . The pair hit a double top in mid-August and immediately reversed, piercing the $1.3590 (a prior peak) by just 5 pips. Say you spotted that double-top formation and shorted with a 10-pip stop. You’d survive the rise and then enjoy a 200-pip reward. That’s 20R in the bag, provided you exited right before the trend turned. But here’s the trade-off: You’ll get stopped out more often. You need patience to let the winners actually run. You have to accept discomfort – watching price retrace without panic-selling your position. The market sharpshooters who master asymmetric setups don’t chase them every day. They stalk clean breakouts, major trend reversals, or high-conviction catalysts – and when the trade lines up, they size big, set a tight stop, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting. It’s less about being right every time and more about letting one big win offset multiple small losses. 🧩 Making Risk-Reward Work for You Understanding ratios isn’t enough. You need a process: Start with risk first Decide how much you’re okay losing per trade – most pros cap it at 1–2% of account size. Find logical stops, not emotional ones Set stops based on structure – below support, above resistance, or at levels where your idea is simply wrong. Set realistic targets Don’t dream of 1:10 on a choppy Tuesday unless there’s a major catalyst to back it up. Let math guide position sizing Smaller stops mean larger position sizes for the same risk, but stay consistent with your capital exposure. By planning before you enter, you flip the game from guessing to executing. That’s when risk-reward stops being theory and starts being strategy. 📈 Risk-Reward in Different Market Conditions Markets change character, and your RRR should adapt too. In strong trending markets , you can aim for bigger ratios since momentum carries trades further. In range-bound conditions , scaling back to 1:1.5 or 1:2 makes sense – breakouts fail more often. During news-heavy weeks , either widen stops or stay flat if you’re risk-averse. Chasing trades when Powell’s mic is on ? Risky business. The smart traders bend their risk-reward ratios based on volatility instead of forcing the same plan everywhere. 🏖️ Trade Less, Profit More Here’s the counterintuitive truth: the fewer trades you take, the more money you’ll likely make. In other words, less is more. Focusing on high-quality setups with favorable RRRs means: Less noise Less overtrading More time for actual analysis instead of gambling You don’t need to catch every move. Stick to your RRR strategy, take care of the losses, and let profits take care of themselves. 🎯 The TradingView Edge This is where tools make life easier: Use Supercharts to visualize risk-reward zones before you enter. Once inside a chart, navigate to the left-hand toolbar and spot the icon where it says Projection . Pick Long position for long risk-reward ratio, and Short position for short risk-reward ratio. Here’s a helpful tutorial in case you need some guidance. Set alerts at key levels so you’re not glued to your screen. Scan with screeners to find setups with volatility and structure that match your target ratios. heatmaps can help, too. And finally, check out the newest product we launched, Fundamental Graphs , allowing you to compare plenty of metrics across multiple companies (we’re talking earnings, cash flows, net income, revenue, all that good stuff). 👉 The Takeaway Risk-reward ratios aren’t a thing to consider – they’re a pillar of profitable trading. You don’t need to predict the market perfectly; you need to structure your trades so that your wins pay for your losses, and then some. For most traders, the shift is simple: Stop chasing every setup. Start filtering for trades where the upside dwarfs the downside. And when you get the rare asymmetric winner, ride it like your P&L depends on it – because it does. Off to you : What’s your RRR strategy? Are you a defensive player or you’re chasing the asymmetric trades? Share your approach in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
18
$CNIRYY - China CPI (August/2025)ECONOMICS:CNIRYY August/2025 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China - China’s consumer prices dropped 0.4% yoy in August 2025, after being flat in the previous month and missing market expectations of a 0.2% fall. It was the fifth time of consumer deflation this year and the sharpest pace since February. Food prices slumped (-4.3% vs -1.6% in July), logging the steepest fall in nearly four years, with broad-based decreases across categories and a sharper drop in pork prices, due to ample supply, lower production costs, and weak demand. In contrast, non-food inflation quickened (0.5% vs 0.3%), supported by Beijing’s ongoing consumer goods subsidies, with increases in housing (0.1% vs 0.1%), clothing (1.8% vs 1.7%), healthcare (0.9% vs 0.5%), and education (1.0% vs 0.9%). Meanwhile, transport costs shrank but at a slower pace (-2.4% vs -3.1%). Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.9% yoy, the highest in 18 months, after a 0.8% gain in July. On a monthly basis, CPI was flat, below forecasts of 0.1%, following a 0.4% increase in July.
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
9/11: Double Top Pattern, Bearish OutlookGood afternoon, everyone! Yesterday, the market showed limited volatility, with prices capped around 3343–3358, failing to break through, which delayed the expected downward cycle. Today, the trend looks clearer: A double-top pattern has formed; Price tested the 23 support for the first time and rebounded slightly; Key resistance levels are 32–37, followed by 41; If the rebound fails to break resistance, the 23 support is very likely to be broken; Main supports to watch are 3610 (2H chart) and 3578–3550 (4H chart). 🔹 Trading Strategy Focus on short positions; Try quick long trades near support, but avoid being greedy; If rebounds fail at resistance, shorts may accelerate, so risk is relatively high.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang