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JP Morgan says EURCHF oversold --- Could target 0.96 on rebound?JP Morgan sees the surge in the Swiss franc as not justified. According to JP Morgan, the Eurozone economy is holding up better than markets had anticipated. Under this environment, JP Morgan believes the current EUR/CHF levels present an opportunity to fade franc strength and rebuild long positions. If the pair does rebound from current levels, the first area of interest could be 0.9350, followed by 0.9450, where prior swing highs and short-term structure converge. A more sustained recovery could bring the pair back toward 0.9600–0.9700, a major resistance band that has capped every rally over the past year.
by BlackBull Markets
GBPAUD – Sell Srteup Analysis: Price is tapping into a key 1H supply zone after a clear bearish structure. The recent upward move appears corrective, and price is now reacting from a previous breakdown point. If sellers continue to defend the 2.0260–2.0360 resistance area, downside continuation toward the 1.9960 support becomes likely. Setup Type: Short Position Entry: Around 2.0259 (retest of resistance) Stop Loss: 2.0358 Target: 1.9959 Bias: Bearish below 2.0360 Invalidation: Break and close above 2.0358 #GBPAUD #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ShortSetup #SmartMoney #MarketAnalysis #FXTrading
Short
by pipsifii
SPX 500: Stocks look heavy US stocks are testing their session lows with major indices looking heavy amid the unwinding of carry trades... Concerns about Japan’s growing debt are intensifying. The government seems to be trying to have it both ways—implementing a massive fiscal stimulus package worth 17 trillion yen while opposing monetary policy normalization by the Bank of Japan. This conflicting stance has led to a sharp decline in the yen and bond prices, pushing Japanese yields higher. Markets now worry that the government is mishandling the economy, demanding higher returns to compensate for what they perceive as rising risk in holding Japanese debt. So why does this matter for US stocks? The turbulence in Japanese markets may be triggering a carry trade unwind, similar to what happened in the summer of 2024. In a carry trade, investors borrow funds from countries with very low interest rates—like Japan—and invest them in higher-yielding assets such as stocks, gold, or cryptocurrencies denominated in stronger currencies like the U.S. dollar. As Japanese yields climb, the cost of maintaining these trades rises. With yields now becoming uncomfortably high, traders are being forced to reduce leveraged positions across markets, including US stocks. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREX.com
Firmly bearish on gold, targeting $4,000 and below.Last week, gold experienced a breathtaking rollercoaster ride. At the start of trading last Monday, gold prices surged and held firm above the psychological level of $4,000. Bulls, like galloping horses, launched a new and fierce offensive, once aiming for the historical high set last month, reaching a peak of around $4,245. The market seemed to be ignited with the flames of a raging bull market. However, the situation suddenly changed. A series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, their words like thunderclaps, shook the market, and sentiment cooled abruptly. Gold prices plummeted, erasing all previous gains, and ultimately closed around $4,085, leaving a trail of disappointment. The gold market has been caught in a period of intense volatility due to the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies and a lack of US economic data, leaving both bulls and bears relentlessly battered. Such extreme two-way fluctuations are nothing short of a brutal baptism for traders, especially those investors who are accustomed to blindly buying at the bottom and ignoring stop-loss discipline, who suffer heavy losses. Here I solemnly remind you: when the market is turbulent and the direction is unclear, do not rush into the market. It is better to observe the situation calmly, watch more and act less, and always face every breath and pulse of the market with a sense of awe. Regarding trading strategies! Regarding trading strategy: I plan to place short orders in batches within the 4095-4125 range, waiting for the gold price to weaken during any rebound. The key support level to watch is the 4070-4080 area. If this level is breached, gold may begin a new downward trend, heading towards a deeper technical correction.
FOREXCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
QuyetP | Careful Selling JPY Pairs — EURJPY Is Going ATH!Selling /JPY pairs right now just looks wrong. Momentum is one-way, and OANDA:EURJPY shows it clearly. Pullbacks get bought almost instantly. Higher lows keep building — clean, steady pressure. Intermarket checks line up the same direction: -Global yields stay elevated → JPY remains weak. -Risk sentiment stable → yen demand stays low. -BOJ still hesitant → market keeps pressing the upside. No drama. No noise. Just a pair that wants higher ground. QuyetP’s view : Bias is strongly bullish. I’m avoiding any sell idea on JPY pairs until this structure breaks — and right now, it’s not even close. Careful out there — fading this move is a tough bet.
by QuyetP
9
Bitcoin Daily Analysis #13 – November 17, 2025Welcome to another Bitcoin analysis — and apologies for the delay. As we can see, our bearish scenario has strengthened, and on the daily timeframe, BTC has officially turned downward 📉. It’s still unclear whether this move is just a correction wave or a full trend reversal, but based on the candle volume, there’s potential for deeper pullbacks ahead. If Bitcoin reclaims the 106,000 zone and holds strongly above it, the bullish outlook can return 🔄📈. But if we get rejected from this level once more, we can safely say the trend has shifted into a clear downtrend. There’s solid buying orders around the 90,000 zone, and we need to see how price reacts there. A break below this level would make the bullish scenario much harder to achieve 🚨. Additionally, after building a consolidation box in this region — or waiting for clearer structure — there may be an opportunity to take a short position 📉🟥. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Larry D.Kohn
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DibaPrism
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level. 📌 Game Plan The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range. My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations. If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900. 💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below. For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
UNIUSDT Better Long Setups Coming...Patience PaysI'm seeing a lot of bullish setups and decided to give me two cents. Current UNI/USDT price action is raising a red flag for potential long entries. History shows this specific Rate of Change (ROC) zone has often marked a local top. Historic ROC Overbought: Every time the price has pushed into this ROC zone in the past, it quickly resulted in a break of the bullish market structure. Followed by a corrective move down toward the support/accumulation zone. We are seeing that pattern play as of right now. Balance Volume (OBV) indicator trendline has been broken. This confirms that buying volume is no longer supporting the price momentum. This is not a good spot for a buy signal. I personally would wait for the test of the support zone then look for buy. Then we can aim for our potential targets. Good Luck!
by VIPCryptoVault
JAPAN JUST KILLED THE GLOBAL MONEY PRINTER AND NOBODY NOTICEDJapan’s yield hit 1.71%. They’re pumping $110 billion stimulus into their economy while debt sits at 263% of GDP. The math just became impossible. At 1.7% rates, Japan pays $27 billion MORE in interest. Every. Single. Year. The yen carry trade just reversed. $1.2 trillion in borrowed yen funding crypto, stocks, emerging markets must unwind. Emerging market currencies collapse without Japanese capital inflows. Europe’s debt crisis returns because Italy and Spain lose their silent buyer. Taken my first SELL POSITION, with a 25 pip stoploss and looking to take first profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward
Short
by MrHowMuch
BTC Crash Warning! BEAR Market is here!BTC’s market structure is deteriorating. Order flow continues to weaken, and buyers are failing to absorb even modest sell-side pressure. The question now is whether the recent rally has reached its exhaustion point—and the evidence suggests it may have. In a worst-case scenario, the broader market could push Bitcoin below 70k, with deeper downside levels at 50k, 40k, and an extreme capitulation zone near 28k. These levels are not predictions but plausible outcomes based on current momentum and structural breakdown. The larger narrative is shifting. Cycles are no longer behaving as cleanly as before, and the era of “easy crypto money” appears to be fading. Potential reversal zones exist, but as long as the bearish structure remains intact, they offer limited reliability. Each attempt at a bounce has been met with stronger sell pressure, indicating absorption by larger players. On the other hand, the 94–85k region stands out as an area where we could see a relief rally. However, expecting it to produce a new all-time high is optimistic under current conditions. For now, I remain strategically bearish, not emotionally bearish. My first downside target is 92–90k, with the remaining levels outlined above depending on how the market reacts at each structural break. For now BULL Market is OVER! #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #Crypto #CryptoMarket #BitcoinAnalysis #BTCAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #BearMarket #CryptoBearMarket #BTCBearish #BitcoinCrash #BTCDowntrend #MarketBreakdown #OrderFlow #PriceAction #MarketStructure #CryptoTrading #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ReliefRally #LiquidityHunt #TrendReversal #RiskManagement #SmartMoney
Short
by Aladdin223
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 17 - 21 NovemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Fed Rate Cut Chances, UK Markets, NVIDIA Earnings In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets. 👉 Key topics covered in this episode: — FOMC Meeting Minutes — UK Inflation Rate — UK Retail Sales — Corporate Earnings Reports Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge. Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Quyet.P | EURUSD breaking down… Could 200 pips vanish this weekSomething’s cracking under the surface. You can feel the tension without looking at chart. EURUSD keeps trying to breathe above weak supports near 1.0980–1.0950, but every bounce looks tired. Sloppy. Forced. My view? Down. Hard. Could see ~200 pips drop in next 2 weeks. Price action : last week candles → long upper wicks, no push from buyers. Lower highs stacking horizontally. Liquidity pockets : stops and pending orders around 1.0920–1.0900. If broken → fast move down. Intermarket : DXY up ~0.8% this week, S&P500 down ~1.2%, risk-off creeping. EURUSD reacts to dollar strength and equity weakness. Macro whispers OANDA:EURUSD : ECB still dovish, but flows favor safe havens. I’m watching next bearish engulfing on H4. If it prints clean, dominoes fall faster. Do you see the exhaustion too, or are some traders still pretending this pair is stable?
Short
by QuyetP
2
17/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $107,526.18 Last weeks low: $93,034.53 Midpoint: $100,280.35 Bitcoins downtrend continues as price reaches a 6-month low of $93,000. This price action came as a result of a failed attempt to flip the $107,000-$108,000 level, as this area rejected the bears gained momentum sending BTC sub $100k big even level and the most worrying part of all for the bulls losing the $97,000-$98,000 level. On the Higher timeframes this new lower low sets up for a trend shift. Should any reaction from the bulls fail to flip the weekly high and rollover, I would then have confirmation of a bearish trend and trade accordingly. Despite the US Government shut down coming to an end, it appears this has not been enough to get the market in a risk-on mood, at least not yet. This compounded with Nvidia earnings in midweek and the larger question mark about the AI industry as a whole has meant buyers are just not will to step in yet. My opinion is that IF Bitcoin trades into the $89,000-$92,000 area that is where support may be found, that's because we have an area of imbalance that broke the previous downtrend in April earlier this year during the tariff war. This week I expect Wednesday 19th November to be a day of volatility, and some formation of a local bottom in Bitcoin, at least in the short term. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 17-21 November 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4085.00, SL 4055.00, TP 4175.00 Gold enters the new week around $4,080 per ounce on Monday, November 17, 2025. The market focus is the release of the Federal Reserve minutes this week and the resumption of delayed U.S. macro data after the government pause ended: this shapes expectations for the future rate path and the dollar’s dynamics. Meanwhile, overall demand for gold is supported by sustained official purchases: according to the World Gold Council, central banks kept net buying elevated in Q3, and October marked a fifth consecutive month of inflows into gold funds. On the supply and alternative-yield side there are no notable new factors; 10-year Treasury yields remain near recent levels, which limits the cost of holding gold but does not negate safe-haven demand. Fundamentally, the week looks moderately favorable for XAUUSD: the minutes may confirm a course toward gradual easing of conditions in 2026, while uncertainty in data and the geopolitical backdrop preserve interest in defensive assets. Risks for buyers include a tougher reading of the minutes and a stronger dollar; supportive factors include steady official purchases, continuing ETF inflows, and stable retail investment demand. In this environment, buying dips with a nearby loss limit is preferred. Trade recommendation: BUY 4085.00, SL 4055.00, TP 4175.00 #SP500: BUY 6735, SL 6685, TP 6885 The S&P 500 starts the week near 6,734 at Friday’s close (November 14), while Monday futures trade modestly higher on expectations for key corporate earnings. The main catalyst is results from the leading producer of AI-focused semiconductors, viewed as a gauge of whether the investment cycle in AI and corporate capex continues. On the macro side, the Fed minutes and the return of several delayed indicators will help refine the monetary-policy path after recent rate cuts. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries are holding around 4% with choppy swings, which does not add fresh pressure to equity multiples. The weekly backdrop supports the benchmark: anticipated corporate drivers (AI investment, retailer reports as a read on consumer demand) and reduced data uncertainty as releases resume. Risks include softer guidance on AI capex, a jump in yields, or more cautious signals from the Fed minutes. The base case is a measured continuation of the uptrend if earnings resilience is confirmed and no negative surprises appear in the data. Trade recommendation: BUY 6735, SL 6685, TP 6885 #BRENT: BUY 64.00, SL 61.80, TP 70.60 Brent crude on Monday, November 17, 2025, holds near $64 a barrel as the market digests the resumption of loadings at Russia’s Novorossiysk port after a brief halt while reassessing the global supply-demand balance. Recent assessments point to a growing surplus in 2025–2026: agencies note faster output growth alongside moderate demand, while OPEC+ signals readiness to manage supply flexibly against the backdrop of lowered official selling prices for Asia in December. At the same time, geopolitical risks and occasional disruptions periodically restore a risk premium, cushioning the pressure from oversupply. This week, prices will be driven by news on OPEC+ discipline, stock/export data, regulator commentary, and the dollar’s path after the Fed minutes. The base balance is “moderately neutral” with elevated sensitivity to headlines: absent fresh signals of a larger surplus, the market tends to consolidate with potential for a recovery toward the upper end of the range as short positions are covered and risk appetite improves. Key risks to long positions are faster non-OPEC+ supply growth, softer Asian demand, and a lack of geopolitical premium in the news flow. Trade recommendation: BUY 64.00, SL 61.80, TP 70.60
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC corrective map: cluster buys vs 95.7k supply__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC remains in a corrective phase just above 93k after a sequence of lower highs, sitting on stacked demand while overhead supply caps bounces. Momentum is cautious and event-driven; treat key zones like checkpoints in a tough dungeon. Momentum: Bearish-to-neutral drift with sellers fading bounces under 95.7k; 1D holds uptrend but 12H remains down. Key levels: - Resistances (3D/1D/4H): 95,700 (3D), 98,300 (1D), 100,400 (4H pivot zone). - Supports (1D/12H/2–6H/3D): 93,900 (12H–1D floors), 92,900–93,400 (Cluster A, 2H–6H), 90,950 (3D pivot low). Volumes: Moderate overall; notable very high spikes on 15m selloffs. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D Up vs 12H/6H/4H/2H Down; average trend Down. Longs are tactical until 12H flips Up and price reclaims 93,900. Harvest zones: 93,400 (Cluster A) / 93,915–93,924 (Cluster B) — ideal dip-buy zones for inverse pyramiding when ≥2H reversal confirms. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral sell — risk-off tilt that tempers long follow-through, aligning with the corrective momentum. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ With a corrective regime and mixed MTF, stay tactical: favor reactive buying at defined demand with confirmation and fading into first HTF resistance. Global bias: Neutral sell while below 93,900–95,700; invalidation of bearish bias on strong reclaim and hold above 98,300. Opportunities: - Tactical buy: 92,900–93,400 reaction (≥2H reversal) aiming 93,900 → 95,700. - Breakout buy: Acceptance above 93,900 opens 95,700; continuation through 98,300 targets 100,400. - Tactical sell: Fade 95,700 or 98,300 rejections back toward 93,900/93,200. Risk zones / invalidations: - A sustained close below 92,400 hands control to sellers; a break below 90,950 invalidates the long thesis and exposes lower supports. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - FOMC Minutes, US jobs, and NVDA earnings could drive acceptance/rejection around 93k clusters. - ETF outflows act as a headwind to durable breakouts. - ECB balanced tone, Japan tax/policy shifts constructive medium term but not immediate. Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid): - Palier 1 (12.5%): 93,400 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry - Palier 2 (+12.5%): 89,700–87,800 (-4/-6% below Palier 1) - TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash - Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (95,700) - Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low (90,900) or 96h no momentum - Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF (95,700) on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Across timeframes, HTF support is dense near price, but LTFs lean down and supply is heavy overhead. 1D: Still Up structurally; sitting on higher-timeframe demand with 93,900 as the nearby reclaim that improves odds toward 95,700/98,300. 12H/6H/4H/2H: Downtrends intact; bounces sold below 95,700; key support cluster at 92,900–93,400 for potential reversals. 1H/30m/15m: Weak intraday structure with sell spikes; liquidity magnets at 92,900 and 91,100–91,300; need strong wick rejections for tactical longs. Major confluence: ISPD Cluster A (92,900–93,400) over AGG ≈ price with 3D pivot low at 90,950 below; together they frame asymmetric long attempts if ≥2H confirms. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is mixed-to-risk-off: ETF outflows, policy/event risk, and stronger USD tone cap upside until reclaimed levels prove persistence. Macro events: FOMC Minutes, US labor data, and Flash PMIs set the near-term volatility path; NVDA earnings can sway risk appetite; ECB is balanced but flags correction risk; Japan’s tax/policy headlines constructive medium term. Bitcoin analysis: Sub-100k/102k regime with 97,500–100,000 as key reclaim to improve structure; below 92,000 opens deeper supports cited by multiple desks. On-chain data: Not provided; flows narrative leans risk-off via ETFs, dampening sustained rallies. Expected impact: Event-driven two-way trade; until 97,500–100,000 is reclaimed, respect downside tails and use confirmed reactions at clusters. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC trades in a corrective environment with dense support beneath and strong supply above. - Trend is neutral-to-bearish short term while 12H remains Down; 1D resilience allows tactical bounces if 93,900 is reclaimed. - Best setup: Confirmed ≥2H reversal in 92,900–93,400, scale out at 93,900 → 95,700; fade 95,700/98,300 if rejection. - Key macro factor: ETF outflows plus FOMC/Jobs/NVDA volatility may decide the next leg. Stay patient, define risk at 90,900, and harvest volatility only on confirmed signals.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali