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Fundamental Analysis

PRE-NY CONDITIONS Dollar is pressing into a major cross-asset high, recognized across FX, yields, and risk assets. London kept DXY inside a tight structure with no clean breakout, which turns this level into stop-time: the point where liquidity pauses and the market decides whether the move extends or fades. Front-end yields remain firm, anchoring the Dollar’s support. The 10-year is indecisive, offering no confirmation and keeping the curve without a clear macro signal. ES holds its overnight gap on Nvidia strength, but volatility near 21 keeps risk fragile. Gold remains neutral, reflecting a balanced but uncertain safety tone into the U.S. session. DXY: Testing a major high; range-bound after London; structure stretched but supported by 2Y strength. US10Y: Indecisive daily structure; long end is not confirming Dollar strength; macro tone remains unclear. US2Y: Firm short-end repricing; maintains policy pressure and supports Dollar tone. ES: Holding gap; risk appetite supported but shallow; volatility still limiting follow-through. Gold: Neutral safety tone; neither attracting nor rejecting flows; reflects cross-asset indecision. VIX: Near 21; elevated volatility keeps conditions reactive and reduces trend reliability. Cross-asset alignment remains mixed. The Dollar is firm, but only the front end confirms it. Long-end yields hesitate. ES shows controlled appetite, but volatility denies conviction. Gold confirms the indecision. Liquidity conditions lean cautious, shaped more by bond market signals than by clean macro drivers. Pillar Focus: PEM — Confirmation Entries Today's environment aligns with PEM logic. A stretched Dollar at a major level, split yields, and elevated volatility mean operators should rely on confirmation-based triggers, shorter engagements, and strict timing. High-frequency windows (NY open → 10:00 → London fix) carry more clarity than directional assumptions. Follow higher-timeframe direction Ignore noise from earlier sessions Wait for structure + flow alignment Act only on confirmation Summary: NY opens into a cautious environment defined by a stretched Dollar, mixed yields, and elevated volatility — a clear PEM day. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
TVC:DXY
by CORE5DAN
EURUSD Short Setup if Key Level BreaksIf the EURUSD manages to break below the 1.15243 level, a potential short opportunity may develop around 1.15273. However, this setup is not confirmed yet, and the key element here is patience and proper validation. For this scenario to become valid, the market must first close a 15-minute candle below 1.15243. Such a close would indicate that the price has successfully broken through the level and is showing signs of rejection from the 15-minute orderblock, suggesting that sellers are stepping in with intention. This type of confirmation is essential because it filters out false breaks and ensures that the market is truly shifting momentum. If this rejection is validated, then the retest of 1.15273 could provide a precise and clean entry for short setups, with structure and liquidity alignment supporting the move. Until that break and close happen, the level remains a potential reaction point rather than a confirmed bearish continuation signal. As always, waiting for clear confirmation helps avoid entering the market prematurely, especially during periods where liquidity sweeps are common.
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
The timing for bullish entry has been precisely identified!Yesterday, the market experienced significant volatility, with gold prices surging to around 4132, a gain of 1.6%. However, as the US dollar index continued its upward trend and reached a near two-week high, coupled with hawkish signals from the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes, market sentiment was severely dampened. Gold prices gave back all of the day's gains, ultimately closing only slightly higher at around 4077. Currently, investors' focus has completely shifted to the upcoming US September non-farm payroll report, hoping to find clear clues about future monetary policy and a new direction for gold. From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, Friday's large bearish candlestick broke through key moving averages, setting the tone for a volatile week. Currently, the 5-day moving average area of $4120-$4130 has become a strong resistance level. If gold prices continue to be constrained by this level, the downside risk will significantly increase. The key support level is around $4050-$4030. If this level is effectively broken, it will confirm the continuation of the short-term correction trend, and gold prices may further test the important psychological level of $4000. However, the current price is still stable above the Bollinger Band's middle line, and the daily chart shows consecutive positive days, indicating that there is still some resilience in the market, and the bulls have not completely given up. Before the release of the key US non-farm payroll data, gold prices are expected to be trapped in a range-bound trading pattern. The subsequent upside potential depends on whether it can successfully break through the $4200 resistance level, while a deeper decline would require new negative fundamental factors to drive it.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
Market Structure 101: Navigating Price ActionMost traders jump directly into indicators, oscillators, or patterns. Yet every chart has a deeper foundation that determines direction long before any tool is applied. Market structure is that foundation. When you understand how price forms highs, lows, and transitions between them, you stop reacting to noise and start reading the market’s intent. It is the base layer that allows you to build a clear, consistent bias. Price moves because buyers and sellers interact around key levels. Structure highlights where momentum strengthens, weakens, or reverses. By tracking how highs and lows evolve, you can identify trend, consolidation, and shifts in direction with far more clarity than any indicator can offer. Market structure is objective. It gives you a rule-based lens to interpret movement across all timeframes. Understanding Highs and Lows There are four structural components every trader must recognize. Higher High (HH): Price breaks above a previous high, showing buyers in control. Higher Low (HL): Price pulls back but stays above the prior low, confirming trend continuation. Lower High (LH): Price rallies but fails to reach previous highs, indicating weakening demand. Lower Low (LL): Price breaks below the previous low, signaling sellers taking control. These sequences are the building blocks of trend identification. When mapped correctly, they remove guesswork and reveal underlying momentum. Identifying Uptrends and Downtrends Uptrend: A sequence of HHs and HLs. Buyers consistently push price higher and defend higher floors. Downtrend: A sequence of LHs and LLs. Sellers control direction, rejecting higher prices and driving the market downward. A trend remains intact until structure breaks. This is why experienced traders avoid predicting reversals and instead follow structural evidence. When the market prints new HHs and HLs, the bias remains long. When LLs and LHs appear, the bias rotates short. Ranges and Consolidation Markets do not trend all day. Much of the time, they move sideways. A range occurs when highs and lows stay relatively equal, creating a horizontal zone with equal highs and equal lows. This is where compression happens. Liquidity builds above the range highs and below the range lows, and trend often resumes only after one side of the range is taken. In ranges, structure becomes neutral. Bias is formed only when price breaks out and retests with confirmation. Break of Structure(BOS) and Trend Shift A break of structure occurs when the market violates the pattern of the existing trend. In an uptrend, a break occurs when price prints an LL. In a downtrend, a break occurs when price forms an HH. This signals a potential shift in momentum. Breaks of structure matter because they identify turning points without relying on subjective signals. They show where one side loses control and the other gains traction. They also create clear invalidation points for risk management. How to Read Structure Across Timeframes Market structure becomes even stronger when used across multiple timeframes. The higher timeframe sets the primary bias. The lower timeframe provides entry precision. Weekly or Daily: Structural trend and major zones. 4H or 1H: Execution windows and key shifts. 15m and 5m: Entry confirmation. When all levels of structure align, the probability of a clean move increases significantly. Avoiding Common Mistakes Many traders misread structure by focusing on every small fluctuation. Structure is defined by meaningful swings, not micro noise. Another common error is assuming a single HH or LL immediately reverses a trend. Context matters. Breaks followed by continuation and retests confirm the shift. A disciplined trader waits for structure to become clear instead of acting on isolated candles. Turning Structure Into a Bias Structure simplifies decision-making. If the market is printing HH and HL formations, you prioritize longs. If it is printing LH and LL formations, you seek shorts. If highs and lows are equal, you wait for a breakout.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.MH2026Education
by HyroTrader
19
No New Dividend Payouts Are Latest Sign of Wall Street SluggishUnderstanding Dividends and Dividend Market Futures A dividend is the distribution of corporate earnings to eligible shareholders. Dividend payments and amounts are determined by a company's board of directors. Dividends must be approved by the shareholders by voting rights. Although cash dividends are common, dividends can also be issued as shares of stock. The dividend yield is the dividend per share, and expressed as a percentage of a company's share price. Many companies - constituents of S&P500 Index still DO NOT PAY dividends and instead retain earnings to be invested back into the company. The S&P500 Dividend Points Index (Annual) tracks the total dividends from the constituents of the S&P 500 Index. The index provides investors the opportunity to hedge or take a view on dividends for U.S. stocks, independent of price movement, as S&P500 Dividend Index Futures is a market expectation of how many points Dividends Index will collect by the end of year. Using the S&P500 Dividend Index as the underlying in financial products, investors can hedge or gain exposure to the dividend performance of the S&P500 Index. Understanding S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures The S&P500 Annual Dividend Index futures (main technical graph is for 2029 S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures) calculates the accumulation of all ordinary gross dividends paid on the S&P500 index constituent stocks that have gone ex-dividend over a 12-month period. The amounts are expressed as dividend index points. The underlying index for S&P500 Annual Dividend Index futures is the S&P500 Dividend Index. The methodology for the index can be found here at S&P Global website. Dividend index points specifically refer to the level of index points that are directly attributable to the dividends of index constituents. They typically only capture regular dividends and calculate this on the ex-date of the respective constituents within each index. In general, “special” or “extraordinary” dividends are not included as dividend points in the respective annual dividend indices. Futures contract Unit is $ 250 x S&P 500 Annual Dividends Index. Technical considerations on a Galaxy of S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures. The year 2029. Flat 18-months resistance under 80 points has been detected. S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures. The year 2028. Flat 18-months resistance, also under 80 points has been detected. S&P500 Annual Dividend Index Futures. The year 2027. Flat 18-months resistance, also under 80 points has been detected. Conclusion The graphs above indicate on a strong flat 80-point resistance over the next 1 to 3 years time span. No new dividends distributions are latest sigh of Wall Street sluggish. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
CME:SDAZ2029
by PandorraResearch
Report 20/11/25Report summary: Markets are trading on three intertwined tapes: (i) AI/capex financing (chip demand, data-center buildouts, and the credit plumbing behind them), (ii) policy/geo realignment (US–Saudi thaw, EU raw-materials and defense industrial policy, UK market-structure tweaks, ECB supervision stance), and (iii) macro visibility (US data delays, BOJ/JGB spillovers, and the dollar path). Into these, the near-term impulse is mixed-to-supportive for cyclicals and defense/AI infrastructure, constructive for EU banks on potential supervisory waivers, and two-way for duration and the dollar as investors “trade in the fog” of delayed US labor data and headline-sensitive AI prints. The cross-asset implication is a choppy but upward bias for the Dow (industrial, defense, energy tilt) and a more binary S&P/Nasdaq tape around mega-cap AI catalysts; USDJPY remains skewed higher with intervention risk; crude is range-bound with a geopolitical floor; and gold is a hedge bid that ebbs/flows with DXY swings and Middle-East optics. US data release slippage and the AI funding debate keep volatility elevated into year-end. Market context and immediate reactions US macro visibility deteriorated after the government shutdown forced BLS to delay key October labor detail (unemployment rate and labor-force stats) and reschedule the consolidated jobs release to mid-December. That reduced the data the Fed can lean on for the December meeting and helped curb market conviction on an additional cut. Equities chopped; the dollar firmed on the day of the announcement; and positioning clustered around a “binary” AI earnings tape (notably Nvidia). Parallel to the tape-driven swings, the financing burden for the AI buildout is now a core macro theme: with data-center capex needs measured in the trillions through 2028 and only about half covered by projected operating cash flow, credit markets and nontraditional sources (including retirees’ savings via asset owners) are being courted to fill the gap. That credit story is feeding through to spreads (e.g., Oracle CDS) as hyperscalers and suppliers term out funding for AI infrastructure. Policy and geopolitics what changed and why it matters US–Saudi thaw and deal corridor. Elon Musk’s attendance at the White House dinner for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman underscores a pragmatic thaw around capital, AI, semis and energy. Subsequent reporting framed a US ask for up to a $1 trillion Saudi investment package, with the Oval Office optics downplaying the Khashoggi issue, raising both deal momentum and reputational risk premia. Net market take: constructive for US defense primes, AI infrastructure suppliers, select chip names exposed to hyperscaler/sovereign orders, and US-Saudi critical-minerals tie-ups; headline risk remains. EU critical-minerals (CRM) stockpiling and a central buying “centre.” Brussels is preparing a coordinated purchase/stockpile mechanism, with price-floor options and fast-track supply treaties (e.g., Brazil, South Africa) to reduce China dependency across REEs, lithium and copper. This is structurally supportive for EU miners, selective western REE producers, and diversified CRM ETFs; tactically it puts a floor under tight CRM markets into 2026 while Brussels builds inventories and signing capacity. ECB supervision and trapped capital. The ECB’s top supervisor, Claudia Buch, signaled support for waivers that reduce national ring-fencing of capital/liquidity, a long-standing drag on pan-EU banking ROEs and cross-border M&A. If translated into policy, this lowers the cost of equity for consolidators, improves capital mobility, and lifts optionality for deals, supportive for the Euro Stoxx Banks beta. EU defense industrial push. The Commission is urging members to earmark more spend for “disruptive” dual-use tech (drones/AI/robotics) and is standing up a €1 bn fund-of-funds to scale defense startups, while streamlining procurement to favor European suppliers. Expect a persistent bid under EU primes and dual-use midcaps, and a livelier M&A pipeline between deep-tech startups and Tier-1/Tier-2 defense. UK market structure and sports financing. The FCA’s plan for a UK consolidated equities tape by 2027 (projected costs ~£93m and sizable longer-term benefits) should tighten spreads, lift liquidity discovery, and incrementally support London listings; it may also pressure legacy data-vendor monetization models. Separately, Wimbledon’s debentures look set for an exemption from a face-value resale cap, a relief for AELTC’s capex funding model (roofs, upgrades) via preserving secondary-market premia. US tech/antitrust and governance. Meta’s decisive court win against the FTC reduces breakup risk and lightens the regulatory overhang for mega-cap ad platforms, with read-across to multiples and capex confidence. In parallel, Larry Summers resigned from OpenAI’s board following the release of Epstein-related emails, primarily a governance optics event with limited operational impact, but it keeps AI-policy scrutiny in the headlines. Private-credit retail products under scrutiny. Blue Owl terminated a merger between two credit vehicles that would have crystallized a notional ~20% loss for certain investors due to a listed BDC discount, an emblematic case for the gating/valuation risks in semi-liquid private credit offered to individuals. Watch sentiment and flows around BDC discounts/premiums. Professional-services consolidation. BDO is accelerating multi-country mergers (e.g., a UK–Ireland cluster dubbed “Project Velvet”) toward a more unified global model, another signal that AI tooling and multinational client demands are forcing federated pro-service networks to centralize. Expect competitive pressure on mid-tier rivals and a stronger European deal cycle in audit/consulting adjacencies. Asia policy and JGBs. Japan’s supplementary-budget chatter ballooned (≈¥25 tn discussed), lifting the fiscal risk premium and pushing 10-year JGBs toward multi-decade highs and the yen beyond ¥155. Base case: higher USDJPY with elevated MoF intervention risk if volatility spikes; spillovers to global term premia are modest but non-zero when Tokyo syndicates longer-dated paper. Sovereign capital to frontier AI. Saudi-backed Humain is leading a $900 mn round in Luma AI (valuation >$4 bn) and building Project Halo data-centers; the package includes Arabic/regional models. The through-cycle read is sustained GPU and power-equipment demand and a widening sovereign-tech axis in AI video and “world-model” training. FX reserve managers and the dollar. Temasek’s CEO flagged that hedging costs on USD assets have risen enough to impair net returns, prompting a greater pursuit of “natural hedges.” Marginally, that argues for selective rotation into non-USD assets and supports EM Asia FX on the margin when risk is calm. Asset-by-asset: directional takeaways and levels to watch XAUUSD (Gold). Two-way. On one side, the US–Saudi deal corridor and EU defense/CRM policies keep a geopolitical hedge bid alive; on the other, a firming dollar into data-scarce Fed communication can cap upside in the very near term. Use dips toward support as optionality hedges into event-risk weeks; fade spikes if DXY strength persists and US real yields re-firm. S&P 500. Skewed to chop with upside bias if AI prints and funding optics remain orderly. Meta’s legal overhang eased, which is constructive for mega-cap ad/AI complexes; however, the AI-capex funding debate and data-center execution hiccups argue for selectivity beneath the index (own cash-generative “picks & shovels” and grid/power names alongside high-quality AI beneficiaries). Dow Jones. More resilient profile than the S&P into year-end as defense, industrial power equipment, and diversified financials benefit from policy tailwinds (US–Saudi defense/energy, EU defense, financing for AI infrastructure). Pullbacks on macro headlines remain buyable for balanced mandates. USDJPY. Upward bias (yen weaker) as JGB yields and fiscal supply concerns rise, but watch for MoF intervention thresholds and any BOJ signaling shifts. Tactical longs need hard stops and a plan for rapid reversals around headline-driven yen spikes. DXY. Range-to-firmer near term given US data delays/uncertainty and safe-haven demand during AI “binary” weeks; medium-term, watch reserve-manager hedging costs and any rotation toward natural hedges that could curb dollar rallies at the margin. Crude Oil. Supported by geopolitics and US–Saudi rapprochement optics, but capped by global growth moderation and high inventories in some hubs. Expect range-bound trading with a geopolitical floor; optionality structures (collars) suit producers and hedgers here. Strategic forecasts, fiscal/political implications, risks, opportunities Forecasts. Policy momentum in Europe (CRM stockpiles, defense tech, supervisory waivers) extends a multi-quarter reflation in EU industrials/defense and improves the medium-term ROE profile for cross-border banks. US–Saudi ties reopen capital and tech channels that anchor multi-year demand for defense platforms, nuclear/SMR components, GPUs, and power equipment. The US macro path is noisier until the consolidated jobs print in December; expect the Fed’s guidance to emphasize data dependence with lower conviction on the next cut. Fiscal/political. Japan’s larger-than-expected supplementary budget tilts fiscal-dominance narratives back into the JGB curve; Brussels’ CRM and defense initiatives formalize industrial policy at scale; London’s consolidated tape is a capital-markets competitiveness gambit ahead of EU implementation. US–Saudi deals draw Congressional and media scrutiny, but bipartisan support for defense/AI jobs tempers pushback. Risks. (1) AI-capex financing “accident” (credit-spread repricing, sudden capex deferrals); (2) policy execution risk in Brussels (delays dilute CRM/defense impact); (3) US–Saudi optics (sanctions or hearings) that slow deal pipelines; (4) BOJ/MoF shock (stealthy tightening or forceful yen intervention) that ripples through global rates/FX; (5) US data vacuums that amplify volatility and whipsaw Fed-cut odds. Opportunities. Favor barbelled exposure: high-quality AI “picks & shovels” (grid/power/turbines, select semis with backlog visibility), US defense primes and EU dual-use suppliers with backlog and pricing power, EU banks with cross-border optionality, miners and CRM processors aligned to EU stockpiles, and selective EM FX/equities as reserve managers diversify hedges. Use options to navigate AI-event gamma and yen-intervention risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Airbnb - Long Strong Volume Support Zone The largest volume cluster is between $120–122, exactly where the stock is currently sitting. This shows a major accumulation zone, meaning institutions and traders are defending that level. Demand Zone Rejection Each time ABNB drops into the $120 region, buyers step in and push the price back up — a clear sign of support strength. The recent candle also shows rejection wicks from below, suggesting buying pressure returning. Healthy Correction Inside Range The price is in a sideways consolidation between roughly $120 (support) and $131 (resistance). This range allows accumulation before a possible breakout — classic base-building behavior after a pullback. Low-risk entry zone Entering near $121–122 gives an excellent risk/reward ratio since stop loss can be placed just below $118, minimizing downside exposure.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by PacoW
Nvidia Earnings Finally Ease Market Jitters. Are AI Bulls Back?It’s confirmed. This is Nvidia’s stock market and we all live in it. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA reported yet another record-breaking quarter, instantly soothing market nerves after a week filled with talks of “AI bubble,” “valuation fever,” and “maybe Michael Burry is right again.” It was the cherry of the earnings season . The chipmaking giant announced $57 billion in sales during the most recent quarter. The figure is up 62% year-over-year and way above estimates. In other words, Nvidia didn’t just calm the market. It kicked the door open and shouted: “Get in losers, we’re going shopping.” CEO Jensen Huang was even more enthusiastic, declaring that “AI is going everywhere, doing everything, all at once.” In classic Huang fashion, you could almost smell the leather jacket. 💽 Data Center Demand: Still Insatiable Let’s cut to the headline number: $51.2 billion in data-center revenue. Analysts expected $49 billion. Nvidia delivered more. The company’s new Blackwell GPUs, described by Huang as “off the charts” when it comes to demand, continue to fly off the production line the moment they’re made. Quarterly net income hit a whopping $31.9 billion, up 65% from the year prior. At a time when most companies celebrate single-digit percentage growth, Nvidia is casually stacking double and triple digits. 📈 Markets Exhale, Futures Soar The relief was immediate and widespread. You could say that Nvidia’s earnings are not just earnings anymore, but a macro signal. Here’s what the picture looked like after the release: CoreWeave NASDAQ:CRWV jumped 10% Futures tied to the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC climbed 2% Every Magnificent Seven stock flashing green Investors had been waiting for confirmation that the AI boom still had room. And Nvidia delivered enough reassurance to light up the entire tech complex. “Okay. Maybe we don’t need to rotate into utilities just yet,” every tech bro, probably. 😬 The Stakes Were High. Really High. The reaction, though, must be taken within the current context. Over the past few weeks, tech stocks were hit by deep selloffs as markets fretted over the same question: “Is AI too expensive?” Between skyrocketing capital expenditures, absurdly ambitious data-center budgets, and the kind of spending plans that would make even sovereign wealth funds blush, investors wondered whether Big Tech was building an AI future or an AI money pit. Even Michael Burry stepped in, revealing positions betting against Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR . That move alone sent pockets of the market into a philosophical crisis. After all, that’s the guy from “The Big Short” and he’s hedged against your favorite trade. 🤖 So… Are the Bulls Back? Maybe. For now at least. But with conditions. Nvidia’s stock more than doubled between April and late October, only to slide in recent weeks as bubble fears thickened. Year to date, the stock is still up about 30%. Nvidia’s numbers prove that AI spending is still accelerating. But the broader question remains: Can companies actually turn those massive AI investments into profit? Nvidia’s blowout quarter just reset the narrative: AI demand is still real Spending is justified The cycle is still “virtuous,” in Huang’s words After this earnings print, the bull case has something it desperately needed: momentum. And momentum is a powerful thing, especially in a market that had started to doubt its favorite story. Off to you : Do you still see room for growth in the AI space? Or is that rebound a short-term reflex? Share your views in the comments!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
29
#NVIDIA $NVDA The new leader!Nvidia is the world's number one after passing $MSFT. -Valuation soars to $3.34 trillion. Nvidia completed a 10-for-1 stock split on June 7. The chipmaker last month posted yet another blockbuster quarter, noting a 262% increase in revenue and a 462% increase in profits year-over-year. I'm not going to write to much here. The market sentiment is clearly bullish and here are my projections for $NVDA. The chart should speak for itself. Targets zone is shown on the chart. Short term, expect price to consolidate withing the red projection marker based on divergences and anomalies in the relative strength index followed by a continuation of the upwards trend (green projection marker). Targets: (-128),146,160,200 |----Range-----| (alfa) I will take a bullish longer term stand on NASDAQ:NVDA from where we currently sit. Short term, expect a pullback/consolidation at the current level before a possible continuation. (Can add more intraday targets if requested).
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BaseLineTraders
USD/JPY Rises Above 157.00 for the First Time Since JanuaryUSD/JPY Rises Above 157.00 for the First Time Since January According to media reports, the Japanese government is in the final stages of preparing an economic stimulus package worth 21.3 trillion yen (USD 135.38 billion) to help households cope with persistent inflation. This could become the largest stimulus since the COVID pandemic. The Cabinet plans to approve the package on Friday, and the supplementary budget to fund it on 28 November, aiming to secure parliamentary approval before the end of the year. This decision has led to a significant weakening of the national currency. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart Fluctuations in the Japanese yen against the US dollar are forming an upward channel (shown in blue), and the fundamental backdrop this week has caused the price to: → break the QL line from below (and after the breakout, the rise accelerated, indicating imbalance — forming a Fair Value Gap pattern); → reach the median. It is reasonable to assume that around the median, supply and demand may balance each other, stabilising the market. It is also possible that the FVG area will act as support in the event of a correction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Is the Fortress of Precision Oncology Crumbling?In late 2025, the global diagnostics industry is poised for a potential paradigm shift as rumors circulate regarding Abbott Laboratories' advanced negotiations to acquire Exact Sciences. A favorable macroeconomic pivot catalyzes this potential consolidation; the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates has thawed the "capital winter," enabling cash-rich conglomerates like Abbott to leverage debt for high-value acquisitions. While Exact Sciences has demonstrated financial fortitude with record Q3 2025 revenue of $851 million and a transition to significant profitability, the proposed deal is interpreted as a strategic necessity rather than a simple exit. Abbott seeks a durable post-pandemic growth engine, while Exact Sciences requires a partner with a "fortress balance sheet" to navigate an era of "exponential risk". Despite its market leadership, Exact Sciences is contending with deepening vulnerabilities that threaten its independence. The company’s intellectual property moat has been breached following a critical defeat in patent litigation against Geneoscopy, which invalidated key claims protecting Cologuard and opened the door to immediate competition. Furthermore, the company faces significant geopolitical exposure due to a heavy reliance on Chinese supply chains for essential chemical precursors, a fragility that could be catastrophic in the event of heightened U.S.-China tensions. In a defensive maneuver, Exact Sciences has already begun diversifying its technological bets by licensing Freenome’s blood-based screening technology, effectively hedging against the potential erosion of its own stool-based testing monopoly. The merger’s long-term value thesis rests on scaling innovation and unlocking international markets. Exact Sciences holds a promising pipeline, including Cologuard Plus, which improves specificity to 94% and the multi-cancer early detection tool, Cancerguard. However, the company has historically struggled to export Cologuard due to high costs and incompatible foreign screening guidelines. An acquisition would allow Exact Sciences to leverage Abbott’s massive global infrastructure to bypass these barriers, "friend-shore" vulnerable supply chains, and navigate complex regulatory frameworks like the EU’s Medical Device Regulation. Ultimately, this transaction represents a flight to safety, merging Exact’s scientific innovation with Abbott’s logistical power to secure the future of cancer diagnostics.
NASDAQ:EXASLong
by UDIS_View
Bitcoin Break-and-Retest: Bearish Reversal SetupPrice has pushed into a stacked resistance zone between ~92,000–93,000, where two previously rejected supply areas overlap. After a strong impulsive move upward, BTC formed a lower high within this resistance block and is now showing early signs of exhaustion. A potential short setup forms at the blue-circled area, where price retests the underside of the trendline break and fails to reclaim resistance. This aligns with a classic break–retest–continuation pattern. If sellers maintain control: Entry Zone: Retest of broken trendline / underside of resistance Bias: Bearish continuation Target: Downward liquidity zone around 89,500–90,000 Invalidation: A clean breakout above the upper resistance band (~93,000) Overall, the chart suggests a short-term pullback scenario unless bulls regain the resistance region.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Hamza_Gold
1
Tech Stocks Rally After Nvidia’s Earnings ReportTech Stocks Rally After Nvidia’s Earnings Report As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index is displaying positive momentum today. A strong catalyst for growth arrived with the release of Nvidia’s quarterly report, which exceeded Wall Street’s optimistic expectations. Nvidia reported quarterly revenue of $57bn (vs. the expected $54.9bn), and earnings per share of $1.30 (forecast: $1.26). Meanwhile, CEO Jensen Huang stated that demand for the new Blackwell chips is “off the charts”. Nvidia’s strong report revived “risk appetite” in the tech sector and eased concerns about a potential AI bubble. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 two days earlier, we: → noted that the previously active upward channel had broadened downwards; → suggested a scenario in which the bulls might attempt to return the index to an upward trajectory if Nvidia’s quarterly results were strong. Yesterday’s report from the equity market leader confirmed that demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure remains enormous, paving the way for the tech-sector rally to continue. From the standpoint of supply pressure, resistance may come from: → the upper red line drawn through the lower November highs; → the 25,400 level, which had acted as local support but was decisively broken by a large bearish candle. On the other hand: → the decline towards 24,400 once again activated buying interest; → the November drop may prove to be only an intermediate correction, after which the upward trend could resume. Whether the bulls can maintain positive momentum in the Nasdaq 100 following Nvidia’s strong quarterly figures will depend largely on the outcome of the delayed September US employment report, postponed due to the shutdown. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
Amazon, Microsoft&the Digital Markets Act: Brussels Sets a RadarAmazon, Microsoft and the Digital Markets Act: Brussels Sets Its Radar on the Cloud Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The European Commission has opened three formal investigations into Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) under the regulatory framework of the Digital Markets Act (DMA). The goal is to determine whether their cloud services should be classified as “gatekeepers” and whether their business practices are restricting competition in a sector overwhelmingly dominated by U.S. tech giants. The investigation comes at a crucial moment. The cloud computing market is growing at double-digit rates and has become a cornerstone of the European digital ecosystem. The Commission argues that the sector is evolving so quickly that the DMA itself may need to be updated to avoid falling behind technologically. Microsoft has stated it will fully cooperate, while Amazon Web Services warns that excessive regulation could “slow innovation” and raise costs for European businesses. Behind the scenes, the tension also has a political tone: with Trump pushing to protect U.S. Big Tech, Brussels is keen to flex its regulatory muscle. A resolution is expected within 12 months, although deadlines in Brussels often tend to slip. Fundamental Analysis: Amazon and Microsoft Under Regulatory Scrutiny Both companies rely heavily on the cloud segment for their growth. AWS accounts for roughly 60–70% of Amazon’s operating profit, which means any regulatory barriers in Europe—however limited—create market sensitivity. In Microsoft’s case, Azure continues to expand its market share, driven by the integration of generative AI and enterprise services. The key question is whether Brussels considers that Microsoft’s ecosystem —Windows + Office + Azure— creates a structural advantage that restricts competitors. Despite rising regulatory risks, fundamentals remain solid: cloud revenue growth, strong operating margins, and structural expansion driven by artificial intelligence. Technical Analysis of Amazon (AMZN) On the daily chart, AMZN is trading sideways following the correction seen in November. Wednesday’s session closed at $222.69, a level aligned with the volume Point of Control (POC), which serves as a structural reference for the current range. For much of the year, price action has fluctuated between $234 and $216, with a notable annual high reached on 3 November at $258.60, and an annual low at $178.85 recorded in May. At present, the price remains below the 50- and 100-day moving averages, while finding initial support above the 200-day moving average, which acts as an important dynamic support zone. Technical indicators also reflect the corrective phase: The RSI stands at 40.63, close to its support area, leaving room for a potential technical rebound if demand appears. The MACD maintains a downward slope, confirming the short-term bearish momentum. A sustained close above the 50- and 100-day moving averages would be the first technical sign of recovery, opening the door for a move back toward the $234 area and eventually another attempt to retest the annual highs around $258. On the downside, if bearish pressure continues, the price could move again toward $216, a key support within the six-month range. A clear break below this level would expose the $202 zone, which aligns with the last major bullish impulse of the semester. According to the ActivTrades US Market Pulse, overall market risk remains neutral following recent corrections. If Amazon continues to deliver strong results in cloud revenue and growth, it is reasonable to expect that—despite EU regulatory pressure—the stock could continue developing a positive organic trend as long as the key levels of the current range hold. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by ActivTrades
Attock Cement, Buy or wait?In the Weekly time frame, ACPL is showing a bearish divergence and is currently in a sideways pattern that may confirm the distribution phase (as per Dow Theory). With a high fundamental ranking and an OPNP ratio (Net Profit/Operating Profit) of around 2.36 (as of the 3rd quarter, i.e., September 25), ACPL could be a good buy if it breaks the Higher High (HH) of 341. Alternatively, if it complements the Bearish divergence, the 1st buy would be at 179.47, 2nd buy at 147.79, and 3rd buy at 124.8.
PSX:ACPLLong
by narmak