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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → 100K broken. Consolidation in the short zone...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P broke through the 100K support level and is consolidating within the local range of 94,150 - 97,280. The decline may continue if the market does not receive support (news or other bullish drivers). Bitcoin is consolidating below the upward trend line of support and below 100K. The price has entered a zone of panic and sell-off. Before the fall, a “liquidity hunt” is possible - a retest of 97300 - 98900. The price is coming out of consolidation downwards, the bulls were unable to hold the 100K zone. The lack of a bullish driver and the negative fundamental background are doing their job... Resistance levels: 97280, 98900, 100700 Support levels: 94150, 91900 Before further decline, the market may test the previously broken support zone relative to the upward lower trend line. Focus on the 97280 - 98990 zone. A false breakout and lack of bullish momentum could form a reversal pattern and trigger a decline to 94150 - 91900. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
48
GBP/CHF 1.0520 Confluence Zone , Fibonacci OverlapGBP/CHF Technical Analysis – 1.0520 Confluence Zone (Fibonacci Overlap, Trend-Aligned Setup) Market Context
GBP/CHF continues to trade within a well-defined bearish trend. The current market structure suggests additional downside potential, with no meaningful signs of a trend reversal at this stage. Technical Outlook
 1️⃣ The broader trend remains firmly bearish, supported by consistent lower highs and lower lows.
 2️⃣ A trend-aligned Fibonacci retracement highlights the 0.5–0.618 retracement band, which overlaps with a key structural level near 1.0520. This alignment forms a high-probability confluence zone, combining both Fibonacci and major swing structure.
 3️⃣ This area represents a technically significant region where sellers may re-enter the market if bearish momentum continues. Trade Expectation / Scenario Planning
Closely observe price behavior as it approaches 1.0520. Any signs of rejection, weakening bullish momentum, or bearish confirmation patterns would strengthen the probability of the downtrend resuming from this zone.
Short
by hungminskfibotrung
NEO: the market wakes up and hints at a bullish reversalNeoGenomics is breaking out of a mid-term descending wedge while forming a clear trend reversal structure with higher lows and steady support above key Fibonacci retracement levels. The 10.00–10.80 area acts as a consolidation range before a potential continuation of the upward move. The price has already broken the descending trendline, retested it, and is now holding above the 0.705 Fibonacci zone. EMA 20/50/100 are shifting toward a bullish alignment, confirming renewed buying pressure. Volume is increasing — a classic behavior after a prolonged decline. If the structure holds, the next bullish impulse may form right after breaking the 10.80 resistance. Fundamentally, NeoGenomics is recovering after a sector-wide selloff in biotech. The company continues to strengthen revenue growth, improve its diagnostics portfolio, and reduce financial pressure — factors that often precede medium-term trend reversals in this sector. Tactical plan: consider long positions after a confirmed breakout above 10.80. Targets: 15.00 (primary supply zone) and 19.20 as an extended target at the upper boundary of the previous long-term structure. Invalidation: breakdown below 9.00. If the bullish impulse confirms, the move to 15 and beyond may unfold much faster than the market currently expects.
NASDAQ:NEOLong
by InvestWorld_777
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 19, 2025 USDJPYEvent to watch today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes USDJPY: Risk-off conditions have revived interest in the yen: amid equity weakness and uncertainty around the timing of U.S. data releases, market participants are trimming dollar long positions versus JPY. Japan-related signals add to the picture: the long end of the JGB curve is edging higher, bringing attention to inflation persistence and authorities’ readiness to react to excessive FX volatility. Cautious remarks from the finance ministry keep markets from setting fresh USD/JPY highs. If headlines maintain a wary tone and expectations for a December Fed rate cut persist, the pair can retreat below 155 on safe-haven demand and the threat of verbal intervention. Trade recommendation: SELL 155.500, SL 156.500, TP 154.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $4,070–4,075, stuck in a short-term range between a capped Resistance Zone at $4,079–4,089 and a Support Zone at $4,034–4,045. Price has repeatedly failed to close above the $4,080 area, forming a series of lower intraday highs against that resistance band. At the same time, buyers are defending the $4,044 area, but bounces are getting shallower, hinting at fading upside momentum. As long as price stays below $4,079–4,089, the intraday structure favours a sell-the-rally setup back toward support. A clean break and close above $4,092–4,100 would invalidate the bearish bias and signal that bulls are regaining control. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell near resistance, targeting a move back into the support zone. Direction: Short (sell) Entry: $4,079 – $4,089 (retest of resistance zone) Stop Loss: $4,093 (above recent swing highs / resistance band) Take Profit 1: $4,045 Take Profit 2: $4,035 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 3.48 Bias: Intraday bearish below $4,079–4,089. A sustained move above $4,100 would invalidate this setup and shift focus back to the topside. 🌐 Macro Background Gold has bounced back above $4,050, trading near $4,070 as risk-off sentiment returns ahead of the long-delayed batch of US economic data. FXStreet notes that “Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,070, snapping the three-day losing streak… as traders brace for the long-awaited return of US economic data.”【FXStreet】 Key macro drivers: Delayed NFP & Data Uncertainty: The September and October NFP reports were postponed during the US government shutdown. September NFP is now due Thursday, with markets looking for around 50,000 jobs and unemployment at 4.3%. A weaker-than-expected print would likely pressure the USD and support gold, while a stronger report could reinforce the recent dollar rebound and weigh on XAU/USD. Fed Signalling Caution, Not Panic: Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said the Fed should proceed “slowly” with further rate reductions. Atlanta Fed President Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Schmid flagged persistent inflation risks and signalled comfort with holding rates steady. Their tone has tempered expectations of a December cut. Market Pricing: According to CME FedWatch, markets now price roughly a 46.6% chance of a 25 bps cut in December, down from more than 60% a week earlier, reflecting less dovish expectations. Overall, macro factors are mixed: risk-off flows and data uncertainty lend support to gold, but hawkish Fed commentary and reduced cut odds cap the upside. Against a well-defined technical resistance zone, this combination supports a short-term bearish, sell-rally stance on the intraday chart. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,079 – $4,089 Support Zone: $4,034 – $4,045 📌 Trade Summary XAU/USD is capped beneath $4,079–4,089 while support is clustered around $4,034–4,045. With Fed officials sounding cautious rather than aggressively dovish and December cut odds drifting lower, rallies into resistance look vulnerable. The preferred approach is to sell into strength near $4,079–4,089 with stop loss around $4,092, targeting a drop back toward $4,045–4,035 ahead of Thursday’s NFP release. A daily close above $4,100 would invalidate the intraday bearish view. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold price analysis November 18XAUUSD continues to be under downward pressure as the sellers have a clear advantage, pulling the price down to the support zone of 3933. The buyers' efforts to hold the price at the trendline are quite weak, indicating that this support structure is at risk of being penetrated and the market may extend its decline to lower areas. At this point, observing the price reaction at important support levels on the chart is the key factor to find a safe entry point. Preferred trading scenario: BUY when the market refuses to fall deeply and there is a clear reversal signal at the zone of 3973 - 3933. Target: immediate target towards 4104, further extension to 4203. Risk note: the uptrend will be invalidated if the H4 candle closes below 3933.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups for Wed (Nov 19th)Market Analysis: A Shift in Momentum for ES In today's market, the daily chart for the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) reveals a notable shift in momentum, characterized by a sequence of price action that signals a potential downtrend. Previously, we observed a high, followed by a lower high, and today's movement has decisively broken through the last remaining support at the higher-low shelf. This change comes after a rejection from the recent lower-high zone, situated just below the 6,900 mark, followed by a retreat through the crucial 6,700 threshold. What initially appeared to be a bullish uptick is now consolidating into a corrective downswing. Today's significant drop marks the continuation of this emerging downward trajectory. Prices breached intraday support around 6,675 to 6,700, slid past the prior higher-low region near 6,635, and ultimately settled atop the initial daily demand zone. Notably, the selling volume during this decline expanded compared to previous sessions, underscoring that this movement reflects genuine market participation rather than mere fluctuations. While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, reflected in the weekly trend, the daily and four-hour charts currently indicate a pronounced short-term downtrend. Key indicators include the formation of a lower high, the breach of the previous higher-low, and a liquidity run to the downside toward the extension cluster. As we move forward, this developing bearish scenario suggests potential for further declines in the coming sessions, though we are positioned within local demand territory, indicating that bounces and two-directional trading are likely in the near term. Key Resistance Zones Resistance 1: 6,637 This level represents today’s late-session swing high on the 30-minute chart, denoted as the S-session high (S.H 6,637). It serves as the initial resistance point above the current market price. Resistance 2: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50 A cluster of highs, with NYAM.H marked at 6,679.75, LO.H at 6,685.75, and NYPM.H at 6,687.50, forms a critical intraday supply pocket. This region represents the primary A++ short zone should the price experience a bounce. Resistance 3: 6,700 – 6,720 Above the NY session high band, the 4-hour chart highlights a previously broken support shelf and local supply just below 6,720. Any movement back into this area would likely be corrective within the ongoing downswing unless the E-mini S&P can close and hold a daily candle above this range. Higher-Timeframe Cap: Any price action remaining below the recent daily lower-high zone—situated near the last significant LH before the drop—maintains a bearish bias for the larger swing. A definitive daily close above this lower-high would be necessary to negate the current short-term downtrend. --- Key Support Zones Support 1: 6,627.50 and 6,614.75 The AS.L level is printed at 6,627.50, with the NL.L around 6,614.75 on the 30-minute chart. Together, these levels form the initial local support shelf just beneath the current price. Support 2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25 Marked by NYPM.L at 6,606.50 and NYAM.L at 6,603.25, this band serves as the next area of resting liquidity from today’s trading sessions. A clean break and sustained move below this range could pave the way for the Fibonacci targets below. Support 3 (Major Fibonacci Cluster): 6,541.50 – 6,509.00 On the 1-hour chart, the 1.272 Fibonacci level is found at 6,541.50, while the 4-hour chart places it at 6,509.00. The daily chart marks the 1.272 at 6,521.25, creating a significant demand box from approximately 6,541 down to 6,509, with 6,521 serving as a mid-pivot. This is the pivotal "bounce or break" zone. Support 4 (Deeper Extension Pocket): 6,501.75 – 6,458.00 The 1-hour chart identifies the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 6,501.75 and the 2.0 extension at 6,458.00. The 4-hour chart aligns the 1.618 at 6,429.25 and the 2.0 at 6,341.50, with the daily chart placing the 1.618 at 6,418.00 and the 2.0 around 6,304.00. The initial focus for tomorrow is the 6,502–6,458 region. Should the 6,541–6,509 band fail, this area becomes a strong magnet where a more pronounced short-covering bounce is likely. The definitive structural line on the downside is the cumulative daily 1.618–2.0 cluster, ranging from approximately 6,418 down to 6,304. A decline to this range could signify a major correction leg rather than a mere shallow pullback. A++ SETUP 1 — REJECTION SHORT FROM NY HIGH BAND Trigger: 15m: candle wicks into 6,680–6,688 and closes back below about 6,675. 5m/1m: a failed attempt to push higher (lower high) after that rejection. Entry: Aggressive: enter short 6,678–6,682 after the 15m rejection close and 1m fails to make new highs. Conservative: limit sell in 6,680–6,685 on a controlled retest from below. Stop (hard invalidation): Around 6,698.00 above the band and intraday highs (about 16–20 points of risk if filled 6,678–6,682). Targets: TP1: 6,637.00 (session swing high). From 6,680 entry with 6,698 stop ≈ 2.3R. TP2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25 (NYPM.L / NYAM.L shelf), ≈ 4R from 6,680 entry. TP3: 6,541.50 – 6,521.25 (top of fib demand cluster), campaign-style extension. A++ SETUP 2 — EXHAUSTION LONG FROM FIB CLUSTER DEMAND Trigger: 15m: price trades below 6,530, tags 6,521–6,509, then closes back above about 6,530 (wick through, body back up). 5m/1m: a higher low forms above roughly 6,520 after that reclaim; sellers fail to push back below the cluster. Entry: Aggressive: 6,525–6,535 on the first higher low on 1m/5m after the 15m reclaim of 6,530. Conservative: limit buy near 6,525 on a controlled retest into the top of the cluster after the first reaction. Stop (hard invalidation): Around 6,497.00 under the bottom of the cluster and recent swing low (≈ 30–38 points of risk if entered 6,525–6,535). Targets: TP1: 6,595–6,600 (broken structure and local VWAP zone). From 6,530 entry with 6,497 stop ≈ 2R. TP2: 6,637.00 (S-session high and first major resistance). TP3: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50 (NYAM.H / LO.H / NYPM.H band), where a bounce can turn into a full squeeze. Upcoming Economic Indicators For tomorrow's trading session (Wednesday, U.S. time), traders should keep an eye on several key economic releases: - At 8:30 AM ET, the U.S. will release Housing Starts and Building Permits for October, along with import/export price indices. These figures are vital for gauging growth, especially after a series of subdued permits and erratic starts. - At 10:30 AM ET, the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, alongside crude inventory data, is expected to influence energy markets and broader risk sentiment. - Later in the afternoon, markets will be attentive to FOMC minutes and remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, both of which could impact rate-cut expectations based on the overall tone relative to recent communications. Good luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MyAlgoIndex
Ethereum | Redistribution in the MakingEthereum is carving out what appears to be a redistribution structure, but the context hints we may still need one more push upward, possibly a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) or even a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution), before the markdown phase resumes. Wyckoff Structure Overview: Selling Climax (SC) and Automatic Reaction (AR) defined the lower boundary. Secondary Test (ST) confirmed demand depletion. Upthrust (UT) established resistance and began drawing a trendline of liquidity across the highs. The recent Sign of Weakness (SOW) confirms heavy supply entering, but price action is extended and could retrace to relieve pressure. The PSY zone between $3,580–$3,740 remains untested, aligning with both a liquidity pool and potential LPSY/UTAD territory. That’s where we’ll likely see whether this range completes redistribution or transforms into an even broader distribution with a deceptive final trap. Volume and CVD Analysis During the SOW, volume spiked — strong selling pressure confirmed. Yet CVD is diverging, showing aggressive sellers losing momentum while absorption quietly builds. If we see a sharp rebound on weak delta, that will likely be smart money offloading into strength — the signature of an LPSY or UTAD. The Lunar Influence We’re in Lunar Day 23, during the Last Quarter Moon in Virgo — a cosmic rhythm often tied to misleading signals, short-lived reversals, and exaggerated reactions. This phase tends to produce fakeouts that look like Signs of Strength or Signs of Weakness, but are actually exhaustion moves or liquidity grabs before the real continuation. In Wyckoff terms, Lunar Day 23 energy often shows Phase C deception, which could be a UTAD disguised as a breakout or a terminal shakeout before markdown. What to Watch Next Rebound on declining volume → potential LPSY/UTAD forming. Failed rally into the PSY zone with increased spread down-bars → confirmation of redistribution continuing. Strong bullish delta with no follow-through → likely fake strength under Lunar Day 23 conditions.
by Wyckognito
1
BTC Sector 100150.0 — The Gates That Have Not Yet Opened🏷 BTC 🏷 19.11.2025 🏷 Capital Sector. Price Slice. System of Intelligent Anticipation. Capital Mapping — before instrument touch, this price slice is the planned action of major players. 🏷 Sector 100150.0 — The Gates That Have Not Yet Opened 🏷 The price has not touched the level — yet the market already stands at the threshold. This is not resistance. This is a sealed trajectory. Those who see only candles — hear no whisper of liquidity. Those who wait for signals — feel no pull of structure. 100150.0 is not a level. It is the point where capital reconfigures its consciousness. Some will buy. Some will sell. But only The Architect knows: This is not the end of the move. It is the beginning of its hidden cycle. 🏷 — The Architect, Capital Sector 🏷The language of markets is written in silence. You do not predict it. You recognize it — when it has already begun.
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
XAUUSD trading Plan- 18th Nov 2025Quick Technical Read • Price bounced from 3988 and is now forming a corrective pullback upward. • MACD histogram flipped positive, showing short-term bullish momentum. • But the main trend is still down, and strong resistance sits at 4068–4080 and especially 4140. • Current zone (4055–4060) is a decision point. So we treat this as a range inside a downtrend → buy low, sell high with tight risk. BUY (Short-term rebound) 4038 – 4046 Stop-Loss: 4024 Take-Profit: • TP1: 4065 • TP2: 4080 Reason: MACD momentum is up, and price is holding above the intraday support around 4035–4040 SELL (Trend continuation) When volume increases, the downtrend usually resumes. SELL Entry Zones: • 4068 – 4075 • Second sell zone if price spikes: 4088 – 4095 Stop-Loss: 4108 Take-Profit: • TP1: 4038 • TP2: 4015 • TP3: 3995 (if market turns aggressively bearish) Reason: 4068–4080 is strong resistance and aligns with the major downtrend structure.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by nadeem0014
BTC Sector 85509.64: Capital Before the Tremor🏷 BTC Sector 85509.64: Capital Before the Tremor 🏷 19.11.2025 🏷 Capital Sector. Price Slice. System of Intelligent Anticipation. Capital Mapping — before instrument touch, this price slice is the planned action of major players. 🏷 85509.64 — As of publication, price has not yet reached this level. 🏷 The price has not yet touched the level — yet the structure already knows the path. In the silence between orders, in the weight of unfilled volumes — the whisper of capital. This slice is not a forecast. It is the market’s mind, frozen in numbers before the moment of truth. 🏷 Sector 85509.64 is active. Touch — not if, but when. Capital moves in silence. The System sees ahead. 🏷 The light at the end of the tunnel — where others see only darkness. 🏷 — The Architect, Capital Sector
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
SOLV about to 10x–100x from here | Smart Money quietly loading tThis is NOT Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) – this is NYSE:SOLV (Solana VM chain) sitting at the EXACT bottom that printed the +28,000% pump last cycle. What you’re seeing right now: - Yearly support held perfectly for 18 months - Final deviation + reclaim (smart money’s favorite setup) - 4 layered buy zones I’m filling aggressively: 0.01503 → 0.01526 → 0.01552 → 0.01623 - Volume drying up = calm before the most violent leg up Last time this level was touched → price went from $0.008 → $2.35 in 4 months. If you miss this dip, you’ll be buying my bags at $0.50–$1.50 screaming “why didn’t I listen”. This is the literal “before” picture everyone screenshots in 3 months saying “I was here”. Not financial advice – just showing you where the rocket fuel is. #SOLV #100xGem #LowCapSeason #Crypto #Altseason Screenshot this chart. Thank me in January.
Long
by TradeWithMky
STRKUSDT - The real STAR!Let me introduce you to the new rising star that’s about to steal the spotlight: STRK. The coin has been pumping like crazy for the past few days, but once you zoom out and check the chart, you’ll see that this is just the beginning — a clean breakout from a 258-day accumulation range. Not only that, but it also broke the long-term descending trendline (from day one of the project) and successfully retested it. I’m not exaggerating when I say the minimum target lies around the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is roughly a 3× move from the current price. Best Regards: Ceciliones🎯
Long
by ceciliones
17
Projecting Interest Rates Beyond the Current Fed RegimeCBOT: 10-Year T-Notes Futures ( CBOT:ZN1! ) Since hitting an all-time high (ATH) of 48,431 on November 12th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1,841 points, or -3.8%, to 46,590 on Monday. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite has lost over 1,300 points, or -5.5%, from its ATH of 24,020. The S&P 500 is down 250 points, or -3.6%, from 6,920. Both the Nasdaq and the S&P reached their ATH on October 29th. Cryptocurrencies have been harder hit than stocks. Today, Bitcoin prices dropped below $90,000, a whopping 29% drawdown since the King of Crypto hit ATH of $126,080. An entire year of gains has been erased. Two key market forces are driving the US stock market downtrend. Firstly, Wall Street grew worried about the AI bubble bursting. Earlier this month, “Big Short” investor Michael Burry grabbed headlines after his Scion Investment’s 13F filing showed bearish bets on Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). Last week, Softbank offloaded all 32.1 million shares of NVDA it held. This is followed by Peter Thiel’s hedge fund, which sold off all 537,742 shares of NVDA on Monday. On my October 27th commentary, I discussed that heavy exposure in High Tech stocks (64%) made Nasdaq very venerable. The Dow could weather the downturn better with a lower weight (21%). The recent market trend resonates with my theory. Secondly, the Federal Reserve has turned hawkish on monetary policy. The Fed made the last rate cut on October 29th, without the aid of updated economic data due to US government shutdown. Fed officials have warned that further rate cuts are not a sure thing if new data does not support policy easing. On October 27th, the odds for a December cut were 98.5%, according to data from the CME FedWatch tool. Today, it went down sharply to just 57%. Not cutting has the same effect as raising expected interest rates, which tends to drive down stock valuation. www.cmegroup.com The Future is Less Uncertain than the Present In my view, the market obsession with what the Fed Chair says day by day is overblown. Anybody remember a quote from Alan Greenspan? While modeling short-term decisions into long-term trends, we risk overlooking the impact from changing of guards at the Fed. The current Fed Chair’s term will end in May 2026. Between now and then, there are four FOMC rate-setting meetings: December 9-10, 2025, January 27-28, March 17-18 and April 28-29 in 2026. What could possibly happen in four meetings: • If the Fed is hawkish and refuses to cut rates, the policy Fed Funds rate could stay at the current 375-400 bp range. • If the Fed turns dovish and cut 25bp every time, Fed Funds could be at 275-300 bp. In recent meetings, the Fed no longer had consensus in its policy votes. Each decision is like a toss-up. If we only focus on the short term, trading results could be very volatile. The next Fed Chair will be nominated by President Trump and confirmed by the Senate. We know for a fact that the President favors aggressive rate cuts to support the economy. Only someone who is 100% in agreement with the President could get nominated. Latest news indicates that five candidates have made it to the final list to be considered for a Fed Chair nomination. They are Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Kevin Warsh, Kevin Hassett and Rick Rieder. If the Senate confirmation gets delayed, the President could pick a current Fed governor as Acting Chair. Whoever that may be, he or she will have to align with the President in terms of the direction of monetary policy. Gone with the independent central bank. Even though we have no idea what happens next month, we could still form a good estimate of what the Fed will do in the next 2-1/2 years, starting in June 2026. In my opinion, the expected policy rate will eventually go down to 1.0-1.5%, or even lower. This is not what the Fed currently says. Instead, I am forming an opinion based on a new Fed regime with a new Chair and multiple Fed governors supporting rate cuts. With that in mind, we can now discuss trade strategies going beyond the next Fed meeting. We don’t have to wait a long time for everything to move in places. Once a new Fed Chair candidate is announced, the market will start pricing a different interest rate trajectory. Latest news suggests that the President may be meeting with three candidates after the Thanksgiving holiday. Trading with 10 Year T-Notes Futures As I mentioned earlier, US stocks have the risk of AI bubble bursting. We could wait a while to see how things play out. My trade idea today is a pure play on interest rates. We know that Treasury prices are negatively correlated with interest rates. When rates go down, prices will likely go up. Our major chart illustrates this relationship. CBOT 10-Year Treasury Notes Futures have a face value of $100,000 at maturity. The March 2026 contract (ZNH6) is currently quoting 112'240, equivalent to $112.75. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,875. The 10Y futures are one of the most liquid futures contracts in the world. According to CME Group data, trade volume on November 17th was 1,779,688 contracts. Open Interest (OI) is 5,748,386 contracts at market close. OI is notional term is $574.8 billion. In the next three FOMC meeting cycles, the contract prices could go either way depending on how the Fed votes. However, as soon as the President nominate his Fed Chair candidate, Treasury prices would get a big boost as the market will price in the new and lowered expected interest rates. Hypothetically, if ZNH6 moves up 1% to $113.8775, the $1.1275 price gain would translate into $1,127.5 for a long futures position, given each dollar gain in price quotation equals $1,000 per contract. Using the initial margin of $1,875 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 60.1% (=1127.5/1875). The long futures position will lose money if the Fed puts rate cuts on hold, and the new Fed Chair candidate is not announced in the next three months. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
TradeWithMky – Catching 10x-100x gems before they moonI called the exact bottom on NYSE:FET at 0.008 – now 0.30+ 😈 Join the ride before the next one prints life-changing money. Tagged the legends who inspire the plays: @CryptoCred @CryptoCapo_ @Pentosh1 @TheCryptoDog @CryptoKaleo @Anbessa100 @RaoulGMI @CryptoWizardd @IncomeSharks @CryptoTony__ @CryptoBusy @Trader_XO @DonAlt @CryptoCobain @CryptoNewton DM for VIP signals (limited spots) Not financial advice – we just print money together 💰 #FET #ALTSEASON #100xGEMS
Long
by TradeWithMky
GBP/CAD - Triangle Breakout (17.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview GBP/CAD has broken below a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bearish continuation after repeated rejections from the upper trendline. The pair is now trading under the breakout level, with sellers showing strong control. If bearish momentum continues, the next support zones become key targets. 📊 Trading Plan 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) Look for a clean breakdown retest and rejection for confirmation Bearish continuation expected toward the support areas below 🎯 Targets: 1st Support: 1.8335 2nd Support: 1.8287 ⚡ Fundamental Outlook — Today (17 Nov 2025) GBP Sentiment – The Pound remains under pressure as markets expect the Bank of England to stay cautious, given ongoing inflation uncertainty and slowing economic data. CAD Sentiment – The Canadian dollar stays supported by stable Bank of Canada policy and improving expectations around the energy sector. – Rising US bond yields indirectly support CAD’s strength through its correlation with risk-on flows. ➡️ Overall: Fundamentals align with the bearish bias on GBP/CAD. #GBPCAD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TriangleBreakout #PriceAction #CAD #GBP #ChartPatterns #ForexTrader #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #BearishSetup #MarketOutlook #FXMarket ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not intended as financial advice. Always wait for confirmation and follow your risk management rules. 💬 Support My Work ❤️ If this helped you: 👍 LIKE, 💬 COMMENT, and 🔔 FOLLOW Your support encourages more clean chart breakdowns & daily setups!
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Will gold prices fall again after bottoming out and rebounding?Gold Technical Analysis: Gold prices initially fell below 4000 today, but rebounded during the US session. A significant reversal in initial jobless claims data propelled gold to around 4082, reversing the overall downward trend and pushing prices back into range-bound trading. While there were intraday rebounds, gold ultimately met resistance and fell, with higher highs continuing to decline, indicating a clear overall weakness. As I repeatedly emphasized yesterday, gold was poised for a drop, and I stressed the 4100 resistance level. I also repeatedly highlighted the strategy of selling on rallies. The key resistance level to watch is the 4080-4100 range, which was the sideways trading area at the end of yesterday's session. Currently, the bears still have the upper hand. The short-term effective support is in the 4000-3990 range, while the resistance has been emphasized in the 4080-4100 area. If this area is touched again, another short position can be taken. In short, today's theme is still a weak downward trend with fluctuations. In terms of operation, you can wait for entry based on the above support or resistance levels. The slowdown in the fluctuation pace has extended the market cycle, so every entry requires sufficient patience.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
USD/CHF: Ready for Expansion after Liquidity TrapTimeframe: 4H | Model: CRT Model #1 Bullish Setup The USD/CHF pair is showing a high-conviction setup for a continuation of the bullish move. Price has executed a textbook deep pullback, trapping weak sellers and finding support at a critical structural zone. Here’s the step-by-step breakdown based on the CRT framework: Liquidity Sweep: Price moved down and tagged the prior swing low at CRTL + TS (Candle Range Theory Low + Turtle Soup). This deep sweep cleared the stops of early buyers, completing the Manipulation (Candle 2) phase. FVG Demand Zone: The true foundation of this reversal is the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price perfectly traded back into this imbalance zone, which now acts as a high-value demand region for smart money to accumulate long positions. The Trigger (Model #1): We are waiting for the definitive confirmation of the reversal—the Bullish Model #1 entry. This requires a strong candle close above the manipulation low, signaling that buyers have taken back control and are ready to initiate the Distribution (Candle 3) phase. Targets: Primary Objective (CRTH): The target is the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 0.80615. This move aims to fill the price void and run the stops above the previous high. Expansion: Given the clear FVG rejection, a clean break and hold above the CRTH could lead to substantial further upside expansion. Discipline: This setup requires patience. Do not enter until the Model #1 candle closes with conviction, confirming the rejection of the FVG. Waiting for the close is the difference between falling for the trap and trading with the smart money! Trade the Bounce. Follow the FVG. Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
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