GBPCAD December 2025 fundamental analysisThe GBP/CAD pair faces downward pressure in December 2025 due to divergent monetary policies and economic growth trajectories between the UK and Canada. Markets price in a high likelihood (around 90%) of a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut from 4% to 3.75% amid persistent inflation above 2% but slowing growth and fiscal tightening from the autumn budget. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to hold its policy rate at 2.25% after recent cuts, as core inflation cools and GDP growth stabilizes around 1.2% for the year, supported by a rebound in Q3.
UK Economic Outlook and GBP Factors
The UK economy is expected to experience slower growth in late 2025, with projected GDP growth around 1.2% for the year and inflation pressures somewhat persistent but easing, leading to expectations of potential Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cuts starting in December 2025. The BoE is widely anticipated to lower rates by 0.25% following the Autumn Budget announcement, signaling a shift toward monetary easing to support growth amid stagflation concerns with high inflation and weak growth. This easing could provide some support to the British Pound.
Canadian Economic Outlook and CAD Factors
Canada's economy shows mixed signals with a strong third-quarter GDP growth surprise but a potentially slow start to Q4 2025 due to trade uncertainties, tariffs, and weaker domestic demand. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has already cut policy rates to 2.25% and may maintain or slightly reduce rates further depending on incoming data, aiming to balance inflation near 2% and support economic growth, which is projected at about 1.4% annually in 2026-2027. This more cautious and potentially less aggressive monetary stance compared to the UK may weigh on CAD.
GBP/CAD Forecast for December 2025
December projections vary: end-month at 1.850 (down 0.4%), average 1.860, or up to 1.8731, with ranges 1.78-1.91 reflecting uncertainty. Current levels near 1.85 align with recent highs around 1.857-1.859, but BoE cuts versus Canada's stability may cap upside. Overall, mild GBP/CAD downside to 1.83-1.85 can be expected in December due to UK's higher inflation delaying aggressive BoE easing relative to Canada's steady path.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Given the expected Bank of England rate cut signaling easier monetary policy combined with Canada's recovering economic growth and pause in rate cut cycle, the GBP/CAD pair is fundamentally positioned for a moderate decrease in December 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Sandisk Corporation ($SNDK) Jumps as Company Joins the S&P 500 Sandisk Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SNDK ) delivered a strong performance as the stock closed at $223.28, gaining 3.83% on November 28. After-hours trading settled slightly lower at $222.99, yet the overall structure remains bullish. The momentum came as Sandisk officially entered the S&P 500, a major milestone only months after separating from Western Digital.
Fundamentals: S&P 500 Inclusion Sparks Heavy Interest
Sandisk’s addition to the S&P 500 triggered immediate enthusiasm. Shares spiked almost 11% during the morning session, driven by institutional positioning. Many funds tracking the index must now include SNDK, creating short-term buying pressure that typically follows S&P 500 entry.
The slot opened after Omnicom Group completed its acquisition of Interpublic Group. Sandisk now joins other recent index entrants born from corporate spinoffs, signaling a trend of newly independent tech companies gaining index-level recognition.
The excitement aligns with Sandisk’s explosive growth in 2025. Since its February spinoff, the stock has surged more than 500%, supported by soaring demand across the AI and cloud ecosystem. Companies building advanced AI models require high-speed, high-capacity storage, and Sandisk sits directly in that supply chain. With a market cap of $32.72 billion, the company is becoming a core player in data-intensive infrastructure.
Why This Matters for Investors
Index inclusion provides more than short-term flows. It lifts long-term visibility, attracts passive and active fund exposure, and reinforces confidence in Sandisk’s role in next-generation data architecture. With AI adoption accelerating, the company’s broader exposure to institutional capital arrives at a strategically perfect moment.
Technicals: Bullish Structure Intact
Price action shows SNDK holding firmly above the key $205–$210 support zone, confirmed on strong volume. Buyers defended the area during the recent pullback, keeping structure bullish.
Resistance: $284.52
As long as price stays above support with sustained volume, SNDK remains positioned for continuation.
Technical Analysis: Silver (XAG/USD) - Monthly & Weekly Outlook1. Price Action & Breakout:
Silver has successfully broken out and consolidated above the key $48 level on the weekly timeframe with a strong bullish candle.
This breakout is technically significant and confirms buyer strength.
2. Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish on both Monthly and Weekly timeframes.
The long-term structure remains upward, but caution is advised in the short term.
3. Market Condition & Warning:
⚠️ Overbought Alert: All timeframes are currently showing overbought conditions based on key oscillators (RSI, Stochastic).
While the trend is bullish, the risk of a corrective pullback has increased substantially.
4. Chart Pattern & Targets:
Major Pattern: A Long-Term Cup and Handle pattern has formed and is now CONFIRMED with the recent breakout.
Long-Term Projection: Based on pattern measurement, potential targets are set at:
Target 1: 65$
Target 2: 90$
5. Important Consideration:
Missing Correction: Notably, a meaningful pullback following the weekly breakout has NOT yet occurred.
High Volatility Expected: Silver's path upward is likely to be characterized by significant volatility and sharp corrections.
Key Levels:
Support: $48.00 (Previous Resistance, now support)
maybe Resistance: $65.00 (Psychological Level)
Bias: 🟢 Bullish for the long-term, but expect high volatility.
OANDA:XAGUSD #SILVER - Monthly/Weekly
✅ CONFIRMED BREAKOUT above $48 on Weekly.
✅ LONG-TERM CUP & HANDLE pattern activated.
🟢 TREND: Strongly Bullish (M & W).
🎯 LT TARGETS: $90 - $100 (Pattern Based).
⚠️ WARNING: All TFs in Overbought territory. No significant pullback yet. High volatility expected. Trade with caution!
"We view silver as a strong investment and have added it to our portfolio."🔥
Disclaimer: This is our team's analysis, not investment advice. The markets are highly volatile. Always do your own research before trading.
What are your thoughts on Silver's next move?
GBPAUD December 2025 fundamental anaylsisThe fundamental outlook for the GBP/AUD currency pair in December 2025 suggests a cautiously mixed scenario influenced by divergent monetary policies and economic performances in the UK and Australia. The British Pound may face downward pressure due to expectations of a Bank of England interest rate cut in December 2025 amidst slowing economic growth and inflation tapering, while the Australian Dollar could remain relatively stable supported by steady economic growth and inflation slightly above target, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) likely holding rates steady in the near term.
UK Economic and Monetary Outlook
The UK economy is expected to experience moderate growth of around 1.5% in 2025 but is forecasted to slow towards the end of the year due to fiscal tightening and weak consumer spending. Inflation in the UK remains above the Bank of England's 2% target, at about 3.5% in 2025. The Bank of England held rates at 4% in November 2025 but market consensus strongly anticipates a 0.25% rate cut in December 2025 as inflation shows signs of easing and economic momentum slows. This potential easing cycle may weigh on the British Pound against other currencies in the short term.
Australia Economic and Monetary Outlook
Australia's economy is showing steady growth, with GDP forecast around 2.3% for 2025 and inflation at 3.8% as of October 2025, slightly above the RBA’s target range of 2-3%. The RBA has kept interest rates steady at 3.60% for the last several months and, despite some inflationary pressures, it is expected to maintain this stance in December, with no imminent cuts expected. The strength in Australia’s commodity exports and resilient domestic demand support the Australian Dollar.
Implications for GBP/AUD
Given the anticipation of Bank of England easing contrasted with the RBA's steady rates and stronger economic indicators, GBP/AUD is likely to face downward pressure or at best a sideways to mildly bearish trend in December. While some forecasts suggest the pair could trade around 1.91 to 2.01 AUD during December 2025, the overall sentiment leans toward moderate GBP weakness against AUD, especially considering the more hawkish or steady stance of the Australian central bank versus the BoE’s expected easing.
Trading verdict for December 2025
GBP/AUD is recommended as a sell for December 2025 due to expected Bank of England rate cuts and slowing UK growth, balanced against relatively steady Australian economic fundamentals and stable interest rates supporting AUD strength.
Intel Corporation and Apple Rumors Ignite a Bullish SurgeIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) jumped more than 10% on Friday as fresh speculation pointed to Apple potentially becoming a major new customer. The rally followed a social media post by TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, who suggested industry surveys indicate Apple could begin sourcing processors from Intel as early as 2027. The possibility marks one of the most meaningful shifts in Intel’s long-term manufacturing prospects in several years.
Investors reacted quickly because a deal with Apple would strengthen confidence in Intel’s turnaround strategy. Despite a strong year—where shares have doubled in value—Intel continues to face questions about its ability to secure durable, high-volume contracts. Apple, known for its vertically integrated chip ecosystem, would represent a major validation of Intel’s foundry ambitions. While neither company has publicly commented, the speculation alone has reinforced bullish sentiment surrounding Intel’s expanding customer pipeline.
Intel’s recent performance is underpinned by several high-profile partnerships, including collaborations with Nvidia (NVDA) in advanced chip manufacturing. These deals, combined with ongoing restructuring efforts, have pushed investor confidence higher. Yet the company remains far from its historical highs, and long-term execution remains the central focus for the market.
Technical Analysis
Intel trades in a strong bullish structure, now pressing against a key descending trendline that has acted as resistance for months. Price is breaking above this level with clear momentum, signaling a possible shift into a broader upward continuation. The next resistance sits at $50, followed by a major level at $68 if bullish pressure sustains. On the downside, support rests at $32, with deeper support at $25 if the trend cools. Current momentum favors the bulls as long as price holds above the breakout zone.
EURUSD December 2025 fundamental analysisThe fundamental outlook for EUR/USD in December 2025 is shaped by several key economic and monetary policy factors. The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in early December, potentially lowering the federal funds rate to 3.75%. This easing is driven by a slowing US economy and a complex inflation outlook. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain its current rates of around 2% throughout 2025 and into 2026, with no immediate cuts expected unless inflation falls below target without rebounding. The Eurozone economy is projected to grow modestly with inflation steady around the ECB target near 2%, supported by external surpluses. On the other hand, the US maintains a real interest rate advantage and higher bond yields, which historically favor the USD.
Eurozone Economic and Monetary Outlook
The Eurozone is expected to post real GDP growth of about 1.3% in 2025, with inflation stabilizing near the ECB’s 2% target. The ECB is currently maintaining interest rates at 2% and is likely to avoid rate cuts in December unless inflation trends significantly worsen. The Euro benefits from structural trade surpluses and current account surpluses, which lend long-term support despite lower yield levels compared to the US. Inflation in the Eurozone is decelerating moderately with stable core components and easing price pressures on services and food.
US Economic and Monetary Outlook
The US economy is slowing with growth forecasts around 0.8% for 2025. Inflation remains above target but is showing signs of easing. The Federal Reserve has already cut rates twice in the latter half of 2025 and market consensus now expects an additional 25 basis points cut in December, moving rates closer to a more neutral stance. However, US real policy rates and bond yields remain higher than those in Europe, continuing to provide a yield advantage for the dollar despite the economic slowdown.
Impact on EUR/USD
The slowdown in US rates should theoretically weaken the USD. However, the higher US real rates compared to the Eurozone, along with the US dollar’s bond yield premium, continue to exert upward pressure on the USD. The Euro, supported by external surpluses and stable inflation, counters some of this USD strength. Overall, the EUR/USD pair faces conflicting pressures: the Fed’s rate cuts could weaken the USD, but higher US yields and real rates support it. Technical analysis and market positioning suggest cautious trading with limited clear breakout direction.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Given the expected rate cut by the Fed and stable ECB policy, the EUR/USD pair may experience some upside potential in December 2025. However, the yield and real rate differential still favors the USD in the medium term. This suggests a cautious buy stance could be warranted for December, anticipating a moderate rebound or stabilization of EUR/USD rather than a strong rally. Traders should remain vigilant for macroeconomic data releases and central bank communications that might shift momentum.
In summary, the EUR/USD outlook in December 2025 is cautiously bullish on fundamental grounds with a likely moderate rise due to Fed easing, but tempered by structural yield advantages favoring the USD. Thus, a buy position in the pair appears reasonable but should be managed carefully given mixed fundamental signals.
XAUUSD 30M – Breakout + Retest Play | Smart Money BiasFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Price successfully broke out of the descending structure and reclaimed previous resistance as support, showing bullish order flow. Two demand zones are visible:
First Entry Zone: 4,148–4,158
Layer Entry (Strong Demand): 4,120–4,132
If price retests either zone and holds support, continuation toward higher liquidity remains likely. Liquidity sits above 4,195–4,210, with extended draw toward 4,238–4,245.
Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Hold above 4,148–4,158
🎯 Target 1: 4,178
🎯 Target 2: 4,205
🎯 Target 3 (Final): 4,238–4,245 zone
🧱 Layer Entry:
If first zone fails → looking for reaction at 4,120–4,132 demand.
❌ Invalidation:
Break and close below 4,112 (structure flips bearish)
📌 Key Levels
Support: 4,148 / 4,132 / 4,112
Resistance: 4,178 / 4,205 / 4,238–4,245
⚠️ Educational only — not financial advice.
Amazon.com Inc.( $AMZN) and OpenAI Deal Reignites AI Momentum Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) gained 1.77% to close at $233.22 as investors reacted to its landmark $38 billion cloud deal with OpenAI. The agreement gives AWS a pivotal role in powering OpenAI’s future models, marking one of Amazon’s most significant AI infrastructure wins to date. The deal spans seven years and includes access to large-scale Nvidia GPU clusters—an essential component for training and deploying advanced generative AI models.
The partnership comes as Amazon accelerates its push to re-establish AWS leadership in the competitive AI cloud segment. For years, OpenAI relied almost exclusively on Microsoft Azure. The shift signals a broadening of OpenAI’s compute strategy and reinforces Amazon’s long-term commitment to expanding its high-performance AI capabilities. AWS leadership noted that its infrastructure is specifically optimized to support demanding AI workloads at global scale, while OpenAI called the partnership a meaningful addition to the broader compute ecosystem.
Strong fundamentals support the bullish outlook. Amazon’s Q3 results highlighted renewed AWS momentum, with cloud growth once again becoming a focal point of investor confidence. AWS remains Amazon's most profitable segment, and securing OpenAI positions it more competitively against Microsoft, Google Cloud, and rising GPU-focused providers.
Long-term performance metrics also reinforce Amazon’s resilience. While the stock is up just 6.30% year-to-date, its three-year return of 148% significantly outpaces the S&P 500. Amazon continues to invest aggressively in logistics automation, advertising, robotics, and AI-driven cloud capabilities—areas expected to drive sustained revenue expansion.
Technical Analysis
AMZN remains bullish, currently trading at $233.22. The chart shows price respecting an ascending trendline, offering structural support near $190–200. A key resistance zone sits near $258, the previous swing high. A breakout above this level could open the path toward $260+. Support remains at $200, with deeper support around $185 if retracement occurs.
MASR: Short-Term Bearish Pressure with Key Support at 4.20 – WeeIn this weekly analysis of Madinet Masr for Housing and Development (MASR) on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX), we observe a long-term bullish trend that has been in place since 2022. However, short-term momentum is leaning bearish, with strong “sell” signals coming from the moving averages (MA20 at 4.32, MA50 at 4.38) and technical indicators (RSI at 39.34, MACD at -0.03). The current price is around 4.29 EGP, testing a key support zone at 4.15–4.20, with a potential rebound if the market reaches oversold levels (Stochastic at 12.73).
Outlook:
• Short term: Bearish unless price breaks above the 4.50 resistance.
• Long term: Hold, supported by strong fundamentals (revenues of 8.39 billion EGP).
• Watch for high trading volume to confirm the direction.
#MASR #EGX #TechnicalAnalysis #EgyptMarket
(Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis, not financial advice.)
EURNZD December 2025 fundamental analysisFor December 2025, the EUR/NZD pair is expected to remain under moderate upside pressure from a relatively more hawkish ECB versus a dovish RBNZ, but with some risk of pullbacks if global risk sentiment weakens or NZD-supporting data surprise.
Eurozone (EUR) outlook
The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep its policy rate on hold around 2.0–2.5% in December 2025, with only a small chance of a final cut if inflation undershoots its target. Core inflation in the eurozone is projected to average around 2.0% in 2025, close to the ECB’s target, allowing the central bank to remain cautious about further easing.
Eurozone growth is seen as modest but stable, with Q4 2025 GDP likely to show slight expansion supported by resilient services and some improvement in manufacturing. This “higher for longer” rate stance relative to other G10 central banks should keep the euro supported against more rate-cutting currencies like the NZD.
New Zealand (NZD) outlook
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has already cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) significantly in 2025, bringing it down to 2.25% by late 2025. The RBNZ’s base case is that inflation will return toward the 1–3% target band by mid‑2026, with growth remaining below trend, justifying a relatively dovish stance.
There will be no further cut in December 2025, but the overall bias remains accommodative, which tends to weigh on the NZD. The NZD is also sensitive to commodity prices (especially dairy) and global risk appetite; any renewed risk-off mood or weaker-than-expected Chinese demand could add downward pressure.
EUR/NZD fundamental drivers
The main driver of EUR/NZD in December 2025 is the projected interest rate differential: the ECB is expected to be more hawkish (or less dovish) than the RBNZ, which supports the euro against the NZD.
EUR/NZD is also influenced by global risk sentiment; in risk‑on environments, the NZD tends to outperform, while in risk‑off periods, safe‑haven flows can lift the euro. Commodity prices (especially dairy and agricultural exports) and New Zealand’s terms of trade remain important for the NZD leg. Geopolitical tensions in Europe and global trade flows can also create short‑term volatility in the pair.
Consensus forecast range
Aggregate forecasts for EUR/NZD in December 2025 show a range of about 1.97–2.05, with a central tendency around 2.01–2.02. Some models project a high near 2.05 and a low near 1.97, reflecting ongoing volatility but a modestly bullish bias for the euro.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Based on the fundamental outlook, EUR/NZD in December 2025 leans slightly bullish, driven by a relatively more hawkish ECB vs. a dovish RBNZ, supporting the euro as well as modestly positive eurozone growth and inflation near target, while New Zealand’s economy remains below trend.
However, the upside is likely to be capped by NZD sensitivity to risk sentiment and commodity prices. Additionally, there is currently limited room for further ECB tightening, so the euro may struggle to break out strongly above 2.05–2.06.
Conclusion: Buy on dips, but with tight risk management.
Aim for a core range of 1.97–2.05, with a bias to buy near the lower end and take partial profits near the upper end.
EURJPY December 2025 fundamental analysisThe fundamental outlook for EUR/JPY in December 2025 favors a bullish bias, primarily supported by relatively strong Eurozone fundamentals and a neutral to slightly dovish stance in Japanese monetary policy. Most medium-term forecasts project EUR/JPY holding above 180 with expectations for further gains, although some consolidation or corrections are possible in the short term.
Eurozone Fundamentals
The ECB has recently cut rates, signaling some dovishness; however, no further cuts are anticipated for the remainder of the year. Inflation in Europe is stabilizing near the central bank's target, and fiscal policy is expected to involve mild loosening in key economies, which should support growth and investment going into 2026. The Eurozone's outlook remains more favorable compared to previous years, supporting medium-term strength in EUR.
Japan Fundamentals
The Bank of Japan maintains an ultra-loose monetary policy, and while there are occasional discussions of rate hikes, concerns over economic growth mean any policy shift would be gradual. Industrial production and retail trade numbers are essential indicators, but forecasts expect modest growth, limiting upward pressure on the Yen. Political uncertainty and the possibility of government interference in BOJ policy further restrict JPY strength in the short term.
Technical Perspective
The EUR/JPY pair remains in a well-defined uptrend above major moving averages, with medium-term forecasts targeting 181-185 for December.
Momentum has slowed, raising the possibility of a short-term correction before the uptrend resumes, but buyers are still defending key breakout zones.
Technical indicators, including daily and weekly signals, currently favor buying on dips.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Based on the balance of Eurozone support, Bank of Japan policy, and positive technical structure, EUR/JPY is a buy for December 2025. There's potential for further upside, though short-term corrections and volatility spikes should be monitored.
EURGBP December 2025 fundamental analysisEUR/GBP is likely to trade near its late‑2025 range around 0.87–0.88 in December, with a mild upside bias for the euro unless UK data or policy surprise positively. Overall, the pair looks more like a cautious hold/slight buy on dips rather than a strong sell for December 2025.
Current level and market pricing
As of late November 2025, EUR/GBP has recently traded in the mid‑0.87s to high‑0.87s after touching year‑to‑date highs around 0.886 in mid‑November. Several bank and independent forecasts cluster near 0.87–0.88 into year‑end 2025, implying markets already price in a relatively firm euro versus sterling.
Macro and central bank backdrop
Consensus expects the Bank of England to cut rates gradually through 2025–26, with scope for somewhat faster easing than the ECB if UK inflation keeps cooling and growth stays soft. The ECB is also easing but is generally seen as slightly more cautious on cuts, while some houses have turned modestly positive on eurozone growth relative to the UK, which can underpin EUR/GBP.
Fiscal, political and sentiment drivers
In the UK, fiscal tightening, tax‑related uncertainty and questions about medium‑term growth are cited as ongoing headwinds for sterling, limiting its upside unless policy turns more pro‑growth. In the euro area, the main risks are renewed growth disappointments or political noise in large member states, which could cap significant euro appreciation but have not prevented a mildly constructive EUR view for now.
December 2025 forecast range
Some quantitative long‑range forecaster projects EUR/GBP around 0.876 in early December 2025, with a broad monthly range of roughly 0.856–0.890. Major sell‑side and specialist FX forecasters similarly see the pair hovering close to 0.87–0.88 into late 2025 and early 2026, with only moderate potential extension toward 0.89–0.90 if UK rate cuts or weak data weigh further on sterling.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Fundamental bias: Slightly constructive for EUR versus GBP, given modestly softer UK outlook and limited ECB dovishness.
Tactical stance: EUR/GBP looks like a cautious buy on dips toward the lower end of the 0.86–0.87 area, with more limited appeal for fresh shorts unless UK data or policy clearly outperform eurozone expectations.
EURCHF December 2025 fundamental analysisEUR/CHF is likely to remain in a relatively tight range with only mild upside for the euro into December 2025, with the broader backdrop still favoring a structurally firm Swiss franc. Overall, this points more to a “sell on tops” stance rather than an outright bullish euro view for December.
Policy backdrop
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) keeps policy clearly on the accommodative side, but inflation is very low and firmly within its price‑stability range, so there is no strong pressure to ease further. Minutes and recent assessments show the SNB is comfortable with the inflation outlook and sees current settings as sufficiently expansionary, which implies it can tolerate a relatively strong franc as long as inflation stays subdued.
The ECB, by contrast, holds its main rates around 2% and is in a gradual normalization phase after prior cuts, with projections showing inflation close to but slightly above target in 2025. Market commentary and ECB speeches indicate little appetite for aggressive further cuts in the near term, suggesting that euro short‑rate support will not improve dramatically against Switzerland’s already low‑rate environment.
Macro and fundamental drivers
SNB projections show Swiss inflation around 0.2% in 2025 and modest GDP growth in the 1–1.5% range, supporting a narrative of a stable, low‑inflation, safe‑haven currency. This setup historically aligns with a structurally firm CHF, especially in an environment of global uncertainty and tariffs that dampen growth expectations.
In the euro area, ECB projections put 2025 inflation just above 2%, with growth expectations revised down and calls from some economists for stronger stimulus. This mix of slightly higher inflation but weaker growth limits the euro’s appeal versus the franc, since it points to a central bank that may have to remain cautious and potentially ease further if the economy disappoints.
Market pricing and forecasts
Recent analyses show EUR/CHF largely range‑bound between about 0.92 and 0.97 in 2025, with trading clustering near 0.93–0.94 toward year‑end. Several institutional and research forecasts for late 2025 center around the low‑0.90s, with some large banks expecting levels near 0.92 by end‑2025, consistent with a still‑strong franc.
Specific December 2025 projections from quantitative/forecast sites cluster roughly around 0.93–0.94 on average, with published ranges typically spanning the high‑0.91s to mid‑0.95s, again consistent with a tight range and only modest euro upside risk. Commentary from Swiss‑focused outlets also stresses that the SNB is unlikely to actively engineer a significantly weaker franc unless EUR/CHF falls much further, which caps the upside potential for the pair.
Trading verdict for December 2025
Fundamentally, low Swiss inflation, a still cautious SNB, and Switzerland’s safe‑haven status argue for a structurally strong CHF, while the euro faces mediocre growth and limited scope for higher rates. Given that spot is expected to stay in a narrow low‑0.90s range with only limited upside, the pair looks more attractive as a “sell EUR/CHF on rallies” rather than a long‑EUR position for December 2025.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: $MS) Stock Rises Despite €101M FineMorgan Stanley (NYSE: NYSE:MS ) is gaining momentum in the market despite facing a €101 million fine from the Dutch Public Prosecutor’s Office over historical tax practices. The penalty involves dividend tax evasion tied to structured transactions executed between 2007 and 2012. Authorities stated that the bank filed incorrect returns as part of share acquisition strategies around dividend dates. Morgan Stanley accepted responsibility, repaid withheld taxes and interest by the end of 2024, and agreed to the settlement, closing the long-running case.
Despite regulatory scrutiny, Morgan Stanley continues expanding its presence in digital assets as major financial institutions deepen their crypto offerings. JPMorgan is preparing to accept Bitcoin and Ether as collateral for institutional loans by year-end, marking a significant shift toward wider blockchain integration in traditional finance. The bank already allows collateralization using crypto-linked ETFs, signaling rising comfort with token-backed financial products.
Broad adoption is accelerating as more banks commit to serving the growing digital asset market. Morgan Stanley plans to enable E*Trade clients to access cryptocurrencies next year, strengthening its strategic position as demand increases. Other major institutions—including State Street, BNY Mellon, Fidelity, and BlackRock—remain active through custody services, tokenization initiatives, and ETF support. Increasing regulatory clarity in the U.S. has encouraged firms to expand beyond basic crypto custody and move toward trading, advisory, and collateral services.
While the sector continues facing compliance challenges, investor appetite for blockchain-linked products is rising. Morgan Stanley’s stock has maintained positive momentum as investors look beyond penalties and focus on its growing role in digital finance.
Technical Outlook
The stock maintains an overall bullish structure, having broken above a key horizontal resistance at $141, which now acts as support. If price retraces, $141 remains the critical level to watch.
ETH Chart doesn't look prettyI see Ethereum’s chart not looking pretty for long nor hold positions at these prices.
Price Action
ETH continues to make lower highs and lower lows inside a descending wedge.
Price is moving toward two major demand zones, and the momentum is really weak. Just minor price hiccups.
I'm expecting some choppy or even consolidation movements before a possible test of the lower demand blocks.
OBV is such an underrated indicator!
Look at OBV, this is where the things gets interesting..
OBV is breaking its trendline downward, even while price hasn’t fully broken structure yet.
This is a classic sign of volume distribution. Smart money is exiting positions quietly.
When OBV breaks direction before price, it often predicts the next major move.
At the moment, ETHUSD is looking heavily bearish. Given the fact that BTC is also giving early signs of a bearish trend, I don't think buying ETH is a good idea here. I'll wait for a deeper correction.
Good Luck!
Visa and Aquanow Partnership Accelerates Stablecoin PaymentsVisa continues advancing its blockchain strategy with a new partnership with Aquanow to speed up stablecoin settlements across global markets. The collaboration aims to enhance cross-border speed, lower transaction costs, and increase transparency across Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. This marks another major step in Visa’s broader push to modernize digital payments using blockchain rails.
Through this agreement, Visa integrates Aquanow’s digital asset infrastructure—technology capable of handling continuous, high-volume crypto transactions—directly into its global payment network. As a result, financial institutions in the CEMEA region can now settle transactions using approved stablecoins like USDC. The move strengthens Visa’s long-term plan to build faster, more resilient settlement systems for regions heavily affected by delays and banking inefficiencies.
Visa is also focused on reducing intermediaries in the settlement chain, improving real-time transparency, and providing institutions with 24/7/365 settlement access. With Aquanow’s support, issuers and acquirers can clear obligations using stablecoins rather than relying solely on traditional clearing processes. This development aligns with Visa’s strategy to scale digital money movement, especially in emerging markets where currency volatility and slow clearing systems remain major obstacles.
Aquanow, founded in 2018, brings strong liquidity technology and deep expertise in digital asset rails. Its infrastructure processes billions in crypto brokerage and settlement flows monthly. This strengthens Visa’s stablecoin pilot programs, which already surpass a $2.5 billion annualized volume. Visa’s CEMEA division continues upgrading its backend systems to support real-time blockchain settlements.
Technical Outlook
Visa’s stock maintains a bullish structure, respecting an ascending trendline around $320, which was retested last week. Immediate resistance rests at $375, the previous major high. A breakout above this zone could extend momentum. Key supports sit at $320 and $305 if price retraces.
ETH Chart doesn't look prettyI see Ethereum’s chart not looking pretty for long nor hold positions at these prices.
Price Action
ETH continues to make lower highs and lower lows inside a descending wedge.
Price is moving toward two major demand zones, and the momentum is really weak. Just minor price hiccups.
I'm expecting some choppy or even consolidation movements before a possible test of the lower demand blocks.
OBV is such an underrated indicator!
Look at OBV, this is where the things gets interesting..
OBV is breaking its trendline downward, even while price hasn’t fully broken structure yet.
This is a classic sign of volume distribution. Smart money is exiting positions quietly.
When OBV breaks direction before price, it often predicts the next major move.
At the moment, ETHUSD is looking heavily bearish. Given the fact that BTC is also giving early signs of a bearish trend, I don't think buying ETH is a good idea here. I'll wait for a deeper correction.
Good Luck!
ANFIBO XAUUSD – Fibonacci Breakout and Continuation Plan
Hi guys, Anfibo’s here!
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan
Overall Picture
On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of the previous descending trendline and is now trending inside a rising bullish channel. Price is pushing toward the upper boundary of this channel, and the next key reaction zone is where:
The new uptrend channel resistance
The old descending trendline (now potential resistance)
And the Fibonacci extension cluster
all line up around the 4240s.
This is where I expect the market to show its hand:
Either give a short-term corrective pullback,
Or consolidate and build energy for a continuation rally toward the higher Fibonacci extensions (2.618 around the 4370–4380 zone).
Macro Context – Why USD Still Matters
From a macro perspective, the U.S. Government and Treasury have a direct impact on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) through:
Fiscal policy (budgets, new laws, spending programs)
Announcements from the administration
Treasury funding needs and issuance
At the same time, U.S. GDP data is a core driver of dollar sentiment:
Stronger‐than‐expected GDP → supports DXY → often weighs on gold.
Weaker GDP or slowdown signals → pressures DXY → tends to support gold.
So while the chart is clearly giving us a bullish technical structure, the strength or weakness of upcoming U.S. data will strongly influence whether gold can sustain a breakout beyond these Fibonacci levels or get capped and pull back deeper.
Trading Plan – Using Fibonacci and Structure
For next week, I’m working with one tactical short setup at resistance and one continuation buy setup on the dip.
>>> Scenario #1 – Short-Term SELL at Fibonacci Resistance
If price extends into the confluence zone around 4240+ and shows rejection, I’ll treat it as a counter-trend sell opportunity:
Sell entry: 4241 – 4243
Stop loss: 4248
Take profit levels:4210-4194-4165-4120
Idea: fade the first touch into the Fibonacci + trendline resistance box, targeting a corrective leg back towards mid-channel support and potentially the lower part of the structure around 4120 if sellers step in aggressively.
>>> Scenario #2 – BUY the Continuation from 4194 Support
If the market respects the breakout and only offers a shallow pullback, I’ll look to join the trend from the key support / Fibonacci area:
Buy entry: around 4194
Stop loss: 4185
Take profit levels:
TP1: 4210
TP2: 4235
TP3: higher extension zone toward the 2.618 area (4370+ if momentum continues)
Idea: use 4194 as a continuation buy zone, where broken resistance + Fib support align, aiming to ride the next impulsive leg higher inside the ascending channel.
Key Technical Levels for the Week
Resistance / Sell zone: 4241 – 4243
Intermediate resistance: 4235, then higher at the Fib extension band near 4370–4380
Support / Buy zone: 4194
Deeper supports: 4165 and 4120 (bottom of corrective structure)
As long as price holds above the 4165–4120 block on a closing basis, the medium-term bias remains bullish.
Risk Management
Treat the sell setup as tactical / short-term against higher timeframe bullish structure.
Always wait for clear confirmation (rejection wick, slowdown, or shift in 4H / 1H structure) at 4240s before entering shorts.
Keep Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on both scenarios; avoid forcing trades in the middle of the range.
Do not hold opposing positions simultaneously – follow the scenario the market confirms first.
If strong fundamentals (e.g., very strong GDP, hawkish fiscal tone) push DXY sharply higher or lower, be ready to reassess the bias instead of clinging to the plan.
Conclusion
Gold has flipped from a descending structure to a rising channel, and Fibonacci confluences are giving us clear, objective levels to work with next week. Whether price reacts with a short-term pullback from 4240s or respects 4194 as continuation support, we already know:
Where to sell tactically,
Where to buy with the trend,
And how our risk is defined.
LET THE LEVELS GUIDE YOU, TRADE WITH CONFIDENCE, AND STAY DISCIPLINED, GUYS! 💛📈
EURUSD Tokyo Break Continuation ScenarioQuick Summary
EURUSD may extend its move after breaking the Tokyo session range and could drop toward 1.15336 which is a possible buy zone supported by an SMT signal between EURUSD and GBPUSD
Full Analysis
EURUSD has already broken the Tokyo session structure and this type of movement often indicates that the market intends to follow through toward a deeper level before showing any reversal behavior The next logical target for this continuation move is the zone around 1.15336 where the pair may find fresh demand and show a stronger bullish response
The current decline appears more like a liquidity seeking move rather than a shift in the overall direction and this idea is further supported by the SMT signal forming between EURUSD and GBPUSD When one pair makes a move that the other fails to confirm it often reflects an imbalance that the market attempts to correct through a short term retracement
Once EURUSD reaches 1.15336 we can monitor the reaction closely If the market shows a clear shift in short term structure or strong buying pressure this area can become a valid entry point for a bullish continuation scenario.
XAUUSD PredictDisclaimer: Not Financial Advice
The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended to provide specific financial or investment advice. The content presented does not take into account your personal investment objectives, specific goals, or financial situation and needs.
Accordingly, before taking any actions based upon such information, we strongly encourage you to consult with a qualified, licensed financial advisor or other appropriate professional. All investments are subject to risk, and you assume full responsibility for any loss or damage resulting from your use of or reliance on the information provided.
We are not liable for any errors or omissions in this information or for any losses, injuries, or damages from the display or use of this information.
Tarique Zia will NOT return
Channel: ATN News
Tittle: Begum Khaleda Zia's condition highly critical | English Bulletin | 28 Nov 2025 | ATN News
May Peace & Blessings be Upon You ,
Tarique Rahman/Zia ( Bangladesh Nationalist Party) will NOT return to Bangladesh. This is Guaranteed. Very soon it will be in media.
Please check our last year 2024 posts / books:
“Jul 12 2024 · 7:05 AM: No New Global Investor should Purchase or Enter the Global Market right now. Let all Election finish , as Huge Global Laws are coming on 2025.”
Related industries must consider this Point in their annual research. Check our “VIP Letter” for
Entry/Exit Strategy.
> Smart people position themselves.> Stop asking what's going up or down today start asking why?
>Wealth doesn't come from predicting the future perfectly it comes from preparing for a range of outcomes and positioning yourself accordingly right now with the market
= Win isn't about avoiding risk it's about managing it intelligently
Thank You
Sulaiman Solution
XAUUSD – Fibo H4 supports the upward trend, prioritize buying...XAUUSD – Fibo H4 supports the upward trend, prioritize buying at POC for next week
Gold closed Friday's session around 4,215 after a strong rise since the CME error report.
On the H4 chart, the upward structure is clearly forming and relatively stable, with the price just breaking out of a multi-day accumulation zone and entering Fibonacci extension levels. Given the current context, I continue to prioritize medium-term buying when the price adjusts to POC, rather than chasing at new highs.
🎯 Main trading plan – BUY THE DIP ACCORDING TO FIBONACCI & POC
Buy entry: around 4,187
SL: 4,175
TP reference: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300
The above profit-taking targets are referenced from the H4 Fibonacci extension cluster, with the area around 1.618 – 2.618 being levels where strong market profit-taking is likely to occur.
For each position, I only accept risk within the 1–2% account range, prioritizing long-term market survival over trying to catch the top and bottom of a wave.
Key level:
4,160 is currently a strong support and the "lifeline" of the H4 upward trend.
If the price breaks down and closes the H4 candle below 4,160, the current upward structure is considered broken, I will temporarily halt the BUY scenario and will rebuild the plan, possibly considering a deep correction SELL scenario in the next article.
1. Basic context
The recent strong recovery momentum of gold temporarily slowed down after an unsuccessful attempt to rise above the 4,160 area.
However, the recent upward momentum occurred in the context of the USD weakening again, despite US bond yields trying to recover across the curve.
On a larger timeframe, gold is heading for the fourth consecutive monthly increase, following the breakout in October when prices made the market look towards the 4,400 area.
Prolonged geopolitical concerns along with expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates provide enough reasons for buyers to maintain a medium-term position, despite short-term fluctuations.
Overall, the fundamental foundation still supports the upward trend, unless there is a major change in interest rate expectations or systemic risk.
2. H4 Technical Analysis – Fibonacci Perspective
The previous accumulation area around 4,160–4,185 has been broken up by a series of consecutive bullish candles, confirming the higher high – higher low structure on H4.
The volume POC has shifted up around the 4,187 area, indicating this is a dense trading area before the breakout – suitable for waiting for a price retest and then continuing to buy.
Fibonacci extension levels from the most recent upward wave show important resistance clusters above around:
1.618: area 4.24x – first profit-taking target, likely to experience fluctuations.
2.618: area 4.35x–4.36x – expansion level for a very strong continuation trend scenario.
With this structure, any adjustment around 4,187 but holding 4,160 is considered an opportunity to increase the medium-term BUY position, not a reversal signal.
3. Market sentiment & action plan
After a strong rise, the market is in a FOMO mindset chasing prices at high levels. This is usually a stage where unexpected adjustments are likely to occur to "shake off" late positions.
I do not participate in that chasing game. Instead, I wait for the price to return to the POC area 4,187, where a large volume has accumulated, to trade with a better R:R and tighter SL.
If the buyers are truly strong, they will protect the 4,160–4,187 area; if not, observing from the sidelines after the structure is broken is safer than holding onto a viewpoint.
Plan for next week:
Prioritize buying around 4,187, SL 4,175, TP according to Fibo cluster 4,225–4,240–4,290–4,300.
If the price breaks strongly below 4,160 and closes the H4 candle below, stop the entire BUY scenario, wait for a new structure, and then consider a correction SELL scenario.
Do not chase buying when the price is close to high Fibo extension levels, unless there is a specific intraday setup with a very clear SL.
If you find this perspective useful for next week's gold trading plan, please follow the TradingView account and leave a comment about the price area you are waiting to enter orders. I always read feedback to optimize sharing in future analyses.






















