Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5.
My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Fundamental Analysis
How to Trade and Make Extra Income with a Full-Time JobAt QuantSignals (QS), we’re proud to have a diverse global community — members from every country, every profession, and every walk of life.
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If you can’t trade in the morning, the final hour (“power hour”) is another prime opportunity.
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Natural Gas - The Short SqueezeNatural gas had another stellar rally today.
Bouncing hard off the 7 day moving average and making new weekly highs.
We have completed the measured bull flag move in the near term so an extra rally from here is pure shorts getting cooked in my opinion.
With price action rallying so far so quickly we pared back and secured some profits on our natural gas equity positions.
We sold our RRC December calls for 115% gain.
We trimmed our AR January calls for 65% gain.
We still have equity exposure and positions in profit so now it becomes a game of managing protecting profits.
In the near term I would not be surprised to see a minor pullback or 1-2 weeks of consolidation.
BTC/USD 1D Chart🧭 Overall Market Picture
Bitcoin is in a medium-term downtrend, as confirmed by:
a descending channel (marked with white lines),
lower highs and lower lows,
price below the key EMA and SMA.
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, so it will be crucial whether it manages to break out of it to the upside or rebounds further down.
🔹 Key Price Levels
Support:
$100,650 — short-term support, previously seen price reactions.
$98,550 — next demand level from late October.
$96,950 — lower boundary of the descending channel, potential target for continued declines.
Resistance:
$106,300–$106,500 — current resistance (upper boundary of the channel + SMA100).
$109,700–$110,000 — strong resistance converging with the EMA200 and SMA200.
$112,000+ — channel breakout and trend change.
🔸 Technical Indicators
1. MACD
The histogram is starting to turn positive (descending red).
The MACD line is attempting to cross the signal from below — a potential bullish signal, but not yet confirmed.
➡️ Indicates a possible short-term upward correction within a downtrend.
2. RSI (14)
Value: ~40.5 — low, but has rebounded from oversold levels.
No bullish divergence, but the RSI is rising from below, suggesting a potential technical bounce.
➡️ Still more upside than downside before entering the overbought zone.
🔹 Moving Averages
EMA50 (~109,970 USD) and EMA200 (~110,380 USD) are above the price, confirming the downtrend.
The EMA50 < EMA200 cross holds – a classic death cross.
SMA100 (~106,300 USD) has just been tested – a key level that could determine the direction of the coming days.
🔸 Short-Term Scenarios
🟩 Bullish (30–40% chance)
Breakthrough of the upper channel line (~106.5k USD) + daily close above 107k USD.
Confirmation of the MACD and RSI signal > 50.
Targets: 109,700 → 111,500 → 113,800 USD.
➡️ A medium-term trend reversal is then possible.
🟥 Bearish (60–70% chance)
Bounce from the upper channel line and fall below 102k–101k.
Continuation of the downtrend.
Targets: 100,600 → 98,500 → 96,900 USD.
➡️ In this scenario, the market will maintain a lower high/lower low structure.
⚙️ Summary
Trend: Down, but with a short-term rebound attempt.
Key moment: reaction to the 106k–107k USD level.
If the channel with volume breaks, a bullish reversal.
If a rebound, a new low around 97k–99k USD is very possible.
Space/Defense NASDAQ:VELO has quite the interesting history ended up being saved from bankruptcy by SpaceX. The company serves major clients like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Relativity Space, with a focus on scaling production for space exploration and defense with 3d metal printing. I saw today only on X that they strategically moved from CA to Texas directly adjacent to $TSLA. I havent confirmed from any other sources so not sure if this is accurate. SpaceX i believe is there biggest client so it would make sense that they start working with tesla. There's plenty of 3d printing competition that makes good money they burn a fair amount of cash and are not profitable for now will likely need to continue raising cash to expand there newly aimed rapid pace production. Those will be the opportunities I take in the future to buy if it tanks on offerings. Im currently holding shares from around $5 as long as that conties to hold i see good upside to 8 resistance area and much higher once they start gaining some traction. New management recently has changed the trajectory of the company in a major way and will hopefully be able to scale quickly. Earnings are coming up soon so that should give us some good info. Pretty low volume big swings but I think theres pretty big potential here also, especially long term.
Mastercard Expands Fintech Footprint Through Globba Partnership Mastercard Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:MA ) continues to reinforce its leadership in global payment infrastructure with the launch of Globba™, a next-generation cross-border payment solution developed in collaboration with FNB and RMB Private Banking. Powered by Mastercard Move, the platform simplifies international money transfers for South Africans, offering fast, transparent, and traceable transactions to over 120 countries.
Fundamentally, this partnership highlights Mastercard’s growing footprint in Africa’s rapidly digitizing economy. The continent’s cross-border remittance flows have expanded sharply, with Mastercard research noting that 60% of South Africans sent money abroad in 2024, up from 59% in 2022. Globba™ integrates Mastercard Move’s reach across 200+ countries and 150+ currencies, reflecting the company’s commitment to inclusion and financial connectivity. This positions Mastercard as a key enabler in Africa’s G20-aligned modernization of payment systems, potentially driving new revenue streams in both consumer and B2B remittance corridors.
Technically, Mastercard’s stock ( NYSE:MA ) shows a strong long-term uptrend despite recent consolidation. The daily chart indicates support around the $510 zone, with a possible short-term pullback before rebounding toward resistance near $602, as outlined by the yellow projection curve in the chart. Sustaining above $540 could trigger bullish momentum, targeting a retest of all-time highs above $600. Rising volume and consistent higher lows underscore accumulation within a strong structural uptrend, suggesting long-term investors may see continued appreciation aligned with Mastercard’s expansion into emerging digital economies.
As Mastercard combines innovation with global scale, its fundamentals remain strong and its chart poised for potential breakout momentum into 2026.
US100 – Bullish Reversal Setup-H4: Turning bullish with a new high at 25,667.
Pullback: Formed a lower high, now H1 shifting bullish again.
Plan: Looking for buys above 25,542, SL below last H1 LH.
Adjustment: If another H1 LH forms and breaks upward, trail SL for tighter risk.
-Fundamental: Shutdown-end hopes , supporting the bullish scenario.
Perfectly grasp the rhythm of gold trading.Gold has maintained a strong upward squeeze this week, steadily climbing and breaking new highs. Currently, we are watching the 4145-4150 level as short-term resistance. A pullback and consolidation are needed to break through this level. The moving average system shows a bearish divergence, and the price has stalled at higher levels, failing to break through. There are currently no good entry points. Although the market outlook is bullish, we should wait for a pullback to the 4125-4110 area before considering long positions. The technical indicators need correction, so chasing the upward trend is not advisable. We should patiently wait for a pullback before looking for opportunities to go long!
Reversal short hit final TP. Price hit a 4h bullish fibonacci4h overall, I was looking for shorts this week as we approach a area of my interest.
I don't open trades on ASIA so I was hesitating but price tag my limit order before ASIA opens, so It was a valid trade for me.
Scale down to the 15m and managed to get all my confirmations and got a reversal short RR 1:3
Big Catalysts Behind Bitcoin’s Pump – Can BTC Hit $110K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping yesterday as I expected in my previous idea . Let's take a look at the fundamental reasons for Bitcoin .
Why the sudden BTC pump? Here are the 3 BIG catalysts hitting at once:
1-US Government Shutdown officially ending tomorrow (Nov 12)
Senate finally reached a budget deal. Treasury General Account (TGA) will start draining → hundreds of billions in fresh liquidity flooding markets. Same thing that ignited the 2020-2021 bull run.
2-Trump’s “Tariff Dividend”
President promised every American adult at least $2,000 from tariff revenue (potentially $400B+ total). Last time we got $1,200 stimulus checks, BTC went from $7K → $69K. Do the math.
3-Short squeeze + ETF flow reversal
Despite last week’s $1.22B ETF outflows, today we’re seeing fresh bids stacking. Bears who shorted the dip are now fuel for the rocket.
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Let's take a look at Bitcoin’s technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe .
Right now, Bitcoin is trading around a Resistance zone($107,600,980-$106,100) , and it looks like it might be forming a potential ascending channel , though the second top of that channel isn’t confirmed yet.
My expectation is that after a brief pullback to the Support zone($104,840-$103,600) —where there’s also Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($105,311-$104,111) —Bitcoin could start rising again and attempt to break through the Resistance lines. If BTC manages to break above those Resistance lines, then the next target could be around $110,000 .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $99,865-$98,168
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $112,590-$111,459
New CME Gap: $104,565-$104,160
So what do you think? Can Bitcoin push up to $110,000, or will it turn back down again?
Note: These days, the market can be pretty volatile and unpredictable, so always remember to manage your risk and stick to your risk management strategy.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Future Nearing.Been peeped Silver since 2023, watch as price rally above $42 soon. Especially with Gold topping out above $3K. The future, full of robotics and humanoids, is nearing. Who’s ready? Who’s scared? Who’s taking advantage of this opportunity?
Whatever happens, do not fomo, stay calculated.
Backtesting on TradingViewBased on the massive feedback from our previous article about backtesting we decided to make a follow up on how to backtest your strategy.
Every trader talks about strategy.
Few actually test it.
Backtesting is where ideas meet data — and TradingView makes it surprisingly simple.
Whether you code your own system or use built-in tools, backtesting shows you how your logic performs before you risk a single dollar.
1. Open the Strategy Tester
Start by opening the chart of the asset you want to test.
Click “Strategy Tester” at the bottom of the screen.
This activates TradingView’s built-in engine that simulates your system’s historical trades automatically.
You’ll see three tabs appear:
Overview: a summary of your results.
Performance Summary: key stats like profit, drawdown, and win rate.
List of Trades: every single historical trade your strategy executed.
2. Load or Create a Strategy
Go to the Indicators & Strategies tab.
TradingView separates indicators from strategies — only strategies can trigger trades for backtesting!
You have two options:
Use a built-in or public strategy: like “MACD Strategy” or “Moving Average Crossover.”
Paste your own Pine Script strategy: under “Pine Editor,” then click “Add to Chart.”
Once applied, TradingView automatically calculates historical trades based on your logic.
Tip: Indicators are for signals, strategies are for testing execution.
3. Adjust the Test Parameters
To make your test realistic, click the ⚙️ icon next to your strategy name.
In the Properties tab, you can define:
Initial capital (e.g. $10,000)
Position size (fixed or percent-based)
Commission and slippage
Pyramiding (how many positions can stack)
Then set your date range in the Strategy Tester — for example, test from 01-01-2022 to 01-01-2024.
The goal is to simulate what your system would have done under real conditions.
4. Analyze the Results
Once the test runs, TradingView gives you a detailed breakdown:
Net Profit (%) — your total gain or loss.
Max Drawdown — your biggest loss from peak to trough.
Win Rate & Profit Factor — how often you win and how much you win versus lose.
Average Trade — the mean result per trade.
Equity Curve — how your balance evolved over time.
Scroll through the List of Trades to see how each entry and exit behaved.
If you spot clusters of losses, note the pattern — that’s where improvements start.
This is the part where you analyze and think why did a trade fail and how can I avoid it.
TradingView also enables you to export data in excel so its super easy to analyze and look for improvement.
5. Refine and Forward-Test
Once you’ve seen how your system performs historically, make small adjustments.
Change one parameter at a time — like EMA length, RSI threshold, or stop-loss distance — and rerun the test.
When you find consistent results across timeframes or markets, move to paper trading mode.
Forward-testing confirms your backtest logic under real conditions, including live volatility and execution timing.
If your live and backtested results align closely, you’ve built something solid and you are ready to make money.
A big tip here, even a small thing such as a change in stop loss or timeframe change from 15 minutes to 14 minutes can make a huge difference so try out different conditions.
AU Short hit stop loss, just part of the gameI was looking for a short on AU this week, as my criteria's they were showing signs for a short on the 15m.
Not everything is perfect. The only thing you can do is follow your plan, risk management and criteria's. If you do so, it doesn't matter if it's a loss or a win, eventually this are the trades that will make you profitable.
Always follow your plan no matter the result!
Current Forex thoughts: Tuesday 11 November The positive environment has been dented slightly by NVIDIA falling (thanks to SoftBank selling shares) and the ongoing US / CHINA 'rare earth grapple'. But it hasn't dented my view of looking for 'risk on trades'.
The GBP recovered from disappointing EMPLOYMENT data, perhaps propped up by its relatively high interest rate, also, positive SWISS / US tariff talk seems to have boosted the European currencies. But I suspect it could be a bumpy road ahead for the GBP.
Currently, I'm awaiting fresh confidence in a 'risk on trade'. Which would be any 4hr resistance on USD or JPY charts being broken. Or continued tests of 1hr support holding.
Finally, despite higher than forecast NZD inflation data, I still consider AUD NZD long viable at 4hr support.
Planning a long swing based on these confluencesHi Traders!
In my opinion, GJ continues to be bullish. I posted a mind on Oct. 31st about how I thought GJ was in a retracement phase, and it seems to be trying to reverse out of that retracement.
A few confluences that stand out to me are- an attempt to make a Invert. Head and Shoulder, and a bullish 4HR CHOCH. Now, I'm looking to take a long swing, but in order for me to do that I need my confluences to be lined up to make the best logical decision.
My desired entry targets would be at 202 or 201.500. 201.500 would bring price to a 4HR OB/consolidation area that price broke out of on Friday, Nov. 7th.
However, if price doesn't make it to my desired areas, I may wait for a break above 203.200 with a strong candle close (Higher TF). That could confirm the bullish 4HR CHOCH.
I like to give GJ room to move, so if 203.200 is the case, my SL would potentially be just below 202/last higher low. This is all depending on how GJ moves. TP swing target 207-207.500 with taking profits in between.
Leave a comment, and let me know your thoughts!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
#LINKUSDT:minor correction first | major bullish move towards 40The LINKUSDT price is expected to decline to a range between 11.72 and 14.72 before resuming its upward trend. This price range has historically seen significant trading volume, indicating that a drop within this range is likely in the near future.
Once a trading position is initiated, there are three primary targets to consider. The first target is set at 25, which is highly achievable due to its proximity to the current price levels. The second target is at 35, which is also within reach with favourable market conditions.
The final target is at 45, which may require more time to achieve and will depend on strong fundamental support and positive market developments.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
Continuation form in NY. UC Melted on ASIA and LondonThis was the idea that we had on UC, price grab liquidity after taking us out in Break Even.
Leaving a new range for Fibonacci from high to low, giving all the necessaries criteria's to try a new short leaving a R;R 1:4. I didn't manage to enter on the second trade and price just melted hitting out potential TP.
I was a missed trade but a valid analysis for me. Despite the result of no trade following my plan and criteria's makes me feel good.
Netflix Inc Eyes Video Podcast Expansion Amid Platform EvolutionNetflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) appears ready to expand its media ecosystem once again — this time, into the growing world of video podcasts. Following its recent partnership with Spotify that introduced 16 video podcasts to the platform, Bloomberg now reports that Netflix is developing its own lineup of original video podcasts to be featured exclusively on its streaming service.
The move aligns with Netflix’s ongoing strategy of diversifying beyond traditional film and TV content. Sources familiar with the plans suggest Netflix has already reached out to creators to produce original podcast shows, while also negotiating licensing deals with major audio players like iHeartMedia and SiriusXM. The company’s early licensing strategy appears experimental, offering one-year deals, some reportedly valued under $10 million, as Netflix gauges consumer interest and platform performance in this new category.
Internally, Netflix is said to be redesigning parts of its mobile app interface to better highlight podcast content, indicating that management sees potential in expanding the discovery experience beyond scripted or reality-based programming. This could allow the company to position itself as a one-stop entertainment hub, uniting streaming, documentaries, live events, gaming, and now, video podcasts, under one user ecosystem.
Technically, the stock chart for NASDAQ:NFLX shows price action consolidating near the $1,100–$1,150 zone, supported by a long-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a rebound toward $1,341 previous highs could be the next leg higher, consistent with Netflix’s broader narrative of innovation-driven growth.
With audio-visual storytelling becoming an increasingly dominant medium, Netflix’s entrance into video podcasts could mark another pivotal moment, one that reinforces its dominance not only in streaming entertainment but also in the creator-driven content landscape.






















