Fundamental Analysis
DXY Is Entering a Decision Zone — The Next Move Starts Here.DXY | Neutral Bias | 4H Frame
CORE5 View: Price has filled its inefficiencies and now meets the weekly balance head-on. This is the decision point for the next impulse.
Fundamental Context
Tomorrow is the real driver: PPI + jobless claims, with CPI right behind it.
These three data points set the short-term path for the dollar’s yield expectations.
Markets are holding steady into the releases — no rush, no conviction.
This is a waiting zone until numbers show direction.
Market Structure Context
Price has pushed into the discount side of the 4H range, tapping the same zone that has triggered rotations before.
All single prints beneath have now been filled, removing imbalances.
Now the structure is pressing the weekly balance at 98.766, a level that normally slows momentum and forces the market to show its hand.
This is where structure decides between rotation or continuation.
MSM — Market Structure Mapping
The 4H structure carries a bearish tone, but it is pushing straight into weekly balance, which often neutralizes momentum.
Nothing is broken, but nothing is confirmed.
This is where professionals wait for liquidity to choose dominance.
DGM — Dynamic Geometry Modeling
The downward leg into discount matches the prior leg in size and rhythm.
Symmetry is complete.
Geometrically, this is a natural location where rotation can start — but only if liquidity agrees.
VFA — Volume Flow Analytics
Anchored volume sits at 98.725, only a few points below current price.
This is a reliable decision level:
• Rotation often begins here when volume defends.
• If price accepts below this node, bearish continuation opens quickly.
It’s a participation pivot — the market chooses, not us.
OFD — Order Flow Dynamics
Order flow still favors the bearish side.
No meaningful attempt higher, no failed push, no shift in intent.
Buyers are quiet; sellers are steady.
Patience here protects capital.
PEM — Precision Execution Modeling
We’re sitting mid-range into end-of-day liquidity with clear pools both above and below.
In these conditions, price often drifts, cleans both sides, and waits for tomorrow’s data.
For cross-market positioning, holding off until USD bias confirms is the professional move.
🧠 CORE5 Rule of the Day
“Context leads. Direction follows. Structure only works when you let it speak first.”
ETH Strong Selling Domination Since August 2025, we have:
- Almost 9 red weeks vs 3 green.
- Sellers dominate in number of red weeks + selling volume substantially.
- Absence of buybacks.
- Absence of good news for ETH specifically.
Recently over pumped ETH in 2025 has already erased all of its gains. Given its beta of ±2.0 to BTC, it is reasonable to expect further descent towards marked levels on the chart throughout 2026.
Major factor of influence right now is Fed rate cutting rates + absence of stable release of market data + weakening labor market. For your convenience, dates of the last two rate cuts have been marked to illustrate that ETH is indeed staying below those key market decision dates. The BTC weakness started much earlier, meaning that ETH is under much bigger pressure potentially signalling the end of its bull run phase in Autumn 2025. This is natural tendency to see as ETH always absorbs liquidity from BTC after crypto gold starts to weaken.
Not a financial advice.
FED FUNDS Rate Inflation Adjusted Remains TightFED FUNDS Rate Inflation Adjusted for core inflation remains in the tightening area. As inflation rises over the next few months, thanks to Trump's liberating all Americans with higher taxes and less discretionary income to spend.
I expect this chart to drop as inflation rises and Fed holds rates steady. Alternatively, FED lowers rates bc we will be in a recession, and it is trying to make private money creation cheaper to pump the economy.
Which of the two will occur first, I could not tell you. However, it is important to keep a close eye on this chart in the months ahead.
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Litecoin LTC price analysis📉 For weeks, OKX:LTCUSDT has been holding strong
And guess what — this consolidation has lasted over 3.5 years! 😮
💭 The last real pump was back in early 2021... feels like it’s time for a sequel, right? 😉
Now, here’s the interesting part:
🔹 Litecoin has the same tokenomics and mining method as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and
🔹 Recently, another “old school” coin — CRYPTOCAP:ZEC — just pumped hard 💥
🔹 And there are rumors about a potential LTC ETF 😏
With a current market cap of only $7.7B, there’s plenty of room to grow.
So maybe... just maybe... CRYPTOCAP:LTC at $900 isn’t that crazy after all? 🚀
What do you think — are we on the verge of a new #Litecoin era? 👇
______________
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
XAUUSD UPDATEhi everyone
For this upward movement, the first resistance is at the 3494 level. A breakout at this level would also coincide with a breakout of the trendline. If both the trendline and resistance are broken, the price is likely to move toward the next resistance at 4984. The target price could reach the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
I’m also interested in entering a long position around the 3862 area. However, if the support at 3884 breaks, I will reconsider the setup
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Beta Bionics (BBNX) — Scaling the iLet Bionic PancreasCompany Overview:
Beta Bionics NASDAQ:BBNX leads automated insulin delivery with the iLet Bionic Pancreas, which auto-adjusts dosing and removes manual input—unlocking a large, underpenetrated U.S. diabetes market.
Key Catalysts:
Rapid Adoption: Installed base up +162% to 29,419 users (Q3’25), signaling strong product-market fit.
Beat & Raise: Q3 sales $27.25M (+14% vs. estimates) and FY25 guidance raised to $96.5M—driven by pharmacy-channel expansion and recurring consumables.
Ecosystem Strength: Abbott sensor integration supports seamless data flow and advances fully automated diabetes care.
Durable Model: Hardware + consumables flywheel enhances visibility and margin scalability as the base grows.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $23.00–$23.50
Target: $42.00–$44.00, supported by accelerating user growth, recurring revenue leverage, and ecosystem partnerships.
📌 BBNX — Automating insulin, compounding recurring revenue.
Gold: Bullish Trend, Watch Selling Pressure Near 4200Gold initially tested support around 4096 yesterday and held firm. After rebounding to the 4150 area today, price made a second test of that support. Selling pressure near 4150 has eased significantly after two rounds of digestion. The next key zone to watch is 4185–4221, with particular attention to the 4200 psychological level, where the probability of a short-term pullback increases. As long as the corresponding support zone remains intact, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
From a fundamental perspective, the market’s focus is now on the outcome of the U.S. Congress vote and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
BTC Range Grind: Floors to Harvest, 103.5k Cap__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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Bulls defend a mid-range after a corrective leg, with price trapped under 103,500–105,000 supply and resting atop 101,700–100,400 HTF floors. Momentum is mixed intraday but the higher-timeframe trend still leans up.
Momentum: Slightly bearish intraday within an HTF uptrend; range behavior below 103,500–105,000.
Key levels:
- Resistances (HTF): 103,500 (pivot high); 104,800–105,000 (supply shelf); 106,400–106,900 (upper supply).
- Supports (HTF): 101,700 (1D floor); 100,400 (12H floor); 98,400–99,100 (multi‑TF demand cluster).
Volumes: Mostly normal; occasional moderate spikes on 1H/30m around tests of 101,700 and 103,100–103,600.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H Up; 6H/4H/2H/1H Down. This favors buying confirmed dips into 101,700/100,400 while avoiding chases into 103,500–105,000 unless reclaimed on strength.
Harvest zones: 100,400 (Cluster A) / 98,400–99,100 (Cluster B). These are ideal dip-buy zones for inverse pyramiding with confirmation.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: NEUTRE VENTE (risk-off tilt). It tempers long conviction and asks for confirmation, aligning with the intraday pullback despite the HTF up-bias.
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Trading Playbook
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The dominant structure is a range inside an HTF uptrend; adopt a buy‑the‑dip stance at HTF floors with strict confirmations and reduced size given a risk-off backdrop.
Global bias: Neutral Buy while above 100,400–101,700; key invalidation = sustained 12H close below 100,400.
Opportunities:
- Buy the dip: Confirmed 2H/4H reversal at 101,700 or 100,400 toward 103,500.
- Breakout buy: Reclaim and hold above 103,500 on 1H/2H opens 104,800–105,000.
- Tactical sell: Clean rejection at 103,500–105,000 if 2H/4H trend remains Down and breadth weak.
Risk zones / invalidations: A 12H close below 100,400 would invalidate the dip-bid and expose the 98,400–99,100 cluster; acceptance below 100k risks a deeper slide.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- US government reopening vote may unlock risk appetite short term.
- Fed tone: cuts discussed; reserves near “ample” and QT wind‑down—liquidity supportive but lumpy.
- CPI print can flip the tone and break the 103,500/100,400 range.
Harvest Plan (Inverse Pyramid):
- Palier 1 (12.5%): 100,400 (Cluster A) + reversal ≥2H → entry
- Palier 2 (+12.5%): 96,400–94,400 (-4/-6% below Palier 1) → reinforcement
- TP: 50% at +12–18% from PMP → recycle cash
- Runner: hold if break & hold first R HTF (103,500)
- Invalidation: < HTF Pivot Low 100,400 or 96h no momentum
- Hedge (1x): Short first R HTF (103,500) on rejection + bearish trend → neutralize below R
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
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Across timeframes, HTF structure remains constructive while intraday trends lean lower, creating buy-the-dip opportunities into defined floors.
1D/12H: Uptrend intact; price capped by 103,500–105,000 supply with key demand at 101,700 and 100,400. A daily/12H bullish close off these floors keeps the path open to 103,500 then 104,800–105,000.
6H/4H/2H: Down within range; prefer long confirmations at 101,700/100,400; short bounces only if sell volume expands and 2H/4H momentum stays Down.
1H/30m/15m: Micro down-to-sideways; frequent wicks under 103,100–103,600. Use only as execution layers aligned with HTF signals.
Major confluence: Strong overlap of HTF floors at 100,400–101,700 versus a persistent supply cap at 103,500–105,000; macro risk-off explains the intraday pressure despite HTF Up.
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Macro & On-Chain Drivers
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Macro liquidity is tentatively supportive, but the current risk regime is cautious; together they favor selective dip-buys rather than break-chasing.
Macro events: A potential US government reopening, dovish-leaning Fed messaging (cuts discussed; reserves near “ample”; QT wind‑down), and CPI as a near-term risk event that can swing risk appetite.
Bitcoin analysis: Price hovering above 100k with signs of seller fatigue; a large short-liquidity pocket is noted above, implying squeeze potential if spot bids return and 103,500 is reclaimed.
On-chain data: Stablecoin mints (USDC/PYUSD) point to improving on-chain dollar liquidity; range bias near ~100k with dense supply 106k–118k supports the current capped-range picture.
Expected impact: While HTF structure supports buying confirmed dips, the risk-off regime argues for patience and confirmation; a reclaim of 103,500 could quickly target 104,800–105,000, with squeeze risk if flows improve.
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Key Takeaways
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BTC is in a range beneath 103,500–105,000 while HTF demand at 101,700/100,400 continues to attract bids.
- Trend: Neutral within an HTF uptrend; intraday pressure persists under supply.
- Setup: Primary is a confirmed dip-buy at 101,700 or 100,400, with a secondary breakout buy on strong hold above 103,500.
- Macro: Dovish Fed tone and a potential US reopening help, but CPI and a risk-off regime demand discipline.
Stay patient at floors, avoid chasing into supply, and let confirmation do the heavy lifting—just like timing a boss window in a tough raid.
Gold prices are expected to rise further, and long positions areNews Highlights:
1. The US House of Representatives is about to vote on a funding bill concerning the reopening of the federal government. This indicates that official economic data will resume release, opening a policy window for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields continue to decline, further providing strong support for gold prices.
2. White House officials disclosed on Wednesday that several key economic indicators originally scheduled for release in September by the Bureau of Labor Statistics—including the non-farm payroll report and the Consumer Price Index (CPI)—will be released immediately after the government reopens, attracting significant market attention.
3. It is understood that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is very likely to release the September non-farm payrolls report this Friday, which was previously delayed due to the government shutdown. Since the data was collected before the shutdown and is ready for immediate release, this move may trigger a new round of market volatility.
Gold prices have surged, breaking through the psychological barrier of $4,200, mainly driven by declining US Treasury yields. Despite a recent recovery in market risk appetite, gold prices have rebounded strongly from their low of $3,886 at the end of October, demonstrating remarkable resilience, and there is still ample upward momentum. With the US government showing signs of reopening after a 43-day shutdown, market confidence has significantly recovered. Of particular note is the continued weakening of the US 10-year Treasury yield, creating a long-term positive environment for gold assets.
From a technical perspective, gold's upward trend is robust, with a clear bullish pattern. If prices can effectively hold above the key $4,200-$4,210 area, the probability of reaching new highs is extremely high. My previous emphasis that "$4,200 will be a significant turning point" has now proven true. Even if a slight pullback occurs in the short term, it is a healthy adjustment and does not change the overall upward trend; rather, it provides a rare opportunity for investors who have not yet entered the market to establish positions.
In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to continue adhering to the core idea of buying on dips. For investors who have not yet established positions at lower levels, they can consider entering positions in batches in the $4,180-$4,205 area, using small positions to gradually build up their positions and cope with potential volatility. At the same time, we must be constantly vigilant against sudden market sell-offs, set up reasonable risk controls, and ensure the safety of our funds.
The above is my independent assessment of the current gold price trend. If you do not yet possess systematic market analysis skills or have not yet established a stable trading system, you are welcome to continue to follow my updates. You can leave comments in the comment section, and I will answer your questions as soon as possible. Gold strategies will be continuously tracked; please look forward to the next in-depth analysis.
$ZEC/USDT is heating up again! $ZEC/USDT is heating up again! 🔥 After an explosive rally from $308 to $580, bulls are defending the $490–$450 support zone with strength. If this level continues to hold, momentum could push ZEC toward $720–$900 next.
#ZEC #Zcash #Crypto #Altseason #trump NASDAQ:AIA NYSE:MMT #trb #CryptoMarket
XAUUSD - Buy Zone & Sentiment Check
TRADING IDEA
1. Primary Buy Zone:
· Entry Zone: 4,123.024
· Stop Loss (SL): 4,108
· Rationale: Key support level with a logical stop below the recent swing low.
2. Secondary Buy Zone:
· Entry Zone: 4,018.343
· Stop Loss (SL): 3,987
· Rationale: Deeper support level, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
Can AI See What Bullets Cannot?VisionWave Holdings is transforming from an emerging defense technology provider into a critical AI infrastructure and platform integrator, positioning itself to capitalize on urgent global demand for autonomous military systems. The company's strategic evolution is driven by heightened geopolitical instability in Eastern Europe and the Indo-Pacific, where conflicts, such as the war in Ukraine, have fundamentally shifted battlefield doctrine away from traditional heavy armor toward agile, autonomous platforms. With the military unmanned ground vehicle market projected to reach $2.87 billion by 2030 and a structural shift toward Manned-Unmanned Teaming doctrine adding sustained long-term demand, VisionWave's timing aligns with accelerating procurement cycles across NATO allies.
The company's competitive advantage centers on its Varan UGV platform, which integrates proprietary 4D imaging radar technology and independently actuated suspension to deliver superior mission resilience in extreme environments. Unlike conventional sensors, VisionWave's 4D radar adds elevation data to standard measurements, achieving detection ranges exceeding 300 meters while maintaining reliable operation through fog, rain, and darkness capabilities essential for 24/7 military readiness. This technological foundation is strengthened by the company's partnership with PVML Ltd., which creates a "secure digital backbone" that resolves the critical Security-Speed Paradox by enabling rapid autonomous operations while maintaining strict security protocols through real-time permission enforcement.
VisionWave's recent institutional validation underscores its transition from emerging player to credible defense-AI equity. The company raised $4.64 million through warrant exercises without issuing new equity, demonstrating financial discipline and strong shareholder confidence while minimizing dilution. Strategic appointments of Admiral Eli Marum and Ambassador Ned L. Siegel to its Advisory Board establish crucial operational bridges to complex international defense procurement systems, accelerating the company's path from pilot validations in 2025 to scaled commercialization. Combined with S&P Total Market Index inclusion and a 5/5 technical rating from Nasdaq Dorsey Wright, VisionWave presents a comprehensive value proposition at the intersection of urgent geopolitical demand and next-generation autonomous defense technology.
$GBGDPQQ - U.K GDP Growth Disappoints (Q3/2025)ECONOMICS:GBGDPQQ
Q3/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK economy grew 0.1% in Q3 2025,
easing from 0.3% in Q2 and falling short of market expectations of 0.2%.
Gains in investment, consumption, and net trade were partly offset by falling inventories. Annually, GDP rose 1.3%, slightly below expectations.
Not an uptrend yet for gold (XAUUSD)—just a reboundNot an uptrend yet for gold (XAUUSD)—just a rebound; be careful of a sharp reversal.
Technical Analysis
1. XAUUSD rebounded to the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement around 4240, stalled, and has started to pull back. A bullish divergence between price and RSI has set, indicating the potential of a bearish reversal.
2. If XAUUSD falls below 4140, it would confirm the end of the rebound and could plunge lower to 4030, or even retest the prior low around 3900.
3. However, if the support at 4140 holds, the price may further spike to retest 4270 resistance before choosing the next direction.
Fundamental Analysis
4. US government reopening allows economic data to be released, clarifying the economic outlook, and reduces uncertainty, which may diminish demand for safe-haven assets.
5. However, if upcoming data point to a weaker labor market, expectations for Fed rate cuts would increase and support gold.
6. Meanwhile, CME FedWatch shows the market has trimmed the probability of a 0.25% cut in December to 49.9%, down from 62.9% yesterday. For the first time, markets now assign a slightly higher probability to a hold (50.1%) , which will pressure the gold price once traders internalize this shift.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Shutdown Ended, What Is Next for the US Dollar?US shutdown ended after 43 days and set a new record. During the shutdown, a lot of economic data could not be released, and the lack of government spending caused a limited liquidity shortage. Now that the shutdown has ended, what is next for the US dollar?
US economy is expected to be hit by the shutdown in the fourth quarter. The impact is estimated to be around 1.5 percent on an already weakening economy. Over the last 25 years, annualized quarterly GDP growth has averaged 2.3 percent. Since 2021, US GDP rose above this average on a yearly basis. GDP was 2.8 percent in 2024, and this year it is expected to fall to 1.9 percent, below the long-term average, and it could drop further because of the shutdown. Growth in 2026 is also expected to be weak, with a forecast of only 1.8 percent.
While GDP is weakening, inflation forecasts still point to a near 3 percent pace, which is somewhat high in our view. This will keep the FED busy. Inflation implies a weaker currency unless supported by high rates. The FED has a dual mandate and cannot overlook the weakening GDP and softening labor market, so despite elevated inflation risks, rate cuts will continue. This will put ongoing pressure on the dollar, at least first half of 2026.
Dollar performance cannot be assessed without considering the euro, since 57.6 percent of the dollar index is tied to it. The eurozone is also expected to stay below its 25-year average growth rate of 1.32 percent. A 1.10 percent GDP rate with inflation below 2 percent is acceptable for the ECB. While the FED will be cutting rates, the ECB will likely hold, as Lagarde said in the latest press conference: “We are in a magnificent place.”
For the short term, the dollar is about to break its trend channel to the downside. Economic data from the US is expected to come in very weak. With expectations of weak data and easing liquidity problems, short-term downward pressure could push the index to 98.55 first. Below that initial support, the selloff could deepen. However, the long-term trend from 2011 is still holding(white trend).
Gold the KING has woken up and will continue its ascentGold has been respecting every major technical milestone like a disciplined soldier—rounding bottom, W formation and/or Cup and Handle, breakout retest, and now a massive Cup and Handle forming at the top of an already powerful uptrend.
Price is sitting comfortably above the 20- and 200-day moving averages, momentum is strong, and the chart is screaming one thing:
Gold wants $5,074.
This isn’t a small move.
This is the type of move that reminds the world why Gold is called the safe-haven king. And Silver will be its Queen (I believe)
Why Gold Is About to Rally Harder Than Ever 🚀🌕
🔥 1. The Cup and Handle is forming at all-time highs
This is the most bullish location a Cup and Handle can form. Breakouts from highs often become explosive because there’s no resistance above — only sky.
🌍 2. Global uncertainty = Gold’s favourite playground
Whether it’s geopolitical tensions, elections, or economic wobbling, whenever the world gets shaky, investors sprint back to the yellow metal. Fear fuels demand, and demand fuels breakouts.
💵 3. Rate cuts are coming — and Gold LOVES falling yields
Lower interest rates mean cheaper money and weaker dollar momentum. When real yields drop, gold historically surges. It’s the perfect macro cocktail for a major rally.
🏦 4. Central banks are buying gold like it’s going out of fashion
Record-breaking central bank accumulation (especially from emerging markets) keeps the long-term bullish pressure roaring. When the biggest players are loading up, you don’t fight the flow.
⚡ 5. Liquidity is returning to commodities
As equities stabilize and inflation normalizes, institutions start rotating back into hard assets. Gold is always at the front of that rotation cycle.
Put it all together… and the chart speaks for itself:
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















