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BTC at Risk: Structure Break + RSI Warning$BTC/USDT is showing some concern on the monthly chart as price has broken below the rising wedge and is now retesting a major demand zone. Losing this zone could trigger a deeper correction. At the same time, RSI is showing a clear multi-year bearish divergence, highlighting weakening momentum. Until BTC reclaims the wedge support or closes back above the resistance band, downside risk remains elevated. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Short
by unichartz
6
CHFPLN preparing a move or just testing everyone patienceCHFPLN continues to trade inside a developing upward structure after breaking out of a wide descending channel. The current pullback has brought the pair into the demand zone between 4.48 and 4.44 which aligns with the Fibonacci correction range at 0.5 and 0.618. Weekly oscillator divergence signals active buyers defending the lower boundary of the structure. The horizontal level at 4.50 also acts as support increasing the probability of a local reversal. As long as price holds above 4.44 the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. The main target is located near 4.86 which corresponds to the key resistance of the previous pivot. A breakdown of 4.44 may trigger a deeper correction however current price behavior and buyer reaction still favor a recovery. The market may pretend nothing is happening yet demand zones rarely forget what they are designed to do.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
GBPUSD – Institutional Sell Setup | Multi-TF Supply Confluence GBPUSD is approaching a high-timeframe supply zone, aligning with both fundamental headwinds and a clean technical distribution structure. This presents a high-quality 5.06R bearish swing setup, supported by imbalance fill, liquidity sweep, and multi-month supply alignment. FUNDAMENTAL ALIGNMENT (Why GBP Should Weaken) 1. Diverging Monetary Policy The Bank of England faces slowing growth and softer inflationary pressure. The Federal Reserve remains comparatively restrictive, maintaining tighter policy expectations. This divergence supports USD strength and GBP weakness. 2. UK Growth Momentum Slowing Recent UK macro data reflects weakening consumer demand and slower business investment. Markets are pricing in potential BoE easing earlier than expected → bearish GBP. 3. Risk Sentiment Favours USD In periods of market uncertainty, capital typically flows into USD as a safe haven. This adds further downside pressure on GBPUSD. ➡ Overall Macro Bias: Bearish GBPUSD TECHNICAL ALIGNMENT (Why This Chart Is Bearish) 1. Higher-Timeframe Supply Zone (3M + Daily Confluence) Price previously reacted strongly from the 3-Month supply zone, rejecting the 1.37 region with aggressive selling. The current rally is a return-to-origin (RTO) into that same supply area. 2. Liquidity Sweep + Break of Structure The previous swing high was swept, collecting buy-side liquidity. Price then broke down, confirming major bearish structure. This shift signals institutional distribution. 3. Clear Imbalance (IMB) Fill Target Price is retracing toward a Daily imbalance before continuing the downward leg. This creates a precise entry window within supply. 4. Trendline Manipulation The ascending trendline was broken aggressively, and price is now forming a corrective pullback—classic institutional pattern before continuation. 5. High-Probability Entry The entry aligns with: ✔ A retest of Daily supply ✔ IMB mitigation ✔ Liquidity sweep ✔ Bearish orderflow ✔ Trend continuation structure Risk-to-Reward: 5.06R, offering strong asymmetric payoff. TRADE PLAN Bias: Short (Sell) Entry: Daily Supply Zone (around 1.36–1.37) Stop-Loss: Above recent swing high Target: Revisit lower structure around 1.30 and below R:R: ≈ 5.06R TRADE MANAGEMENT PLAN (Institutional Framework) 1. Position Sizing & Risk Risk 0.5%–1% per position (institutional-grade sizing). If volatility expands near entry, reduce size proportionally. No additional scaling until price confirms bearish intent. 2. Entry Execution ✔ Primary Entry: Execute shorts inside the Daily Supply Zone (1.36–1.37), ideally at the mitigation of imbalance. ✔ Alternative Entry (Confirmation-Based): If price shows: rejection wicks displacement to downside BOS (Break of Structure) on LTF then enter on the first pullback. This allows flexibility while protecting against premature entries. 3. Stop-Loss Management Initial SL remains above the liquidity sweep / swing high that anchored the distribution (structural invalidation). Do not tighten SL before price confirms a macro shift, to avoid knockouts during liquidity grabs. 4. Scaling Strategy No scale-in inside the supply zone (high manipulation area). Scale-in only after confirmation, such as: Clear bearish displacement Lower timeframe BOS Retest of broken structure This maintains institutional discipline and preserves risk integrity. 5. Profit Taking Strategy Use a systematic approach: TP1 – Partial at 1R Lock in early profit Move SL to breakeven only after a clean break of structure (to avoid stop hunts) TP2 – Major Target at the IMB Fill / Mid-Structure Area Partial profit where price may temporarily react Maintain runner for full swing move TP3 – Final Target at 1.30 (Swing Objective) This is the full 5.06R target Exit remaining position here Structure completes the macro bearish leg 6. Monitoring & Adjustment Track key things: A. Fundamentals BoE statements Fed policy tone UK inflation and employment releases If fundamentals shift toward GBP strength, consider tightening risk. B. Price Behaviour If price reclaims the supply zone and holds above structure → invalidate trade If price consolidates under supply with weak bullish reaction → confirmation of bearish intent 7. Invalidation Criteria (Hard Exit) Close the trade entirely if: Daily closes above the supply zone Structure forms a higher-high and invalidates the distribution USD loses strength due to major macro shift (e.g., unexpected Fed easing) No hesitation—professional traders exit mechanically based on rules. 8. Psychological Management Expect volatility inside supply zones Avoid emotional management (e.g., moving SL impulsively) Follow your plan: execution > prediction Focus on process, not outcome 9. Post-Trade Review After completion of the 5.06R idea: Archive chart Record execution quality Review entry precision, SL placement, and emotional discipline Optimize model for future setups Institutional traders always debrief. Final Notes This trade idea is built on multi-timeframe confluence, institutional orderflow, and macro alignment. The setup remains valid as long as price stays below the Daily/3M supply structure and bearish orderflow persists.
Short
by alenrayen
AUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in playAUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in play A clean Elliott Wave reaction once again. Following the previous update, price extended lower to 0.90565, completing the blue wave 5, thereby finishing white wave C of yellow wave Y, and simultaneously confirming the completion of the red wave 2 corrective structure. From the 0.90565 low, the market has rallied strongly into yellow wave 1 of red wave 3. Within this advance, the internal structure of yellow wave 1 is unfolding as a clear five-wave impulsive sequence in white, and price is currently progressing through white wave 5. Price may push slightly higher to finalize this five-wave structure of yellow wave 1 before entering a corrective pullback as yellow wave 2. Primary Plan Wait for yellow wave 2 to complete, then look for long opportunities aligned with the powerful yellow wave 3 of red wave 3. Invalidation A break below 0.90565 would invalidate the count and require reassessment.
Long
by TDVPRE2425
BTC.D Pullback Could Open Doors for AltsBTC dominance has broken below its long-term trendline and is currently holding near the 58–59% support zone, but momentum still appears weak. The key resistance area sits between 61% and 62.5%, and any retest of this zone may struggle to break higher, especially with its alignment to major Fibonacci levels. If BTC dominance fails to reclaim this zone with strength, the broader structure points toward continued downside, potentially targeting the 57% level and possibly lower if that support breaks. A continued decline in dominance would generally favor altcoins, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation before making any decisions. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by unichartz
3
STRK Finally Escapes the RangeNASDAQ:STRK has finally broken out of its long consolidation zone and pushed above the descending trendline—something the chart hasn’t managed to do for months. This breakout shows a clear shift in momentum, with buyers stepping in strongly. As long as price holds above this zone, STRK could be gearing up for a continuation move to the upside. The structure looks healthier now, and the breakout suggests the trend may be turning in favor of the bulls. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Long
by unichartz
1
If USDT.D Breaks 6.2%, Say Goodbye to AltsUSDT.D is now heading toward a key resistance zone. Until it reaches that level, altcoins could continue to face selling pressure. If USDT.D breaks and holds above the marked zone, it could signal the start of a broader bearish phase for the market. However, historically, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone, so a pullback from around 6.2% could once again bring relief for altcoins. Keep a close eye on how dominance reacts here, the next move could decide the short-term trend for the entire market. DYOR, NFA
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by unichartz