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Gold needs a correction after the ATH!Greetings! If you see me at the charts, it means a fresh dose of solid analysis is coming. Today my focus is on XAUUSD. Yesterday we updated the ATH at 4642. Congrats to all holders and bullish traders. 🔥 This move happened amid global uncertainty. Greenland, Cuba, Iran, Trump is actively talking about all of this after what happened in Venezuela. Because of that, investors are rushing into safe-haven assets to protect capital from a potential crisis. And gold is the #1 safe-haven asset of all time. Now to the chart: The local uptrend started with Wyckoff accumulation. After that, at the top of the channel, price went sideways and formed a Wyckoff distribution. For those who don’t know: Accumulation → potential reversal up Distribution → potential reversal down At the highs, smart money distributes, so I’m expecting the start of a correction (for now, local). There are 2 key zones where we could potentially see a reversal. Profits to everyone! 💰 Follow for more 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Finance_Lozha
Dollar is strengthening against euro Hello! This is your finance professional speaking. Today we will look at one of the most important currency pairs in the global economy - EUR/USD. Let’s start with fundamental analysis. The EUR/USD pair reflects the ratio of the euro to the US dollar and reacts sensitively to central bank decisions, macroeconomic statistics, and overall risk appetite in global markets. Two institutions play a key role here - the European Central Bank (ECB) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). Now let’s break down the key indicators and see how they influence the EUR/USD exchange rate. 1. Interest rates of the ECB and the Fed This is the main driver of the pair’s movement. When rates in the U.S. are higher, the dollar becomes more attractive to investors and EUR/USD usually declines. If ECB policy is tighter or rates in the eurozone are relatively higher, the euro receives support. 2. Inflation Rising inflation forces central banks to tighten monetary policy. High inflation in the U.S. increases the likelihood of Fed rate hikes and supports the dollar. Rising inflation in the eurozone strengthens expectations of tightening from the ECB and supports the euro. 3. Labor market Strong U.S. employment data (NFP, unemployment) strengthens the dollar and raises expectations of higher interest rates. A weakening labor market, on the other hand, puts pressure on the dollar. The same logic applies to the eurozone. 4. Economic growth (GDP) Higher growth makes a country’s assets more attractive. Strong U.S. economic growth supports the dollar; strong eurozone growth supports the euro. 5. Market risk sentiment In periods of uncertainty, investors move into safe-haven assets. The dollar traditionally plays the role of a "safe haven", so when global risks increase, the EUR/USD pair often declines. Now let's move on to technical analysis. 1)EUR/USD has formed 5 Elliott waves up, indicating a potential trend completion. 2)At the end of the trend, a Wyckoff distribution structure has formed, signaling selling activity. 3)The reverse USDEUR chart shows that the dollar is being bought. DXY is also an important indicator. In the attached screenshot, you can see that the dollar index is currently strengthening, and if it continues to rise, all dollar-denominated assets may undergo a correction. Overall, that’s the situation! Write in the comments what you think
Short
by Finance_Lozha
EURJPY smart money is here!Hi! A financier is at the screens - today I’ll show you the trade I entered. In front of us is the EURJPY chart. First, it’s worth noting that the inverse chart JPYEUR looks very weak. This tells us that the euro is indeed stronger now, and we may see growth. Second, in mid-December we had a similar structure. I’ve highlighted these structures with a blue rectangle. Inside these rectangles, an accumulation schematic based on Wyckoff formed. This suggests that we have potential for a reversal and solid upside. It’s also worth noting that the structures are similar to each other and exhibit fractality. So overall, I opened a long position, aiming to trade it up to the high where we have a liquidity shelf.
Long
by Finance_Lozha
AUDCAD going long!Hello! This is your finance professional, and here is a new high-quality analysis. Today we will review the AUDCAD currency pair. On the chart, we can see that after a strong impulse the price went into a correction. The decline did not follow a usual structure but formed a wedge pattern. A wedge pattern is a reversal structure. That is exactly what happened — the price reversed and we saw the continuation of the uptrend. Right now, I have taken a long position according to my trend-following strategy and set the target at the asset’s high.
Long
by Finance_Lozha
The trend is your friendHello everyone. I’m a financier and this is educational post that might help you get closer to consistent profitability (if you actually get the point). Today I want to talk about trend trading. Yes - that very “best friend of a trader” that every book and every course keeps repeating. And after years in the market I can say: it’s not just a cliché - it really works. I’ve been through plenty of strategies: classic TA, Elliott Waves, Smart Money Concepts, Williams’ trading chaos - you name it. I’ve traded with the trend, against it, and inside ranges. Honestly, the results were average. My monthly win rate was about 30–40%. Not terrible, but I wanted fewer mistakes and more stability. Eventually I set one hard rule for myself: 👉 I only trade in the direction of the trend. And statistically, that mostly means trading the uptrend. Here’s the logic. Any asset can drop around 99.99% - the downside is capped. But to the upside there is no limit. An asset can grow 2x, 5x, 10x and more. So statistically, longs are more favorable. I still take shorts when the market structure is bearish, but lately most assets are trending up. So what’s the real advantage of trading with the trend? The market has its own momentum. It’s simply easier to move with that flow than to fight it. I stopped trying to outsmart the market or predict every reversal. I don’t obsess over overbought/oversold signals. I just wait for my setup - the same repeatable scenario - and I trade it in the direction of the trend. I’m a boring trader - and that’s exactly why I’m a profitable trader. On social platforms my job is to share analysis and possible scenarios. But trading itself is different: the goal is not to predict, the goal is to execute. If the setup plays out - great. If not -no problem, I wait for the next one. I’m no longer a hostage to my own forecasts, which only kill objectivity. Trend filters out a huge number of bad trades. It instantly removes about half of all random entries. After I really internalized that, my win rate improved, my psychology inside trades got much cleaner, less FOMO, less second-guessing. I stopped guessing - and started systematically executing. So my takeaway for today: 👉 Trend really is your friend. Try focusing only on trend trading and then tell me in the comments how it changed your results and mindset.
FX:XAGUSDEducation
by Finance_Lozha
Altcoin Market Cap Building Energy Before Next ExpansionThe total crypto market cap excluding the top 10 continues to follow a familiar cycle of accumulation, breakout, expansion, and consolidation. After strong moves, the market typically ranges for a period before the next leg. Currently, it is consolidating within a wide range, similar to past phases before major expansions. This suggests the market is building energy, not distributing. A breakout above the range could trigger the next expansion phase for altcoins, while patience is needed until that happens. NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by unichartz
1
BTC at Risk: Structure Break + RSI Warning$BTC/USDT is showing some concern on the monthly chart as price has broken below the rising wedge and is now retesting a major demand zone. Losing this zone could trigger a deeper correction. At the same time, RSI is showing a clear multi-year bearish divergence, highlighting weakening momentum. Until BTC reclaims the wedge support or closes back above the resistance band, downside risk remains elevated. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Short
by unichartz
6
CHFPLN preparing a move or just testing everyone patienceCHFPLN continues to trade inside a developing upward structure after breaking out of a wide descending channel. The current pullback has brought the pair into the demand zone between 4.48 and 4.44 which aligns with the Fibonacci correction range at 0.5 and 0.618. Weekly oscillator divergence signals active buyers defending the lower boundary of the structure. The horizontal level at 4.50 also acts as support increasing the probability of a local reversal. As long as price holds above 4.44 the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. The main target is located near 4.86 which corresponds to the key resistance of the previous pivot. A breakdown of 4.44 may trigger a deeper correction however current price behavior and buyer reaction still favor a recovery. The market may pretend nothing is happening yet demand zones rarely forget what they are designed to do.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
GBPUSD – Institutional Sell Setup | Multi-TF Supply Confluence GBPUSD is approaching a high-timeframe supply zone, aligning with both fundamental headwinds and a clean technical distribution structure. This presents a high-quality 5.06R bearish swing setup, supported by imbalance fill, liquidity sweep, and multi-month supply alignment. FUNDAMENTAL ALIGNMENT (Why GBP Should Weaken) 1. Diverging Monetary Policy The Bank of England faces slowing growth and softer inflationary pressure. The Federal Reserve remains comparatively restrictive, maintaining tighter policy expectations. This divergence supports USD strength and GBP weakness. 2. UK Growth Momentum Slowing Recent UK macro data reflects weakening consumer demand and slower business investment. Markets are pricing in potential BoE easing earlier than expected → bearish GBP. 3. Risk Sentiment Favours USD In periods of market uncertainty, capital typically flows into USD as a safe haven. This adds further downside pressure on GBPUSD. ➡ Overall Macro Bias: Bearish GBPUSD TECHNICAL ALIGNMENT (Why This Chart Is Bearish) 1. Higher-Timeframe Supply Zone (3M + Daily Confluence) Price previously reacted strongly from the 3-Month supply zone, rejecting the 1.37 region with aggressive selling. The current rally is a return-to-origin (RTO) into that same supply area. 2. Liquidity Sweep + Break of Structure The previous swing high was swept, collecting buy-side liquidity. Price then broke down, confirming major bearish structure. This shift signals institutional distribution. 3. Clear Imbalance (IMB) Fill Target Price is retracing toward a Daily imbalance before continuing the downward leg. This creates a precise entry window within supply. 4. Trendline Manipulation The ascending trendline was broken aggressively, and price is now forming a corrective pullback—classic institutional pattern before continuation. 5. High-Probability Entry The entry aligns with: ✔ A retest of Daily supply ✔ IMB mitigation ✔ Liquidity sweep ✔ Bearish orderflow ✔ Trend continuation structure Risk-to-Reward: 5.06R, offering strong asymmetric payoff. TRADE PLAN Bias: Short (Sell) Entry: Daily Supply Zone (around 1.36–1.37) Stop-Loss: Above recent swing high Target: Revisit lower structure around 1.30 and below R:R: ≈ 5.06R TRADE MANAGEMENT PLAN (Institutional Framework) 1. Position Sizing & Risk Risk 0.5%–1% per position (institutional-grade sizing). If volatility expands near entry, reduce size proportionally. No additional scaling until price confirms bearish intent. 2. Entry Execution ✔ Primary Entry: Execute shorts inside the Daily Supply Zone (1.36–1.37), ideally at the mitigation of imbalance. ✔ Alternative Entry (Confirmation-Based): If price shows: rejection wicks displacement to downside BOS (Break of Structure) on LTF then enter on the first pullback. This allows flexibility while protecting against premature entries. 3. Stop-Loss Management Initial SL remains above the liquidity sweep / swing high that anchored the distribution (structural invalidation). Do not tighten SL before price confirms a macro shift, to avoid knockouts during liquidity grabs. 4. Scaling Strategy No scale-in inside the supply zone (high manipulation area). Scale-in only after confirmation, such as: Clear bearish displacement Lower timeframe BOS Retest of broken structure This maintains institutional discipline and preserves risk integrity. 5. Profit Taking Strategy Use a systematic approach: TP1 – Partial at 1R Lock in early profit Move SL to breakeven only after a clean break of structure (to avoid stop hunts) TP2 – Major Target at the IMB Fill / Mid-Structure Area Partial profit where price may temporarily react Maintain runner for full swing move TP3 – Final Target at 1.30 (Swing Objective) This is the full 5.06R target Exit remaining position here Structure completes the macro bearish leg 6. Monitoring & Adjustment Track key things: A. Fundamentals BoE statements Fed policy tone UK inflation and employment releases If fundamentals shift toward GBP strength, consider tightening risk. B. Price Behaviour If price reclaims the supply zone and holds above structure → invalidate trade If price consolidates under supply with weak bullish reaction → confirmation of bearish intent 7. Invalidation Criteria (Hard Exit) Close the trade entirely if: Daily closes above the supply zone Structure forms a higher-high and invalidates the distribution USD loses strength due to major macro shift (e.g., unexpected Fed easing) No hesitation—professional traders exit mechanically based on rules. 8. Psychological Management Expect volatility inside supply zones Avoid emotional management (e.g., moving SL impulsively) Follow your plan: execution > prediction Focus on process, not outcome 9. Post-Trade Review After completion of the 5.06R idea: Archive chart Record execution quality Review entry precision, SL placement, and emotional discipline Optimize model for future setups Institutional traders always debrief. Final Notes This trade idea is built on multi-timeframe confluence, institutional orderflow, and macro alignment. The setup remains valid as long as price stays below the Daily/3M supply structure and bearish orderflow persists.
Short
by alenrayen
AUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in playAUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in play A clean Elliott Wave reaction once again. Following the previous update, price extended lower to 0.90565, completing the blue wave 5, thereby finishing white wave C of yellow wave Y, and simultaneously confirming the completion of the red wave 2 corrective structure. From the 0.90565 low, the market has rallied strongly into yellow wave 1 of red wave 3. Within this advance, the internal structure of yellow wave 1 is unfolding as a clear five-wave impulsive sequence in white, and price is currently progressing through white wave 5. Price may push slightly higher to finalize this five-wave structure of yellow wave 1 before entering a corrective pullback as yellow wave 2. Primary Plan Wait for yellow wave 2 to complete, then look for long opportunities aligned with the powerful yellow wave 3 of red wave 3. Invalidation A break below 0.90565 would invalidate the count and require reassessment.
Long
by TDVPRE2425
BTC.D Pullback Could Open Doors for AltsBTC dominance has broken below its long-term trendline and is currently holding near the 58–59% support zone, but momentum still appears weak. The key resistance area sits between 61% and 62.5%, and any retest of this zone may struggle to break higher, especially with its alignment to major Fibonacci levels. If BTC dominance fails to reclaim this zone with strength, the broader structure points toward continued downside, potentially targeting the 57% level and possibly lower if that support breaks. A continued decline in dominance would generally favor altcoins, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation before making any decisions. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by unichartz
3