EURGBP tests 0.88 as UK Budget crisis deepens: Where next?The dollar crushed all majors yesterday, but EURGBP tells a different story. The euro is surging against the pound as UK fiscal chaos and bets on a BOE rate cut accelerate. With an ascending triangle breakout confirmed, traders are targeting 0.89 and the psychological 0.90 handle.
The Office for Budget Responsibility just revealed a £20 billion fiscal hole, forcing Chancellor Reeves to make tough choices in November's budget. Meanwhile, markets price 68% odds of a December BOE rate cut as inflation cools—two mega catalysts for GBP weakness.
Key drivers
UK fiscal crisis: £20 billion productivity forecast slash ahead of November 26 budget forces austerity measures, crushing pound confidence
BOE rate cuts priced In: 68% December cut odds versus 30% November (food prices down 0.4% month-on-month, retail deflation for first time since March)
Technical breakout: Ascending triangle break above 0.8800 opens clean path to 0.89 and 0.90; golden 61.8% Fibonacci sits at 0.8872 as magnet level
Wedge pattern risk: Multiple Fibonacci clusters (0.89, 0.8876, 0.90) confirm upside targets, but final wave of rising wedge warns of sharp retracement after targets hit
How to trade EURGBP?
Long above 0.8775, target 0.8872 (golden Fib magnet) then 0.89-0.90. Stop below 0.8750. Watch BOE communications and November 26 budget details for confirmation. UK in crisis mode—don't fade the breakdown.
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Goldenratio
$111,661 and 25 cents: BTC Genesis fib to say "its Ova" or notShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The Genesis Sequence has called all of the major turns since 2015.
These are "very high gravity" objects that tend to capture into orbit.
$ 111,661.25 is a "minor" ratio between semi-majors.
$ 105,451.85 Is a "semi-major" and possible bottom
$ 117,868.00 is a semi-major above for next target if bull.
Bottom line:
Rejection here could add to the "its over" narrative.
Break-n-Hold of this fib would help dispel that idea.
We expect a few "orbits" here then escape upwards.
See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT calls such as our recent TOP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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EME heads up at $800 then 838: Double Golden fibs to make a TOP?EME has been flying high on AI infrastructure spending.
It is about to hit Dual Golden fibs at $800.61 then 838.71
Look for a stall of the uptrend or a retrace from these fibs.
See "Related Publications" for other examples of Golden fibs in action ------>>>>>
Pour Yourself A "Cup" of Cola, Grab A Share of KONYSE:KO has made a 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the Low @ $60.62 to the High @ $74.38 and begun to form what looks to be a Cup and Handle Pattern!!
On Wednesday, Price on NYSE:KO managed to Confirm the Pattern by reaching the Equal High of $71.61, completing the "Cup".
Now based on the Cup and Handle Pattern, we want to see Price make a Retracement to form the "Handle" of the Pattern and currently Price on NYSE:KO is falling. We can expect Price will Close the Gap from Last Week and find Support at the 50% Fibonacci Level @ $68.48.
Once the Retracement is successful, we should see Price move up to Complete the "Handle" and Pattern altogether!
Fundamentally, NYSE:KO CFO, John Murphy, plans to make changes to products with affordability in todays economy in mind for both High and Low income earners.
www.tradingview.com
NYSE:KO also posted greater than forecasted Earnings for Q3 this year!
www.tradingview.com
If Technicals and Fundamentals can align, NYSE:KO may be a great company to get stock in soon!
A better alternative to Fibonacci grid🙏🏻 Fibonacci based grid is a great inspiration from the Universe, but imo ain’t the final product, and here it is:
For traders
Use these values above and put em into grid tool here, and you’ll end up with uniform distribution based grid:
1.6134612334371357
1.0196152422706632
0.7886751345948129
0.5
0.21132486540518708
-0.019615242270663247
-0.6134612334371357
Then about how to apply it, you can divide trading activity by analytical units, these are in turn are based on:
^^ by price
^^ by time
^^ by signed volume waves/volume delta
Explanation
If you’ve followed my latest work you know I’ve identified a way to combine higher order moments to construct natural data driven estimates of data’s extremums and “ever possible” values (I still got no idea how no1 Ever posted it anywhere over the last centuries).
Now imagine you got only 2 input values: actual max and min (just like in Fibo grid, it ain’t knows nothing else). Given only these 2 values we can model stuff with uniform distribution that has precisely known values of standardized moments, so we end up with (and remember that uniform distro is symmetric around its mid, so all odd moments are zero):
dev = 1 / math.sqrt(12) //standard deviation
kurt = 1.8 //kurtosis (not excess ofc, the raw one)
hkurt = 27 / 7 //hyperkurtosis, 6th moment, raw af as well
0.5 + dev * hkurt
0.5 + dev * kurt
0.5 + dev
0.5
0.5 - dev
0.5 - dev * kurt
0.5 - dev * hkurt
And the resulting output of it u seen at the beginning of the post, notice how the edges *almost* match your lovely golden ratio.
For wanderers:
Now for the wanderers, creators etc etc etc
We might have a new math constant in our hands.
This can’t be a coincidence that limit levels (the ones at the edges) almost match the golden ratio . What if we find some kind of ‘almost’ uniform distro, where the limit levels would ‘exactly’ match the golden ratio? No problem - Beta distribution with parameters alpha = beta = (smth just a bit greater than 1).
I solved it numerically in python with mpmath library (necessary for high precision stuff, default packages are gonna truncate too much and we work with gamma functions there, high powers, huge numbers).
The following constant used as both parameters for Beta distribution provides us an almost uniform beautiful distro, with a minimal necessary deviation from uniform distro if u pls, just with a lil bit gently smoothed corners, and all connected to fibonacci sequence and golden ratio:
1.013156499304251804283836146883597463164059088989506487984660881392552993230097518061037104047261922219476043198153474114525730243848097530913517155085537693517359999905511951459927003624291626547046737804828112785002512650…
… and it goes on and on. I called it Sagitta constant, because visually it creates that beautiful almost flat shape, the minimal natural curvature. And now if we put this as c in Beta(c, c) following the same levels construction method from before we get these levels:
std = 0.28741741
K = 1.80628205
Hk = 3.88993123
0.5 + std * hk = 1.61803398
0.5 + std * k = 1.01915692
0.5 + std = 0.78741741
0.5 = 0.5
0.5 - std = 0.21258258
0.5 - std * k = -0.01915692
0.5 - std * hk = -0.61803398
Visuals, plots, graphics
^^ here you can see how our resulting distro & derivatives look like, kinda cute aye?
Beta(c, c), where c is our constant Sagitta, actually might be a natural prior for Bayesian stuff, almost a boxcar windowing function for DSP so u gonna tame that famous spectral leakage, or a kernel for KDE, like u name it, every case when u need a uniform shape yet with slightly relaxed endpoints, you can use it in design and architecture.
Go for it bros, test it in your R&D. Maybe some1 gonna use it to prove Riemann assumption conjecture , if u get dat milli send me 25% ima find a good use for it.
∞
LRCX heads up at $162.99: Golden Genesis fib should give a DIP This is a followup to my previous long call below.
LRCX got a boost from the last Earnings report.
It has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $162.99
Look for a Break-n-Retest or a Dip-to-Fib to buy.
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Last Plot that gave a PERFECT LONG:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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LRCX heads up at $115: Minor but Notable resistance to the SurgeLRCX surged into a minor but significant resistance
Combination of Genesis+Covid fibs at $115.46-115.86
Expecting a pullback from here, or orbit then drop.
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Previous analysis that caught the PERFECT BreakOut:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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CRWV eyes on $134.74: proven Golden Genesis fib the KEY supportCRWV recovery wave is at a very important stage.
Now trying to launch from Golden Genesis at $134.74
Looking for a new ATH from here, stop loss just below.
.
See "Related Publications" for previous plots such this EXACT BOTTOM call:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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XAU.usd watch $4313-39: Gold about to hit Double Golden fibsGold continues its relentless climb into new highs.
Nearing Double Golden fibs at $4313.98 - 4339.07
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest entries.
IF there is a top anywhere near here,
then THIS will be the ideal spot for it.
.
See "Related Pubications" for previous plots such as this PERFECT DIP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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CIEN heads up at $138-140: Major Resistance should give a DIP CIEN has been flying high especially after earnings.
It has just hit a major resistance zone $138.17-140.08
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib from here to look for longs again.
.
Previous Analysis that caught the $72 BOTTOM:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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ETSY eyes on $73.37.48: Double Fib high support for Next LegESTY trying to paint a long term bottom with a strong push.
Currently orbiting a key Double Fib zone at $73.37-73.48
Look for a Break-n-Retest or Dip-to-Fib at $71.06 for entries.
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See "Related Publications" for previous plots of this struggle to bottom out.
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NVDA watch $183-195: Double Golden fib zone trying to TOP itNVDA was flying hard and strong UNTIL recently.
It smacked into DUAL Golden fibs at $183.72 and 195.01
Thus a "high gravity" zone that was likely to capture price.
IF there is to be TOP anywhere near here, then THIS is it.
If NOT, then it will be a key CheckPoint before continuation.
Looking for a few orbits or consolidation within before escape.
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See "Related Publications" for other Golden Fib reactions.
NBIS eyes on $112.91: proven Golden Genesis to Break or KillNBIS trying to recover from the retreat of high flyers.
Currently testing a proven Golden Genesis fib at $112.91
The whole world is keenly aware of this level so watch closely.
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See "Related Publications" for other Golden fib reactions, such as META top:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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XLE eyes on $89.56: Golden Genesis fib forming the TOP or BREAKXLE along with Oil prices is trying to resume uptrend.
Currently testing a well proven Golden Genesis at $89.56
Look for a Break-n-Retest for longs or rejecting for shorts.
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See "Related Publications" for other plots around Golden fibs.
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AA heads up at $41: Major Resistance may HALT the earnings SURGEAA got a nice surge from their earnings report.
Just hit a major resistance zone $41.30-41.63
Look for a Dip-to-Fib or Break-n-Retest to join.
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See "Related Publications" of previous plots such as this PERFECT RoadMap:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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