XAUUSD Bullish Channel, High Probability Continuation SetupGold (XAUUSD) continues to respect a well-defined ascending channel structure on the 1H timeframe, indicating controlled bullish momentum.
After a strong impulsive move higher, price is now pulling back into a key demand zone aligned with channel support, a confluence area that has historically produced higher lows.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is trending within a clean bullish channel
Multiple touchpoints confirming structure validity
Current retracement into demand zone + trendline support
Market maintaining higher highs and higher lows (HH/HL)
📈 Trade Idea (Scenario-Based):
Bullish Bias (Primary):
Entry: Reaction from highlighted demand zone
Confirmation: Rejection / bullish structure on lower timeframe
Target: Upper channel resistance
RR: ~1:2+ setup
Invalidation:
Clean break below channel support = structure failure
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Your edge is not just the setup, it’s how you manage risk.
Structure + discipline = consistency.
💡 Summary:
This is a structure-based continuation trade, not a prediction.
We are reacting to price within a defined framework — letting the market confirm.
Goldtrade
Gold Ready to Bounce? Key Support in PlayPrice is reacting at strong support + trendline confluence.
If this level holds, expecting bullish move towards daily FVG 📈
Alternative 1:
Strong support tapped with trendline confluence.
Looking for upside continuation if level holds 🚀
Alternative 2 (very simple):
Key support area holding.
Targeting higher prices towards imbalance above.
Alternative 3 (viral touch):
This zone is crucial 👀
Hold = bullish move to FVG 🚀
Break = setup invalid ❌
this is no financial advice
Gold Rebounds – May Retest the 4,600 Resistance Zone📊 Market developments:
Gold prices are currently trading around 4,559 USD/ounce, recovering after dropping more than 10% last week due to heavy selling pressure and expectations of higher interest rates.
At present, short-term buying demand has emerged as prices entered an oversold technical zone, helping gold rebound; however, the overall trend remains highly volatile.
📉 Technical analysis:
• Key resistance:
• 4,600 – 4,620
• 4,680 – 4,700
• Nearest support:
• 4,500 – 4,520
• 4,430 – 4,450
• EMA: Price is currently above EMA 09 → indicating a short-term technical recovery trend.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum:
• Consecutive bullish candles appeared after the sharp decline → sign of a technical pullback
• Volume increased when price rebounded from the 4,450 zone → showing defensive buying demand
• Momentum is still not fully strong → risk of selling pressure returning near resistance
📌 Outlook:
Gold may rise to retest the 4,600 – 4,620 zone in the short term if it holds above 4,520; however, strong selling pressure may emerge as price approaches resistance.
💡 Proposed trading strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,600 – 4,605
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 / 500 pips
❌ SL: 4,610
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,505 – 4,500
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 / 500 pips
❌ SL: 4,495
XAUUSD 4H Chart AnalysisMarket Structure:
Price is in a clear downtrend (lower highs & lower lows).
Recently, price tapped a strong support zone (~4400 area) and showed a reaction (bounce).
EMA 50 is acting as dynamic resistance, confirming bearish pressure.
🔍 Key Zones
Support: 4400 – 4450 (strong demand zone, multiple rejections)
Resistance / Target Zone: 4900 – 5000 (previous support turned resistance)
Major Resistance: 5500 (higher timeframe supply)
📈 Trade Idea (Educational)
Current price shows a bounce from support, indicating a possible short-term bullish retracement.
Scenario:
If price holds above support → expect a pullback toward 4900–5000
Possible structure:
Bounce → Pullback → Continuation upward (short-term)
“Bearish Continuation Setup from Supply Zone – Sell the Pullback What the chart is showing
This 30-minute chart of gold (XAUUSD) highlights a clear bearish structure with a planned short (sell) setup:
1. Overall Trend: Bearish
The left side shows strong downward momentum (series of lower highs & lower lows).
The recent upward movement is likely a retracement, not a reversal.
🟩 Key Zones Marked
🔴 Entry Zone (Supply Area)
Around 4,394 – 4,447
Price has retraced into this zone and is consolidating, suggesting potential exhaustion.
This area aligns with previous structure → strong resistance
👉 Idea: Look for sell entries inside this zone.
🎯 Target Zone
Around 4,302 – 4,265
This is a previous demand area turned target.
Represents the next likely liquidity zone where price may move.
🟢 Major Demand Zone Below
Around 4,200 – 4,100
If momentum continues, price could extend deeper into this area.
📉 Trade Idea Breakdown
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Sell in the highlighted supply zone (~4,420 area)
Confirmation: Rejection candles, lower timeframe structure break
Target: 4,300 → 4,265
Extended Target: 4,200 zone
⚠️ Important Notes
Don’t blindly sell — wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, liquidity sweep).
If price breaks above 4,447 strongly, this setup becomes invalid → possible trend shift.
🧠 Summary
This is a classic “pullback into resistance → continuation down” setup:
Strong downtrend ✅
Retracement into supply ✅
Clear downside targets ✅
(XAUUSD) Analysis – Potential Reversal from ResistanceOverview
The chart shows an earlier CHoCH (Change of Character) on the left side, confirming a bearish structural shift.
After the sharp sell-off, price formed a higher low and began a corrective bullish move.
However, the broader structure remains fragile as price recently created equal highs and liquidity sweeps before moving higher.
📍 2. Key Zones Identified
🔵 Resistance Zone: 5,017 Area
Strong supply zone.
Previous reaction point.
Current price has impulsively tapped into this level.
Likely liquidity grab above prior highs.
This is the critical decision point.
🟫 FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Mid Zone
Located below current price.
Acts as imbalance that price may revisit.
Often works as a magnet after impulsive moves.
🔴 Support / Target Zone: 4,911 Area
Marked as strong demand.
Previous reaction base.
Aligns with projected bearish path.
Logical downside target if rejection confirms.
📊 Current Price Behavior
Strong bullish impulse into resistance.
No major pullback yet (overextended move).
Reaction from resistance will determine next direction.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability Setup)
If price:
Rejects strongly from 5,017 resistance
Forms bearish structure (lower high on lower timeframe)
Then likely path:
Drop into FVG
Break minor structure
Continue toward 4,911 support (target zone)
This aligns with liquidity sweep + mean reversion logic.
📈 Bullish Invalidation Scenario
If price:
Breaks and closes strongly above 5,017
Holds above resistance as support
Then:
Structure shifts bullish
Next upside expansion likely
🎯 Trade Idea Summary (Conceptual)
Setup Entry Zone Target Invalidation
Short 5,017 resistance rejection 4,911 Strong close above resistance
🧠 Overall Bias
Short-term bias: Bearish from resistance
Confirmation needed: Lower timeframe rejection + structure break
This is a classic liquidity grab into supply → potential distribution move setup.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis & Trade IdeaGold is currently trading within a short-term bullish structure after forming a clear reversal from the recent swing low. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, supported by strong bullish momentum.
Technical Overview
Price previously sold off aggressively but found strong demand near the marked swing low, forming a V-shaped reversal.
After the reversal, gold broke above minor structure and continued to climb, confirming bullish continuation.
The current price is approaching a key resistance zone, which has been marked as the potential entry area.
This resistance zone also aligns with prior supply, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
Trade Idea
Entry: Sell from the marked resistance zone near 5,055–5,060
Stop Loss: Above the upper red zone (above resistance / liquidity area)
Target: The marked green demand zone around 4,900
Bias
Short-term: Bearish from resistance (pullback expected)
Invalidation: A strong bullish close above the resistance zone would invalidate the short setup and suggest continuation to higher levels.
This setup is based on support & resistance, market structure, and price reaction zones. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
Gold prices recover from resistance at 5095.Related Information:!!! ( XAU / USD )
XAU/USD mounts a strong rebound toward the $4,950 region as softer-than-expected US labor data reignites expectations of Federal Reserve policy easing.
The non-interest-bearing precious metal has staged a solid recovery since Thursday, benefiting from early weakness in the US Dollar on Friday. The greenback came under pressure after disappointing US labor market figures released on Thursday, which revived market speculation that the Federal Reserve could deliver additional monetary easing. Against this backdrop, investors moved to buy gold on dips, despite tentative signs of stabilization in US Treasury yields.
personal opinion:!!!
The gold market is stabilizing and beginning to accumulate more. Expectations are for a recovery back to 5095.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 5095 , 5240 zone
Follow us for the most accurate gold price trends.
XAUUSD H1 – Corrective Pullback Within Broader Bullish StructureGold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe remains within a broader bullish structure, but price is currently undergoing a corrective phase. After reaching a major swing high, the market faced strong rejection from the descending red trendline, triggering a sharp pullback.
The recent decline respected the Fibonacci retracement zone, with price reacting strongly between the 0.618–0.786 levels, indicating active demand from buyers. This zone aligns with prior structure support, reinforcing its technical significance. The recovery from the lows shows higher lows, suggesting short-term bullish intent, though momentum is slowing near resistance.
Price is now trading below the descending trendline and near the upper Fibonacci retracement area, where sellers are showing interest. A clear break and hold above the trendline would open the door for a continuation toward the previous highs. Conversely, rejection from this area could lead to another retest of the mid or lower Fibonacci support levels.
The Aroon Oscillator is turning negative, signaling weakening bullish momentum and increasing risk of consolidation or a short-term pullback before the next directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Descending trendline / recent swing high zone
Support: 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement area
Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while above key support
This setup favors patience—waiting for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or a bullish reaction from support for higher-probability entries.
GOLD: Still Bullish? Buy This Massive Dip?In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Feb. 2-6th.
Gold took a nosedive Friday after Trump's nomination for Fed Chair. The market reacted by a -14% drop, as investors moved funds from metals to the USD.
But is this an opportunity for savvy investors to enter this market at a discount?
Yes.
The market conditions that drove prices to ATHs are still in place. Nothing has changed. The uptrend has not been broken. So why not buy this dip?
Selling is not recommended for the reasons mentioned above.
Wait until the the market breaks structure to the upside on the HTFs, no less than the Daily TF, before entering new longs.
Outside of that, be patient, and let the market show its hand.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD 45-Min Chart — Bullish Continuation with Short-Term PullbTrend: Clear bullish structure. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, supported by strong impulsive moves upward.
Key Demand Zones:
Major support: ~4,900–5,000 (bottom zone) — origin of the broader uptrend.
Intermediate demand: ~5,150–5,200 — previous consolidation and breakout base, now acting as support.
Current Price Action:
Price is trading just below a marked resistance zone (~5,520–5,560).
Rejection wicks at the top suggest selling pressure / profit-taking at resistance.
Resistance Zone:
The blue zone above current price is a supply / resistance area, where buyers are struggling to push through.
Pullback Scenario (Most Likely Short-Term):
A retracement into the support area around ~5,420 (red zone labeled “support area”) is likely.
This level aligns with prior structure and could act as a bullish retest.
Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If price holds above the support zone and shows bullish confirmation (strong bullish candle, rejection wick), continuation toward new highs above resistance is favored.
Invalidation / Deeper Correction:
A clean break and close below ~5,420 opens the door for a deeper pullback toward ~5,200 demand.
Bias Summary:
Short-term: Neutral to mildly bearish (pullback expected).
Medium-term: Bullish while price holds above key support zones.
Gold Jumps After Events in VenezuelaGold Jumps After Events in Venezuela
At the market open on Monday, 5 January, gold price (XAU/USD) formed a bullish gap. The sharp rise was driven by market reaction to confirmed reports of U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and a forced change of power in Caracas.
News of the capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. special forces pushed gold prices up to $4,430 during the European session, and the upward trend may persist into the U.S. trading session. The chart indicates rising demand for safe-haven assets, as market participants may be concerned about further escalation.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
On 26 December, when analysing the gold chart, we:
→ identified an ascending channel;
→ highlighted the $4,400 level;
→ suggested a scenario of bullish momentum exhaustion and profit-taking on long positions, which could lead to a pullback.
Indeed, since then a significant correction has developed, during which:
→ the price (marked by an arrow) expanded the ascending channel to the downside (its former lower boundary became the median line);
→ the $4,400 level acted as resistance on 30 December and 2 January.
However, the geopolitical drivers described above contributed to the following:
→ bulls used the lower boundary of the expanded channel as support to resume the upward move (with a bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the chart);
→ the $4,400 resistance level was broken and may now act as support.
In the short term, it cannot be ruled out that the XAU/USD price may rise towards the median of the indicated channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Price Breaks Above $4,500 for the First TimeGold Price Breaks Above $4,500 for the First Time
Just four days ago, we reported on the record breakout above the $4,400 level. The bullish gold market is now providing a new reason for analysis. As the XAU/USD chart shows, the gold price has risen above $4,530 today, marking a new all-time high.
The fundamental backdrop supporting demand for the metal is driven by expectations of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve in 2026, a weaker US dollar, and rising geopolitical tensions.
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart
The previously established ascending channel has changed in width but has maintained its angle of inclination. In this context:
→ the upper boundary is acting as resistance;
→ the channel median is providing market support.
Note that:
→ following the breakout above the $4,350 level (as indicated by the arrow), the price advanced steadily towards $4,400;
→ however, in recent days the RSI indicator has been forming bearish divergences, suggesting that bullish momentum may be losing strength.
Under these conditions, the market appears vulnerable to the formation of a corrective pullback.
Indeed, after an approximate 70% rally since the beginning of the year, profit-taking from long positions looks increasingly attractive. Nevertheless, given the holiday period, we may see gold price fluctuations simply fade near the newly reached record, with market activity resuming in the new year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Maintains Strong Uptrend – Caution for Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Overview
Gold prices continue to surge and are currently trading around 4400 USD/oz. The rally is supported by expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, a weakening U.S. dollar, and sustained safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties.
However, after such a sharp and extended rise, short-term profit-taking pressure may begin to appear.
📉 Technical Analysis
🔺 Key Resistance Levels
• 4415 – 4420: Strong psychological resistance where price may show technical reactions.
• 4455 – 4470: Extended resistance zone if gold breaks and holds firmly above 4400.
🔻 Key Support Levels
• 4378 – 4388: Immediate short-term support and technical pullback zone within the uptrend.
• 4355 – 4365: Stronger support if a deeper correction occurs during the U.S. session.
📈 EMA
• Price is trading above the EMA 09, confirming that the short-term bullish trend remains intact.
🕯️ Candlestick / Volume / Momentum
• Strong bullish candles indicate that buyers are still in control.
• Momentum is elevated, suggesting a potential pause, consolidation, or upper-wick reaction near resistance.
• No clear reversal pattern is visible on H1/H4 yet → the primary trend remains bullish.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue rising in the short term as long as price holds above the 4380–4390 zone.
However, as price approaches 4415–4420, technical pullbacks or strong intraday volatility are likely before the market establishes its next direction.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4368 – 4365
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4361.5
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4420 – 4423
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4426.5
Gold Price Breaks Above $4,400 for the First TimeGold Price Breaks Above $4,400 for the First Time
As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold has climbed above $4,400 today, setting a new all-time high.
On Friday, when analysing the gold chart, we highlighted a triangle formation and noted strong selling pressure near the previous record high around $4,380, set in October.
However, over the weekend geopolitical tensions intensified following reports that the United States detained an oil tanker linked to Venezuela. At the turn of the week, this resulted in a clear triangle breakout (as indicated by the arrow):
→ during the second half of Friday’s session, gold moved above the upper boundary of the pattern;
→ at the Asian open, the price turned higher after retesting that level, with former resistance acting as support.
As a result, concerns about a potential armed conflict involving the US have shifted the balance of supply and demand decisively higher.
The bullish momentum has justified the construction of an ascending channel. It is worth noting that the RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory. Intraday trading during the US session could therefore bring some corrective pullback, with potential support coming from:
→ the lower boundary of the newly formed channel;
→ the area between the previous peak at $4,380 and the psychological $4,000 level.
According to Goldman Sachs analysts, structural demand from central banks combined with falling interest rates could drive gold prices towards $4,900 by the end of 2026.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Price Analysis: Price Retreats From Record HighsGold Price Analysis: Price Retreats From Record Highs
As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold rallied yesterday to near its October all-time high around the 4,380 level, before pulling back (as indicated by the arrow).
The surge in volatility was driven by a combination of factors:
→ Expectations of US rate cuts. According to media reports, data released yesterday showed that inflation slowed to 2.7% in November, below the 3.1% forecast, while core CPI eased to 2.6%, the lowest reading since March 2021. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a 25% chance of a rate cut in January, with a cut by April seen as almost certain.
→ Geopolitical tensions. Traders are closely monitoring developments linked to Venezuela, where the risk of an armed conflict involving the United States has increased. Market participants also reacted to statements from UK and European politicians ahead of the EU summit.
On 5 December, we:
→ noted that the lack of a clear trend had resulted in the formation of a symmetrical triangle, with its midline around $4,205;
→ suggested that this pattern on the XAU/USD chart could act like a “compressed spring”, eventually leading to a volatility breakout.
Such a volatility surge materialised on 11–12 December, when gold broke out of the triangle and posted a high near $4,340.
Since then, a new triangle has begun to form, with a central axis around $4,316, reflecting a developing balance between supply and demand. In this context, it is worth highlighting that:
→ yesterday’s rally and subsequent reversal can be interpreted as a false bullish breakout, signalling strong selling pressure near the record high and suggesting that gold may retreat towards the lower boundary of the emerging triangle;
→ the approaching holiday period is typically associated with thinner market liquidity, which often amplifies price swings. In such conditions, gold could still surprise traders with another push to fresh record highs.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short-Term Trend Pauses, Awaiting Breakout Direction📊 Market Overview
Gold is currently trading around the 4,320 level after a corrective move from higher prices. Short-term bullish momentum has slowed, and the market has shifted into a consolidation phase as buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced, awaiting a new signal during the U.S. session.
📐 Technical Analysis
Short-term trend: Bullish correction (uptrend pausing)
Near resistance: 4,333 – 4,345
Major resistance: 4,360 – 4,380
Near support: 4,315 – 4,310
Strong support: 4,295 – 4,285
Price remains above EMA 20 & EMA 50 (M15–H1) → bullish structure remains intact
If price fails to break above 4,333–4,345, gold is likely to see a technical pullback toward lower support levels before choosing the next direction
🧠 Outlook
Gold is in a post-rally consolidation phase, with no clear bearish reversal signals, but it also lacks strong momentum for an immediate breakout. A safer approach is to buy near support and sell near resistance, avoiding entries in the middle of the range.
🎯 Trading Strategy Proposal
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4,310 – 4,305
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,299
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4,335 – 4,340
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,347
Gold Continues Its Uptrend as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview
Spot gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4,326 – 4,330 USD/oz, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and declining U.S. Treasury yields. Market sentiment remains positive as investors await upcoming U.S. labor data, which could reinforce expectations of further Fed rate cuts in 2026. Recent Fed rate cuts have also helped sustain buying interest in gold.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
🔹 4,360 – 4,380 — strong resistance zone where profit-taking pressure may emerge
🔹 4,400 — near the 2025 all-time high area
• Nearest Support Levels:
🔹 4,300 – 4,310 — psychological and short-term support
🔹 4,270 – 4,280 — deeper support in case of a corrective move
• EMA:
• Price is currently trading above EMA 9, indicating that the short-term trend remains bullish on H1/H4 timeframes.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Recent candles show sustained buying pressure after minor pullbacks.
• Trading volume has increased slightly near the 4,300 zone, suggesting bullish momentum remains intact as long as price holds above support.
________________________________________
📌 Market Outlook
Gold may continue rising in the short term if the U.S. dollar remains weak and upcoming U.S. economic data comes in softer than expected, reinforcing expectations of further Fed easing.
However, stronger-than-expected labor data or a rebound in bond yields could trigger a short-term correction toward lower support levels.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4,362 – 4,365
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,368
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4,300 – 4,303
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,297
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373
Strategy Summary
Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan revolves around two of the cleanest zones on the chart:
POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with the main money flow.
Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone.
Key Levels
BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area)
SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373
Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241
Invalidation level: 4191
Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC)
✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation)
SL: 4287 (below the POC zone to avoid noise)
TP1: 4330 – 4338
TP2: 4370 – 4373 (approaching the Fibonacci sell zone)
Logic:
The POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price is often drawn back to this level to collect liquidity before committing to the next directional move.
Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone)
✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for a reaction or loss of momentum; do not chase the trade)
SL: 4382
TP1: 4338 – 4330
TP2: 4295 (return to the POC)
Logic:
The Fibonacci premium zone is commonly where profit-taking pressure emerges. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it often provides a textbook reaction sell setup.
Alternative Scenario – If the POC Is Broken
If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle beneath this level, I will not force buy positions. Priority then shifts to waiting for price to react at:
4238 – 4241, or
deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone.
Always keep in mind that 4191 is the invalidation level.
News Context (to Avoid Being Stopped Out)
Trump has expressed concerns that economic impacts have “not fully filtered through yet”, increasing political risk and market sensitivity.
Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on the economic outlook may trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, leading to sharp moves in gold.
Tip: Avoid late entries during news-driven spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the predefined zones.
Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade: 1–2%
Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels.
If you are also monitoring 4295 and 4373, share your view:
👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Analysis: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛
Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1)
Gold is revisiting its previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout.
Primary Monitoring Timeframe
Timeframe: H4
Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance
Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to look for BUY opportunities at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50.
Market Context for the Coming Week
US Treasury yields, especially at the long end, remain elevated, making gold more prone to sharp short-term fluctuations.
Recent Fed commentary continues to reflect a cautious stance, while US political uncertainty may cause gold flows to become less predictable.
For this reason, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than attempting to forecast every short-term move.
H4 Technical Outlook (Medium-Term)
Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cool-down” phase to rebalance liquidity.
On the H4 chart, the two most important areas align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity zones, making them suitable areas to wait for pullbacks before continuing in line with the broader trend.
Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching
1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred)
Entry: 4216 – 4220
Stop Loss: 4210
This is an attractive Fibonacci discount zone and an area where price is likely to react if larger flows step in to support the trend.
2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy)
Entry: 4171 – 4175
Stop Loss: 4165
This scenario may unfold if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry from a positional perspective, though it requires patience.
Trading Scenarios for the New Week
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks
Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades.
If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs.
Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated
If price remains in premium territory with heightened volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries.
Instead, the focus is on observing price behaviour and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Each setup represents a probability, not a certainty.
Stop losses are always set in advance, with position sizing kept moderate to accommodate gold’s wide volatility.
Gold May Continue Its Short-Term Uptrend📊 Market Overview
• Global gold price is currently around 4,210.89 USD/oz.
• Bullish pressure continues to be supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the upcoming meeting — a weaker USD makes gold more attractive to global investors.
• However, the uptrend is showing a slight pullback after gold reached a “short-term high” earlier this week, mainly due to some profit-taking activity.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance levels: ~ 4,235 USD and ~ 4,260 USD/oz (near last week’s highs).
• Nearest support levels: ~ 4,190 USD and ~ 4,150 USD/oz — potential rebound zones if the price declines.
• EMA 09: Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating that the short-term trend is still bullish.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: Market is showing signs of a “minor pullback / consolidation.” Volume is weakening compared to previous bullish sessions, reflecting investor caution after a strong rally — suggesting possible sideways movement or light correction before the next move.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue rising in the short term if the USD keeps weakening, U.S. economic data softens, or the Fed signals a dovish stance. Conversely, if the USD strengthens sharply or inflation data rises, gold may move sideways or undergo a mild correction.
💡 Trading Strategy
• BUY XAU/USD at: 4,150 – 4,153 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,146.5
• SELL XAU/USD at: 4,240 – 4,243 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,246.5
XAUUSD – H2: Discount zone has formed, just waiting for the ...XAUUSD – H2: Discount zone has formed, just waiting for the price to pull back to continue buying up
On the H2 frame, gold just had a strong break up to the 4.180+ zone after a period of narrow range compression. At the end of the week, coinciding with Thanksgiving, I only prioritize waiting for an adjustment to the discount zone to buy up, absolutely not chasing the price at the peak.
🎯 MAIN SCENARIO – BUY THE DIP AT FIBO & POC ZONE 4.163–4.160
Buy entry: 4.163 – 4.160
SL: 4.155
TP: 4.178 – 4.195 – 4.220
⭐️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – BUY DEEP AT VAL ZONE + STRONG SUPPORT 4.139–4.136
Buy entry: 4.139 – 4.136
SL: 4.130
TP: 4.150 – 4.172 – 4.190 – 4.220
The total risk for each scenario I always keep within the range of 1–2% of the account.
Basic context
End of the week + Thanksgiving ⇒ thin liquidity, easy to shake at the end of the session.
Messages from Trump & credit data show the economic picture and the December interest rate path are not really clear.
This keeps gold still having a defensive role, but not enough basis to expect a straight upward move – so I prioritize trading according to technicals and specific price zones.
Technical analysis H2
Market sentiment & trading plan
After the break, the buyers are holding momentum, but the price moving sideways at the high zone shows the market is partially taking profits, waiting for liquidity.
Thin liquidity easily creates sweeps to the support zone before turning around, that's the move I want to take advantage of.
Plan:
Prioritize Buy at 4.163–4.160, only consider the 4.139–4.136 scenario if the price is deeply sold off.
All orders have a hard SL (4.155 and 4.130), do not widen the stop.
Take partial profits, move SL in a favorable direction as the price approaches TP levels.
If you find the analysis useful, follow TradingView and leave a comment about the price zone waiting for entry – I always read feedback to optimize future posts.
Gold Short-Term Trading GuideThe price action today has been generally above 4130. After breaking through to a high of 4173 in the European session, it entered a short-term consolidation phase, without a rapid pullback compared to previous periods. The US session is expected to see a pullback for consolidation. The strategy remains to buy on dips above 4110. Avoid chasing the price higher! Look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks.
Short-term Strategy
Buy gold above 4110, stop loss at 4100, target 4180-4200






















