Here is all patterns i can see with current HSI structure.
At 31600, there is a bearish gartley (78%).
At this exact same level, there is a 5-0 pattern (161% extension) which would lead to a ~50% drop in a form of AB=CD .
I tend to think, when fibs are nicely aligned (confluence) the probability is high to touch the level.
HSI could rally up to 31600, falls down...
During last week, HSI has successfully broken 28,075 short term support level and dropped over 1,500 points to our target near 26,505. Currently, HSI is retesting the previous low at that level.
We are expecting the market to break the 26,505 structure level and if it does, we would be looking at a retest of structure in the lower timeframe for our entry....
HSI has retraced roughly 75% from the top 33,516 (January 2019) since the uptrend started on 28 December 2018. In April, we have seen HSI spike up to the 30,200 level where price was rejected. Recently, price has formed a short term support near 28,075 level since mid-June.
Price has now printed a higher low and a lower high which therefore is not clear where the...
HSI is currently in an uptrend, the critical 29000 level would be reached soon and then push up further.
Upside Target: 29250, 29400
Support: 28700, 28850
To fill the gap above 29400, it would require really good news about trade deal between US and China.
With Xi and Trump meeting this weekend, I'm expecting good news from them as the market close with a very bullish pattern. Going long here should be very rewarding as there is potential for upside than downside. 27910 will be our SL.
Ended last week with a daily that bearishly engulfed the prior 3 days and it's rally back towards its all time high stopped right around the .618. I'd have to call that a dead cat. Also a hanging man at the top where the rally ended along with an island. Currently losing this fib level as we speak. looks bad.
HIS is approaching its support at 28788.6 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 29422.9 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
HSI had a strong gap and breakout after the weekend.
The index is currently moving within the two sets of upward channels, we expect the trend to continue if it holds.
The Potential Upside Target for HSI would be 29700, 30000 and 30300.
We should see some kinds of retracement after reaching TP1 before advancing further.
US China trade war resolution more forcefully impacts Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component, but Hang Seng should also see some gains. Moreover, we have seen a bit more progress in the negotiations apparently with tech transfers, tech war. Let's see if it pans out though. For more, check out www.anthonylaurence.wordpress.com
HSI closed in a strong support region.
Fourth wave expanded flat is the preferred count as the selloff seems to hv good momentum but caution is required. Under this count, HSI will make a new low below 28000 and then rally towards 30000. ALT. Triangle.
28600-29000 area has seen very heavy volume traded recently. Expect the prices to hover in and around this area...
Hangseng appears to be in wave iv correction with A and B waves both unfolding in 3 waves. Wave C is currently under way.
In case of an expanded flat, it will break below 28000. Target area is 27800-600.
In case of a Triangle, wave C should end around 28550-600 area.
Once completed, wave v should advance to 30000-30300 area.
Price is in an uptrend on the daily and lower timeframes, and has just broken the 29 153.0 ceiling, which represents the previous high. It currently is 23 points (pips) below the 289 432.2 level, which has been tested twice previously ass support, though it was later broken through.
As a trend trader, I would wait for a retest of price towards previous high (29...