Harmonic Patterns
102.5K nearest upside target. 110K is the next oneMorning folks,
So, the pullback to 88-89K area that we discussed last time has not happened. Market turns to direct upside continuation. Now it has no big barriers ahead, which means that 110K is the major target for now.
On Intraday charts we have another one - 102.5K which is the nearest one. We consider no shorts by far. For long entry you could use any deep that you would like to. We suggest that 97.50-98K area is quite suitable for this. Deeper retracement will look suspicious.
GOLD FOMC Interest Rate Decision (May 7, 2025)
The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, maintaining its stance since December 2024. The decision reflects heightened uncertainty from escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and mixed economic signals, including stagflation risks (rising unemployment and inflation). Chair Jerome Powell emphasized vigilance toward trade policy impacts but avoided signaling imminent rate cuts, despite market expectations for easing later in 2025.
Geopolitical Conflicts Affecting Gold Prices
U.S.-China Trade War Escalation
New tariffs and retaliatory measures have intensified safe-haven demand for gold. Prices hit record highs in April 2025 (NT$3,518/gram in Taiwan) as investors sought protection from market volatility.
Renewed trade talks (e.g., U.S.-China meetings in Switzerland) caused a brief 1.3% gold price dip on optimism, but analysts project prices to rebound to $3,500–$4,000/oz by late 2025 amid unresolved tensions.
Central Bank Gold Accumulation
Central banks, led by China and Russia, are aggressively stockpiling gold to diversify from USD assets and hedge against sanctions.
Prolonged military tensions continue to drive gold’s role as a crisis hedge. Escalation could push prices higher, while de-escalation might temporarily reduce demand.
Middle East Instability
Conflicts between Iran and Saudi Arabia disrupt global supply chains and energy markets, amplifying gold’s appeal as a safe haven during periods of heightened risk.
Dollar Weakness and Inflation Risks
A declining U.S. Dollar Index (-0.3% on May 7) and tariff-driven inflation fears have bolstered gold’s attractiveness. The Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts reinforces gold’s appeal in a negative real yield environment.
Gold Price Outlook
Short-term: Prices may face volatility from trade talk progress or Fed policy shifts but remain supported by geopolitical risks and central bank buying.
Long-term: Analysts (e.g., UBS, Bank of America) forecast gold reaching $3,500–$4,000/oz in 2025 due to structural demand, tariff impacts, and unresolved global conflicts.
In summary, gold’s trajectory hinges on geopolitical stability, central bank actions, and Fed policy, with bullish momentum likely to persist amid fragmented global trade and economic uncertainty.
PALANTIR Channel Up intact. Eyeing $185 on this rally.Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up and is currently on its most recent Bullish Leg following the approach f the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Having also rebounded on its long-term RSI Support Zone, the buying pressure is the strongest we've seen inside this pattern, having recovered all loses in just 4 weeks.
Given that the most usual rally was +183.03%, we expect this Leg to reach at least $185.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MOTHERSON – Strong Setup After 50% Correction A Portfolio-Worth🚘 MOTHERSON – Strong Setup After 50% Correction | A Portfolio-Worthy Opportunity
🧭 Stock Overview & Why It Caught My Eye
Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (commonly known as MOTHERSON) is one of the most consistent performers in the auto components sector — a stock that truly deserves a place in any serious portfolio.
🔹 The stock has undergone a ~50% correction from its all-time high, offering value.
🔹 Price recently tapped a key Monthly POI (Point of Interest) — a zone known for high institutional activity.
🔹 It formed a Higher High on the daily timeframe, confirming early trend reversal signs.
🔹 For the last 9 trading sessions, price has been consolidating between ₹131.40 and ₹139.50, preparing for a potential breakout.
🔍 Technical Rationale
Monthly POI + Consolidation is a powerful combination.
The recent Higher High structure indicates strength.
A breakout above ₹140.40 could trigger fresh bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss is tightly defined just below the consolidation range, giving a favorable risk-reward setup.
🧠 What Makes This Setup Special?
Smart Money Activity Likely – Price tapped a long-term POI and started building a base.
Volatility Shakeout Done – The consolidation likely cleared weak hands.
Now Setup is Cleaner – A breakout now would signal trend continuation.
🎯 Trade Setup & Plan
Trade Element Level/Range
Entry Zone On breakout above ₹140.40
Stop-Loss ₹130.60 (below consolidation low)
Target 1 ₹151
Target 2 ₹160
Target 3 ₹170++ (longer term projection)
⚠️ Note: Around the ₹161.80 zone, price may again consolidate or pull back. We’ll reassess trade management near that level.
🗣️ Final Thoughts & Notes
Missed the ₹120–₹118 zone entry due to market volatility — but the opportunity is still alive. The current structure gives a fresh chance to ride the next wave if the breakout confirms.
This is a textbook breakout setup from value zone + clean structure + well-defined stop-loss.
📢 Don’t Miss Out!
✅ Follow me to stay ahead of the market with real-time trade ideas.
👍 Drop a like if you found this useful & comment your view or analysis!
💬 Let’s discuss in the comment section — see you there! 🚀📊
🙏 Thanks for your continued support. Let's grow together, one trade at a time!
Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to he 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,361.29
1st Support: 3,310.00
1st Resistance: 3,490.34
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Powell's speech determines the trend.Tonight, Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, will speak again. Whether he will confront Trump head - on is something worth looking forward to. However, it is certain that the Federal Reserve will not raise or cut interest rates today. It will keep the current interest rate. Whether there will be a rate cut in June depends on what Powell says. Therefore, there is great uncertainty about the fluctuation of the gold price tonight. No one can guess whether Powell will be hawkish or dovish now. But I think that regardless of his stance, the medium - and long - term trend of the gold price is optimistic. If he really makes remarks unfavorable to gold, which lead to a temporary slump in the gold price, it may instead be an opportunity for those who haven't bought or are on the sidelines to buy at a low price. So don't pay too much attention to Powell's speech. Moreover, this old man is likely to give a very tactful speech. I think he is very likely to neither offend Trump nor sacrifice the independence of the Federal Reserve. So his speech is likely to be very tactful. Therefore, regarding the fluctuation of the gold price, we need to see his attitude in the speech. Judging from the current performance of the gold price, it has actually shown a standard four - wave adjustment in 5 minutes. When will this four - wave adjustment end? It is likely to be a volatile adjustment during the day today, lasting until the European session or even tonight. After tonight, if the adjustment ends and the support level is clear, then the fifth wave is likely to start. Of course, if Powell's speech at 2:30 a.m. is also favorable to gold, the fifth wave will be even more promising. So we can wait and see what kind of stance Powell will take in front of the world.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
XAUUSD1. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
(May 7) The Fed will announce the May FOMC interest rate decision and press conference. The market generally expects the interest rate to remain unchanged, but Powell's speech will be the key. The April non-farm payroll data was stronger than expected (an increase of 177,000 people), coupled with the Fed's concerns about inflation, Powell may continue his hawkish stance and emphasize "anti-inflation priority". If he releases a signal of "delayed interest rate cuts", it may suppress gold bullish sentiment; on the contrary, if it implies concerns about economic slowdown, gold may be supported. In addition, several Fed officials will go to Iceland to participate in an economic meeting on Friday, and we need to pay attention to their statements on monetary policy.
2. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
Sino-US trade frictions continue to escalate, with the US imposing tariffs on China as high as 245% and hitting China's re-export trade. However, the US has recently released a signal of easing, with companies such as Walmart resuming orders from China and bearing tariff costs, showing that US companies have limited tolerance for high tariffs. China requires the US to cancel unilateral tariffs as a prerequisite for negotiations, and the prospects for negotiations remain unclear. In addition, the situation between India and Pakistan is tense again, and the rising geopolitical risks may boost demand for gold as a safe haven.
3. Market sentiment and capital flows
Domestic gold ETF holdings surged by 23.47 tons in the first quarter, indicating that institutional investors are optimistic about gold in the long term. However, Nomura Securities warned that gold may face a technical correction due to abnormal capital flows (GLD funds in and out) and overheated technical indicators (gold prices deviated from the 200-day moving average by 25%). In addition, COMEX gold speculative net long positions hit a 14-month low, and market sentiment was cautious.
BTC/USD 1H | Supply Zone Rejection – Is the Rally Over?Bitcoin pumped into a major supply zone near 97,241, but sellers stepped in hard!
This could be a classic fakeout before a deeper correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Rejection Zone: 97,241
Support 1: 95,606
Support 2: 93,721 (strong demand zone)
Scenario:
If price holds below the supply zone, expect a drop to 95.6k and possibly 93.7k.
But a strong breakout above 97.2k could invalidate the bearish setup.
Trade Plan:
Short below 97,241
TP 1: 95,606
TP 2: 93,721
SL: Above 97,300
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8199
1st Support: 0.8116
1st Resistance: 0.8371
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.80
1st Support: 140.13
1st Resistance: 145.44
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BUY MARKET!!!Hello dears
If you are risk-averse, this analysis is for you...
Given the decline we had, you can see that the price was supported within the specified support range and a range was formed that can be purchased with risk and capital management and moved to the specified ranges...
*Trade safely with us*
Gold 100% Profit SignalTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has fallen after rising, and there is a large room for gold to fall, from 3438 to 3360 now, with a fluctuation of nearly 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, there is a high possibility of a wave of adjustment space after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small. It is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and directly falls below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5- and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock and the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced large ups and downs in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it is not broken, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to mainly short on rebounds and to do more on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds to around 3397-3400, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, break the position and look at the 3300 line
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3300-3305, buy long positions in batches (buy up) with 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, break the position and look at 3370
audjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
PI coinAfter a strong rise in price and volume Pi coin is now showing stability at its golden pocket. considering weekends having slow volumes and range bund price action, Pi coin is also expected to maintain the price range of 0.58-0.59. however aligning with pricing of btc and near weekly close it price expected to pump till .7 or above. its ADX is trending at 4hrs and daily, its stoch rsi is about is bottoming. rsi showing multiple divergences at 4h and LtF. it is forming butterfly pattern with expected "C" at 0.5603, but as it is showing strength at golden pocket so it is expected to go above from here that is 0.5833. that is why I suggest 3 entries for average pricing and avoid missing any opportunity.
Thus take entry with confluences like
1.BTC bottoming at 4h
2. weekly close
3. rsi golden cross
4. C leg of harmonic butterfly
5. bottoming of stoch rsi
Here is the setup
entry 1. 0.5833 10% of ur investment
entry 2. 0.5606 30%
entry 3. 0.5496 %
SL 0.54
Tp1. 0.576
Tp2. 0.614
Tp3. 0.6685
Tp4. 0.702
GBPCAD: 700+ pips swing move in making; what you think? FX:GBPCAD
After looking at the daily timeframe, we have identified the price pattern with this particular pair, we pointed out the upcoming big move based on similar move that this pair has made. Currently price has been rebounding from the strong buying zone where we expect a large volume to kick in the market. First our main aim will be to see how price react at the downtrend trendline and if price successfully breakthrough the region. We can then enter more entries with this pairs targeting long term 700+ pips. Good luck and trade safe.
Bearish reversal for the Aussie?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6536
1st Support: 0.6407
1st Resistance: 0.6619
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC Dominance: Approaching Major Resistance!!BTC.D is nearing a major 66%-68% resistance zone within a long-term ascending channel (since 2018). Historically, this area has triggered BTC.D pullbacks, often leading to altcoin rallies. The chart itself anticipates a rejection from this level.
If BTC.D rejects, a move towards the 53-54% lower channel support is likely, potentially bullish for alts. Watch for bearish weekly candle closes and increased selling volume as confirmation. Altcoin price action should also be monitored for signs of strength. This key resistance zone presents a significant point for the broader crypto market. Exercise caution and await.
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Gold Trade Plan 08-05-2025Dear Traders,
price broken Trend line and i expect price will be drop at least +100 Pips to Target 1.31700 (Area) ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
USDCHF H4 I Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 144.30, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 142.61, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, a pullback resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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