Looking at the es and time with fibonacci on a x axis, price seems to have a reaction at the 27.2 - 61.8 - 78.6 fib ratios. Using the October 2014 low to May 2015 high as anchors for the x axis, from observation the 27.2 - 61.8- 78.6 have made alternating highs and lows. From October 2014 to May 2015 the 27.2 was a low, 61.8 a high and the 78.6 a low. From the...
Just one traders opinion on what's to come. Remember, traders don't get paid on opinions. Have a bias, but never be afraid to change it if the market shows you you're wrong.
October 2014 - October 2015 coppied and pasted on to years 1965-1966 correction rally and correction. Here is a possible fractal where current price could be following or rhyme with years 1965-1966. Both periods had an initial correction (october 2014) both periods had a powerful rally out of the correction lows that made a similar % move and time move from lows...
3M price is in a very tricky situation... On long term basis it failed its 5-year (260 weeks) uptrend test by falling below the 1st upper standard deviation from 5-year mean. It's 10-year uptrend is still intact, as price is trading above upper 1st standard deviation from 10-year (520 weeks) mean. On short term price is in downtrend on quarterly basis (below 1st...
Levels on chart, estimated time for the downtrend conclusion is August 14th. I'll be monitoring the support levels below to go long. The boxes represent the earnings season range and I plotted the 50% level, as depicted in Tim West's publications. You can clearly see the reaction to it in the chart. I also added the 66, 253, 50 and 200 EMAs as well as the options...
I'm not implying the spx rally is over or a top is in. But looking at the channel the spx has been trading in since 2011 lows, there is not much room to the upside at the moment and believe by observation there is more room for the spx to pullback. My plan is to sell the hwb from highs to lows as long as it acts as resistance with a tight stop. Last week was the...
Here is a long term view of a few ratios that may help to view current market valuations. I used the DJIA in order to get a longer time series. It’s not my preference as market capitalization is not accurately portrayed via the index but I still think these ratios have value. So how is the current market valued? Bears can point to GDP to market capitalization...
Betting against the USA can be bad for your portfolio longer term. Bias is a killer in all time frames. Many would be "smart guys" have debated the end of this mega trend based on their so called understanding of the US debt situation or other "urgent crisis" they are sure is going to bring about the end. All this while being too myopic to zoom out for real...