DOW Approaching High-Probability DPM Buy AreaThe weekly DPM bias remains bullish.
Price is approaching a demand zone that also coincides with previous resistance.
In addition, my proprietary statistical and calendar-based models identify this region as an area of interest, although those tools are not shown on the chart.
This is one of the areas where I'm prepared to be a buyer if price reaches my predefined levels.
Institutionallevels
EURAUD H1 | Institutional Level Rejection → Sell After LiquidityBias: Bearish
EURAUD has been in a strong bearish trend, printing consecutive Break of Structure (BOS) levels to the downside. Price has now formed a rising wedge / bear flag on the 1H and is currently sitting at a key institutional level — a zone where large players are expected to step in and sell. A liquidity sweep above the wedge is anticipated before price breaks down and continues lower.
Technical Confluence
Price is currently at an institutional supply level — high probability sell zone
Two confirmed BOS levels to the downside — macro trend is clearly bearish
Rising wedge / corrective channel forming on the 1H — bearish continuation pattern
$$$$$ Liquidity resting above the wedge highs — stop hunt target before sell
$$$$$$ Higher Liquidity pool below at 1.62352 — main bearish target
Strong High overhead acting as resistance ceiling
Dotted descending trendline from macro highs confirming bearish pressure
EMAs above price acting as dynamic resistance
Price making lower highs within the wedge — momentum fading
🔴 Trade Setup — SELL
Current Situation:
Price is right now sitting at an institutional supply zone — this is where smart money has historically stepped in to sell. The rising wedge has brought price back up to this level perfectly, offering a high probability short entry.
🔴 Sell Entry Zone: 1.62800 – 1.63000
Current institutional supply level
Top of rising wedge / resistance
Liquidity sweep zone above swing highs
Strong High / Supply zone overhead
Look for bearish rejection candle before entering
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.63480 – 1.63500
Above the Strong High marked on chart
Above the macro supply zone
Full setup invalidation level
Take Profit 1: 1.62352
$$$$$$ Liquidity pool below
Nearest demand / support level
Partial close recommended here
Take Profit 2: 1.62000
Psychological round number support
Lower demand zone / prior swing low area
Take Profit 3 (Extended): 1.61500 – 1.61000
Continuation of macro bearish trend
Next major liquidity target below
Risk-to-Reward
Entry 1.62900
Stop Loss 1.63480 (-58 pips)
TP1 - 1.62352 (+55 pips)
TP2 - 1.62000 (+90 pips)
TP3 - 1.61500 (+140 pips)
RR to TP1 ≈ 1:1 ✅
RR to TP2 ≈ 1:1.6 ✅✅
RR to TP3 ≈ 1:2.4 ✅✅✅
My Narrative
EURAUD has been in a textbook bearish trend — breaking structure to the downside multiple times and printing lower highs and lower lows on the 1H.
Price is currently sitting at an institutional supply level. This is not a coincidence — the rising wedge has engineered a perfect retracement back into the zone where institutions previously sold aggressively. These levels act as magnets for sell orders from large players — banks, hedge funds, and institutional traders who placed their positions here and are now defending them.
The setup plays out in three stages:
Price sweeps the $$$$$ liquidity above the wedge highs — triggering retail buy stops
Institutional sellers absorb all buying pressure at the supply zone — rejection confirmed
Wedge support breaks — price flushes toward 1.62352 then 1.62000 and below
The BOS levels confirm the trend. The institutional level confirms the entry. The liquidity below confirms the target.
This rising wedge is not a reversal. It is a reloading mechanism for institutions to add to their short positions at a premium price before the next leg down.
The institutional level is active. The sell is expected. Wait for your confirmation candle.
Trader’s Mindset: The First Fundamental Stone of the Market📌 Key Levels to Watch
Sequential Breakouts: The move originated with a breakout above the 'Weekly Major Support' level (approx. $69,400). This was followed by a subsequent breakout with significant volume above 'Today’s Major Support' (approx. $71,800), labelled as an entry by "smart money."
🔹 New Support – 71,700
As long as price holds above this, the structure remains bullish
🔹 Today Major Support – 70,800
Break below this → short-term weakness begins
🔹 Weekly Major Support – 69,050
High-probability institutional reaction zone
🔹 Previous Day Base – 68,250
Origin of the move → strongest demand area
Gold in the Moment: When “Safe Haven” Meets RealityGold in the moment📉. "A safe haven in any situation," they shouted....
Well...that would be too easy..
It’s fascinating to watch how the market responds to key ER support and resistance levels—and there’s a solid reason behind it.
Right now, the first level only managed to slow things down briefly, and now we’re watching the second ER level get tested.
What’s really interesting is that this kind of behavior isn’t random or magical—it’s actually driven by how professional operate. Without getting too technical, the same math used to calculate those ER levels is built into how many funds manage their portfolios and decide when to buy or sell. And that happens consistently, day after day.
Just another reminder that there’s often more logic behind market moves than it seems.
If you're curious about how these levels are calculated — we’ve got a couple of posts that break down the method and the data sources behind it.
Also, don’t forget to check the bio. We handle all the number-crunching, so you can focus on what really matters!
NFLX Setting Up at a High-Probability Zone
NASDAQ:NFLX
Been looking at Netflix on the weekly and this is honestly a really interesting spot.
Stock’s down about 43% from the highs and now sitting right at the weekly 200 EMA + the 0.5 fib retracement. That’s a pretty serious confluence zone. My weekly entry signal also triggered recently.
This is the kind of area where big money usually makes a decision. There’s some merger/regulatory uncertainty floating around which might explain the hesitation and volatility, but technically speaking this isn’t a broken chart. It’s sitting at a level that could turn into a higher timeframe bounce.
For me it’s simple, if 200 EMA holds, potential swing long area, or if weekly close below then probably more downside.
Not financial advice, just sharing what I’m seeing. Curious what everyone else thinks here?
Anthropic Retail News False InformationAI technology is vast and will impact almost every one of the 130+ industries in the US.
The news of Anthropic threatening software companies and big tech companies, such as AMZN and GOOG, was false news.
Anthropic's new technology is specifically designed for regulated industries such as the Financial Industry.
However, if you study the charts for NYSE:CRM , NOW, and WDAY, you will see that this sub industry of the software application industry had already been in a Bear Business cycle, as these companies had reached the MARKET SATURATION PHASE of their business Service or Product Cycle.
ALL companies have business cycles. These software companies are not selling down due to a risk of Anthropic's new AI but due to a tactic used by Sell Side Institutions and Hedge Funds to scare small funds managers into selling in panic mode using VWAP, Volume Weighted at Average Price, which accelerates the runs down, creating higher revenues for the Sell Side and Hedge Funds that are selling short and then buying to cover.
Learn how to avoid retail news that creates a sink hole of losses for most retail traders. Do not trust retail news, it is wrong most of the time, OR late in giving you that information.
ATHUSDT.P – Trap Zone Absorption → Reversal | High-Timeframe ValBITGET:ATHUSDT.P
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
📊 Strategy: Trap Zone Reversal | Absorption + Delta Flip + HTF Value Reclaim
⸻
📘 CONTEXT:
We’re observing a reversal setup on the 1H chart of ATHUSDT.P (BitGet Mix Perpetual).
Price has recently swept a key trap zone and shown aggressive selling absorption near the lows. We’re now seeing reversal momentum building as price reclaims structure.
This follows a period of:
• Failed sell climaxes at the trap zone
• Absorption of aggressive sellers
• Re-entry above higher timeframe value (HTFV)
These are classic markers of a shift from distribution (short bias) into accumulation (long bias).
⸻
🔍 STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN:
• 🔲 Contraction Box High (BH): 0.03017
• 📉 Higher Timeframe Value (HTFV): 0.03006
• 💚 Trap Zone Absorption Level: 0.02990
• 🔵 Trap Zone Low: 0.02983 (Suggested stop-loss zone)
The chart also marks:
• 📈 Sell climaxes that failed to follow through
• 📉 Buy climaxes that have now been absorbed
This suggests wholesale price acceptance has shifted to the upside.
⸻
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
• Entry Zone: Around 0.02990
• Stop Loss: Below 0.02983 (trap zone low)
• Target 1: 0.03071 ✅ (Remove ~33% at this level)
• Target 2: 0.03151 ✅ (Remove ~90%, leave runners)
• Risk/Reward: Designed for a +5% move
• Execution Type: Reversal entry off structural sweep + absorption
⸻
🧠 NOTES ON INDICATORS:
This chart is deliberately stripped of indicators to maintain focus on raw structure and price behavior.
The following zones are marked visually:
• HTFV = Higher Timeframe Value area (drawn manually)
• Trap Zone = Where previous aggressive sellers are now trapped
• Absorption = Inferred from prior failed lows and clustering behavior
• No footprint data shown, but reversal pressure is visible through price structure alone
⸻
✅ TRADE STATUS:
📈 Active – Position Open
Monitoring structure for expansion continuation and scale-out levels.
EURUSDPrice recently plunged into the deep and has now returned for fair value. We are already in a significant area, on a higher time-frame(1D), so any moment from now they can collapse it, much like last week! Be on the look-out like a meerkat!
1.1680 and 1.1720 are institutional price levels and price tends to have strong reactions in these areas. I expect to see that play out tomorrow.
The following reports will be used to trigger this move:
BoE Monetary Policy Report.
Continuing Jobless Claims 4-Week Average.
Initial Jobless Claims.
Unit Labour Costs.
Nonfarm Productivity.
Stay safe!
Price Reacts to Every Zone I Mark – No Coincidence.Every level you see on this XAU/USD chart is mapped based on institutional moves, order blocks, and real market intent. These aren’t just random zones—each one is backed by experience and a deep understanding of how smart money operates.
Price respects precision. I deliver it every time.
Let the chart speak.
MLCF WEEKLY TIME FRAME AND TRADE IDEAMLCF GAVE A BREAKOUT AT THE ACCUMULATION BOX. THE STOCK IS HEADING TO WEEKLY STRONG RESISTANCE AT 50.92
BUT EXPECTED TO BREAKOUT DUE TO THE SENTIMENT AND THE DESECENDING ACCUMULATION JUST BEFORE THE WEEKLY BREAKOUT LOOKS LIKE A CONFIRMATION. LOOKS LIKE THAT
THE BIG PLAYERS HAVE FILLED UP THIER BAGS AND READY FOR THE BREAKOUT
HOWEVER THIS MIGHT BE PLAYED NEXT WEEK OR IN THESE NEXT FEW DAYS
WATCH FOR PRICE ACTION ON H2 AND H4
BREAKOUT AT 50.92 will start a new quick rally however a retest might be possible at the breakout level at 50.92 to 5. The next target will be 58 to 59.
watch for order flows in orderbook. and look for the 5m timeframe above vwap session near breakout
PSX FFL TRADE IDEA LOOKING STRONG ON H2 AND H4FFL IS LOOKING STRONGON H2 AND H4. The stock retest its equal low where all of the big liquidity was resting at 14.50 Now the stock is heading to the next h2 resistance the breakout at H2 resistance with good volume will start a quick uptrend. Watch for volumes and orderbook.
The next target will be the previous lower low around 16.
Trading above EMA 21 at H2 AND H4.
VOLUME GAINER.
Buy before breakout if the volumes are rising watch on shorter time frame and see how the price reacts near the resistance. WATCH THE ORDERBOOK MUST and see what is being played there.
POWER CEMENT PERFECT SETUP FVG + HIGHER HIGH RETEST AND BREAKOUTPower cement fair value gap plus higher high retest at 9.75. also, there was an accumulation box on the higher time frame. the liquidity was resting in the higher high retest in the fair value gap. the stock absorbed all the liquidity at 9.75 and gave a breakout at 10.30, rallying quickly 8 percent in 2-3 hours. that’s how the smart money and the big institutes play!!
Have you noticed Nvidia's Range? Waiting on a decision... The price continues to fluctuate, but not even the latest earnings report has been able to break out of this sideways channel (range) shown in the analysis.
Nvidia is a powerhouse when it comes to its earnings reports, and while the price does fluctuate, it hasn’t done so with the same aggressiveness seen in previous months.
At this point, we’re simply waiting for a decision—either wait for the price to break out of the channel, or, if you want to be more aggressive, look for the price to touch the demand zone to go long. You could do the opposite in the supply zone, but I don’t recommend it, as the overall structure remains bullish.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Its OK as longest google stays above 170 ! lets go ! Last week, Google stayed above 170, which is excellent news. Within the analysis, we can see that it’s starting to show bullish convergence. I also drew an ascending channel based on its recent price movements.
In my last analysis of Google, I mentioned that once the price touched the "stacked channel," we only needed to observe the immediate candlestick structure, and from there, it would take off—and that’s exactly what happened (check out the little thumbs-up hand).
Now, it doesn’t matter if the price dips slightly here; the key is for it to stay above 170 and within the mini ascending channel I marked.
The real challenge for Google is breaking through the inflection zone where it’s currently positioned. It was rejected once, so the price will likely attempt to break through this key zone again.
Let’s see what happens in the coming days.
Thanks for supporting my channel! Best regards.
Google is Taking a Break and accumulating for the 2nd run !Google returns to the inflection zone we had previously studied. This is good news because, after pulling back, we got a bounce in the same inflection zone.
What does this mean?
It means that the price is more than ready to continue its upward trend; however, it is just forming an accumulation pattern, where it could resume its upward movement at any moment.
Key points to follow:
Markets, in general, are bullish, and we are in a week of high market euphoria, which could support the price to continue rising.
Google continues to report positive news within the company.
Google’s prices have increased, indicating that higher figures may be reported in their next earnings report.
In my opinion, Google will remain in an accumulation range this week—it's a pattern where the price will hold steady this week before its next bullish run.
Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards."
forget 70k level, look out for this importanlevel to surpass... As I mentioned in my previous analysis, I don’t care about reaching 70k; what matters to me is if it can break past the zone at $71,890.
Everyone is excited that BTC is back at 70k (myself included), but guess what happened next? The price touched my line at $71,890 and didn’t break through!
This is simply because I see more difficulty here, as it's a zone with a greater concentration of institutional orders and has historically been strongly rejected.
These last three candles give me the impression that the bear market is nearing its end, so keep a close eye on the upcoming week. But remember, it’s just an impression — the price is always trying to tell us something through its candles, and it’s our job to interpret it correctly.
Best regards, and let’s hope that’s the case!!
TRADE SAFE!
Palantir will move after earnings so hold tight ! As long as Palantir remains within the upward channel, it’s still in play!
There’s an imbalance guiding the price, preventing it from dropping. We’ve seen the price attempt to go up twice already, so as long as Palantir stays within the channel and respects the imbalance, I’m quite confident it will make a third attempt to break the high.
On the other hand...
We have the earnings report coming up Monday pre-market, so whatever happens at the open, we’ll know which direction the price will take based on the report’s results.
Keep a close eye on this!
Best regards.
P
2 Confirmations last week just as we planned, What's next? SPY PRICE HAS BEEN MOVING IN OUR FAVOR ! CHECK MY LAST WEEK ANALISIS,
Before we get to the analysis i just want to say...
So far, the price has moved in our favor. If you check the results of previous analyses, you’ll see that the price has moved exactly according to my analysis of price action, supported by institutional trading concepts.
Each green check mark represents a prediction that was correctly fulfilled according to the analysis from one week ago. My analyses are weekly, carefully prepared every weekend, but note: the study of price movement and the forecasted direction here, is based on my experience as a trader.
I DON’T KNOW WHERE THE PRICE IS HEADING!
IN FACT, NO ONE DOES!
Every price movement and behavior is based on a historical movement of institutional supply and demand. Based on the years I’ve spent studying this concept, I can predict the next price movements. However, it’s crucial to emphasize that trading is ultimately speculation, but if you have really good fundamental study in price action & structure, your margin of error will always be minimal.
So This analysis is for you but at the same time for entertainment purposes do not take trades because I'm greedy on any active, please do your own research first and you will have tyour final decision.
BACK TO SPY...
The price indeed broke out of the channel after we saw it crawling like a worm along the channel support.
Indeed, the price began to range after the channel breakout.
Looking at the overall structure, the price has been losing strength and volume since last week. I have a feeling we won’t see all-time highs soon, as it’s time for the price to start accumulating or simply making its natural pullback.
I'm expecting the next move to either be a pullback that touches my "order block" zone and then starts gaining momentum to recover all that decline, or, in another scenario, if we see enough volume on Monday, it could start fluctuating in a range to accumulate before touching new all-time highs.
BUT!
The price could reach highs while forming its accumulation range. However, what we’re looking for is a decision from the price to break out of the range and reach new highs along with a new extreme!
So be patient; this week will be very interesting to analyze in terms of price behavior.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards
ETH still on liquidity zone we need volume & Buying Pressure ! Ethereum is still in a bearish market. It had a very small upward movement, lasting maybe 2 or 3 days, but it continues to show an overall bearish trend.
The only thing I can detect here is that we are still in a liquidity zone. However, there hasn't been enough volume for Bitcoin to gain strength and break the bearish channel.
That’s the key! ETH needs to break the resistance of the bearish channel, but it's still in the liquidity zone. Let’s hope to see candles with buying pressure this week, as this would indicate that ETH is ready to take off. But for now, it's just a matter of watching its movement.
Best regards.
Bitcoin ! BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GOBitcoin is stationed in an inefficiency zone but with a lot of strength. It undoubtedly had a bullish week, and naturally, after a bullish run, the price needs to take a pause or rest. What better place than our historical zone, which we've marked as an inefficiency zone on the 1-day chart.
Yes, Bitcoin still has a bit more to climb to see the breakout that I've been anticipating.
As we can see, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence channel, and from the technical analysis within the channel, I'm aiming for Bitcoin to at least reach 64k this week so we can see a bit more price action.
THE BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GO!
So, until Bitcoin breaks my channel or at least reaches 64k, all I can do is wait.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.
GOOGLE looking strong ! we identified a important area. Google needs to break the bearish sequence channel.
We have discovered several inflection points that create a very important zone, which is fully respected. When the price falls into this zone, it simply bounces because historically, these inflection points (green circles) have shown a liquidity and trend action.
If you can see on the 3rd circle, there is a high-volume candle that, upon rejecting the downtrend, creates a zone that could become a support zone if the price were to fall, and that’s exactly what happened in our 4th circle.
GOOGL is undoubtedly showing a lot of strength; however, this coming week, Google needs to show the same strength it has demonstrated over the last two days. In other words, we need enough volume for the price to break the sequential channel and see Google back above 168 or more.
We will see how it goes this week.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.






















