We have a long term buy set up for the AUD/USD.
In this video, we look at how Iron Ore is a key export for Australia and the effect the commodity price has on the AUD/USD exchange rate.
With China's economy expected to grow in 2021, an increase in Australia's key export to the world's second-largest economy should support a continuation of the bullish momentum...
Thanks for viewing. This will just be a short one. My reasons for bearishness are:
- bearish RSI divergence (higher price high shown as a lower high on the RSI - at a minimum indicates reduced momentum but normally precedes changes in price direction),
- MACD histogram is trending downward quite steeply,
- MACD moving averages look like they are starting to head...
Broken out of a nice consolidation below the key level of $3, on the hourly it has retested the broken resistance so now I'm watching for a sign of continuation of the move higher before an entry.
Assore Ltd was in a solid downtrend for the best part of the 2nd half of 2019, dropping from a high of just over R400 down to a low of R215. However, towards the end of 2019 we saw the stock break the downtrend line (DTL) and start to trade above the 50 dma (blue line) which was the first clue that the stock was turning the corner. During December, the stock then...
Commodities have remained very cheap against the recent rise in Major World Indexes.
This includes iron ore.
And this cheapness can create opportunities in the iron and steel industry.
The price can get even cheaper.
The analysis does not contain a very high quality risk / reward ratio, but I think it is possible to make very profitable trades based on this idea...
Iron ore futures is reversing upon a weekly stretched ABCD completion which is confirmed by price action hitting SSR resistance and breaking down below key MA support.
Iron ore prices has been supported largely by supply issues but demand is being tested this trade war. Not sure those highly indebted property developers in China, especially those which have been...
I've been taking quite a deep look at the relationship between correlatives of the Australian dollar lately. There's no question that this deep dive would be remiss without looking at correlation coefficients between AUDUSD and that of commodities it exports, primarily iron ore and coal. The chart really speaks for itself. Aussie dollar sees strength when coal and...
Iron ore futures contracts have reached two-year highs driven by a dam collapse at a Vale mine in Brazil. The work of the mine was suspended, which affects the volume of supply in the market.
Such an accident is difficult to fix in a short time, and the market agrees. We see it in the prices of long term futures contracts.
Since the accident, the rise in the...
3 scenarios: 2 bull 1 bear.
1. Bullish upper trend-line break from first wave leading diagonal (T1 equal to or greater than $106 and T2 ~$139),
2. ABC correction (blue) following extended correction - we are currently in wave B triangle (T1 $106 for 1:1 wave A),
3. Downward breakout for additional corrective retrace.
At this stage scenario 2 looks the more...
Vale is currently benefiting from the rise in iron and copper ore over the last several months. The stock broke out back on 12/20 and ripped higher for weeks until the recent market volatility caught hold of it. However, even as the market as tanked Vale has held up relatively well, ~4.6% vs. ~8.8% drop for the S&P500. Look for the stock to shoot higher is the...
Hazer Group today broke out on light volume. The previous move (spurred by material news in regards to their graphite and hydrogen technology) of ~65% from $0.41 to $0.68 represents a move of $0.27 which gives this latest movement a target of $0.85. This also correlates with the historical all-time high.
Since the initial move the on 3/10/17 the previous price...
$AUDUSD appears to have comp0leted a correction and is ready to resume the monthly uptrend. We're long and added here at 0.7850 for the last time, after buying at 0.7835 initially.
The trend in EV adoption is driving flows here I suspect, with an increase in the price of copper, iron ore, cobalt, nickel, and other materials required for different battery types....
Very good risk to reward trade, very manageable with a tight stop below the swing low. A clean break above 78 would signal a trend change in AUD, go long on pullbacks after breakout beyond 78.
