ETH + BULLISH CROSSEvery time Ethereum has a bullish cross on the Stochastic RSI in the oversold area, we see a rally for a few weeks.
M-oscillator
NZDUSD is forming a local bullish reversal structure by FRLNZDUSD is forming a local bullish reversal structure according to the Fractal Reversal Law (FRL).
The market has completed a descending impulse and printed a local FRL neckline, supported by:
1. A completed local impulse channel
2. Bullish MACD divergence
3. A touch of the lower boundary of the main descending structure.
FRL states that a phase transition begins only after the break of the neckline.
This local neckline is the nearest structural trigger for a potential bullish shift.
Until then, this remains a local reversal attempt, not a confirmed trend change.
Share your thoughts on this structure and the nzdusd in general.
LINK is Waking Up—But Is This a Bull Trap or the Real Deal?Yello, Paradisers! Did you catch the breakout on LINKUSDT? It looks good at first glance, but there’s a critical detail that could make or break this move—don’t skip this analysis if you’re thinking about jumping in.
💎LINKUSDT has just broken out of a well-defined descending channel, a structure that often marks the end of a downtrend phase. What adds weight to this breakout is the presence of bullish divergence on both the MACD histogram and the Stochastic RSI, two reliable momentum indicators. This confluence significantly increases the probability of a bullish continuation, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to enter blindly.
💎For a higher-probability trade setup, what we want to see next is a small pullback. Ideally, the price should return to the breakout zone, allowing former resistance to flip into solid support. If this area holds, that’s where the opportunity lies—targeting the next major liquidity zones and resistance levels above.
💎However, caution remains essential here. If price breaks back down and closes a candle below the invalidation level, it would invalidate the bullish setup entirely. In that case, it’s far better to remain on the sidelines and wait for a cleaner structure to form, rather than forcing a position during uncertain conditions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. This market rewards patience, discipline, and tactical execution. The next big opportunity is always around the corner—but only for those who stay focused and follow the strategy without emotional interference. Be a pro.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
APP - UPTREND STILL INTACT!APP - CURRENT PRICE : 670.00 - 674.00
APP is showing strong bullish momentum as the price trades above the 50-day EMA and ICHIMOKU CLOUD , indicating a sustained uptrend. The RSI is in bullish territory but not yet overbought, indicating room for further upside. With the current setup, the stock has potential to retest its all-time high area if momentum continues.
ENTRY PRICE : 670.00 - 674.00
FIRST TARGET : 727.00
SECOND TARGET : 770.00
SUPPORT : 50-day EMA
Amazon.com Pulls Back After Earnings BreakoutMomentum from strong earnings propelled Amazon.com to new highs last week, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the September 9 high of $238.85. The e-commerce and cloud-computing giant tested and held that level last Friday. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those signals may reflect short-term bullishness.
Next, AMZN touched its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) less than a month ago. The 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are also relatively close. Notice how the faster SMAs are above the slower SMAs. That may suggest its long-term trend is getting bullish again.
Last, AMZN is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 977,000 contracts ranked fourth in the S&P 500 last month, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options.
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Top 3 Lessons From Trading Since 2017In life you have to know the following:
Learn to keep secrets.
This is very hard especially if you are a leader
i see many many influences make this mistake
Even i myself i have made
this mistake so many times.
Some topics are just to sensitive to share.
Its a sad reality that some people
don't want to know the truth
even if the truth is going to help them.
If you have a business
learn to give your employees more details
The more details you give employees
the more they can help you out.
This also applies to leadership positions.
If you are leader of a group
you have to try your best to give more
details.
Now this does not mean give them
all the details at once
it just means learn to understand
if they did not understand the first time
they did the task you
asked them to do.Be patient with
your employees they are not
perfect give them
time to digest information.
This wont be easy because some employees
dont follow instructions.
Learn to respect monetary limits.
In as much as you want to show off
like every person i know.
You have to hold back and learn to reserve your capital
This is a very powerful lesson that
you can apply
to your trading knowledge as well.
Capital reserving is part of risk management
Look at the MACD indicator on the daily chart
the histogram is Dark green
this is the highest probability of trading that you
could wish for.Of course seeing
such a trade doesn't mean you will
always find good trades
The MACD Histogram is
my favourite indicator
learn more about it
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Trade safe.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky learn risk management and profit
taking strategies.
Please use a simulation trading account
before oyu trade with real money.
ETHUSD 1H | Bullish Continuation Setup🟢 Market Structure
Price holding above key support at 3,600
4H sell-side liquidity taken below
Bullish structure intact with higher lows
🔵 Key Support Levels
Immediate Support: 3,600 - 3,610 (current zone)
Primary Support: 3,583 - 3,594 (consolidation base)
Strong Support: 3,549 (momentum defense)
🎯 Entry Zones & Targets
🟡 Primary Entry: 3,605 - 3,615 (current retest)
🟠 Secondary Entry: 3,583 - 3,594 (deeper retest)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below 3,548 (support break)
💰 Take Profit Targets
TP1: 3,637 - 3,650 (immediate resistance)
TP2: 3,700 - 3,720 (momentum extension)
TP3: 3,800 - 3,856 (liquidity zone)
⚡ Trade Management
Scale entries on support retests
Move SL to breakeven at TP1
Partial profits at each target
Bullish continuation expected - buying dips toward support
#ETH #Ethereum #TradingView #Bullish #Crypto
BTC/USD tests 200DMA with trend on the lineBTC/USD continues to bounce strongly from $99,060 support, adding to the sense we may be nearing a bullish turning point if sellers parked above the 200-day moving average are eventually overrun.
Should we see a break and hold above the 200DMA, longs could be established above the level with a stop placed beneath for protection, targeting $107,500 which acted as support earlier this year. It may now flip to resistance.
A break of $107,500 would put the downtrend from the record highs in sight, along with the 50DMA. The former sits around $110,500 and interests me not only because of the falling wedge pattern the price finds itself coiling in but also the reliability prior bullish breakouts from falling wedge patterns have seen in recent times to play out in full.
While RSI (14) and MACD remain firmly entrenched in bearish territory, which favour short setups overall, there’s tentative signs that downside strength may be starting to wane with a higher low set in the former. It’s not a definitive signal and has yet to be confirmed by MACD, but it provides a warning that the tide may be slowly starting to turn.
Of course, should BTC/USD remain capped beneath the 200DMA, the option remains to sell beneath the level with a stop above, targeting another test of support below $100,000. The case for this setup would be strengthened should we see weakness in tech stocks on Monday with BTC/USD demonstrating a strengthening positive relationship with Nasdaq 100 futures over the past fortnight, sitting with a correlation coefficient of just under 0.8.
Good luck!
DS
Improving My Win Loss Ratio In Forex TradingWell, Some good news, actually great news. The experiment worked and in this video I show how I am improving my win loss ratio in Forex trading.
From a disastrous Win Loss ratio using only SMC now with combining the classical school along with the Stochastic I have been nailing it for the past 20 days with 22 trades and 8.6% increase on my balance.
In many cases, especially with advantageous RRR, it is Ok to have the win loss ratio in favor of the Loss, as the RRR will compensate and the balance would increase, but in this case I have the win rate higher and the RRR if it was calculated is also higher.
I depend on opening multiple trades and closing them all at once once they hit an acceptable percentage. In the video I said I will close them around 2%, but to tell you the truth, even if it was 1% I would close because no business I know of would bring 1% profit in a day.
The concern now with this Forex Trading Plan is that it does not use Stop Loss nor Take Profit. I feel that I am hanging in the air, which is not a good feeling and this might get me inside an emotional imbalance in the long run.
Still, the test is going on to evaluate all that.
NQ consolidate US government shutdown and stock price overheat become downward issues. technically weekly chart show stochastic and candlestick pattern potensial make price going down for a few week ahead.
price will consolidation between last high and strong support. will see price next movement later
Broadridge Financial Breakout from Double Bottom | Target: 239.8🧩 Pattern Overview
Broadridge Financial has given a strong breakout from a Double Bottom pattern , signaling a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. This pattern typically represents the end of selling pressure and the beginning of a new upward phase.
💫 RSI Indication
The RSI was in the oversold zone prior to the breakout, suggesting that the stock was undervalued and ripe for a technical rebound. The recovery in RSI now supports the bullish sentiment, indicating improving momentum.
📊 Technical View
Price has closed above the neckline of the double bottom formation.
The structure confirms a shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Momentum indicators are showing early signs of strength and potential continuation.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the breakout measurement of the double bottom pattern, the upside target is set at 239.8 . Sustained movement above the neckline could drive prices toward this level in the near term.
💡 Trading Insight
Broadridge Financial’s breakout from the double bottom, combined with an oversold RSI recovery, strengthens the bullish outlook. Traders can monitor for follow-through price action as confirmation of trend continuation toward the projected target.
Iron Ore Bears in Control After 200DMA BreakIron ore has fallen through the 200-day moving average, a level consistently tested but rarely crossed, as seen in price action over the past year. If the contract closes below it today, a short setup could be on the cards.
Traders could sell with a stop above the 200DMA to protect against a reversal, targeting ¥747 support. ¥755, the low of October 20, is also on the radar for anyone considering the setup. Should the unwind extend beyond ¥747, ¥735 is the next logical target, coinciding with former resistance that capped the price several times earlier this year.
Oscillators are sending a bearish message. RSI (14) is trending lower beneath 50, while MACD confirmed the signal with a bearish crossover earlier this week. Downside strength is building, favouring short setups.
On the fundamental side, Chinese trade data released today showed a 4.3% drop in iron ore imports in October. That may be contributing to the bearish breakdown, especially with steel exports also falling sharply compared to a month earlier.
Good luck!
DS
Strategy's Premium is Gone. Time to Load? 4 months ago, I posted that NASDAQ:MSTR premium was unsustainable and the stock price would drop.
Since then, the price dropped by 50%!!
Now, Strategy's is close to zero, and I flip my views on it.
If you like this kind of trade, it might be a good time to start DCA'ing it.
Note that Strategy continues to be a highly volatile stock, more volatile than Bitcoin itself.
Finally, the stock is now at a technical resistance level.
You can keep an eye on the premium/discount of this stock by looking at my 2 indicators:
Market to NAV Premium Arbitrage Alpha Indicator , and
Asset Premium/Discount Monitor
Small Caps Look VulnerableBe it the longest government shutdown in history, the largest increase in October layoffs since 2003, the increasingly unconvincing price action, shifting momentum picture, or the descending triangle it’s coiling in, the purest cyclical play in the U.S. equity index universe—the U.S. small caps 2000 contract—looks vulnerable to downside.
2420 is where bulls and bears are currently slugging it out, marking support that’s held since mid-October. While the price continues to bounce from the level, the moves are becoming increasingly small, hinting that downside may loom.
A break and close beneath 2420 could see shorts established with a stop above to guard against reversal, targeting 2370 support—an area that’s consistently attracted buyers since September.
RSI (14) is trending lower and sits beneath 50, indicating building downside pressure. MACD is entering negative territory after crossing the signal line from above, suggesting directional risks are skewing lower even if the signal remains neutral for now.
Good luck,
DS
PONKEUSDT - A Major Dump Incoming?Yello Paradisers — did you just witness that clean breakdown on PONKEUSDT? If not, this might be your early warning. The structure is starting to unravel, and if you're not prepared, this move could catch you off guard. Let’s walk through what’s happening and how to approach it with precision.
💎PONKEUSDT has broken down from a rising wedge pattern that formed right beneath a significant resistance zone. This breakdown isn’t just technical noise — it’s supported by strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators. We're seeing clear divergence on the MACD histogram, RSI, and Stochastic RSI, all of which point toward weakening bullish momentum and increasing downside probability. When you have structure, resistance, and momentum all aligning like this, it's time to start thinking defense — not offense.
💎If the price retraces back up toward the resistance zone, this could provide a cleaner and higher-probability entry for shorts. Ideally, traders should look for confirmation through candlestick patterns such as a bearish engulfing to validate their setup. A retracement followed by rejection would not only strengthen the bearish case but also significantly improve the risk-to-reward ratio of any new positions.
💎However, it’s crucial to stay objective. If PONKEUSDT pushes back above the resistance zone and closes a candle with conviction, the bearish setup becomes invalid. That would be our signal to step aside and wait for new confirmation before making any moves. Trading based on probabilities means knowing exactly when you're wrong — and having the discipline to act on that.
🎖We are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Hidden Cup & Handle, $DFLI $3+I am publishing a very speculative cup & handle chart analysis idea. I have never seen such a technical analysis for a cup & handle and do not recommend any financial advice due to it. This is an idea alone.
On the 30min timeframe, I have isolated the price pattern between today and October 15 and moved it up to the ending price on October 15 (effectively ignoring the downward gap that occurred after hours that day). The reason why I am ignoring that downward gap and not ignoring the pre-market upward gap before October 15 is explained below.
If you chart the price action this way, a clear and obvious cup and handle chart exists on the half-day chart (195min), which I successfully used in a previous chart analysis idea. I am publishing this idea with the 30min chart to more clearly show the bullish reversal taking place with the indicators and the failing selling pressure.
Chart analysis price target $3+
Chart analysis invalidated below $1-
Background:
NASDAQ:DFLI has experienced very choppy price action due to heightened involvement and excitement with the stock in combination with materially significant company and stock operations (new stock offerings, debt payments, NASDAQ compliance, patent approvals, bullish institutional fundamentals, etc). In particular, on October 15, the day began with news of a new patent approval (that gapped the stock up) and ended the day with news of a new stock offering (that gapped the stock down). After observing what the stock has done since that day, I believe the down gap which occurred after hours October 15 to be an overreaction and the underlying stock transactions since that day to actually be in an upward trend. The reason I believe this is due to the failing selling pressure being applied toward the beginning of each trading session AND due to the clear bullish trend reversal on the 30min MFI, MACD, and BB since the down gap (as shown with the perpendicular line). Data shows that short selling significantly increased over the past month (most likely on Oct 15 and causing the down gap), but given the failure to break the support above $1 - $1.15 and also given the the upward indicators, I expect shorts might cover soon.
Double Bottom on $ROOTNASDAQ:ROOT has retraced to its 100 W moving average and is bouncing off it at the moment. This is occurring within a lower volume lower low within a 24 W bollinger band while (importantly) not touching the lower limit. Many new investors entered last quarter (between orange lines) and if they haven't sold out, could provide the support for a base above current price.
Kraken Robotics (TSX-V: PNG) - Swing TradeSwing Setup
PNG.TO
— Swing Trade Breakdown
Kraken Robotics (TSX-V: PNG) is a Canadian marine technology company developing sonar and underwater robotics systems used in defense and offshore energy. The stock has exploded off its 52-week lows, driven by strong order flow and renewed interest in small-cap defense tech. It’s now showing a clean momentum setup with defined support and resistance levels for swing traders.
📊 Fundamentals
Kraken trades at roughly 92× earnings, far above the small-cap tech average (20–30×), meaning growth expectations are already baked in. The price-to-book is around 14×, showing limited book value support.
On the positive side, ROE sits near 17% with debt-to-equity at only 0.3, so leverage is low. However, free cash flow is still negative (~-13 M CAD) and the company relies on reinvestment for growth. Cash reserves around 33 M CAD provide a liquidity cushion.
Overall, Kraken is a high-growth, high-valuation play — decent profitability but no margin for execution mistakes.
📈 Trends & Catalysts
Revenue has climbed roughly 30% YoY (to about 90 M CAD), while EPS turned modestly positive (~0.06 CAD). That growth has investors rotating into the name, but negative operating cash flow remains a concern.
Recent catalysts include:
• New contracts in sonar and subsea battery systems
• Expanding demand from naval and defense clients
• Broader rotation into small-cap tech and defense innovation plays
Main risks: valuation stretch, execution in complex defense contracts, and persistent negative FCF.
🪙 Industry Context
Marine robotics is a small but rapidly growing niche. Over the past year, PNG has surged more than 200%, massively outperforming the TSX Tech Index. Sentiment has shifted bullish after years of stagnation, and the stock remains a micro-cap momentum magnet — but prone to sharp corrections.
📐 Technical View
PNG is trading near 5.69 CAD, well above its 50-day SMA (~5.00) and 200-day SMA (~3.50) — confirming a strong uptrend.
Momentum cooled after a sharp run, with RSI2 at 1.94, resetting from short-term overbought conditions.
The 5.50–5.60 CAD zone is now acting as support (former breakout base), while 7.40 CAD marks the key resistance at the recent high. Volume spikes during rallies suggest institutional accumulation — but expect volatility.
🎯 Trade Plan
I’m watching for a pullback entry around 5.50–5.70 CAD, which aligns with the 20-day EMA and prior consolidation range.
Stop-loss sits near 5.00 CAD, just below structural support.
Initial target is 7.40 CAD, offering roughly a 1.2:1 R/R, extendable toward 8.00+ CAD if momentum continues.
Alternatively, a breakout above 6.70 CAD on strong volume could trigger a momentum continuation setup for active traders.
🧠 My Take
Kraken is in a confirmed uptrend with strong sector tailwinds and visible contract growth. Valuation is aggressive, but momentum remains intact. This is a high-beta swing trade, not a long-term hold — I’m looking for a disciplined entry near support or a confirmed breakout, keeping risk tight and respecting volatility.
Bias: Bullish above 5.50 CAD, targeting 7.40 CAD+
Invalidation: Close below 5.00 CAD
ASX SPI: Bounce Like It’s 2025?The second downside target of the short trade in ASX 200 SPI futures discussed last Friday has now been achieved, prompting a reassessment: hold, add, square, or flip?
The uptrend that had been in place since late May finally gave way after a brief period of indecision. The subsequent bearish move broke minor support at 8830 on Tuesday before stalling at 8750 on Wednesday.
While price action and momentum indicators remain extremely bearish, suggesting the breakdown could evolve into a more pronounced downtrend, it’s impossible to ignore the broader context. This is 2025. Since the Liberation Day lows in April, every bearish episode has been met with aggressive dip-buying. Until proven otherwise, we must remain open to the possibility of history repeating, creating scope for countertrend longs.
If the price fails to close below 8750 today, longs could be considered above the level with a stop below for protection. Preference would be for entry to be closer to 8750 than where the price currently trades. Initial targets would be 8830, followed by the intersection of former uptrend support and the 50-day moving average at 8914.
Conversely, if the price closes below 8750, shorts could be initiated or added beneath the level with a stop above, targeting support at 8600.
To be clear, RSI (14) and MACD are both firmly bearish, consistent with building downside pressure that favours short setups. But that message must be treated with caution given the relentless dip-buying seen in recent months.
Good luck!
DS
Bitcoin shortBtc forming a clear divergence on the weekly rsi.
Ususally indicates a down turn. Closes below the 50 week ma at 102,500 historically confirm beginning if bear
Warning signs build for bullsContinued topside failures combined with an evening star pattern on the daily should have silver traders on alert for potential downside in the days ahead.
You can’t help but notice how feeble the bounce has been relative to the rout seen in October, with price consistently struggling above $49, which just happens to be the 38.2% fib retracement of the October high-low range. Five separate failures above the level were telling, perhaps explaining why we saw an eventual pullback on Monday, delivering an obvious evening star pattern on the daily that warns of downside risk. With momentum indicators turning neutral, the price signal suggests short setups may be the way to play near term.
$48.00 has seen plenty of action either side recently, making it a candidate to build a bearish setup around. Shorts could be set beneath with a stop above for protection, targeting either $46, which offered support previously, or the October 28 swing low of $45.56. In between, the 23.6% fib of the October high-low is found at $47.67. Given the price has respected other retracements, it’s a level of note. Minor support is also located 40 cents lower at $47.27. Unless you’re only interested in ultra-short-term setups, price action at these levels should be monitored rather than treated as targets for the trade.
Good luck!
DS
BCHUSDT- Bears Taking Control? Massive Downside Move Loading!Yello Paradisers, BCHUSDT is showing signs of a potential bearish move as it has displayed a bearish CHoCH with bearish divergence on MACD histogram after an accumulation and manipulation phase, which increases the probability of a downside move.
💎 For entries, we can expect a rejection from the FVG zone and target the liquidity levels below. Safe traders can wait for a bearish candlestick pattern confirmation around the FVG area before entering to ensure a higher probability setup.
💎 However, if the price breaks out and closes a candle above the invalidation level, it will invalidate our entire bearish idea.
💎In that case, it would be better to wait for more favorable price action to form before taking any positions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
EUR/AUD downside pressure intensifiesEUR/AUD finds itself just above a key zone consisting of horizontal support at 1.7600 and the key 200-day moving average, providing decent two-way trade setups depending on how the near-term price action evolves.
Should we see a break and close beneath both levels, it would allow for shorts to be established below the 200DMA with a stop above for protection, targeting 1.7465 or 1.7400 initially depending on desired risk/reward from the trade. The option would also be there to sell the break should we see a close beneath 1.7600, allowing for a stop to be placed above targeting the same levels. However, consider squaring or even flipping the trade should the price be unable to break beneath the 200DMA.
Should the price continue to hold above 1.7600, you could flip the setup and establish longs, allowing for a stop to be placed beneath the 200DMA for protection. 1.7726 or the intersection of the 50DMA with horizontal resistance at 1.7800 screen as logical targets.
Momentum indicators favour downside over upside, increasing the appeal of bearish setups. RSI (14) is trending lower beneath 50, pointing to building downside pressure. MACD has confirmed the bearish message, crossing the signal line from above before pushing into negative territory.
Good luck!
DS
