The graph: TVC:DXY*1000000000000/ECONOMICS:USM2 (without *10000... scales equal to 0 ) DXY - the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners' currencies. DXY is a key economic and trading value. It's changes impact/reflect values of stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies and...
Despite M2V and GDP having better correlations to inflation, money supply itself also has a correlation to inflation.
During the beginning of the descent many rightfully called BTC forming a double top when divided by m2 money supply ... since then ive barely heard it being mentioned so i wanted to check it out and found out this chart actually tells a good story. Most major reactions have occurred based on significant highs or lows being swept ( symbolized by the $$$ ) and...
The more positive way of looking at LUNA, and other crypto disasters in general, is that these sorts of systemic problems eventually all get caught as the foundation falls underneath. In fiat, these sorts of issues get covered up, bailed-out, and hidden behind tools like quantitative easing as people get pushed out into the streets through inflation and housing...
The current drawdown in the Nasdaq may not appear like much when looking at a monthly chart for example, however when comparing to the money supply it tells a different story. Compared to M2 we are at the same level seen in early 2020, however compared to M1 we are at levels not seen since 1991.
A pretty rough week for the markets - especially crypto. The recent dips are a result of mainstream money (crypto curious, but not necessarily dedicated) leaving the space as a response to inflation woes and the Federal Reserve planning to increase interest rates over 2022. The US housing markets are also set to slow down as well, possibly leading to a recession...
US money supply (pink) has actually steadily increased in percentage terms. It has not risen sharply despite what most people say. Using a log scale shows the steady rise in percentage terms. If you use an arithmetic scale it looks like things are going parabolic. But you can't compare values from 50 years ago with values today, because compounding over time has...
A brief explanation on why everybody is and always has been so wrong about the deficit, printing and much more...
If you look at the S&P500 index ( TVC:SPX ) chart, you find that it has reached, and even surpassed, the previous high at 3393.5 which occurred just before the CV19 drop in March 2020. The last close on 31 December 2020 was at 3760. However, many attribute the recent V-shaped recovery to the Quantitative Easing scheme by the Federal Reserve, which makes a lot of...
BTCUSD divided by M2 money supply is testing the same level as in summer 2021, and the 0.382 level of the Fib channel that started back in 2017. The same setup is visible on BTCUSD vs Gold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD In an era of exceptional money printing, macro trends must be looked at through the lens of the money supply. Has BTCUSD/M2SL reached critical trendline support, or will we go back to ~$31k and test once more the 2017 ATH normalized to M2?
Under the current market conditions aka high Inflation I think it makes sense, to look at all assets vs M2 money supply instead of the USD. USD losing value against assets so quickly, that classic technical analysis is limited. As you can see, if valued against M2 the SNP is still about to recover from the dot-com-bubble. I think it will take about the next 5-6...
Just for consideration. Formula includes SPX500USD and M1REAL.
What you see here is a ratio of SPX vs. the M2 Money Supply. Many inverse head and shoulders patterns in this chart, which should resolve to the upside. FYI - M1 = coins and currency in circulation + checkable (demand) deposit + traveler's checks. M2 = M1 + savings deposits + money market funds + certificates of deposit + other time deposits. tldr; The FED is...
The parabolic ascents seem to end in a couple cases around spring 2023 (April) if the parabolas are correct and hold up. This is all based on the magic of compounding (debt). At some point the debt bubble gets too big and pops.
VIX has hit my short term price target of $25. With all the fundamentals of money supply, let see how the market reacts now with some easing in QE. I hope this coming crash will be a lesson Central Banks, but I doubt it.... Lets sit back and what the volatility bubble up! Boom, TheRaggy
So i have to give credit to Benjamin Cowen for the heads up on the money supply vs bitcoin chart. You can go find him on youtube for some very good TA analysis, not searched for him on here yet, if u know his username please link it below This chart is to compliment previous published idea to give an understanding of how the extra money being madly printed has an...
Just a quick chart to show all the new money thats being printed by central banks we can see how the stock market is being kept alive by all this extra wealth being pushed into it, keeping it bullish, the only downside is obvious, INFLATION, massive amounts of very dangerous and harmful inflation! Highlighted the 2008 housing market short and also the most...