ETHUSD - Is the bear market over for ETH?I am considering that the bear market is not over, we see bears stepping in for the remaining of the month / year.
We have clear bearish reactions from the daily FVG / 4h FVG with both fractal structures on both timeframes beeing bearish.
I am expecting that ETH will continue it's movement for at least the 4h bullish FVG connection, where i will be moving my SL to BE and let the trade run with 0 risk.
The last low, in my point of view, is far from beeing protected and we can see another round of sells before anything else.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTC NEXT CYCLEFor BTC/USD, I have two plans for preparing for the next cycle. If the price is able to break through the FAIR VALUE GAP WEEKLY and turn it into an INVERSE FAIR VALUE GAP first, then it is highly likely that BTC/USD will enter a SUPER CYCLE. However, if the price breaks through the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK first, BTC/USD will return to the 4-YEAR CYCLE. In this cycle, I will buy BTC/USD at the WEEKLY ORDER BLOCK or MONTHLY BALANCE PRICE RANGE. My TP target for both cycles is USD 229,780.00. However, I will partially take profit at 200,000.00 USD. I obtained this target from STANDARD DEVIATION - 4, which is the result of marking FIBBONACCI RETRACEMENT on the ATH cycle 2021 to SWING LOW cycle 2025. Why did I use this? because in the previous cycle, after BTC/USD touched around the STANDARD DEVIATION - 2 area, the price immediately dropped below and ended the cycle, so I use this as my reference for TP in this cycle. (DISCLAIMER ON)
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry At Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 156.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NIFTY Quick View – Dec 23, 2025NIFTY Quick View – Dec 23, 2025
(Chart: )
Spot:
26177
Supports
30min: 26,000
|| 1D: 25,700
View
Supports dominate – no visible resistance.
Higher likelihood of testing support than reaching new all-time highs.
Trade Approach
Enter long calls on rejection at put strikes (support holds).
• Enter long puts on rejection at call strikes (upside fails).
Dynamic flip: Shift to inverse strikes when the initial direction weakens.
Clear levels only – no SL or targets provided.
You define your own setup.
DYOR – Options trading carries high risk! 📈
More details on my view
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
My Trading approach
www.tradingview.com
Sell-Side Bias Favored at Daily PremiumDAILY
4H
Price is currently trading into daily premium and interacting with buy-side liquidity near the recent highs.
While a 4H CHoCH has formed, the displacement occurred directly into prior supply without clear acceptance. Until the daily closes strong above the highs, upside continuation remains unproven.
Failure to hold above the broken high would increase the probability of this move resolving as a buy-side liquidity sweep, opening the door for downside rotation toward sell-side liquidity near 154.50.
Bias favors the sell scenario unless daily acceptance confirms otherwise.
CADCHF LONGMarket structure long on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.57500
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NIFTY Moved EXACTLY As Analyzed | Live Entries, SL & Target Hit
Today’s video has been recorded live during market hours —> no hindsight, no edited stories.
I tracked the price action candle-by-candle, explained the structure as it was forming, and shared the exact trades I took.
You will see:
• My stop-loss getting hit (full transparency)
• My targets getting hit
• Why the analysis played out perfectly
• How to adjust your plan when the market shifts
• How I manage trades in real time
This is pure live price action + real psychology.
If you follow the whole breakdown, you’ll understand exactly why the market moved the way it did and how I planned the next setups.
Let me know if you want more live breakdowns like this.
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Potential Head And Shoulder forming on the Daily
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.58000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Potential Head And Shoulder forming on the H4
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
CADCHF - Only way is up!CADCHF on a daily view seems to be super bullish latelly, last high actually left behind liquidity, EQH, for me a clear target after this retracement.
Right now, price is stalling inside the Daily bullish OB after closing the FVG above. We see that the price was squizing inside, leaving a lot of trendline liquidity just bellow the most recent bearish OB.
Moving to the 4h chart, we can see even better the liquidity that we have above us, with the price kinda wanting to react from the 4h BB wich is inside the 4h FVG wich is inside the daily OB (bullish all).
Only scarry thing is that on the left , on a zoomout chart we still have some EQ lows developed as a trendline liquidity wich actually is resting to the next daily OB.
I see a bullish intent as the fractals on daily remained bullish, 4h just switched to bullish and also the 1h is bullish.
Will look closelly at this trade to see a good bullish development and move my sl as soon as posible to BE as Christmas aproaches and don't want to get caught on offside.
MRNA Story - On A Smaller ScaleIn continuation of the previous idea, I wanted to cover the shorter time frame move on $NASDAQ:MRNA.
Really, this is a more simple analysis as the base is clearly set on the weekly chart. I should note I have analyzed the consolidation on the 2-Week time period. The 2-Week time period does also give a range expansion signal, but for a more detailed look I am showing the 1-Week time period.
With the current base, and a measure of this consolidation range (from low to high), a first target of $42.76 can be obtained. If the trend continues in a really strong fashion, a second target of $68.17 would look to be hit. Sometimes when an explosive move like this happens, a retest of the mode can occur like in the example path shown below. However, just as the continuation of this trend remains to be seen, so does any retest of this move. Make bets accordingly.
Whether the trend continues, and how strong it remains, of course is yet to be determined. But this analysis allows for educated guesses to be made and positions to be taken.
Best of luck to all of us who are entering positions and looking for continuation of this trend reversal play.
Pasting the regular weekly chart (no path) here:
Enjoy,
Reagen
MRNA Trend Reversal From The Time @ Mode PerspectiveWhat a history NASDAQ:MRNA has had... does the story have new life? The recent price action would suggest that new momentum could be coming for Moderna.
I have added notes to my Moderna chart today to visualize how the Moderna story has played out. Let's take a look. As an aside, this will be a two part series with the next idea looking at the shorter term chart.
On the longer term chart, there is a 30-Month consolidation period from February 2022 all the way until July 2024. After this consolidation, the story took a nose dive with Moderna declining massively and thus kicking off a major down trend that had the strength of a 30-Month consolidation period behind it. Taking the entire range of this past consolidation, a trader gets a target of around $33. Moderna zoomed right to the target 5 months after the "kick off" period of the August 2024 downward range expansion.
After reaching the downtrend target, there was some additional selling that occurred. However, it is clear that the massive move to the downside was now stalling out. In my experience, this stalling of the trend is normal after having moved so significantly over a long time horizon. Can happen on a shorter time frame as well, but the long time frame makes this anomaly easier to observe as the occurrence happens over an easy to observe period (months and weeks).
So, this leads us to the current, smaller timeframe, uptrend. In my experience, when price hits a time @ mode target (and/or moves slightly beyond the target), it will offer trend reversal opportunities. How quickly the reversal of the trend will occur and how long it may last are, in general, unknown factors. It typically will take some small time frame analysis to make some determinations on that front.
An additional note to all this: the 30-Month consolidation range has the potential to lead to 30-Months of general downtrend pressure. It may be helpful to view any shorter term trend reversals in the lens of this 30-Month downtrend pressure. But that does not necessarily limit how far a trend reversal in price can move. Again, this is where analysis on the shorter time frame comes in.
This is what we will discuss in the next idea.
NZDUSD — Correction Invalidated, Execution From the A–B BreakerPrice is trading inside a higher-timeframe BC , where the first failure already occurred.
The base breaker formed when continuation buyers expected the uptrend to resume, but MSS invalidated that assumption , trapping early continuation attempts.
At that stage, there was no sequence yet — only uncertainty.
Only after that failure did a valid ABC structure develop.
Wave A proposed direction
Wave B formed as a correction, where buyers entered expecting B to hold
Wave C began at the end of B and structurally invalidated B , proving the correction was finished
The continuation breaker is defined as the entire zone between the end of A and the end of B , where correction buyers built exposure.
For execution, I drop to lower timeframes and isolate the last breaker inside the A–B zone before Wave C flipped the scenario .
That breaker represents the final correction belief — and therefore the highest-probability entry location .
Price is expected to return to this area to:
remove correction buyers
sweep inducement
rebalance risk
That liquidity is the fuel for Wave C continuation toward its target .
If price does not return to the A–B zone, there is no trade .
If correction is not structurally invalidated, there is no participation .
I don’t trade direction —
I trade when correction proves it’s finished .
“ I participate only after correction fails — not before, not without proof. ”
Not financial advice.






















