Dealing Ranges - Powerful filter tool to your tradingHello Traders today. I ll break down for you how to enter on a pullback with high accuracy and not being stopped out by using a fibonacci in other words a Dealing range.
A Dealing Range forms when price takes out both a swing high and a swing low, followed by a clear expansion move. That expansion swing becomes the dealing range.
• By dividing the dealing range in half, we get two zones:
• Discount region (lower half) – where buying opportunities are typically more favorable.
• Premium region (upper half) – where selling opportunities are typically more favorable.
• You can think of a dealing range as similar to a PD Array Matrix, but specifically applied to expansion swings rather than consolidation phases.
On the example bellow I drew a Dealing range. If I took the long from the key level in the premium the trade would fail. But if waited for the key level in discount I could get much better RR and explosive move vice versa is happening on the bearish order flow charts. Check on your charts
So why is this situation on the above happening quite often?
It's simple - Liquidity. Market makers needs liquidity to fill their orders so they print nice trade opportunities in the premium where trader enter this setup, for trend continuation.
Setup is technically right. But by placing the trades in premium they creates a stop loss cluster = liquidity in the discount. Then this happen - price go for the liquidity of early buyers in the premium hits key level in the discount and it continue with the trend.
Im not saying that key levels in the premium cant work, in the strong trend there is no always pullback to the discount. But by applying Dealing ranges you will get:
Less but more accurate trades
Higher Risk reward setups
You can build HTF narrative
Use it for targets
Better risk management
Remember, there is not always a key level in the premium and pullback to the discount is not enough. Trade must go from a key level. So if there is not a key level in the premium price is often retracing to the discount key level in order to create a liquidity around a key level price makes a false break which sucks traders in to the market and create a liquidity on a key level.
Dont enter if price is not going from key level its a trap.
Time frame alignments
Always use 2 timeframes Higher time frame (HTF) and Lower timeframe (LTF)
• Higher Timeframe (HTF) = Dealing ranges
• Lower Timeframe (LTF) = Market Profiles / Profiling
Timeframe sequence
HTF Monthly - LTF - Daily / H4
HTF Weekly - LTF - H4 / H1
HTF Daily - LTF H1/ M15
HTF H4 - LTF M15 / M5
Im giving 2x LTF options because sometimes you need to scale lower timeframe to understand price action and best entries. However for the confirmations you can do well with the main sequence of first two.
Apply this rule to any markets. Im adding links to few examples from stocks, crypto an FX where you can see application of this concept. Click to charts to open them and see how price behave in discount and premium.
Examples from successful Tradingview Ideas
Tesla pullback to the discount - Low created in discount ATH most likely coming
Bitcoin pullback to the discount - Followed by expansion to ATH
Palantir pullback to the discount - followed by expansion to ATH
Bitcoin pullback to the Discount - followed by expansion
GBPCHF - Targeting Liquidity in the discount
Hope this help you in your trading journey. Let me know in the comments
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Gold Bulls Walking on Thin Ice1. Yesterday’s action
In yesterday’s analysis I said that although the chart looks bullish, Gold bulls should be very careful. After all, price had already climbed 4,000 pips in less than a month, and such complacency usually doesn’t end well.
During yesterday’s session, XAUUSD spiked above 3700, quickly reversed, and touched the newly formed support at 3675. From there, price attempted another push higher. Now we are once again back at support.
2. Key question
Will the 3670 zone hold, or are bulls about to lose control of the market?
3. Why caution is needed
• The chart is still bullish overall, but the structure is becoming increasingly concerning.
• If bulls lose the 3670 zone, I don’t expect a quick rebound from 3650.
• Instead, the market is more likely to continue lower, with at least a move toward 3620.
4. Trading plan
• From my perspective, buying here is very risky, even riskier than selling.
• I remain out of the market, waiting for a GOOD entry to sell.
• My target is a 700–1000 pip as usual, which I believe will come to the downside, not the upside.
5. Conclusion
Gold’s chart may still look bullish, but risk is shifting quickly. Chasing longs here could be dangerous — patience and discipline are key until the right sell opportunity appears 🚀
Is Gold about to start a 18 month crash? - August 2025** The next 18 months **
For the last couple of years Without Worries has been quite the bear on gold price action since $2200-2500 per ounce area. Now price action is up an additional 50%. Even today In some parts of the world $2500 remains more than twice the cost miners pay for recovery, which is Incredible.
Price action now flirts with 3400-3500 as Gold bugs call for higher prices. Animal spirts are in full control.
Indeed influencer and enthusiasts talk of forecasts to $7k, $10k as they seek an apology, “Do you admit you were wrong?”, that sort of thing, so strong is the conviction. Looking left, the last 1 to 2 years, absolutely. The market appetite was completely unforeseen by myself. From my perspective a 25 year bull run from $250 an ounce has played out. A bull run that has delivered an astonishing 1300% return, which is many multiples of the increased dollar supply (M2) even if you factor in the rate of inflation.
Has my opinion changed? Is it true this time is different, is Gold now actually front running the inevitable devaluation of fiat currencies?
Absolutely not.
Price action is in an epic bubble not seen since 1980. Most of you reading this weren’t even born then. As incredible as the rush from $2k to $3.5k was (still underperforming Bitcoin by some margin); the last couple of years has protected purchasing power during persistent periods of inflation. The time to make good on that projection has arrived, but many gold investors might ignore that opportunity. Gold as an insurance product is only as good as the day you collect it.
Why so bearish? There’s fundamental and technical outlooks.
The fundamental reasons
A bubble of this magnitude has not been seen since the 1980’s decoupling of the Gold standard. Not withstanding uncertainty and panic, today’s bubble is driven by a combination of factors such as conflict, run away state debt, unstable government, uncertain tariff policy. The combination has been the perfect storm for Gold to thrive.
The 1980’s bubble was followed by a 70% correction after a massive 700% rally. Now we have a 1300% 25 year rally from the lows of 2000, and somehow I’m told this is the new normal.
Typically I’m not one for fundamentals, regardless, the period of history we’re entering is not all that dissimilar from the 1980s through to 1984, many comparisons exist so lets got through them year by year. During each of those years the gold price declined, in particular 81 and 82
What happened between 1980 and 84 to cause such a drawdown?
As we go through the reasons, think about the expectations for 2026 through until 2028, think about what those years may bring considering the world we’re in today and as it was between 1980 to 84.
The period from 1980 to 1984 was marked by significant global events. In particular a severe worldwide economic recession and a heightened period of the Cold War. Republican president Ronald Reagan adopted a more aggressive stance against the Soviet Union. In the end the Soviet Union collapsed, although not the same, war driven Russia today is faced with economic challenges that will require a generation of recovery.
The most significant event of this period was the global recession that began in 81, widely regarded as the most severe since the 1940s. Gold dropped 35% in 1981 alone. A primary cause of the recession was the tightening of monetary policies by major developed nations, particularly the United States under Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker. This was a deliberate effort to combat high inflation rates that had plagued the economy in previous years (similar to the current situation). Interest rates were significantly increased, reaching nearly 20%.
On Inflationary pressures…
The effects of tariffs are unlikely to be fully realised until late 2026. But the rate of inflation is now falling, right? That’s the talk. However tariff effects will very likely cause strong inflationary pressures, which are just beginning to be felt. This couldn’t come at a worst possible time as the US reports false and falling employment numbers. A combination of rising unemployment with unseen rates of inflation since the 1980s would indeed be an experience not observed for over two generations.
Technological achievements
1982 saw great technologic advancement with the IBM personal computer release marking a significant step in the personal computing revolution. It did not trigger a sudden catastrophic wave of job losses in the way one might imagine. Instead, the arrival accelerated a fundamental restructuring of the job market not unlike what is now seen with the onset of AI tools. I do emphasise ‘tools’, a human component shall always be required. An expert in his or her field. The point would be the disruption to the market new technology brings, which shall inevitability begin with increasing rates of unemployment.
Gold had corrected over 60% by this point.
In summary, the early 1980s was a period of significant economic restructuring aimed at taming inflation, which came at the cost of a severe recession and high unemployment. The geopolitical landscape remained tense and dynamic. When confidence in the market returns, regardless if it is good or bad, Gold falters on market confidence.
The technical
Price action printed a new 6 month candle with the close of July. Whether you believe in technical analysis or not, three are now several facts that require attention. They include:
A candle count.
The age of an Impulsive move is one of the most simplest measurement tools of any chart to help understand if buyer or seller appetite is dwindling. As you study impulsive moves from 6, 7 and 8 month charts that have printed since 1975 you realise each move is limited to a set number of green candles. The greatest being 8 x seven green monthly candle prints. The current print has 7 x seven month candle prints.
The Bollinger Band
For the first time in 45 years price action has printed a candle body well outside the Bollinger Band, 2 standard deviations (red circles) from the Mean. That is extraordinary. There is now a 95% probability price action shall pivot and begin a trend towards the mean, currently priced at $1800.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
To see RSI at 94 on a six month chart in combination with matching Candle Count and Bollinger Band condition is a strong indication of what should be expected to follow. Notice the RSI support is now confirmed as resistance.
In summary, there are both fundamentals and technical reasons to now expect a macro shift in price action due to shifts in the global economy that began many months ago.
Is it possible price action continue with higher prints? Absolutely.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
NZDUSD: A Slow Pair, but a Clear Setup1. What happened before
Although NZDUSD has been a very slow mover lately, the pair remains highly technical. Looking back, the broader downtrend started in 2014, with the decline visible on the chart since 2021. The most recent leg down began exactly one year ago and ended in April at 0.55 – a level that coincided with both the pandemic low and the October 2022 bottom.
2. Key question
Has NZDUSD finally built a foundation for a bullish continuation, or will the market remain trapped in its slow range?
3. Why upside continuation looks possible
• The rebound from April low reached 0.61 resistance before pulling back.
• Importantly, the pullback stopped at 0.58, forming a higher low and aligning with an old support.
• The new rise that followed confirms strong demand at 0.58, suggesting momentum may continue to the upside.
4. Trading plan
• The pair is bullish above 0.58.
• First upside target: 0.61 resistance.
• Longer-term soft target: 0.64.
• Patience is required – NZDUSD is a slow pair, and such a move needs time to develop.
5. Conclusion
NZDUSD might not be the fastest market, but its technical precision makes it worth watching. Above 0.58, the bias stays bullish, with the market slowly but surely building a case for higher levels 🚀
Coinbase token DEGEN: Bull Flag signals potential 340% rallyAfter a significant 70% correction from its highs in May, DEGEN appears to be setting the stage for a strong bullish reversal. The above chart, prepared from observations on weekly and daily timeframes, indicates the correction has now concluded.
Support and Resistance
The former resistance level from March and April (2) has now been established as a support zone since early September. This "flip" from resistance to support is a classic technical signal.
Trend Reversal
A clear trend reversal is visible in both price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Price action has broken out of its short-term downtrend channel, and the RSI has similarly broken above its own downtrend resistance, confirming renewed momentum.
Bull Flag pattern
A well defined bull flag pattern has formed on the daily chart. This is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong, impulsive move (the flagpole). The current consolidation is the "flag," and it is expected to lead to another impulsive move equal in size to the first.
Price Target and Forecast
Flagpole Measurement: The first impulsive wave from its low to the recent high was approximately 340%. A repeat of this impulsive move from the base of the bull flag projects a price target of 1.5 cents. Assuming the next impulsive wave follows a similar duration to the first, we can anticipate this forecast is reached in approximately 35 days.
Conclusion
The technical setup for DEGEN is highly bullish. The combination of a confirmed support level, a trend reversal in both price and RSI, and the formation of a textbook bull flag pattern provides a high conviction long signal.
Is is possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Tether Prints = Bitcoin Up!Crypto News In A Nutshell
The global crypto market cap now stands at $4.19 trillion, up 1.9% in the last 24 hours.
Despite these geopolitical developments, crypto markets remain relatively muted to this development. Bitcoin has held above the $115,000 level, while altcoins are also trading in green – even leading to increased calls for the start of “Altcoin season”.
Investor Ted notes that the U.S. markets are hitting new highs across the board with gold, stocks and even global money supply (M2) are all at record level, while the national debt continues to climb. Bitcoin is also just 7% away from its all-time high. Yet, the U.S inflation remains at 2.9%, far above the Fed target.
Is This The Start of a New Cycle?
According to Coinmarketcap, Bitcoin dominance has dropped to around 56.6%, while Ethereum has climbed to 13.9% and other altcoins now make up 29.5% of the market. This clear rotation of funds away from Bitcoin into altcoins has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike.
Short-Term Targets For Bitcoin:
- $117,416 Buyside Liquidity Pool
- $118,931 Daily Order Block
- $124,533 All-Time Highs
NIFTY Intraday Levels for 17th SEP 2025 & SWING PointsMarket Analysis:
NIFTY 50 Index is currently showing Bullish sentiment as it moves within an Ascending Channel (in Daily Chart ), indicating a potential upward trend continuation.
Though formed Bearish Harmonic Gartley Pattern havimg PRZ Near "25345 - 25395" Zone , signaling profit taking at any point of time on Above mentioned zone..
Indicator & Oscillator Short Analysis: "The price is above the 50-period moving average, suggesting a positive momentum. A Bullish MACD crossover further supports the upward movement, providing additional confirmation for potential buying interest.
Major Support levels Shifted from lower level near 24750 - 24850 to at 25110 - 25090 and 25000 ,
while resistance levels at 25345, 24395 and 25418 mark .
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
USDCAD Trade IdeaBias: Bullish (continuation of uptrend).
Current Context:
Price has not broken the previous low, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Currently retracing to fill the imbalance / unmitigated order block (OB).
Key Observations:
As long as price respects the order block area, the uptrend bias remains valid.
This zone should act as a potential demand area for continuation to the upside.
Trade Scenarios:
Long Opportunity:
Wait for reversal confirmations (CHoCH, bullish BOS, liquidity sweep, or strong rejection wicks) inside the OB/demand zone.
Entry from OB → targeting previous highs / next liquidity pool.
Invalidation:
If price breaks and closes below the identified low/OB, bullish bias is invalidated → wait for new structure to form.
GBPCHF: Bearish After News 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support yesterday.
Retesting a broken structure today, the price violated a support line
of a bearish flag pattern after a release of UK CPI this morning.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 1.0726 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Silver To $44, Gold To $4,000!Precious Metals Booom!:
- Silver prices at a 14-year high
- Gold Bullion hit a record high of $3,673.95 on Tuesday
- All precious metals headed for weekly gains
Gold prices rose on Friday, holding close to record highs hit earlier this week, as signs of a weakening U.S. labor market reinforced expectations the Federal Reserve will deliver its first rate cut of the year next week Wednesday.
"Weaker employment and spotty inflation... priced in with the Fed having to cut rates is pushing metals higher because there is the risk of longer-term inflation," said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.
"The market is preparing for the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates at the next meeting. The expectation is that this is not only one cut, (while) U.S. President Donald Trump's desire for lower policy rates also lifts gold's appeal," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
According to experts, the chances of us seeing lower gold prices going into 2026 is lower than Gold rallying higher into uncharted territories due to the poor revised NFP numbers, higher unemployment rate, increase in inflation, reduced consumer sentiment etc..
What To Lookout For Going Into The Future?
- Discovery Prices @ $3,800 per/oz
- Interest Rates Dropping Will Lead To Cheaper Borrowing Which Intern Increases Purchasing Power To Buy More Gold
- $44 Buyside Liquidity For Silver
EURUSD: All Targets Hit — Bulls Aim for 1.1900Hi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The false-breakout pattern of the buyer initiative’s lower boundary on the daily TF has played out.
EURUSD has reached all targets: 1.17110, 1.17888, 1.18299.
I expect the buyer move to continue toward 1.1900.
Prefer looking for long setups in the 1.1830–1.1835 zone, i.e., above 1.1830.
Watching.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Fed Funds Rate Drop By 0.25% Might Not Be Enough....US10Y
Yields on the US 10-year Treasury rose close to 3bps to 4.06% on Friday, holding just above the 5-month lows hit in the prior session, as markets grew increasingly confident the Fed will resume rate cuts next week.
Market participants are currently anticipating the equivalent of two to three quarter-point cuts by year-end, while some participants are wagering on a larger half-point move next week.
What Can We Expect Going Forward:
- Unusually High Volatility
- High Probability Liquidity Sweep
- Yields Catch Retail Offside
Areas Of Interest:
- Short-Term Draw To Weekly Buyside @ 4.103%
- Potential To Reach Up Into 4.151% Equilibrium Before or 30 Mins After Announcement
- Long-Term Sellside Draw Through 3.996%, Targeting 3.987% - 3.822% HTF Discount Inefficiency
(Assuming Rates Drop .25 - .50 Basis Points)
10-Year T-Note:
What To Expect Going Forward:
- High Probability For BISI Inefficiencies To Fill
- High Volatility Throughout The Week
- Potential For A Stop Raid
Areas Of Interest:
- 31st Mar 25, NWOG Discount @ 113'00'0
- 112'30'0 BISI Low
- 112'29'5 - 112'26'0 Weekly Volume Imbalance
Dollar Bloodbath = Risk On Assets Rally?Dollar Fundamentals:
The dollar posted modest gains on Friday due to higher T-note yields, which have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials.
The University of Michigan US Sep consumer sentiment index fell more than expected to a 4-month low causing the weakening of the dollar.
Limiting the upside in the dollar are the increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran’s intention to be a Fed Governor.
What Can We Expect Going Forward?
- Due To High Resistance Over Multiple Weeks, There Will Be Massive Levels Volatility, Aiming To Trap The Retail Traders
- Next Week Wednesday Will Determine How Volatile Dollar Will Be. Anything More Than A .25 Basis Point Decline Will Cause Turmoil For Dollar.
- This Will Lead Risk-On Assets (e.g. GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD) Rallying Up Into Premium Arrays
Prices To Keep An Eye On:
- 99.078 (Last Line Of Defence)
- 96.377 Major Sellside Liquidity
- Medium-Term Draw To 95.716 - 94.313 HTF Array
GBPUSD
Fundamentals :
UK gross domestic product remained unchanged in July after growing 0.4% in June, the Office for National Statistics said, as manufacturing output, which makes up 9% of the economy, dropped by 1.3% on the month.
The BoE is widely expected to keep its benchmark Bank Rate unchanged on September 18, after a split decision to lower the rate to 4% in August.
What To Expect Going Into Next Week?
- Increased Volatility
- Trigger HTF Stop Losses
- Unusually High Levels Of Manipulation
Price Points To Keep A Eye On:
- 1.35950 Buyside Liquidity
- 1.36760 - 1.37036 Longer Term Premium Array
- 1.34458 Mean Threshold (Last Line Of Defence)
Bitcoin Buy setupHi everyone.
I think these two areas have a good potential to take at least 1:1RR profit.
I've set orders in these areas.
Lets see what happens.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
XAU/USD 16 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,697.405.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,697.405.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GBPUSD Weekly Outlook ~ BuyThis week my favorite bullish setup with a risk reward ratio of 1:4. This ratio valid for coming week only because price may form new supply zones during the period that can narrow down the movement range in our favor.
However,.marked demand zone stays valid overall. Apply risk management to enjoy trading experience.
GBPCAD SWING BUYSMonthly resistance was broken and looks to be holding as strong support now.
Daily resistance has also been broken and retest looks to be real this time around.
Personally waiting for minor H4 resistance to be broken before looking for entries. Main target is next monthly high around 2.03000. Anyone buying this should give themselves a large SL and let it play out for the next coming weeks/months.