XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Strong Supply Area.
2. Price give break down in smaller time frame.
3. MSS formed in lower timeframe.
This is not a financial advice. confirmation very important. Let's see how it will work.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY)...one of the most important tools for a tradeHello TradingView community! Joseph here, just wanted to share some nuggets on the Dollar Index and how it has helped me in my personal trading and profitability in the markets.
In the video I go over
1. The significance of the USD in the markets
2. How using the USD index is necessary for correlation (multi-asset even)
3. How to use the USD index to help better time your own trades in the markets
So sit back, grab your notebook and take some notes because this information WILL help give you an immediate higher chance of success if applied!! Thanks for watching please boost/comment/follow my page for more trading nuggets!
Cheers!
GC 4H icc analysisGold has been in a clear uptrend and ran into resistance between 3574.6/3587.9. Price broke the zone and indicated that sellers were weak above 3587.9, continued to climb making a new high before correcting back below the zone. Once price hit a support, it continued back above 3587.9 aggressively making a new indication and a new high.
Entry: around 3587.9 (after reversal confirmation on 1 hour)
Stop loss: Below last low
Target: Last swing high
Not financial advice.
EURUSD (Daily) – Swing Short Setup📉 EURUSD (Daily) – Swing Short Setup
EURUSD has just swept internal liquidity above recent highs (~1.1743). This liquidity grab often signals that smart money has filled orders, and the path of least resistance now shifts lower.
🔑 Why bearish?
• A false breakout above 1.1743 cleared resting buy stops, leaving liquidity behind.
• Price is now positioned to reverse and target sell-side liquidity sitting near 1.13898.
• The sweep + rejection aligns with liquidity-based trade logic.
📌 Trade Plan:
• Entry: ~1.1743 (short)
• Stop: Above 1.1793 (invalidate the setup if broken)
• Target: 1.13898 (major liquidity pool below)
• R:R: ~1:7 (risking ~50 pips to capture ~350 pips)
This is a swing trade idea on the daily chart – it may take time to develop, but the structure favors a deep move down into untouched liquidity zones.
⚠️ Risk management is the key.
NZDJPY| HTF Bearish Structure + Buy - Side Liquidity in PlayOn the 4H timeframe, structure is clearly bearish, with price moving within a defined trench range anchored at a higher timeframe order block (HTF OB).
Shifting to the mid timeframe, we see strong volume momentum to the downside, reinforcing the bearish bias. However, price still has business above — specifically, buy-side liquidity resting over prior highs and unmitigated blocks.
The expectation:
• 📌 Price to reach upward and sweep buy-side liquidity.
• 📌 Mitigate OBs sitting above current price action.
• 📌 From there, we’ll shift focus to lower timeframe confirmations for refined entries in alignment with the larger bearish structure.
Mindset Note: Patience is power. Until mitigation and confirmation align, we remain calm, let smart money finish its play, and position ourselves only when the path is clear.
Bitcoin | HTF Bullish Breaker + Mid TF Anchor ZoneOn the higher timeframe (HTF), Bitcoin shows a strong bullish Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, leaving price at new highs. From there, we’ve seen a major pullback, which shifted focus down to the mid timeframe (MTF) for continuation clues.
Price dipped deeply into a refined higher timeframe anchor order block, highlighted in purple, giving a clean liquidity sweep and reaction. This tells us smart money has acknowledged the zone.
At this stage, we remain patient:
• ✅ Waiting for a mid timeframe CHoCH to confirm directional intent.
• ✅ Once the MTF confirms, we’ll step down to the lower timeframe (LTF) for continuation setups and precision confirmations.
• ⚠️ Until then, discipline is key — let smart money guide price where it needs to go.
Mindset Note: Patience pays. The market is bullish, but confirmation comes in layers. Trust the process, not impulse.
EURUSD BULLISH RANGE IDEA FOLLOW UP Zooming into the daily chart, we've identified key Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps that align with the larger bullish trend from the monthly timeframe. These zones serve as potential support for a continuation higher.
Target zones are the highs and taping into the bearish supply zones. We are looking for retracements into these areas as well as the current low timeframes to enter long positions.
GBP/USD | 4H Bullet Structure Setup
Pair: GBP/USD
Bias: Bullish continuation
HTF (4H):
• Bullet-strong structure mapped.
• Strong intent confirmed — price cleared sell-side liquidity and formed higher-high structure.
• Order block / demand zone refined to perfection.
MTF (30M/1H):
• Price giving lower-high breach after prior low-high was taken.
• Waiting for sell-side liquidity sweep and mitigation of 30M internal framework OB.
• Sweep confirmed — clean, professional setup.
LTF (5M/15M):
• Monitor for CHoCH confirmation.
• Wait for price to dip into your OB.
• Upon mitigation, enter longs targeting:
• TP1: 5M highs (quick leg)
• TP2: 30M highs (extended leg, depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
• Don’t chase — let smart money show the way first.
• High-probability continuation setups are about patience, structure, and alignment across timeframes.
CHF/JPY| Switch-In Continuation
Pair: CHF/JPY
Bias: Bullish continuation
HTF (4H+):
• Bullet-strong uptrend confirmed.
• Market structure and momentum clearly support continuation.
MTF (30M/1H):
• Waiting for sell-side liquidity sweep to trigger and mitigation of the overview/refined zone below prior admin OBs.
• Once liquidity is cleared and mitigation occurs, setup becomes primed for continuation.
LTF (5M/15M):
• Lower timeframe structure already forming within the leg.
• Price has been “CHoCHed” and showing continuation pressure.
• Entries will be taken post-mitigation of OB, aligned with higher timeframe bias.
• Patience is key — waiting for the courtyard to be slashed and smart money to lead the move.
Targets:
• TP1: Next clean 5M highs as price confirms continuation.
• TP2: Higher timeframe liquidity zones above recent highs.
Mindset Note:
• Don’t chase the leg. Wait for liquidity to be swept and OB mitigation confirmed. Let the market lead before committing — this is how high-probability continuation trades are taken.
US30| Pullback Continuation SetupPair/Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones)
Bias: Bullish overall
HTF (4H+):
• Price is in a strong uptrend.
• Breaking major highs with strong volume confirming momentum.
• Candles printing with conviction — clear bullish control.
MTF (30M/1H):
• Waiting for sell-side liquidity sweep to trigger and respect internal framework OBs.
• Once mitigation occurs, the pullback will be primed for continuation.
LTF (5M/15M):
• Monitor for clean CHoCH + OB entry confirmations aligned with higher-timeframe bias.
• Entries anticipate continuation leg without chasing.
Targets:
• TP1: ~5.5 points / units from entry (quick partial target based on immediate LTF highs).
• TP2: ~30.5 points / units from entry (extended target based on HTF liquidity and swing).
Mindset Note:
• Wait for structured pullback and mitigation. Patience > impulse.
• Let the market sweep liquidity and set up your OBs before committing — the high-probability continuation will follow naturally.
GOLD | Waiting for PullbackPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish overall
HTF (4H): Market extended; expecting corrective pullback.
MTF (30M): Inducement forming into $3,500–$3,465 demand zone.
LTF (5M): Look for CHoCH + OB entry confirmation inside that zone.
Targets:
1. TP1: Next clean 5M highs that form if price holds — first leg confirmation.
2. TP2: Extended leg to $3,600–$3,640+ — higher-timeframe liquidity zone.
Mindset Note: Don’t chase highs. Let the market collect liquidity in the pullback zone, confirm via 5M structure, then step in. Patience > impulse.
Stock Index: The AI Bubble That Will Burst!ES
S&P 500 futures finishes up 0.23% as economic slowdown worries cloud rate-cut optimism. From a technical perspective, this week marks the third consecutive where ES has been trading inside of 11 Aug 25 bullish spinning top candle indicating weakness of bulls after reaching uncharted territory of $6,541.75 all-time highs.
Such signs point to a short-term retracement down into discount arrays but I am not here trying to guess the top. If it does occur, $6,355.00 is an area of interest but on an overall basis, I want to be neutral until Sunday’s opening price / opening gap.
NQ
Nasdaq follows with a 0.93% gain but with the same issue of price trading within a range, in this case, since the 4th Aug 25 weekly bullish marabozu was printed, I would not want to put my money on a continued run as of yet. Preeing short-term retracements with a discount array @ $22,781.75 is being watched closely and for the time being, I want to be neutral
YM
Dow Jones closes -0.37% lower this week with the intermediate highs of $45,887 still in tact. Will the monthly buyside liquidity pool be used to suck in unexpected bull traders before repricing to HTF discount arrays?
If I am to see a decline in the 3 stock index pairs, YM will be the pair to lookout for as the front-running market.
US10Y & T-Notes - Does The FED Have To Reduce Rates?Last week played out to the tee, with sell side liquidity resting at 4.124% being breached causing bond prices to rise and dollar index to sell-off.
There is still room to the downside for the yields to fall to, namely 3.987% but I am aware that a short term retracement can play out this week,. For that reason, I am sitting on my hands throughout the week with a neutral position.
The poor US employment data fanned speculation of a 50 bp rate cut when the Fed meets on September 17. Even though more unwelcome news from the labor market is expected with next week's BLS annual benchmark revisions that could wipe out 500k-1 mln jobs (the adjustment last year was 818k lower), the risk of a large Fed cut may be exaggerated. An acceleration in headline CPI (September 11) may temper the enthusiasm for a large move.
EURUSD - Published Idea (Bullish Bias)
Bias: Bullish
HTF (4H Overview):
Price is showing strong bullish intent. Structure remains to the upside, and a key order block has already been mitigated with liquidity swept from the courtyard.
MTF / Internal Framework:
A CHoCH has confirmed bullish momentum, but price is currently reacting at a supply area. This signals that sellers may look to bring price down into our deeper point of interest — the internal framework OB that sits beneath courtyard liquidity.
Plan:
• Wait for sell-side liquidity to be taken.
• Look for deep mitigation into the marked OB, where multiple bodies fill the zone.
• From there, we anticipate lower timeframe CHoCH confirmation to align with longs.
Current Focus:
Price is testing supply near major highs, with liquidity clustered above. This indicates potential short-term bearish delivery before the next bullish continuation.
Targets:
Liquidity above the supply area and HTF highs once demand confirms.
Mindset Note:
Patience. Let smart money lead the way — we react when liquidity clears, not before.
Gold Trade Idea for the Week [Sept 8-12]Last week, we continued momentum upwards, and see no retracement for an entry, expect to look at lower timeframes for Long entries, and do not trade Short.
On Friday NFP, the daily candle has ended with an engulfing over Thursday's bearish candle and I would look around $3558 - $3574 for a Long.
Trade safe & have a good week!
Long trade
4Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: AUD/NZD
Date: Thu 4th Sept 25
Time: 5.00 am
Session: London to NY AM
Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Trade Details
Direction: Buyside Trade
Entry: 1.11742
Profit Target: 1.11750 (+0.43%)
Stop Loss: 1.11146 (–0.10%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.33
🔹 Technical Context
Price trending upward within bullish structure, reclaiming EMA (1.11462) and WMA (1.11354).
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) serves as structural support.
Entry executed during London AM continuation move, stop placed below EMA cluster.
The target is set just under the prior liquidity pool at 1.11750.
Volume profile supports sustained upward order flow.
🔹 Trade Narrative
AUD/NZD provided a clean trend continuation setup on the 4H, following multiple session consolidations. The entry was supported by - EMA/WMA structure, with FVG acting as a demand zone.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EUR/USD
Date: Thu 4th Sept 25
Time: 7.00pm
Session: New York PM
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Direction: Buyside Trade
Entry: 1.16647
Profit Target: 1.17134 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 1.16439 (–0.10%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.82
Status: ▶ Trade in progress
🔹 Technical Context
Trade triggered after price reclaimed VWAP (1.1662) and EMA support.
Entry positioned after liquidity sweep below intraday lows.
Stop tightly placed under NY PM rejection wick.
Target aligned with TMA & prior liquidity pool around 1.1713.
Volume expansion during NY session confirmed upside drive.
🔹 Trade Narrative
Following an earlier stop-out attempt on Sept 3rd, this second long entry aligned better with session timing and confirmation signals. VWAP reclaim and order-flow momentum supported a continuation into liquidity above 1.1710. The trade carries strong confluence and offers a high R:R structure.
EURGBP - Bullish Flow form 30M OBBias: Bullish
HTF (4H Overview):
Strong bullish structure overall, with layered minor structure mapping within the flow supporting continuation.
MTF (30M Zone):
Price mitigated a 30M order block and respected the demand zone perfectly, confirming buyers in control.
LTF (Confirmation):
A CHoCH formed, then another CHoCH confirmed strength. Price is now riding the 30M leg as planned.
Entry Plan:
Look for pullback opportunities aligning with demand to join the bullish leg.
Targets:
Next liquidity pools and highs in alignment with 30M structure.
Mindset Note:
Ride the leg, don’t chase—let price return to you.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBP/USD
Date: Thu 4th Sept 25
Time: 9.15am
Session: London to NY AM
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Direction: Buyside Trade
Entry: 1.34295
Profit Target: 1.35315 (+0.79%)
Stop Loss: 1.34012 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 13.1
Status: ▶ Active trade
🔹 Technical Context
Strong reversal structure formed after BOS (Break of Structure) around 1.3410.
Entry positioned following liquidity sweep and bullish engulfing confirmation.
VWAP (1.34546) and EMA (1.34602) acting as support zones, reinforcing bullish order flow.
Stop placed just under structural low for protection.
Target mapped to prior liquidity pool near 1.3530s.
🔹 Trade Narrative
GBP/USD presented a high-probability long setup as price rebounded sharply from session lows, confirming bullish intent. Entry was positioned on recovery through EMA/VWAP confluence with liquidity support. With a tight protective stop and extended upside, the trade offers a high R:R continuation into NY session liquidity zones.
NASDAQ - Bullish Flow into Highs
Bias: Bullish
HTF (4H Overview):
From the bird’s-eye view, structure remains bullish. Liquidity is being targeted across the 30M–4H multi-timeframe play, with strong bullish intent confirmed by volume printing to the upside.
LTF (30M / 5M Confirmation):
A proper CHoCH has been established. Once the trend shift occurs, we wait for the pullback before attending longs.
Entry Plan:
Look for entry after the courtyard liquidity is collected and demand is mitigated (slash zone).
Targets:
Initial: 5M highs
Extended: 30M highs, depending on market delivery.
Mindset Note:
Patience—let liquidity do its job before striking.