USDJPY – Waiting for H1 CHoCH After Daily Supply RejectionAfter reacting from the Daily Supply Zone, USDJPY is now showing signs of slowing momentum on H1. This region is the decision point: either we see a confirmed structural break (CHoCH), or price continues pushing upward into unmitigated liquidity.
Execution Plan:
– Wait for an H1 candle-body close below the last bullish swing high
– Let price retrace into the newly-formed H1 supply
– Refine on M15/M5 for entry
– No shorts without structural confirmation
If price reclaims the high instead of breaking down, the bearish idea becomes invalid and the bullish trend continues, and we can look at the further SO POINT.
Patience here is key.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
USDJPY – First Reaction @Daily Supply Zone | Watching 4 WeaknessUSDJPY has finally tapped a major Daily Supply Zone that caused the last significant selloff. Liquidity above previous highs has been taken, and price is now reacting for the first time since this zone formed.
This is a premium area where reversal probability increases, but higher-timeframe supply alone is not enough for execution.
What I’m watching next:
– H1 to show the first clean CHoCH
– Early signs of weakening bullish order flow
– A potential retest into newly-formed LTF supply zones
– M15/M5 refinement for precise entries
If H1 fails to break structure, the bullish continuation remains intact.
We watch the Further SO POINT as well
Confirmation comes from structure — not from the zone alone.
XAU/USD 20 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GBPCAD: Bullish More From Support Confirmed 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD may pull back from a key daily support.
An inverted head and shoulders pattern on that on an hourly time frame
provides a strong bullish confirmation.
Goal - 1.8384
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC: first signs of a slow reversal?The 89,256 level has slowed down Bitcoin’s decline.
Hello, traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
First, price interacted with the level through a buyer candle with strong volume, and then again through a seller candle with declining volume on the daily timeframe.
On the 2-hour timeframe, the second interaction with this level turned out to be a manipulation of the lower boundary of the range that has formed on 2H.
The target of that manipulation has already been reached, but we may still see price move toward 93,836.
Reaching this level would be a good signal that at least a temporary pause in the downtrend is forming — and possibly the early stage of a reversal, although likely a slow one.
Wishing you profitable trades!
S&P 500 to print final move to 6500It goes without saying, this bull market has been the most hated I’ve ever known. Retail traders attempts to go “short” on every leg up resulted in quick squeezes. Every 1% to 4% correction brought renewed calls for the end of all things. Including time I believe. There is a reason why 90% of market participants fail in trading. Emotions.
The last four long ideas published by Without Worries are linked below. Read the comments in each to get an impression of the distain retail traders have for this bull market. The Cup and Handle idea for example, published on November 9th 2023. Many reading the idea were understandably skeptic. I tell you that to tell you this... The idea was much more than a chart pattern. The idea included studies from Dollar index and more importantly market sentiment.
So lets focus on those two in a little more detail.
** Market sentiment **
The market sentiment in November last was incredibly bearish. The Put/Call ratio was sky rocketing, in other words retail traders were all “short” on the market. That was a mistake. Guess what? They're doing it again.
Weekly Put/Call ratio
If you follow my practices you’ll know one of our golden rules, we never never long into active resistance. Just don’t. Don’t even think about it.
On the above weekly Put/Call chart we can see retail traders are betting heavily with both feet for a market correction as the Put/Call ratio shows a strong demand for “Short” contracts. We can see RSI is actively rallying into resistance. Oh dear…
** The dollar index **
The dollar has entered a bull market. Or so it appears. On the 2-day chart below price action has printed a Life Cross with the index trading above the 2-day/200 sma.
However on closer inspection just as in late 2022 and indeed late 2023, both price action and RSI support have failed. This will be a short lived bull market, for now.
Support and resistance is the ultimate cheat code. It has been integral to the previous ideas shared. It amazes how many continue to dismiss the importance of practicing this simple concept. Look left.
2-day DXY
** The conclusion **
On the above monthly chart several technical developments have occurred. Together with market sentiment and dollar index structure, the combination provides a powerful message.
The red arrows highlight each significant market top over the last 10 years when sentiment was incredibly bullish. The blue arrows record sentiment at extreme bearish levels.
Here’s the interesting part, when sentiment was this bearish price action was already at the lower half of the rising channel. There is not an instance when a rise from lower to higher half of the channel with confirmation of support (we’ve confirmed) did not result in a resistance test at the top of the channel.
The resistance is now between 6500 and 6700.
Is it possible the market collapses like many retail traders are now calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
** previous S&P 500 ideas **
S&P 500 - Cup and Handle
S&P 500 - Why everyone is wrong
S&P 500 - Why everyone is wrong - Part II
S&P 500 to 6000
Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 GBPAUD – 15M Technical Breakdown (Sell-Side Model)
Model: Inducement → BOS → Premium Sell → FVG → Sell-Side Targeting
📌Pair: GBPAUD
Direction: Sell-Side
Date: Wed 19 Nov 25
Time: 2:15 PM
Entry: 2.00047
Profit Level 1: 2.01490 (+0.29%)
Stop: 2.01140 (0.07%)
RR: 3.74R
TP2: 2.01407 (Tokyo lows)
Contextual Narrative - Sell-side trade
Liquidity sweep at 9:30 high
✔ Displacement confirming directional bias
✔ Retracement into clean premium + FVG + inducement cluster
✔ Tight stop protected by structure
✔ Clear directional narrative toward sell-side liquidity
✔ Volume confirms buy-to-sell pattern
✔ Tokyo lows offer a clean external liquidity target
Long trade 📌 Pair: USDCAD
Direction: Buyside
Date: Wed 19th Nov 25
Time: 10.00 am
Entry: 1.40172
Profit Level: 1.42724 (+0.75%)
Stop Level: 1.40118 (-0.03%)
RR: 19.48R
📘 USD/CAD — 1H Breakdown (Buyside Expansion)
Model: Sweep → Displacement → Accumulation -Breaker
1️⃣ Market Structure Overview
Recent Key Events
✔️ Sweep of highs – 14th Oct (1.40801)
Price took the previous swing high → engineered liquidity → redistributed lower.
✔️ Sweep of lows – 8th Oct (8:00am)
Liquidity is taken below the 1.387 area, forming a major swing low.
✔️ Strong bullish leg follows → up into 0.618 retracement (1.41237)
2️⃣ Displacement Leg & Fibonacci Confluence
After sweeping the lows, the price created a strong bullish displacement into:
0.618 retracement — 1.41237
NY High (above)
Range High 1.41407
1.000 extension target 1.42170
Current Structure
After the swing low sweep, the market expanded bullish, retraced, and is now moving inside a tight accumulation range. Multiple session markers (Tokyo → London → NY) show Equal highs/ equal lows, as well as repeated rejections from a micro-breaker zone.
Market Narrative
USDCAD swept major lows early November, engineered liquidity for a bullish leg, then delivered strong displacement up into the mid-range. The pair has since been accumulating in a tight range, repeatedly defending the 1.3980–1.4000 zone (discount), while leaving a large unmitigated breakaway gap resting above.
15min TF overview
EUR/USD outlook
At the moment I expect EUR/USD to push lower and tap into the 1.1450–1.1480 Daily demand zone before any bigger move to the upside.
Structure is still bearish, so I’m focusing on sell setups on 1h as long as we stay below 1.1670.
If we get a clean break and close above 1.1670, that would shift my bias and I’d start looking for long setups.
But until that happens, I’m expecting more downside into the 1.1450 area.
Let me know what you think!
Ethereum classic - An elder resident of God’s waiting roomAn opening statement: The idea is not restricted to Ethereum Classic (ETC), many legacy tokens are showing the same sequence of events as highlighted in the chart above. The recent update to the OTHERS total idea identifies a few.
Story so far
The Crypto gambling mania of older tokens continues to entice many. Market participants were told financial armageddon is around the corner, prepare now. A corner that turned out to be a roundabout, an endless road to nowhere with changing views. “ETF is coming Ww!” “Trump will approve new Crypto fund blah blah”, the inbox is filled with such messaging. The project fundamentals are now irrelevant, it seems, as folks hope and pray for a greater fool to come along and release them from the stress of holding dead weight. But what if the crypto fool supply is drying up? Then what?
The technical warning
The above 8 chart of Ethereum classic is typical of many legacy tokens. Like stone skipping. That is, you throw this little flat stone across the pond and at first it’s amazing, it’s like, boing! boing! boing! You feel like a physics genius. However what’s actually happening, properly, scientifically, is the stone’s cheating gravity for a bit. It hits the water at just the right angle, makes this tiny lift like a miniature water trampoline. But every time it hits, it loses a bit of energy. Bit of speed, bit of spin, bit of dignity. Eventually it’s like, ‘Nah, I’m done,’ and just plops in. That’s it. It’s run out of the stuff that keeps it skipping. It’s the same as me after two beers trying to dance, starts strong lots of energy, then gravity wins. Straight down. Splash..
Sentiment
No shortage of long ideas on the platform.
. To be a contrarian is to look the other direction when everyone else says the same thing. Not easy, but imperative.
Like many legacy charts, the Bitcoin pairs exhibit broken market structures. ETC.btc chart, broken market structure
Conclusions
There’s no polite way to say this, Ethereum Classic, like many of its legacy peers is running on fumes. Every bounce looks impressive until you zoom out and realise it’s just another stone skip on the surface of a dying pond. Each lower high is a polite reminder that gravity still works.
The chart doesn’t lie:
Momentum’s gone.
Liquidity’s gone.
Belief is on life support.
Price continues to cling to the same horizontal band it’s bounced off for half a decade, the so-called “water line where surface tension and angular momentum meet.”* Below it? Silence.
You’ll always find someone calling this “undervalued,” or “ready for a comeback.” But let’s be honest, that’s nostalgia speaking. What used to be innovation is now a museum exhibit, a relic from the days when everyone thought “blockchain” was going to save the world.
Sure, maybe there’s a pop left in it, one final gasp, a skip before the splash. But when it happens, don’t mistake physics for faith.
Eventually, every stone sinks.
Ww
============================================================
Disclaimer
This isn’t financial advice, obviously.
If you’re buying Ethereum Classic because someone on the internet said it might bounce, that’s not investing, that’s performance art. I don’t hold ETC, I don’t want to, and if it suddenly moon-shots I’ll still sleep fine.
Do your own research, manage your own risk, and please for your own sanity stop expecting miracles from assets that peaked during the Obama administration.
If it goes up, brilliant.
If it goes down, well… gravity wins again.
Is a crash to $56k about to occur for Bitcoin? - November 2025The above chart been brought to my attention by a number of folks asking for an opinion. So here it is.. remember, am just a messenger not target practice.
Price action shown on the above weekly chart has closed under the 50 week SMA, or so I’m told.
“Is that it? The top now in Ww?”
Look left, if you’re using two moving averages:
50 week SMA (blue)
200 week SMA
Then for you, the top is in. It’s over, go home. Congratulate yourself once again for providing exit liquidity for those that entered long positions at $15k. They have your everlasting thanks.
What's the hullabaloo?
Throughout the history of Bitcoin a test of the 200 weekly SMA occurred every time price action closed under the 50 week SMA. That’s not up for debate, it is a chart fact. Today that would be a highly predictable test of $56k, which is also the Fibonacci 0.38.
This forecast is going to upset a lot of people. The influencers promised them tales for fortune and glory. Instead.. they got a lesson in basic economics, but they had to pay $50,000 for it. You don't get refunds for stupidity, do ya?
Is this time different?
It is not possible to tell right now. Many might look at the chart and quit, they’ve had enough. That would be a mistake. Why? Confirmation.
Look left. Always look left. Until Monday 24th, November it is not known if the break of the 50 week is confirmed. Indeed if you take a closer look, price action has not actually closed a weekly candle body under the 50 week SMA, it has closed through it. That’s important.
Today
January 2022 Confirmation
June 2018 Confirmation
August 2014 Confirmation
Conclusions
So here we are again, Bitcoin teetering on the edge, influencers chanting “bull market!” like it’s a religion, and yet… there’s that nasty little blue line.
Price action under the 50-week SMA has never ended well. Not once. Every single time, without exception, it’s been followed by a cozy trip down to the 200-week SMA. Historically, that’s what Bitcoin does, it falls until it hits something red and expensive looking, then everyone acts surprised.
And where’s that level today? About $56k. Right on the Fibonacci 0.38. It’s like gravity with maths. But before you light the torches and start the “Ww’s turned bearish” posts, calm down. The candle hasn’t confirmed yet. That’s right, you’ve got until Monday, November 24th to find out if this is the real deal or just another fake-out designed to make you question every life decision since buying at $110k.
Look left. Every time price closed through the 50-week, the same story played out:
August 2014: crash.
June 2018: crash.
January 2022: crash.
It’s basically Bitcoin’s version of Groundhog Day, but without Bill Murray or the happy ending.
If it confirms below that line, that’s it. The 200-week SMA becomes the magnet.
If not, we’ll bounce, the influencers will return, and everyone will convince themselves they knew all along.
Either way, I’m not saying “doom.” I’m just saying, maths, it works.
Ww
Disclaimer
===============================================================
This isn’t financial advice. Obviously. If you’re taking investment cues from a bloke with a sense of humour about market collapses, you might want to re-evaluate your decision making process.
If you sell here and it pumps that’s on you.
If you hold and it dumps, that's also on you.
If you blame “market manipulation,” congratulations, you’ve just described every loser in crypto since 2017.
I don’t have a crystal ball, just charts and they don’t lie, even if people do. So whether Bitcoin crashes to $56k, or rallies to $160k, or starts taking payments in “Hopium,” I’ll still be here, tea in hand, smirking, watching the comments fill up with “You were wrong!” from people who were never right. Without Worries (Ww)
“Look left, not up.”
A+++ Setup That Completed My Prop Firm Challenge
(Structure · Precision · Patience · Faith)
This trade wasn’t luck.
It wasn’t guessing.
It wasn’t hope.
It was pure structure, multi-timeframe alignment, perfect execution, and flawless risk management—and it ended up completing my Prop Firm Challenge.
Here’s the full story, exactly how the setup unfolded from the first signal all the way to final execution.
⸻
📌 Higher-Timeframe Context: The Bearish Top Was Already Set
Everything began with the 4H BOS around 93,900, which officially broke structure and created the macro bearish environment.
Then price formed a clear 4H Lower Low at 89,000, confirming the downtrend.
But the real clue came next:
👉 Price aggressively pulled back to 92,900–93,000, retesting the old 4H BOS zone
👉 Then failed to reclaim it
👉 Entered a tight range directly underneath the level
👉 Volume dropped
👉 Candle bodies got smaller
👉 Wick pressure increased
That’s redistribution—not accumulation.
I knew sellers were loading.
⸻
📌 LTF Alignment Begins: The Dominoes Fall One by One
Once I had the HTF context, I waited for LTF confirmation.
1️⃣ 1M BOS below 92,900
Signaled the first crack in the bullish micro-flow.
2️⃣ 5M Displacement + BOS
Not noise — real intent.
Selling pressure was confirmed.
3️⃣ 15M Market Structure Shift (MSS)
This was the decisive moment.
The bullish internal structure broke.
Momentum flipped.
The range under 92,900 was officially a distribution block.
4️⃣ 30M & 1H candle closes below 92,880
This erased any bullish reclaim attempt.
HTF + MTF now perfectly aligned.
At that point, the short wasn’t a prediction — it was a requirement.
⸻
📌 The Entry: Precision at the Retest
I placed my short on the retest of 92,900, right into the ceiling of the redistribution.
Entry: 93,055
Stop Loss: 93,943
Target: 90,955 (MTF sell-side liquidity)
⸻
📌 Risk Management That Passed the Challenge
I didn’t gamble.
I executed professionally:
✔️ 33.33% partial at 92,000 → +$96.75
✔️ SL moved to 93,210 → protected profits
✔️ 33.33% partial planned at 91,050 (SSL target)
✔️ 33.33% runner for extended continuation
When FTMO notified that I had completed the challenge, I closed the entire position at 91,950.
Clean. Controlled. Disciplined.
⸻
📌 Outcome: Challenge Completed by Structure Alone
No indicators.
No fundamentals.
No emotions.
No guesswork.
Just:
• 4H BOS
• LTF MSS
• Displacement
• Retest
• Liquidity targets
• Risk management
• And unshakable patience
My trade went from A+ to A+++ the moment all timeframes aligned perfectly.
This is the kind of setup you wait for — not the kind you chase.
⸻
📌 Final Words
I’m extremely grateful —
to God first,
to the journey second,
and to the discipline that carried me through.
If this breakdown gave you clarity and shows you how powerful clean structure can be…
👇
Leave a like, drop a comment, share it, and hit Follow.
Your support motivates me to keep bringing high-level breakdowns to the community.
more legendary setups to come.
COINBASE:BTCUSD OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:EURUSD
XAU/USD 19 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
5min Entry (Overview)
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Buyside
Date: Tue 18th Nov 25
Time: 13.00 pm
Session: NY PM
Timeframe: 5-Minute
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 1.15758
Stop Loss: 1.15705 (0.02%)
Take Profit: 1.16079 (0.25%)
RR: 10.1
Trade model :
SSLQ Sweep → Demand Zone Reclaim → FVG Displacement → Bullish Repricing
Reclaim of resistance, (Demand zone)
Immediate FVG left behind
Broke market structure to upside
🔹 Technical Narrative
NY session delivers a sell-side sweep, taking London low + SSLQ level.
Price also enter a discount demand zone and printed a bullish displacement candle.
FVG gaps forming with price mitigating the imbalance that signalled the entry trigger.
Support held and turned into a new bullish structure.
Target set at buy-side liquidity above NY high and upper FVG fill.
Long trade
15min TF overview + Entry
📒 Trade Journal Entry — GBPUSD
Pair: GBPUSD
Direction: Buyside
Date: Tue 18th Nov 2025
Time: 13:00 pm
Session: London → NY AM
Timeframe: 15-Min
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 1.31456
Take Profit: 1.31714 (+0.19%)
Stop Loss: 1.31442 (–0.01%)
Risk–Reward Ratio: 18.43
📈 Technical Context
Model:
Sell-Side Sweep → Inducement → BOS → FVG Re-entry → Continuation.
Confluence Factors: London low swept, BOS during NY
Return into high-quality FVG, Demand block alignment
High-volume displacement, Session midline liquidity alignment.
🧠 Narrative & Sentiment
This trade follows a classic intraday Smart Money flow:
Liquidity engineered below the range
NY session confirms bullish directional bias at this time.
Re-entry on FVG gaps forming (FVG indicator)
Target aligns with upside liquidity from previous session’s high
Macro & Sentiment Narrative (Light but relevant)
GBP is moderately supported due to recent UK CPI stabilisation.
USD is sideways awaiting macro catalysts, meaning intraday flow dominates price.
Long trade
15min TF overview
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 0.56556
Profit Target: 0.56731 (+0.32%)
Stop Loss: 0.56431 (–0.08%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 5.47
📈 Technical Context
Model:
Sell-Side Sweep → Inducement → BOS → FVG Re-entry → Continuation
Key Confluences:
Sweep of London low
Displacement and BOS above intraday structure
Multiple FVGs providing strong entry zone
Trendline acting as dynamic support
NY session volume expansion
Demand block respected
Momentum shift confirmed
🧠 Narrative & Sentiment
Market engineered sell liquidity during London.
NY session confirms bullish flow with displacement.
Traders short from the London leg become trapped → fuel for upside.
Market Structure Overview
Higher-Timeframe Bias (HTF)
The pair is trading inside a corrective downswing but forming higher-timeframe demand reaction just above 0.5630. The large volume spike at the session low signals sell-side exhaustion and potential accumulation for this buyside trade idea.
GBPAUD: volume Profile and Static levelsHello everyone!
This is the daily chart!
As you can see, there 2 channels here. One bearish and the other one is bullish. In coincide of two supports of them we see a strong previous S&R!
V.P of October is out strong resistance! We see a great momentum after it. There is middle of the bearish channel around too.
If we see a weak upward move, we can enter a short trade around the volume profile POC.
The TP is just over the static support and around the dynamic support.
You can also buy from support if we see a weakness in bears.
Gold still in it's year-end range, good scalping opportunitiesThis year's high is in, the same forecast as last year if you watched with me this time last December.
We can expect that the new year candle will target the previous high quickly and swiftly as always, but until then we scalp this year-end wick range using LTF OB/FVGs for minimal pip TPs
"The Myth of Confirmation - What Retail Gets Wrong Every Day"🔥 THE TRUTH ABOUT MARKET “CONFIRMATION” (What Retail Never Realizes)
Most traders think confirmation comes from indicators, patterns, candle shapes, or repeating formations on lower timeframes.
This is the greatest misunderstanding in trading.
Confirmation does NOT come from the LTF.
Confirmation comes from alignment of the delivery cycle — and the LTF only expresses what the HTF already decided.
Retail thinks the 5M “creates” trend.
Institutions know the 5M merely reflects it.
Here’s the real breakdown institutions use:
⸻
1. Confirmation = Completion of a Phase, Not a Pattern
A market only confirms when a structural phase fully completes, meaning:
• Liquidity objective hit
• Internal structure reset
• Order flow aligned
• Efficient price or imbalance corrected
• Pullback cycle finished
• New impulsive leg prepared
This is confirmation.
Not a candle.
Not an indicator.
Not a shape on your chart.
⸻
2. LTF Structure Means NOTHING Without HTF Context
Retail loves reacting to:
• 5M BOS
• 1M pullback
• 15M FVG
• Candle patterns
• Trend lines
None of these matter if the HTF hasn’t finished its development cycle.
This is why traders lose:
They see “confirmation” while the HTF is still in a build-up, not a release phase.
⸻
3. The Market Confirms Twice — Retail Only Sees One
Institutional traders track two confirmations:
Macro Confirmation (HTF)
This tells the market what it wants to do next
— continuation or pullback.
Micro Confirmation (LTF)
This tells the market when it’s safe to execute
— trend shift + pullback + OB tap + displacement.
Retail only waits for micro confirmation.
They skip macro confirmation.
So they trade inside noise.
⸻
4. Candles Don’t Confirm — the Cycle Confirms
People over-read 5M candles, ignoring the fact that candles are only expressions of liquidity movement.
You can’t read intent from shape.
You read intent from position in the cycle.
The same candle means:
• continuation in one phase
• reversal in another
• manipulation in another
Only the cycle gives it meaning.
⸻
5. The Market Doesn’t Confirm For You — It Confirms ITSELF
This is the coldest truth most will never learn:
Price never confirms your bias.
Price only confirms where it is in the timeline.
If you don’t know the timeline,
you don’t know the confirmation.
TL;DR
(Beginner/Simple)
Confirmation = Cycle Completion + Alignment
NOT a candle pattern or indicator.
You don’t follow confirmation.
You follow timing.
TradeWithMky – Catching 10x-100x gems before they moonI called the exact bottom on NYSE:FET at 0.008 – now 0.30+ 😈
Join the ride before the next one prints life-changing money.
Tagged the legends who inspire the plays:
@CryptoCred @CryptoCapo_ @Pentosh1 @TheCryptoDog @CryptoKaleo
@Anbessa100 @RaoulGMI @CryptoWizardd @IncomeSharks @CryptoTony__
@CryptoBusy @Trader_XO @DonAlt @CryptoCobain @CryptoNewton
DM for VIP signals (limited spots)
Not financial advice – we just print money together 💰
#FET #ALTSEASON #100xGEMS






















