A potential bull flag is emerging on the NQ 4-hour chart, with the 15945 level acting as critical support. As the market experiences a period of consolidation, we observe a gradual descent towards this support zone. This consolidation phase, following a prolonged bull run, raises questions about the market's next move: will the bull flag lead to another upward...
The NQ 1-hour chart depicts a clear trading range between the key resistance at 16,085 and the current key support at 15,940, with a prevailing bullish sentiment within this range. Below the key support, a previously tested demand zone ranging from 15,930 to 15,890 exists. Shorting into this demand zone carries high risk, requiring a loss of the key support level...
Overview
NQ seems to be operating within a descending triangle pattern at the moment. This formation doesn't necessarily indicate a bullish or bearish trend, but a breakout in either direction could provide significant insights. In addition to the descending triangle, it's evident that we're currently ranging between two crucial levels: 16000, which acts as a...
NQ - Daily - 14350
This is supply and demand to the tee on the NQ daily. You can see 4 days of resistance before price gapped up 580 points before pulling back. We are now retesting this area. After a demand that large, we are bound to see some sort of interest in buying within this area (theoretically).
If we are to bounce on NQ, this is likely the area we'd...
10/09 Weekly Plan. NQ Futures December NQZ2023.
Weekly Pivot is 14,988 [13D balance HB zone
Targets
15,151 9/20 gap top + 10/6 spike top
15,361 9/18-9/22 weekly vpoc
15,514 prior 5D balance half back
Targets
14,816 250% extension of 5D balance break down
14,628 13D balance zone low
14,526 6/8 gap bottom
Now trading at 15,020 NQZ
Alerts:
You...
We have one large gap above and 2 gaps below. As usual, 4300 and 4200 are the whole number support.
Above 4325; we can go for the gap fill to 4400-4405. Over 4405 is 4465
Below 4300 is 4200 and then 4150 then 4100.
Remember, the JPM collar is calling for 4500 above and then 4050 below.
We have 3 gaps below to 4000-3960. Right now the support area is sitting at 4300-4260 where SPX is indicating we will test this upcoming week. We do have a gap above at 4400 that I expect a possibility to be filled if bears cover.
4300 hold we could bounce back to 4355-4400.
4300 break we test 4260 then 4200 followed by 4100 4000 then 3960.
From what I am seeing, it looks like we may attempt a two-legged correction on a larger time frame from a seven month long uptrend. If we continue lower, a measured move takes us right so the breakout point of 14400.
SPX 4450 is still the key line in the sand for bulls to defend and bears to overtake. Even if Bears win, there's strong support at 4425-4400. Belo 4400 is where the fun begins down to 4350-4300.
If Bulls hold 4450 we could attempt a gap fill above back to 4500
Am I bullish or bearish while looking at this daily chart? The answer is neither. A lot had happened this past week: contract rollover, CPI, PPI, quadruple witching. It seems like trading was a mess and chaotic. Many gurus preached on FinTwit to stay away from the market and preserve the capital. I do see a value in those warnings. Especially, for those who are...
To start off - no changes since the last post. A short week did not do much. However, this week is a start of the rollover to December contract. The adjustment is big and that put the price above the critical level 400. It feels like cheating to fool the machines to push higher. Let's see if the bluff is called :) The levels to watch remain the same - I'm...
SPX 4450 is the key line in the sand now. A head and shoulders is forming on the 2hr and based on option flow could complete early to mid week.
Bear: Below 4450 with a target of 4400 and below that 4350-4300.
Bull: Above 4450 with a target of 4500 and then 4530-4560.
We also have CPI and PPI this week. To add it is also OpEx - wonderful.
Could potentially...
In the most recent action the price has managed to get back into the upside channel. Whether there is a real demand or just lack of supply remains to be seen. As of now the price has retested the 61.8% retracement of the bearish swing and failed to accept that level on first test. My focus is on the next level below the 50%: if it holds we may see the upside...
A volatile week but no structural changes, or changes in the directionality. It seems the path to downside has been painted. But when it comes to the market nothing is guaranteed. One needs to think from the change or no change of current context. As of now, the H&S remain broken, the upside channel is broken. Nevertheless, my scenario 1 is
a horizontal...
As of now, a technical breach of the upside channel and the H&S neckline. It seems the price is trending lower to tag the quarterly pivot. I anticipate a bounce to back test the broken structure. Usually, structural changes are back tested multiple time before the loosing side gives up and let the continuation to proceed. The last point of demand, June...
Backtest of the broken balance, a confirmed Head and off to the Neckline - is the current theme for the market action. The Right shoulder of the projected H&S is being formed. Market is searching for the shoulder bottom. It may reach the lower edge of the channel, confluence with a yearly inflection level. I don't expect a breach of the Neckline soon. My...
The week has started from a bullish retracement. From a technical perspective we see a back test of the channel mid and eventually a back test of the broken multi-day balance. The sentiment remains bearish. A retest of the previous session high would be a warning sign for the shorts. My expectation is to see a holding pattern ahead of the inflation data. Being...
