Bureau of Labor Statistics reported employment data on Friday. Data on NFP pleasantly surprised “fans” of the dollar. With market expectations + 177K, in fact, came out + 196K. After the failure of the previous data, the level of fear that the US labor market is experiencing serious problems has subsided. But the mood was spoiled by data on the average hourly...
Here we are dissecting the Daily chart for Oil. From a technical perspective we are completing an ABC correction after an impulsive 5 wave sequence to the downside. The first level of interest for shorts comes in at 61.14 with the possibility we can extend as high as 64.59. As long as we remain below here the moves will be considered corrective. In other words,...
Special counsel Robert Mueller announced the results of his two-year investigation of interference in the US presidential elections in 2016, as well as the role of Russia and Trump in it. The results of the investigation might have led to the start of impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump. But no significant evidence was found against Trump. And...
Crude oil inventories have the sharpest decline in 8 months. With a forecast of 0.309M barrels of Crude Oil Inventories the actual figure was -9.589. On top of the dollar weakness this has caused WTI oil futures to jump above 60$. Oil is trading above the 200EMA which will act as a strong level of support. Fundamental news that are affecting the price of oil is...
Hi Guys, Last week US Oil broke higher above the latest Trump's tweet with a run started on Wednesday. Price consolidated above Trump's tweet level with a triple bottom support throughout Thu, Fri and this morning before resuming the run pushed by the 90SMA. TO NOTE: RSI spiked briefly above 70 but lower than previous highs. Price instead kept going higher. IMHO...
Hi Guys, the arm wrestling between Trump vs OPEC shifted in favour of Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih in mid-Week10. The barrier that Trump tried to build with his tweet has been broken and sentiment is now heavily overbought. The rally was triggered by remarks by U.S. special envoy Elliott Abrams that Washington planned “very significant” further sanctions...
Here we are tracking a retrace in Crude after expected supply cuts are fully baked into the market. Bulls are going overboard here, forgetting that we have demand shocks coming with the global slowdown. The impulsive leg down last year was caused from the supply side, there is very little that can be done here to get back to these levels again. Good luck...
Here we are tracking a large swing to the downside in oil. I would like to fade the highs here and target the range lows (see attached idea for those wanting to target 45 in the coming months). This idea is for the coming sessions as crazy as it sounds, we have some monster moves coming on the demand side. The ECB confirmed the slowdown is real and the FED are...
Hi Guys, Monday and Tuesday it tried to move higher but was kept under the 195SMA. Wednesday tried to move higher but again failed and now the 75SMA could push it towards 55.67 level. If 55.67 level is breached Oil may dip to 55. Let's wait & see. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Don't forget to like if you like the post and to follow if...
Hi Guys, ...last Friday US Oil hit 58 level again after Trump's tweet but also dropped again to find support higher than previous one at 55. Price may be entering an horizontal complex correction period between those bounderies (H58-L55) made of a combinations of double and triple threes. Strategy: Wait & See if the SMA pushes for a potential BC leg of a...
Oil is the main driver behind the CAD pairs and with the OIL market slowly recovering aided by the sanctions on Venezuela's OIL exports by the US and the cooperation among the OPEC AND NON-OPEC Producers. Many see the OIL market recovering in the near term and to further strengthen the technical picture, there is an already completed head and shoulders pattern on...
Oil climbed, and broke through the neckline of the reverse head and shoulders pattern that has been in play for the past few months. The growth was due to supply cuts and reduced output from OPEC countries. Russia has also agreed to participate in the cutbacks. Saudia Arabia will be repairing a damaged offshore field, and this will decrease supply and increase the...
I think the supply side for oil will be abundant, considering the fact the tepid world economy will not consume as much oil as the last decade. growth prospects of major economies looks dim except the US. Many institutes has trimmed down GDP growth rates in the last two month, citing significant headwinds for the world, like debt, trade disputes, geopolitical...
Welcome to this MONTHLY chart showing possible scenarios over the next years, after OIL has bounced once again on the level of $50 in the past months potentially taking us higher near term up to $70. Let us now depict the possible scenarios out of this market, with the conditions that would trigger any of them and some arguments supporting each. The first thing...
Pattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Short since the price hit a 55.75 Higher High. Long after it completes a Higher Low. Target: Short TP 52.75. Long TP 56.50.
Oil has been on a tear thus far in 2019 and I expect nothing short of a full fledged rally should we break above $58. The weekly and monthly time frames look very bullish, as there's no clear supply levels to overcome. I expect oil to be one of the best performing investments of 2019. With that said, oil is considered extremely volatile and very contingent on...
Hello trader, As we know there was good news for the oil and this what makes the oil bullish, the OPEC reduces the production and others. when the oil closes this week above the white line. it is mean the price it will go to our target as in the chart. Good luck.
The slowdown in the world economy, especially the Chinese one, which is the country with the highest demand for fossil fuels, will have a negative impact on stockpiles, dropping the price considerably. Institutional investors, and not, have started to bet downwards on both WTI and BRENT and it is very likely that this rebound is due to profit taking only....