GOLD on the RISE!XAUUSD moved as we analyzed. Now waiting for BreakOut from RESISTANCE to see if it will retesting and continue flying UP todsy or when markets reopen next week.
Pivot Points
DXYDaily structure pointing to an easing of price action in the near term. 5 bar fractals providing the extremes of the range. The bullish Cypher is obviously incomplete and a guess. But the bottom of the range and the shift in sentiment needs to be revisited before any upside. The Cypher would give us the wyckoff spring and upside taking out highs on the way to 💯.
Momentum Cooling Off, Eyes on $3,700 Support ZoneETHUSD – Daily Chart | Momentum Cooling, Consolidation at Key Support
Market Context:
Ethereum’s daily chart continues to show a controlled consolidation after the strong rally earlier this quarter.
Price action remains confined between the $3,700–$3,850 support zone and $4,350–$4,450 resistance.
While sentiment across crypto remains moderately positive, short-term indicators suggest fading momentum and compression rather than a confirmed breakout.
________________________________________
Trend Structure:
The broader trend remains constructive, but recent daily candles have formed lower highs — suggesting a mild corrective bias.
As long as ETH holds above $3,700, the long-term structure stays intact; a break below would open the door for a deeper pullback toward $3,400–$3,600.
A decisive close above $4,450 would confirm renewed momentum and likely invite trend-following participation.
________________________________________
Moving Averages:
The 20-day EMA is flattening and currently near price — acting as short-term resistance.
The 50-day EMA sits slightly above, showing the market is still in a pause within its bullish structure.
The 100- and 200-day EMAs remain well below current levels, confirming the long-term trend remains intact.
________________________________________
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (14): hovering around 45–48, reflecting neutral-to-slightly-bearish momentum. A reclaim above 55 would indicate buyers returning.
MACD: histogram narrowing, signal lines converging — momentum cooling but not yet reversing.
Stochastic RSI: mid-range, curling upward — early sign of potential energy buildup.
ADX (14): around 20–25, suggesting weak trend strength; look for ADX rising above 25 for confirmation of direction.
ATR: contracting steadily — volatility compression often precedes expansion.
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Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,350–4,450 — multi-touch supply zone.
Next Resistance: 4,600–5,000 — major breakout region if momentum builds.
Support: 3,700–3,850 — critical daily support, repeatedly defended.
Secondary Support: 3,400–3,600 — previous accumulation area.
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Indicator Summary:
RSI & Stoch RSI → Neutral; momentum reset after an overbought phase.
MACD → Flattening; no strong divergence, just cooling momentum.
ADX → Low; confirming a sideways, non-trending environment.
EMAs → Flat; short-term equilibrium within a long-term bullish trend.
Volume → Gradually declining on dips, suggesting no panic selling.
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Outlook:
Ethereum’s daily chart reflects a classic consolidation within an ongoing uptrend.
Until price closes firmly beyond either $4,450 or $3,700, traders should expect range-bound action and momentum-reset conditions.
The next significant move is likely to align with an RSI breakout above 55 , MACD expansion , and a rising ADX above 25 — all signaling renewed directional strength.
________________________________________
Summary:
ETH remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term momentum has cooled.
Volatility compression, neutral oscillators, and flattening EMAs define a market gathering energy for its next impulsive phase.
As long as $3,700 holds, the broader outlook stays constructive — this is the “calm before expansion”.
EURUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.173 - 1.178 area
Resistance 2: 1.181 - 1.182 area
Resistance 3: 1.187 - 1.192 area
Support 1: 1.153 - 1.156 area
Support 2: 1.145 - 1.146 area
Support 3: 1.135 - 1.141 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Hints At Swing LowA small doji formed on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak for EUR/USD. The session low respected the 100-day EMA as support, while the brief dip below the monthly S1 pivot proved to be a false break.
The bias remains bullish while prices hold above the 1.1544 swing low. Bulls could look to buy dips towards the monthly S1 pivot in anticipation of a move up towards the 1.17 handle and monthly pivot point (1.1754).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Oklo slides to the downside - Watch for the next levels In this video I cover the next important levels for Oklo during what I perseve as being the start
of a correction after pushing up some 900% over the past 5 months .
Tools used Fibs, Pivots, TPO chart and Volume Profile
$btc long setup 15MIN London session swept the Asia low — classic liquidity grab before reversing.
That’s your manipulation candle — a clear sign institutions are hunting stops below key Asian levels.
📉 Market Structure & Alligator Signal
Alligator lines are beginning to curl up — jaws, teeth, and lips are turning.
Price is currently forming support above the Alligator, signaling a possible awakening after consolidation.
We’re trading above the Alligator — that’s your cue for potential long momentum.
🎯 Entry Setup – Long Scenario
Entry Zone: Around 108,000 – 107,950 (just above Alligator & recent support)
Stop Loss: Below today’s low / Alligator lips — roughly 107,750-107,800
Take Profit 1: 108,500 (liquidity above London high)
Take Profit 2: 108,800–109,000 (previous resistance & HTF level)
✅ Confirmation Needed:
Wait for a bullish candle close above Alligator with volume.
No new low below 107,785 — that’s your invalidation.
Final Thought:
London took the Asia low — now we ride the reversal if support holds. Alligator turning = trend awakening. Don’t chase — wait for the pullback into support.
Let’s see if the bulls wake up 🚀
— original_capital33 | TradingView
👉 Like & Follow if this adds value. Not financial advice.
Gold Volatility Surges Above $4000Gold's selloff on Tuesday was its fifth most bearish day's trade since 1970 - according to spot prices from LSEG. Clearly this is a significant event, especially when we consider it occurred at its record high. Let's take a closer look at technical levels.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
EUR/AUD Bears Regain Control After False BreakFriday’s bearish hammer marked the second failed attempt for EUR/AUD to break out of its 550-pip range. Momentum has since turned lower, with prices continuing to respect the weekly pivot point as resistance.
Notably, the previous failed breakout also led to a move back toward the lower end of the range, suggesting a similar pattern could unfold.
For now, bears may target the weekly S1 pivot near the 1.77 handle, with a break below it bringing the range lows into focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25285.50
- PR Low: 25257.75
- NZ Spread: 62.25
No key scheduled economic events
Quick dip and rotation back towards ATH
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 385.15
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 290K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Has Life Sprung Back in ALTS?Quick ETH Trade Update — Market Showing Signs Of Life
Just a short update for everyone who’s been following my ETH long position — I’m still in, and we’re finally seeing some movement! There’s been a bit of news that brought life back into the market, especially across altcoins, and I wanted to share my quick thoughts on what this means.
I’ll also cover what I’m watching next, my invalidation levels, and what would make me either hold or scale out of the trade.
Stay patient, stay focused — the move could just be starting.
#Ethereum #ETH #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #ICTStrategy
Buy DAX 4H on tradeback in bull movementBuying with the trend below previous low of close. Fundameltally Buying bull move on retracement with Risk Reward 1:4.
will move stop to break even if 100 pts of profit is reached.
Gold Bearish Bias for the Day📅 Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
🕓 4H Timeframe
1️⃣ Market Context
After a strong impulsive bullish run, GOLD is currently consolidating near a heavy supply zone ($4340–$4370).
Price has failed to make a new higher high and is now showing early signs of exhaustion — potential short-term distribution in progress.
2️⃣ Bias: Bearish (Intraday/Short-Term)
Expecting a retracement or corrective leg back into the previous demand zone ($4200–$4230).
This could form a clean short-term sell opportunity before the next major bullish continuation resumes.
3️⃣ Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 4340–4360 (Short/Sell entries from premium supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 4375 (above previous swing high / invalidation)
Targets:
TP1 → 4290
TP2 → 4250
TP3 → 4205 (final demand zone retest)
RRR: 1:3+ potential depending on entry precision
4️⃣ Confirmation Triggers
✅ Bearish engulfing or rejection wick from supply zone
✅ BOS (Break of short-term structure) on lower TF (1H/15M)
✅ Volume drop on retest = ideal entry signal
5️⃣ Intraday Summary
If GOLD holds below 4360 — bias stays bearish.
Only a clean 4H close above 4375 will flip structure bullish again.
Until then, focus on shorting premium areas toward discount levels below $4250.
💬 Conclusion:
"Sell the premium, buy the discount" — today GOLD looks ripe for a controlled bearish correction before the next leg up. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase longs inside supply.
A good long position on EURUSDHello everyone
Today I came with another analysis on the 4-hour timeframe, I identified a bullish FVG here and I expect the price to reach the supply areas of the daily timeframe after hitting this positive area.
I would be happy to give you your opinions in the comments section.
Thanks
1.40 Appears Pivotal For USD/CADUSD/CAD remains in an established uptrend on the daily chart, although momentum showed signs of turning lower on Friday. Still, the 1.40 handle and monthly R1 pivot sit close by as a key support zone, making this area pivotal for both bulls and bears in the near term.
If the support zone holds, the bias favours a move toward 1.41, near the monthly R2 pivot. However, a break below 1.40 would shift focus to the high-volume node (HVN) at 1.3948, where bears may look to extend downside pressure. Given the prevailing uptrend, bulls may continue to watch for evidence of a swing low before re-entering.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/CAD Looks Set To Mean RevertA two-bar bearish reversal pattern (dark cloud cover) has formed around the monthly D1 pivot, suggesting that momentum could temporarily shift lower. Bears may look to fade retracements within the reversal zone and maintain a short-term bearish bias while prices remain below last week’s high.
The 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA, and monthly pivot point could serve as downside targets for bears — or potential swing-low zones for bulls to monitor.
A break below 1.8550 would signal a deeper correction or potentially a trend reversal in progress.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
DLO 1D: steady within the channel, eyes on $20+On the daily chart, DLocal keeps trading inside a clean upward channel. After a strong leg up, price is pulling back toward the 13.12–13.90 buy zone - a confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the channel’s lower boundary.
As long as both MA50 and MA200 stay below price, buyers remain in control. Volume expansion supports the idea of another bullish swing ahead.
First resistance is near $16.45, with the broader target sitting at $20.57 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
From a fundamental standpoint, DLocal keeps strengthening its presence in emerging markets. The fintech theme is still alive, and this setup looks like a calm pullback before another push higher.
In short - wait for confirmation around support, then let the trend do the heavy lifting. Just remember: even the cleanest channels have bumps along the road
SOL Waiting at the weekly pivot...CRYPTOCAP:SOL has fallen out of the wedge, an interior wave 5 completion structure, which suggests we should see a broader sell off to the next High Volume Node in interior wave 2, $120. It is concerning no new high was made and backs up a deeper correction. This would also meet the ascending the weekly 200EMA.
Weekly RSi is crossed bearish but price remains above the weekly pivot and EMA which is bullish. Direction is ambiguous for now. A push back into the wedge would flip the outlook bullish.
Wave 5 target remains $600 at the R5 weekly pivot.
Safe trading
$ONDO wave (2) Bottomed?LSE:ONDO appears to have completed wave 2 with WXY complex correction ending at the major High Volume Node support just above the golden pocket.
Weekly RSi has printed bullish divergence but is not yet confirmed. A dip into the wick and High Volume Node is to be expected before high but may not get there.
Wave (3) has an initial target of the R2 weekly pivot at $3.18, a strong move from here. $1.22 weekly pivot and High Volume Node will put up a fight.
Safe trading
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin also cross $100,000?!Bitcoin is located between EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. In case of an upward correction towards the specified supply range, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Bitcoin’s recent rally has stalled under macroeconomic pressures, marking one of the most significant events in the asset’s history. With capital inflows into ETFs slowing and volatility spiking, the market has entered a recalibration phase—characterized by deleveraging, cautious investor sentiment, and a reliance on new demand to reignite the bullish trend.
This latest price decline is particularly concerning, as it marks the third time since late August that Bitcoin has fallen below roughly $117,000, a zone where most large holders are now underwater.
Following the largest liquidation cascade in Bitcoin’s history, capital inflows into U.S. spot ETFs have weakened alongside price declines. At the same time, the derivatives market has seen a sharp reduction in leverage, while ETF investors have shown mild selling pressure, resulting in a net outflow of about 2.3K BTC so far this week.
Unlike previous capitulation phases, where outflows typically accelerated price drops, the current slowdown reflects hesitation rather than panic. However, if weakness persists or ETF inflows take longer to recover, it could signal fragility on the demand side, undermining one of the core drivers behind Bitcoin’s past rallies.
During the recent liquidation wave, spot trading volumes surged to some of the highest levels of the year, reflecting intense market activity as traders rapidly adjusted their positions amid heightened volatility.
...دادهاند
In Q3 of this year, the number of publicly traded companies holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets hit a new record — despite ongoing market turbulence. According to data from Bitwise Asset Management, the number of listed firms with Bitcoin holdings grew by nearly 40% in just three months, reaching 172 companies.
Still, a recent October survey by Bank of America shows that 76% of investors currently hold no exposure to cryptocurrencies, up from 67% in September. Even among those with some allocation to digital assets, exposure remains minimal:
• 3% of investors hold only 2% of their portfolios in crypto.
• 1% allocate around 4% to cryptocurrencies.
• 3% have 8% or more of their portfolios invested in digital assets....
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations.
The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments.
In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24.
This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services.
With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts.
Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions.
The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly.
In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing.
The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access.
The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors.
In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment.
Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors.
Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020:
• 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%)
• 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%)
• 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
$ETH Macro unchangedNothing has changed for me on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH macro. The pullback was shallow for a wave 2 not even hitting the weekly pivot or 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. We expect wave 2 to be a sharper drop to at least the 0.382.
This has me skeptical about higher straight away without further downside.
If the bottom is in then wave 3 should kick in and be a powerful move into price discovery with initial target of the R5 weekly pivot $8500
Further downside should be expected as we are below major High Volume Node resistance, weekly RSI is bearish with rom to fall. The first target is the weekly pivot at $3200, followed by the rising weekly 200EMA, High Volume Node support and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $2600
Safe trading
