ETH - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 15.08.25Greetings! We hit 100 Followers, welcome to all the new joiners :) Happy to have you here with us, thank you! ^-^
We assume the recent high was a Wave 3 and we are now looking for a pullback in a Wave 4 as an ABC. The Wave 4 support area lies between the 0.236 FIB at 4463 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 4121 USD. As we already entered the support area by touching the 0.236 FIB the correction could be over but we think it is more likely that that was only the A Wave of a bigger ABC correction.
The Wave B resistance area is between the 0.382 FIB at 4582 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 4754 USD. Be aware that B Waves resistance areas are not strong which makes B Waves harder to predict and trade. Additionally the B Wave could extend higher and take out the ATH in an overshooting B Wave especially with the bullish market sentiment we have around Ethereum at the moment.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Pivot Points
SOL - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 15.08.25Greetings! We hit 100 Followers, welcome to all the new joiners :) Happy to have you here with us, thank you! ^-^
We assume the recent high on the 14th of August was the Wave 1 of an impulse to the upside.
We are looking for a Wave 2 retracement as ABC now of which presumably finished Wave A and started Wave B. The standard resistance for Wave B is between the 0.382 FIB at 198.32 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 207.23 USD. The Wave 2 support area is between the 0.382 FIB at 189.22 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 167.39 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 15.08.25Greetings! We hit 100 Followers, welcome to all the new joiners :) Happy to have you here with us, thank you! ^-^
We assume that the move up from the 3rd of August was a Wave 1 of a Diagonal as ABC and now we are working on the C Wave of the Wave 2 of this diagonal. Alternatively you could count it as double 1-2 set up instead of an diagonal.
The Wave 2 support area is between the 0.5 FIB at 3.0552 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.8681 USD.
The next Wave C targets are the 1.382 FIB at 2.9665 USD which is within the golden pocket of the Wave 2 Support area and lastly the 1.618 FIB at 2.9007 USD.
Be aware that if we break the Wave 2 support area we are looking for a deeper retracement which would take us to 2.52 USD or even lower. In this scenario we would need to count the move up that we started in April as a diagonal or even some corrective structure to the upside.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XAU/USD Technical Outlook for the upcoming week In this video I look at the current PA of gold using TPO chart and correlate a plan for where we could see price go in the coming week .
I use a regular chart and TPO chart for this analysis as well as Fibonacci tools .
We are currently in the middle of a range and until that range is broken we plan ahead and seek the best high probability setup via looking at the charts and correlating with the News catalysts.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 15.08.25Greetings! We hit 100 Followers, welcome to all the new joiners :) Happy to have you here with us, thank you! ^-^
Today, we want to discuss two cases. :)
Case 1:
The recent high which formed a new ATH was the Wave 1 of our move up and now we are looking for the Wave 2 pullback in the red ABC of which we finished the A and are working on the B. The resistance area for B is between the 0.382 FIB at 119884 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 123685 USD. The Wave 2 support area is between the 0.382 FIB at 118400 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 114118 USD.
Case 2:
The Wave 1 topped on the 11th of August and we were looking for the Wave 2 pullback in the yellow ABC. The recent move up which created a new ATH was an overshooting B Wave and the move down afterwards the C Wave. In this case we want to see a 5 wave move up followed by a corrective pullback soon.
We think Case 1 is more likely to play out.
The Invalidation for both bullish counts is breaking below the low at 111850 USD.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
$EURUSD 15m Mark-UpOANDA:EURUSD
August 15
Analysis Notes:
After the nearly 100 Pip drop we captured on EURUSD, price has reacted to the 4H zone, bounced from the decision demand, and is now heading towards the 15-minute swing. It will likely move up to 50% of the 4H supply zone.
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WisdomTree Europe SmallCap | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Quote
- Double Formation
* (Diagonal Shift)) At 25.00 USD | Subdivision 1
* Stop Loss - *(Allocation Range)) | No Size Up | Completed Survey
* 150 bars, 4565d | Date Range Method - *(Uptrend Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Monthly Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 58.00 USD
* Entry At 70.00 USD
* Take Profit At 88.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
EURGBP HIGH Probability LongWe are oversold on the Oscillators. We are going to take first entry here, if we keep dropping in price we will add a new entry per closed 4 hour candle. If I need additional entries, then we will move the SL to the lower level marked on the chart.
We we will cost average into this trade if we don't get the strong push from this entry. I will update my positions as we go.
15.08.25 -XAUUSD Market Bias Strategy – Asian & UK only⚠️ Not Valid for US Market:
Do not apply this strategy during the 4 hours before the US session opens.
Do not apply during the first 4-hour candle of the US market.
💡 How the Strategy Works:
Identify when a 4-hour candle opens above or below any of the key levels listed below.
The nearest level to the candle open will define the market bias:
Above level → Long Bias
Below level → Short Bias
If price touches a level but fails to hold, and the next 4-hour candle opens in the opposite direction, the bias flips.
Once flipped, the market is expected to target the previous level.
⛔ Stop-Loss / Trade Exit Rule:
After entering a setup, if any 1-hour candle opens in the opposite direction to the 4-hour candle bias where the setup was taken, close the trade manually to limit losses.
📍 Key Levels for Today:
Pivot: 3346.747
R1: 3363.643
R2: 3391.702
R3: 3408.598
S1: 3318.688
S2: 3301.792
S3: 3273.733
$HUT is Blasting Off Again!NASDAQ:HUT pull backs continue to be shallow making an accurate Elliot wave count difficult but this is a characteristic of a strong wave 3.
The next target is $33 major High Volume Node resistance at the R4 daily pivot.
RSI is printing daily bearish divergence but this will be offset soon if price continues upwards.
Safe trading
DXY: Dollar’s ready, but the starter pistol’s still silentDXY is holding in the 97.50–97.60 support zone, an area where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Current market structure suggests possible liquidity accumulation before an upside move. The key tactical trigger is a breakout and close above 98.76, opening the path to 100.28, then 101.84 where historical selling pressure has emerged. The long-term target, if all levels break in sequence, is 104.40. While price remains below 98.76, buyers have no confirmed advantage and any rally remains speculative.
Fundamentally , the dollar lacks unconditional support: US macro data is mixed and Fed policy remains uncertain. However, safe-haven demand and cautious risk positioning by large players create a backdrop for a potential upward correction.
Tactical plan: watch 97.50–97.60, a confirmed break above 98.76 activates a move towards 100.28 → 101.84 → 104.40. Failure to break cancels the idea until a fresh impulse emerges.
The dollar right now is like a boxer before stepping into the ring - warmed up, focused, but waiting for the bell.
$AAVE Continues to follow the path!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE was immediately reject from the swing high as expected, per the percentage band take profit rules.
Daily RSI has plenty of room to grow to reach the all time High Volume Node resistance which is the next target at $430.
Based on the depth of wave (2) after touching the daily 200EMA as support, wave 3 is still underway to complete the larger degree wave 5 with a poke above all high, the highest probability terminal target per Elliot wave rules.
Safe trading
For those interested in trading signals / diary & trade management / trading parameters etc... Signals updated for 15/08/25
✅ LSE:ONDO DEMA Percentage Band rule added
✅ CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit take profit #2 for 2.59RR
✅ CRYPTOCAP:AAVE (DEMA) HIt take profit 1 for 1.45RR
✅ CRYPTOCAP:ADA moved 10% after signal activation but still not hit take profit 1
✅ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple) very close to take profit #1
✅ BTC added to completed trade signals along side Take profit 2 for google, 700, HBAR and a few stop (INJ, SOL, BTDR) and invalidations for META, SHIBINU, WLD)
Safe trading
EURUSD- 6/8/25 - bullish pushAfter last week's high momentum bullish move, the last few days has resulted in a consolidation with a price ceiling that has been tested about 4 times - equal high liquidity zone.
Ideally i would like a pull back to trigger a bullish move.
+ve:
1. equal high liquidity that has been tested 4 times
2. continuing with bullish momentum
-ve:
1. Large imbalance below this zone which could draw price lower
Champions Trade at 3346
🎤 Gold Up Top, Dip Down Low – XAUMO’s Market Breakdown
🔐 Key Price Zones for XAUUSD
• POC (Point of Control): 3335.85 — crowd loves buying here
• VAH (Value Area High): 3339.90 — top zone where the sellers hang
• VAL (Value Area Low): 3333.30 — dip where the smart money loads up
• Heavy Seller Zone (Red Block): 3344.46 – 3347.00
• Liquidity Magnet (Big Block): 3345.50 – 3347.00
⸻
🧱 Support & Resistance, Street Style
Support:
• 3340: First line of defense
• 3335.85: Solid ground under our feet
• 3333.30: The last stash spot before a drop
• 3320: If we hit this… welcome to bear cave city
Resistance:
• 3346.50 – 3347.00: Heavy seller ambush
• 3352: Break this and we’re breaching the ceiling
• 3360: Price sings “I’m on top of the world” here
⸻
⏰ Market Sessions, Explained by the Hustlers
💮 Tokyo (7–8 AM Cairo Time):
• 5-day highs sat between 3343 – 3347
💮 Tokyo (8–9 AM):
• Lows ranged between 3326 – 3342
🗽 New York (8:30–9:30 PM Cairo Time):
• Highs: 3345 – 3352
• Lows: 3322 – 3340
⸻
💧 Tomorrow’s Liquidity Map
• Yellow Zone (Trap Zone): 3346.50 – 3347.50
→ Where sellers lay honey for eager buyers
• Green Zone (Takeoff Zone): Above 3352
→ If it breaks here, gold’s heading for orbit
• Red Zone (High Alert): 3344 – 3347
→ Sellers are lined up like a checkpoint – break it wrong, and it’s game over
⸻
⚔️ XAUMO’s Tactical Tips
(When to strike, hold, or dip)
• STRIKE: Clear breakout above 3352
• DEFEND: If price pulls back from 3346 – sell and bounce
• SCALP: If price is stuck mid-range
• SWING: Buy low (VAL) and sell high (VAH)
⸻
💣 The High-Stakes Trade (Street Market Style)
• Type: Sell Limit Order
• Entry: 3346.50
• Stop Loss: 3348.50
• Target 1: 3342.50
• Target 2: 3338.50
• Target 3: 3333.50
• Confidence Level: 86%
Why this trade? (Street Logic):
• Entering the red zone = bear trap
• Heavy sellers chilling at 3346
• Clear divergence on indicators
• Last few sessions broke but didn’t follow through = classic trap
⸻
🧱 Biggest Order Blocks (Per Timeframe)
• 15-Min Chart:
Sell Block: 3344.46 – 3347.00
Volume: ~24.8K contracts
Chance of revisit: 90% — market’s baiting again
• 1-Hour Chart:
Buy Block: 3330 – 3333
Volume: ~66K contracts
Chance of revisit: 65%
• 4-Hour Chart:
Sell Block: 3346 – 3352
Volume: ~125K contracts
Probability: 78% — some big fish wants out again
⸻
📣 Educational Post – As If XAUMO Was on Wall Street
🎺 Yo traders – today gold’s dancing up top and dipping low!
Price keeps teasing around 3346 and trapping folks, then zooming back to 3352.
Don’t jump in unless price tells you it’s ready – or you’ll get knocked out by the big dogs.
This ain’t a game – it’s chess, and you gotta move like a hustler.
💣 Remember:
🔶 Yellow = Trap
🟩 Green = Liftoff
🟥 Red = Run for cover
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for education only – not financial advice.
Trade only if you know the game. The market doesn’t forgive tourists.
⸻
👑 Want me to break it down Hamo Bika-style, like “Some are Up, Some are Down”?
Say the word — and I’ll fire it up street-level 💥
— From your boy, XAUMO, The People’s Analyst 🎤
Analysis LearnOpen the image to see it in higher quality. 🕯 The points marked are potential entries based on market conditions and higher timeframe analysis. If confirmed, I may take the trade. The win rate usually ranges between 30% and 60%, which means that out of all these buy and sell setups, up to 60% might result in a loss.
📕 Many of you have asked for tutorials here and on TradingView. Please understand that I don’t have the time to provide them, and the best way to learn is by trading with your own money—which you’ve worked hard to earn—of course, not with large amounts but with proper risk management.
🙏 I hope this chart helps you.
UNH LevelsJust sharing my UNH chart. Levels have been reactive so far.
Berkshire Hathaway announced their position today so the stock could get a much needed boost through that VPOC overlap area($301-304). If it goes through without issue, $309 -> $312->$320/$322. Let's see if a gap up holds into tomorrow's regular trading hours.
Pissed at the moment because I haven't gotten a chance to enter those 1/15/27 and 12/17/2027 $320 LEAPS yet.
~The Villain
Will FETUSDT Trap the Bulls Before a Brutal Drop?Yello Paradisers — is FETUSDT setting up the perfect bull trap before a sharp sell-off? The current market structure suggests danger ahead, and ignoring it could be costly.
💎FETUSDT remains in a clear bearish market structure. After taking inducement, price is now moving toward a key resistance zone while following an ascending channel — a combination that typically increases the probability of a downside reversal.
💎If price reaches this resistance zone and begins showing bearish reversal patterns — such as a double top or head-and-shoulders — the odds of a strong move down will rise significantly. For aggressive traders, an early entry could be taken on a confirmed breakdown of the ascending channel, but this is not the safest play, as the risk-to-reward would be poor.
💎However, if FETUSDT breaks and closes above the invalidation level, our bearish idea will be completely off the table. In that scenario, the smarter move is to wait patiently for a fresh setup with cleaner price action before committing capital.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴






















