GBPUSD - 21/9/2025Weakness in the dollar DXY last week saw price action push up GBP.
Couple of things to notice.
- Price look out the equal high liquidity zone $$$
- Price action did not reach the 4hr zone and left some imbalance
- if the first 2 zones are taken, then i will wait for a confirmation entry at the extreme zone to show up on the 1hr or 4hr.
+ve:
1. price reached the first zone of interest and may sweep the second zone due to the imbalance between the zones
2. HTF structure is still bullish
-ve:
1. there is still imbalance above the extreme zone
2. the new week may change the direction and if the low of the extreme zone if taken then further bearish movement is due.
Pivot Points
EURUSD - 21/9/2025Due to the weakening of the dollay DXY there has been a bullish sentiment with EUR.. price has pulled back to an initial zone on the 4hr caused by a doji with imbalance above it.
I am looking for a reaction from this zone to continue the HTF bullish sentiment.
+ve:
1. the top zone was broken suggesting further bullish price action is coming
2. price at doji now
-ve:
1. the extreme zone is just below this area
Alternative trade:
- if price hits my SL then i will watch the extreme zone for a confirmation entry and not jump it till i see that
- price may break the Higher low marked under the extreme zone and close under it (not wick). if it does then it may mark a bearish reversal for the time being and i will look for a short entry.
BWP Setup: Support Holding, Momentum BuildingKeeping it simple here. Price has established a strong base between $3.20 and $3.70, showing clear signs of accumulation. All major trend indicators have just turned up, suggesting momentum is building.
Trade Plan
Entry: Current levels offer a solid technical foundation
Target: Initial TP around $4.20
Risk Management: Respect the All-Time High (ATH) resistance zone
Trailing Strategy: Trail stop losses below each new swing low to stay aligned with the trend
Elliott Wave ABCDE analysis 4H chart for BTCUSD September 20For educational purposes only.
From the chart it is seen A,B,C,D,E a BARRIER outer line flat squeezing upper momentum the next would be a breakout up towards 117500-118500 area where there might be a selloff again, the support area is around 114500. Since the dollar is weak and rate might decrease it is a good time to buy. I doubt there would be more dips below 114500 for major 113000 support area, I would simply increase investments there. Targets are 120500 by end of September more likely to occur.
Hims long into supplyHims has decided to push the supply as we previously mentioned. We note a breakout of the OBV, which I have been tracking (momentum). As I previously stated, I was looking for a push to 60 again. Volatility has reset, and shorts are being squeezed. I would like to think that 51-ish is the new range, but he likes to surprise in both directions. I believe we push 65$ here in the short term. Volume is rising on the weekly.
My plan:
I sold shares into this pump in my IRA to focus more on large caps there (AMD).
I did swing some new shares on this move.
Sell calls into the top of supply at 63, put sells should be safe, as well as 6 mo + calls
APE Main trend. Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones 05 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
1️⃣ Decline from the maximum by -98% , which is acceptable for assets of such liquidity and capitalization, after that either a trend reversal (main), or a complete scam.
2️⃣X (twitter) of this crypto project has 473 thousand subscribers . This army will be sent to pump this cryptocurrency at the right time in the so-called 3rd alt season of this cycle.
🟣And now work with a breakout of the descending wedge, and the price movement to the resistance of the descending channel. The percentage locally - medium-term showed for clarity from two zones - scenarios.
3️⃣The third plus is that this cryptocurrency is traded on 4 liquid exchanges: binance, bybit, okx, and most importantly Coinbase.
Line chart (trend direction and liquidity).
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsThe Bank Nifty ended the week at 55,458.85, gaining +1.19%.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
Price Action Pivot Zone:
55,342 to 55,577 – This blue-shaded range is the key area to watch. A breakout on either side could decide next week’s trend direction.
Support Levels
S1: 54,990
S2: 54,521
S3: 54,035
Resistance Levels
R1: 55,932
R2: 56,405
R3: 56,850
Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,577, buyers may gain control, pushing the index toward R1 (55,932), followed by R2 (56,405) and R3 (56,850).
Bearish Scenario:
If the index falls below 55,342, sellers could dominate, leading the index toward S1 (54,990), and potentially to S2 (54,521) and S3 (54,035).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,327.05, gaining +0.85%.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
Price Action Pivot Zone:
25,248 to 25,407 – This range is crucial for identifying potential trend continuation or reversal. A move outside this zone could set the directional tone for the coming sessions.
Support Levels:
Support 1 (S1): 25,011
Support 2 (S2): 24,694
Support 3 (S3): 24,355
Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): 25,647
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,984
Resistance 3 (R3): 26,320
Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above 25,407 (top of the pivot zone) may attract buying interest. If momentum builds, the index could test R1 (25,647), and potentially advance towards R2 (25,984) and R3 (26,320).
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 25,248 (bottom of the pivot zone) may lead to downside pressure. In such a case, Nifty may move towards S1 (25,011), and deeper support levels like S2 (24,694) and S3 (24,355)
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
Gold Analysis and HighlightsHi Traders
The market is expected to start the week with an upward move toward the resistance zones at 86 (buyers’ TP, which hasn’t been touched yet), resistance at 3688, and the 1H breaker block. Upon reaching these areas, I expect the first pullback toward the broken 15-minute equilibrium candle (zone 65.72 with 69 as the midpoint). If this zone holds as support, the market could target 2703 (hunt line that hasn’t had its pullback yet) before moving back toward lower liquidity points such as 3639 (sellers’ TP is positioned below – liquidity hunt) and 3626 liquidity, with support at 3623–3618 below it. From there, the market will decide its direction. If the 1H closes below this level, we’ll likely see a correction; otherwise, with just a shadow wick, it could still take out the daily liquidity above the high wick again
Learn the Significance of Psychological Levels and Round Numbers
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them.
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite typically, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations.
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
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Nifty Analysis EOD – September 19, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 19, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Flat Open, Sharp Fall, and a Range-Bound Trap
🗞 Nifty Summary
Gift Nifty hinted at a 50-point gap down, but Nifty opened nearly flat at 25,410. However, the bulls couldn’t hold, and within the first 45 minutes, the index slipped 132 points, breaking S1 and PDL to mark the day’s low at 25,297.
The rest of the day was stuck in a narrow 50-point band, with both sides witnessing fakeouts. The index finally closed exactly at S1 (25,352.5), about 66 points above the low.
The total range for the day stood at 142 points, and closing below previous day low showing weakness after yesterday’s sharp recovery attempt.
Yesterday’s note highlighted:
“The 100-point recovery was unexpected.”
— Today, that very recovery got completely wiped out in the early part of the session.
🗞 Last 3 Sessions breakdown
17th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,276.60 | Close: 25,330.25 | Change: +91.15 (+0.36%) → Bullish, small green candle
18th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,441.05 | Close: 25,423.60 | Change: +93.35 (+0.37%) → Bullish continuation, narrow range
19th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,410.20 | Close: 25,327.05 | Change: −96.55 (−0.38%) → Bearish, closes near 17th close
📌 Pattern Check:
The 3-session structure shows some similarity (~65%) with an Evening Star, but not a textbook one:
1st candle = Bullish
2nd candle = Strong bullish continuation (not a small-bodied star)
3rd candle = Bearish close near/below 17th session’s midpoint
👉 Interpretation:
This looks like a weak Evening Star variation, hinting at possible reversal.
For trading perspective, it’s more of a caution signal than a short trigger — confirmation from the next session’s candle is essential.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,410.20
High: 25,428.75
Low: 25,286.30
Close: 25,327.05
Change: −96.55 (−0.38%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open).
Body: ~83.15 points (moderate).
Upper wick: ~18.55 points.
Lower wick: ~40.75 points.
Closed closer to the low → Selling pressure throughout the session.
📚 Interpretation
Market opened flat but faced resistance near 25,428 (close to yesterday’s high).
Selling dragged it to 25,286, with only a mild recovery into the close.
Indicates a supply zone around 25,420–25,450.
🕯Candle Type
Bearish candle with a small lower wick.
Not a reversal by itself, but signals loss of momentum after prior strength.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 22, 2025
Resistance: 25,420–25,450 remains strong.
Support: 25,285–25,300 (today’s low).
Breakdown below 25,240 → Downside may stretch to 25,200–25,140.
Bulls need to reclaim 25,400+ quickly to keep the uptrend alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 159.12
IB Range: 114.45 → Wide
Market Structure: balanced
Trade Highlights:
11:45 Short Trade → SL Hit
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,340 ~ 25,385
25,425 ~ 25,460
25,500 (Psychological Level)
25,535
Support Zones:
25,307
25,290
25,275 ~ 25,260
25,240
💡 Final Thoughts
The market delivered a sharp fall early, followed by a dull range-bound trap. The weak Evening Star variation hints that momentum is fading.
👉 Bulls must reclaim 25,400+, else a drift toward 25,200 cannot be ruled out.
📖 “Markets often whisper before they shout — today was one such whisper of caution.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
XAUUSD: Trend in 1-H timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, channels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
W Secondary. Reversed Head and Shoulders Key Area. 18 09 25Logarithm. 3 days.
Main trend 23 03 2025
A breakout of the previously mentioned key resistance (pair to USD) occurs on huge buying volume and an exit from the sideways trend (inverse head and shoulders).
Local targets, in case the inverse head and shoulders pattern is realized and a bowl forms at the next resistance level (previous consolidation).
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 18, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 18, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Gap-Up Test, Triangle Breakdown, and Sharp Recovery
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 111-point gap-up at 25,441, right near our target zone of 25,460. The first 10 minutes formed an IB range of 55 points, and for the next 3 hours the index consolidated inside this band, shaping a symmetrical triangle pattern. (Refer to the 5 min Chart)
At 12:30 PM, the triangle broke down, and within 30 minutes its pattern target was achieved. In this move, Nifty not only filled the opening gap but also broke below R1 and PDH. At that stage, PDC, CPR, and the previous day’s resistance zone at 25,340 acted as strong support.
From there, a sudden 100-point sharp recovery pulled the index back to the mid-point of the earlier triangle. Nifty closed at 25,420, just 28 points below the day’s high.
📌 Yesterday’s note said:
Bulls face resistance at 25,340, breakout above it could open 25,460+ ✅ (tested in gap-up).
Sideways consolidation may happen ✅ (saw 3+ hours).
Pullback for gap-filling likely ✅ (done by mid-session).
📌 Yesterday’s note end:
👉 What wasn’t expected: the late-session sharp recovery, which shows bulls are still alive but lack strength to break new highs decisively. Tomorrow’s session becomes a litmus test for bulls — they must cross today’s high and close above 25,450 to keep momentum intact.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,441.05
High: 25,448.95
Low: 25,329.75
Close: 25,423.60
Change: +93.35 (+0.37%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open), yet index closed higher vs yesterday’s close.
Body: ~17.45 points (small).
Upper wick: ~7.90 points.
Lower wick: ~93.85 points (long).
Close is slightly below open but far above the day’s low → strong intraday recovery.
📚 Interpretation
Opened strong, extended slightly to 25,449, then fell to 25,330.
Buyers defended support and absorbed selling pressure, pulling back to 25,420.
Despite closing red, the candle reflects bullish undertone with demand at lower levels.
🕯Candle Type
Hammer-like candle → long lower shadow, small real body near the high. Suggests support defence and dip-buying strength.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 19, 2025
Support: 25,330 (today’s low).
Resistance: 25,445–25,450 (today’s high).
👉 Sustaining above 25,330 keeps the bullish structure intact.
👉 Breakout above 25,450 could open doors to 25,535–25,550.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 160.98
IB Range: 55.15 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
12:30 PM – Short Trigger → Target Achieved (R:R = 1:3.59)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,460
25,500 (Psychological)
25,535
Support Zones:
25,385
25,340
25,307 ~ 25,290
25,275 ~ 25,260 (Previous Day Low & Gap)
💡 Final Thoughts
The day perfectly tested the upper target, retraced for gap fill, and rebounded sharply. Bulls showed resilience but need confirmation. Tomorrow is key: above 25,450 = continuation; below 25,330 = weakness resurfaces.
📖 “Markets often test your conviction by shaking you out before the real move begins.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NYM Main Trend. 09/18/2025Logarithm. 1 week. -97% decline from the liquid zone, and more than -99% on all exchanges.
🔵 Main trend — descending channel (price at resistance, exit potential)
🟡 Secondary trend — sideways consolidation in the channel (upper part — reset zones)
🟣 Local trend — cup with handle (implementation in case of a breakout).
🔈 Previously (for publicity purposes), the project allegedly raised $300 million (verification via online links, for the less-than-savvy). The next step is a simple one. Listing on XXX. With a current decline of -99%, the first "investors" (partially redistributed from the wallets of small, unmonitored investors) have a notional profit of +400%. Consider the profit at the listing. The upper part of the channel and the middle (descending) are the reset waves, and in each local altseason, there's a small rise (creating interest and hope).
Fantik has been trading since 2022 and is listed on the buybit , along with several moderately liquid ones. It's losing liquidity and interest. Twitter's 160,000 is very low (this reflects the creators' reluctance to burn money on advertising and awareness of this "special" cryptocurrency, one of thousands.
⚠️ Later, there will be delistings, which is logical. But, before that, it's entirely possible to make money locally. In my opinion, it's a scam in the long term, even if they temporarily reset the chart and legend, meaning rebranding, swaps, and other tricks to continue selling at any price.
📊 It operates using a pump/dump strategy, with pre-distributed risk and a designated amount, without being tied to a project or ticker. It's all the same. It's one of dozens of "non-special" cryptocurrencies in this strategy. That is, it's important to diversify such assets. I've explained everything in the comments and shown examples and situations dozens of times on other charts.
📊 Spot only and no stops (low liquidity). All targets are relatively "down-to-earth." Price slippage may occur due to low liquidity. This can be exploited or ignored.
MONERO (XMRUSD): Another Bullish ALT
Another altcoin that looks strong bullish to me is Monero.
The price formed a high momentum bullish imbalance
candle after a test of a major horizontal support.
With a high probability, the market will reach 314.5 level soon.
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APTUSDT is currently strongly bullish4-hour timeframe, the market recently "grabbed" the Sellside Liquidity (SSL) at 4.162, a move that often precedes a major reversal. This event, coupled with the clear presence of Buyside Liquidity (BSL) pools above, has confirmed my uptrend conviction.
trade, my entry is precisely set at 4.280, a level that corresponds with a 2-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which represents a price inefficiency that the market is likely to re-enter. My primary take-profit target is the 1-hour Buyside Liquidity at 4.815, with a secondary target at the 4-hour Buyside Liquidity zone at 5.576. To manage my risk, my stop-loss is placed at 4.125, safely below the 4-hour Breaker Block. This plan offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and aligns
Small-Cap Setup with Big PotentialAnother promising setup is forming on EML. As always, keep in mind this is a small-cap play, so risk management is key. While the monthly uptrend isn’t yet fully established, the current structure offers multiple trade scenarios worth watching.
Trade Scenarios
1. Conservative Breakout Entry For those preferring confirmation, a long entry could be triggered on a clean break and close above $1.195 (as highlighted on the chart).
Stop Loss: Below the newly formed swing low
Target: $1.825, where notable resistance resides
2. Ideal Pullback Entry The optimal setup would be a pullback into a strong Area of Interest, supported by:
50% range retracement
Yearly pivot
Demand structure from the large April wick
If price forms a hammer/bullish candle in this zone, it could signal a high-probability reversal and offer a strong entry point.
SL placement depends on candle structure, but should invalidate below the demand zone
🎯 TP remains at $1.825, aligning with historical resistance
XAUUSD Intraday Roadmap (15m)This plan is built for 15-minute trading on Gold (XAUUSD). It combines supply/demand levels, a no-trade chop zone (3658–3668), and clear bullish/bearish setups with entry, stop, and targets.
📈 Bullish Setup
• Trigger: 15m close ≥ 3688
• Entry: ~3690
• SL: 3674.89
• TP1: 3703 | TP2: 3707
📉 Bearish Setup
• Trigger: 15m close ≤ 3646
• Entry: ~3644
• SL: 3660
• TP1: 3638 | TP2: 3626
⚠️ Notes
Trade only on a 15-minute timeframe, confirm entries with candle momentum, avoid chop range, and manage risk (≤2% per trade). Best results during the London & NY sessions.
✅ Summary
Above 3688 = Bullish bias
Below 3646 = Bearish bias
Inside 3658–3668 = No trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational use only — not financial advice.






















