Key Levels for the Month 09/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍Key Levels Overview for the Month🐍
__________________________
BreakoutUpZone🐂3480🐂3569🐂
🏛3396🏛3452🏛
BreakoutDownZone🐻3308🐻3341🐻
__________________________
Upper Support-Resistance🔀
3612
3608
3573
3569
3541
3533
3522
3518
3512
3511
3494
Mids∷∷∷
3400
3401
3402
3417
3427
3431
3433
3440
3442
3447
3450
3451
3460
3461
Lower Support-Resistance🔀
3343
3341
3338
3335
3330
3327
3326
3324
3323
3322
3317
3315
Pivot Points
MARA Holding Tight!NASDAQ:MARA continues to lag behind the small cap Miners. It is attempting to break through the weekly 200EMA once more after the rejection from the weekly pivot and High Volume Node (HVN) resistance I warned about.
My long term outlook remains up in Elliot wave 3 towards the R% weekly pivot at $66.
The golden pocket and HVN support of the local retracement has yet to be tested as resistance which acts like a magnet for price.
RSI remains at the EQ and price remains just below the channel EQ.
Safe trading
$ETH Did The Poke Above All Time High!As I said in my last update it would be unusual to complete the Elliot wave motif wave without a poke above all time high first and we got that this week adding confluence to an expected retracement ahead in wave 2. Poke above all time high shows long term strength.
Weekly RSI has bearish divergence from the wave 3 top in overbought territory.
Initial target is the (4) bottom and weekly pivot point at $3200 followed by $2800 High Volume Node and then the weekly 200EMA, S1 pivot and High Volume Node support at $2250. I will look out for longs in these areas.
Analysis is invalidated if proceed into price discovery.
Safe trading
BNB Retracement Ahead?CRYPTOCAP:BNB wave 5 looks complete at the weekly R1 pivot. RSI continues to print weekly bearish divergence from the wave 3 high.
Wave IV was a difficult count but appears to be a triangle which is a final pattern before the terminal move. Wave 2 retracement target usually ends at the bottom of wave 4 so $90 in this case which also finds confluence with 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and a swing below the weekly pivot, a good long signal.
Analysis is invalidated if we continue into price discovery.
Safe trading
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 29, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 29, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Failed bounce, sellers strike back at higher levels
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a GapDown of 66 points but immediately started moving up with an OL formation (Open = Low at 24,466.60) — a sign of bullish intent.
The first 5-min range of 98 points set the IB (Initial Balance), marking Day Low = Open and Day High = 24,564.35.
Throughout the session, the index attempted multiple IB breakouts but they all turned into false moves until 2:30 PM, when Nifty finally broke down IB Low and tested 24,400 zone before closing weak at 24,426.85 (−74.05 / −0.30%).
This structure suggests bears are still in control, though signs of base-building are emerging.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📝 Intraday Walk
GapDown start, but immediate OL formation = bullish sentiment
Quick gap-filling attempt, but resistance capped upside near 24,564
Multiple failed IB breakouts (both sides) = choppy action
Post 2:30 PM → decisive IB Low breakdown toward 24,400
Weak close at 24,426, below the midpoint of the day
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,466.70
High: 24,572.45
Low: 24,404.70
Close: 24,426.85
Change: −74.05 (−0.30%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Upper Wick (~105 pts): strong selling rejection at higher levels
Lower Wick (~22 pts): weak buyer defense near lows
Body (39.85 pts): indecisive but bearish bias
🕯Candle Type
Rejection-style red candle with small body and long upper wick.
📚 Interpretation
Early rebound attempt failed.
Close well below midpoint = sellers retain control.
Candle resembles a Shooting Star (bearish context) → signals supply pressure at higher levels.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 201.12
IB Range: 97.75 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights: No trade signal triggered
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,585 ~ 24,600
24,675 ~ 24,695
24,745
Support Zones:
24,665 ~ 24,650
24,365 ~ 24,335
🔮 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
If 24,400 holds, short-term base formation could play out.
If 24,400 breaks, expect further downside toward 24,250.
Bias → Bearish continuation unless 24,600 is decisively reclaimed.
💭 Final Thoughts
“Markets don’t reverse in a single day – they build a base. Respect the levels, not the noise.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
XAUUSD - 29/8/2025Yesterday i captured a great move with gold : 7R win. but didnt have time to detail that idea.
There is a break in the main trend line to the bullish direction.
Here i am looking for a small pull back today which has been playing out and and identified an area to buy limit from.
There is equal low liquidity on the left which is giving me confidence that the lows will be swept and that i should focus on the lower zone just below the imbalance.
+ve:
1. trade in direction of larger trend
2. equal lows to be swept and zone identified is higher probability
3. zone above has been touched but the horizontal line indicates the imbalance remaining
-ve:
1. some strength showing up in teh dollar today
2. big news coming out later income, spending and price index MoM
Entry:
- At the demand zone top
SL:
- below the zone, if this is broken - there may be a direction change coming for the medium term
TP:
- current targeting the remainig imbalance and the recent high - but i may push it higher if i see stronger bullish momentum coming through after the news.
Key Levels for the Week 05-01/09/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍Key Levels Overview for the Week🐍
__________________________
BreakoutUpZone🐂3432🐂3450🐂
🏛3409🏛3420🏛
BreakoutDownZone🐻3378🐻3398🐻
__________________________
Upper Support-Resistance🔀
3561
3552
3543
3541
3537
3534
3530
3525
3513
3510
Mids∷∷∷
3487
3484
3479
3478
3476
3471
3470
3468
3466
3461
3460
Lower Support-Resistance🔀
3437
3428
3426
3423
3422
3414
3411
3407
3406
3390
3387
Harvest Healthcare | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Harvest Healthcare
- Double Formation
* (Short Cut Attitude)) - Short Entry - *25EMA | Subdivision 1
* (Range Allocation)) | No Size Up - *1.5RR | Completed Survey
* 93 bars, 2832d | Date Range Method - *Downtrend Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Monthly Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 8.60 CAD
* Entry At 7.70 CAD
* Take Profit At 6.30 CAD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
- Double Formation
* Curved & Arrowed Support - *0.5 - Short Entry - *25EMA | Subdivision 1
* (1st. Take Profit)) - *1.5RR - *Downtrend Area | Completed Survey
* 89 bars, 623d | Date Range Method - *Downtrend Argument))
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* Weekly Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
* Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 105.00 EUR
* Entry At 92.00 EUR
* Take Profit At 71.00 EUR
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
- Continuation Pattern | Not Valid
- Reversal Pattern | Not Valid
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Technical Analysis for BTC/USDTBased on mathematical and statistical models, along with technical tools such as Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, Bitcoin is currently undergoing a bearish correction after failing to break through the key resistance at $114,046.
🔹 Interaction with Fibonacci Levels
In the previous analysis, we highlighted the importance of Fibonacci retracements in anticipating turning points. Recent price action confirmed this, as Bitcoin repeatedly reacted to these levels. The 61.8% retracement at $112,858 acted as a strong resistance, turning into a supply zone where sellers regained control.
Moreover, price failed to approach the 100% retracement at $114,292, reflecting a clear weakness in bullish momentum at higher levels. After that, Bitcoin broke below the 38.2% retracement at $111,972, triggering a sharper downside move — once again proving the reliability of statistical models in mapping market behavior ahead of time. 📉
🔹 Key Support Levels
$108,832: The first major support, aligning with a previous liquidity zone where price showed strong reactions. 🛡️
$108,353: A stronger support level. If broken, this could lead to a deeper bearish extension toward $107,500 or lower.
🔹 Technical Indicators
The RSI dropped to low levels (41.6 and even near 26.4 at certain points), signaling oversold conditions ⚠️, which may lead to a short-term rebound from the supports.
The 20 & 50 EMAs have crossed bearishly, confirming the downward bias.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
To regain momentum, Bitcoin must reclaim the $111,400 – $111,900 area and then retest the $112,800 (61.8% Fibonacci) level. Only a sustained breakout here would open the way toward the major resistance at $114,046. 🚀
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Failure to stabilize near current levels could push price down to $108,832, followed by $108,353. A breakdown below the latter would likely accelerate bearish momentum significantly.
✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin failed to reach the key resistance at $114,046 and gradually lost strength as it broke through crucial Fibonacci levels. The market is now testing critical supports at $108,832 and $108,353, which will determine whether a rebound is possible or if further downside is ahead. At this stage, caution is essential ⚖️, with close monitoring of liquidity and momentum.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout – Workiva Inc. ($WK)Workiva Inc. ( NYSE:WK ) has just broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation. The breakout happened above the descending resistance line, with strong momentum building over the last sessions.
• Entry Zone: Current breakout around $82
• Profit Target: $91.20 (approx. +11.5% upside)
• Stop Loss: Below $78 (to protect against false breakout)
The ascending support trendline continues to hold well, showing higher lows and strong accumulation. If the momentum sustains, this setup favors a move toward the $91 zone.
Ascending Triangle Breakout on VICR – Entry After Resistance BreVicor Corporation (VICR) has been forming a clear ascending triangle pattern over the past several months. The resistance line at $52.05 (marked in red) has been tested multiple times, and today’s breakout above this key level signals strong bullish momentum.
The blue line ($50.22) acted as a solid support zone, reinforcing the base of this triangle. With price now trading above the breakout level, the setup suggests a continuation move towards the next resistance at $57.86, offering an upside potential of ~11%.
📈 Trade Idea:
• Entry: Above $52.05 (confirmed breakout)
• Target: $57.86
• Stop Loss: Below $50.22 (support zone)
The ascending green trendline further validates this bullish structure, indicating higher lows and strong demand.
From Rally to Reversal: Gold Near PRZ, Bears Prepare!As I expected in the previous idea , Gold started to rise with the help of Powell's words and reached my targets(Full Target) .
Gold is currently entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and is also moving near the Resistance zone($3,451-$3,406) and Resistance line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . The wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,363 after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Second Target: $3,351
Third Target: Support lines
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,416(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
More Downside Ahead for Bank Nifty?The Bank Nifty ended the week at 53,655.65, slipping -2.71%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
53,540 to 53,772 – This blue-shaded range is the key area to watch. A breakout on either side could decide next week’s trend direction.
🔻 Support Levels
S1: 53,191
S2: 52,726
S3: 52,319
🔺 Resistance Levels (From Chart):
R1: 54,121
R2: 54,586
R3: 55,266
📰 Sentiment Check (Last Week):
Banking heavyweights witnessed strong profit booking.
Global cues and weak risk appetite pressured financial stocks.
The overall sentiment remains bearish-to-cautious, with strong resistance overhead.
Adding to the pressure, Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on Indian goods has shaken investor confidence. Export-heavy sectors and financials with exposure to global trade are expected to face stress, which could weigh further on Bank Nifty.
📈 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If Bank Nifty sustains above 53,772, buyers may attempt a recovery toward R1 (54,121), followed by R2 (54,586) and R3 (55,266).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the index breaks below 53,540, sellers could dominate, dragging the index toward S1 (53,191), S2 (52,726) and further to S3 (52,319).
📌 Sentiment Outlook:
The strong bearish weekly candle shows that sellers are still in control. Unless Bank Nifty reclaims and sustains above the pivot zone (53,772), the index may continue to stay under pressure. With Trump’s 50% tariff move adding to global trade tensions, the sentiment may stay negative, keeping supports around 53,191 and 52,726 critical to watch.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Nifty at Crossroads: Will Tariff Shock Deepen the Fall?The Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,426.85, slipping -1.78%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,349 to 24,506—This is the critical zone to watch. A decisive move beyond either side may dictate next week’s trend.
🔻 Support Levels
S1: 24,113
S2: 23,800
S3: 23,452
🔺 Resistance Levels
R1: 24,741
R2: 25,056
R3: 25,346
Sentiment Check (Last Week):
Nifty faced heavy profit booking amid global market weakness and concerns over geopolitical uncertainties, especially Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on Indian goods, which rattled investor confidence. While early optimism pushed prices up, sustained selling dragged the index below the pivot zone, signaling caution.
Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty sustains above 24,506, a recovery move could target R1 (24,741). A decisive breakout above this may extend the rally towards R2 (25,056) and R3 (25,346).
Bearish Scenario:
If the index slips below 24,349, selling pressure may intensify. This could drag Nifty towards S1 (24,113), and further down to S2 (23,800) and S3 (23,452).
Sentiment Outlook:
The market tone has shifted cautious after the breakdown from the pivot zone. Sustaining above 24,506 is key for bulls to regain strength; otherwise, bears may extend control towards deeper support levels. The tariff issue could remain a short-term headwind for Indian equities until clarity emerges on trade negotiations.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Retesting Resistance
Hello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Cup and Handle Breakout Setup – Vistra Corp. (VST)Vistra Corp. (VST) is forming a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the daily chart. The cup formation has developed over several months, with a clear resistance zone around $200 now being tested again.
A confirmed breakout above $200 could trigger the next leg up. Based on the measured move from the cup depth, the projected target sits around $310, offering a potential upside of +54% from the breakout point.
Key Levels:
• Breakout Entry: Above $200
• Target: $310
• Stop Loss: Below $185 (handle support)
This pattern signals a continuation of bullish momentum, especially if the breakout occurs on high volume.
AUD/USD CONTINUING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 4H CHARTTechnical Analysis: AUD/USD Maintains Bearish Trajectory on 4-Hour Chart
The Australian Dollar versus the US Dollar (AUD/USD) pair continues to exhibit a definitive bearish trend structure on the 4-hour chart, signaling a prevailing dominance of selling pressure. A comprehensive analysis of the current price action, momentum, and key technical levels suggests a high probability of further declines in the upcoming trading sessions. This persistent downward bias is critical for traders to understand as it shapes the strategic approach for both entry and exit points.
The most telling characteristic of the current market structure is the pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This sequence is the fundamental hallmark of a healthy downtrend, indicating that each attempt by buyers to rally the price is met with even stronger selling pressure at a lower level than the previous rally. Currently, price is trading precariously near one such lower high, acting as a dynamic resistance. This positioning is a critical juncture; a failure to break above this level would reaffirm the bearish sentiment and likely catalyze the next leg down. The weakening of the buying force is visibly apparent in the price movements. Rally attempts appear lackluster, characterized by small-bodied candles and low volume, which are quickly overwhelmed by strong, decisive bearish candles that push the pair to fresh lows. This demonstrates a clear lack of conviction among bulls and a market eager to sell into any minor strength.
Based on this technical configuration, the expectation is for the bearish momentum to persist. Sellers are expected to defend any upward moves aggressively, keeping the overall trajectory pointed downward. The path of least resistance remains to the south, aligning with the broader fundamental headwinds often faced by the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar, such as concerns over global growth and Chinese economic data.
In terms of specific price targets, the analysis points to a downside target near the 0.64200 level. This level is identified as a significant technical objective, likely representing a previous major swing low or a key psychological support zone. A breach below this level could open the door for an extension of the decline towards even deeper supports. However, markets rarely move in a straight line, and counter-trend rallies are to be expected.
On any upward move, the 0.65700 resistance level stands as a critical barrier. This is not just any level; it is a major inflection point that represents a previous support-turned-resistance or a confluence of other technical factors like a key moving average (e.g., the 50 or 100-period EMA). For the current bearish outlook to be invalidated, buyers would need to generate enough momentum to force a sustained break above this 0.65700 ceiling. Until such a break occurs, all bounces are likely to be viewed as selling opportunities within the broader negative trend.
In summary, the AUD/USD's 4-hour chart paints a clear bearish picture defined by its structure. Traders should monitor reactions near the current lower high for potential short entries, with a primary profit target set towards the 0.64200 region, while using a break above the formidable 0.65700 resistance as a key stop-loss or trend invalidation signal.
UROY LongAnalysis
* Long accumulation phase formed a value area
* Maninpulation below the accumulation into weekly Fair Value Gap
* Subsequent initial distribution
* Pullback into equilibrium of the accumulation range and half way back measured move off the manipulation low
Trade Frame - Entry
* (Already partially at the pullback into the value area)
* Continuation of the bullish order flow on activation of the next weekly order block
Trade Frame - Profit targets
* At all time high
* 2 - 2.5 Standard deviations of the manipulation leg
SUNDRAM FASTENERSSundram Fasteners Ltd. (currently trading at ₹1020) is a flagship company of the TVS Group and a leading manufacturer of high-tensile fasteners, cold extruded parts, powertrain components, and metal assemblies. With a strong export footprint and Tier-1 OEM relationships, the company serves automotive, industrial, and energy sectors across India, Europe, and North America. It operates 11 manufacturing facilities and is known for its engineering depth and quality systems.
Sundram Fasteners Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
Sales – ₹4,902 Cr → ₹5,663 Cr → ₹5,955 Cr → ₹5,991 Cr Steady growth driven by auto recovery and export traction
Net Profit – ₹462 Cr → ₹500 Cr → ₹542 Cr → ₹547 Cr Margin stability supported by product mix and cost control
Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Strong → Strong Consistent EBITDA margins around 15–16%
Dividend Yield (%) – 1.10% → 1.25% → 1.30% → 1.35% Healthy payouts aligned with cash flow generation
Equity Capital – ₹52.28 Cr (constant) No dilution; stable capital structure
Total Debt – ₹1,080 Cr → ₹1,150 Cr → ₹1,210 Cr → ₹1,240 Cr Leverage maintained within comfortable range
Fixed Assets – ₹2,850 Cr → ₹3,020 Cr → ₹3,180 Cr → ₹3,350 Cr Capex focused on EV components, wind energy parts, and export tooling
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 49.53%, with no pledging. FIIs and DIIs maintain strong exposure due to Sundram’s leadership in auto components and export resilience. Delivery volumes reflect long-term accumulation by industrial and manufacturing-focused funds.
Business Growth Verdict
Sundram Fasteners is scaling steadily across auto and industrial segments Margins remain stable due to operational efficiency and premium product mix Debt levels are manageable and support growth capex Capex supports long-term diversification and export competitiveness
Management Con Call
Management highlighted strong demand from global OEMs for EV and hybrid components. New orders from Europe and North America are driving export growth, especially in powertrain and transmission parts. Focus remains on backward integration, automation, and tooling precision. FY26 outlook includes mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin retention, with emphasis on EV readiness and non-auto diversification.
Final Investment Verdict
Sundram Fasteners Ltd. offers a high-quality industrial compounding story built on engineering depth, export strength, and operational discipline. Its consistent profitability, strategic capex, and global OEM relationships make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to auto components, EV transition, and precision manufacturing. With strong execution and brand legacy, Sundram remains a durable value creator.