The bulls reversed the market up in two small legs (Jun 3, Jun 24) from the nested wedge bottom. Last week formed a second entry for a potential larger second leg up where the Jun 24 rally is the first. However this has not yet triggered and today is currently a bear bar near the low of last week. If this week closes as a bear bar, it will be a weaker buy setup...
Monday's session started wild and many traders were facing problems with unexpected volatility. Dax first spiked upwards quite prudently, just to correct itself soon after. If you remember, we suggested not to trade yesterday as the price development was unpredictable. Good to those who took a break. Dax also broke both Friday's low and high, which had a very low...
TSLA reversed up from a failed bear breakout and sell climax. The bulls have closed the exhaustion gap and created several potential breakout gaps around 200. The bulls now have a 60% chance of creating a second leg up and test of the middle of the upper trading range around 300. The bears need a strong breakout below the 180 higher low. The probability of...
BTC is completing a 5 wave structure after which I believe it's likely to continue down to where algos are waiting to buy at the .618-.65 golden pocket (gold box) from the 2017 ATH
Yesterday's session turned out to follow our hypothesis only partially. Dax started its decline towards 12 391, but buyers didn't use this level to enter the market. Following was a descend towards the second support zone in a row, laying at 12 326, yet this price wasn't reached and Dax reversed upwards. In the end, Dax closed approximately in the middle of its...
Welcome to the first session analysis of a new week. Friday's price action has been quite fruitful. For a major session duration, Dax was dropping towards a consolidation zone from 02 July, where we found buyers and the price closed somewhere mid-range session trading. The US NFP was released at 14:30, but besides one volatile candle, no major reaction was seen....
Welcome to the last analysis of this week. Tomorrow's analysis will be skipped due to a national holiday. Yesterday's statistics for breaking Tuesday's high was successfully passed. Dax rose all day and closed near its intra-day high. Today, we open with a smaller descending gap. Important zones Resistance: NIL Support: 12 597, 12 543 Statistics for today...
We welcome all to a mid-week analysis. The support level at 12 191 we mentioned yesterday functioned perfectly as this was retested right after the open. Contrary, the resistance zone of 12 230 didn't have much significance. Dax found some bearish pressures at a higher price of 12 266 and following was a downside move to a very near intra-day low. Important...
Yesterday's session met our expectations. We've had a very high probability for breaking Friday's low, which eventually happened. Dax was steadily in a slight downtrend for the whole session and the price closed near the support level of 12 219. Today, Dax opened below this zone with a descending gap. Important zones Resistance: 12 230 Support: 12 191, 12...
Yesterday, we expected a retest of 12 139 and the drop towards the trend line. Dax did not reach all the way towards the resistance zone, but the return to 12 046 level worked well. The market met both of our indications – the support zone of 12 046 and the trend line. Bulls were not strong enough in the afternoon session and the price closed slightly negative at...
Welcome everybody to a new trading week. Friday’s session started according to our expectation by closing the gap and the price went slowly up. At 2:30 pm we’ve had the US Non-Farm Payrolls release which caused a couple of volatile candles. Later in the afternoon session, Dax significantly slowed down as participants closed the week with the NFP moves. Today, the...
I will be running a series of tests that will enable me to determine the probability of success of specific strategies. I will even test strategies that I feel may not work. My goal is to test various patterns that many think are profitable. I will then apply the results to my own trading.
KNC/BTC looks to be setting up for an explosion. Not a bad idea to long here with s/l below the bottom blue line. Moon target seems probable. Target 1: 0.00008250 Target 2 (moon target): 0.00013100 Blue triangle indicates the current range. Green box is buy. Red box is sell. Blue line indicates major resistance. This is a log chart.
In this screencast, I show how shorting on a 2H time frame is optimal for me to take a controlled loss. I explain where I see the big trends and some smaller trends. Note that this is not a prediction, or recommendation to short. I use a very different methodology which is not 'just on the charts', though at times in simplifying things it may appear like a...
EU broke a huge consolidation area and that can be seen with the broken counter channel. Price is now retesting that breakout and could possibly fall further to make new LLs and LHs at 1.12000. with that being said, be careful of the potential double bottom for a new rally to the upside. Follow risk/money management, there is plenty of time to become millionaire.
FB looking bullish here entered long position on bounce off 164.14 support. Targets 1 2 and 3 highlighted in green. Need to see how price reacts at 171 level. Break of that level for continued bullishness and 188 target. If rejected at 171 level may see retest of 152 level. Bearish scenerio although is double rejection at 171.40 area. High probability of gap...
Over the last 5 years, there have been 9 independent observations where the S&P 500 Stocks at 10-Day Highs Minus Lows crossed below the level of 300. After 5 days, the S&P 500 returned an average of 0.97%, with the return being positive in 89% of the observations. Tuesday 22nd >> Tuesday 29th
After moving sideways for the past couple days, finally momentum has increased and a potential breakout back to 1.33 levels are probable. Otherwise a heavy rejection from the Orange range will continue to pull us further downwards following the Red Arrow to the lower 1.32350 support.