11/26/17 – November, outside month up, bullish month. 2 inside bullish months within September. There is no argument that this currency is going up. Railroad tracking the 20 & 40 up since June 2016. Timeframe continuity. There is no actionable signal to believe the price is headed down. With a continued bullish move we can expect target areas of 132.50-136 to...
11/26/17 – November, outside month up, bullish month. Timeframe continuity to the upside. Outside month, week, and day up, we will see what new actionable signals December brings. There is no argument that the price is not moving up. A sustained December move above 86.38 is bullish to the top of the triangle with a target area of 89ish. Then we can...
11/26/17 – November, outside month up, bullish month. Full timeframe continuity to the upside. Starting to railroad track on the weekly. We will see what New actionable signals December brings. Nearing high, be cautious of exhaustion.
11/26/17 – November, outside month and weeks down, bearish sentiment. Full timeframe continuity. Possibly going to bottom end of triangle, 91ish area. We will see what the beginning of December brings but there will be a lot of work required to make it back up to top end of triangle. There is no argument that the price is moving downward.
11/26/17 – Bias: Neutral. Conflicted with inside month of November, inside month up, and outside up week. 4 inside weeks within the bearish month of August. Week of 11/20, Outside week up. We will must wait and see what actionable signals December Brings. A move over 77.86, I would be bullish, and a break Below 76.90 and then 76.37, I would be more bearish than...
AMGN has deviated outside the inner channel into extreme ends of what would be considered to be the sides of bell curve. Short but be cautious. 1st PT around 165 if break then 2nd PT around 144.
A combination of lukewarm earnings for Q1 and talks of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate hike seem to be slowing down the bullish recovery we've seen in the S&P the past several weeks. On the technical side, notice the failure to attain a new high. In fact SPY has consistently been unable to break new highs going back to May 2015, when the bear market...
Despite my overall bearish outlook on stocks, Gilead Sciences stands out as the 'Little Engine that Could' in the sense that it keeps chugging along despite being battered by the broader index just after earnings came out late January. On the fundamental side, most analysts think it's way underweight citing that it should be worth as much as 66% more as per the...
Data from the U.S. has improved by the barest of margins. The New York Fed Consumer Survey finds inflation expectations rising (by less than 1%) above expectations, and the ECB rate cut means lots of free cash to play with. Keep in mind we have the FOMC meeting coming up and their decisions will determine the direction of the markets for the near term. ...
As of March 3rd, Gilead earned a 'buy' rating from Citigroup as verified by the link. It is true that GILD should have performed better after earnings as has been historically demonstrated, but it took a beating with the overall index but failed to share in the rebound. Personally, I think this is a good thing, for you'll note from my previous post here ...
There's been a massive short covering rally of near historic proportions in oil recently. As the OPEC circus continues to 'cry wolf' regarding freezing production, the market, once overwhelmingly short on the commodity, takes the opportunity to cash out some of its short positions. There is really no fundamental reason for oil to rally so hard as the attached...
With the tsunami of data this week, it was really hard to sieve out anything stellar. At best, we had employment data that was above expectation on Wednesday, as well as a moderately improved ISM manufacturing index. PMI and Factory Orders left much to be desired. Central Bankers all over the world are scratching their heads and trying in futility to save face...
Yesterday, Janet Yellen of the Federal Reserve spoke confirming expectations that the Fed would sit tight on interest rates. She even admitted today that the Fed is considering negative interest rates. Her ominous tone did not bode well for the markets as evinced by the abysmal market opening today here in the US. In fact, the world's markets are rearing from...
Any hopes for a recovery this week were quashed by today's open and marked declines henceforth. There really doesn't seem to be any indication of a turnaround, unless some good data comes out this week, and there is quite a bit to anticipate. As the attached article notes, analysts are cutting their expectations for the S&P, and it would be good advice to any...
From political instability to ineffectual QE, bullish news for the Euro is scant. We can look for more confirmation from Draghi to this effect soon to come. As far as the technicals are concerned, we have a very strong bearish head and shoulders pattern forming on the weekly chart. There is massive resistance from above via the ichimoku cloud which will make a...
Unfortunately for NFLX on the fundamentals side, they were ousted from Indonesia, which was a prime target for their international expansion endeavors, due to a failure to fulfill their censorship standards. Unfortunately for them, this simply adds to the list of bearish technical indicators despite 'buy' ratings from numerous sources. First, note the bearish...
When Apple was using the Power PC line of processors in their computers, I was extremely skeptical of them. Their operating systems prior to OS X were abysmal. They crashed all the time, and the availability of software for anything I wanted to do was scant. Then they started rolling out Intel processors, and updated OS, and a slew of performance upgrades and I...