By Andria Pichidi - February 13, 2019 RBNZ held the official cash rate at 1.75%, matching widespread expectations. RBNZ reiterated its pledge to keep the rate at the current level through 2019 and 2020. "The direction of our next OCR move could be up or down", they repeated. The statement for keeping rates low, for longer than what has been stated so far, along...
The Euro Against NZD is trapped in a triangle that likely is going to fall. hit the trend line and go higher. for this idea is that this triangle is simple enough the retracement of a higher timeframe. the policy of the Reserve bank of New Zealand is still dovish and a lot of downside movement in NZD is expecting.
NZD/USD seems to be having trouble breaking above 0.6600-10 area which is close to the bottom of the daily ichimoku cloud. This makes for a good risk/reward opportunity to add to shorts.
On the weekly charts of NZDCHF The bullish gartley was completed 4 weeks ago but however the pattern is still valid. It has to be understood that harmonic patterns do NOT immediately reverse from the point D, they need time and market reaction in the real world is everything. i am awaiting for some technical confirmation before taking this trade on. The risk to...
Bullish gartley pattern has been completed however the RR on this one will be around 0.8 which is not favorable in our trading scenario. i am awaiting a slight retracement to make the RR 1:1 before going LONG on this trade. For those that wish to enter at the moment you all can at your own risk. i will update if there is any developments in the near future. cheers...
Bearish Deep Crab pattern has been completed. You can take this pair short now, refer to the main chart for SL and TP levels. Any updates will be available when needed below. cheers and happy trading
New Zealand Q2 inflation was one-tenth below expectations, the market sold off briefly but then a short squeeze followed. RBNZ's Q2 sectorial factor model inflation index up to 1.7% Y/Y likely the cause. If risk appetite remains solid, NZDJPY is a good candidate for playing further Kiwi strength. Our main target is 78.00 for this momentum move.
The Aussie dollar's ability to bounce despite yesterday's risk-off move is encouraging for bulls. Market positioning could be supportive, with IMM data showing largest net AUD/USD short since early February 2016. With commodities rising and a gentile pace of rate hikes from the FED (priced in) Aud may continue to benefit vs. NZD which has seen some fairly...
"We recommend selling NZDUSD targeting 0.7130 with a stop-loss at 0.7315, implying a reward-to-risk ration of 2:1 (spot reference: 0.7252). In stark contrast to the Fed, the RBNZ is likely to strike a dovish tone in its March Statement, given recent disappointing activity data. Following the February MPS meeting, Assistant Governor and Chief Economist, John...
FX:AUDNZD Someone called me 'dramatic' I just love it! Let's keep having fun while 'banking' a more dimmes (Ocean Thirteen). Sure, going back to the idea. 1)Last year, between January and April this cross appreciate 660-pips from the low in Jan. 1.0323 handle to the high in March 1.1017 handle. 2)What if it continues, after all, RBA seems to be eager to move...
After an impulsive bullish move on 19th October, price has been developing correctively, and has hit the minimum target for a decent retracement between 50% and 61.8%. As long as price remains above the structural trend line, we remain bullish on AUDNZD and can potentially target 1.1332 area. We are having the RBA and RBNZ Rate Statement this week which might...
The focus for this week will definitely be on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), a.k.a the Kiwi. The New Zealand’s central bank – the Reverse Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will be releasing their latest Official Cash Rate and the Rate Statement this Thursday. Since the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 1.75%, the key will be the tone of the Rate...
This week there are relatively less risk events in the currency market - the only one worth highlighting is RBNZ Rate Statement happening on Thursday morning here in Singapore. Here are a few reasons why I'm expecting the Kiwi to weaken in the near term - 1) We are currently in a 6th swing, thus we are expecting one more move lower since this is not a complete...
Weekly Resistance Zone ahead: 1) Daily structure zone 2) Broken uptrend line (should act as resistance now) 3) 200 weeks MA line 4) Top of a trading channel. Monitor this price zone towards RBNZ rate decision Read more about NZDUSD, GBPUSD, DXY, Oil, UK100, GER100 in this week's newsletter - #WeeklyMarketsAnalysis (Twitter)
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand was surprisingly more Dovish than expected. This caused the price of all NZD pairs to weaken. This is a simple trade. Wait for the price to retrace and then hop in. There are two good spots: 1.58500 & 1.58050. These are the 28.6% and 38.2% Fib Retracement levels and they are previous support/resistance lines on the hourly chart. The...
NZD has been strengthening and should continue to strengthen into the RBNZ's decision. CAD strengthened off of good oil numbers, but that strength should be limited,
I'm entering gradually into a long position here. $NZDUSD has built a significant monthly mode here, which could evolve into a breakout and eventual monthly uptrend. The weekly is neatly oversold into support, and flashed a buy signal courtesy of RgMov, so going long gradually here is a good idea. Don't risk much, I would consider a drop below 0.689 a good...