After breaking through the 1.05 support level on the daily Chart, price came up to retest it and found resistance. It was also met with a bearish slap by the 50EMA line and the 0.382 Fib Retracement level. At this point a nice doji reversal candlestick formed and overall price is making the long way down after a triple top formed between September and November of...
AUDUSD HAS BEEN FORMING A MONTH-LONG WEDGE, AS WELL AS A DOWNWARD PITCHFORK. AUDUSD IS ABOUT TO INTERACT WITH THE BOTTOM SUPPORT OF THE WEDGE, BOTTOM SUPPORT OF THE PITCHFORK, AS WELL AS HITTING A FIB LINE. IF BOUNCES, LONG, IF BREAKS ALL THREE SUPPORTS, MAJOR WEAKNESS SIGN. CREDIT TO: ICETRADING FOR THE ORIGINAL PITCHFORK CONCEPT.
This pair fell 75 pips on Friday after a stellar NFP strengthened the USD. A strong decline of gold also helped to create selling pressure for the Aussie Dollar. The markets expectation of a FED rate hike this summer has certainly increased, so I am fundamentally bearish on this pair. That being the case, I have to take into account what I actually see in the...
Inverse head and shoulders pattern on 30 minute chart with high volume. consolidation between 85.00-86.20. A move with consistent volume can take BABA to 90 quickly. Point of Caution: 1) 8% move happened in one day. Time is needed for consolidation. Profit taking should occur with support from buyers. 2) P/E above 40 on a business that has a market cap of...
This is an update to the trade idea linked under Related Ideas, where I had spotted a bearish Gartley pattern on the 4H timeframe of this pair. For a further description of that trade I refer to the link. Since then the price printed a new C point for this pattern, widening the potential reversal zone (due to the shift of the AB=CD pattern which is a key harmonic...
Fundamentally there are several forces at work on this pair. There is a safe-haven demand for the Yen after China’s downgrade of its growth outlook creating some selling pressure while the policy divergence between the FED and the BoJ creates buying pressure. On the daily timeframe it has been trading inside a triangle consolidation pattern since December last...
This pair has been trading sideways for a couple of days, oscillating around the 1.25 level. And as we know, consolidation breeds advanced price patterns. Today there is a host of Canadian and US data coming out that could give it an impulse. The key US data point today will be the ADP employment change. Its the prelude to NFP and might give us a hint of what that...
There are several EURO news events this morning (pmi´s and retail sales). Depending on whether they are favorable or unfavorable as a whole, we could have an opportunity to trade out of those news events with the reversal of an advanced price pattern that is nearing its completion on the 4H timeframe. Price is already testing the potential reversal zone and this...
We are in a clear down trend and have a nice pull back to a previously established support level now acting as a resistance level. We are also in between Fibonacci retracement levels of 50% and 61.8% We also have reversal candlesticks forming, clear pin bars. Also at the 50 SMA. All these factors have contributed to us shorting this pair. The stop loss is slightly...
I am fully aware of the risk that sequels tend not to be as good as the original (Rocky comes to mind), but I could not resist putting this pair on my watch list again. As my last two publications on this one (see links under Related Ideas) left me with a good amount of pips, I thought I would try to cash in again. I therefore present to you the new installment in...
A descending triangle is shaping since the 14th of Februari. Notice that this triangle is forming after a pretty bullish trend starting from December 2014. This could mean a trend reversal triangle. There were still people buying up the 1.9600 level. I assume they have a relative tight stop because the first stronger support level is at the 1.9380 area which...
In general, I am expecting a continuation of GBP strength the coming week, drawing support from steady economic growth with the revised GDP coming out as expected and recent labour market data coming our positive. The Japanese Yen on the other hand is under pressure with the BoJ revising their growth forecast lower and most of the recent Japanese data...
I remain fundamentally bearish on this pair, given the rate divergence with the FED (RBA cut its rate recently and might cut again this year while FED is expected to hike it around the summer). The RBA price target for this pair is 0,7500 (some 250 pips lower than the current price). Recent commentary by governor Stevens was less dovish than expected which led to...
Crude oil is making new grounds with it soon to come with its reverse pull back, same thing happened in 2009 although there is a possibility that crude can slide to support at 40$. either way i will be easing my way into a positions using the ETF UWTI which is priced very cheaply at 3$ a share. also a big shout out to @Ricker for showing me UWTI
As we take a step back and look at the bigger picture, you'll notice we're right at baseline support at the bear trap before the big China bubble. I would advise being patient with this one because there are still a number of possible scenarios that could play out. I'm becoming slightly more bullish but still looking for a possible double bottom at $16x. No...
I don't typically watch oil too much but with all that's been in the news over the past few weeks how could I resist. Also being involved in the USDCAD trade that I shared with you guys last week caused me to keep one eye open as well. Anyway, despite the fundamentals (some of which are screaming short) the technicals are what matter to me most and in a heavy...
The crude oil prices rose 12 percent during the last two weeks of trading, from recent low at 46.66 to about 52 dollars today. The crude oil futures recent rally might show the beginning of its recovery to higher prices. Is that a sign of the plunge’s end? Politics, oil producers, and technical analysis (Bollinger Bands & RSI) give answers. Full blog post here:...
We seem to have established a floor for this support around $210 near the last area of consolidation before the big Coinbase pump. The market is now forming a massive descending triangle by making lower highs on very weak volume. This pattern will be validated if and when the price dips below intraday support at $220 again. The market had a similar, albeit...