Waiting for this cycle to unfold I'm starting to see 2 repeats of the same scenario not 3-4 cycles like some believe they have lived through. Cycle 1 & 2 both have this "accumulation" at the macro channel bottom hovering just under the 100 2 Week Moving Average How this plays out is the 30 2 Week Moving Average clamps down onto the 100 right before making a...
Having kept a close eye this last 2 years on the Stock to Flow for BTC, I had noticed each time the S2F spiked on the 2W chart, a large move in price action shortly follows. As BTC broke the recent 17.5 bottom and formed a lower bottom at 15.5, there was a significant spike in the S2F data as shown on the chart. Awaiting more data with the S2F Model Value to...
This is a full chart of my current thinking. And the first part in many new trend charts i am going to post. NOT TO BE FOLLOWED
Launched on 22 March 2014 with a focus on technological advancement, Groestlcoin (GRS) is SEGWIT, TAPROOT and Lightning Network ready. Groestlcoin has been in constant active development, providing development updates and enhancements every 3 months for 8 years. It is the first coin that activated SEGWIT (January 2017) and TAPROOT (The last update was released on...
Bitcoin has been boring the last couple of months and has roughly gone sideways in a rather long range for the last year. The price action has been sideways some of the longer term indicators have been priming and suggest that the next move is to the upside. The stock to flow model comes and goes in popularity with the volatility of bitcoin. When bitcoin is...
According to the combination of the S2F model and the BTC growth curve, The projected target for BTC is 314 K. BTC will reach the target June/July 2023 only for info DIY
...With an even more bullish scenario. I combined some dude's circular fibs + an approximation of the S2F levels + PLC and then added a fourth circular fib with the top being at PlanB's estimate. It revealed to me that this is the last major cycle for bitcoin, and we will soon break out and never return below this level. You're living in history times.
Bitcoin is programmed math - therefore i believe trends are easier to recognize and distinguish (especially when cross referencing on-chain analytics). Here's the LONG story short: I measured the amount of days from the halving to the cycle top, which gave me an ~33% increase. I then added the 33% to the 2017 cycle which equals ~707 days. This puts Bitcoin's...
Let's start with inflation; I recently wrote an article on Inflation - here's a little extra info to follow on from that. This seems insane!!! And it is!!! Stimulus - hype, FOMO, institutional adoption and so on. What does this mean in terms of the charts? Well some good news and some bad news - first of all, many people have now hears about Stock -...
New all time high in bull run 21/22 after 3rd halving most probably correlates with the expected 2nd RSI peak over 90 in this bullrun :) What do you think?
The first monthly close below the floor invalidates S2F, according to PlanB's public comments on invalidation.
Nothing too serious, just replicating the 2013 cycle into the current. It would happen only if the same proportions are met, but it is extremely unlikely to happen since the current market cap is way too greater than 2013, so another 20x since previous ATH ($20k in 2017) is surrealistic... not even PlanB is so optimistic.
bitcoin supercycles charted accurate. in this chart I tried to clarified and chart exactly the repetitive in order to demonstrate the power of halvings and the effect of supply shock on the price. this point can also strength and help understand plan b's s2fx model/
Wyckoff accumulation after big mid-May dump. Important inflection point for S2F model IMHO. Would like to see $33k hold and then start to push upwards over next couple of days. $41k breakout to the upside mid July would validate short term Wyckoff thesis, help uphold integrity of S2F model, and restore medium-long term bull run towards end of the year. Pink...
Wyckoff accumulation after big mid-May dump. Important inflection point for S2F model IMHO. Would like to see $33k hold and then start to push upwards over next couple of days. $41k breakout to the upside mid July would validate short term Wyckoff thesis, uphold integrity of S2F model, and restore medium-long term bull run towards end of the year. Pink highlighter...
Wyckoff accumulation after big mid-May dump. Important inflection point for S2F model IMHO. Would like to see $33k hold and then start to push upwards over next couple of days. $41k breakout to the upside mid July would validate short term Wyckoff thesis, uphold integrity of S2F model, and restore medium-long term bull run towards end of the year. Pink highlighter...
Pullback to 20W MA for the first time since September 2020. Then overshoot the Stock-to-Flow meme targets and go through roughly 80% drawdowns. Or this time could be different.