AUDNZD - Short-Term Pullback Expected from Key ResistanceAUDNZD - Short-Term Pullback Expected from Key Resistance
📈 Setup Overview:
AUDNZD has been trending bullish but has now reached a critical resistance level that aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending trendline. This confluence suggests a potential short-term pullback opportunity.
🔍 Analysis:
Strong bullish wave structure intact
Price testing key resistance + ascending trendline upper boundary
Expecting retracement toward trendline support
Overall bullish structure remains favorable for continuation after pullback
📊 Trade Details:
Entry: Sell Stop at 1.091745
Risk Management: 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Bias: Short-term bearish pullback within larger bullish trend
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper position sizing.
Shortsetup
XRP Hits $3.10 — Rising Wedge or Ready to Fly?XRP has been on a strong run over the past 24 days, rallying from $1.90 → $3.10 — a +62% price increase. But after hitting key resistance, is XRP about to correct, or will it break out further? Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Market Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern:
The current market structure resembles a rising wedge, with XRP likely completing wave 5.
Rejection Zone Hit:
Price tapped the nPOC at $3.10 and rejected — providing a clean short opportunity.
📉 Key Support Levels & Confluences
Taking the full 24-day bullish move:
0.382 Fib Retracement: $2.6326 — aligns with liquidity pool below the $2.6596 swing low.
226-day Trading Range VAH: ~$2.62 (red dashed line) — adds confluence.
Daily Level: $2.60 — further support.
Anchored VWAP from $1.90 Low: ~$2.54 (rising over time).
✅ Conclusion: The $2.66–$2.60 zone is a critical support area and offers a solid long opportunity.
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup (After Breakdown Confirmation):
Wait for a sell-off & breakdown of the wedge.
Ideal entry: retest of the lower wedge edge, ideal short entry would be between 0.618–0.786 fib retracement.
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry Zone: $2.66–$2.60
SL: below VWAP line
Target: Fib 0.618 as TP
🧠 Educational Insight: Rising Wedges Explained
A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, often signalling weakening momentum as price climbs within narrowing highs and lows.
Key points:
➡️ Volume typically declines as the wedge matures.
➡️ Breakdown below the lower wedge edge often triggers stronger sell-offs.
➡️ Retests of the broken wedge support turn into ideal short entries.
Pro tip: Combine wedge patterns with fib retracement zones and VWAP levels for higher-confidence setups.
Watch for wedge breakdown confirmation before shorting.
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downtrend, back to 3300 gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) inch higher in early Asian trading on Wednesday, recovering part of Tuesday’s sharp decline to multi-day lows, though follow-through buying remains limited. Lingering uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates, continues to dampen risk appetite. This weaker market mood is providing modest support to the safe-haven metal.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) eases slightly after Tuesday’s surge to its highest level since late June, which is helping gold stabilize. However, persistent speculation that the Fed may delay rate cuts, following a slight uptick in US inflation, continues to bolster the greenback and could cap further gains in gold. Traders remain cautious and await today’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for clearer direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure, break 3340 downtrend line continues. Economic news is helping DXY recover
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3383 SL 3388
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3343
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EURUSD📉 EURUSD – 30min Short Plan
📊 Structure: LLs & LHs forming – bearish trend confirmed
🕯️ Pattern: Bearish Engulfing at Lower High
🎯 Entry: instant
📌 Trade 1
– 🎯 TP1: 1:1
– ⚠️ Risk: 1%
📌 Trade 2
– 🎯 TP2: larger reward
🛠️ Execution:
– Place both trades at same entry
– Trail SL after TP1 hit
📎 Bias: Bearish
Big Week for Markets: U.S. CPI Tomorrow – What It Means for GoldThis week is packed with news, but the main focus is the U.S. CPI report dropping tomorrow.
🗓 Key Event: U.S. CPI Report
📍 July 15, 2025 | 12:30 p.m. UTC
The CPI report measures inflation and heavily influences the Fed’s rate decisions. Last month’s CPI came in at 2.4% vs. 2.5% expected, following 2.3% vs. 2.4% in April. While it seems inflation is rising, the bigger picture shows stable annual inflation in the 2.3%–3.0% range, keeping things under control—likely the reason Trump is pressuring Powell to cut rates.
Market expects June CPI to be 2.7%.
🤔 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ CPI > 2.7%: Bullish for DXY 📈. The stronger the print, the bigger the spike, but I see this scenario as less probable.
2️⃣ CPI < 2.7%: Bearish for DXY 📉. We may see a USD dump, though likely shallow since CPI could still be higher than previous months.
✨ What About Gold?
I don’t expect a major reaction in gold:
✅ Higher CPI? Gold often benefits as an inflation hedge.
✅ Lower CPI? Also supportive for gold as it weighs on the USD.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has been trading within a triangle since April 22, forming lower highs and higher lows. We may currently be in Wave D (Elliott Wave), aiming toward the triangle’s upper boundary slightly above $3,400 resistance. After that, Wave E may develop – but that’s a story for another post.
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY
We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142.
📈 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040
❌ Stop Loss: 149.220
✅ Take Profit: 143.000
(Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily)
🔍 Why am I short here?
✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals.
✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts.
✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks.
📰 Fundamental Snapshot:
Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization:
Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%.
Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks.
Trade cautiously!
TSLA Short Setup – Fading the July 7 Gap FillTSLA Short Setup – Fading the July 7 Gap Fill 📉
This short idea on TSLA builds off a key gap fill from Monday, July 7 , combined with a strong local volume profile and risk-reward alignment on the 15-minute chart.
Entry: $312.76
Stop Loss: $314.81 (above gap resistance and local high)
Target: $299.89 (gap base and volume shelf)
RR: ~6.3R
Why I'm shorting here:
TSLA has just filled the July 7 gap , which often acts as a technical resistance zone on retest.
Price stalled right as it completed the fill — with visible hesitation and selling pressure stepping in.
VRVP shows low liquidity above, suggesting diminished reward for upside continuation.
Below, there's a clean volume shelf around $294–$300 that could attract price if weakness confirms.
Trade Logic:
This is a classic fade-the-gap-fill setup, targeting the lower edge of the volume cluster for a potential bounce or reversal zone.
As always: size accordingly, stick to the stop, and don’t chase if the entry’s already gone.
Thoughts? Anyone else watching this gap level?
Rejection from Supply Zone, Bearish Continuation Toward PDLAfter failing to break out with strength and confirm the demand zone, EUR/USD is showing signs of a bearish continuation. The price was rejected from the Demand Zone near the NY High, indicating a possible shift in momentum.
This setup suggests the pair may continue its downward trend, aiming for the Previous Day Low (PDL) around 1.16620. With a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:5, this move could present a clean and high-probability short opportunity as long as bearish structure holds.
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit.
Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries.
Here’s the updated plan:
Short Entry: Around $3,333
Stop Loss: $3,340
Take Profit: $3,303
Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Accumulated above 3300, market is sideways⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices posted modest gains on Wednesday, supported by a pullback in US Treasury yields, even as the US Dollar remained firm against major currencies. Market sentiment continued to be driven by trade developments, while the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes revealed that policymakers are still leaning toward a rate cut in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,312, up 0.31%.
The FOMC minutes indicated that the majority of Fed officials believe a rate cut this year would be appropriate, with a few members open to the possibility of initiating a reduction as early as July—provided the economic data continues to align with expectations.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered to 3320, mainly still accumulating, waiting psychology on current tariff situation of countries
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3358- 3360 SL 3365
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3245-$3247 SL $3240
TP1: $3256
TP2: $3269
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ENVX TradeENVX is the poster child of the 2021 SPAC/IPO bubble. It's shares have essentially been in a downtrend since going public.~35% short interest on the name, no need to go in depth on the fundamentals (or lack there of).
Technical play here, shares are grinding up on the long-term trend resistance line. Expecting a move back toward the 200 day SMA in the next couple months. Stop out at 16 if there's a squeeze, or things get memey.
Near term target - $9.50. Long term target - zero.
I like 5+ month expirations OTM puts here.
Good Luck! This is not financial advice
Gold Setup for longs and shorts This video covers gold on the local range whereby I expect price to eventually complete the move to the downside and clear the equal lows from MAy and June as well as take care of the poor lows and fill Quart Pivots .
I talk also about the Tradingview session volume profile chart and how this feature can really be a simple yet powerful guide for taking scalp trades off of specific levels and I show a couple of examples of the respect PA has for hitting those daily POC .
I Welcome any questions you may have
BTC , 4hr , BearishBTC is Forming a Pattern and it is at the top of the Another Pattern and It is facing rejection 3 Times from Above and now it is forming another pattern inside and Ready for Break Down of the Pattern , if it breaks the Pattern Down then it will be bearish almost 90% it will move to down side , if it has not given Breakdown and moving inside the small pattern then wait patiently and observe carefully .
Then it may also give Breakout for up side .
Follow Risk Management Properly
Follow for More Swing Ideas Like this .
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
BTC — Weekend Pump Fades.. All Eyes on the Gartley Reversal ZoneBitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range between $110K and $105K over the past two weeks. This weekend’s attempted breakout stalled out quickly! BTC was rejected at the Point of Control (POC) of the previous range and came close to the 0.786 retracement of the recent drop.
🧠 Reminder: Weekend pumps are notorious for being unreliable, especially without strong volume.
Now, the charts point toward something much more structured — a potential Gartley harmonic pattern forming, with multiple levels of confluence suggesting the next key decision zone is just around the corner.
🧩 Gartley Completion Zone: $106,290–$106,400
This price zone is loaded with confluence:
✅ 0.786 Fib retracement of the XA leg sits at $106,290
✅ 1.0 trend-based Fib extension of the BC leg is at $106,370
✅ Anchored VWAP from all-time high aligns precisely at $106,370
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) sits at the same level
✅ Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) from earlier price inefficiency lies in this exact region
All of this stacks up into a high-probability reaction zone.
🎓 Educational Insight: How to Trade a Gartley Harmonic
The Gartley pattern is one of the most powerful harmonic setups — a structured form of retracement and extension that captures exhaustion before reversals. Here's how it works:
🔹 XA: Impulse leg
🔹 AB: Retracement of 61.8% of XA
🔹 BC: Retraces 38.2%–88.6% of AB
🔹 CD: Extends to 78.6% retracement of XA and aligns with a 1.0–1.272 Fib extension of BC
🟢 Point D is the entry zone — your reversal opportunity.
📉 Stop-loss sits just below invalidation (Point X).
💰 Targets usually lie at 0.382 and 0.618 of the CD leg.
🔎 Why It Works: It traps late traders and captures price exhaustion at natural Fibonacci ratios. Combined with other tools — like VWAP, liquidity zones, and order flow — it becomes a high-conviction strategy. These patterns are most effective on higher timeframes like 4H or daily.
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Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.