S&P Stalls, Gold & Silver Reality Check, US vs China WatchGold and Silver finally correcting - and I'm dollar cost averaging into dips
US Indexes (S&P, Nasdaq, Dow, Russell) stalling just off of all-time highs
Sideways is a behavior and it might seem boring, but it's certainly better than
the market rolling over and falling hard for 5-10% corrections (TBD)
AI Narrative remains optimistic
-I like the utilities, energy, and physical goods side of AI over software and hype
Financials and CAPEX spending remains firm
-money continues to flow into this AI buildout
Trump vs China is likely noise and eventual concessions and agreements
are likely the outcome - but the market is waiting for proof for now
US CPI data hitting Friday (first real US news in weeks) - does the market react?
Watch for broadening pattern and fakeouts, but the big tell with this market
pushing for more upside is the massive drop in VIX last week and once again
flirting with all-time highs
Thanks for watching!!!
-Chris
SLV
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals.
Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows:
wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1
wave 3 target = $48
wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3
wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start)
I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones.
Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves.
Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
100% UPSIDE Precious Metals Playbook — Gold, Silver & Miners ETF🏛️ Precious Metals Playbook — Gold, Silver & Miners ETFs
🔑 Executive Summary
• We combine the 2026 parabolic metals thesis gold/silver/platinum with leveraged ETF implementation to target triple-digit portfolio upside under view that gold’s bull run continues into 2026 $5,500–$6,500/oz.
• Miners’ torque has been massive in 2025: GDX ~+123% YTD while gold itself is up ~51% YTD; levered miners e.g., NUGT, JNUG, GDXU show ~360–700%+ YTD — confirming high beta to metal.
• Implementation below caps any single ETF at 10% within 10–20% limit and keeps ≥50% of the book in 2×–3× products for upside torque while diversifying across metal vs. miners and gold vs. silver.
________________________________________
🌍 Market View Condensed
• Gold: Momentum + macro easing bias, softer USD, central-bank demand support the “second-leg melt-up” case into 2026; miners’ margin torque can deliver 2–3× metal beta.
• Silver: Structural deficits + PV/EV/datacenter demand have super-charged silver miners in 2025.
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📊 2025 YTD Scorecard Key ETFs
• Gold metal (unlevered): GLD +50.9% YTD.
• Gold miners (unlevered): GDX ~+123% YTD.
• Silver miners (unlevered): SIL ~+137% YTD.
• Leveraged miners:
o NUGT (2× miners) ~+361% YTD; JNUG (2× juniors) ~+394% YTD.
o GDXU (3× miners ETN) ~+706% YTD (top performer cohort of 2025).
• Leveraged gold & silver metals: UGL (2× gold) ~+125% YTD; DGP (2× gold ETN) ~+123% YTD; AGQ (2× silver) ~+159% YTD.
________________________________________
🧩 Portfolio Construction Target book: $100,000
Constraints honored: max 10% per ETF, ≥50% allocation to 2×/3× ETFs.
🎯 Target Allocation 60% leveraged / 40% unlevered
Leveraged — 60% total
• 10% GDXU 3× gold miners ETN
• 10% NUGT 2× gold miners
• 10% JNUG 2× junior gold miners
• 10% AGQ 2× silver
• 10% UGL 2× gold
• 10% DGP 2× gold ETN
Rationale: diversify torque across miners vs. metals, 2× vs. 3×, and gold vs. silver to avoid single-product concentration risk.
Unlevered — 40% total
• 10% GDX VanEck Gold Miners
• 10% GLD SPDR Gold Trust
• 10% SIL Global X Silver Miners
• 10% SLV (or) IAU silver or gold bullion, choose per preference
Rationale: ballast and liquidity; preserves exposure if volatility in levered products forces risk-off.
Dollar mapping (@ $100k):
• Each 10% line = $10,000 notional; 10 tickers → $100,000 fully invested.
________________________________________
📈 Scenario Analysis Hypothetical, path-dependent
Gold advances toward $5,500–$6,500 by 2026. We translate that into rough upside bands using historical betas and allowing for daily-reset drag on leveraged products.
• Base case +100% portfolio:
o Gold +40–60% from here; 2× gold funds net ~+70–110% conservative for compounding/decay.
o GDX sensitivity ~2–3× metal → ~+80–150%; 2× miners ~+160–300%; 3× miners can overshoot in trending tapes.
o With 60% in levered assets and 40% in unlevered miners/metals, blended outcome can land near ~+100% if trends persist and volatility stays manageable.
• Stretch case +200% portfolio:
o If the “second-leg melt-up” plays out momentum + flows + central-bank bid and miners’ margins expand, levered miners dominate returns similar to 2025 YTD pattern.
o Portfolio hits ~+200% if miners continue to over-beta the metal and 3× exposure compounds favorably no major whipsaws.
Risk reality check: Leveraged ETFs reset daily; high volatility or choppy reversals can erode returns even if the long-term trend is up. Position sizing 10% lines and diversification across instruments help mitigate single-name decay risk.
________________________________________
🧭 Implementation Notes
• Execution: stage entries over several days reduce gap/vol risk, prioritize liquid hours; use stop-loss/hedge bands on the 3× sleeve.
• Rebalancing: monthly bands ±3–5% per line to defend the 60/40 torque mix.
• Risk budget: expect 3× ETN drawdowns >60% in sharp pullbacks; keep dry powder OR pre-define risk limits.
________________________________________
🗂️ Product Appendix — Quick Stats
• GDXU (3× miners ETN): ~+706% YTD; ER ~0.95%.
• NUGT (2× miners): ~+361% YTD.
• JNUG (2× junior miners): ~+394% YTD.
• AGQ (2× silver): ~+159% YTD.
• UGL (2× gold): ~+125% YTD.
• DGP (2× gold ETN): ~+123% YTD.
• GDX (miners): ~+123% YTD.
• SIL (silver miners): ~+137% YTD.
• GLD (gold): ~+50.9% YTD.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclosures & Risks
Leveraged ETFs/ETNs are short-term trading tools with daily reset/compounding; they can significantly underperform their leverage multiple over holding periods with high volatility or mean-reversion. ETNs (e.g., GDXU, DGP) also carry issuer credit risk. This memo is informational, not investment advice; consider your risk tolerance, liquidity needs, and tax/ETN suitability.
Gold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market UpdateGold Bull Markets Long Term Overview and 2025 Market Update
________________________________________
• This cycle is different: record central-bank buying + renewed ETF inflows + lower real rates = powerful tailwind.
• Price: Gold notched fresh ATHs this month (up to $3,790.82). 2025 is shaping up as the strongest year since the late 1970s.
• Relative: Gold is crushing equities YTD (≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return).
• Setup: A 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout in 2024 kick-started the move.
• Outlook: Base case from the Street: $3,700 by end-’25 and ~$4,000 by mid-’26; upside to $4,500 if flows accelerate.
________________________________________
🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets — Timeline & Stats
1) 1968–1980 “Super Bull”
• Start/End: ~$35 → $850 (Jan 1980)
• Gain: ~2,330%
• Drivers: End of Bretton Woods, oil shocks, double-digit inflation, geopolitical stress.
• Drawdown: ~–45% (1974–1976) before the final blow-off run.
2) 1999–2011/12
• Start/Peak: ~$252 (1999) → ~$1,920 (2011–12)
• Gain: ~650%
• Drivers: Commodities supercycle, EM demand, USD weakness, GFC safe-haven bid.
3) 2016/2018–Present (The “CB-Led” Cycle)
• Start Zone: $1,050–$1,200 → New ATH $3,790 (Sep 2025)
• Gain: ~215–260% (depending on 2016 vs 2018 anchor)
• Drivers: Record central-bank accumulation, sticky inflation/low real rates, geopolitics; 2024 13-yr base breakout.
________________________________________
📊 At-A-Glance Comparison (Updated 2025)
Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2012 2016/18–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260% (so far)
⏲️ Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
💔 Max Drawdown ~–45% (’74–’76) ~–30% (’08) ~–20% (2022)
🏦 Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks (dominant)
🏛️ Pattern Secular parabolic Cyclical ramps 13-yr base → breakout (’24)
Notes: current cycle characteristics validated by WGC demand trends & technical breakout in Mar 2024.
________________________________________
📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Bull (2025)
1. Price & ATHs: Spot $3,75–$3,79k; fresh ATH $3,790.82 on Sep 23, 2025.
2. 2025 YTD: Roughly +40–43% YTD (best since the late ’70s).
3. Central Banks: 1,045 t added in 2024 (3rd straight 1k+ year). H1’25 ≈ 415 t (still elevated).
4. ETF Flows: Strongest half-year inflows since 2020, aiding the surge.
5. Gold vs Equities: Gold ≈+40% vs S&P 500 ≈+13% total return YTD.
6. Jewelry Demand: Price strength is crimping tonnage (2024 down ~11%; Q2’25 –14% y/y), even as value hits records.
7. Gold–Silver Ratio: Now around ~85–88 (silver catching up as it pushes $43–$44).
8. Macro Link: Strong safe-haven bid + rate-cut hopes supporting new highs.
9. Technical: Confirmed cup-and-handle breakout (Mar ’24) underpinning trend.
10. Street Forecasts: DB lifts 2026 to $4,000; GS baseline $4,000 by mid-’26, upside $4,500 with bigger private-investor rotation.
________________________________________
🔄 What Makes This Bull Different (2025 Edition)
• 🏦 Central-Bank Dominance — Official sector is the anchor buyer (3rd straight 1k+ tonne year in 2024; 2025 tracking strong despite Q2 deceleration).
• ⚡ Faster Recoveries — Pullbacks have been shallower and shorter vs the 1970s analog.
• 📈 Coexisting With Risk Assets — Rare combo: gold ATHs with equities up YTD suggests a macro hedge bid alongside optimism in select risk assets.
• 📐 Structural Breakout — The 13-year base cleared in 2024 set multi-year targets.
________________________________________
🎯 Strategy Ideas (2025 & Beyond)
Core
• Buy/Hold on Dips: Stagger entries (DCA) into physical (allocated), ETFs (e.g., GLD/IAU), and quality miners/royalties.
• Prefer Physical/Allocated where counterparty risk matters; use ETFs for liquidity.
Satellite/Leverage
• Silver & GSR Mean-Reversion: With the GSR ~85–88, silver historically offers torque in up-legs. Pair with high-quality silver miners.
• Factor Tilt in Miners: Focus on low AISC, strong balance sheets, growing reserves, and jurisdictions with rule-of-law.
Risk-Management
• Define max drawdown tolerance per sleeve; pre-plan trims near parabolic extensions or if macro invalidates (e.g., real-yield spike).
________________________________________
🧪 Reality Check: What Could Invalidate the Bull?
• Real yields + USD rip higher (sustained), dampening non-yielding assets.
• Sharp halt in official-sector buying (e.g., policy shifts).
• Rapid growth re-acceleration reducing safe-haven & rate-cut expectations.
________________________________________
🧭 Quick Reference Tables
🧾 Summary: Historic vs Current
Feature 1968–80 1999–2012 2016/18–2025
Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~215–260%
Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (ongoing)
Correction ~–45% ~–30% ~–20% (’22)
Main Buyer Retail/Europe Funds/EM Central Banks
Pattern Parabolic Cyclical Cup & Handle → Secular
🧩 “If-This-Then-That” Playbook
• If real yields fall & CB buying persists → Ride trend / add on consolidations.
• If USD + real yields jump → Trim beta, keep core hedge.
• If GSR stays >80 with silver momentum → Overweight silver sleeve for torque.
________________________________________
🧠 Outside-the-Box Adds
💼 Role in a Portfolio (example frameworks)
• Resilience sleeve (5–10%): Physical + broad ETF.
• Offense sleeve (2–5%): Quality miners/royalties; optional silver tilt.
• Tactical (0–3%): Trend-following overlay (breakouts/consolidations).
🧭 Decision Checkpoints (quarterly)
• Central-bank net purchases (WGC).
• ETF flows (Western markets).
• Real yields (10y TIPS), USD trend, and GSR.
________________________________________
🔚 Key Takeaways (Updated)
• Relentless official-sector demand + technical breakout are the twin pillars of this cycle.
• Macro mix (policy easing expectations, geopolitics, diversification from USD reserves) supports an extended run.
• Base case: Street sees $3.7k by end-’25 and ~$4k by mid-’26, with upside to $4.5k if private capital rotation accelerates. Manage risk; embrace volatility.
$50 Silver"Decade of zero returns" for the stock market = Shortening Bear Market for Commodities
Price target = $50
Fractal backbone + Room in technicals for such move.
Price target was established in June 2021.
Time frame pushed up in anticipation of 2023 bear.
Small SLV positionTaking a small position in SLV here.
Long term looking at the gold to silver ratio trading around 90 If gold holds its grounds and silver plays catch up to a ratio of 70 even 60. I will be playing this position less about price and more about the ratio. If slv breaks all time high I will start selling regardless of price 20% week unless price is parabolic. Then selling will be 50% per week.
All That Glitters Is Not Gold (But Silver?)And another long Idea - this time in the Silver ETF, SLV.
Looking at the daily chart for SLV, a couple of things standout from a few days ago;
- The price just broke the all-time high at 31.80, along with significant resistance at ~31.50, and
- SLV gapped up, leaving tight stops a bit problematic.
As I've said before in this instance I do two things;
1. Wait for a pullback (which we're now seeing?), and
2. Switch to the commodity futures chart (emphasis - I'm not trading the future, just taking a look)
Using the July Silver contract on the CME;
We can see the breakout, and now the retest(s), of two critical highs from the last few months.
Switching down '1' interval, to the 4-hour chart;
We can see 3-4 retests of those old highs, which now may be acting as support. I've drawn in a short-term trendline and resistance. A cross of that trendline and a close above 36.260 should provide a good entry point.
A stop could then be placed at 35.00 (with a close below that on the 4-hour), just below this recent turmoil.
As for targets, this scenario has SLV making new all-time highs - best to just trail and let SLV tell you where to exit.
All that glitters..
My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
PAAS – High Tight Flag with Silver TailwindsPan American Silver ( NYSE:PAAS ) is forming a high tight flag — one of the most explosive continuation patterns — just as silver starts heating up.
🔹 High Tight Flag Formation
NYSE:PAAS ripped with momentum and is now consolidating in a tight, bullish range.
This is exactly what you want to see — shallow pullback, tight candles, and holding near highs.
🔹 Sector Momentum: Silver Heating Up
AMEX:SLV and /SI are pushing toward multi-year breakout levels.
NYSE:PAAS is riding that same energy, and any continuation in silver could ignite this setup.
My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Starter Position: Looking to enter on strength through the top of the flag.
2️⃣ Add on Confirmation: Add size on volume surge and breakout follow-through.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Below flag base — keeping it tight and defined.
Why I Love This Setup:
High tight flags are low-risk, high-reward when paired with macro momentum.
Silver is gaining strength — NYSE:PAAS could lead the miner group if this breaks clean.
Strong structure, clean risk, macro fuel = great setup.
$SLV pullback before the real bull trend starts?Silver looks to be trading in a large rising wedge, I could see the possibility of a pretty substantial pullback should price break down from the pattern.
We have the potential to fall between 30-60% from here should price break the pattern. The level to look for is a break of $22 on the downside, that will be the confirmation that we're moving lower.
I've marked off important support levels on the downside if we break down. A break of the upper resistance would invalidate the idea.
MBIO MFI deepest red!!Potential lifetime buying opportunity on this if it is not just another WallStreet scam.
I'm stacking for potential upside targets in 1-3 years are $30, $90, $210 & higher.
Often I buy the deepest red and 50% of the time it works half of half the time.
1. MFI effin deep in the red
2. RSI potential double bottom on both 3 week and higher charts
3. 99.99% of all investors are under and burnt by WallStreet
4. TTM squeeze is showing large potential on timeframes 55D, 21D, 9D, 3D, 10 Hour is a FIRE setup.
5. Accum/Distrib pump is at a healthy retracement on multiple larger time frames.
This can lay flat for months and or go to ZERO.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
Silver Massive C&H Bull Market 400%+ gains Lifetime opportunity🏆 Silver Market Update (April 13th, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️Long-term outlook 2weeks/candle
▪️Massive C&H formation in progress
▪️40 USD breakout pending now
▪️PT BULLS 400%+ gains BUY/HOLD
▪️Price Target BULLS 125/150 USD
▪️Bull market still pending
▪️BUY/HOLD now or miss out on gains
📢 Silver Market Update – April 2025
📈Silver is widely used in electronics due to its exceptional electrical and thermal conductivity, making it ideal for various applications, including printed circuit boards, connectors, and contact surfaces.
🚀 It is also employed in devices like touch screens, batteries, and solar panels. Silver's high conductivity, solderability, and resistance to corrosion and oxidation contribute to its popularity in the electronics industry.
A case for silver.Silver is currently under significant regulatory constraints, and its prevailing market price does not incentivize the allocation of capital toward ventures focused on increasing its supply. This creates a supply constraint for the asset.
Beyond its role as an inflation hedge, a characteristic shared by most commodities, silver possesses unique properties that are particularly valuable for industrial applications. As we stand on the brink of a new wave of industrial expansion, silver's conductivity and reflectivity make it indispensable in various technologies, such as solar panels (where China leads in production), antifreeze formulations, and numerous other applications.
Recently, President Putin announced that Russia will include silver in its strategic reserves. Meanwhile, China has been engaging in confidential agreements with miners and refiners to secure prices over extended periods. Due to China's relatively loose regulatory framework, these transactions are not publicly disclosed, and as a result, they are not reflected in silver's market price. This can be said for African, Latin-American, or other Asian countries with loose regulation for these kinds of markets. Silver pricing predominantly occurs on the futures market, which underscores cases where a disconnect arises between market prices and underlying realities, leading to potential distortions in valuation.
Case 1: JP Morgan commodities trading desk scandal.
" A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted a former trader at JPMorgan Chase and Credit Suisse today of fraud in connection with a spoofing scheme in the gold and silver futures markets.
According to court documents and evidence presented at trial, Christopher Jordan, 51, of Mountainside, New Jersey, was an executive director and trader on JPMorgan’s precious metals desk in New York from 2006 to 2009, and on Credit Suisse’s precious metals desk in New York in 2010. Between 2008 and 2010, Jordan placed thousands of spoof orders, i.e., orders that he intended to cancel before execution, to drive prices in a direction more favorable to orders he intended to execute on the opposite side of the market. Jordan engaged in this deceptive spoofing strategy while trading gold and silver futures contracts on the Commodity Exchange (COMEX), which is a commodities exchange operated by the CME Group. These deceptive orders were intended to inject false and misleading information about the genuine supply and demand for gold and silver futures contracts into the markets... Four other former JPMorgan precious metals traders were previously convicted in related cases. In August 2022, Gregg Smith and Michael Nowak... spoofing... In October 2018, John Edmonds pleaded guilty in the District of Connecticut... wire fraud, commodities fraud, price manipulation, and spoofing... In August 2019, Christian Trunz pleaded guilty in the Eastern District of New York to one count of conspiracy to engage in spoofing and one count of spoofing... "
This is the article if you'd like to read more: www.justice.gov
My thoughts; This type of practice is an example of how there always a disconnect with real life and markets. One must also remember how information travels and the infrastructure and systems in place that runs our financial system. I believe JP Morgan's swift settlement shows to me there was not much accountability addressed.
Case 2: Silver Thursday, Hunts Brothers, 1970s
" Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt — oil company executives, investors and brothers — first began purchasing silver in the early 1970s at a price of less than $2 per ounce. The Hunt brothers’ fervor for silver accelerated dramatically following the death of their father in 1974, a Texas oil tycoon known as H.L. Hunt. His passing released a $5 billion fortune to members of the Hunt family.
Fueled by an enormous amount of capital, the Hunt brothers continued stockpiling silver and purchasing silver futures contracts. By early 1979, the price of silver had risen to about $6 per ounce. The Hunt brothers acquired roughly 195 million ounces of silver, about a third of the world’s total supply. They facilitated their silver purchases in part by investing in futures contracts through several brokers, including Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, Prudential-Bache Securities, and Prudential Securities. By December 1979, the market price for silver fluctuated between $20 and $25 per ounce.
Silver had become exorbitantly expensive even for practical uses. Doctors struggled to afford X-ray film for patients, families melted down their heirloom silver flatware, silver burglaries skyrocketed, and Tiffany’s & Co. was forced to drastically raise its jewelry prices. Tiffany’s even took out a full-page ad in the New York Times criticizing the Hunt brothers, writing, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars’ worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.”
Silver reached a record high of $48.70 per ounce on Jan. 18, 1980. By some estimates, the Hunt brothers’ entire silver fortune peaked at a value of $10 billion.
Thursday, March 27, 1980
Facing out-of-control silver prices, COMEX (Commodity Exchange, Inc.), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), acted against the Hunt brothers. On Jan. 7, 1980, COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7, which placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on the margin.
Following its peak price of $48.70 per ounce, silver began its decline and the Hunt family’s silver fortune began to shrink.
On March 27, 1980, known as Silver Thursday, the price of silver dropped 50% in a single day, from $21.62 to $10.80 per ounce. The Hunt brothers failed to meet several margin calls and about $7 billion in paper assets suddenly turned into a $1.7 billion debt.
The sudden price drop threatened to collapse several investment firms and banks. To prevent widespread financial chaos, multiple banks joined together to issue the Hunt brothers a $1.1 billion line of credit..."
The original article: learn.apmex.com
My thoughts: Now you see that one entity can have huge influence on the market. Your once dusty silver mirror can become valuable enough for you to go and find it and clean it and sell it.
One actionable step you can take today is to capitalize on silver's current low valuation. There's clearly a lag between what's happening in the physical market and how that information gets reflected in exchange prices. Interestingly, we've seen noticeable price increases and premiums when buying physical silver, but there hasn’t been much movement in the more liquid instruments like the GLD or SLV ETFs—which, by the way, JPM vaults silver for. This disconnect exists because the market takes time to catch up to reality. What’s your take on this?
More articles:
marketsanity.com
www.justice.gov
www.reuters.com
www.investing.com
seekingalpha.com
investingnews.com
metalsedge.com
www.moneymetals.com
Silver - Another Textbook Trade For 2025!Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is again approaching strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver has now been consolidating for more than 6 months and is slowly but steadily approaching the previous horizontal support. Another retest would perfectly match with the overall bullish trend, the rising channel formation, as well as the fact that Silver will soon catch up with Gold.
Levels to watch: $27.0, $34.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Silver - Bulls have a setup for another final push higher We can count silver as completing the second leg up in a large A up, B down, C up structure off the major pandemic low. The second leg up in a wave C normally stretches to at least 100% ext of the wave A up and is normally subdivided into five micro waves.
I think bulls should produce the final wave (v) up targeting the Red Box
Gold vs. Silver: Is the Ratio Signaling a Major ShiftIntroduction:
Precious metals are displaying promising price action, warranting a closer look at the gold AMEX:GLD to silver AMEX:SLV ratio. This ratio provides valuable insights during bull markets:
Bullish Silver: In a strong bull market, silver typically outperforms gold, causing the ratio to decline.
Gold Leading: Recently, gold has taken the lead, advancing in a corrective rally, but there are signs this could change.
Analysis:
Inverted Saucer Formation: On the gold-to-silver ratio chart, a large inverted saucer formation is emerging. This bearish pattern indicates a potential breakdown below key support levels, signaling silver’s outperformance in the months ahead.
What to Watch:
A confirmed breakdown of support in this ratio could signal a major shift in favor of silver.
If silver outperforms, prices could surge to retest its 2011 highs of $48-$50 next year.
Gold Outlook: Despite the shift in favor of silver, gold remains bullish. A breakout could target significant upside, with price projections of $3,300-$3,400.
Trade Setup:
Silver Bullish Setup:
Trigger: A breakdown in the gold-to-silver ratio, confirming silver’s relative strength.
Target: SLV retesting $48-$50.
Stop Loss: Manage risk by placing stops near recent support levels in silver.
Gold Bullish Setup:
Gold continues to show strength, targeting $3,300-$3,400. Monitor for breakouts in gold prices alongside silver’s potential surge.
Conclusion:
The precious metals setup looks increasingly bullish. The gold-to-silver ratio is hinting at a shift toward silver outperformance, a hallmark of true bull markets. If this scenario plays out, silver could retest its 2011 highs, while gold targets new all-time highs. This is a chart and setup worth keeping a close eye on in the coming months. Which metal do you think will lead the charge? Share your thoughts below!
Charts:
(Include charts showing the gold-to-silver ratio with the inverted saucer formation, key support levels, and projected breakdown targets. Add gold and silver price charts highlighting bullish setups.)
Tags: #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #GLD #SLV #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
Metals & Miners Are About To EXPLODE HIGHER (50%-100%+)Please don't miss this opportunity.
I've been studying the metals charts, and last weekend, the SILJ chart caught my attention.
I started looking at longer intervals (Weekly and Monthly) to see what I could find.
XME and SILJ are showing excellent Inverted Excess Phase Peak patterns that may resolve as a breakaway upward price trend over the next 8 to 24+ months - sending both XME and SILJ over 40-50% higher at a minimum.
This sounds crazy, but Metals and Miners are probably the best opportunities for swing position trading right now as hedge investments and/or very long-term options play.
There is nothing else out there that has a 100-200% rally potential and the ability to hedge against global risk factors.
I believe SILJ, XME, Gold, Silver, & Platinum will likely be HUGE WINNERS over the next 12-24+ months.
Get some.
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