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Final Downside Silver Target Nearly Hit!Trading Fam,
I don’t have anything much different to say here than what I just posted regarding my gold analysis. Basically this. I had two targets to the downside just as I did with gold. Between the first downside target and the second downside target, I have been DCA’ing in. My second downside target for silver was nearly hit today. Will silver drop lower? Unknown. And that is why it is not a bad idea to be at the DCA stat rn. Once we pop to the upside of this triangle, a safe upside target on silver is $120. But, as with gold, I think silver will go higher. Much higher, in fact. And this could all potentially occur before the year ends.
The U.S. dollar will continue to devalue, increasing inflationary pressure and concerns. The safe havens are precious metals. But with silver, we will also see strong demands from tech, AI, nuclear power, etc. Silver will fly!
Take care, my friends. And happy trading.
✌️Stew Long 
Scared of a Market Crash? Answer: SILVER, $SLV $AGQTVC:SILVER AMEX:AGQ AMEX:SLV Just like Gold exploded higher in late 2025 through early 2026 — delivering one of its strongest performances in decades with massive gains, repeated all-time highs, and prices surging well over $5,000/oz at peaks — TVC:SILVER , AMEX:SLV , AMEX:AGQ is perfectly positioned to follow the same pattern and potentially outperform it significantly.
While gold captured the safe-haven spotlight, silver combines monetary demand with powerful industrial leverage (solar, EVs, AI/electronics). This dual driver often leads to sharper, more explosive moves once momentum kicks in.
Silver Market Fundamentals & Outlook (as of late May 2026):
Current Price: Trading around $74–$77/oz
2025 Performance: Up over 140–160% in one of the strongest years on record
Market Structure: Sixth consecutive annual supply deficit expected in 2026 (~46–67 million ounces)
Heavy Buying from China: Record imports in 2026 — China imported ~836 tons in March alone (highest monthly total ever, 173% above 10-year seasonal average), with Q1 imports exceeding 1,600 tons driven by both industrial and investment demand.
Key Demand Drivers: Surging industrial use (solar panels, EVs, AI/electronics) + rising investment demand (bars, coins, ETFs).
Supply Constraints: Mine production largely flat; recycling unable to keep up with demand
Gold/Silver Ratio: Currently around 55–62:1 (still room for further compression in a bull market)
Analyst Outlook 2026: Many forecasts $90–$120+, with bullish targets as high as $135–$300+ in extreme squeeze scenarios. Michael Oliver, a financial analyst and founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, who predicted Silver going past $100 before the Metals Bull Run, suggests that if gold reaches the $8,000 to $10,000 range, the historical gold-to-silver ratio implies that silver's catch-up move could rapidly push it into the $300-$500/oz range.
AGQ 2x Leveraged Silver: Sitting at around $120/share, these could easily surge past $1,000-$1,200 if Silver breaks $300/oz.
Impact of Rate Cuts Under Kevin Warsh:
Kevin Warsh, who just took over as Fed Chair in mid-May 2026, is generally viewed as more market-friendly and growth-oriented than Powell. Markets are pricing in the possibility of 1–3 rate cuts in the second half of 2026 (especially if inflation cools or economic data softens post-SpaceX IPO volatility).
Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver.
Weaker USD and lower real yields historically drive strong precious metals rallies.
Silver benefits even more than gold due to its industrial leverage.
Silver could be the perfect safe haven asset in case of a major market correction or profit-taking rotation following the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO (expected mid-June 2026). After the summer hype or toward September–October, any broad market selling could drive strong flows back into silver as investors seek protection — just like we saw with gold during previous periods of volatility.
Why Silver is Primed for More Upside:
Persistent global supply deficits draining inventories for the 6th straight year.
Record heavy buying from China — pulling physical silver from global markets at unprecedented levels.
Explosive industrial demand from green energy and tech sectors
Strong investment flows into physical silver and ETFs.
Potential for further gold/silver ratio compression, following gold’s massive 2025–2026 move
Macro support from Fed policy, geopolitics, and dollar weakness. Long 
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Silver: The Melting PointWhile the media feeds the retail crowd a "safe haven" narrative, the charts whisper a different story. Silver is losing its shine, and gravity is about to take over.
Fundamentals:
What could trigger a price rise?
1. A series of over-highs and over-lows established since February 6th.
2. Escalating geopolitical tensions
3. Media "feeding" retail traders the narrative that gold and silver are urgent safe-haven necessities.
What could trigger a price decline?
1. Industrial Pressure: Expensive silver is detrimental to manufacturing as it spikes production costs.
2. Supply Chain Logic: Persistent logistics issues further inflate production costs and final product prices. This stifles consumer demand, leading to reduced production volumes and, consequently, lower industrial demand for silver.
3. Institutional Rebalancing: Before any global uptrend continues, large-scale capital (which accumulated silver at $30+-) needs to offload excess supply and re-enter at more favorable levels. Selling into a weak market is difficult, so retail traders are being lured into a "growth trap" fueled by geopolitical headlines.
Technicals:
1. Momentum: The rally from $78 to $95 took 10 days , while the drop from $95 back to $78 took only 2 days . This suggests that the upward volume is artificial ("painted"), and real liquidity is being drained from the price at an accelerated pace.
2. Liquidity Traps: Given the above, the recent highs and lows within the ascending corrective channel are likely just "eye candy" for retail rather than actual institutional accumulation in key zones.
3. Price Action: Price has filled the 4H imbalance and rejected the final accumulation zone .
My strategy indicates a higher probability of a continued corrective move downward than a local continuation of the global uptrend.
Depending on price action, here are two scenarios:
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Scenario 1: Sweeping "Shrimp" Liquidity into the Whale’s Mouth
(Trigger: Price reversal after 93.20)
Activates if price moves to fill the imbalance zone but fails to break the local high.
✅ Entry Point: 93.29 (post-reversal confirmation)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 97.63
🤑 Target 1: 70.37
🤑 Target 2: 64.61
🤑 Target 3: 54.51
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Scenario 2: Instant Attraction
(Trigger: Price retests and breaks support)
Activates if price moves to fill the imbalance zone and retests it from below.
✅ Entry Point: 82.90 (post-reversal confirmation)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 91.83
🤑 Target 1: 70.37
🤑 Target 2: 64.61
🤑 Target 3: 54.51
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Both short scenarios are invalidated if price achieves a strong close above 96.80 .
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G ood Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Every trader must make decisions at their own risk, guided solely by their own criteria and strategy.
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P.S. Do you long or short? Short 
SILVER: A Tragicomedy in 3 Acts. [Act TWO]Silver has found a foothold at the edge of the abyss and is striving upward, fueled by Asian session liquidity. But how high will this leap be?
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Technicals:
1. Since Mar. 3, the price has been setting new lower highs and lower lows, signaling that the market sentiment is in a local bearish movement.
2. After a trending local downside movement and having set new local low extremum, the price left open liquidity in the channel at levels 84.45, 85.43, 87.51, 89.47, 89.88, and 91.34 as the final one. All these liquidity pockets represent highs of the EU session (84.45) ans Asian sessions (all remaining).
3. We have seen signs of recovery in Asian markets recently, so this could also mean that silver might be:
- active during the time of Asian sessions and/or
- the liquidity left uncollected from Asian Sessions highs may act as targets for algorithms to reach and clear
4. Current targets strongly depend on the strength of the movement in a short timeframe. What this means:
- the accumulating and stagnating phases currently last 85 bars (85 trading hours) on average
- the distribution phase (local upside correction between channel boundaries) recently took 37 bars (37 trading hours) and is assumed to take approx. the same time during the repeated phase.
- This means that we could see a corrective movement up until Wednesday, 18 Mar. at 2 AM (UTC+1) which is 1 hour after the Tokyo Session opens and during the premarket of Shanghai
- It is important to pay attention to of session timing because price can find a potential rejection here.
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Conclusion:
Open Long if price breaks 81.88 and close the trade by Wednesday, 18 Mar. at 2 AM (UTC+1) .
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ACT # 2: "Act 2: Defying Gravity. Beyond Newton's Law"
✅ Entry: $81.88 LONG
🛑 Stop-Loss: $77.38
🤑 Target 1: $85.59
🤑 Target 2: $87.71
🤑 Target 3: $89.51
🤑 Target 4: $91.51
Best case to close trade by Wednesday, 18 Mar. at 2 AM (UTC+1)
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The remaining setup will be posted as they become relevant and depending on the market environment.
Good Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
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P.S One (1) more setup coming up. Follow along to see how this tragicomedy ends. You can see the ACT ONE by clicking on the related Article on the >>>
Long 
SILVER: A Tragicomedy in 3 Acts. [Act ONE]The higher the climb, the harder the fall. Silver has certainly climbed high, but who’s to say it will go down without a fight? This 'dance' will be fueled by disappointment, hope, and despair. Let’s break down the play-by-play.
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Technicals Macro:
1. Global Trend: Long
2. Local Trend: Short
3. Market Phase: Correction
- Silver is in a local corrective bearish trend that began after the price reached $120.
- The primary correction target at the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($68.00) was successfully hit.
- Following this, the price attempted to break back the 0.382 Fibonacci level ($89.00) twice, but both attempts resulted in false breakouts.
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Technicals Micro:
1. Open liquidity below the March 3rd lows: .
2. Open liquidity at the sellers' resistance from March 3rd and 9th: .
- The aforementioned prices serve as targets for algorithms and market makers within the local range, as they represent the stop-losses of market participants.
- In rare cases, the price moves strictly with the trend without pullbacks.
- More frequently, we see a "washout" of player positions before the main move.
3. Gold-Silver-Ratio: The price movement targets for TVC:GOLDSILVER Ratio are for current. These correspond to for Silver price.
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Conclusion:
The combination of data regarding the direction of the local trend, the aforementioned liquidity zones and market behavior patterns leads to two assumptions:
1. The overall picture points toward a continued price move down to the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($52.50) .
2. The price will move in a zigzag , clearing liquidity at and then at .
Accordingly, below is the 1st of my 3 setups for the price movement:
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ACT # 1: "The Allegorical Sinking of a Buoy, or a Deceptive Dive"
✅ Entry: $82.18 SHORT ( Trigger: After price returns to close the imbalance at $82.55 ) OR
✅ Entry: Market Order SHORT ( Lower Risk/Reward Ratio )
🛑 Stop-Loss: $85.97
🤑 Target: $77.67
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The remaining setups will be posted as they become relevant and depending on the market environment.
Good Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
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P.S Two (2) more setups coming up. Follow along to see how this tragicomedy ends. Short 
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