S&P500 Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $4539.1
🟢 Take Profit: $4482.8 (2.16)
⛔ Stop Loss: $4565.2
- I'm expecting a test on the $4522, flipping resistance into support
- Then potentially a double top can form at the entry level, which would open an opportunity for a short
SPX500 has just retested a nice distribution-zone and could continue to move down after the recent rejection.
Nice- Risk-Reward worth for a try! What do you think?
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A ~25% decline from here should be rather quick and uneventful. However, such a decline is likely to be just the first leg on a long road to a full ~70% decline by the end of this full cycle. - Which would be nothing more than a garden variety return to the Historic Norm ! The same goes for all US Indexes and those who are historically informed (or reviewed...
The funding a 36-year stream of expected inflation-adjusted spending requires over 38 years of money up-front;
Every single decile of S&P 500 components is at record valuation extremes; www.hussmanfunds.com
The amount of leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) is now easily the highest in...
As can be seen in the graph, after the pandemic, it collected rapidly and it seems that it will continue the rising wedge movement to the end.
If the targets for the future will not be 4000+, we can see a very sharp decline as a result of the rising wedge formation from here. In this sense, it would not be wrong to expect the prices to fall back to 3000 levels...
Fearing an upcoming crash / correction I've been looking at all the key indexes etc, and this was one of my earlier explorations using Fibonacci.
I look at this chart with a large pinch of salt, more a fascinating oddity than something scientific (maybe!), but I do find all the correlations very interesting.
Ultimately this connects well with my Vix & Gold charts...
With the credit spreads looking like they're about to blow out, equities don't stand much of a chance here, either. Look for at least a >-11% dive here.
.... or ... SELL the Nasdaq100 ...
... as it doesn't look much different, either. A little difference without much distinction.
Here is an other...
Since the "election all-time high" just under 3700, SP500 continued its rise, but this is anemic to say the least with the index gaining around 3% in the past 2 months.
The rise is in a tight channel which for me is an indication of an imminent reversal.
A break under this channel's support can be the signal for sellers and 3500 is a very modest target for this...
After a nice Pin Bar in support followed by a 4 days uprun is time for the "hanging man" to give us a warning...
Friday's session was dominated by NFP's volatility and I wouldn't have paid much attention to this candle if it hadn't been in resistance.
I expect 3500 zone to be a hard zone to pass by bulls and the index could fall to at least 3200 in the next 2-3...
As I said in my previous SP500 analysis, 3500 should be a great sell zone for bears.
The index reached that zone, has reversed and now is trading just above 3250 support zone.
A small rally should be expected now and bears have a new opportunity for opening trades around 3400
I maintain my target of 3k for this index and only a new all-time high would change my perspective
1 - the eco data are worst more than expected
2- he like filled THE big gap
3 - he traced 61.8 fibo from the #COVID19 krach ,my target are not so far so i think its a good timing and a good trade with good gain to try
4 - he up much on Gilead treatment but in fact even a Vaccin will not erase what the economy is now and all her drama economic data like pmi ,Gdp...
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You can sell SP 500 AUDNZD from 3290-3300
Stop-loss at 3340
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