In Summary: 1. We see 5 waves up and wave1=wave5, and it doesn't matter if it is a 1-2-3-4-5 or a W-X-Y-X-Z. The next move should be down. 2. RSI(7) crosses 88 and based on 3 other historical instances of similar preceding pattern, the next move should be down. 3. The risk-reward is better on the short side than the long side.
The IWM & S&P500 is completely gone vertical; off the lowering of yields. Its like the fed Pivoted today, but really they didnt. Is this a Fomo rally or is the market fundamentals now turned Bullish? Bull Steepener vs Bear Steepener?
All in the video. They had a chance to break SPX down today but failed to do so. A santa float up into 4600+ is likely to take out stops and meet with the weekly BB around 4650. This should set up further buying for the trashy stocks (companies in debt and having no profits to speak of). Oil may find some buyers here but right now I wouldn't touch it. Gold looks...
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it starts to look impulsive.
XLK 23 year trendline is still in tact... We may get 1 more blowoff move before seeing lower price action. Until we get a weekly close above that level we have to respcet the resistance!
The feds Balance sheet reduced from $7.96 Trillion to $7.73 Trillion This is the largest reduction in the balance sheet since September 1st 2023.
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it starts to look impulsive.
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it starts to look impulsive.
Are we seeing a divergence in the market? Interest rates & yields have cooled off significantly in recent trading sessions thus providing the perfect tailwinds for tch to continue higher. Todays price action saw Tech make a new nominal high as yields were falling but ended up reversing lower. The fact that tech appears to be selling off under falling yields...
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it still looks corrective.
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it still looks corrective.
This is a holiday abridged week. I expect market volume to taper off after Tuesday or so, with it coming alive following Monday. Thursday and Friday, the NYSE remains closed. Happy Thanksgiving! My Weekly Scenarios Scenario 1: I think if we are able to remain above 4510-4515 this week, there may be a tendency to test 4552 area. I do think there is a possibility...
Monday Market Update: Bitcoin continues in its high range as ETH starts to regain some important levels after doing a deep drive down and retest. TradFi indices are still holding levels as the DXY retests its yearly open, completing a 3 drive to the downside. The expectation is that markets will continue unless local structure is broken on the TradFi Indices in...
Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history.. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
The S&P 500 reacted strongly from the extreme boundary of the wave (4) area. The main question is now if this reaction is impulsive or corrective. With the current data, it still looks corrective.